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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana

← 2008
November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02)
2012 →

All 7 Louisiana seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Last election61
Seats won61
Seat changeSteadySteady
Popular vote675,386311,221
Percentage65.20%30.04%
SwingIncrease 8.39%Decrease 8.05%

District results
Parish results

Republican

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Democratic

  50–60%
  60–70%

Elections in Louisiana
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Louisiana's congressional districts in 2010

Elections were held on November 2, 2010, to determineLouisiana's seven members of theUnited States House of Representatives. Representatives were elected for two-year terms to serve in the112th United States Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013.Primary elections were held on August 28, 2010,[1] and arunoff election for theRepublican Party nomination in the3rd district took place on October 2, 2010.[2]

Of the seven elections, the2nd district was rated as competitive byCQ Politics[3] and the 2nd and 3rd districts were rated as competitive byThe Cook Political Report,[4]The Rothenberg Political Report[5] andSabato's Crystal Ball.[6][7]

Five of Louisiana's seven incumbents (RepublicansSteve Scalise of the1st district,John Fleming of the4th district,Rodney Alexander of the5th district,Bill Cassidy of the6th district andCharles Boustany of the7th district) were re-elected.[8] Of the two who were not re-elected, one (RepublicanJoseph Cao of the 2nd district) unsuccessfully sought re-election,[9] and one (DemocratCharlie Melancon of the 3rd district)ran for the U.S. Senate instead of seeking re-election.[10]

In Louisiana, candidates affiliated with parties that are not recognized by the state are listed on the ballot as "Other", whileindependent candidates are listed as "No Party".[11] In total, six Republicans and one Democrat were elected. A total of 1,035,947 votes were cast, of which 675,386 (65 percent) were for Republican candidates, 311,221 (30 percent) were for Democratic candidates, 42,241 (4 percent) were for independent candidates and 7,099 (1 percent) were for unrecognized parties' candidates.[12]

Overview

[edit]

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana by district:[13]

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1157,18278.52%38,41619.19%4,5782.29%200,176100.0%Republican hold
District 243,37833.47%83,70564.59%2,5211.94%129,604100.0%Democratic gain
District 3108,96363.77%61,91436.23%00.00%170,877100.0%Republican gain
District 4105,22362.34%54,60932.35%8,9625.31%168,794100.0%Republican hold
District 5122,03378.57%00.00%33,27921.43%155,312100.0%Republican hold
District 6138,60765.63%72,57734.37%00.00%211,184100.0%Republican hold
District 7Republican hold
Total675,38665.20%311,22130.04%49,3404.76%1,035,947100.0%

District 1

[edit]
Louisiana's 1st congressional district in 2010
Steve Scalise, who was re-elected as the U.S. representative for the 1st district
See also:Louisiana's 1st congressional district

In 2010 the 1st district includedMetairie,Slidell, and parts ofKenner andNew Orleans.[14] The district's population was 75 percent white, 16 percent black and 6 percent Hispanic (seeRace and ethnicity in the United States census); 86 percent were high school graduates and 28 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Itsmedian income was $50,725.[15] In the2008 presidential election the district gave 72 percent of its vote toRepublican nomineeJohn McCain and 26 percent toDemocratic nomineeBarack Obama.[14]

RepublicanSteve Scalise, who took office in May 2008, was theincumbent. Scalise was re-elected inNovember 2008 with 66 percent of the vote.[14] In 2010 his opponent in the general election was Democratic nominee Myron Katz, who ran with the intention of raising awareness aboutenergy conservation in homebuilding. Former lawyer Arden Wells, who does not belong to a party recognized by the state of Louisiana, also ran.[16]

Scalise raised $1,358,024 and spent $1,007,474. Katz raised $64,420 and spent $60,708.[17] Prior to the electionFiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Scalise a 100 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 72 percent of the vote to Katz's 25 percent.[18] On election day Scalise was re-elected with 79 percent of the vote to Katz's 19 percent.[19] Scalise was again re-elected in2012[20] and2014.[21]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[22]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[23]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[25]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[26]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[27]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[27]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

General election results

[edit]
Louisiana's 1st district general election, 2010[19][28]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSteve Scalise (incumbent)157,18278.52
DemocraticMyron Katz38,41619.19
OtherArden Wells4,5782.29
Total votes200,176100.00
Republicanhold

External links

[edit]

