Movatterモバイル変換


[0]ホーム

URL:


Jump to content
WikipediaThe Free Encyclopedia
Search

2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona

← 2006November 4, 2008 (2008-11-04)2010 →

All 8 Arizona seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
Turnout77.69%
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Last election44
Seats won53
Seat changeIncrease 1Decrease 1
Popular vote1,055,3051,021,798
Percentage45.5%44.0%
SwingIncrease 3.46%Decrease 7.62%

District results
County results

Democratic

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%

Republican

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%

Elections in Arizona

The2008 congressional elections in Arizona were held on November 4, 2008, to determine who would represent thestate ofArizona in theUnited States House of Representatives, coinciding with thepresidential election. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected would serve in the111th Congress from January 4, 2009, until January 3, 2011.

Arizona had eight seats in the House, apportioned according to the2000 United States census. Its 2007-2008 congressional delegation consisted of four Republicans and four Democrats. Two of the Democrats had taken Republican seats in 2006, and were at risk during the 2008 election. The delegation elected in 2008 consisted of three Republicans and five Democrats: district 1 changed party (from open Republican to Democratic), althoughCQ Politics had forecast districts 1, 3, 5 and 8 to be at some risk for the incumbent party.[1]

The party primary elections were held September 2, 2008.[2]

Overview

[edit]

Statewide

[edit]
PartyCandidatesVotesSeats
No.%No.+/–%
Democratic81,055,30545.475Increase 162.50
Republican81,021,79844.033Decrease 137.50
Libertarian861,1002.630Steady0.0
Independent49,4110.410Steady0.0
Green28,0800.350Steady0.0
Valid votes2,155,69492.88
Invalid or blank votes165,1577.12
Total302,320,851100.08Steady100.0
Popular vote
Democratic
45.47%
Republican
44.03%
Libertarian
2.63%
Green
0.35%
Other
0.41%
House seats
Democratic
62.50%
Republican
37.50%

By district

[edit]

Results of the 2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona by district:

DistrictDemocraticRepublicanOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1155,79155.88%109,92439.43%13,0724.69%278,787100.0%Democratic gain
District 2125,61137.16%200,91459.44%11,4983.40%338,023100.0%Republican hold
District 3115,75942.07%148,80054.08%10,6023.85%275,161100.0%Republican hold
District 489,72172.11%26,43521.25%8,2716.65%124,427100.0%Democratic hold
District 5149,03353.16%122,16543.57%9,1673.27%280,365100.0%Democratic hold
District 6115,45734.55%208,58262.42%10,1373.03%334,176100.0%Republican hold
District 7124,30463.26%64,42532.79%7,7603.95%196,489100.0%Democratic hold
District 8179,62954.72%140,55342.82%8,0842.46%328,266100.0%Democratic hold
Total1,055,30545.47%1,021,79844.03%78,59110.50%2,155,694100.0%

District 1

[edit]
2008 Arizona's 1st congressional district election

← 2006
2010 →
 
NomineeAnn KirkpatrickSydney Hay
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote155,791109,924
Percentage55.9%39.4%

County results
Kirkpatrick:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Hay:     40–50%     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Rick Renzi
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Ann Kirkpatrick
Democratic

See also:Arizona's 1st congressional district

Incumbent RepublicanRick Renzi, who had represented the district since 2003, did not run for re-election. He was re-elected with only 52% of the vote compared to 44% for his Democratic opponent –Sedona civil rights attorney Ellen Simon – in 2006; George W. Bush won 54% of the vote in this northern Arizona district in 2004. The district had aPVI of R+2.[3]

Republican primary

[edit]

In August 2007, Renzi announced he would not seek re-election,[4] four months after the FBI raided Renzi's family business as part of a federal investigation.

