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2010 New Mexico gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

See also:2010 United States gubernatorial elections

2010 New Mexico gubernatorial election

← 2006November 2, 20102014 →
 
NomineeSusana MartinezDiane Denish
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Running mateJohn SanchezBrian Colón
Popular vote321,219280,614
Percentage53.29%46.55%

County results
Precinct results
Martínez:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Denish:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%     No data

Governor before election

Bill Richardson
Democratic

ElectedGovernor

Susana Martínez
Republican

Elections in New Mexico

The2010 New Mexico gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010.DemocraticgovernorBill Richardson wasterm limited and could not seek a third consecutive term.

On June 1, 2010, the Republicans nominatedSusana Martínez, the district attorney forDoña Ana County, New Mexico, and the Democrats nominatedLieutenant GovernorDiane Denish.

While it was initially thought that Richardson would resign early to becomeSecretary of Commerce in theObama administration, Richardson withdrew from the position due to allegations of corruption that were later cleared and he remained governor until the conclusion of his term.[1]

Susana Martínez won the election on November 2, 2010, and became New Mexico'sfirst elected female governor, as well as the firstLatina governor of any state.

Primary election

[edit]

Democratic party

[edit]

The Democraticprimary election was held on June 1, 2010.[2]

Candidates

[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDiane Denish108,30299.07%
DemocraticBilly J. Driggs (write-in)1,0160.93%
Total votes109,318100.00%

Republican party

[edit]

The Republican primary was held on June 1, 2010.[2]Susana Martinez won the Republican nomination by getting over 50 percent of the vote in the primary. A pre-primary convention was held on March 13 and Martinez received 47 percent of the pre-primary Republican vote.[7]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Convention

[edit]

A pre-primary nominating convention was held on March 13, 2010. Susana Martinez was victorious, winning the support of 46.65 percent of delegates, while Allen Weh received 26.32%, Janice Arnold-Jones received 13.16%, Doug Turner won 9.43%, and Pete Domenici Jr. won 4.61%. Candidates who receive less than 20% of the convention vote are required to collect twice as many signatures as those who received 20% in order to appear on the primary ballot. Nonetheless, Arnold-Jones, Turner and Domenici all signaled their intention to remain in the race.[7]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Janice Arnold-JonesPete Domenici Jr.Susana MartínezDoug TurnerAllen WehUndecided
SurveyUSA[14]May 23–25, 20103%8%43%8%33%5%
New Mexico State University[15]February 9–13, 20102.5%29.3%11.5%6.8%7.4%42.6%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
Martínez
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   <40%
Weh
  •   <40%
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results[6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSusana Martínez62,00650.71%
RepublicanAllen Weh33,72727.58%
RepublicanDoug Turner14,16611.59%
RepublicanPete Domenici, Jr.8,6307.06%
RepublicanJanice Arnold-Jones3,7403.06%
Total votes122,269100.00%

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[16]TossupOctober 14, 2010
Rothenberg[17]Lean R(flip)October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[18]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19]Likely R(flip)October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[20]Likely DOctober 28, 2010

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Diane
Denish (D)
Susana
Martínez (R)
OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports[21]October 24, 201042%52%
SurveyUSA[22]October 15, 201042%54%
Rasmussen Reports[21]October 10, 201043%52%
Rasmussen Reports[23]September 29, 201041%51%
Albuquerque Journal[24]September 27–30, 201041%47%
Public Policy Polling[25]September 25–26, 201042%50%
Public Opinion Strategies[26]September 11–13, 201040%50%
Albuquerque Journal[27]August 23–27, 201039%45%
Rasmussen Reports[28]August 24, 201043%48%
Magellan Strategies[29]June 21, 201043%44%
Rasmussen Reports[30]June 3, 201042%44%
Rasmussen Reports[21]May 25, 201043%42%
SurveyUSA[14]May 23–25, 201043%49%
Rasmussen Reports[31]March 24, 201051%32%
Public Policy Polling[32]February 18–20, 201046%32%
Hypothetical polling