District 2

[edit]
Louisiana's 2nd congressional district in 2010
Joseph Cao, who unsuccessfully sought re-election in the 2nd district
Cedric Richmond, who was elected as the U.S. representative for the 2nd district
See also:Louisiana's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district included parts ofNew Orleans andMarrero.[29] The district's population was 57 percent black, 32 percent white and 6 percent Hispanic (seeRace and ethnicity in the United States census); 78 percent were high school graduates and 20 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Itsmedian income was $40,061.[30] In the2008 presidential election the district gave 75 percent of its vote toDemocratic nomineeBarack Obama and 23 percent toRepublican nomineeJohn McCain.[29]

RepublicanJoseph Cao, who took office in 2009, was theincumbent. Cao was elected in2008 with 50 percent of the vote.[29] In 2010 Cao's opponent in the general election was Democratic nomineeCedric Richmond, a member of theLouisiana House of Representatives.[31] Anthony Marquize, a minister and businessman; and Jack Radosta, a carpenter and actor, ran asindependent candidates.[32] Ron Austin, a lawyer, also ran as an independent candidate[33] but ended his campaign in September 2010.[34]

Eugene Green, the formerchief of staff to U.S. RepresentativeWilliam J. Jefferson; Gary Johnson, a former research director for theUnited States House Committee on Rules; andJuan LaFonta, a member of the Louisiana House of Representatives, also sought the Democratic nomination.[35] In a poll of 341 likely Democratic primary voters, conducted in June 2010 by Zata 3 Consulting for Richmond's campaign, 53 percent supported Richmond while 13 percent favored LaFonta and 34 percent were undecided.[36]Karen Carter Peterson, a member of theLouisiana State Senate, said in July 2010 that she would not seek the Democratic nomination.[37]

Cao raised $2,079,915 and spent $2,097,806. Richmond raised $1,139,879 and spent $1,134,506. Marquize raised $14,021 and spent the same amount. Austin raised $7,300 and spent the same amount.[38] Green raised $85,248 and spent $85,395.[39] Johnson raised $15,561 and spent $15,538.[40] LaFonta raised $359,927 and spent $353,268.[41]

In a poll of 400 likely voters, conducted by Market Research Insights in May and June 2010, 51 percent of respondents supported Cao while 26 percent favored Richmond.[42] A poll published by Anzalone-Liszt in September 2010 found Richmond leading Cao by 45 percent to 35 percent.[43] In a poll of 605 likely voters, conducted byPublic Policy Polling forDaily Kos on October 2 and 3, 2010, Richmond led with 49 percent to Cao's 38 percent while 13 percent remained undecided.[44] A poll of 500 likely voters, conducted by Zata|3 Consulting on October 20, 2010, found Richmond leading with 53 percent to Cao's 36 percent, while 2 percent supported Marquize, 1 percent chose Radosta and 8 percent were undecided.[45] In a poll of 400 likely voters, conducted by Anzalone-Liszt on October 20 and 21, 2010, Richmond led with 49 percent to Cao's 32 percent.[46]

Prior to the electionFiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Richmond a 92 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 55 percent of the vote to Cao's 42 percent.[47] On election day Richmond was elected with 65 percent of the vote to Cao's 33 percent.[19] Cao ran forAttorney General of Louisiana in2011, but ended his campaign in September of that year.[48] Richmond was re-elected in2012[49] and2014.[50]

Democratic primary results

[edit]
Louisiana's 2nd district Democratic primary, August 28, 2010[51]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticCedric Richmond14,67860.50
DemocraticJuan LaFonta5,17121.31
DemocraticEugene Green2,50010.30
DemocraticGary Johnson1,9147.89
Total votes24,263100.00

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[22]Likely D(flip)November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[23]Likely D(flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24]Lean D(flip)November 1, 2010
RCP[25]Lean D(flip)November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[26]Likely D(flip)October 28, 2010
New York Times[27]Lean D(flip)November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[27]Likely D(flip)November 1, 2010

General election results

[edit]
Louisiana's 2nd district general election, November 2, 2010[19]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticCedric Richmond83,70564.59
RepublicanJoseph Cao (incumbent)43,37833.47
IndependentAnthony Marquize1,8761.45
IndependentJack Radosta6450.50
Total votes129,604100.00
Democraticgain fromRepublican

External links

[edit]

