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2010 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota

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2010 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota

← 2008November 2, 20102012 →
 
NomineeKristi NoemStephanie Herseth SandlinB. Thomas Marking
PartyRepublicanDemocraticIndependent
Popular vote153,703146,58919,134
Percentage48.12%45.89%5.99%

County results
Noem:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Herseth Sandlin:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
     70–80%     >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Stephanie Herseth Sandlin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Kristi Noem
Republican

This article is part of
a series about
Kristi Noem

U.S. Representative from South Dakota

Governor of South Dakota

U.S. Secretary of Homeland Security
Elections in South Dakota
Mayoral elections
Mayoral elections

The2010 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota took place on Tuesday, November 2, 2010. Voters selected a representative for their singleat-large district, who run on a statewide ballot. On June 8, 2010, the Republicans nominatedKristi Noem, Assistant Majority Leader of theSouth Dakota House of Representatives and the Democrats nominated the incumbentStephanie Herseth Sandlin. B. Thomas Marking ran as anIndependent candidate. In the general election, Noem defeated Herseth Sandlin, winning 48.1 percent of the vote to 45.9 percent for Herseth Sandlin.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

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Nominee

[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Lost in primary

[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Declined
[edit]
  • Shantel Krebs, member of the South Dakota House of Representatives (2015-2019)[7]

Primary results

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2010 Republican primary election – At Large Congressional District of South Dakota[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanKristi Noem34,52742.1
RepublicanChris Nelson28,38034.6
RepublicanBlake Curd19,13423.3
Total votes82,041100.0

Campaign

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Issues

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During the general election campaign, Republicans criticized Herseth Sandlin's voting record. They also criticized her lobbyist husband's list of clients, noting that the companies had interests in legislation that would come before Congress.[9] Noem pointed out that theNational Association of Broadcasters paid Herseth Sandlin's husband,Max Sandlin, a lobbyist and former Congressman, $320,000 during the years 2008 and 2009 to lobby on their behalf, including a bill co-sponsored by Herseth Sandlin called the Local Radio Freedom Act.[9][10] Herseth Sandlin responded that Noem's example was "laughable".[10] TheRapid City Journal editorial board stated that Herseth Sandlin should not be laughing at a legitimate concern.[11]Roll Call called the Republican effort an attempt "to stoke anti-Beltway emotions".[9] Herseth Sandlin's campaign responded that she did not allow family members to lobby her or her staff.[9] According to a Washington attorney, Herseth Sandlin's policy seemed compliant with House ethics rules that had been tightened in 2007, though Republicans charged Herseth Sandlin was violating the spirit of the conflict interest rules.[9] "The Sunlight Foundation,Public Citizen and other watchdog groups are highly critical of Herseth Sandlin and other Members whose relatives work Congressional corridors", according toRoll Call.[9] The groups have said the House ethics rules should be comparable to the Senate's rules and should ban all lobbying "under the Dome" by relatives of Members.[9]

Polling

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Poll sourceDate(s) administeredStephanie
Herseth
Sandlin (D)
Kristi
Noem (R)
Rasmussen Reports[12]February 23, 201049%34%
Rasmussen Reports[13]March 25, 201046%35%
Rasmussen Reports[14]April 26, 201050%35%
Rasmussen Reports[15]May 27, 201046%43%
Rasmussen Reports[16]June 14, 201041%53%
Rasmussen Reports[16][17]July 6, 201044%49%
Rasmussen Reports[18][19]August 3, 201042%51%
Rasmussen Reports[20]September 8, 201047%45%
Rasmussen Reports[21]October 4, 201044%47%
Rasmussen Reports[21]October 20, 201044%49%
Nielson Brothers Polling[22]October 20–22, 201042%40%

On October 24, 2010,Nate Silver ofThe New York Times'FiveThirtyEight.com blog predicted that there was a 69.9% chance that Noem would defeat Sandlin.[23]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[24]TossupNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[25]Tilt R(flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
RCP[27]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[28]TossupOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[29]TossupNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[29]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010

Fundraising

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The race saw each candidate spend over $1.75 million and was the first in Herseth Sandlin's career where she was outspent.[30]

Funding from political parties and interest groups totaled $2,651,621 for the race, with 78% benefiting Noem.[31] Groups supporting Herseth-Sandlin included theDCCC andCUNA. Noem was supported by theAmerican Action Network, theNRCC and theAmerican Future Fund.[31]

Results

[edit]
South Dakota's at-large congressional district election, 2010[32]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanKristi Noem153,70348.12%
DemocraticStephanie Herseth Sandlin (incumbent)146,58945.89%
IndependentB. Thomas Marking19,1345.99%
Total votes319,426100.00%
Republicangain fromDemocratic

By county

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Source[33]

