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2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

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2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

← 2006November 4, 2008 (2008-11-04)2010 →

All 25 Florida seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Last election169
Seats won1510
Seat changeDecrease 1Increase 1
Popular vote3,993,6633,812,163
Percentage49.92%47.65%
SwingDecrease 6.75%Increase 6.11%

District results
County results

Republican

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%

Democratic

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90>%

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The2008 United States House of Representatives Elections in Florida were held on November 4, 2008 to determine who would represent thestate ofFlorida in theUnited States House of Representatives. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected served in the111th Congress from January 4, 2009 until January 3, 2011. The election coincided with the2008 U.S. presidential election.

Florida had twenty-five seats in the House, apportioned according to the2000 United States census. Its delegation to the110th Congress of 2007-2009 consisted of sixteenRepublicans and nineDemocrats. In 2008, Districts8 and24 changed party from Republican to Democratic, and District16 changed party from Democratic to Republican. Florida's delegation to the 111th Congress therefore consisted of fifteen Republicans and ten Democrats, a net increase of one Democrat. CQ Politics had forecasted districts 8,13,15, 16,18,21,22, 24 and25 to be at some risk for the incumbent party.

The Primary election was held August 26, 2008, with a registration deadline of July 28, 2008. The General election was held November 4, 2008, with a registration deadline of October 6, 2008.[1] Early voting in Florida begins 15 days before an election and ends on the second day before an election.[2] In 2008, early voting ran from October 20 through November 2.

Overview

[edit]
United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2008
PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/–
Republican3,993,66349.92%15–1
Democratic3,812,16347.65%10+1
Others194,1742.43%00
Valid votes8,000,00094.60%
Invalid or blank votes456,3295.40%
Totals8,456,329100.00%25
Voter turnout75.2%
Popular vote
Republican
49.92%
Democratic
47.65%
Other
2.43%
House seats
Republican
60%
Democratic
40%

All of the vote totals were copied from the Secretary of State of Florida's Website

Match-up summary

[edit]
DistrictIncumbent2008 StatusDemocraticRepublicanOther PartyIndependent
1Jeff MillerRe-electionJim BryanJeff Miller
2Allen BoydRe-electionAllen BoydMark Mulligan
3Corrine BrownRe-electionCorrine Brown
4Ander CrenshawRe-electionJay McGovernAnder Crenshaw
5Ginny Brown-WaiteRe-electionJohn RussellGinny Brown-Waite
6Cliff StearnsRe-electionTim CunhaCliff Stearns
7John MicaRe-electionFaye ArmitageJohn Mica
8Ric KellerRe-electionAlan GraysonRic Keller
9Gus Michael BilirakisRe-electionBill MitchellGus Michael BilirakisRichard Emmons,
Andrew Pasayan
John Kalimnios
10Bill YoungRe-electionBob HackworthBill Young
11Kathy CastorRe-electionKathy CastorEddie Adams, Jr.
12Adam PutnamRe-electionDoug TudorAdam Putnam
13Vern BuchananRe-electionChristine JenningsVern BuchananJan Schneider
14Connie Mack IVRe-electionRobert NeeldConnie Mack IV
15Dave WeldonOpenSteve BlytheBill PoseyJeffrey BouffardFrank Zilaitis,
Trevor Lowing
16Tim MahoneyRe-electionTim MahoneyTom Rooney
17Kendrick MeekRe-electionKendrick Meek
18Ileana Ros-LehtinenRe-electionAnnette TaddeoIleana Ros-Lehtinen
19Robert WexlerRe-electionRobert WexlerEdward J. Lynch
20Debbie Wasserman SchultzRe-electionDebbie Wasserman SchultzMarc LuziettiMargaret Hostetter
21Lincoln Diaz-BalartRe-electionRaul L. MartinezLincoln Diaz-Balart
22Ron KleinRe-electionRon KleinAllen West (former U.S. military officer)
23Alcee HastingsRe-electionAlcee HastingsMarion Dennis Thorpe Jr.
24Tom FeeneyRe-electionSuzanne KosmasTom Feeney
25Mario Diaz-BalartRe-electionJoe GarciaMario Diaz-Balart

District 1

[edit]
2008 Florida's 1st congressional district election

← 2006November 2, 20102010 →
 
NomineeJeff MillerJim Bryan
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote232,55998,797
Percentage70.18%29.82%

County results
Miller:     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Jeff Miller
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jeff Miller
Republican

See also:Florida's 1st congressional district

Republican incumbentJeff Miller has held this seat since winning aspecial election in 2001. He was challenged by Democrat Jim Bryan (campaign website), aVietnam War veteran. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Republican'.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Safe RNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Incumbent Jeff Miller retained his seat with about 70 percent of the vote.