District 3

[edit]
Louisiana's 3rd congressional district in 2010
Jeff Landry, who was elected as the U.S. representative for the 3rd district
See also:Louisiana's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district includedHouma,Laplace andNew Iberia.[52] The district's population was 66 percent white and 27 percent black (seeRace and ethnicity in the United States census); 74 percent were high school graduates and 13 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Itsmedian income was $44,887.[53] In the2008 presidential election the district gave 61 percent of its vote toRepublican nomineeJohn McCain and 37 percent toDemocratic nomineeBarack Obama.[52]

DemocratCharlie Melançon, who took office in 2005, was theincumbent. He was re-elected unopposed in2008.[52] In 2010, Melançonran for the U.S. Senate rather than seeking re-election.[10] The candidates in the general election were Democratic nominee Ravi Sangisetty and Republican nomineeJeff Landry, both lawyers.[54] Sangisetty was unopposed in the Democratic primary.[55]Hunt Downer, a former speaker of theLouisiana House of Representatives; and Kristian Magar, anoil field manager, also sought the Republican nomination.[56] Both parties had attempted to recruitScott Angelle, the Secretary of the Louisiana Department of Natural Resources, but he declined their overtures.[57]

Sangisetty raised $828,014 and spent $836,316. Landry raised $1,362,786 and spent $1,360,649.[58] Downer raised $698,604 and spent $700,614.[59] Magar raised $37,751 and spent the same amount.[60]

Prior to the electionFiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Landry a 94 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 55 percent of the vote to Sangisetti's 43 percent.[61] On election day Landry was elected with 64 percent of the vote to Sangisetty's 36 percent.[19] Landry unsuccessfully ran for re-election in2012.[62]

Republican primary results

[edit]
Louisiana's 3rd district Republican primary, August 28, 2010[51]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJeff Landry10,39649.62
RepublicanHunt Downer7,57036.13
RepublicanKristian Magar2,98714.26
Total votes20,953100.00

Republican primary runoff results

[edit]
Louisiana's 3rd district Republican primary runoff, October 2, 2010[63]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJeff Landry19,65765.08
RepublicanHunt Downer10,54934.92
Total votes30,206100.00

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[22]Likely R(flip)November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[23]Likely R(flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24]Likely R(flip)November 1, 2010
RCP[25]Likely R(flip)November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[26]Likely R(flip)October 28, 2010
New York Times[27]Safe R(flip)November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[27]Safe R(flip)November 1, 2010

General election results

[edit]
Louisiana's 3rd district general election, November 2, 2010[19]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJeff Landry108,96363.77
DemocraticRavi Sangisetty61,91436.23
Total votes170,877100.00
Republicangain fromDemocratic

External links

[edit]

District 4

[edit]
Louisiana's 4th congressional district in 2010
John Fleming, who was re-elected as the U.S. representative for the 4th district
See also:Louisiana's 4th congressional district

The 4th district includedBossier City,Natchitoches andShreveport.[64] The district's population was 60 percent white and 34 percent black (seeRace and ethnicity in the United States census); 82 percent were high school graduates and 18 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Itsmedian income was $38,436.[65] In the2008 presidential election the district gave 59 percent of its vote toRepublican nomineeJohn McCain and 40 percent toDemocratic nomineeBarack Obama.[64]

RepublicanJohn Fleming, who took office in 2009, was theincumbent. Fleming was elected in2008 with 48 percent of the vote.[64] In 2010 his opponent in the general election was Democratic nominee David Melville, a minister.Independent candidate Artis Cash also ran.[66] Fleming was unopposed in the Republican primary. Steven Gavi, a retail manager, also sought the Democratic nomination.[67]

Fleming raised $1,448,369 and spent $1,271,950. Melville raised $229,079 and spent $228,313. Cash raised $350 and spent no money.[68]

Prior to the electionFiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Fleming a 100 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 63 percent of the vote to Melville's 35 percent.[69] On election day Fleming was re-elected with 62 percent of the vote to Melville's 32 percent.[19] Fleming was again re-elected in2012[70] and2014.[71]

Democratic primary results

[edit]
Louisiana's 4th district Republican primary, August 28, 2010[51]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDavid Melville10,14581.10
DemocraticSteven Jude Gavi2,36518.90
Total votes12,510100.00

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[22]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[23]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[25]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[26]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[27]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[27]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

General election results

[edit]
Louisiana's 4th district general election, November 2, 2010[19]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Fleming (incumbent)105,22362.34
DemocraticDavid Melville54,60932.35
IndependentArtis Cash8,9625.31
Total votes168,794100.00
Republicanhold

External links

[edit]

District 5

[edit]
Louisiana's 5th congressional district in 2010
Rodney Alexander, who was re-elected as the U.S. representative for the 5th district
See also:Louisiana's 5th congressional district