Candidates

[edit]

In the Republican primary, Sydney Ann Hay, mining industry lobbyist, earned a narrower-than-expected victory against Sandra L. B. Livingstone, Tom Hansen and Barry Hall.[5]

Nominee
[edit]
  • Sydney Hay, mining industry lobbyist and candidate for this seat in2002[6][7]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Barry Hall, former Baptist minister[8]
  • Sandra Livingstone, former State Department official and lawyer[9]
  • Tom Hansen, engineer[10]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Preston Korn, candidate for state representative in2006
Declined
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSydney Ann Hay17,82539.1
RepublicanSandra Livingstone15,62134.2
RepublicanTom Hansen7,84717.2
RepublicanBarry Hall2,7436.0
RepublicanPreston Korn (Withdrew)1,5963.5
Total votes45,632100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Jeffrey Brown, mental health advocate
  • Mary Kim Titla, publisher and former Phoenix TV newscaster[11]
  • Howard Shanker, attorney[16]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Allan Affeldt, Mayor ofWinslow[16]
  • Ellen Simon, civil rights attorney and nominee for this seat in2006[11][16] (dropped out in May 2007, citing personal reasons)
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Kirkpatrick earned endorsements from leaders in government, education, tribal communities, first responders, and other groups. Among those endorsing her were: GovernorJanet Napolitano, U.S. RepresentativeGabby Giffords, U.S. RepresentativeHarry Mitchell, theArizona Education Association, the Arizona Police Association, the Arizona Conference of Police and Sheriffs, theInternational Association of Fire Fighters, Navajo County School Superintendent Linda Morrow, county sheriffs in Coconino, Gila, Graham, Greenlee, Navajo, and Pinal Counties, Coconino County School Superintendent Cecilia Owen, Pinal County School Superintendent Orlenda Roberts, Navajo NationPresidentJoe Shirley Jr.,San Carlos Apache Tribal Chair Wendsler Nosie,White Mountain Apache Tribal ChairRonnie Lupe, former Navajo NationPresident Dr.Peterson Zah, and many other tribal leaders.[17] TheArizona Republic, the state's largest newspaper, and theWhite Mountain Independent and theArizona Daily Sun, two of the most widely read newspapers in the district, also endorsed her candidacy.

Results

[edit]

Kirkpatrick won by almost 15 points over Kim Titla.

Democratic primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAnn Kirkpatrick26,73447.2
DemocraticMary Kim Titla18,42832.6
DemocraticHoward Shanker8,05614.2
DemocraticJeffrey Brown3,3766.0
Total votes56,594100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianThane Eichenauer (write-in)43100.0
Total votes43100.0

Independents

[edit]

Independent Brent Maupin, a Sedona engineer and businessman.

General election

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Kirkpatrick ran on a platform of tax cuts for 86 million middle-class families, making health care affordable and accessible to all, and encouraging renewable energy projects to end America's dependence on foreign energy and create jobs for rural Arizona. She also supported increasing teacher salaries, expanding SCHIP, and adding a division to the army. As a member of the Arizona State Legislature, Kirkpatrick was known for her willingness to work across party lines.

Hay meanwhile ran on increasing offshore drilling and in theArctic National Wildlife Refuge as well as tapping oil reserves inColorado andWyoming to stimulate the economy. She also recognized the need to reach across party lines to create meaningful change.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[18]Likely D(flip)November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[19]Likely D(flip)November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20]Lean D(flip)November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[21]Lean D(flip)November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[22]Lean D(flip)November 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Kirkpatrick's victory resulted in a House gain for Democrats.

Arizona's 1st congressional district election, 2008[23]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAnn Kirkpatrick155,79155.9
RepublicanSydney Hay109,92439.4
IndependentBrent Maupin9,3943.4
LibertarianThane Eichenauer3,6781.3
Total votes278,787100.0
Democraticgain fromRepublican

District 2

[edit]
2008 Arizona's 2nd congressional district election

← 2006
2010 →
 
NomineeTrent FranksJohn Thrasher
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote200,914125,611
Percentage59.4%37.2%

County results
Thrasher:     60–70%     70–80%
Franks:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Trent Franks
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Trent Franks
Republican

See also:Arizona's 2nd congressional district

Incumbent RepublicanTrent Franks, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58.6% of the vote in 2006. The district had aPVI of R+9.[3]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTrent Franks (incumbent)58,707100.0
Total votes58,707100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

In what was essentially a rematch of the previous election, Franks was challenged by Democrat John Thrasher(campaign website)

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • John Thrasher, educator and nominee for this seat in2006

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJohn Thrasher27,711100.0
Total votes27,711100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Powell Gammill, molecular biologist and nominee for this seat in2004 and2006

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianPowell Gammill199100.0
Total votes199100.0

