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2008 United States presidential election in Kansas

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2008United States presidential election in Kansas

← 2004November 4, 20082012 →
 
NomineeJohn McCainBarack Obama
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateArizonaIllinois
Running mateSarah PalinJoe Biden
Electoral vote60
Popular vote699,655514,765
Percentage56.48%41.55%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

McCain

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Obama

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%


President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elections in Kansas
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
Republican
2008
2012
2016
2024
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections
Mayoral elections

The2008 United States presidential election in Kansas took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose six representatives, or electors to theElectoral College, who voted forpresident andvice president.

Kansas was won by Republican nomineeJohn McCain by a 14.9% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise considered as a safered state. He won all but three counties and one congressional district in the state. Obama still performed significantly better than Kerry, and his 41.55% of the vote remains the highest for a Democrat in the 21st century, although his running mate Joe Biden nearly matched that percentage12 years later, with a slight reduction in margin of defeat.

As of2024, this is the last time thatCrawford County voted for the Democratic candidate in a presidential election.

Caucuses

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

SourceRanking
D.C. Political Report[1]Likely R
Cook Political Report[2]Solid R
The Takeaway[3]Solid R
Electoral-vote.com[4]Solid R
Washington Post[5]Solid R
Politico[6]Solid R
RealClearPolitics[7]Solid R
FiveThirtyEight[5]Solid R
CQ Politics[8]Solid R
The New York Times[9]Solid R
CNN[10]Safe R
NPR[5]Solid R
MSNBC[5]Solid R
Fox News[11]Likely R
Associated Press[12]Likely R
Rasmussen Reports[13]Safe R

Polling

[edit]
Main article:Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election: Kansas

McCain won every pre-election poll. Since March 16, McCain won each poll with a double-digit margin and at least 47% of the vote.[14]

Fundraising

[edit]

John McCain raised a total of $1,219,074 in the state. Barack Obama raised $1,548,322.[15]

Advertising and visits

[edit]

Obama spent $62,108. McCain and his interest groups spent $13,693.[16] Neither campaign visited the state.[17]

Analysis

[edit]

Kansas has always been a Republican stronghold at the presidential level, voting for GOP nominees in all but seven elections since statehood. The last Democratic presidential nominee to carry Kansas wasLyndon B. Johnson in his landslide in1964. Although the state did receive attention from Barack Obama, whose mother was born in Kansas, it wasn't enough to overcome the deeply planted GOP roots in the state. John McCain carried Kansas by a comfortable 15-percent margin of victory. McCain's margin of victory in Kansas, however, was less than that ofGeorge W. Bush who carried the state in2004 with 62% of the vote overJohn Kerry's 36.62% showing in the state - a 10-point swing to the Democrats in 2008.

Obama only won three counties -Crawford (home toPittsburg),Douglas (home toLawrence), andWyandotte (home toKansas City). The first two were home to large college populations, while Wyandotte had a significant African-American population. He did, however, succeed in winning 41% of the state's popular vote. The other Democrats to have cracked the 40 percent barrier in the state since Johnson's 1964 landslide areJimmy Carter in1976,Michael Dukakis in1988,Joe Biden in2020, andKamala Harris in2024.

To highlight its status as a reliablyred state, former State TreasurerLynn Jenkins, a Republican, ousted incumbent DemocraticU.S. RepresentativeNancy Boyda to win backKansas's 2nd Congressional District seat in theU.S. House of Representatives. Jenkins received 50.80% of the vote to Boyda's 45.97%. At the same time, incumbent RepublicanU.S. SenatorPat Roberts was reelected with 60.06% of the vote over former Democratic U.S. RepresentativeJim Slattery. Republicans also made gains in theKansas Senate, picking up one seat.

As of the2024 presidential election[update], this is the last election in whichCrawford County voted for the Democratic candidate. Obama became the first Democrat to win the White House without carryingAtchison County sinceJohn F. Kennedy in1960.

