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2008 Canadian federal election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2008 Canadian federal election

← 2006October 14, 2008 (2008-10-14)2011 →

308 seats in theHouse of Commons
155 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout58.8% (Decrease 5.9pp)
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
Stephen Harper by Remy Steinegger Infobox.jpg
Stéphane Dion.jpg
LeaderStephen HarperStéphane DionGilles Duceppe
PartyConservativeLiberalBloc Québécois
Leader sinceMarch 20, 2004December 2, 2006March 15, 1997
Leader's seatCalgary SouthwestSaint-Laurent—CartiervilleLaurier—Sainte-Marie
Last election124 seats, 36.27%103 seats, 30.23%51 seats, 10.48%
Seats before1279548
Seats won1437749
Seat changeIncrease 16Decrease 18Increase 1
Popular vote5,209,0693,633,1851,379,991
Percentage37.65%26.26%9.98%[a]
SwingIncrease 1.38ppDecrease 3.97ppDecrease 0.50pp

 Fourth partyFifth party
 
Jack Layton-cr bl (cropped).jpg
Elizabeth May 2a.jpg
LeaderJack LaytonElizabeth May
PartyNew DemocraticGreen
Leader sinceJanuary 24, 2003August 27, 2006
Leader's seatToronto—DanforthRan inCentral Nova (lost)
Last election29 seats, 17.48%0 seats, 4.48%
Seats before301
Seats won370
Seat changeIncrease 7Decrease 1
Popular vote2,515,288937,613
Percentage18.18%6.78%
SwingIncrease 0.70ppIncrease 2.30pp

Results by electoral district, shaded by winners' vote share
Results by province and territory

Prime Minister before election

Stephen Harper
Conservative

Prime Minister after election

Stephen Harper
Conservative

The2008 Canadian federal election was held on October 14, 2008, to elect members to theHouse of Commons of Canada of the40th Canadian Parliament after theprevious parliament had been dissolved byGovernor GeneralMichaëlle Jean on September 7, 2008.

ConservativePrime MinisterStephen Harper called the election due to his belief that there was a lack of cooperation between theminority government Conservatives and the opposition parties, which the former had to rely on to pass legislation; hence Harper argued that Parliament had reached the end of its productiveness.

The election resulted in a second but stronger minority government for Harper's Conservatives. While they were a dozen seats away from amajority government, theLiberal Party led byStéphane Dion lost 18 seats as theNew Democratic Party and theBloc Québécois made slight gains. TheGreen Party failed to win any seats and lostits only Member of Parliament. Following the election, the Liberals and New Democratsattempted to form a coalition government and topple the Conservatives from power, but were unsuccessful in doing so.

With a turnout of 58.8% of eligible voters, this election had the lowest in Canadian federal election history, and to date is the only time it has ever dipped below the 60% threshold. This was the first election since1988 in which acentre-right party won the most seats inOntario.

Background

[edit]
See also:Fixed election dates in Canada

In 2007, Parliament passed a law fixing federal election dates every four years and scheduling the next election date as October 19, 2009, but the law did not limit the powers of the Governor General to dissolve Parliament at any time, such as whenopposition parties bring down the government on avote of confidence. In this election there was no loss of a non-confidence vote, but the Prime Minister asked the Governor General to call an election. The Governor General granted the Prime Minister's request.

2006 election

[edit]

64.7% of eligible voters cast ballots in the2006 federal election. TheConservative Party received the most votes of any single party, with 36% of the vote, and won 124 seats (127 at dissolution). The Liberal Party won fewer seats than in 2004 – 103 seats (96 at dissolution), and 30% of the vote. The Bloc Québécois lost three seats, lowering its total to 51 seats (48 at dissolution), with 10.5% of the vote. The NDP retained its seats held at thedissolution of Parliament, and won 11 more, making its total 29 seats (30 at dissolution), with 17.5% of the vote. TheGreen Party received 4.5% of the vote, a minimal increase from the previous election, but did not win any seats (1 at dissolution).Independents and other parties constituted 1% of the total vote with one independent winning a seat.

Events since the 2006 election

[edit]
Further information:39th Canadian Parliament
  Conservatives (143)
  Liberals (77)
  Bloc Québécois (49)
  New Democrats (37)
  Independent (2)

Since the 2006 election, sevenMembers of Parliament (MPs) had changed party:David Emerson,Wajid Khan, andJoe Comuzzi from Liberal to Conservative;Garth Turner from Conservative to Independent to Liberal;Blair Wilson from Liberal to Independent to Green;Louise Thibault from Bloc Québécois to Independent; andBill Casey from Conservative to Independent. In by-elections, the NDP gained one seat from the Liberal Party, while the Conservative Party gained two seats, one from the Liberals and one from the Bloc Québécois. Four seats were vacant when the election was called: three previously held by the Liberal Party, one by the Bloc Québécois.

The parliament preceding this election was led by the Conservatives, who governed with the smallest plurality ever in the Canadian House of Commons, just 40.6% of the seats. Although the average length of aminority parliament in Canada is 1 year, 5 months, and 22 days (measured from the return of the writs after an election to the dissolution of that parliament), minorities led by the formerProgressive Conservative Party have been much shorter: the longest previous Conservative minority was just 6 months and 19 days.[1] The 39th Parliament became Canada's longest serving Conservative minority on October 24, 2006.

On May 30, 2006, the Conservativestabled An Act to Amend the Canada Elections Act, which would amend theCanada Elections Act to provide fixed election dates. The bill received royal assent on May 3, 2007. The bill stated that there would be an election in 2009, and it would be the first to have a fixed election date, the third Monday in October (October 19, 2009). Despite the bill, on September 7, 2008, thePrime Minister sought the dissolution of the 39th Parliament, and the Governor General agreed to hold a general election on October 14, 2008.

On February 15, 2007,The Globe and Mail reported that the Conservatives were preparing for an election expected to be called shortly after the 2007 budget, due on March 19, 2007. Part of the reason for the timing of the election was given as strengthening Conservative poll numbers coupled with the desire to take advantage of the perception that Harper has "better leadership qualities than Liberal counterpartStéphane Dion".[2]

On March 17, 2007, an internal Conservative Party memo was leaked toThe Canadian Press, telling members that they "need to be ready to campaign within the next week". The memo asked members to donate $75 to $150 to help to fund the early stages of the election campaign. None of these predictions for a federal election to occur in 2007 proved true, but the majority ofpundits still believed a federal election would be triggered before the fixed election date of October 19, 2009, for sometime in 2008.

