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2010 United States Senate election in Kansas

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2010 United States Senate election in Kansas

← 2004November 2, 20102016 →
 
NomineeJerry MoranLisa Johnston
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote587,175220,971
Percentage70.09%26.38%

County results
Moran:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Johnston:     40–50%     50–60%

U.S. senator before election

Sam Brownback
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Jerry Moran
Republican

Elections in Kansas
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The2010 United States Senate election in Kansas took place on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to theUnited States Senate in other states as well as elections to theUnited States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent SenatorSam Brownback did not seek a third full term, but instead successfully ran forGovernor of Kansas.

Fellow Republican and representativeJerry Moran won the open seat. This was the first open-seat United States Senate election in Kansas for this seat since1968.[a]

Background

[edit]

Sam Brownback was first elected to the Senate in 1996, replacingBob Dole, who resigned torun for President. Brownback stated that he would not run for re-election in 2010 because of self-imposed term limits.Kansas is one of the most Republican states in the nation; no Democrat has been elected to either Senate seat since 1932.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

The retirement of Brownback, a popular U.S. Senator, led to a heavily competitive primary election. Tiahrt, who was on theCommittee of Appropriations, had been accused of excessive earmarking while he was in Congress. From 2006 to 2008, Tiahrt had requested and supported a total of 63 solo earmarks, costing $53.9 million. In the same period, Moran had requested and supported a total of 29 earmarks, with a pricetag of $13.4 million.[5][6]

Endorsements

[edit]

Moran

[edit]
Notable individuals and organizations endorsing Jerry Moran[7]

Tiahrt

[edit]
State/local-level positions (State Senators, Governors, etc.)[8]
  • State Senator Steve Abrams
  • State Senator Les Donovan
  • State Senator Dick Kelsey
  • State Senator Julia Lynn
  • State Senator Ty Masterson
  • State Senator Carolyn McGinn
  • State Senator Susan Wagle
  • Kansas House Majority Leader Ray Merrick
  • Kansas Speaker Pro Tempore Arlen Seigfreid
  • State Representative Steven Brunk
  • State Representative J. David Crum
  • State Representative Peter DeGraaf
  • State Representative Mario Goico
  • State Representative John Grange
  • State Representative Phil Hermanson
  • State Representative Steve Huebert
  • State Representative Aaron Jack
  • State Representative Kasha Kelley
  • State Representative Dan Kerschen
  • State Representative Brenda Landwehr
  • State Representative Joe McLeland
  • State Representative Virgil Peck
  • State Representative Marc Rhoades
  • State Representative Gene Suellentrop
U.S. federal positions (Senators, Congressmen, etc.)[8]
Notable individuals and organizations endorsing Todd Tiahrt[8]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDates administeredTodd TiahrtJerry Moran
Research 2000[10]February 2–4, 200924%19%
Survey USA[11]April 17–19, 200935%39%
Survey USA[12]June 12–14, 200938%40%
Survey USA[13]October 2–4, 200927%43%
Survey USA[14]December 4–6, 200934%37%
Survey USA[15]January 29–31, 201033%40%
Survey USA[16]March 26–28, 201032%42%
Survey USA[17]May 21–23, 201029%52%
Survey USA[18]June 24–27, 201033%53%
Survey USA[19]July 15–18, 201036%50%
Survey USA[20]July 29 – August 1, 201039%49%

Results

[edit]
Primary results by county.
Map legend
  •   Moran—80–90%
  •   Moran—70–80%
  •   Moran—60–70%
  •   Moran—50–60%
  •   Moran—40–50%
  •   Tiahrt—40–50%
  •   Tiahrt—50–60%
  •   Tiahrt—60–70%
Republican primary results[21]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJerry Moran161,40749.8%
RepublicanTodd Tiahrt144,37244.6%
RepublicanTom Little10,1043.1%
RepublicanBob Londerholm8,1682.5%
Total votes324,051100.00%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

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  • Robert Conroy, retired railroad employee
  • David Haley, state senator and nominee for Secretary of State in 2002 and 2006[22]
  • Lisa Johnston, administrator atBaker University[23]
  • Charles Schollenberger, retired communications executive[24]
  • Patrick Wiesner, attorney andCPA

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDates administeredCharles SchollenbergerLisa JohnstonRobert ConroyDavid HaleyUndecided
Survey USA[18]June 24–27, 201016%24%11%11%35%
Survey USA[19]July 15–18, 201014%23%7%12%36%
Survey USA[20]July 29 – August 1, 201021%29%7%12%25%

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[21]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticLisa Johnston25,42131.2%
DemocraticCharles Schollenberger19,22823.6%
DemocraticDavid Haley15,58419.2%
DemocraticPatrick Wiesner13,35916.4%
DemocraticRobert Conroy7,7799.6%
Total votes81,371100.00%

General election

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Candidates

[edit]

Major

[edit]