Florida's 1st congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJeff Miller (incumbent)232,55970.2
DemocraticJim Bryan98,79729.8
Total votes331,356100.00
Republicanhold

District 2

[edit]
2008 Florida's 2nd congressional district election

← 2006November 2, 20102010 →
 
NomineeAllen BoydMark Mulligan
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote216,804133,404
Percentage62.23%38.29%

County results
Boyd:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Mulligan:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Allen Boyd
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Allen Boyd
Democratic

See also:Florida's 2nd congressional district

Democratic incumbentAllen Boyd has held this seat since 1997. Other contestants in this race included Republican challengerMark Mulligan andwrite-in candidate Robert Ortiz. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Democrat'.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Safe DNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Allen Boyd was reelected with slightly under 62 percent of the vote.

Florida's 2nd congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAllen Boyd (incumbent)216,80461.9
RepublicanMark Mulligan133,40438.1
IndependentRobert Ortiz (write-in)1590.0
Total votes348,367100.00
Democratichold

District 3

[edit]
2008 Florida's 3rd congressional district election

← 2006
2010 →
 
NomineeCorrine Brown
PartyDemocratic
Popular voteUnopposed
PercentageN/A

U.S. Representative before election

Corrine Brown
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Corrine Brown
Democratic

See also:Florida's 3rd congressional district

Democratic incumbentCorrine Brown has held this seat since 1993 and ran unopposed in this election.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Safe DNovember 6, 2008

District 4

[edit]
See also:Florida's 4th congressional district

Republican incumbentAnder Crenshaw has held this seat since 2001. He was challenged by DemocratJay McGovern, anIraq War veteran. CQ Politics forecasts the race as 'Safe Republican'.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Safe RNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Republican Ander Crenshaw was reelected with around 65 percent of the votes.

Florida's 4th congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAnder Crenshaw (incumbent)224,11265.3
DemocraticJay McGovern119,33034.7
Total votes343,442100.00
Republicanhold

District 5

[edit]
See also:Florida's 5th congressional district

Republican incumbentGinny Brown-Waite (campaign website), who has held this seat since 2003, was again challenged by Democrat John Russell (campaign website), who received 40% against Brown-Waite inthe 2006 election. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Republican'. (CPVI=R+5)

Brown-Waite attracted a serious primary challenger in this sprawlingNature Coast district. As of November,Jim King had already begun a media campaign attacking Brown-Waite from the right and appealing to the conservative Christians who exert a serious influence in the local Republican Party.[9] While King was a longshot to unseat Brown-Waite, a lengthy and divisive primary campaign of this sort risks draining the incumbent's campaign resources, splintering her support, and causing her to take up more conservative stances that would appeal less to moderate voters in the general election.

Russell is a businessman, acute carenurse practitioner and local activist. He hoped to capitalize on Brown-Waite's difficult primary, her modest fundraising, and the recent demographic changes in this high-growth area.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Safe RNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Ginny Brown-Waite retained her seat. She received around 61 percent of the vote, improving her showing against Russell in the 2006 election by slightly over 1 percentage point.

Florida's 5th congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanGinny Brown-Waite (incumbent)265,18661.2
DemocraticJohn Russell168,44638.8
Total votes433,632100.00
Republicanhold

District 6

[edit]
See also:Florida's 6th congressional district

Republican incumbentCliff Stearns has held this seat since 1989. He faced Democratic challengerTim Cunha (campaign website). CQ Politics forecasts the race as 'Safe Republican'.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Safe RNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Incumbent Cliff Stearns was reelected with just under 61 percent of the votes.

Florida's 6th congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanCliff Stearns (incumbent)228,30260.9
DemocraticTim Cunha146,65539.1
Total votes374,957100.00
Republicanhold

District 7

[edit]
See also:Florida's 7th congressional district

Republican incumbentJohn Mica, representing the district since 1993, faced Democratic challenger,Faye Armitage (campaign website). CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Republican'.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Safe RNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Incumbent John Mica held his seat, gaining 62 percent of the votes.

