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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas
← 2008November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02)2012 →
All 4 Arkansas seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Last election13
Seats won31
Seat changeIncrease 2Decrease 2
Popular vote435,422317,975
Percentage56.25%41.08%
SwingIncrease 28.91%Decrease 11.70%
District results
County results

Republican

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Democratic

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Elections in Arkansas
Seal of Arkansas
Presidential elections
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Democratic
2000
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2012
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Republican
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U.S. House of Representatives elections

The2010 congressional elections in Arkansas were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would representArkansas in theUnited States House of Representatives. Arkansas has four seats in the House, apportioned according to the2000 United States census. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected served in the112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013. None of Arkansas's four representatives faced major party opposition in 2008. As of 2024[update], this was the last election in which a Democrat won a congressional district in Arkansas or managed 40% or more of the House popular vote in the state.

Overview

[edit]

The table below shows the total number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost by each political party in the election for the United States House of Representatives in Arkansas.

United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas, 2010[1]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/–
Republican435,42256.2%3+2
Democratic317,97541.1%1-2
Green16,0482.1%0-
Others4,6800.6%0-
Totals774,125100%4—

By district

[edit]

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas by district:[2]

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 193,22451.78%78,26743.48%8,5254.74%180,016100%Republican Gain
District 2122,09157.90%80,68738.27%8,0743.83%210,852100%Republican Gain
District 3148,58172.44%56,54227.56%00.00%205,123100%Republican Hold
District 471,52640.15%102,47957.53%4,1292.32%178,134100%Democratic Hold
Total435,42256.24%317,97541.08%20,7282.68%774,125100%

District 1

[edit]
2010 Arkansas's 1st congressional district election
← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeRick CrawfordChad Causey
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote93,22478,267
Percentage51.8%43.5%
Results by county
Crawford:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Causey:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
U.S. Representative before election

Marion Berry
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Rick Crawford
Republican

Arkansas's 1st district
See also:Arkansas's 1st congressional district

This was an open seat, as Democratic incumbentMarion Berry retired.

Berry had always been reelected in this district by a wide margin since his first reelection campaign in 1998, and was unopposed in 2008. The district was very Republican (giving only 38% to Obama) on a national level despite a long history of electing Democrats to local and state level offices.

Democrat

[edit]
  • Chad Causey, attorney and chief of staff for Marion Berry

Republican

[edit]

Green

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDates AdministeredRick
Crawford (R)		Chad
Causey (D)		Ken
Adler (G)		Undecided
Anzalone Liszt Research[3]September 13–16, 201044%46%--
Talk Business Poll[4]August 17, 201048%32%4%16%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[6]Tilt R(flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
RCP[8]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[9]TossupOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[10]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[10]Likely R(flip)November 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
U.S. Congress District 01 election[11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRick Crawford93,22451.79
DemocraticChad Causey78,26743.48
GreenKen Adler8,3204.62
Write-ins2050.11
Total votes180,016100
Republicangain fromDemocratic

District 2

[edit]
2010 Arkansas's 2nd congressional district election
← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeTim GriffinJoyce Elliott
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote122,09180,687
Percentage57.9%38.3%
Results by county
Griffin:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Elliott:     40–50%
U.S. Representative before election

Vic Snyder
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Tim Griffin
Republican

Arkansas's 2nd district
See also:Arkansas's 2nd congressional district

This district was represented by seven term DemocratVic Snyder who was unchallenged in 2008 and received 70% of the vote. Snyder announced that he would retire in 2010, reportedly after polls showed him trailing RepublicanTim Griffin.[12]

Democrat

[edit]

Republican

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDates AdministeredTim
Griffin (R)		Joyce
Elliott (D)		Lance
Levi (I)		Lewis
Kennedy (G)		Undecided
Talk Business Poll[13]August 17, 201052%35%3%1%9%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Likely R(flip)November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[6]Likely R(flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Likely R(flip)November 1, 2010
RCP[8]Likely R(flip)November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[9]Likely R(flip)October 28, 2010
New York Times[10]Safe R(flip)November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[10]Safe R(flip)November 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
U.S. Congress District 02 election[14]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTim Griffin122,09157.90
DemocraticJoyce Elliott80,68738.27
IndependentLance Levi4,4212.10
GreenLewis Kennedy3,5991.71
Write-ins540.03
Total votes210,852100
Republicangain fromDemocratic

District 3

[edit]
2010 Arkansas's 3rd congressional district election
← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeSteve WomackDavid Whitaker
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote148,58156,542
Percentage72.4%27.6%
Results by county
Womack:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
U.S. Representative before election

John Boozman
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Steve Womack
Republican

Arkansas's 3rd district
See also:Arkansas's 3rd congressional district

This district was represented by RepublicanJohn Boozman. Boozman has formally announced his 2010 plans for the U.S. Senate, againstBlanche Lincoln.[15] The district (comprising the northwest part of the state) has been held by the GOP since 1966.

Democrat

[edit]

Republican

[edit]

Independent

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDates AdministeredSteve
Womack (R)		David
Whitaker (D)		Undecided
Talk Business Poll[17]August 25, 201055%31%14%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[6]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[8]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[9]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[10]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[10]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
U.S. Congress District 03 election[11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSteve Womack148,58172.44
DemocraticDavid Whitaker56,54227.56
Total votes205,123100
Republicanhold

District 4

[edit]
2010 Arkansas's 4th congressional district election
← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeMike RossBeth Anne Rankin
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote102,74971,526
Percentage59.5%40.2%
Results by county
Ross:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Rankin:     40–50%     50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Mike Ross
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Mike Ross
Democratic

Arkansas's 4th district
See also:Arkansas's 4th congressional district

This district was represented by DemocratMike Ross. Ross ran for re-election.

Democrat

[edit]

Republican

[edit]

Green Party

[edit]
  • Josh Drake

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDates AdministeredMike
Ross (D)		Beth Anne
Rankin (R)		Joshua
Drake (G)		Undecided
Talk Business Poll[18]August 25–26, 201049%31%4%16%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[6]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[8]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[9]Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[10]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[10]Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
U.S. Congress District 04 election[19]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMike Ross (incumbent)102,47957.53
RepublicanBeth Anne Rankin71,52640.15
GreenJosh Drake4,1292.32
Total votes178,134100
Democratichold

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"New York Times Election Results 2010".The New York Times.
  2. ^Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011)."Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010".Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. RetrievedNovember 12, 2019.
  3. ^Anzalone Liszt Research
  4. ^Talk Business Poll
  5. ^abcd"The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races".The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived fromthe original on November 4, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  6. ^abcdRothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010)."House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived fromthe original on November 1, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  7. ^abcdCrystal Ball, as of November 1, 2010[update]
  8. ^abcdRealClearPolitics, as of November 1, 2010[update]
  9. ^abcd"2010 House Ratings Chart".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  10. ^abcdefgh"House Race Ratings".nytimes.com.The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on November 7, 2010. RetrievedOctober 9, 2023.
  11. ^abArkansas Secretary of State
  12. ^Kraushaar, Josh (January 15, 2010)."Vic Snyder retiring".Politico.
  13. ^Talk Business Poll
  14. ^Arkansas Secretary of State
  15. ^Stovall, Zack (29 March 2009)."Republican Boozman on the outside looking in".Arkansas News Bureau. Archived fromthe original on 24 May 2011. Retrieved30 November 2010.
  16. ^"Home". Jerryforcongress.com. Archived from the original on February 7, 2011. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  17. ^Talk Business Poll
  18. ^Talk Business Poll
  19. ^Arkansas Secretary of State

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