Stephen Harper hinted at the possibility of dissolving parliament on August 14, 2008. Speaking inNewfoundland and Labrador, he cited Stéphane Dion as the main player in making Parliament become increasingly "dysfunctional". "I'm going to have to make a judgment in the next little while as to whether or not this Parliament can function productively," Harper said. This came after repeatedconfidence votes that resulted in the NDP and Bloc parties not voting in favour of the government, and the Liberal Party voting in favour or not attending the vote. Rumours of a possible fall election were further fuelled by Harper's announcement of a fourth federal by-election for September 22 in the Toronto riding ofDon Valley West.[3][4]

On August 27, 2008, Harper asked Governor GeneralMichaëlle Jean to cancel her trip to theParalympic Games in Beijing, adding fuel to speculation that the Prime Minister would seek a dissolution. On September 7, 2008, after much speculation, Harper asked the Governor General to call a federal election on October 14, 2008.

Timeline

[edit]
  • February 6, 2006: HarperCabinet is sworn in.
  • May 3, 2007: Bill C-16 receivesRoyal Assent. This bill states that the next election must be held on October 19, 2009, unless there is an earlier dissolution.
  • August 26, 2008: Harper indicates he may call an election for the fall of 2008; Parliament could be dissolved as early as the week of September 1–6.
  • August 29, 2008: Harper meets with Gilles Duceppe, the leader of the Bloc Québécois in an attempt to find common ground between the Bloc and the Conservatives.
  • August 30, 2008:
  • September 1, 2008: Harper meets with Stéphane Dion, the leader of the Liberals, in an attempt to find common ground between the Liberals and the Conservatives, and avert the dissolution of Parliament, allowing the fall session to continue as planned. However, after a twenty-minute meeting at24 Sussex Drive, the PM's official residence, Dion emerges stating there is no common ground between the two parties, and that an election is certain.
  • September 5, 2008: ThePrime Minister's Office (PMO) announces that Prime Minister Stephen Harper will visit the Governor General at 9:00 am on September 7, 2008, to ask for the dissolution of the 39th Parliament and a general election on October 14, 2008.[5]
  • September 7, 2008: Prime Minister Harper asks Governor General Michaëlle Jean to call a general election on October 14, 2008. She accepts the request.[6]
  • October 14, 2008: Elections held for members of the House of Commons in the40th Canadian Parliament.[7]
  • November 4, 2008: Writs to be returned to the Chief Election Officer.[7]
  • November 18, 2008: 40th Parliament summoned.[8]
  • December 1, 2008: The Liberals and NDP sign agreement[9] on proposed coalition government to replace the governing Conservatives under Prime Minister Harper.[10]
  • December 1, 2008: The Liberals, NDP, and Bloc Québécois sign "policy accord"[11] whereby the Bloc would support a Liberal/NDP government for at least 18 months.[10]
  • December 4, 2008: Parliament prorogued by the Governor General during theparliamentary dispute on advice of the Prime Minister.[12]
  • January 26, 2009: Parliament to reconvene for second session.[12]

Pre-election

[edit]
icon
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In August 2008, Prime Minister Stephen Harper said he was considering calling an election because of a lack of cooperation in Parliament, saying "all the signs indicate that this Parliament is at the end of its productiveness," while inInuvik,Northwest Territories. The Conservative Party of Canada fueled rumours of an oncoming election when it released severalcampaign advertisements that focused on a range of issues, and attacked the Liberal Party of Canada for their proposedcarbon tax. ThePrime Minister's Office (PMO) confirmed that Harper would call an election for October 14 after meeting with New Democratic Party leaderJack Layton and Bloc Québécois leaderGilles Duceppe, which gave the Prime Minister little hope that a fall session of Parliament can be productive, PMO officials said.[13] Senior government officials announced on the first of September that Stephen Harper would ask the Governor General,Michaëlle Jean, to dissolve parliament and call an election for October 14, after he met with Liberal leader Stéphane Dion who called the meeting a "charade". Dion said the two were unable to agree on how to make the upcoming session of Parliament, slated to begin September 15, more productive.

Liberal Party members gathered inWinnipeg on September 2, for a three-day caucus which changed from preparing for a new parliamentary session to a strategy session to formulate a plan to attack the Conservatives while healing internal party rifts that have surfaced in recent weeks. Conservatives began spending at least $60 million on pre-election funding projects to a wide variety of institutions and groups. A few announcements have been big, includingIndustry MinisterJim Prentice's pledge of $25 million for the expansion of theNorthlands exhibition facility inEdmonton. But the Tories have also announced a number of smaller projects, including $40,000 for the 2008 55+ Games and $25,000 for the Peace Window of theHoly Trinity Anglican Church in Winnipeg. The announcements have also been spread out across the country. The Atlantic region is to get more than $500,000 for youth jobs and eight cultural organizations. The Association of Book Publishers ofBritish Columbia will receive $81,000. Jack Layton attacked the Conservative Party as bribing the public and doing the same thing they used to complain about the Liberals doing before elections.

A survey conducted byEnvironics found that 38 per cent of Canadians would vote for the Conservative party if an election were held immediately, 28 per cent would vote for the Liberal party, 19 for the NDP, eight for the Bloc Québécois and seven for the Green party. The poll shows Conservatives taking early leads inOntario, British Columbia andthe Prairies. InAtlantic Canada, Liberals still hold a strong majority, while in Quebec the Bloc Québécois leads while the Conservatives and Liberals are almost tied for second. When asked, most Canadians said the Conservatives would handle the economy better, while most said the Liberals would handle the environment better.

On September 7, Harper officially asked for the dissolution of Parliament, and called for an election on October 14.

Election campaign

[edit]

The 40th Canadian Federal Election campaign officially began at 8:20 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time when Governor General Michaëlle Jean accepted Stephen Harper's request to dissolve Parliament and call an election for October 14, 2008. The party leaders jumped right into the campaign, withStéphane Dion attacking the Conservatives' record, presenting the Liberal plan, and rejected the accusation by Harper that the Liberal party is a risky choice.Jack Layton took a more forceful approach than previous elections, in which the New Democratic Party has just tried to maintain a high number of seats in Parliament to influence government. Layton has made it clear he will campaign for the position of prime minister itself this time, but also returned to a longstanding NDP theme: alleged abuses by big business. He promised to stop what he called "ripoffs" by big oil, cellphone and banks, and his attacks are expected to focus on the Conservatives and all but ignore the Liberals.Elizabeth May of the Green Party said Canadians would care enough about the environment to vote for her party, as long as she was able to get into the television debates. Stephen Harper has stated his objection to including the Green Party into television debates because of the similar policies of the Green and Liberal party, and how it would be unfair. Bloc Québécois LeaderGilles Duceppe said the Conservatives must be prevented from winning a majority, and theBQ is the only party that can do that. Duceppe compared Harper toUS PresidentGeorge W. Bush, and said the government is incompetent.