Green primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • William Crum

Results

[edit]
Green primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
GreenWilliam Crum118100.0
Total votes118100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[18]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[19]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[21]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[22]Safe RNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]
Arizona's 2nd congressional district election, 2008[23]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTrent Franks (incumbent)200,91459.4
DemocraticJohn Thrasher125,61137.2
LibertarianPowell Gammill7,8822.3
GreenWilliam Crum3,6161.1
Total votes338,023100.0
Republicanhold

District 3

[edit]
2008 Arizona's 3rd congressional district election

← 2006
2010 →
 
NomineeJohn ShadeggBob Lord
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote148,800115,759
Percentage54.1%42.1%

County results
Shadegg:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

John Shadegg
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

John Shadegg
Republican

See also:Arizona's 3rd congressional district

Incumbent RepublicanJohn Shadegg, who had represented the district since 1995, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 59.3% of the vote in 2006. This district was previously held by Arizona's junior United States senator,RepublicanJon Kyl. The district had aPVI of R+6.[3]

Republican primary

[edit]

An outspoken conservative, Shadegg has consistently been re-elected in this Republican-leaning district (Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6) in the northern Phoenix suburbs which gave George W. Bush 57.9 percent of the vote in 2004. However, Lord outraised Shadegg in the first quarter of 2007 and even had more cash on hand compared to Shadegg, which resulted in an unusually competitive race. However, Shadegg's campaign team noted that Shadegg's funds are smaller than expected due to Shadegg donating most of the money in 2006 to fellow Republicans in a last-ditch, albeit lackluster attempt to retain control of Congress.[24]

On February 11, 2008, incumbent Shadegg announced he would not run for an eighth term, saying that he wanted to "seek a new challenge in a different venue to advance the cause of freedom." However, on February 21, Shadegg retracted the statement and announced he would seek re-election.[25] Over 140 Republicans in Congress had signed a letter asking Shadegg to keep his seat.[26] Although it was speculated that he would run for theUnited States Senate ifJohn McCain were to become president,[27] Shadegg had expressed his intention to leave public life and return to the private sector[26] before changing his mind.

Steve May a formerstate representative had announced a run for the seat[28] but withdrew from the race when Shadegg announced he would seek another term after all.[29]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Shadegg (incumbent)43,538100.0
Total votes43,538100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBob Lord22,554100.0
Total votes22,554100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Michael Shoen

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianMichael Shoen228100.0
Total votes228100.0

Independents

[edit]

Running as independents were Mark Yannone (campaign website), Annie Loyd and Edwin Winkler.

Annie Loyd, running on a platform of "transpartisan politics", has been described byThe Arizona Republic as a moderate. Born inSouth Dakota and a community activist inLos Angeles, Loyd is a 15-year resident of Phoenix. She has also appeared atColumbia University.[31] Shadegg's 2006 Democratic opponent, consultant Herb Paine, announced his support for Loyd.

However, none of the independents made the ballot.

General election

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

The race was covered in theEast Valley Tribune and showed a 27% independent voter population and noted increased registration of independents, in a district of 600,000 people cutting across urban Phoenix into rural parts of northern Maricopa county. The Federal Elections Commission reports that as of December 31, 2007, Shadegg had raised over $1,000,000, Lord over $600,000, and Loyd $26,000. May and Winkler had not reported any fundraising.[32][33]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Shadegg (R)
Bob
Lord (D)
Michael
Shoen (L)
Undecided
Research 2000 (Daily Kos)[34]October 20–22, 2008400 (LV)±5.0%50%40%2%8%
Research 2000 (Daily Kos)[35]October 6–8, 2008400 (LV)±5.0%48%39%2%11%
Anzalone Liszt Research (D-DCCC)[36]October 6–8, 2008400 (LV)±4.9%44%45%5%6%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[18]Lean RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[19]Likely RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20]Lean RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[21]Lean RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[22]Lean RNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Despite having his campaign privately criticized by Republican operatives, Shadegg was re-elected by 12 points in strong Democratic year.[37]

Arizona's 3rd congressional district election, 2008[23]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Shadegg (incumbent)148,80054.1
DemocraticBob Lord115,75942.1
LibertarianMichael Shoen10,6023.9
Total votes275,161100.0
Republicanhold

District 4

[edit]
2008 Arizona's 4th congressional district election

← 2006
2010 →
 
NomineeEd PastorDon Karg
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote89,72126,435
Percentage72.1%21.3%

County results
Pastor:     70-80%

U.S. Representative before election

Ed Pastor
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Ed Pastor
Democratic

