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2010 Nevada gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

See also:2010 United States gubernatorial elections

2010 Nevada gubernatorial election

← 2006November 2, 20102014 →
 
NomineeBrian SandovalRory Reid
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote382,350298,170
Percentage53.36%41.61%

County results
Congressional district results[a]
Sandoval:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Reid:     50–60%

Governor before election

Jim Gibbons
Republican

ElectedGovernor

Brian Sandoval
Republican

Elections in Nevada
U.S. President
U.S. Senate
U.S. House

None of These Candidates

flagNevada portal

The2010 Nevada gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect thegovernor of Nevada, who would serve a four-year term to begin on January 3, 2011. Despite speculation that incumbentRepublican governorJim Gibbons would not run for a second term due to low approval ratings, he ran for re-election.[1][2][3] He struggled in the polls, and ultimately federal judge and formerattorney general of NevadaBrian Sandoval secured the nomination. Sandoval defeated DemocratRory Reid, son of then-current U.S. Senate Majority LeaderHarry Reid, whowon his fifth term in the Senate on the same ballot.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

A total of five Republican candidates filed with theSecretary of State of Nevada and qualified for the ballot.[4]

Declared

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jim
Gibbons
Mike
Montandon
Brian
Sandoval
Undecided
Research 2000[8]June 2, 201027%6%48%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[9]May 10–11, 201027%6%45%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[10]April 10, 201025%7%39%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[11]February 22–24, 201030%9%37%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[12]January 10, 201023%7%39%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[13]December 200918%6%39%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[14]October 8, 200920%4%41%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[15]August 21, 200917%3%33%

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results by county:
Sandoval
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
Gibbons
  •   <40%
Republican primary results[16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBrian Sandoval97,20155.53%
RepublicanJim Gibbons (incumbent)47,61627.20%
RepublicanMike Montandon22,00312.57%
None of These Candidates4,4002.51%
RepublicanTony Atwood2,4401.39%
RepublicanStan Lusak1,3800.79%
Total votes175,040100.00%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Two Democratic candidates filed with theSecretary of State of Nevada and qualified for the ballot.[4]

Declared

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Barbara
Buckley
Oscar
Goodman
Rory
Reid
Undecided
Mason Dixon/LVJR[15]August 21, 200925%34%13%
43%22%

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results by county:
Reid
  •   Reid—70–80%
  •   Reid—60–70%
  •   Reid—50–60%
  •   Reid—40–50%
  •   Reid—<40%
Conquest
  •   Conquest—<40%
Democratic primary results[16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticRory Reid80,16270.08%
None of These Candidates17,45415.26%
DemocraticFrederick Conquest16,77514.66%
Total votes114,391100.00%

Other candidates

[edit]

Independents

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Eugene "Gino" DiSimone[4]
  • Aaron Y. Honig[4]

Declined

[edit]

Green

[edit]
  • David Scott Curtis[4]

Independent American

[edit]
  • Floyd Fitzgibbons[4]

Libertarian

[edit]
  • Arthur Forest Lampitt[4]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[20]Likely ROctober 14, 2010
Rothenberg[21]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[22]Likely RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23]Likely ROctober 28, 2010
CQ Politics[24]TossupOctober 28, 2010

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Brian
Sandoval (R)
Rory
Reid (D)
OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports[25]October 5, 201059%41%
Rasmussen Reports[25]September 28, 201049%40%
Public Opinion Strategies[26]September 21–23, 201045%39%
Rasmussen Reports[25]September 21, 201049%35%
CNN/Time Magazine[27]September 10–14, 201058%31%
Reuters/Ipsos[28]September 10–12, 201060%31%
Mason-Dixon[29]September 9, 201052%36%
Rasmussen Reports[25]September 1, 2010750± 4%58%33%2%7%
Mason-Dixon[30]August 23–25, 201053%31%
Rasmussen Reports[31]August 16, 2010750± 4%52%36%3%8%
Mason-Dixon[32]August 11, 201052%36%
Rasmussen Reports[33]July 27, 2010750± 4%50%40%6%4%
Public Policy Polling[34]July 16–18, 201052%38%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[35]July 12–14, 201047%36%
Rasmussen Reports[36]July 12, 2010750± 4%57%36%3%4%
Rasmussen Reports[37]June 22, 2010500± 4.5%55%33%8%4%
Rasmussen Reports[38]June 9, 2010500± 4.5%54%31%3%13%
Research 2000[8]June 2, 201051%41%
Rasmussen Reports[39]April 27, 2010500± 4.5%53%35%12%3%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[11]April 10, 201050%35%
Rasmussen Reports[33]March 31, 2010500± 4.5%55%34%6%4%
Rasmussen Reports[33]March 3, 2010500± 4.5%53%35%7%5%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[11]February 22–24, 201051%29%
Rasmussen Reports[40]February 3, 2010500± 4.5%45%33%11%12%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[41]January 10, 201053%31%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[13]December 4, 200949%35%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[14]October 8, 200950%33%
Hypothetical polling