Leaders' debates

[edit]
See also:Canadian leaders' debates § 2008 debates

The two Leaders' Debates of 2008, one each in French and English, included the leaders of five parties, Stephen Harper of the Conservatives, Stéphane Dion of the Liberals, Jack Layton of the NDP, Gilles Duceppe of the Bloc Québécois and Elizabeth May of the Green Party.

The French-language debate aired on Wednesday, October 1 from 8 to 10 p.m.EDT, moderated byStéphan Bureau, a journalist and host. The English-language debate aired Thursday, October 2 from 9 to 11 p.m. EDT, withSteve Paikin ofTVOntario as moderator.

Participation

[edit]

Three parties — the Conservatives, the Bloc Québécois and the NDP — opposed the inclusion of the Green Party, citing statements made by Green Party leader Elizabeth May to the effect that the best outcome of the election would be a Liberal-led government, and a deal struck between the Green Party and Liberals where the Liberals would not run in May's riding, Central Nova, and the Green party in Liberal leader Stéphane Dion's riding, Saint-Laurent—Cartierville, which they say make May a "second Liberal candidate".[14]

Stephen Harper and Jack Layton are reported to have said that if the Green Party were included, they would not participate in the Leaders' Debates. Dion said that while he supports May's inclusion, he would not attend if Harper does not, and the Bloc Québécois has stated it will not boycott the debates if May is included.[15] The media consortium in charge of the debate, made up of theCBC,CTV,Global Television andTVA, had decided that it would prefer to broadcast the debates with the four major party leaders, rather than risk not at all or with minimal participation. The Green Party indicated they had begun procedures to lodge a formal complaint with theCanadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission,[16][17] as they have in past federal elections.

On September 10, Harper and Layton released statements that they would not oppose May's inclusion in the debate, citing public backlash and protests — with neither acknowledging making the threat of boycotting the debate — and that the media consortium would reconvene to discuss the matter. Layton stated that "debating about the debate" had become a "distraction", and that he had only one condition, that Stephen Harper be there. In response, spokespeople for Stephen Harper announced they would not stand alone in opposition to the Green Party's inclusion in the debates and also changed their position on the matter.[14] Later that day the consortium announced that May would be allowed to participate in the debate.[14]

Format change

[edit]

On September 30, Harper announced that he would ask for the 12 minutes on the economy scheduled for the Leader's Debate to be extended to an hour, citing that the2008 financial crisis "has deepened since the debate format was finalized", a change which would require agreement from the other parties in the debate to be approved. The NDP released a statement soon after that they supported the move, while public response has been concerned that other topics such as the environment would not end up with enough time to cover the issue.[18]

On October 1, the day of the first debate, it was announced that both debates would get extended time, from 12 to 30 minutes, for the economy, and leaders would not give opening and closing statements, to allow for longer discussions on the economy without removing time from other topics. It was also revealed that instead of leaders standing at individual podiums for the debate, as had been done in past years, the debate would be done in around table format.[19]

Debates

[edit]
French debate
[edit]

Much of the French debate revolved around the economy and the environment, with the two topics repeatedly being brought up in discussions allotted for other topics. Stephen Harper came under criticism from every other leader in nearly every topic, especially the economy and environment, with the other party leaders stating that Harper's politics had led to Canada's current crises in those two areas. Their points included that Harper's environmental plan was considered the worst of all developed countries by organizations around the world, with Elizabeth May labeling it "a type of fraud",[20] and that his attempts to remove regulations in the financial sectors, similar to those done by theBush administration in the United States, have led Canada to being nearly as affected by the2008 financial crisis as the United States.[20]

Continuous comparisons of Harper toGeorge W. Bush were made over the course of the debate, with Jack Layton stating at one point that with Bush ending his presidency at the end of the year, Harper would be "the last leader of a developed country to follow theBush doctrine".[20]

English debate
[edit]

Following the same tone as the French debate, much of the discussion revolved around the economy and the environment. The other four leaders keep criticizing Harper, especially for his lack of an economic platform despite asking for the format change to focus more on the economy due to theGreat Recession, and instead using the time to criticize the economic platforms of the other leaders.[21] May lashed out at Harper for not understanding that Canadians were worried about their homes, jobs and finances, and comparing the current situation toDutch disease, Dion stated that the only thing that keeps Canada from being hit as hard by the crisis as the US are laws created by the previous Liberal government that the Conservatives had been attempting to overturn, Duceppe repeatedly criticized Harper for financial practices and attitudes similar to theBush administration, and Layton at one point stated that Harper's position showed he was either incompetent or uncaring to the situation, and asked which one he was, to which Harper did not respond. Harper also came under criticism for his laissez-faire attitude to the job sector, supporting primarily the oil companies and companies that outsource jobs in the manufacturing sector.

When it turned to the environment, the Carbon Tax proposal came up repeatedly, with both Dion and May supporting it, although May to more ambitious figures than Dion, pointing out it was the most recommended and proven way to deal with carbon emissions by countries and organizations around the world, noting the growth that Sweden and Germany have had with this system.[21] Harper criticized the plan, saying would increase taxpayers' burden and that Dion should be "honest with the people" that some environmental measures will cost the economy and said the plan includes $40 billion in carbon taxes and $26 billion in tax cuts.[21] Dion defended the Liberals' Green Shift, saying that "[Harper's statements are] not true at all", and that "for every dollar that we will raise, you will have a tax cut, and these tax cuts will be on your income".[21] Duceppe commented that he would like targets to be applied to individual provinces, thereby allowing Quebec to financially benefit due to already-implemented greenhouse gas reductions.[21] Layton, who favours acap-and-trade system, said that it is a "figment of Mr. Harper's imagination" that emissions will fall under his plan.[21] When Harper sought to outline his government's record on other environmental fronts, giving examples of his minority government's support for the preservation of hundreds of thousands of hectares of environmentally sensitive land through theNature Conservancy of Canada, and that the government declared a protected marine area byLake Superior and created a whale sanctuary byBaffin Island; May responded by saying "The only word he said that's true is on national parks".[21]