The 5th district includedAlexandria,Monroe andRuston.[72] The district's population was 62 percent white and 34 percent black (seeRace and ethnicity in the United States census); 77 percent were high school graduates and 17 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Itsmedian income was $35,510.[73] In the2008 presidential election the district gave 62 percent of its vote toRepublican nomineeJohn McCain and 37 percent toDemocratic nomineeBarack Obama.[72]

RepublicanRodney Alexander, who took office in 2003, was theincumbent. Alexander was re-elected unopposed in2008.[72] In 2010 Alexander's opponent in the general election wasindependent candidate Tom Gibbs, aU.S. Armyveteran.[74] Todd Slavant, the owner of a construction andproperty management company, also sought the Republican nomination.[75]

Alexander raised $1,260,755 and spent $1,239,963.[76] Prior to the electionFiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Alexander a 100 percent chance of winning.[77] On election day Alexander was re-elected with 79 percent of the vote to Gibbs's 21 percent.[19] Alexander was again re-elected in2012,[78] and resigned in 2013 to become secretary of theLouisiana Department of Veterans Affairs.[79] He was succeeded byVance McAllister.[80]

Republican primary results

[edit]
Louisiana's 5th district Republican primary, August 28, 2010[51]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRodney Alexander (incumbent)14,03188.94
RepublicanTodd Slavant1,74411.06
Total votes15,775100.00

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[22]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[23]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[25]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[26]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[27]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[27]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

General election results

[edit]
Louisiana's 5th district general election, November 2, 2010[19]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRodney Alexander (incumbent)122,03378.57
IndependentTom Gibbs Jr.33,27921.43
Total votes155,312100.00
Republicanhold

External links

[edit]

District 6

[edit]
Louisiana's 6th congressional district in 2010
Bill Cassidy, who was re-elected as the U.S. representative for the 6th district
See also:Louisiana's 6th congressional district

The 6th district includedBaton Rouge andPrairieville.[81] The district's population was 60 percent white and 34 percent black (seeRace and ethnicity in the United States census); 85 percent were high school graduates and 26 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Itsmedian income was $47,840.[82] In the2008 presidential election the district gave 57 percent of its vote toRepublican nomineeJohn McCain and 41 percent toDemocratic nomineeBarack Obama.[81]

RepublicanBill Cassidy, who took office in 2009, was theincumbent. Cassidy was elected in2008 with 48 percent of the vote.[81] In 2010 his opponent in the general election was Democratic nominee Merritt McDonald Sr., a retired engineer.[83] Cassidy and McDonald were both unopposed in their parties' primaries.[82]

Cassidy raised $1,584,256 and spent $738,171.[84] Prior to the electionFiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Cassidy a 100 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 64 percent of the vote to McDonald's 33 percent.[85] On election day Cassidy was re-elected with 66 percent of the vote to McDonald's 34 percent.[19] Cassidy was again re-elected in2012,[86] and was elected to theU.S. Senate in2014.[87]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[22]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[23]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[25]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[26]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[27]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[27]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

General election results

[edit]
Louisiana's 6th district general election, November 2, 2010[19]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBill Cassidy (incumbent)138,60765.63
DemocraticMerritt E. McDonald Sr.72,57734.37
Total votes211,184100.00
Republicanhold

External links

[edit]

District 7

[edit]
Louisiana's 7th congressional district in 2010
Charles Boustany, who was re-elected as the U.S. representative for the 7th district
See also:Louisiana's 7th congressional district

The 7th district includedLafayette,Lake Charles andSulphur.[88] The district's population was 70 percent white and 26 percent black (seeRace and ethnicity in the United States census); 78 percent were high school graduates and 19 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Itsmedian income was $41,200.[89] In the2008 presidential election the district gave 63 percent of its vote toRepublican nomineeJohn McCain and 35 percent toDemocratic nomineeBarack Obama.[88]

RepublicanCharles Boustany, who took office in 2005, was theincumbent. Boustany was re-elected with 62 percent of the vote in2008.[88] In 2010 Boustany was unopposed for re-election.[90] According to Louisiana law, candidates who are unopposed are declared elected and their names do not appear on the ballot.[12] Boustany raised $1,677,845 and spent $1,258,638.[91] He was re-elected in the3rd district in2012[62] and2014.[92]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[22]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[23]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[25]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[26]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[27]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[27]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

External links

[edit]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
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