See also:Arizona's 4th congressional district

Incumbent DemocratEd Pastor, who had represented the district since 1991, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 72.5% of the vote in 2006. The district had aPVI of D+14.[3]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticEd Pastor (incumbent)18,660100.0
Total votes18,660100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Don Karg

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDon Karg8,07399.9
RepublicanRichard Grayson (write-in)80.1
Total votes8,081100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Joe Cobb, retired economist and nominee for the 7th District in2006

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianJoe Cobb156100.0
Total votes156100.0

Green primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Rebecca DeWitt, accountant

Results

[edit]
Green primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
GreenRebecca DeWitt71100.0
Total votes71100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[18]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[19]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[21]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[22]Safe DNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]
Arizona's 4th congressional district election, 2008[23]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticEd Pastor (incumbent)89,72172.1
RepublicanDon Karg26,43521.3
GreenRebecca DeWitt4,4643.6
LibertarianJoe Cobb3,8073.1
Total votes124,427100.00
Democratichold

District 5

[edit]
2008 Arizona's 5th congressional district election

← 2006
2010 →
 
NomineeHarry MitchellDavid Schweikert
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote149,033122,165
Percentage53.2%43.6%

County results
Mitchell:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Harry Mitchell
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Harry Mitchell
Democratic

See also:Arizona's 5th congressional district

This district has been represented by DemocratHarry Mitchell since 2007. Mitchell unseated conservative RepublicanJ.D. Hayworth by 50% to 47% in this Republican-leaning district in the northeastern Phoenix suburbs that gave George W. Bush 54% of the vote in 2004. The largely Republican nature of this district made a tough 2008 race certain, though Mitchell, who has a government complex inTempe named after him, had won a lot of tough elections in the past. The district had aPVI of R+4.[3]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticHarry Mitchell (incumbent)25,174100.0
Total votes25,174100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDavid Schweikert14,23329.5
RepublicanSusan Bitter Smith13,21227.4
RepublicanLaura Knaperek7,52315.6
RepublicanMark Anderson6,53913.6
RepublicanJim Ogsbury6,04212.5
RepublicanLee Gentry7061.5
Total votes48,255100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Warren Severin, businessman and nominee for this seat in2006

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianWarren Severin207100.0
Total votes207100.0

General election

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Harry
Mitchell (D)
David
Schweikert (R)
Undecided
Bennett, Petts and Normington (D)[42]March 9–11, 2008400 (LV)±4.9%50%24%26%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Harry
Mitchell (D)
Laura
Knaperek (R)
Undecided
Bennett, Petts and Normington (D)[42]March 9–11, 2008400 (LV)±4.9%49%26%25%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[18]Likely DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[19]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20]Lean DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[21]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[22]Lean DNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]
Arizona's 5th congressional district election, 2008[23]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticHarry Mitchell (incumbent)149,03353.2
RepublicanDavid Schweikert122,16543.6
LibertarianWarren Severin9,1583.3
Write-InRalph Hughes90.0
Total votes280,365100.0
Democratichold

District 6

[edit]
2008 Arizona's 6th congressional district election

← 2006
2010 →
 
NomineeJeff FlakeRebecca Schneider
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote208,582115,457
Percentage62.4%34.6%

County results
Flake:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Jeff Flake
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jeff Flake
Republican

See also:Arizona's 6th congressional district

Incumbent RepublicanJeff Flake, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 74.8% of the vote in 2006. There was no Democratic candidate in this heavily Republican district in 2004 or 2006. George W. Bush won with 64% here in 2004. The district had aPVI of R+12.[3]

Republican primary

[edit]

Flake, who was perhaps best known for his opposition topork barrel projects and advocacy for earmark reform ran unopposed.

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJeff Flake (incumbent)51,562100.0
Total votes51,562100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Richard Grayson, anApache Junction resident who ran as a write-in candidate inFlorida's 4th congressional district in 2004, filed with the Federal Election Commission to run for this seat as a Democrat, as did trucking-firm account manager Chris Gramazio.Rebecca Schneider (campaign website), a library supervisor fromMesa, also filed and ended up defeating Gramazio in the Democratic primary.

Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Chris Gramazio, trucking-firm account manager
Withdrawn
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticRebecca Schneider15,64473.8
DemocraticChris Gramazio5,56826.2
Total votes21,212100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Rick Biondi

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianRick Biondi175100.0
Total votes175100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[18]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[19]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[21]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[22]Safe RNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]
Arizona's 6th congressional district election, 2008[23]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJeff Flake (incumbent)208,58262.4
DemocraticRebecca Schneider115,45734.6
LibertarianRick Biondi10,1373.0
Total votes334,176100.0
Republicanhold

District 7

[edit]
2008 Arizona's 7th congressional district election

← 2006
2010 →
 
NomineeRaúl GrijalvaJoseph Sweeney
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote124,30464,425
Percentage63.3%32.8%

County results
Grijalva:     40–50%     50–60%     70–80%
Sweeney:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Raúl Grijalva
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Raúl Grijalva
Democratic

See also:Arizona's 7th congressional district

Incumbent DemocratRaúl Grijalva, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 61.1% of the vote in 2006. The district had aPVI of D+10.[3]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticRaúl Grijalva (incumbent)30,630100.0
Total votes30,630100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Joseph Sweeney, educator, nominee for this seat in2004 and candidate in2000,2002 &2006
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJoseph Sweeney11,01166.8
RepublicanMilton Chewning5,46433.2
Total votes16,475100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianRaymond Petrulsky (write-in)33100.0
Total votes33100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[18]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[19]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[21]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[22]Safe DNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]
Arizona's 7th congressional district election, 2008[23]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticRaúl Grijalva (incumbent)124,30463.3
RepublicanJoseph Sweeney64,42532.8
LibertarianRaymond Petrulsky7,7554.0
Write-InHarley Meyer50.0
Total votes196,489100.0
Democratichold

District 8

[edit]
2008 Arizona's 8th congressional district election

← 2006
2010 →
 
NomineeGabby GiffordsTim Bee
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote179,629140,553
Percentage54.7%42.8%

County results
Giffords:     40–50%     50–60%
Bee:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Gabby Giffords
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Gabby Giffords
Democratic

See also:Arizona's 8th congressional district

Incumbent DemocratGabby Giffords, who had represented the district since2007, ran for re-election. She was elected with 54.3% of the vote in 2006. The district had aPVI of R+1.[3]

Bush narrowly won here with 52% to 47% forJohn Kerry in 2004.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticGabby Giffords (incumbent)46,223100.0
Total votes46,223100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTim Bee52,671100.0
Total votes52,671100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianPaul Davis (write-in)40100.0
Total votes40100.0

Independents

[edit]

Derek Tidball (campaign website) also ran.

General election

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Early on in the campaign, Bee was assessed by theRothenberg Political Report to be the number one challenger race in the nation saying "In 2008, Giffords will face state Senate President Tim Bee (R), whose candidacy represents a slice of sunshine in an otherwise gloomy election cycle for national Republicans... the 8th District should feature one of the most competitive races for the House in the country."[44]Roll Call stated said that Bee's candidacy "erases some key advantages the freshman incumbent carried into her successful 2006 Congressional campaign."[45]

Giffords attracted a lot of attention in late May and June due to the shuttle flight of her husbandMark E. Kelly, who served as commander of the space shuttle'sSTS-124 mission.[46]

Bee's campaign generated state and national press coverage when his campaign co-chair, former CongressmanJim Kolbe, resigned and withdrew his support in early July.[47][48][49] Kolbe had held the seat for 22 years until Giffords took office in 2007.

On July 13, theArizona Republic summarized the race: "Giffords has proved adept at fundraising and is considered a rising star in Democratic circles. But Bee is one of the state's highest-profile political figures and has enlisted the support of some heavy-hitters, including President Bush, the headliner of a Tucson fundraiser planned for later this month." Giffords has the "advantages of incumbency. Plus, Bee is just off a tough legislative term in which he drew heavy criticism for his role in a state budget deal and the referral of an anti-gay-marriage proposal to the November ballot. Bee remains a popular political figure, and registered Republicans outnumber Democrats by more than 14,000 in the district."[1] On July 16, theArizona Republic reported that freshman Congresswoman Giffords "has proved to be the most successful fundraiser among the state's House delegation and now has more than $2 million in her campaign coffers."[50]

Polling

[edit]