Layton also criticized Dion for his lack of accomplishments as official opposition during the minority government, and his party's previous leader's broken promises in areas such as Child Care and Pharmacare.[21]

Duceppe painted the Conservative government's $45 million in national arts and culture funding cuts as an assault on the province's identity, saying "How can you recognize the Quebec nation and then cut culture [funding], which is the soul of a nation?" followed by citing the economic benefits of culture.[21]

Harper also said he had erred in calling for Canada's participation in the 2003 U.S.-led invasion of Iraq, saying "It was absolutely an error, it's obviously clear", adding that the claim of weapons of mass destruction proved false.[21]

Commenting on the debate, Layton said that he "thoroughly enjoyed" May's contributions to the debate.[22] ReporterJulie Van Dusen said that Harper managed to take the hits calmly, as "someone must have told him ... if you fight back or get too partisan, you're going to alienate voters, especially women".[22] Duceppe said he was happy to have forced Harper to admit his support of joining the Iraq war in 2003 was a mistake, adding he will use the admission in the campaign as "Exhibit A" that the Conservative leader lacks solid judgment skills, and that Harper was weakened when he confirmed he does not support a refundable tax credit for the manufacturing industry to encourage companies to improve productivity.[22]

Issues

[edit]

Arts

[edit]

Stephen Harper had cut $45 million from arts funding while in office, a move that drew much criticism from the other leaders andQuebec citizens, with most leaders seeking to restore the funding. The Conservatives have stated that the money is being reallocated to other arts and cultural programs, including various official languages projects, the400th anniversary of Quebec City and projects connected with the2010 Vancouver-Whistler Winter Olympic Games, although the Conservatives' refusal to have a parliamentary review of their cuts and for a moratorium on the measures until theHouse of Commons Heritage Committee had a chance to hold hearings on culture and arts funding has most opposition members calling foul.[23]

Both Stéphane Dion and Jack Layton have promised to reverse the cut, with Dion also promising to increase funding toCanada Council for the Arts to $360 million, while Layton also promised to bring income averaging for artists to the national level and providing an annual tax exemption of $20,000 for income earned by copyright and residuals, stating that "one of the key things we must do, before we start giving $50-billion tax giveaways to banks and oil companies, is to protect and promote the arts" and "stable, sure and appropriate funding" forCBC/Radio-Canada while also protectingTelefilm Canada and theCanadian Television Fund.[23]

Harper has said that he believes that the issue is a "niche topic", and that "ordinary Canadians" are not particularly concerned with the issue.[24] A group of Canadian performers, which includedArt Hindle,Wendy Crewson andGordon Pinsent, held a press conference on September 24, saying the cuts would cripple the Canadian arts industry.[24]

On September 29, Harper unveiled a new tax credit plan worth an estimated $150 million a year to encourage parents to enroll their kids in arts programs like music and drama. The credit will apply on up to $500 of eligible fees for children under 16 who participate in eligible arts activities. Harper said that "[the Conservatives] spend a lot more on culture and arts" but "in a way that we ensure is an effective use of taxpayers' money and ultimately, in this case, benefits families and all of society as well". Harper has come under criticism when the week before he expressed his opinion that "ordinary working people were unable to relate to taxpayer-subsidized cultural elites when they see them at a rich gala on television".[25]

Alleged Cadman bribe attempt

[edit]
Main article:Chuck Cadman § Legal controversy

In early 2008 it was alleged that Independent MPChuck Cadman ofSurrey North, who was terminally ill with cancer at the time, had been offered a million dollar life insurance policy in exchange for voting against the proposed Liberal budget in May 2005, which he turned down. Under section 119 of theCriminal Code, it is illegal to bribe an MP. Accordingly, Opposition Liberal party Intergovernmental Affairs criticDominic LeBlanc asked theRoyal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) in February 2008 to investigate this allegation. In May 2008, the RCMP announced that there was not enough evidence to support charges.[26]Cadman died in July. The following month, Harper stated in a court deposition that any such million-dollar offer would have to be authorized by him, and that he did not issue any such authorization.[27][28] There is currently an ongoing legal battle between the Liberals and the Conservatives over the matter.

On September 24, while campaigning in Surrey North, Stephen Harper's campaign team barred reporters from talking with the local Conservative candidate,Dona Cadman, who is Chuck Cadman's widow. The campaign team called in theRoyal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP), and ordered them to "Keep [the reporters] out" while Cadman was taken away by staff. Harper spokesmanKory Teneycke later stated that he had not seen the incident, but the local candidates did not need to be interviewed, that "Local candidates' priority is campaigning in their local ridings, and not talking to the national media", and that it should be enough that they hold daily news conferences with the party's most prominent members.[29]

The incident has reminded people of Conservative tactics during the 2006 election, where attempts by the media to speak with local candidates were stopped by campaign personnel, especially theHarold Albrecht incident, where campaign officials forced Albrecht to stay in a restaurant kitchen when journalists attempted to interview him.[29]

The Conservatives chose former U.S.Federal Bureau of Investigation agentBruce Koenig to analyze a tape of reporterTom Zytaruk interviewing Harper on the Cadman bribe attempt. The tape was a key piece of evidence in the ongoing legal battle. On October 10, Koenig announced that the tape had not been altered in any way, contrary to the claims by Stephen Harper that it had been altered.[30]

Canadian involvement in Afghanistan

[edit]
Main article:Canada's role in the invasion of Afghanistan

The ongoinginvolvement of theCanadian Forces inAfghanistan may also influence voters. Desmond Morton, a political science professor atMcGill University suggested that the Conservatives could be blamed for the war because they have extended the mission twice, despite the fact that it was then Liberal LeaderJean Chrétien who was Canada's prime minister when Canada's current military involvement in Afghanistan first started in 2001. Both the Conservatives and Liberals have at various times agreed to extend the mission(s) to at least 2011, so this may result in some Canadians who are strongly against Canada's ongoing involvement, who might have otherwise typically voted either Liberal or Conservative in the past, to take their votes elsewhere in 2008.[31]

Cities and infrastructure

[edit]

Toronto MayorDavid Miller has spoken out that the parties need to focus more on cities and their infrastructure, stating that 8 out of 10 Canadians live in cities, and that so far only theGreen party has revealed a platform on the issue, with a national transit strategy and plans to give cities a permanent revenue source to help fix a growing infrastructure backlog. Miller stated he will not endorse a specific party, but urges people to choose a party that will "help cities thrive". He disagrees with Stephen Harper's opinion that "cities are not of national importance".[32]