Florida's 7th congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Mica (incumbent)238,72162.0
DemocraticFaye Armitage146,29238.0
Total votes385,013100.00
Republicanhold

District 8

[edit]
2008 Florida's 8th congressional district election

← 2006
2010 →
 
NomineeAlan GraysonRic Keller
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote172,854159,490
Percentage52.0%48.0%

County results
Grayson:     50–60%
Keller:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Ric Keller
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Alan Grayson
Democratic

See also:Florida's 8th congressional district

Democratic nomineeAlan Grayson challenged Republican incumbentRic Keller, who had held the seat since 2001. On October 21, 2008,CQ PoliticsArchived January 7, 2009, at theWayback Machine switched its outlook on the race from "No Clear Favorite" to "Leans Democratic," citing the fact that there are now more registered Democrats that Republicans in Keller's district.[10] George W. Bush had won the district in 2004 with 55% of the vote (CPVI=R+3).

In 2006, Keller, author of the "Cheeseburger Bill", was reelected by less than expected toOrlando businessman Charlie Stuart, who polled 46%. After the November 2006 election, Keller announced that he would break his 2000 pledge to serve only four terms. Todd Long, an Orlando attorney and radio talk show host, then announced he would challenge Keller in the Republican primary, promising to make an issue of the broken term-limits pledge.[11] Greg Lewis and retiredMarine Corps officer Bob Hering also announced they would challenge Keller in the primary, but they did not meet the qualifying requirements. The Keller-Long primary fight intensified over the summer, with Keller's term limit retraction, as well as his vote againstThe Surge[12] making him increasingly vulnerable to defeat. However, just days before the August 26 primary, Keller sent out a mailer exposing Long's arrest record, a DUI, and another trespass warning.[13] Keller squeaked by with a 53%-47% win in the GOP primary,[14] but his reputation took a hit, as many saw the mailer as a political "dirty trick."

Grayson, an attorney who prosecutes war profiteers, had run unsuccessfully in the 2006 Democratic primary. In the 2008 primary, he faced large field, including Charlie Stuart, who had lost to Keller by six percentage points in 2006; Mike Smith, a former state prosecutor and current trial lawyer withMorgan & Morgan; Corbett Kroeler, an environmental activist; Quoc Ba Van, local weight-lifting champion and recent Emory Law School graduate.[15][16][17]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]TossupNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Lean D(flip)November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Lean D(flip)November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]TossupNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Lean D(flip)November 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Alan Grayson defeated incumbent Ric Keller, receiving 52 percent of the vote. This was one of two pickups for the Democratic Party in Florida, along withDistrict 24. The general election was heated, with "mudslinging" and attack ads by both sides on television and in mailers.[3][4] The race gained considerable national attention.

Florida's 8th congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAlan Grayson172,85452.0
RepublicanRic Keller (incumbent)159,49048.0
Total votes332,244100.00
Democraticgain fromRepublican

District 9

[edit]
See also:Florida's 9th congressional district

Republican freshman incumbentGus Michael Bilirakis faced several opponents in this race. Challengers included Democrat Bill Mitchell, independents Richard Emmons and John Kalimnios, and write-in candidate Andrew Pasayan. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Republican'.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Safe RNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Incumbent Gus Michael Bilirakis retained his seat, receiving around 62 percent of the votes.

Florida's 9th congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanGus Michael Bilirakis (incumbent)216,59162.2
DemocraticBill Mitchell126,34636.3
IndependentJohn Kalimnios3,3941.0
IndependentRichard Emmons2,0420.6
IndependentAndrew Pasayan (write-in)50.0
Total votes348,378100.00
Republicanhold

District 10

[edit]
See also:Florida's 10th congressional district

Republican incumbentBill Young, who has represented this district since 1971 and is currently the longest-serving Republican in the House, facedDunedin Mayor DemocratBob Hackworth and write in candidate Don Callahan. Bob Hackworth won the Democratic primary on August 26, 2008 with 46% of the vote, defeatingSamm Simpson and Max Linn.[18] CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Republican'.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Safe RNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Bill Young was reelected, receiving around 61 percent of the votes.

Florida's 10th congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBill Young (incumbent)182,78160.7
DemocraticBob Hackworth118,43039.3
IndependentDon Callahan (write-in)90.0
Total votes301,220100.00
Republicanhold

District 11

[edit]
See also:Florida's 11th congressional district

Freshman Democratic congresswomanKathy Castor faced Republican challengerEddie Adams, Jr. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Democrat'.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Safe DNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Kathy Castor easily retained her seat with nearly 72 percent of the votes.

Florida's 11th congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKathy Castor (incumbent)184,10671.7
RepublicanEddie Adams, Jr.72,82528.3
Total votes256,931100.00
Democratichold

District 12

[edit]
See also:Florida's 12th congressional district

Republican incumbentAdam Putnam, who has held this seat since 2001, was challenged by Democrat and retired U.S. Navy Master Chief Petty OfficerDoug Tudor. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Republican'.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Safe RNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Adam Putnam was reelected, receiving 57.5 percent of the vote.

