Movatterモバイル変換


[0]ホーム

URL:


Jump to content
WikipediaThe Free Encyclopedia
Search

2008 United States presidential election in Maine

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Main article:2008 United States presidential election
2008 United States presidential election in Maine

← 2004
November 4, 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeBarack ObamaJohn McCain
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateIllinoisArizona
Running mateJoe BidenSarah Palin
Electoral vote40
Popular vote421,923295,273
Percentage57.71%40.38%

County results
Congressional district results
Municipality results

Obama

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

McCain

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Tie

  


President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elections in Maine
U.S. President
United States presidential primary
U.S. Senate
U.S. House of Representatives
People's vetoes
2009
Question 1
2011
Question 1
2018
Question 1 (Jun)
2020
Question 1
Citizen initiated referendums
2012
Question 1
2014
Question 1
2015
Question 1
2016
Question 1
Question 2
Question 3
Question 4
Question 5
2017
Question 1
Question 2
2018
Question 1 (Nov)
2021
Question 1
2023
Question 1
2024
Question 1
2025
Question 1
Question 2
Constitutional amendments
2021
Question 3
Legislatively referred referendums
2024
Question 5

The2008 United States presidential election in Maine took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the2008 United States presidential election. Maine is one of two states in the U.S. that instead of all of the state's four electors of theElectoral College to vote based upon the statewide results of the voters, two of the individual electors vote based on their congressional district because Maine has two congressional districts. The other two electors vote based upon the statewide results. See below in the section ofElectors for more information.

Maine once again displayed its status as ablue state, withDemocratBarack Obama taking the state with 57.71% of the vote and a difference of 126,650 votes. Maine is one of only two states, along withNebraska, to not allocate its electoral votes via a winner-take-all system; rather, two electoral votes are allocated to the statewide winner and one for the winner in each individualcongressional district. Maine at-large and its1st district has voted Democratic since1992, and the2nd district did the same untilDonald Trump won it in2016,2020, and2024. It is also the only state inNew England where a county voted forRepublicanJohn McCain, withPiscataquis County giving McCain 50.72% of the vote.

Caucuses

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

SourceRanking
D.C. Political Report[1]Likely D
Cook Political Report[2]Solid D
The Takeaway[3]Solid D
Electoral-vote.com[4]Solid D
Washington Post[5]Solid D
Politico[6]Solid D
RealClearPolitics[7]Solid D
FiveThirtyEight[5]Solid D
CQ Politics[8]Solid D
The New York Times[9]Solid D
CNN[10]Lean D
NPR[5]Solid D
MSNBC[5]Solid D
Fox News[11]Likely D
Associated Press[12]Likely D
Rasmussen Reports[13]Safe D

Polling

[edit]
Main article:Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election: Maine

Obama won every single pre-election poll. The final 3 polls averaged Obama leading 55% to 39%.[14]

Fundraising

[edit]

John McCain raised a total of $465,676 in the state, while Barack Obama raised $2,205,059.[15]

Advertising and visits

[edit]

Obama spent $1,216,060 while McCain and the RNC spent $444,529.[16] The Obama ticket didn't visit the state, but both McCain and Palin visited Maine once.[17]

Analysis

[edit]

Maine is located inNew England, an area that has become a Democratic Party stronghold. It was once a classic Yankee Republican state. It identified with the newly formed GOP in1856 and stayed in the GOP fold for most of the next 132 years. The GOP carried the state in all but three elections (1912,1964 and1968) from 1856 to1988. Additionally, Maine andVermont were the only two states that voted againstFranklin D. Roosevelt in all four of his campaigns. However, no Republican presidential nominee has carried Maine sinceGeorge H. W. Bush in 1988, leading many analysts to reckon the state as part of the solid bloc of blue states in the Northeast. WhileGeorge W. Bush held the state to single digits in2000 and2004, polls in 2008 never showed anything but a significant Obama lead.