On September 18, Stéphane Dion pledged to spend more than $70 billion over the next 10 years to improve Canada's infrastructure if elected, and budget surpluses that exceed a $3-billion contingency fund to infrastructure projects, particularly those with a green focus, calling Canada's cities and towns "the engines of our economy".Stephen Harper immediately lashed out at the spending proposal, saying Dion was "promising money no government could afford" and that the Conservatives' infrastructure plans "are modest and affordable within the four-year budget we've published".[33]

On September 23,Montreal and Toronto mayorsGérald Tremblay and David Miller laid out their demands for urban municipalities, describing cities' current financial problems as a national issue, saying that cities have become the country's economic, social and cultural development engines and need appropriate support, and that they need better "fiscal tools" to continue their role as Canada's economic engines or the country will suffer. They listedHomelessness,traffic gridlock,crowded buses and overstretchedpolice departments as just a few of the symptoms, that "These problems are too big and too important to be solved on the backs of property taxpayers" and that "in order to remain competitive, transport goods efficiently and attract new talent, our cities require quality infrastructure, affordable housing and first-rate recreational and cultural facilities".Jean Perrault, president of theFederation of Canadian Municipalities and mayor ofSherbrooke,Quebec, has stated that things like theFederal Gas Tax Fund were an important federal commitment, but that more is needed to tackle cities' overwhelming infrastructure needs.[34]

On September 29, Layton announced plans to direct one cent per litre of the gas tax, approximately $400 million a year, into transit projects across the country, and direct $350 million from the sale of carbon permits to big polluters, saying that "the major polluters would be the ones paying to make transit greener, not you and your families", and that "fighting climate change requires investing in transit, and that's what our plan does".[35]

Economy

[edit]

Polls have suggested that theeconomy is the major issue going into this election, especially with the resulting high price of gas, along with rising prices of other goods and services, such as food, and the possible impact the2008 financial crisis may have on Canada. Some experts say that Canada has just narrowly dodged arecession, although the economy is in its worst shape since 1991.[36]

Both Dion and Harper have said that the others' plans will lead Canada into a recession, while Dion also stated that Harper has "mismanaged a once-booming economy into one with growth dropping to among the lowest of theG8 nations".[33]

The Conservatives have stated possible negative consequences that could happen to the economy based on Liberalelection promises if they were to be elected.[33] As of September 20, 2008, Liberal election promises have totaled in excess of $80 billion spending over the next decade.[37] In contrast, the cost of programs promised by the Conservatives to date is less than $2 billion annually.[37] Stephen Harper, the Prime Minister, has criticized the Liberals' spending promises, saying they are making "mind-boggling" spending plans that he predicts would send Canada into deficit.[37]

After the rejection of theproposed bailout of the United States financial system and resulting market fluctuation all over the world, including theToronto Stock Exchange, Jack Layton called for Harper to call a special meeting for federal party leaders to discuss the potential effects of the2008 financial crisis on Canadians, suggestion the afternoon of October 1, since all leaders would be in Ottawa for thefirst Leaders' Debate that night. A spokesman for Harper later reported that Harper would not call such a meeting, and to save discussion for the Leader's Debate, as "[they] will have an opportunity later this week to debate—not behind closed doors but in front of all Canadians—the issues at stake not [just] for our economy but for our country".[38] Harper later announced that he would ask for the 12 minutes on the economy scheduled for the Leader's Debate to be extended to an hour, citing that the2008 financial crisis "has deepened since the debate format was finalized", a change which would require agreement from the other parties in the debate to be approved. The NDP released a statement soon after that they supported the move, while public response has been concerned that other topics such as the environment would not end up with enough time to cover the issue.[18] All the leaders supported the idea, and the opening and closing statements were dropped and the allotted time for the economy extended to 30 minutes without affecting the other topics.[19]

During the Leaders' Debates Harper repeatedly came under fire for lack of an economic plan in the current time of crisis and while campaigning, and for his lack of ability to explain how he would deal with the current crisis, merely repeating that Canada was unlikely to face such a crisis as he had made "different choices" than the US while in power without being able to explain what those different choices were, as all of his examples were immediately compared to practices done by theBush administration, and insisted that Canadians "don't panic". In response to mounting pressure from the public, Harper announced on October 3 that he would reveal his party's platform, including economic matters, on October 7, one week before the election.[22]

Environment

[edit]

Shortly after the election was called, Harper was criticized for using a four-vehiclemotorcade that included a van andSUV to travel the 395 m (1,296 ft) across the street from the door of24 Sussex Drive to the door ofRideau Hall to dissolve parliament.[6] In return, the Conservatives criticized the Liberal party's decision to use a 29-year-oldBoeing 737-200 for campaigning, saying that the older airplane's poor fuel efficiency demonstrates hypocrisy on environmental matters. Daniel Lauzon, a spokesperson for the Liberals, denied their airplane was substantially less efficient than the Conservatives'Airbus A319.[39]

The Tories have been previously criticized for backing out of Canada's commitments under theKyoto Protocol.[40] Their new plan requires industries to reduce the rate at which they generategreenhouse gases, with a goal of reducing overall emissions by 45 to 65 percent by 2050.[41] The plan has been criticized by groups such as theSierra Club, who called it "completely inadequate".[42] Criticism has focused on the use of "intensity-based" targets, for which emission reductions are relative to overall production, so overall emissions could potentially increase if production also increases.[41] This is in contrast to a "hard cap" on emissions, for which the overall amount cannot increase. The Conservatives' plan includes a hard cap to begin in 2020 or 2025,[41] while environmental groups have advocated for an immediate hard cap.[41][42]

The Liberals have developed a "Green Shift" plan, creating acarbon tax that will be coupled with reductions toincome tax rates. The proposal was to taxgreenhouse gas emissions, starting at $10 (Canadian) per ton of CO2 and reaching $40 (Canadian) per ton within four years. The plan would engage in revenue recycling by matching the tax with reductions in the income tax.[43] Criticism of the Green Shift plan has focused on its economic effects, with the Conservatives predicting it would cause a "big recession".[44] When pressed by reporters to provide evidence of this impact, Harper "wasn't able to cite a study that specifically modelled the impact of the Liberal Green Shift plan",[45] instead citing an older economic model about the implementation of the Kyoto Protocol.

