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2008 United States presidential election in West Virginia

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Main article:2008 United States presidential election
2008 United States presidential election in West Virginia

← 2004November 4, 20082012 →
Turnout57.92%[1]
 
NomineeJohn McCainBarack Obama
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateArizonaIllinois
Running mateSarah PalinJoe Biden
Electoral vote50
Popular vote397,466303,857
Percentage55.60%42.51%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

McCain

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Obama

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Tie/No Data

  
  


President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elections in West Virginia
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2000
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections

The2008 United States presidential election in West Virginia took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose 5 representatives, or electors to theElectoral College, who voted forpresident andvice president.

West Virginia was won by Republican nomineeJohn McCain by a 13.1% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise considered as a safered state. Despite its past voting record of heavily favoring Democratic presidential nominees, the state had since 2000 been trending more Republican in presidential elections. Obama became the first Democratic presidential nominee sinceWoodrow Wilson in1916 to win the nationwide presidential election without carrying West Virginia, and in that election Wilson had managed to win a single electoral vote, making Obama the first Democrat to win without carrying any electoral votes from the state. Obama also became the first Democrat since1928 to loseLogan County, a strongly unionized coal-dependent county that was the only county in West Virginia to vote forGeorge McGovern in his landslide1972 loss.

In contrast to West Virginia,Virginia voted for Obama, marking the first time Virginia voted for the Democratic nominee since1964. Starting in 2008, West Virginia has always voted for the Republican nominee and Virginia has always voted for the Democratic nominee.[2]

As of the2024 presidential election, this is the last time that the Democratic presidential nominee won any county in West Virginia, includingBoone,Braxton,Jefferson,Marion,McDowell,Monongalia andWebster. This is also the last presidential election in which the Democratic nominee received more than 40% of the vote in West Virginia. West Virginia was one of five states where Obama underperformed Kerry, the others beingArkansas,Louisiana,Oklahoma, andTennessee.

Primaries

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

SourceRanking
D.C. Political Report[3]Likely R
Cook Political Report[4]Lean R
The Takeaway[5]Lean R
Electoral-vote.com[6]Lean R
Washington Post[7]Lean R
Politico[8]Solid R
RealClearPolitics[9]Lean R
FiveThirtyEight[7]Lean R
CQ Politics[10]Lean R
The New York Times[11]Lean R
CNN[12]Lean R
NPR[7]Lean R
MSNBC[7]Lean R
Fox News[13]Likely R
Associated Press[14]Likely R
Rasmussen Reports[15]Safe R

Polling

[edit]
Main article:Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008: West Virginia

McCain lead in 16 of 17 pre-election polls. The final three polls showed McCain leading by an average of 53% to 41%.[16]

Fundraising

[edit]

John McCain raised a total of $291,184 in the state. Barack Obama raised $713,231.

Advertising and visits

[edit]

Obama and his interest groups spent $1,437,178. McCain and his interest groups spent $1,920,720.[17] Each ticket visited the state once.[18]

Analysis

[edit]

More than any other state, West Virginia highlighted Obama's trouble inAppalachian America. It swung heavily to the Democrats during the days ofFranklin D. Roosevelt and remained reliably Democratic for most of the next 68 years. During that time, it only voted Republican three times, all in national Republican landslides--1956,1972 and1984. It also voted for Democrats (such asJimmy Carter andMichael Dukakis) who went on to big national defeats. This was largely due to its blue-collar, heavily unionized workers, especially coal miners, who favored Democratic economic policy.

Starting with the campaign ofAl Gore, however, the state's voters became more concerned with the national Democratic Party's perceived hostility toward the coal industry, which is a core part of the West Virginia economy. As a result, the state has been trending Republican in national elections. In 2008, neither presidential nominee campaigned heavily in the state.

Election results

[edit]

On Election Day, McCain won West Virginia by 13.09 points while losing nationwide. McCain did well throughout the state, losing only a handful of counties. While his margins were best in the more conservative northern part of the state, he also improved significantly in Southern West Virginia. This coal-mining, union-heavy region was one of the most heavily Democratic places in the nation;Logan County, for example, cast 72% of its ballot for Bill Clinton.[19] In 2008, however, John McCain won the county by double digits, becoming the first Republican to win it sinceHerbert Hoover in 1928.