Bee (R) vs Giffords (D-i) graph of collected poll results fromPollster.com

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gabby
Giffords (D)
Tim
Bee (R)
Undecided
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D)[51]June 18–22, 2008502 (LV)±?%58%32%10%
Kenski (R-Bee)[52]May 15–23, 2008500 (LV)±?%47%40%13%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[18]Likely DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[19]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20]Lean DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[21]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[22]Lean DNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]
Arizona's 8th congressional district election, 2008[23]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticGabby Giffords (incumbent)179,62954.7
RepublicanTim Bee140,55342.8
LibertarianPaul Davis8,0812.5
Write-InPaul Price30.0
Total votes328,266100.0
Democratichold

References

[edit]

Specific

  1. ^abArizona's most competitive congressional racesThe Arizona Republic, July 13, 2008.
  2. ^2008 Election InformationArchived 2008-07-23 at theWayback MachineArizona Secretary of State.
  3. ^abcdefgh"Cook Political Report, PVI for the 110th Congress"(PDF).cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  4. ^Arizona's Rep. Rick Renzi to retire[permanent dead link]Associated Press August 23, 2007. Retrieved August 24, 2007.
  5. ^Larson Newspapers (September 12, 2008)."Official results: Hay won a squeaker".redrocknews.com. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  6. ^Hay seeks GOP nomination for Renzi seat[permanent dead link]Associated Press August 30, 2007. Retrieved February 22, 2008.
  7. ^Theresa Bierer (August 21, 2008)."1st Congressional District Profiles: Sydney Hay Continues Work for Government Reform".knau.org/. KNAU. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  8. ^Laurel Morales (August 19, 2008)."1st Congressional District Profiles: Barry Hall Runs as the Anti-Politician".knau.org/. KNAU. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  9. ^Geoff Norcross (August 17, 2008)."1st Congressional District Profiles: Sandra Livingstone Emphasizes Local Roots".knau.org. KNAU. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  10. ^Gillian Ferris Kohl (August 27, 2008)."1st Congressional District Profiles: Newcomer Tom Hansen Touts His National Energy Grid System".knau.org. KNAU. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  11. ^abcdefghiMike Sunnucks (April 27, 2007)."Replacements waiting in wings as Renzi ponders resignation".bizjournals.com. The Business Journal of Phoenix. Archived fromthe original on April 28, 2007. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  12. ^abcMarie Horrigan (July 25, 2007)."More Dems Probing Bids for Seat of Embattled Arizona Republican".cqpolitics.com/. Congressional Quarterly. Archived fromthe original on October 12, 2007. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  13. ^Young, Ty (February 19, 2008)."Arizona Corporation Commissioner Kris Mayes considers run for Congress".Phoenix Business Journal. RetrievedJanuary 9, 2024.
  14. ^Marie Horrigan (August 23, 2007)."Embattled GOP Rep. Renzi to Retire From Arizona Seat".cqpolitics.com. Congressional Quarterly. Archived fromthe original on August 31, 2007. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  15. ^abcdefghijklmnop"STATE OF ARIZONA OFFICIAL CANVASS"(PDF).azsos.gov. Arizona Secretary of State. September 15, 2008. RetrievedOctober 17, 2023.
  16. ^abcdefMarie Horrigan (April 27, 2007)."Renzi Swats Down Rumors of Resignation as Candidates Eye House Seat".cqpolitics.com. Congressional Quarterly. Archived fromthe original on April 30, 2007. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  17. ^Ann Kirkpatrick for ArizonaArchived October 29, 2008, at theWayback Machine
  18. ^abcdefgh"2008 Competitive House Race Chart".House: Race Ratings.The Cook Political Report. November 6, 2006. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  19. ^abcdefgh"2008 House Ratings".House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. November 2, 2006. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  20. ^abcdefgh"2008 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 6, 2008. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  21. ^abcdefgh"Battle for the House of Representatives".realclearpolitics.com. Real Clear Politics. November 7, 2008. Archived fromthe original on December 17, 2008. RetrievedDecember 9, 2023.