Onetrucking association claimed the Liberal carbon tax plan could put up to 10,000 jobs in jeopardy in Moncton alone.[46] Environmental activistDavid Suzuki has come out in support of Dion's plan, saying "To oppose [the carbon tax plan], it's just nonsense. It's certainly the way we got to go"[47] and giving an interview explaining why it is the most effective way to solve the environmental crisis.[48]

The NDP's plan for the environment has focused onemissions trading, claiming their system will decrease greenhouse emissions by 80% by 2050.[49] The plan includes a series of financial incentives to retrofitpublic transit systems and transition the economy to be "green-collar". The plan would also halt newoil sands development until emissions have been capped.[50] Layton has also criticized the Liberal carbon tax plan, stating it taxes families instead of polluters.[51]

Equalization

[edit]
Main article:Anything But Conservative

Danny Williams, theProgressive Conservative premier ofNewfoundland and Labrador, launched a campaign calledAnything But Conservative, primarily targeted at Harper and the federal Conservatives. He opposes a Conservative majority, due in part to Harper's promise during the 2006 election to modify theequalization formula to fully share offshore oil revenues with the province, which Williams says Harper has broken, and what Harper has stated he will do with a majority government.[52] Accordingly, all but one member of the provincial PC caucus supported not voting Conservative in this election.[citation needed]

Leo Power, a veteran of federal politics and the Conservative Party of Canada's campaign co-chair for Newfoundland and Labrador, said raising money and recruiting volunteers has proved difficult, and blames Williams's ABC campaign, saying it has cut deep into the federal election machine that is struggling to compete. Power has also said his party's best hope of winning a seat in the province is in the riding ofAvalon with incumbent candidateFabian Manning.[53] Manning was defeated by LiberalScott Andrews, whileSt. John's East andSt. John's South—Mount Pearl, which were represented by Conservatives not running for re-election, were won by the NDP and Liberals, respectively, leaving the Conservatives with no representatives in Newfoundland and Labrador.

Leadership

[edit]

Since before the election was announced, the Conservative party ran attack ads about Dion, saying he was not a capable leader. Dion criticized the Conservatives for running the ads.[54]

On October 9, Stephen Harper called into question the abilities of Liberal leader Dion after footage from the false starts of an interview onCTV Atlantic, and later rebroadcast onMike Duffy Live, were aired to the public, and criticized Dion's grasp of the English language and the strength of the Liberals' plan for the Canadian economy. In the footage Dion repeatedly failed to understand theconditional perfect construction used by the interviewer in a single repeatedly asked question.

The footage shows interviewerSteve Murphy asking Dion the question: "If you were the Prime Minister now, what would you have done about the economy, and this crisis, that Mr. Harper has not done?". Dion had difficulty in understanding the question, repeatedly asking Murphy to clarify if he meant if Dion was Prime Minister now, next Tuesday on election day, last week, last month, 60 weeks ago, or two and a half years ago. Eventually, after three start overs to the interview, Dion responded with what he would do if elected Prime Minister in the future. CTV initially agreed to restart the interviews and not air the false starts but changed their minds and announced that they felt it was their responsibility to show it.[55] Harper responded to the clips by saying that "When you're running a trillion-and-a-half-dollar economy you don't get a chance to have do-overs, over and over again" and "What this incident actually indicates very clearly is Mr. Dion and the Liberal Party really don't know what they would do on the economy", and when told that the difficulties were in part due to English being Dion's second language, Harper said: "I don't think this is a question of language at all. The question was very clear. It was asked repeatedly".[56][57][58][59]

Mark Dunn, a spokesman for Dion, accused the Tories of making fun of the Liberal leader's hearing issues. Dion responded to Harper's comments, saying Harper had "no class", saying "I did not understand the question", and "Maybe it's because I have a hearing problem, maybe because [English is] my second language, but I did not understand the question".[60] Both the Conservatives and the CTV have come under criticism for their handling of the footage, but they have stated they stand by their actions.[60] Duceppe has called Harper's comments a "double standard", saying that many English-speaking politicians have little or no ability to speak French, yet francophones are somehow always expected to be perfect, and that the attack was an attempted "low blow". But Duceppe also took the opportunity to criticise Dion, suggesting he understood the question. "The real question is that I think Dion understood the question. The real problem wasn't the language, it was the substance," Duceppe said, "He had nothing to say".[61] Layton also defended Dion, saying he has "struggled with questions, too".[61]

Former Prime MinisterJean Chrétien has come out criticizing Harper's leadership abilities, noting especially Harper's controlling ways with his cabinet ministers, saying he would have quit if former prime ministerPierre Elliott Trudeau had treated him that way, that "Mr. Dion was a minister for nine years. And Mr. Harper arrived there with no experience and it shows", that the phrase 'Tory times are bad times', in use since the 1930s, was still true and that "Harper destroyed 50 years of relationships with China", Canada's second biggest trading partner after the US, noting both past Liberal and Progressive Conservative governments sought to maintain its dealings with the key trading partner. Former Prime MinisterPaul Martin has also supported Dion's plans and abilities, and many have noted Dion's ability to get both Chrétien and Martin to support him, despite Chrétien and Martin's ongoing feud.[62]

Listeriosis outbreak

[edit]
Main article:2008 Canadian listeriosis outbreak

TheMinister of AgricultureGerry Ritz, who has already been criticized by Canada's food scientists for his handling of the2008 listeriosis outbreak,[63] has also been criticized for making inappropriate comments, further angering the families of those affected.[citation needed] Ritz had joked about the outbreak while he was on a conference call with scientists and political staffers on August 30, saying the political fallout from the outbreak was "like a death by a thousand cuts, or should I say cold cuts". In addition, when he was informed of a listeriosis-related death inPrince Edward Island, he quipped: "Please tell me it's [Liberal agriculture critic]Wayne Easter". Despite calls for Ritz's resignation from the other parties and the public, Stephen Harper has supported Ritz and rebuffed calls for his resignation.[64]

ThePublic Service Alliance of Canada revealed to the media that the Conservative party plans to cut federal funding to meat inspection programs by $3 million, effectively ending their operation in Manitoba, Saskatchewan and British Columbia.[65]

Speech plagiarism

[edit]

On September 30, it was revealed byBob Rae of the Liberal Party that on March 20, 2003, Stephen Harper hadplagiarized a speech that called for troops to bedeployed to Iraq to assist the US invasion from Australian Prime MinisterJohn Howard, which Howard had delivered two days before, on March 18.[66]

Following Rae's statement, Harper's spokesmanKory Teneycke dismissed the issue as irrelevant, saying "I'm not going to get into a debate about a five-year-old speech that was delivered three Parliaments ago, two elections ago, when the prime minister was the leader of a party that no longer exists".[66]