With Gibbons

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jim
Gibbons (R)
Rory
Reid (D)
OtherUndecided
Research 2000[8]June 2, 201031%52%
Rasmussen Reports[39]April 27, 2010500± 4.5%37%47%12%3%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[11]April 10, 201040%42%
Rasmussen Reports[33]March 31, 2010500± 4.5%45%43%8%4%
Rasmussen Reports[33]March 3, 2010500± 4.5%36%44%15%4%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[11]February 22–24, 201038%42%
Rasmussen Reports[40]February 3, 2010500± 4.5%35%44%13%8%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[42]December 200934%48%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[14]October 8, 200937%49%
Mason Dixon/LVJR[43]August 21, 200935%47%

With Montandon

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Montandon (R)
Rory
Reid (D)
OtherUndecided
Research 2000[8]June 2, 201040%43%
Rasmussen Reports[39]April 27, 2010500± 4.5%45%39%9%8%
Rasmussen Reports[39]March 31, 2010500± 4.5%45%38%9%8%
Rasmussen Reports[39]March 3, 2010500± 4.5%42%37%13%8%
Rasmussen Reports[40]February 3, 2010500± 4.5%36%40%14%10%

Results

[edit]
Nevada gubernatorial election, 2010[44]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanBrian Sandoval382,35053.36%+5.44%
DemocraticRory Reid298,17141.61%−2.31%
None of These Candidates12,2311.71%−1.85%
IndependentEugene DiSimone6,4030.89%+0.89%
Independent AmericanFloyd Fitzgibbons5,0490.70%−2.73%
LibertarianArthur Forest Lampitt, Jr.4,6720.65%+0.65%
GreenDavid Scott Curtis4,4370.62%−0.54%
IndependentAaron Y. Honig3,2160.45%+0.45%
Majority84,17911.75%
Total votes716,529100.00%
RepublicanholdSwing+7.74%

By county

[edit]
CountyBrian Sandoval
Republican
Rory Reid
Democratic
None of
These Candidates
Eugene DiSimone
Independent
Floyd Fitzgibbons
Independent American
Arthur Forest Lampitt Jr.
Libertarian
David Scott Curtis
Green
Aaron Y. Honig
Independent
MarginTotal votes cast[44]
#%#%#%#%#%#%#%#%#%
Carson City11,51259.06%6,67634.25%5112.62%2671.37%2081.07%1150.59%1320.68%710.36%4,83624.81%19,492
Churchill6,58674.19%1,69719.12%1671.88%1171.32%1451.63%600.68%570.64%480.54%4,88955.07%8,877
Clark224,75148.61%217,11346.96%7,0081.52%3,5980.78%2,3470.51%2,8370.61%2,5470.55%2,1710.47%7,6381.65%462,372
Douglas15,00169.10%5,34524.62%3961.82%3281.51%2311.06%1390.64%1920.88%760.35%9,65644.48%21,708
Elko9,48973.97%2,19417.10%3212.50%1591.24%3943.07%1020.80%990.77%710.55%7,29556.86%12,829
Esmeralda28972.61%4812.06%205.03%61.51%112.76%123.02%71.76%51.26%24160.55%398
Eureka59778.97%7610.05%314.10%91.19%202.65%121.59%101.32%10.13%52168.92%756
Humboldt3,56471.61%99419.97%1202.41%841.69%1162.33%501.00%230.46%260.52%2,57051.64%4,977
Lander1,44976.42%27714.61%613.22%281.48%331.74%160.84%201.05%120.63%1,17261.81%1,896
Lincoln1,38170.93%38019.52%723.70%170.87%482.47%261.34%120.62%110.56%1,00151.41%1,947
Lyon11,93768.46%4,33124.84%3401.95%2261.30%2661.53%1130.65%1390.80%850.49%7,60643.62%17,437
Mineral1,13659.88%55629.31%894.69%361.90%432.27%100.53%180.95%90.47%58030.57%1,897
Nye8,82961.49%4,22429.42%2892.01%2211.54%3492.43%2061.43%1441.00%970.68%4,60532.07%14,359
Pershing1,14065.86%39622.88%854.91%321.85%422.43%100.58%110.64%150.87%74442.98%1,731
Storey1,35563.70%61528.91%532.49%351.65%261.22%140.66%221.03%70.33%74034.79%2,127
Washoe81,07357.72%52,73037.54%2,5551.82%1,1560.82%6850.49%8110.58%9700.69%4880.35%28,34320.18%140,468
White Pine2,26169.40%51915.93%1133.47%842.58%852.61%1394.27%341.04%230.71%1,74253.47%3,258
Totals382,35053.36%298,17141.61%12,2311.71%6,4030.89%5,0490.70%4,6720.65%4,4370.62%3,2160.45%84,17911.75%716,529
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Only top two candidates