Florida's 12th congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAdam Putnam (incumbent)185,69857.5
DemocraticDoug Tudor137,46542.5
Total votes323,163100.00
Republicanhold

District 13

[edit]
See also:Florida's 13th congressional district

Freshman Republican incumbentVern Buchanan (campaign website) was again challenged by Democratic bankerChristine Jennings (campaign website). Former Democratic Congressional candidate Jan Schneider also filed, running as an Independent.[19] This was expected to be a competitive race in 2008, though Buchanan was far ahead of Jennings in fundraising. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Leans Republican'. George W. Bush won 56% of the district's vote in 2004 (CPVI=R+4).

Buchanan was certified as having won in 2006 by a 369-vote margin over Jennings, but Jennings challenged the election in court. Although Buchanan was seated by the House, the House has made no final decision on the matter. In mid-July 2007, Jennings announced she would run again in 2008.[20]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Likely RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Likely RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Lean RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Lean RNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Vern Buchanan was reelected to a second term. In contrast to the 2006 election, Buchanan won by a convincing margin, receiving 55.5 percent of the vote.

Florida's 13th congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanVern Buchanan (incumbent)204,38255.5
DemocraticChristine Jennings137,96737.5
IndependentJan Schneider20,2895.5
IndependentDon Baldauf5,3581.5
Total votes367,996100.00
Republicanhold

District 14

[edit]
See also:Florida's 14th congressional district

Republican incumbentConnie Mack, holder of this seat since 2005, was challenged by DemocratRobert Neeld (campaign websiteArchived August 28, 2008, at theWayback Machine), IndependentJeff George (campaign websiteArchived June 3, 2013, at theWayback Machine) and Republican State SenatorBurt Saunders (who ran as an Independent). CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Republican'.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Safe RNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Connie Mack was returned to Congress for a third term, receiving over 59 percent of the votes.

Florida's 14th congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanConnie Mack (incumbent)224,60259.4
DemocraticRobert Neeld93,59024.8
IndependentBurt Saunders54,75014.5
IndependentJeff George4,9491.3
Total votes377,891100.00
Republicanhold

District 15

[edit]
See also:Florida's 15th congressional district

Seven-term Republican incumbentDave Weldon had easily won re-election contests for a decade, but is retiring in 2008, leaving this Florida's only open House seat. Republican nominee State SenatorBill Posey, who was endorsed by Weldon and the Florida Republican Party, faced Democratic nominee physicianSteve Blythe (campaign website). Independent candidates Frank Zilaitis and Trevor Lowing also ran for the seat. LibertarianJeffrey Bouffard, a computer engineer and army veteran, also filed to run, but did not qualify for the ballot.[21] CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Republican Favored'. George W. Bush won 57% of the vote here in 2004 (CPVI=R+4).

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Likely RNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Bill Posey won the open seat with 53 percent of the vote. As a result, this seat remained under Republican control for the 111th Congress.

Florida's 15th congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBill Posey192,15153.1
DemocraticSteve Blythe151,95142.0
IndependentFrank Zilaitis14,2743.9
IndependentTrevor Lowing3,4951.0
Total votes361,871100.00
Republicanhold

District 16

[edit]
See also:Florida's 16th congressional district

Republican nomineeTom Rooney faced Democratic incumbentTim Mahoney.

This is normally a solidly Republican district, so consensus was that Mahoney's 50% to 48% win in 2006 could be attributed to theMark Foley scandal. The Republican nomineeJoe Negron's 2006 campaign was harmed by the fact that Foley's name remained on the ballot even though he was not a candidate, as his withdrawal from the race came too late to replace him on the ballot under Florida law.[22] George W. Bush won this district by a 10-point margin in 2004 (CPVI=R+2).

Attorney Rooney won the Republican primary election against State Rep.Gayle Harrell andPalm Beach Gardens City CouncilmanHal Valeche.[21]

On October 12, 2008, it was revealed that Mahoney had an affair with a staffer, and had paid her $121,000 in a settlement to stave off a potential lawsuit. House SpeakerNancy Pelosi has called for an ethics inquiry.[23] Two days later, CQ Politics changed their forecast on the race from "No Clear Favorite" to "Leans Republican".[24]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Likely R(flip)November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Likely R(flip)November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Lean R(flip)November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Lean R(flip)November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Lean R(flip)November 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Republican Tom Rooney, with 60 percent of the votes, defeated incumbent Congressman Tim Mahoney. This was the only district in Florida to switch from Democratic to Republican control in 2008.