Ultimately, Obama won the state by a comfortable margin, taking 57.71% of the vote—the highest percentage by a Democrat in Maine sinceLyndon B. Johnson carried it as part of his 44-state landslide in 1964, althoughBill Clinton in1996 won with a wider margin when third parties were a more impactful factor. As evidence of how Democratic Maine has become, George W. Bush at the time was only the second Republican ever to win the White House without carrying Maine, the first beingRichard Nixon in1968 when Maine SenatorEdmund Muskie was the Democratic vice-presidential nominee. At the same time, however, incumbent RepublicanU.S. SenatorSusan Collins defeated former DemocraticU.S. RepresentativeTom Allen and won reelection to a third term with 61.33% of the vote. Maine was the only state carried by Obama to elect a Republican to the U.S. Senate in 2008.

The seat inMaine's 1st Congressional District that was vacated by Tom Allen in his unsuccessful bid for the U.S. Senate was retained by DemocratChellie Pingree. At the state level, Democrats made gains in theMaine Legislature, picking up six seats in theMaine House of Representatives and one seat in theMaine Senate.

Results

[edit]

Statewide

[edit]
2008 United States Presidential Election in Maine[18]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic421,92357.71%+4.14%
Republican295,27340.38%−4.20%
Independent10,6361.46%+0.37%
Green2,9000.40%
Libertarian2510.03%−0.23%
Constitution
1770.02%−0.08%
HeartQuake '08
  • Jonathan Allen
  • Jeffrey Stath
30.00%N/A
Total votes731,163100.00%N/A

By county

[edit]
County[19]Barack Obama
Democratic
John McCain
Republican
Ralph Nader
Independent
Cynthia McKinney
Green
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal Votes
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Androscoggin31,01756.55%22,67141.33%9261.69%2220.40%140.03%8,34615.22%54,850
Aroostook19,34553.75%15,89844.17%5821.62%1570.44%120.03%3,4479.58%35,994
Cumberland105,21864.10%56,18634.23%2,0701.26%5320.32%1450.09%49,03229.87%164,151
Franklin10,11358.87%6,62738.58%3482.03%860.50%40.02%3,48620.29%17,178
Hancock18,89558.74%12,68639.44%4201.31%1500.47%140.04%6,20919.30%32,165
Kennebec37,23856.43%27,48241.65%9791.48%2630.40%240.04%9,75614.78%65,986
Knox13,72859.74%8,81638.36%3251.42%970.42%140.06%4,91221.38%22,980
Lincoln11,88655.07%9,28743.03%3071.42%870.40%170.08%2,59912.04%21,584
Oxford17,94056.68%12,86340.64%6472.05%1720.54%280.08%%5,07716.04%31,650
Penobscot41,61451.72%37,49546.60%1,0031.24%2990.37%560.07%4,1195.12%80,467
Piscataquis4,43046.96%4,78550.72%1571.66%500.53%120.13%-355-3.76%9,434
Sagadahoc12,15257.05%8,72140.94%3421.61%820.38%40.02%3,43116.11%21,301
Somerset13,33551.77%11,86746.07%4171.62%1310.51%80.03%1,4685.70%25,758
Waldo11,96754.77%9,42343.13%3151.44%1230.56%220.10%2,54411.64%21,850
Washington8,24649.51%8,07748.50%2581.55%700.42%30.02%1691.01%16,654
York64,79959.36%42,38938.83%1,5401.41%3790.35%540.05%22,41020.53%109,161
Total421,92357.71%295,27340.38%10,6361.46%2,9000.40%4310.05%126,65017.33%731,163
County Flips:
Democratic
  Hold
  Gain from Republican
Republican
  Hold
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Barack Obama won both of Maine's congressional districts.[19]

DistrictBarack Obama
Joe Biden
Democratic
John McCain
Sarah Palin
Republican
Ralph Nader
Matt Gonzalez
Independent
Cynthia McKinney
Rosa A. Clemente
Green
Other CandidatesMarginRepresentative
#%#%#%#%#%#%
1st232,14560.51%144,60437.69%5,2631.37%1,3620.36%2520.07%87,54122.82%Chellie Pingree
2nd189,77854.61%150,66943.35%5,3731.55%1,5380.44%1790.05%39,10911.25%Mike Michaud

Electors

[edit]
Main article:List of 2008 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Maine cast their ballots for electors: representatives to theElectoral College. Maine is allocated 4 electors because it has 2congressional districts and 2senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 4 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate their running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded just 2 of the electoral votes. The other 2 electoral votes are based upon the congressional district results. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[20] An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as afaithless elector.

