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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

← 2008
November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02)
2012 →

All 5 Iowa seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Last election32
Seats won32
Seat changeSteadySteady
Popular vote479,874597,414
Percentage43.36%53.99%
SwingDecrease 7.95%Increase 6.78%

District results
County results

Democratic

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%

Republican

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

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The2010 House elections inIowa occurred on November 2, 2010, and elected the members of theState of Iowa's delegation to theUnited States House of Representatives. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected served in the112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013. Iowa has five seats in the House, apportioned according to the2000 United States census.

These elections were held concurrently with theUnited States Senate elections of 2010 (including one in Iowa), theUnited States House elections in other states, and various state and local elections. All five of Iowa's incumbent representatives were re-elected.

Despite losing the popular vote, Democrats won a majority of congressional districts in Iowa, which they have only done once since- in2018. As a result, Iowa became one of four states in which the party that won the state's popular vote did not win a majority of seats in 2010, the other states beingNew Jersey,Illinois, andNorth Carolina.

Overview

[edit]
United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa, 2010[1]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats BeforeSeats After+/–
Republican597,41453.9%220
Democratic479,87443.3%330
Libertarian8,4430.76%000
Independent20,8601.88%000
Totals1,106,591100.00%55

By district

[edit]

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa by district:[2]

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1100,21947.52%104,42849.51%6,2552.97%210,902100%Democratic Hold
District 2104,31945.92%115,83950.99%7,0173.09%227,175100%Democratic Hold
District 3111,92546.49%122,14750.73%6,6842.78%240,756100%Democratic Hold
District 4152,58865.62%74,30031.95%5,6312.42%232,519100%Republican Hold
District 5128,36365.75%63,16032.35%3,7161.90%195,239100%Republican Hold
Total597,41453.99%479,87443.36%29,3032.65%1,106,591100%

District 1

[edit]
See also:Iowa's 1st congressional district

Campaign

[edit]

In this liberal-leaning district based in northeastern Iowa, incumbent Democratic CongressmanBruce Braley ran for a third term against Republican attorney Ben Lange, Libertarian Rob Petsche, and independent candidate Jason Faulkner. Though Braley was overwhelmingly re-elected to his second term two years prior, the anti-Democratic mood in the country contributed to the Congressman experiencing a tough fight for re-election. The race attracted the attention of both national party organizations, and thousands of dollars were reserved for airtime by theDCCC and theNRCC. Though Braley emerged victorious on election day, it was by a slim 4,000 vote and two percent margin, which was the thinnest margin of victory out of the entire Iowa congressional delegation.

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDates AdministeredBruce Braley (D)Ben Lange (R)Undecided
Voter/Consumer Research[3]August 31-September 3, 201050%39%-

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Likely DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Iowa's 1st congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBruce Braley (inc.)104,42849.51
RepublicanBen Lange100,21947.52
LibertarianRob J. Petsche4,0871.94
IndependentJason A. Faulkner2,0920.99
Write-ins760.04
Total votes210,902100.00
Democratichold

District 2

[edit]
See also:Iowa's 2nd congressional district

Campaign

[edit]

In a rematch from 2008, incumbent Democratic CongressmanDave Loebsack faced Republican challengerMariannette Miller-Meeks when he ran for a third term in this southeastern Iowa-based district, the most liberal of the congressional districts in the state. Polling indicated that the race would be close, and both parties’ congressional campaign committees spent on television advertisements, but ultimately, Congressman Loebsack defeated Miller-Meeks by a 10,000 vote, five percent margin.

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDates AdministeredDavid Loebsack (D)Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)Gary Sicard (L)Undecided
Tarrance Group[10]October 18–19, 201044%45%1%11%
Tarrance Group[11]September 13–14, 201041%40%6%13%
Voter/Consumer Research[12]August 31-September 3, 201047%39%--
Susquehanna Polling and Research[13]June 23–25, 201046%41%--

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Lean DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Likely DNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Iowa's 2nd congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDave Loebsack (inc.)115,83950.99
RepublicanMariannette Miller-Meeks104,31945.92
LibertarianGary Sicard4,3561.92
ConstitutionJon Tack2,4631.08
Write-ins1980.09
Total votes227,175100.00
Democratichold

District 3

[edit]
See also:Iowa's 3rd congressional district

Campaign

[edit]

Incumbent Democratic CongressmanLeonard Boswell ran for an eighth term in this marginally liberal district that includes parts of theWaterloo – Cedar Falls metropolitan area,metro Des Moines, andCedar Rapids. Congressman Boswell, who has faced difficult elections every year, faced RepublicanState SenatorBrad Zaun in the general election. Though early polling indicated that Boswell was in trouble, he managed to turn the tide and edged out Zaun by a four percent margin.