The Canadian Alliance staff member and formerFraser Institute policy analyst, Owen Lippert, who wrote that speech was working on the current election campaign at Conservative campaign headquarters. On September 30, 2008, he issued a statement and resigned as a result of the incident.[67]

He stated:

Pressed for time, I was overzealous in copying segments of another world leader's speech. Neither my superiors in the Office of the Leader of the Opposition nor the leader of the Opposition was aware that I had done so.[67]

On October 3, there was a second plagiarism allegation from the Liberals, who said that Harper had copied several sentences from a speech by former Ontario premierMike Harris. Harper denied the allegation, saying "we're talking about a couple of sentences of fairly standard political rhetoric".[68]

On October 6, the Conservatives contended that Dion had also committed plagiarism when, as Minister of the Environment in 2005, he went to aUnited Nations conference on climate change to deliver a speech which had substantial similarities to the executive summary of a year old UN report. The Liberal party did not respond to the plagiarism allegation.[69][70]

Controversies

[edit]

Missing ballot boxes

[edit]
Graphic display of results of 2008 Canadian federal election across the provinces.

InQuebec City, several ballot boxes containing votes from advance polls disappeared after the close of advance polling on October 7. The boxes were stored in a closet at the home of a deputy returning officer.[71] Although there was no tampering of the boxes or the votes, three deputy returning officers were fired.[72] Deputy returning officers are the only polling officials allowed to handle ballots during the vote count and the law did allow for them to store the sealed boxes as may be necessary in large remote rural ridings. However the boxes were returned a day late after the riding returning officer ordered their return.[73]

Strategic voting

[edit]

A number of political leaders and popular websites supportedstrategic voting in the election, mostly against the Conservative Party. The reasons varied from regional, such asNewfoundland and Labrador premierDanny Williams and his "Anything But Conservative" campaign, to ideological. The popular website VoteForEnvironment.ca, which received over one million page views in the first 12 days of its existence[74] and whose founders were interviewed on CBC and other mainstream media, showed regional breakdowns per riding and offered recommendations based on which candidate was most likely to beat the Conservative candidate. If the Conservative candidate had little chance of winning the riding or was strongly entrenched, the site recommended "vote with your heart". Similarly, a vote swapping organization onFacebook entitled "Anti-Harper Vote Swap Canada" also gained press.[75] The premise of that organization is that eligible voters in different electoral districts may exchange their votes, so that an opponent of a Conservative candidate in each district might have a better chance of being elected in that district. Elections Canada deemed the practice legal.[76]

Green Party leader Elizabeth May sent out mixed signals about strategic voting. On October 12, she recommended that in close ridings, supporters of green policies should consider voting for the NDP or Liberals to defeat the Conservatives,[77] but on the same day she said: "I do not support strategic voting and I have not advised voters to choose any candidate other than Green".[78] In addition, during the final days of the campaign the Liberals attempted to attract strategic NDP and Green votes to stop the Conservatives, and the Conservatives attempted to attract Bloc votes to stop the Liberals.[79]

Voter identification

[edit]

Some students, homeless, and transient voters were turned away at the polls when they were unable to provide identification showing or otherwise confirming a place of residence. Legislation introduced in 2007 requires all voters to show one or two pieces of identification which confirm the voter's name and address, or to be vouched for by another voter who is able to show such identification.[80]

RegionTurnout (%)
Alberta52.9
British Columbia61.0
Manitoba56.8
New Brunswick62.8
Newfoundland and Labrador48.1
Northwest Territories48.6
Nova Scotia60.7
Nunavut49.4
Ontario59.1
Prince Edward Island69.5
Saskatchewan59.4
Quebec61.1
Yukon63.7

Voter turnout

[edit]
See also:Voter turnout in Canada

Voter turnout at 58.8% was the lowest in Canadian federal election history, and the only time it has ever dipped below the 60% threshold.[81] All federally funded parties except for the Greens attracted fewer total votes than in 2006; the Greens received nearly 280,000 more votes. The Conservatives lost about 170,000 votes, the Liberals 850,000, the Bloc 170,000 and the NDP 70,000. Some voters were at first turned away because of failure to meet new and stricter proof of address requirements, including 2/3 of those attempting to vote atDalhousie University, for example. The effect this may have had on voter turnout is unknown.[82]

Judicial recounts

[edit]

In a federal election, ajudicial recount is automatically ordered in a riding where themargin of victory is less than 0.1% (one one-thousandth) of the votes cast. In cases where there is a larger but still narrow margin of victory, an elector can request a judicial recount.

Judicial recounts were ordered in six ridings. In one case,Brossard—La Prairie, the judicial recount overturned the reported victor, giving the seat to the Liberals'Alexandra Mendès instead of the Bloc incumbentMarcel Lussier.

In four other ridings, the recount confirmed the election results, although LiberalUjjal Dosanjh's margin in Vancouver South was reduced from 33 votes to just 20.[83][84] This was the slimmest victory of any riding in the entire election, until the results of the Kitchener-Waterloo recount reduced Peter Braid's margin of victory to a mere 17 votes. Dosanjh's Conservative opponent, Wai Young, appealed the recount to theSupreme Court of British Columbia, citing that not all of the ballot boxes were fully recounted.[85] All ballots were eventually counted by November 4, confirming Dosanjh's victory by 20 votes, after the initial partial recount indicated a margin of 22 votes.

In a sixth riding, the recount was cancelled when the elector who had requested it withdrew the request.

RidingInitial validated results - First and second placeRecount typeRecount dateJudicially certified results - First and second place
CandidateVotes%CandidateVotes%
Egmont, PEI Gail Shea,Con.8,12244.0%RequestedOctober 23, 2008 Gail Shea,Con.8,11043.9%
 Keith Milligan,Lib.8,06043.6% Keith Milligan,Lib.8,05543.6%
Brossard—La Prairie, QC Marcel Lussier,BQ19,20232.6%RequestedOctober 24, 2008 Alexandra Mendès,Lib.19,10332.6%
 Alexandra Mendès,Lib.19,11032.4% Marcel Lussier,BQ19,03432.5%
Brampton West, ON Andrew Kania,Lib.21,73940.3%RequestedNovember 6, 2008 Andrew Kania,Lib.21,74640.3%
 Kyle Seeback,Con.21,51639.9% Kyle Seeback,Con.21,51539.9%
Kitchener—Waterloo, ON Peter Braid,Cons.21,85136.1%AutomaticOctober 31, 2008 Peter Braid,Cons.21,83036.1%
 Andrew Telegdi,Lib.21,80336.0% Andrew Telegdi,Lib.21,81336.0%
Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca, BC Keith Martin,Lib.20,04234.2%RequestedJudicial recount terminated at the request of the elector who had requested it
 Troy DeSouza,Con.19,97434.1%
Vancouver South, BC Ujjal Dosanjh,Lib.16,10138.5%AutomaticNovember 4, 2008 Ujjal Dosanjh,Lib.16,11038.5%
 Wai Young,Con.16,06838.4% Wai Young,Con.16,09038.4%

Candidates

[edit]
Conservative
[edit]

Chris Reid, the Conservative candidate fromToronto Centre, resigned over controversial statements on his blog, which advocated revising Canadiangun control legislation to legalizeconcealed carriage of handguns.[86] He was replaced by David Gentili.

