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2008 United States Senate election in Georgia

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2008 United States Senate election in Georgia

← 2002
November 4, 2008 (first round)
December 2, 2008 (runoff)
2014 →
 
NomineeSaxby ChamblissJim Martin
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
First round1,867,097
49.76%
1,757,393
46.83%
Runoff1,228,033
57.44%
909,923
42.56%

First round county results
Runoff county results
Chambliss:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Martin:     40-50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Tie:     40–50%

U.S. Senator before election

Saxby Chambliss
Republican

ElectedU.S. Senator

Saxby Chambliss
Republican

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The2008 United States Senate election in Georgia took place on November 4, 2008. The runoff election took place on December 2, 2008. Republican SenatorSaxby Chambliss, first elected in 2002, sought re-election to his position as aUnited States Senator from Georgia. He was challenged by Democratic nomineeJim Martin andLibertarian nominee Allen Buckley. After a runoff election on December 2, Chambliss was elected.[1][2]

The runoff was necessary as neither Chambliss nor Martin, the two major party candidates, had won a majority of the vote in the first round. Early voting hours were set by county, and started November 17 or November 18. Prior to the runoff, advanced polls were open from November 24 to the 26th.[3] Since the election was a runoff, only those voters who registered in time for the general election could cast ballots. It was the second Senate runoff election to be held in Georgia since runoffs were first mandated in 1964, following a runoff in1992.

As of 2026, this remains the only time in history that a Republican has won re-election to Georgia's Class 2 Senate seat, and the first time that a Republican has also won re-election into a second successful full term in office.[a]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Results

[edit]
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2008 Georgia U.S. Senate Republican primary election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanSaxby Chambliss (incumbent)392,902100.0%
Turnout392,928100.0%

Democratic primary

[edit]

The general primary was held July 15, 2008.[4] A run-off between the top two Democratic contenders was held on August 5, in whichJim Martin defeatedVernon Jones.[5]

Candidates

[edit]
  • Jim Martin, former State Representative and nominee for Lieutenant Governor in2006
  • Vernon Jones, businessman, DeKalb County chief executive officer and former State Representative
  • Dale Cardwell, TV journalist[6]
  • Rand Knight, businessman
  • Josh Lanier, Vietnam War veteran and former aide to U.S. SenatorHerman Talmadge

Polling

[edit]
SourceDateCardwellJonesKnightLanierMartin
Strategic Vision (R)[7]May 9–11, 200820%28%11%5%15%
Insider Advantage[8]May 12, 200814%21%1%5%3%
Mellman Group (D)[9]May 29, 20087%16%2%3%21%
Strategic Vision (R)[7]June 27–29, 200822%25%14%6%17%
Insider Advantage[8]July 8–9, 200811%20%4%1%31%

Initial results

[edit]

Results[10] for the first round showed that since Vernon Jones did not win a majority of the vote, a runoff was held between him and Martin. Martin subsequently won the runoff.

2008 Georgia U.S. Senate Democratic primary election
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticVernon Jones199,02640.4%
DemocraticJim Martin169,63534.4%
DemocraticDale Cardwell79,18116.1%
DemocraticRand Knight25,6675.2%
DemocraticJosh Lanier19,7174.0%
Total votes493,226100.0%

Run off results

[edit]
2008 Georgia U.S. Senate Democratic primary election runoff
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticJim Martin191,06159.9%+25.5%
DemocraticVernon Jones127,99340.1%−0.3%
Total votes319,054100.0%

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Democratic

[edit]

Jim Martin, a former State Representative, former State Human Resources Commissioner, Vietnam War veteran, and 2006 nominee forlieutenant governor, challenged Chambliss for his seat. He made his support forPeachCare and other social services a signature issue in the campaign.[11]

Libertarian

[edit]

Allen Buckley - Attorney, accountant, 2004 Senate nominee, and 2006 nominee for lieutenant governor. He was eliminated in the general election, but his endorsement was sought by both the Martin and Chambliss campaigns.[citation needed]

Republican

[edit]

Sen.Saxby Chambliss running for re-election for the first time, is a member of theRepublican Party. He was elected to the House of Representatives in 1994 and had only one serious election challenge while in the House.[12][13][14][15] He maintained high ratings from conservative interest groups such as theNational Rifle Association of America, and theNational Right to Life Committee,[16] and correspondingly low marks from liberal interest groups such as theNAACP andACLU.[16] He sponsored legislation while in the Senate to replace theincome tax with a nationalsales tax.[17]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[18]TossupOctober 23, 2008
CQ Politics[19]TossupOctober 31, 2008
Rothenberg Political Report[20]Lean RNovember 2, 2008
Real Clear Politics[21]TossupNovember 2, 2008

Polling

[edit]