Minor

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Kansas is a veryred state, where no Democrat has won a U.S. Senate election since 1932.[25] After the primary, Moran chose not to release any more negative advertisements. Democrat Lisa Johnston ran a low-profile, quiet race. On election day, she won only two counties:Wyandotte County andDouglas County, while Moran won statewide by a landslide.[26]

Debates

[edit]

The two never met for a debate.[27]

Predictions

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SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[28]Solid ROctober 26, 2010
Rothenberg[29]Safe ROctober 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics[30]Safe ROctober 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31]Safe ROctober 21, 2010
CQ Politics[32]Safe ROctober 26, 2010

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredJerry MoranLisa Johnston
Rasmussen Reports[33]May 11, 201061%25%
Rasmussen Reports[34]June 30, 201059%23%
Rasmussen Reports[35]August 4, 201061%28%
Survey USA[36]August 12–15, 201069%23%
Survey USA[37]September 14–16, 201066%24%
Survey USA[38]October 10–12, 201067%27%
Survey USA[39]October 22–26, 201066%26%

Fundraising

[edit]
Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Lisa Johnston (D)$10,627$4,530$6,096$1,131
Jerry Moran (R)$2,749,244$4,497,168$795,015$0
Source: Federal Election Commission[40]

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in Kansas, 2010[41]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanJerry Moran587,17570.09%+0.93%
DemocraticLisa Johnston220,97126.38%−1.11%
LibertarianMichael Dann17,9222.14%+0.21%
ReformJoe Bellis11,6241.39%−0.03%
Total votes837,692100.0%
Republicanhold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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Notes

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  1. ^Sheila Frahm ran for the1996 special election to finishBob Dole's term, but lost in the primary toSam Brownback.

References

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  1. ^"Londerholm drops out of Senate race". Associated Press. July 13, 2010. RetrievedAugust 3, 2010.
  2. ^"Moran now eyes U.S. Senate seat". Associated Press. November 8, 2008. RetrievedNovember 10, 2008.[dead link]
  3. ^"Tiahrt preparing for Senate race in Kansas". Associated Press. November 21, 2008. RetrievedNovember 23, 2008.[dead link]
  4. ^"Congressman Tiahrt Announces Senate Steering Committee - KWCH - Kansas News and Weather". KWCH. January 27, 2009. Archived fromthe original on February 5, 2009. RetrievedJune 14, 2010.
  5. ^Clark, Matthew (June 5, 2010)."POLITICS BLOG: Earmarks, earmarks and more earmarks - Pittsburg, KS". Morning Sun. Archived fromthe original on July 26, 2011. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  6. ^"Truth Test". YouTube. June 7, 2010. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  7. ^"Jerry Moran Endorsements".Moran for Kansas. June 2, 2010. Archived fromthe original on June 26, 2010. RetrievedJune 2, 2010.
  8. ^abc"Todd Tiahrt Endorsements".Todd Tiahrt for Kansas. June 2, 2010.
  9. ^"Niet compatibele browser". Facebook. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  10. ^Research 2000
  11. ^Survey USA
  12. ^Survey USA
  13. ^Survey USA
  14. ^Survey USA
  15. ^Survey USA
  16. ^Survey USA
  17. ^Survey USA
  18. ^abSurvey USA
  19. ^abSurvey USA
  20. ^abSurvey USA
  21. ^ab"Kansas Primary results".Politico. August 3, 2010. RetrievedAugust 3, 2010.
  22. ^"State Sen. David Haley to enter race for U.S. Senate | Wichitopekington | Wichita Eagle Blogs". Blogs.kansas.com. Archived fromthe original on August 9, 2011. RetrievedJune 14, 2010.
  23. ^"Moran squeezes past Tiahrt, looks forward to Johnston".KCUR-FM. Associated Press. August 4, 2010. Archived fromthe original on September 16, 2011. RetrievedAugust 4, 2010.
  24. ^"The Hutchinson News Online Edition". Hutchnews.com. June 15, 2009. RetrievedJune 14, 2010.
  25. ^"Canadian Press".[dead link]
  26. ^"Wyandotte County voters buck statewide trend".BonnerSprings.com. Archived fromthe original on November 13, 2010. RetrievedDecember 20, 2022.
  27. ^"Moran takes Senate seat - McPherson, KS - The McPherson Sentinel". Archived fromthe original on July 14, 2011. RetrievedNovember 9, 2010.
  28. ^"Senate".Cook Political Report. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  29. ^"Senate Ratings".Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  30. ^"Battle for the Senate".RealClearPolitics. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  31. ^"2010 Senate Ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  32. ^"Race Ratings Chart: Senate".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  33. ^Rasmussen Reports
  34. ^Rasmussen Reports
  35. ^Rasmussen Reports
  36. ^Survey USA
  37. ^Survey USA
  38. ^Survey USA
  39. ^Survey USA
  40. ^"2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Kansas". fec.gov. Archived fromthe original on May 25, 2010. RetrievedAugust 22, 2010.
  41. ^"2010 General Election - Official Vote Totals"(PDF).Kansas Secretary of State.

External links

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