Florida's 16th congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTom Rooney209,87460.1
DemocraticTim Mahoney (incumbent)139,37339.9
Total votes349,247100.00
Republicangain fromDemocratic

District 17

[edit]
See also:Florida's 17th congressional district

Democratic three-term incumbentKendrick Meek ran unopposed in this heavily Democratic district (CPVI=D+35).

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Safe DNovember 6, 2008

District 18

[edit]
See also:Florida's 18th congressional district

Republican incumbentIleana Ros-Lehtinen has held this seat since 1989; however, her district has been increasingly trending Democratic in recent elections. The district contains manyMiami suburbs and the entireFlorida Keys. Founder and CEO ofLanguageSpeak and Chair of the Women's Enterprise National Council's Leadership ForumAnnette Taddeo was the Democratic nominee and was able to raise a significant sum of money. Nonetheless, polls throughout the campaign showed Ros-Lehtinen in the lead. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Republican Favored'.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Likely RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Likely RNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Ileana Ros-Lehtinen defeated challenger Taddeo, receiving nearly 58 percent of the vote.

Florida's 18th congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanIleana Ros-Lehtinen (incumbent)140,61757.9
DemocraticAnnette Taddeo102,37242.1
Total votes242,989100.00
Republicanhold

District 19

[edit]
See also:Florida's 19th congressional district

Democratic incumbentRobert Wexler, representing this district since 1997, faced RepublicanEdward J. Lynch and fellow Democrat Ben Graber, who chose to run as an independent candidate rather than compete against Wexler in the Democratic primary.[25] Wexler had run opposed in the previous two elections. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Democrat'.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Safe DNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Wexler retained his seat, receiving around 66 percent of the vote.

Florida's 19th congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticRobert Wexler (incumbent)202,46566.2
RepublicanEdward J. Lynch83,35727.2
IndependentBen Graber20,2146.6
Total votes306,036100.00
Democratichold

District 20

[edit]
See also:Florida's 20th congressional district

Democratic incumbentDebbie Wasserman Schultz (campaign website) has held this seat since 2005. ChallengersMargaret Hostetter, who ran against Wasserman Schultz as a Republican in 2004 but chose to run as an independent in 2008, andSocialist write-in candidate Marc Luzietti (campaign website) were not expected to be serious threats to Wasserman Schultz. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Democrat'.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Safe DNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

As expected, Debbie Wasserman Schultz easily won reelection, receiving over 77 percent of the vote.

Florida's 20th congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDebbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent)202,83277.5
IndependentMargaret Hostetter58,95822.5
SocialistMarc Luzietti (write-in)90.0
Total votes261,799100.00
Democratichold

District 21

[edit]
See also:Florida's 21st congressional district

Republican incumbentLincoln Diaz-Balart (campaign website) had faced little more than token opposition since taking office in 1993. This year, however, the race was expected to be much tougher for Diaz-Balart, as the Democratic nominee, formerHialeah MayorRaul L. Martinez (campaign website), is very well known in the area and could be a formidable challenger.[26] CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Leans Republican'. Rothenberg rated it as 'Pure Toss-Up.'[27] Cook rated it as 'Republican Toss-Up'.[28] Bush won 57% of the vote here in 2004 (CPVI=R+6).

On May 22, 2008, Diaz-Balart did not attend a debate hosted by the South FloridaAFL-CIO with Martinez due to scheduling and venue issues.[29] A July 7 poll conducted by a noted Democratic polster, Sergio Bendixen, showed Diaz-Balart ahead of Martinez by a four-point margin, 41 to 37 percent, with 22 percent undecided. David Hill, the Diaz-Balart brothers' pollster, said Lincoln's internal polling shows the congressman with a 12-point lead over Martinez and a "double-digit advantage over his opponent in virtually every significant segment of the electorate."[30]

On August 1, 2008, a leading Washington analyst,Rothenberg Political Report, reported that they see a "possible re-election trouble for Lincoln Diaz-Balart".[31] According to an August 14, 2008Time article, Lincoln Diaz-Balart faces a competitive race. It also said that "Democratic voter registration in Miami-Dade County, as in other places, is up, and Republican registration is down."[32]

On August 25, 2008, Lincoln Diaz-Balart agreed to debate Martinez, at a Greater Miami Chamber of Commerce event at noon on October 8.[33] On August 26, 2008, Martinez challenged Diaz-Balart to an additional debate inDenver, Colorado, which both candidates were visiting during the2008 Democratic National Convention.[34]