Results

[edit]
2008 United States presidential election in Kansas[18]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanJohn McCainSarah Palin699,65556.48%6
DemocraticBarack ObamaJoe Biden514,76541.55%0
IndependentRalph NaderMatt Gonzalez10,5270.85%0
LibertarianBob BarrWayne Allyn Root6,7060.54%0
ReformChuck BaldwinDarrell Castle4,1480.33%0
GreenCynthia McKinney (write-in)Rosa Clemente350.00%0
Write-in votes360.00%0
Totals1,238,873100.00%6
Voter turnout (Voting age population)60.8%

By county

[edit]
County[19]John McCain
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
Ralph Nader
Independent
Bob Barr
Libertarian
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Allen3,55260.67%2,18937.39%671.14%300.51%170.29%1,36323.28%5,855
Anderson2,36265.14%1,17532.40%501.38%240.66%150.41%1,18732.74%3,626
Atchison3,79152.72%3,24145.07%991.38%370.51%230.32%5507.65%7,191
Barber1,83374.45%59824.29%140.57%90.37%80.32%1,23550.16%2,462
Barton7,80270.56%3,02727.38%1421.28%520.47%340.31%4,77543.18%11,057
Bourbon4,24062.53%2,39435.30%801.18%320.47%350.52%1,84627.23%6,781
Brown2,98568.21%1,31730.10%420.96%160.37%160.37%1,66838.11%4,376
Butler18,15565.13%9,15932.86%2530.91%1700.61%1360.49%8,99632.27%27,873
Chase97670.52%38327.67%120.87%90.65%40.29%59342.85%1,384
Chautauqua1,41876.57%40121.65%170.92%80.43%80.43%1,01754.92%1,852
Cherokee5,88660.90%3,59437.19%1181.22%450.47%220.23%2,29223.71%9,665
Cheyenne1,14876.64%32321.56%130.87%70.47%70.47%82555.08%1,498
Clark89777.39%24521.14%60.52%20.17%90.78%65256.25%1,159
Clay2,99873.95%1,00924.89%280.69%130.32%60.15%1,98949.06%4,054
Cloud3,12170.12%1,23327.70%511.15%260.58%200.45%1,88842.42%4,451
Coffey3,05472.16%1,12126.49%280.66%190.45%100.24%1,93345.67%4,232
Comanche76578.54%19419.92%121.23%10.10%20.21%57158.62%974
Cowley8,49261.59%5,01236.35%1621.18%720.52%490.36%3,48025.24%13,787
Crawford7,73548.12%7,95749.50%2271.41%940.58%620.39%-222-1.38%16,075
Decatur1,18976.81%34322.16%90.58%30.19%40.26%84654.65%1,548
Dickinson6,08170.16%2,42227.95%750.87%600.69%290.33%3,65942.21%8,667
Doniphan2,37266.55%1,11531.29%320.90%250.70%200.56%1,25735.26%3,564
Douglas17,92933.42%34,39864.13%6221.16%3070.57%3850.71%-16,469-30.71%53,641
Edwards99573.32%33324.54%151.11%120.88%20.15%66248.78%1,357
Elk1,04272.66%36325.31%100.70%151.05%40.28%67947.35%1,434
Ellis8,20765.94%4,01032.22%1281.03%630.51%390.31%4,19733.72%12,447
Ellsworth2,02168.79%85128.97%391.33%180.61%90.31%1,17039.82%2,938
Finney6,92666.89%3,27531.63%780.75%480.46%270.26%3,65135.26%10,354
Ford5,73064.64%2,99133.74%570.64%560.63%300.34%2,73930.90%8,864
Franklin7,07960.04%4,43337.60%1211.03%660.56%920.78%2,64622.44%11,791
Geary4,49255.50%3,49143.13%680.84%230.28%200.25%1,00112.37%8,094
Gove1,13680.11%26118.41%100.71%30.21%80.56%87561.70%1,418
Graham1,06074.49%32522.84%271.90%70.49%40.28%73551.65%1,423
Grant1,99574.97%63523.86%120.45%90.34%100.38%1,36051.11%2,661
Gray1,64377.54%43620.58%180.85%150.71%70.33%1,20756.96%2,119
Greeley59179.33%15120.27%20.27%10.13%00.00%44059.06%745
Greenwood1,61971.04%62227.29%160.70%140.61%80.35%99743.75%2,279
Hamilton84477.01%23321.26%70.64%80.73%40.36%61155.75%1,096
Harper1,99971.49%73626.32%351.25%150.54%110.39%1,26345.17%2,796
Harvey9,00657.40%6,31840.27%1651.05%770.49%1250.80%2,68817.13%15,691
Haskell1,27781.34%27817.71%80.51%40.25%30.19%99963.63%1,570
Hodgeman86578.92%21119.25%90.82%60.55%50.46%65459.67%1,096
Jackson3,81160.95%2,30836.91%831.33%290.46%220.35%1,50324.04%6,253
Jefferson5,22058.32%3,54239.58%1181.32%540.60%160.18%1,67818.74%8,950
Jewell1,23177.71%31319.76%221.39%100.63%80.51%91857.95%1,584
Johnson152,62753.70%127,09144.72%1,4690.52%1,5400.54%1,4840.52%25,5368.98%284,211
Kearny1,15978.21%30920.85%100.67%30.20%10.07%85057.36%1,482
Kingman2,60371.04%96326.28%401.09%350.96%230.63%1,64044.76%3,664
Kiowa91280.35%20017.62%161.41%50.44%20.18%71262.73%1,135