References

[edit]
  1. ^Gentry, Dana (June 4, 2008)."Consultants: No second term for Gibbons".Las Vegas Sun. RetrievedJanuary 1, 2008.
  2. ^Vogel, Ed (June 13, 2008)."GOVERNING NEVADA: Disregard divorce, poll says".Las Vegas Review-Journal. RetrievedJanuary 1, 2009.
  3. ^Schwartz, David McGrath (July 19, 2009)."With scant crew, Gibbons reelection campaign sets sail".Las Vegas Sun. RetrievedMay 5, 2010.
  4. ^abcdefghijklmn"2010 Filed Candidates".Secretary of State of Nevada. RetrievedMay 6, 2010.
  5. ^McGrath Schwartz, David (September 21, 2008)."Rory Reid lays ground for run for governor".Las Vegas Sun. RetrievedJanuary 1, 2009.
  6. ^"RUNNING FOR GOVERNOR: Montandon takes aim at Gibbons - News - ReviewJournal.com". Lvrj.com. July 1, 2009. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  7. ^Damon, Anjeanette (September 15, 2009)."Sandoval: I am running for governor".Reno Gazette-Journal. Archived fromthe original on February 1, 2013. RetrievedSeptember 16, 2009.
  8. ^abcdResearch 2000
  9. ^Mason Dixon/LVJR
  10. ^Mason Dixon/LVJR
  11. ^abcdeMason Dixon/LVJR
  12. ^Mason Dixon/LVJR
  13. ^abMason Dixon/LVJR
  14. ^abcMason Dixon/LVJR
  15. ^abMason Dixon/LVJR
  16. ^ab"2010 Official Statewide Primary Election Results". Nevada Secretary of State. June 8, 2010. RetrievedJuly 11, 2024.
  17. ^"Harry Reid's son enters Nevada gubernatorial race". CNN. October 14, 2009. Archived fromthe original on October 17, 2009. RetrievedOctober 15, 2009.
  18. ^"Buckley passes on a run for Nevada governor - News - ReviewJournal.com". Lvrj.com. September 12, 2009. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  19. ^"Top of the Ticket".Los Angeles Times. January 25, 2010. RetrievedMay 20, 2010.
  20. ^"2010 Governors Race Ratings".Cook Political Report. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  21. ^"Governor Ratings".Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  22. ^"2010 Governor Races".RealClearPolitics. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  23. ^"THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  24. ^"Race Ratings Chart: Governor".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on October 5, 2010. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  25. ^abcdRasmussen Reports
  26. ^Public Opinion Strategies
  27. ^CNN/Time Magazine
  28. ^Reuters/Ipsos
  29. ^Mason-Dixon
  30. ^Mason-Dixon
  31. ^Rasmussen Reports
  32. ^Mason-Dixon
  33. ^abcdeRasmussen Reports
  34. ^Public Policy Polling
  35. ^Mason Dixon/LVJR
  36. ^Rasmussen Reports
  37. ^Rasmussen Reports
  38. ^Rasmussen Reports
  39. ^abcdeRasmussen Reports
  40. ^abcRasmussen Reports
  41. ^Mason Dixon/LVJR
  42. ^Mason Dixon/LVJR
  43. ^Mason Dixon/LVJR
  44. ^ab"2010 Official Statewide General Election Results". Nevada Secretary of State. November 2, 2010. RetrievedJuly 11, 2024.

External links

[edit]

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