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDates AdministeredLeonard Boswell (D)Brad Zaun (R)Undecided
The Hill/ANGA[14]October 19–21, 201049%37%11%
Anzalone Liszt Research[15]October 2–5, 201047%38%-
Bennett, Petts and Normington[16]October 3–4, 201049%41%-
Voter/Consumer Research[17]August 31-September 3, 201048%39%8%
American Action Forum[18]August 16–18, 201041%51%8%
Victory Enterprises[19]August 4–5, 201038%45%-
Victory Enterprises[20]June 17, 201032%41%-

Debate

[edit]
2006 Iowa's 3rd congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticRepublican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
Leonard BoswellBrad Zaun
1Iowa Politics.com
KCCI
Lynne Campbell
Kevin Cooney
C-SPANPP

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Lean DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Likely DNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Iowa's 3rd congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticLeonard Boswell (inc.)122,14750.73
RepublicanBrad Zaun111,92546.49
Socialist WorkersRebecca Williamson6,2582.60
Write-ins4260.18
Total votes240,756100.00
Democratichold

District 4

[edit]
See also:Iowa's 4th congressional district

Campaign

[edit]

Though Republican CongressmanTom Latham represents a centrist district, he has never had much trouble winning re-election since he was first elected in1994. This year, Congressman Latham faced the Democratic nominee, Bill Maske, a school superintendent, and independent candidate Dan Lensing. Latham was never in peril of losing his seat and managed to crush Maske and Lensing to win a ninth term in Congress.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Iowa's 4th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTom Latham (inc.)152,58865.62
DemocraticBill Maske74,30031.95
IndependentDan Lensing5,4992.36
Write-ins1320.07
Total votes232,519100.00
Republicanhold

District 5

[edit]
See also:Iowa's 5th congressional district

Campaign

[edit]

CongressmanSteve King, a Republican, represents the most conservative district in Iowa, which is rooted in the staunchly conservative areas of western Iowa. King is an outspoken conservative seeking his fifth term in Congress, and he faced Democrat Matthew Campbell in the general election. Though Democrats had high hopes for Campbell's campaign, he was ultimately not able to beat back the conservative tendencies of the district and lost to King in a landslide.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Iowa's 5th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSteve King (inc.)128,36365.75
DemocraticMatthew Campbell63,16032.35
IndependentMartin James Monroe3,6221.86
Write-ins940.05
Total votes195,239100.00
Republicanhold

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives".
  2. ^Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011)."Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010".Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. RetrievedNovember 12, 2019.
  3. ^Voter/Consumer Research
  4. ^abcde"The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races".The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived fromthe original on November 4, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  5. ^abcdeRothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010)."House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived fromthe original on November 1, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  6. ^abcdeCrystal Ball, as of November 1, 2010[update]
  7. ^abcdeRealClearPolitics, as of November 1, 2010[update]
  8. ^abcde"2010 House Ratings Chart".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  9. ^abcdefghij"House Race Ratings".nytimes.com.The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on November 7, 2010. RetrievedOctober 9, 2023.
  10. ^Tarrance GroupArchived 2010-11-05 at theWayback Machine
  11. ^Tarrance GroupArchived 2010-11-05 at theWayback Machine
  12. ^Voter/Consumer Research
  13. ^Susquehanna Polling and Research
  14. ^The Hill/ANGA
  15. ^Anzalone Liszt Research
  16. ^Bennett, Petts and Normington
  17. ^Voter/Consumer Research
  18. ^American Action Forum
  19. ^Victory Enterprises
  20. ^Victory Enterprises

External links

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