In aSurveyUSA poll sponsored byRoll Call conducted in August 2008, Martinez led Diaz-Balart (48% to 46%) among likely voters.[35] According to the poll, Diaz-Balart enjoyed 70% support from Cuban-Americans in the district. The poll's demographics (which were chosen by the pollster in 2008) are different from those of the district (based on the US census of 2000.) 51% of those questioned were Hispanic (34% of respondents were Cuban and 17% were non-Cuban). The percentage of Hispanics in the district is higher at 69.7%.[36] Later polls, however, showed Diaz-Balart back in the lead.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]TossupNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]TossupNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Lean RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]TossupNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Lean RNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Despite predictions of a close election, Lincoln Diaz-Balart won reelection by a fairly comfortable margin, receiving just under 58 percent of the vote.

Florida's 21st congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanLincoln Diaz-Balart (incumbent)137,22657.9
DemocraticRaul L. Martinez99,77642.1
Total votes237,002100.00
Republicanhold

District 22

[edit]
See also:Florida's 22nd congressional district

First-term Democratic incumbentRon Klein was challenged by former army officer andIraq War veteranAllen West.Michael Prysner, an Iraq War veteran, peace activist, and college student, ran as a write-in candidate on theParty for Socialism and Liberation ticket. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Democrat Favored'.

Republicans suffered a setback when popular formerBoca Raton MayorSteven Abrams announced he would not run. West and former navy pilotMark Flagg announced they would run. NeurosurgeonRobert Brodner and 2006 Connecticut U.S. senatorial candidateAlan Schlesinger were also potential candidates.[37] ThisFort Lauderdale area district barely went to John Kerry in 2004 (CPVI=D+4).

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Likely DNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Ron Klein successfully defended his seat, receiving slightly less than 55 percent of the vote.

Florida's 22nd congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticRon Klein (incumbent)169,04154.7
RepublicanAllen West140,10445.3
IndependentMichael Prysner (write-in)60.0
Total votes309,151100.00
Democratichold

District 23

[edit]
See also:Florida's 23rd congressional district

Democratic incumbentAlcee Hastings, who has held this seat since 1993, faced RepublicanMarion Dennis Thorpe Jr. in this heavily Democratic district. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Safe Democrat'.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Safe DNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Alcee Hastings easily retained his seat with over 82 percent of the vote.

Florida's 23rd congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAlcee Hastings (incumbent)172,83582.2
RepublicanMarion Dennis Thorpe Jr.37,43117.8
IndependentApril Cook (write-in)400.0
Total votes210,306100.00
Democratichold

District 24

[edit]
2008 Florida's 24th congressional district election

← 2006
2010 →
 
NomineeSuzanne KosmasTom Feeney
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote211,284151,863
Percentage57.2%41.1%

County results
Kosmas:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Tom Feeney
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Suzanne Kosmas
Democratic

See also:Florida's 24th congressional district

Three-term Republican incumbentTom Feeney (campaign website) faced Democratic nominee and former State RepresentativeSuzanne Kosmas (campaign website) and independent Gaurav Bhola.[38] On October 21, 2008,CQ PoliticsArchived January 7, 2009, at theWayback Machine switched its outlook on the race from "No Clear Favorite" to "Leans Democratic."[10]

The district includes the Orlando suburbs as well as theSpace Coast of Florida. In 2006, Feeney was re-elected by 58% to 42%. Although Feeney reportedly drew the district for himself while serving as speaker of the state house, the district is actually somewhat marginal on paper (CPVI=R+3). Bush took 55 percent of the vote in this district in 2004.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Lean D(flip)November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Likely D(flip)November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Lean D(flip)November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]Lean D(flip)November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Lean D(flip)November 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Suzanne Kosmas ousted incumbent Tom Feeney, receiving around 57 percent of the vote. This district was one of two in Florida to switch from Republican to Democratic control in 2008, along withDistrict 8.

Florida's 24th congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticSuzanne Kosmas211,28457.2
RepublicanTom Feeney (incumbent)151,86341.1
IndependentGaurav Bhola6,2231.7
Total votes379,370100.00
Democraticgain fromRepublican

District 25

[edit]
See also:Florida's 25th congressional district

Republican three-term incumbentMario Diaz-Balart faced Miami-Dade County Democratic Party chairmanJoe Garcia (campaign website), a former executive director of theCuban American National Foundation (CANF).[39] CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Leans Republican'.[7] The Rothenberg Political Report as 'Toss-Up/Tilt Republican'.[40] The Cook Political Report as 'Republican Toss Up'.[41] Bush won 56% of the vote here in 2004 (CPVI=R+4).