On the other hand, Barack Obama did make gains in the area betweenMaryland andVirginia, counties which are a part of theWashington Metropolitan Area. Obama also ran close in Central West Virginia (the counties around the capitalCharleston). Despite the recent Republican success nationally, Democrats still dominated at the state and local levels. After the 2008 election, Democrats held the governorship and every statewide office, two out of the state's three congressional districts in theU.S. House of Representatives, bothU.S. Senate seats and supermajorities in both chambers of the state legislature.[20]

Other elections

[edit]

During the same election, popular incumbent DemocraticGovernorJoe Manchin III was soundly reelected to a second term with 69.79% of the vote over Republican Russ Weeks, who took in 25.75%, while Jesse Johnson of the Mountain Party received 4.46%. Incumbent DemocraticU.S. SenatorJay Rockefeller IV was also soundly reelected with 63.71% of the vote over Republican Jay Wolfe, who took in 36.27%. At the state level, Democrats picked up three seats in theWest Virginia Senate, while Republicans picked up one seat in theWest Virginia House of Delegates.

Results

[edit]
2008 United States presidential election in West Virginia[21]
PartyCandidateRunning matePopular voteElectoral voteSwing
Count%Count%
RepublicanJohn McCain ofArizonaSarah Palin ofAlaska397,46655.60%5100.00%Decrease0.48%
DemocraticBarack Obama ofIllinoisJoe Biden ofDelaware303,85742.51%00.00%Decrease0.71%
IndependentRalph Nader ofConnecticutMatt Gonzalez ofCalifornia7,2191.01%00.00%Increase0.47%
ConstitutionChuck Baldwin ofFloridaDarrell Castle ofTennessee2,4650.34%00.00%Increase0.34%
MountainCynthia McKinney ofGeorgiaRosa Clemente ofNorth Carolina2,3550.33%00.00%Increase0.33%
Write-inVarious candidates1,7610.25%00.00%Increase0.24%
Total713,451100.00%5100.00%

By county

[edit]
CountyJohn McCain
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Barbour3,68559.13%2,41938.82%1282.06%1,26620.31%6,232
Berkeley20,84155.72%15,99442.76%5651.51%4,84712.96%37,400
Boone3,63243.39%4,52954.11%2092.50%-897-10.72%8,370
Braxton2,62948.55%2,70449.94%821.52%-75-1.39%5,415
Brooke4,96150.33%4,71747.85%1791.81%2442.48%9,857
Cabell18,79354.11%15,29244.03%6471.86%3,50110.08%34,732
Calhoun1,36656.24%99340.88%702.88%37315.36%2,429
Clay1,75553.75%1,42143.52%892.73%33410.23%3,265
Doddridge2,21873.49%73524.35%652.16%1,48349.14%3,018
Fayette7,65850.40%7,24247.66%2941.94%4162.74%15,194
Gilmer1,44557.32%1,00439.83%722.85%44117.49%2,521
Grant3,16675.06%99723.64%551.30%2,16951.42%4,218
Greenbrier7,56755.10%5,88142.83%2842.07%1,68612.27%13,732
Hampshire5,22262.56%2,98335.74%1421.70%2,23926.82%8,347
Hancock7,51856.87%5,50441.63%1981.50%2,01415.24%13,220
Hardy3,37662.44%1,90135.16%1302.40%1,47527.28%5,407
Harrison17,82455.56%13,58242.34%6722.10%4,24213.22%32,078
Jackson7,14858.42%4,86139.73%2271.85%2,28718.69%12,236
Jefferson10,60046.78%11,68751.58%3721.64%-1,087-4.80%22,659
Kanawha40,95249.41%40,59448.98%1,3411.61%3580.43%82,887
Lewis4,33565.60%2,10931.92%1642.48%2,22633.68%6,608
Lincoln3,63753.21%3,02944.32%1692.47%6088.89%6,835
Logan7,32654.17%5,87343.43%3252.40%1,45310.74%13,524
Marion11,50148.45%11,61848.94%6212.61%-117-0.49%23,740
Marshall7,75955.42%5,99642.83%2461.75%1,76312.59%14,001
Mason5,85355.20%4,48442.29%2662.51%1,36912.91%10,603
McDowell2,88244.82%3,43053.34%1181.84%-548-8.52%6,430
Mercer13,24662.81%7,45035.33%3931.86%5,79627.48%21,089
Mineral7,61665.96%3,75032.48%1811.56%3,86633.48%11,547
Mingo4,58755.01%3,58242.96%1692.03%1,00512.05%8,338
Monongalia15,77546.99%17,06050.82%7342.19%-1,285-3.83%33,569
Monroe3,39760.93%2,01436.13%1642.94%1,38324.80%5,575
Morgan4,42860.86%2,72137.40%1271.74%1,70723.46%7,276
Nicholas4,80451.32%4,35746.54%2002.14%4474.78%9,361
Ohio10,69454.73%8,59343.98%2531.29%2,10110.75%19,540
Pendleton2,03559.94%1,31038.59%501.47%72521.35%3,395
Pleasants1,77259.56%1,14238.39%612.05%63021.17%2,975
Pocahontas2,01155.22%1,54842.50%832.28%46312.72%3,642
Preston7,32562.10%4,20535.65%2662.25%3,12026.45%11,796
Putnam15,16260.92%9,33437.51%3911.57%5,82823.41%24,887
Raleigh17,54862.10%10,23736.23%4741.67%7,31125.87%28,259
Randolph6,06055.94%4,53941.90%2342.16%1,52114.04%10,833
Ritchie2,78172.31%99825.95%671.74%1,78346.36%3,846
Roane2,94352.78%2,51145.03%1222.19%4327.75%5,576
Summers2,89154.38%2,29043.08%1352.54%60111.30%5,316
Taylor3,60558.12%2,46239.69%1362.19%1,14318.43%6,203
Tucker2,12360.54%1,28836.73%962.73%83523.81%3,507
Tyler2,41564.55%1,24133.17%852.28%1,17431.38%3,741
Upshur5,91165.89%2,92532.61%1351.50%2,98633.28%8,971
Wayne8,94757.98%6,13739.77%3462.25%2,81018.21%15,430
Webster1,38645.34%1,55250.77%1193.89%-166-5.43%3,057
Wetzel3,34251.78%2,94245.58%1702.62%4006.20%6,454
Wirt1,49664.32%78233.62%482.06%71430.70%2,326
Wood22,89663.38%12,57334.80%6571.82%10,32328.58%36,126
Wyoming4,62161.37%2,73536.32%1742.31%1,88625.05%7,530
Totals397,46655.58%303,85742.49%13,8001.93%93,60913.09%715,123
County Flips:
Democratic
  Hold
  Gain from Republican
Republican
  Hold
  Gain from Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