Labette5,00155.38%3,83942.51%890.99%560.62%460.51%1,16212.87%9,031
Lane81479.26%19318.79%80.78%90.88%30.29%62160.47%1,027
Leavenworth16,79154.89%13,25543.33%2630.86%1620.53%1200.39%3,53611.56%30,591
Lincoln1,20475.91%34721.88%221.39%60.38%70.44%85754.03%1,586
Linn3,08666.84%1,42530.86%571.23%290.63%200.43%1,66135.98%4,617
Logan1,18782.43%22515.63%181.25%50.35%50.35%96266.80%1,440
Lyon6,69851.88%5,92445.88%1691.31%680.53%520.40%7746.00%12,911
Marion4,15968.64%1,80129.72%590.97%230.38%170.28%2,35838.92%6,059
Marshall3,15762.69%1,78435.42%541.07%260.52%150.30%1,37327.27%5,036
McPherson8,93766.76%4,21831.51%1070.80%700.52%540.40%4,71935.25%13,386
Meade1,54079.75%35718.49%140.73%120.62%80.41%1,18361.26%1,931
Miami9,38261.01%5,74237.34%1160.75%680.44%690.45%3,64023.67%15,377
Mitchell2,44076.18%70121.89%341.06%160.50%120.37%1,73954.29%3,203
Montgomery9,30966.94%4,33831.19%1451.04%700.50%450.32%4,97135.75%13,907
Morris1,87566.00%90731.93%280.99%160.56%150.53%96834.07%2,841
Morton1,15382.24%22916.33%80.57%110.78%10.07%92465.91%1,402
Nemaha3,81771.23%1,43226.72%671.25%200.37%230.43%2,38544.51%5,359
Neosho4,47362.19%2,56335.64%951.32%310.43%300.42%1,91026.55%7,192
Ness1,20779.15%28918.95%211.38%50.33%30.20%91860.20%1,525
Norton1,87877.76%49720.58%230.95%130.54%40.17%1,38157.18%2,415
Osage4,82063.89%2,53433.59%961.27%590.78%350.46%2,28630.30%7,544
Osborne1,49077.20%40320.88%261.35%70.36%40.21%1,08756.32%1,930
Ottawa2,32375.28%70422.81%280.91%180.58%130.42%1,61952.47%3,086
Pawnee1,94667.59%88230.64%391.35%60.21%60.21%1,06436.95%2,879
Phillips2,10578.93%52519.69%291.09%50.19%30.11%1,58059.24%2,667
Pottawatomie6,92970.15%2,59926.31%790.80%500.51%2202.22%4,33043.84%9,877
Pratt2,82267.35%1,29430.88%400.95%240.57%100.24%1,52836.47%4,190
Rawlins1,24780.50%27317.62%140.90%80.52%70.45%97462.88%1,549
Reno16,11260.57%9,91637.28%2320.87%1360.51%2060.78%6,19623.29%26,602
Republic1,97874.05%64023.96%271.01%150.56%110.41%1,33850.09%2,671
Rice2,78069.14%1,16328.92%441.09%230.57%110.27%1,61740.22%4,021
Riley12,11152.43%10,49545.43%1860.81%1480.64%1600.70%1,6167.00%23,100
Rooks2,06879.91%46818.08%311.20%110.43%100.39%1,60061.83%2,588
Rush1,22568.78%50428.30%291.63%120.67%110.62%72140.48%1,781
Russell2,50976.19%73622.35%230.70%140.43%110.33%1,77353.84%3,293
Saline14,16562.16%8,18635.92%1870.82%1840.81%660.29%5,97926.24%22,788
Scott1,82383.66%32114.73%190.87%70.32%90.41%1,50268.93%2,179
Sedgwick106,84955.15%82,33742.50%1,5890.82%1,2310.64%1,7240.89%24,51212.65%193,730
Seward3,79171.05%1,49327.98%150.28%240.45%130.24%2,29843.07%5,336
Shawnee41,47649.05%41,23548.77%8230.97%4180.49%5980.70%2410.28%84,550
Sheridan1,10880.52%25418.46%110.80%20.15%10.07%85462.06%1,376
Sherman1,95972.45%68825.44%301.11%160.59%110.41%1,27147.01%2,704
Smith1,71977.78%44620.18%231.04%100.45%120.54%1,27357.60%2,210
Stafford1,49572.08%54226.13%211.01%80.39%80.39%95345.95%2,074
Stanton62875.94%18822.73%60.73%30.36%20.24%44053.21%827
Stevens1,81585.33%28313.31%90.42%110.52%90.42%1,53272.02%2,127
Sumner6,73765.17%3,35332.44%1241.20%740.72%490.47%3,38432.73%10,337
Thomas2,83777.24%78721.43%290.79%90.25%110.30%2,05055.81%3,673
Trego1,22573.31%42025.13%181.08%20.12%60.36%80548.18%1,671
Wabaunsee2,39568.02%1,03629.42%361.02%140.40%401.14%1,35938.60%3,521
Wallace69085.82%9611.94%81.00%50.62%50.62%59473.88%804
Washington2,24875.44%65922.11%301.01%200.67%230.77%1,58953.33%2,980
Wichita84082.43%16316.00%80.79%30.29%50.49%67766.43%1,019
Wilson2,85069.16%1,17028.39%491.19%200.49%320.78%1,68040.77%4,121
Woodson1,05565.98%51232.02%211.31%60.38%50.31%54333.96%1,599
Wyandotte16,50628.75%39,86569.44%4090.71%1900.33%4390.76%-23,359-40.69%57,409
Totals699,65556.48%514,76541.55%10,5270.85%6,7060.54%7,2200.58%184,89014.93%1,238,873
County Flips:
Democratic
  Hold
  Gain from Republican
Republican
  Hold
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