Garcia announced on February 7, 2008, his candidacy for the U.S. House of Representatives in Florida's 25th congressional district. In March 2008, the Garcia's campaign announced that noted political strategistJoe Trippi, the campaign manager for 2004 presidential candidate and former Vermont governorHoward Dean, was joining the campaign team as Senior Media Adviser. In April 2008, Garcia held a controversial fundraiser with RepresentativeCharles B. Rangel, who has met repeatedly withFidel Castro and pushed legislation that would allow U.S. citizens to travel to Cuba and allow American firms to do business there. Garcia said he "has serious disagreements with Rangel on Cuba. But having a relationship with the chairman of the powerful HouseWays and Means Committee would help him bring federal money back to the district." Diaz-Balart claimed Garcia had a radical left-wing agenda including supporting higher taxes on working families and appeasing the nation's enemies.[42]

An August 14, 2008Time article labeled the race as competitive, pointing out that "Democratic voter registration in Miami-Dade County, as in other places, is up, and Republican registration is down".[32]

According to many commentators, Garcia is Mario Diaz-Balart's most formidable political opponent ever because of the amount of money that he has raised and the national media attention that he has generated[43][44][45][46][47] Nonetheless, the Rothenberg Political Report[48] and CQ Politics[7] rated the seat as "Toss-up/Tilt Republican," the Cook Political Report[49] rated the district as "Likely Republican," and the Crystal Ball has rated the district as "Safe Republican"[50]

A poll of the race, that was conducted June 6 to 22, by noted Democratic pollster, Sergio Bendixen, showed Diaz-Balart ahead of Garcia 44 percent to 39 percent, with 17 percent undecided.[30] As of August 6, 2008, Garcia has raised $1,001,313 with $789,667 cash on hand for the 2007-2008 cycle. Mario Diaz-Balart, the five-year incumbent, has raised $1,188,193 and has $1,029,556 cash on hand during the same cycle.[51]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]TossupNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[4]Tilt RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Lean D(flip)November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[6]TossupNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[7]Lean RNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Mario Diaz-Balart held off challenger Joe Garcia, receiving slightly more than 53 percent of the vote.

Florida's 25th congressional district election, 2008[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMario Diaz-Balart (incumbent)130,89153.1
DemocraticJoe Garcia115,82046.9
Total votes246,711100.00
Republicanhold