Chambliss vs. Martin

[edit]
SourceDateChambliss (R)Martin (D)
Rasmussen Reports[22]June 26, 200852%39%
Strategic Vision[23]June 29, 200857%28%
Rasmussen Reports[24]July 21, 200851%40%
Rasmussen Reports[22]August 14, 200850%44%
Survey USA[25]September 14–16, 200853%36%
Rasmussen Reports[22]September 16, 200850%43%
Survey USA[26]September 29, 200846%44%
Research 2000[27]September 29 – October 1, 200845%44%
Rasmussen Reports[22]October 7, 200850%44%
Insider Advantage[28]October 9, 200845%45%
Survey USA[29]October 12, 200846%43%
Rasmussen Reports[22]October 22, 200847%45%
Rasmussen Reports[22]October 30, 200848%43%
Survey USA[30]November 2, 200848%44%
Public Policy Polling[31]November 2, 200848%46%

Chambliss vs. Jones (Hypothetical)

[edit]
SourceDateChambliss (R)Jones (D)
Rasmussen Reports[24]July 21, 200859%29%
Strategic Vision[23]June 29, 200857%27%
Rasmussen Reports[22]June 26, 200857%30%
Strategic Vision[32]December 12, 200757%27%
Rasmussen Report[33]November 13, 200755%32%
Rasmussen Report[33]September 23, 200753%28%
Strategic Vision[34]June 24, 200755%31%
Rasmussen Report[33]September 23, 200753%28%
Strategic Vision[34]June 24, 200755%31%
Insider Advantage[35]May 23, 200748%31%
Strategic Vision[36]April 7, 200757%29%

Results

[edit]

As no candidate reached a majority on November 4, a runoff election was held on December 2, which Chambliss won.

2008 United States Senate general election in Georgia[37][38]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanSaxby Chambliss (Incumbent)1,867,09749.76%−3.01%
DemocraticJim Martin1,757,39346.83%+0.93%
LibertarianAllen Buckley127,9233.41%+2.08%
Socialist WorkersEleanor Garcia (write-in)430.00%n/a
IndependentWilliam Salomone, Jr. (write-in)290.00%n/a
Majority109,7042.93%−3.95%
Turnout3,752,577

Runoff election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
  • Chambliss (R)
  • Martin (D)

Campaign

[edit]

Both qualifying candidates' runoff campaigns began in earnest on November 10, when election returns made it clear that a runoff would be required. With an election date of December 2, candidates were given only 3 weeks for additional campaigning.

The Libertarian nominee did not endorse either candidate in the run-off, though both campaigns reportedly inquired about getting Buckley's endorsement.[39] Major political figures such as former PresidentBill Clinton, Republican Senator and 2008 presidential nomineeJohn McCain and his former running mateSarah Palin campaigned in Georgia,[40] because of the election's potential to determine whether theDemocratic Party could blockfilibusters in theUnited States Senate. Historically, run-off elections in Georgia have had significantly lower turnout than have general elections.[41]

Chambliss's campaign verified that former Republican presidential candidatesJohn McCain andMike Huckabee would be campaigning in Georgia on the Senator's behalf, and former Democratic Governor and former U.S. SenatorZell Miller endorsed Chambliss. Former PresidentBill Clinton campaigned on Martin's behalf.Sarah Palin campaigned for the Chambliss campaign on December 1, the eve of the run-off election.[42] President-electBarack Obama had also been invited by the Democratic campaign but decided against making a stop.[43]

The results of the runoff election were of particular interest to both parties.[44] Subsequent to the November 4 general elections, Democrats had captured 58 seats in the Senate, two shy of afilibuster-proofsupermajority. The result of Georgia's runoff election, as well as the results of an extremely closerace and recount in Minnesota, would determine whether or not the required majority of 60 seats would be met.[45] Although the Democratic nominee lost the runoff, the party would still obtain a supermajority afterPennsylvania SenatorArlen Specter switched from the Republican party to the Democratic party in April 2009 and DemocratAl Franken won in Minnesota after several recounts in June 2009.

Polling

[edit]
SourceDateChambliss (R)Martin (D)
Rasmussen Reports[46]November 18, 200850%46%
Public Policy Polling[47]November 23, 200852%46%
Public Policy Polling[48]November 30, 200853%46%

Results

[edit]

Douglas, Rockdale, Newton, McIntosh, Merriwether, Chattahoochee, Webster, and Marion counties were won by Chambliss in the runoff, after he lost them in the general. Additionally, Mitchell County went from tied to Chambliss, and Early County switched from Chambliss to Martin.

Runoff results[49]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanSaxby Chambliss (Incumbent)1,228,03357.44%N/A
DemocraticJim Martin909,92342.56%N/A
Majority318,11014.88%
Turnout2,137,956
RepublicanholdSwing

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Paul Coverdell was re-elected for a second term in1998, but died on July 18, 2000 from a cerebral hemorrhage in the second year of that term.