The electors of each state and theDistrict of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. Since Obama won both congressional districts, all 4 were pledged toBarack Obama andJoe Biden:[21]

  • Robert O'Brien of Portland, ME. He works in a hardware store and has been active with the Democratic Party since 1984.[22]
  • Jill Duson, of Portland, ME. She's a third term city councilor and a former mayor.[23]
  • Samuel Shapiro of Waterville, ME. He's been a party activist since 1953 and is a former state treasurer.[24]
  • Tracie Reed of Portland, ME. She's a master's candidate in the University of Massachusetts Amherst's architecture program and a political organizer.[25]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries". January 1, 2009. Archived from the original on January 1, 2009. RetrievedOctober 23, 2022.
  2. ^"Presidential". May 5, 2015. Archived fromthe original on May 5, 2015. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  3. ^"Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions". April 22, 2009. Archived fromthe original on April 22, 2009. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  4. ^"Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily".electoral-vote.com. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  5. ^abcdBased on Takeaway
  6. ^"POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com".www.politico.com. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  7. ^"RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map". Archived fromthe original on June 5, 2008.
  8. ^"CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on June 14, 2009. RetrievedDecember 20, 2009.
  9. ^Nagourney, Adam; Zeleny, Jeff; Carter, Shan (November 4, 2008)."The Electoral Map: Key States".The New York Times. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  10. ^"October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs".CNN. October 31, 2008. Archived fromthe original on June 19, 2010. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  11. ^"Winning The Electoral College".Fox News. April 27, 2010.
  12. ^"roadto270".hosted.ap.org. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  13. ^"Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports".www.rasmussenreports.com. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  14. ^Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections
  15. ^"Presidential Campaign Finance". Archived fromthe original on March 24, 2009. RetrievedAugust 20, 2009.
  16. ^"Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com".CNN. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  17. ^"Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com".CNN. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  18. ^"Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions, Elections and Voting, Results, 2008-09 Tabulations".www.maine.gov. RetrievedJanuary 15, 2025.
  19. ^ab"Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions, Elections and Voting, Results, 2008-09 Tabulations".www.maine.gov. RetrievedJanuary 15, 2025.
  20. ^"Electoral College".California Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original on October 30, 2008. RetrievedNovember 1, 2008.
  21. ^Central Maine news, sports & weather & breaking news around Waterville | The Morning Sentinel, Waterville, ME[permanent dead link]
  22. ^http://pressherald.mainetoday.com/story.php?id=219859&ac=[permanent dead link]
  23. ^"Jill Duson — The League of Young Voters". Archived fromthe original on September 5, 2008. RetrievedJuly 5, 2009.
  24. ^"Maine Office of the State Treasurer: About Us: Former Treasurers". Archived fromthe original on December 5, 2007. RetrievedJuly 5, 2009.
  25. ^"Blogger: User Profile: Tracie Reed". Archived fromthe original on August 6, 2008. RetrievedJuly 5, 2009.
Elections and referendums in Maine
Presidential elections
Senate elections
Class 1
Class 2
House elections
Gubernatorial elections
Legislative elections
State Senate
State House
Referendums
U.S.
President
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
(election
ratings
)
Governors
Attorneys
General
Other
statewide
elections
State
legislatures
Mayors
Local
States and territories
Ballot measures
Democratic Party
WFP
Candidates
Republican Party
CPNY ·IPNY
Candidates
Draft movements
Constitution Party
(convention)
Green Party
(convention)
Libertarian Party
(convention)
America's Independent Party
Boston Tea Party
Objectivist Party
Peace and Freedom Party
Prohibition Party
Reform Party
Socialism and Liberation Party
Socialist Party
Socialist Workers Party
Independent / Other
State and district results of the2008 United States presidential election
Electoral map, 2008 election
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2008_United_States_presidential_election_in_Maine&oldid=1325505993"
Categories:
Hidden categories:

[8]ページ先頭

©2009-2026 Movatter.jp