With Arnold-Jones

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Diane
Denish (D)
Janice
Arnold-Jones (R)
OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports[21]May 25, 201045%31%
SurveyUSA[14]May 23–25, 201049%35%
Rasmussen Reports[31]March 24, 201052%30%
Public Policy Polling[32]February 18–20, 201047%33%

With Domenici Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Diane
Denish (D)
Pete
Domenici Jr. (R)
OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports[21]May 25, 201047%30%
SurveyUSA[14]May 23–25, 201046%40%
Rasmussen Reports[31]March 24, 201052%35%
Public Policy Polling[32]February 18–20, 201045%40%

With Turner

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Diane
Denish (D)
Doug
Turner (R)
OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports[21]May 25, 201047%31%
SurveyUSA[14]May 23–25, 201050%36%
Rasmussen Reports[31]March 24, 201043%34%
Public Policy Polling[32]February 18–20, 201046%32%

With Weh

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Diane
Denish (D)
Allen
Weh (R)
OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports[21]May 25, 201045%39%
SurveyUSA[14]May 23–25, 201047%42%
Rasmussen Reports[31]March 24, 201045%35%
Public Policy Polling[32]February 18–20, 201048%30%

Results

[edit]
2010 New Mexico gubernatorial election[33]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanSusana Martinez321,21953.29%+22.10%
DemocraticDiane Denish280,61446.55%−22.27%
RepublicanKenneth A. Gomez (write-in)9940.16%
Majority40,6056.74%
Total votes602,827100.00%
Republicangain fromDemocraticSwing+44.37%

By county

[edit]

Martinez was the first Republican gubernatorial candidate to carryGuadalupe County sinceEdwin L. Mechem in1958.