Kristi Noem
Republican
Stephanie Herseth Sandlin
Democrat
B. Thomas Marking
Independent
MarginTotal
CountyVotes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes
Aurora59342.54%70750.72%946.74%-114-8.18%1,394
Beadle2,94142.62%3,54151.32%4186.06%-600-8.70%6,900
Bennett49947.16%50247.45%575.39%-3-0.28%1,058
Bon Homme1,26544.64%1,33447.07%2358.29%-69-2.43%2,834
Brookings4,14737.19%6,19555.56%8087.25%-2,048-18.37%11,150
Brown5,71239.46%8,10055.95%6654.59%-2,388-16.50%14,477
Brule97145.20%1,01747.35%1607.45%-46-2.14%2,148
Buffalo9120.09%35177.48%112.43%-260-57.40%453
Butte2,35763.43%1,12830.36%2316.22%1,22933.07%3,716
Campbell45245.22%30138.10%374.68%15119.11%790
Charles Mix1,71048.69%1,62046.13%1825.18%902.56%3,512
Clark77345.85%78746.68%1267.47%-14-0.83%1,686
Clay1,64235.01%2,80259.74%2465.25%-1,160-24.73%4,690
Codington4,98348.16%4,68445.27%6796.56%2992.89%10,346
Corson36241.51%45051.61%606.88%-88-10.09%872
Custer2,37859.91%1,27832.20%3137.89%1,10027.71%3,969
Davison3,46747.64%3,43747.22%3745.14%300.41%7,278
Day93733.97%1,66860.48%1535.55%-731-26.50%2,758
Deuel87742.86%99948.83%1708.31%-122-5.96%2,046
Dewey44228.05%1,07067.89%644.06%-628-39.85%1,576
Douglas1,08365.12%48929.40%915.47%59435.72%1,663
Edmunds83846.69%83446.46%1236.85%40.22%1,795
Fall River1,82458.54%1,05633.89%2367.57%76824.65%3,116
Faulk55350.87%46642.87%686.26%878.00%1,087
Grant1,59745.63%1,63846.80%2657.57%-41-1.17%3,500
Gregory1,12954.99%78538.24%1396.77%34416.76%2,053
Haakon71869.37%25424.54%636.09%46444.83%1,035
Hamlin1,46355.29%96336.39%2208.31%50018.90%2,646
Hand90649.24%80443.70%1307.07%1025.54%1,840
Hanson1,04860.09%59434.06%1025.85%45426.03%1,744
Harding49073.03%12718.93%548.05%36354.10%671
Hughes3,84949.95%3,43244.54%4255.52%4175.41%7,706
Hutchinson1,82256.92%1,17636.74%2036.34%64620.18%3,201
Hyde41257.22%27738.47%314.31%13518.75%720
Jackson53455.51%36938.36%596.13%16517.15%962
Jerauld46140.76%58151.37%897.87%-120-10.61%1,131
Jones37763.90%18030.51%335.59%19733.39%590
Kingsbury1,04442.18%1,22949.66%2028.16%-185-7.47%2,475
Lake2,41446.39%2,45847.23%3326.38%-44-0.85%5,204
Lawrence5,43153.26%4,01939.41%7477.33%1,41213.85%10,197
Lincoln9,44052.44%7,69942.77%8624.79%1,7419.67%18,001
Lyman67748.36%60443.14%1198.50%735.21%1,400
Marshall66035.64%1,10759.77%854.59%-447-24.14%1,852
McCook1,21648.41%1,12644.82%1706.77%903.58%2,512
McPherson69257.33%44737.03%685.63%24520.30%1,207
Meade5,74161.10%3,04932.45%6066.45%2,69228.65%9,396
Mellette32042.22%37349.21%658.58%-53-6.99%758
Miner45841.08%58152.11%766.82%-123-11.03%1,115
Minnehaha28,96844.50%32,43049.82%3,6985.68%-3,462-5.32%65,096
Moody1,11140.80%1,43357.18%2012.02%-503-16.39%2,745
Pennington21,48957.94%13,59736.66%2,0025.40%7,89221.28%37,088
Perkins85962.38%41830.36%1007.26%44132.03%1,377
Potter74556.35%51839.18%594.46%22717.17%1,322
Roberts1,50739.12%2,07753.92%2686.96%-570-14.80%3,852
Sanborn51444.16%57849.66%726.19%-64-5.50%1,164
Shannon1917.63%2,26090.29%522.08%-2,069-82.66%2,503
Spink1,20140.85%1,56453.20%1755.95%-363-12.35%2,940
Stanley72650.88%60142.12%1007.01%1258.76%1,427
Sully42757.24%27036.19%496.57%15721.05%746
Todd42121.03%1,50074.93%814.05%-1,079-53.90%2,002
Tripp1,39037.52%94959.07%1693.41%44117.58%2,508
Treasure1,87549.30%1,67644.07%2526.63%1995.23%3,803
Union3,35655.60%2,40839.89%2724.51%94815.71%6,036
Walworth1,22954.89%87138.90%1396.21%35815.99%2,239
Yankton3,65342.18%4,33650.07%6717.75%-683-7.89%8,660
Ziebach24535.61%41560.32%284.07%-170-24.71%688

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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See also