  22. ^abcdefgh"Race Ratings Chart: House".cqpolitics.com. Congressional Quarterly Inc. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  23. ^abcdefgh"STATE OF ARIZONA OFFICIAL CANVASS: 2008 General Election - November 4, 2008"(PDF).Secretary of State of Arizona. December 1, 2008. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on December 19, 2008. RetrievedDecember 6, 2008.
  24. ^[1][dead link]
  25. ^Kraushaar, Josh (February 21, 2008)."Shadegg Un-retires, Will Run For Re-election".Politico. RetrievedFebruary 21, 2008.
  26. ^abHensley, J.J (February 14, 2008)."Shadegg is asked to stay".The Arizona Republic. RetrievedFebruary 15, 2008.
  27. ^Pershing, Ben (February 19, 2008)."Will McCain Quit the Senate?".The Washington Post.
  28. ^Newton, Casey (February 13, 2008)."Ex-lawmaker Steve May to seek Shadegg seat".The Arizona Republic. RetrievedJuly 25, 2010.
  29. ^"May drops out of GOP primary race against Shadegg".azcentral.com.The Arizona Republic.Associated Press. March 20, 2008. Archived fromthe original on March 6, 2016. RetrievedOctober 8, 2023.
  30. ^abcdefDavid M. Drucker (February 13, 2008)."Arizona: State Speaker Weiers Eyes Shadegg's Seat".rollcall.com/. Roll Call. RetrievedNovember 21, 2023.
  31. ^Astor, Maggie (February 4, 2006)."Independent Calls for End to Bipartisan Politics".Columbia Spectator.
  32. ^"Federal Elections Commission Disclosure Page for Annie Loyd". Archived fromthe original on October 5, 2008. RetrievedSeptember 10, 2008.
  33. ^"OpenSecrets.org". Archived fromthe original on April 9, 2008. RetrievedSeptember 10, 2008.
  34. ^Research 2000 (Daily Kos)
  35. ^Research 2000 (Daily Kos)
  36. ^Anzalone Liszt Research (D-DCCC)
  37. ^David M. Drucker (October 8, 2008)."Lord Shows No Mercy for John Shadegg".rollcall.com. Roll Call. RetrievedNovember 16, 2023.
  38. ^abcdefghi"Arizona GOP Targets Freshman Rep. Mitchell for 2008".Marie Horrigan. Congressional Quarterly. May 18, 2007. Archived fromthe original on November 3, 2008. RetrievedNovember 21, 2023.
  39. ^abcdefgDavid M. Drucker (October 2, 2007)."County Treasurer Eyes Race Against Mitchell".rollcall.com/. Roll Call. RetrievedNovember 23, 2023.
  40. ^[2]Archived October 10, 2007, at theWayback Machine
  41. ^David M. Drucker (September 4, 2007)."Republicans Mobilizing for Mitchell's House Seat".rollcall.com/. Roll Call. RetrievedNovember 16, 2023.
  42. ^abBennett, Petts and Normington (D)
  43. ^Daniel Scarpinato (January 20, 2008)."Bee running for House seat because 'Congress is broken'".Arizona Daily Star. Tucson, Arizona. Archived fromthe original on July 6, 2008. RetrievedAugust 14, 2023.
  44. ^"The Rothenberg Political Report: New Print Edition: Alaska At-Large & Arizona 8".Washington, D.C.:Stuart Rothenberg. March 12, 2008. RetrievedApril 20, 2009.
  45. ^GOP Gets Bee Team In Arizona – Roll Call
  46. ^Mary Ann Akers,Rep. Giffords's Spacey PartyArchived May 23, 2011, at theWayback MachineThe Washington Post, July 16, 2008.
  47. ^Evan Brown,Kolbe, Bush put AZ-8 back in national spotlightArchived September 7, 2008, at theWayback MachinePolitickerAZ.com, July 7, 2008.
  48. ^Bill Hess,Kolbe out of Bee’s hive; Bush set for fundraiserThe Sierra Vista Herald, July 4, 2008.
  49. ^Alexander Burns,Bee Gets Stung By Leading Campaign BackerCBS News, July 7, 2008.
  50. ^Matthew Benson,Incumbents lead money raceThe Arizona Republic, July 16, 2008.
  51. ^Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D)
  52. ^Kenski (R-Bee)

General

External links

[edit]
Preceded by
2006 elections
United States House elections in Arizona
2008
Succeeded by
2010 elections
Governor
Attorney General
Secretary of State
State Treasurer
Superintendent of Public Instruction
U.S. President
U.S. Senate
Class 1
Class 3
U.S. House
U.S.
President
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
(election
ratings
)
Governors
Attorneys
General
Other
statewide
elections
State
legislatures
Mayors
Local
States and territories
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2008_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Arizona&oldid=1317281923"
Categories:
Hidden categories:

[8]ページ先頭

©2009-2025 Movatter.jp