References

[edit]
  1. ^Steinhauser, Paul (December 2, 2008)."gop Senate win in Georgia means Democrats can't halt filibusters".CNN.
  2. ^"GOP's Chambliss wins Ga. Senate runoff".NBC News. Associated Press. December 2, 2008.
  3. ^Elections DivisionArchived November 12, 2008, at theWayback Machine Georgia Secretary of State
  4. ^Unofficial And Incomplete Results of the Tuesday, July 15, 2008 General Primary ElectionGeorgia Secretary of State
  5. ^Kapochunas, Rachel (August 5, 2008)."Martin Wins Georgia Dem Runoff, Will Challenge Sen. Chambliss : Roll Call".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on September 18, 2008. RetrievedAugust 5, 2008.
  6. ^"Says Cardwell: Chambliss is 'a borrow-and-spend pawn of the special interests'".
  7. ^abStrategic Vision (R)
  8. ^abInsider Advantage
  9. ^Mellman Group (D)
  10. ^7/15/2008 - Federal and Statewide
  11. ^Jones, Walter C."Candidates differ on prescriptions for health".Savannah Morning News. RetrievedJune 3, 2024.
  12. ^"94 CONGRESSIONAL ELECTION STATISTICS".clerk.house.gov. RetrievedJune 3, 2024.
  13. ^"96 PRESIDENTIAL and CONGRESSIONAL ELECTION STATISTICS".clerk.house.gov. RetrievedJune 3, 2024.
  14. ^"1998 Election Statistics - Legislative Activities - Office of the Clerk".clerk.house.gov. RetrievedJune 3, 2024.
  15. ^"Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election of November 7, 2000"(PDF).clerk.house.gov. June 21, 2001. RetrievedJune 3, 2024.
  16. ^ab"Saxby Chambliss".VoteSmart.Archived from the original on December 18, 2019.
  17. ^Wasson, Erik (December 21, 2010)."Deficit panel's ideas to be resurrected in bipartisan Senate bill".The Hill. RetrievedJune 3, 2024.
  18. ^"2008 Senate Race ratings for October 23, 2008".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedApril 1, 2021.
  19. ^Race Ratings Chart: SenateArchived October 28, 2010, at theWayback MachineCQ Politics
  20. ^"2008 Senate ratings".Inside Elections. RetrievedApril 1, 2021.
  21. ^"2008 RCP Averages & Senate Results". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedAugust 31, 2021.
  22. ^abcdefgRasmussen Reports
  23. ^abStrategic Vision
  24. ^abRasmussen Reports
  25. ^Survey USA
  26. ^Survey USA
  27. ^"GA-Sen: Holy crap, it *is* tied!".Daily Kos. Archived fromthe original on October 7, 2008. RetrievedOctober 7, 2008.
  28. ^Insider Advantage
  29. ^Survey USA
  30. ^Survey USA
  31. ^Public Policy Polling
  32. ^Strategic Vision
  33. ^abcRasmussen Report
  34. ^abStrategic Vision
  35. ^Insider Advantage
  36. ^Strategic Vision
  37. ^"Georgia Election Results: United States Senator". Georgia Secretary of State. November 10, 2008. Archived fromthe original on November 12, 2008. RetrievedNovember 11, 2008.
  38. ^"Georgia 2008 General Election". The Green Papers. RetrievedNovember 11, 2008.
  39. ^"Libertarian Allen Buckley Speaks Out on Georgia Senate Run-Off".HuffPost. December 18, 2008. RetrievedJune 3, 2024.
  40. ^"Democrats denied 'super majority' in US Senate".ABC News. December 3, 2008. RetrievedJune 3, 2024.
  41. ^"A Brief History of Georgia Runoffs, and Why This Time May Be Different".insideelections.com. RetrievedJune 3, 2024.
  42. ^"Palin Heads Back to Campaign Trail -- Political Wire". Archived fromthe original on November 27, 2008. RetrievedNovember 25, 2008.
  43. ^Tharpe, Jim (November 11, 2008)."Senate runoff fast and furious".Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Archived fromthe original on December 8, 2008. RetrievedNovember 12, 2008.
  44. ^Schor, Elana; MacAskill, Ewen (December 4, 2008)."Republican win in Georgia denies Obama total control of Senate".The Guardian.ISSN 0261-3077. RetrievedJune 3, 2024.
  45. ^Britt, Russ (November 6, 2008)."Democrats still have shot at filibuster-proof Senate". Market Watch. RetrievedNovember 12, 2008.
  46. ^Rasmussen Reports
  47. ^Public Policy Polling
  48. ^Public Policy Polling
  49. ^"Georgia Election Results".State of Georgia Secretary of State. December 2, 2008. Archived fromthe original on December 4, 2008. RetrievedDecember 3, 2008.

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