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References

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  1. ^ab"Statewide Candidate List"(PDF). sd.gov. September 30, 2010. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on November 16, 2010. RetrievedNovember 3, 2010.
  2. ^"Herseth Sandlin running for reelection - The Scorecard".Politico. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  3. ^"Curd for Congress".www.curdforcongress.com. Archived fromthe original on 15 January 2010. Retrieved4 December 2018.
  4. ^"Help Chris Make South Dakota Better!".Nelson For SD.
  5. ^"Yankton Press & Dakotan > Archives > News > S.D. Legislator Considers U.S. House". Yankton.net. September 4, 2009. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  6. ^"It's Official: Thad Wasson Ends Congressional Campaign, Endorses Curd". Dakotavoice.com. January 7, 2010. Archived fromthe original on August 19, 2010. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  7. ^"Yankton Press & Dakotan > Archives > News > Krebs Decides Against U.S. House Run". Yankton.net. November 12, 2009. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  8. ^"2010 South Dakota Official Primary Election Results".South Dakota Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 10, 2023.
  9. ^abcdefgMurray, Matthew (July 26, 2010)."GOP Assails Sandlin Family Ties".Roll Call. RetrievedMarch 7, 2011.Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin's family situation is becoming a major headache for the South Dakota Democrat in her tough re-election bid, with Republicans ramping up their criticisms of her voting record — and her lobbyist husband's extensive list of clients. In March 2007, the lawmaker married lobbyist and ex-Rep. Max Sandlin, a Texas Democrat who lost his seat to Rep. Louie Gohmert (R) in 2004.
  10. ^abMontgomery, David (September 27, 2010)."Noem targets Herseth Sandlin's lobbyist husband in heated House race".Rapid City Journal. RetrievedMarch 7, 2011.As Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin battles Republican challenger Kristi Noem in this fall's election, she has found herself under attack from Republicans for her husband's day job -– political lobbyist. Noem and her campaign are claiming Herseth Sandlin is being improperly influenced by lobbying contracts of Max Sandlin, a former Texas congressman who married the congresswoman in 2007.
  11. ^Rapid City Journal Editorial Board (September 30, 2010)."Sandlin's job no laughing matter".Rapid City Journal. RetrievedMarch 7, 2011.Herseth Sandlin's claim that transparency and disclosure are adequate doesn't cut it. She should not be laughing off this legitimate concern.
  12. ^"Toplines - 2010 South Dakota House of Representatives Election - February 23, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports®".www.rasmussenreports.com.
  13. ^"Toplines - 2010 South Dakota House of Representatives Election - March 25, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports®".www.rasmussenreports.com.
  14. ^"Toplines - 2010 South Dakota House of Representatives Election - April 21, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports®".www.rasmussenreports.com.
  15. ^"Toplines - South Dakota House of Representatives Election - May 27, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports®".www.rasmussenreports.com.
  16. ^ab"Toplines - South Dakota House of Representatives Election - June 10, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports®".www.rasmussenreports.com.
  17. ^Woster, Kevin.Poll: Herseth Sandlin gains back ground, but Noem still leads in House race,Rapid City Journal, July 9, 2010.
  18. ^"Rasmussen Reports".[permanent dead link]
  19. ^Rasmussen, Scott (August 6, 2010)."Election 2010: South Dakota House of Representatives".Rasmussen Reports. RetrievedAugust 7, 2010.Republican Kristi Noem again passes the 50% mark of support this month against incumbent Democrat Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin in the race for South Dakota's only House seat.
  20. ^"Election 2010: South Dakota House of Representatives".www.rasmussenreports.com.
  21. ^ab"Election 2010: South Dakota House of Representatives".www.rasmussenreports.com.
  22. ^"Nielson Brothers Polling". Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010.
  23. ^Silver, Nate (October 20, 2010)."FiveThirtyEight Forecasts South Dakota At Large District".The New York Times. RetrievedOctober 24, 2010.
  24. ^"The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races".The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived fromthe original on November 4, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  25. ^Rothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010)."House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived fromthe original on November 1, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  26. ^Crystal Ball, as of November 1, 2010[update]
  27. ^RealClearPolitics, as of November 1, 2010[update]
  28. ^"2010 House Ratings Chart".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  29. ^ab"House Race Ratings".nytimes.com.The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on November 7, 2010. RetrievedOctober 9, 2023.
  30. ^Montgomery, David (October 22, 2010)."Noem cruises past Herseth Sandlin in campaign funding in U.S. House race".Rapid City Journal.
  31. ^ab"Campaign cash: South Dakota's 1st congressional district".The Washington Post. RetrievedNovember 9, 2010.
  32. ^"2010 South Dakota Official General Election Results: Statewide Candidate Races - November 2, 2010". South Dakota Secretary of State. RetrievedNovember 16, 2024.
  33. ^"2010 South Dakota Official General Election Results: Statewide Candidates by County - November 2, 2010".South Dakota Secretary of State. RetrievedNovember 16, 2024.

External links

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