McCain carried three of the state's four congressional districts.

DistrictMcCainObamaRepresentative
1st68.60%29.61%Jerry Moran
2nd54.87%43.20%Nancy Boyda (110th Congress)
Lynn Jenkins (111th Congress)
3rd48.01%50.59%Dennis Moore
4th58.38%39.72%Todd Tiahrt

Electors

[edit]
Main article:List of 2008 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Kansas cast their ballots for electors: representatives to theElectoral College. Kansas is allocated 6 electors because it has 4congressional districts and 2senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 6 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 6 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[20] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as afaithless elector.

The electors of each state and theDistrict of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 6 were pledged toJohn McCain andSarah Palin:[21]

  1. Tom Arpke
  2. Jeff Colyer
  3. David Kensinger
  4. Kris Kobach
  5. Mike Pompeo
  6. Helen Van Etten

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries". January 1, 2009. Archived fromthe original on January 1, 2009. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  2. ^"Presidential". May 5, 2015. Archived fromthe original on May 5, 2015. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  3. ^"Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions". April 22, 2009. Archived fromthe original on April 22, 2009. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  4. ^"Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily".electoral-vote.com. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  5. ^abcdBased on Takeaway
  6. ^"POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com".www.politico.com. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  7. ^"RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map". Archived fromthe original on June 5, 2008.
  8. ^"CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on June 14, 2009. RetrievedDecember 20, 2009.
  9. ^Nagourney, Adam; Zeleny, Jeff; Carter, Shan (November 4, 2008)."The Electoral Map: Key States".The New York Times. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  10. ^"October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs".CNN. October 31, 2008. Archived fromthe original on June 19, 2010. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  11. ^"Winning The Electoral College".Fox News. April 27, 2010.
  12. ^"roadto270".hosted.ap.org. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  13. ^"Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports".www.rasmussenreports.com. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  14. ^Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections
  15. ^"Presidential Campaign Finance". Archived fromthe original on March 24, 2009. RetrievedAugust 20, 2009.
  16. ^"Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com".CNN. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  17. ^"Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com".CNN. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  18. ^"Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". RetrievedJanuary 13, 2013.
  19. ^"KS US President Race, November 04, 2008". Our Campaigns.
  20. ^"Electoral College".California Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original on October 30, 2008. RetrievedNovember 1, 2008.
  21. ^Kansas Secretary of State - 2008 Presidential Electors
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