CountySusana Martinez
Republican
Diane Denish
Democratic
Kenneth A. Gomez
Write-in
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Bernalillo102,71150.79%99,27849.10%2180.11%3,4331.70%202,207
Catron1,47277.60%42022.14%50.26%1,05255.46%1,897
Chaves11,27970.32%4,71529.40%460.29%6,56440.92%16,040
Cibola3,17648.52%3,34051.02%300.46%-164-2.51%6,546
Colfax2,91660.21%1,91339.50%140.29%1,00320.71%4,843
Curry7,23472.50%2,70027.06%440.44%4,53445.44%9,978
De Baca61968.93%27630.73%30.33%34338.20%898
Doña Ana24,62851.40%23,19048.40%940.20%1,4383.00%47,912
Eddy10,14469.22%4,49830.69%120.08%5,64638.53%14,654
Grant5,16548.76%5,40651.03%220.21%-241-2.28%10,593
Guadalupe1,10057.05%82842.95%00.00%27214.11%1,928
Harding33762.29%20437.71%00.00%13324.58%541
Hidalgo1,01458.18%72841.77%10.06%28616.41%1,743
Lea9,66174.18%3,34125.65%210.16%6,32048.53%13,023
Lincoln5,54473.50%1,99026.38%90.12%3,55447.12%7,543
Los Alamos4,72954.28%3,97245.59%110.13%7578.69%8,712
Luna3,58858.73%2,49840.89%230.38%1,09017.84%6,109
McKinley5,85034.69%10,96565.02%500.30%-5,115-30.33%16,865
Mora1,22046.39%1,41053.61%00.00%-190-7.22%2,630
Otero11,08569.70%4,79230.13%270.17%6,29339.57%15,904
Quay1,95565.10%1,03634.50%120.40%91930.60%3,003
Rio Arriba4,81840.47%7,06659.35%220.18%-2,248-18.88%11,906
Roosevelt3,16271.59%1,24428.16%110.25%1,91843.42%4,417
San Juan24,85769.59%10,77730.17%860.24%14,08039.42%35,720
San Miguel3,50838.31%5,64161.60%80.09%-2,133-23.29%9,157
Sandoval24,09756.50%18,47843.33%720.17%5,61913.18%42,647
Santa Fe17,44132.61%35,96367.24%820.15%-18,522-34.63%53,486
Sierra2,88765.78%1,49534.06%70.16%1,39231.72%4,389
Socorro3,31752.93%2,94246.94%80.13%3755.98%6,267
Taos3,49529.35%8,41570.65%00.00%-4,920-41.31%11,910
Torrance3,78867.35%1,82732.49%90.16%1,96134.87%5,624
Union1,07172.71%40027.16%20.14%67145.55%1,473
Valencia13,35159.97%8,86639.83%450.20%4,48520.15%22,262
Total321,21953.29%280,61446.55%9940.16%40,6056.74%602,827
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Richardson withdrawal leaves cabinet gap".NBC News. January 6, 2009. RetrievedJanuary 4, 2009.
  2. ^abRudin, Ken (January 25, 2010)."Your 2010 Election Calendar".National Public Radio. RetrievedFebruary 14, 2010.
  3. ^Jennings, Trip (November 5, 2009)."Denish, running for governor, steps into budgetary fray".The New Mexico Independent. RetrievedFebruary 14, 2010.
  4. ^"Kilmer pursues role of governor".POLITICO. RetrievedJune 12, 2025.
  5. ^"Kilmer says "probably not" running for governor - - POLITICO.com".www.politico.com. RetrievedJune 12, 2025.
  6. ^ab"Canvass of Returns of Primary Election Held on June 1, 2010"(PDF). New Mexico Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 29, 2024.
  7. ^abHaussamen, Heath (March 13, 2010)."Martinez takes impressive 47 percent of votes at GOP convention".The New Mexico Independent. RetrievedMarch 13, 2010.
  8. ^"New Mexico Gov Field at Two With More Likely".CQ Politics. August 1, 2009. Archived fromthe original on August 5, 2009. RetrievedFebruary 14, 2010.
  9. ^"Pete Domenici Jr. to run for governor".KRQE. January 16, 2010. Archived fromthe original on January 17, 2010. RetrievedFebruary 14, 2010.
  10. ^ab"Susana Martinez officially declares candidacy for NM governor".Las Cruces Sun-News. February 9, 2010. Archived fromthe original on October 1, 2011. RetrievedFebruary 14, 2010.
  11. ^"Pearce Switches Races".Political Wire. July 6, 2009. Archived fromthe original on July 9, 2009. RetrievedFebruary 14, 2010.
  12. ^"Wilson: I won't run for governor".KRQE. October 29, 2009. Archived fromthe original on June 11, 2011. RetrievedFebruary 14, 2010.
  13. ^Ornelas, Chris (July 17, 2009)."GOP gubernatorial candidate drops out".KOB. Archived fromthe original on February 21, 2012. RetrievedFebruary 14, 2010.
  14. ^abcdefSurveyUSA
  15. ^New Mexico State University
  16. ^"2010 Governors Race Ratings".Cook Political Report. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  17. ^"Governor Ratings".Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  18. ^"2010 Governor Races".RealClearPolitics. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  19. ^"THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  20. ^"Race Ratings Chart: Governor".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on October 5, 2010. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  21. ^abcdefgRasmussen Reports
  22. ^SurveyUSAArchived September 6, 2021, at theWayback Machine
  23. ^Rasmussen Reports
  24. ^Albuquerque Journal
  25. ^Public Policy Polling
  26. ^Public Opinion Strategies
  27. ^Albuquerque Journal
  28. ^Rasmussen Reports
  29. ^Magellan Strategies
  30. ^Rasmussen Reports
  31. ^abcdeRasmussen Reports
  32. ^abcdePublic Policy Polling
  33. ^"Canvass of Returns of General Election Held on November 2, 2010"(PDF). New Mexico Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 29, 2024.

External links

[edit]

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