References

[edit]
  1. ^Calendar of Election DatesArchived July 16, 2008, at theWayback MachineFlorida Division of Elections
  2. ^Early VotingArchived August 26, 2011, at theWayback MachineFlorida Division of Elections
  3. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxy"2008 Competitive House Race Chart".House: Race Ratings.The Cook Political Report. November 6, 2006. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  4. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxy"2008 House Ratings".House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. November 2, 2006. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  5. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxy"2008 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 6, 2008. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  6. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxy"Battle for the House of Representatives".realclearpolitics.com. Real Clear Politics. November 7, 2008. Archived fromthe original on December 17, 2008. RetrievedDecember 9, 2023.
  7. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyzaa"Race Ratings Chart: House".cqpolitics.com. Congressional Quarterly Inc. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  8. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvw"Florida Department of State Division of Elections - November 4, 2008 General Election".Secretary of State of Florida. Archived fromthe original on April 25, 2009. RetrievedJanuary 17, 2009.
  9. ^sptimes.com
  10. ^ab"CQ Politics | CQ Politics' House Rating Changes Topped by Bachmann Blow-Up". Archived fromthe original on October 31, 2008. RetrievedOctober 22, 2008.
  11. ^Rachel Kapochunas,"Keller’s Early ‘08 Opponent Focusing on Broken Term Limit Pledge",New York Times, December 5, 2006.
  12. ^Ric Keller faces tight race after pair of costly decisions
  13. ^Keller: GOP rival has booze history
  14. ^Florida Rep. Keller Gets Primary Scare
  15. ^Garcia, Jason (June 19, 2007)."Keller Draws More Competition".Orlando Sentinel Central Florida Political Pulse Blog. Orlando Sentinel. Archived fromthe original on September 19, 2008. RetrievedJune 19, 2007.
  16. ^Brendan Farrington,"Florida will be a congressional battleground again in 2008"Archived September 29, 2007, at theWayback Machine,Herald Tribune, June 23, 2007.
  17. ^Scott Maxwell"More Keller competition"Archived 2008-09-19 at theWayback Machine,Orlando Sentinel, June 20, 2007.
  18. ^"Federal Elections 2008 - Election Results for the U.S. President, the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House of Representatives"(PDF).www.fec.gov. July 2009. p. 98.Archived(PDF) from the original on October 11, 2025. RetrievedOctober 26, 2025.
  19. ^"southernpoliticalreport.com". Archived fromthe original on August 7, 2008. RetrievedJuly 16, 2008.
  20. ^Jeremy Wallace,"Jennings to run for Congress again"Archived October 9, 2007, at theWayback Machine,Herald-Tribune, July 20, 2007.
  21. ^ab"Candidate Listing for 2008 General Election". Florida Division of Elections. Archived fromthe original on August 31, 2010. RetrievedJanuary 17, 2009.
  22. ^"Report: Foley allegedly tried to meet page". CNN. October 2, 2006. RetrievedOctober 2, 2006.
  23. ^Urbina, Ian (October 13, 2008)."Sex Scandal Shakes Race for Congress in Florida".The New York Times. RetrievedOctober 14, 2008.
  24. ^Kapochunas, Rachel (October 14, 2008)."Scandal Casts Shadow on Democrat Mahoney's Re-Election Bid".Congressional Quarterly. Archived fromthe original on October 21, 2008. RetrievedOctober 22, 2008.
  25. ^Bennett, George (October 12, 2008)."Aggressive rivals, residency flap muddy Wexler's path to reelection".The Palm Beach Post. Archived fromthe original on November 22, 2008. RetrievedJanuary 18, 2009.
  26. ^"thehill.com". Archived fromthe original on September 18, 2008. RetrievedJuly 16, 2008.
  27. ^2008 House RatingsThe Rothenberg Political Report, October 14, 2008.
  28. ^2008 Competitive House Race Chart[permanent dead link]The Cook Political Report, October 13, 2008.
  29. ^The Miami Herald;Dade GOP incumbents pull out of debates by Lesley Clark, May 22, 2008.
  30. ^ab"Poll: 2 GOP incumbents' leading by single digits in Florida | Politics | McClatchy DC". Archived fromthe original on October 6, 2008. RetrievedOctober 14, 2008.
  31. ^Sun-Sentinel,Leading Washington analyst sees possible re-election trouble for Lincoln Diaz-Balart by Anthony Man; August 1, 2008.
  32. ^abPadgett, Tim (August 14, 2008). "Big Trouble in Little Havana".Time.
  33. ^[1][permanent dead link]
  34. ^The Miami Herald;Diaz-Balart Jabs on Obama Turf by Lesley Clark; August 26, 2008, Page 1B[2][permanent dead link]
  35. ^SurveyUSA Poll
  36. ^"Census Data: Florida, District 21 | Elections".Washington Post. Archived fromthe original on September 27, 2008.
  37. ^politics1.com
  38. ^"orlandosentinel.com". Archived fromthe original on June 17, 2008. RetrievedJuly 16, 2008.
  39. ^Luis Rumbaut,"Cuban-Americans Ready For Change? Florida House Races Show a New Democratic Alignment Could Emerge"Archived 2008-05-17 at theWayback Machine,Washington Independent, February 9, 2007
  40. ^Rothenberg Political ReportThe Rothenberg Political Report, November 2, 2008
  41. ^Competitive House Race ChartArchived July 2, 2008, at theWayback MachineCook Political Report
  42. ^Reinhard, Beth (April 9, 2008)."Congressman's help in South Florida race may backfire".Miami Herald. p. 21. Archived fromthe original on April 9, 2008.Alt URL
  43. ^Rieff, DavidWill Little Havana Go Blue?New York Times, July 13, 2008.
  44. ^Miami New Times,Best Politician of 2008: Joe Garcia, May 15, 2008.
  45. ^The Sun Sentinel,Garcia, sí! Diaz-Balart, no! by Stephen Goldstein, May 7, 2008.
  46. ^The Sun-Sentinel, Miami's Diaz-Balart brothers face strong challenges for congressional seats by Laura Wides-Muñoz, Associated Press, March 21, 2008
  47. ^FL-18, 21, 25: South Florida Republicans under pressure
  48. ^Rothenberg Political Report, as of 2008-07-29.
  49. ^Cook Political ReportArchived July 2, 2008, at theWayback Machine, as of 2008-07-31
  50. ^Crystal Ball, as of 2008-07-30
  51. ^Hotel offers Lido di Jesolo[failed verification]

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