McCain swept all three of the state's three congressional districts, including the two districts held by Democrats.

DistrictMcCainObamaRepresentative
1st56.77%41.51%Alan Mollohan
2nd54.63%43.77%Shelley Moore Capito
3rd55.76%42.29%Nick Rahall

Electors

[edit]
Main article:List of 2008 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of West Virginia cast their ballots for electors: representatives to theElectoral College. West Virginia is allocated 5 electors because it has 3congressional districts and 2senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 5 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 5 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[22] An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as afaithless elector.

The electors of each state and theDistrict of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

All 5 were pledged toJohn McCain andSarah Palin:[23]

  1. Robert Fish
  2. Zane Lawhorn
  3. Catherine Sue McKinney
  4. Marti Riggall
  5. Theresa Waxman

References

[edit]
  1. ^"2008 General"(PDF).West Virginia Secretary of State.
  2. ^Woodruff, Betsy (October 29, 2014)."Goodbye West Virginia".Slate.Archived from the original on July 21, 2017.But by 2000, tectonic changes in the state's politics were underway. West Virginians tended to be economically liberal but socially conservative, and as social issues like abortion came to the forefront in national politics, the state started looking better for Republicans. The leftward tilt of the national Democratic Party helped matters, too.
  3. ^"D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries". January 1, 2009. Archived fromthe original on January 1, 2009. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  4. ^"Presidential". May 5, 2015. Archived fromthe original on May 5, 2015. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  5. ^"Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions". April 22, 2009. Archived fromthe original on April 22, 2009. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  6. ^"Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily".electoral-vote.com. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  7. ^abcdBased on Takeaway
  8. ^"POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com".www.politico.com. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  9. ^"RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map". Archived fromthe original on June 5, 2008.
  10. ^"CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on June 14, 2009. RetrievedDecember 20, 2009.
  11. ^Nagourney, Adam; Zeleny, Jeff; Carter, Shan (November 4, 2008)."The Electoral Map: Key States".The New York Times. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  12. ^"October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs".CNN. October 31, 2008. Archived fromthe original on June 19, 2010. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  13. ^"Winning The Electoral College".Fox News. April 27, 2010.
  14. ^"roadto270".hosted.ap.org. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  15. ^"Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports".www.rasmussenreports.com. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  16. ^David Leip."Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". RetrievedJanuary 14, 2015.
  17. ^"Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com".CNN. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  18. ^"Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com".CNN. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  19. ^"Election Results 2008".New York Times. Archived fromthe original on November 3, 2004.
  20. ^Willis, Derek (November 24, 2014)."Election Was Rough for Democrats. It Was Worse for West Virginia Democrats".The New York Times. RetrievedNovember 9, 2016.
  21. ^"2012 Presidential General Election Results - West Virginia".
  22. ^"Electoral College".California Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original on October 30, 2008. RetrievedNovember 1, 2008.
  23. ^"U. S. Electoral College 2008 Election - Certificates". RetrievedJanuary 14, 2015.
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