The Conservatives apologized after an aide toPontiac candidateLawrence Cannon toldAboriginal protesters that they were free to meet with Cannon "if you behave and you're sober and there's no problems and if you don't do a sit down and whatever".[87]

Liberal
[edit]

Liberal candidate Simon Bédard was also asked to resign after he reiterated his 1990 comments, suggesting that lethal force should have been used in theOka Crisis.[88][89]

Liberal candidate Lesley Hughes was dropped by the Liberal Party after making controversial comments about theSeptember 11, 2001 attacks. She continued to campaign as an independent, though she appeared as a Liberal on the ballot.[90]

NDP
[edit]

Andrew McKeever, an NDP candidate inDurham, announced on October 3 that he would resign from the election campaign after it was revealed that he had posted comments onFacebook in which he called one war activist a "fascist bitch" and threatened to beat up another person. Mr. McKeever wrote comments peppered with expletives and calling the operators of a war resister website "Nazis". McKeever was also quoted as saying "I like the part inSchindler's List when the guard starts waxing the prisoners." McKeever's decision to drop out of the race came with just over a week left in the campaign, meaning his name would remain on the ballot. One week before the publication of McKeever's resignation, NDP leader Jack Layton defended McKeever and refused to make him step down.

Julian West, the candidate for the riding ofSaanich—Gulf Islands, dropped out of the race after details surfaced about an environmental event he attended 12 years ago when he went skinny-dipping and asked two teenagers to body-paint him. Two other candidates in British Columbia who were proponents of marijuana decriminalization —Dana Larsen and Kirk Tousaw — resigned earlier after videos they had produced for Internet site Pot-TV were released to the media. One of the videos, filmed in 2000, showed Mr. Larsen, former leader of theBC Marijuana Party, preparing to light up a joint before driving a car, after having taken the short-acting hallucinogenic drug DMT earlier in the evening.[91][92]

Green
[edit]

John Shavluk, the Green candidate inNewton—North Delta, was removed from the party's slate of candidates on September 4, just before the election call, after it was revealed that he had previously published comments in his blog about theSeptember 11 attacks in 2001, in which he referred to theWorld Trade Center as "the shoddily built Jewish world bank headquarters".[93] He was replaced by Liz Walker as the Green Party candidate, but remained on the ballot as an independent.

Independent
[edit]

At an all-candidates debate staged for a high school student audience inSudbury on September 29, independent candidate David Popescu responded to a question about same-sex marriage by stating that "homosexuals should be executed". His remarks were widely criticized across Canada, and theGreater Sudbury Police Service announced an investigation into whether the comments constituted a crime under Canadianhate speech legislation.[94] He was subsequently investigated by theToronto Police as well, after a radio interview on October 2 in which he specifically advocated the execution ofEgale Canada executive directorHelen Kennedy.[95]

Vandalism

[edit]

Supporters of Ontario Liberal MPsCarolyn Bennett (St. Paul's) andGerard Kennedy (Parkdale—High Park) who had Liberal signs outside their houses were subject tovandalism during the later hours of October 3, including graffiti, phone and cable lines being cut, and damage to vehicles that included brake cutting. Toronto police reported over 30 incidents of vandalism as of October 6.[96] Some of the victims did not realize their brakes had been cut until they were in traffic, and there was at least one near-accident.[97] Liberal SenatorJerry Grafstein was one of the residents who reported vandalism to his car.[98]

Vandalism was also reported at the campaign offices of Trinity—Spadina Liberal candidate Christine Innes and Beaches—East YorkNew Democratic Party candidateMarilyn Churley,[98] as well as in Niagara Falls.[99]

Legality of the election

[edit]

After the election was called,Democracy Watch, an Ottawa-based advocacy group, filed a legal suit claiming that the election call was illegal[100] because it violated the 2007 amendments to theCanada Elections Act. These amendments, introduced by the Harper government, set fixed dates for elections, and fulfilled a 2006 promise made by Harper to end the Prime Minister's ability to call snap elections.

On September 17, 2009, theFederal Court of Canada ruled that the election was not unfair, and therefore not illegal. Democracy Watch's appeal to the Federal Court of Appeal was also dismissed, and the Supreme Court denied leave to hear a further appeal.[101]

Target seats

[edit]

The following is a list of ridings which had narrowly been lost by the indicated party in the 2006 election. For instance, under the Liberal column are the 15 seats in which they came closest to winning but did not. Listed is the name of the riding, followed by the party which was victorious (in parentheses) and the margin, in terms of percentage of the vote, by which the party lost.

These ridings were targeted by the specified party because the party had lost them by a very slim margin in the 2006 election.

Up to 15 are shown, with a maximum margin of victory of 15%.

* Indicates incumbent not running again. To clarify further; this is a list of federal election winners with their party in parentheses, and their margin as a percentage of the vote over the party whose list the seat is on (not the same as the margin of victory if the party potentially "targeting" the seat in that list did not finish second in the previous election). "Won" means that the targeting party won the seat from the incumbent party. "Held" means the incumbent party held the seat.

ConservativeLiberal
  1. Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River, SK (Lib) 0.3%* (won)†
  2. Brant, ON (Lib) 0.9% (won)
  3. West Nova, NS (Lib) 1.1% (won)
  4. Vancouver Island North, BC (NDP) 1.1% (won)
  5. Oakville, ON (Lib) 1.3% (won)
  6. West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country, BC (Lib) 1.5% (won)‡
  7. Huron—Bruce, ON (Lib) 1.8%* (won)
  8. London West, ON (Lib) 2.2% (won)
  9. Madawaska—Restigouche, NB (Lib) 2.4% (held)
  10. Newton—North Delta, BC (Lib) 3.6% (held)
  11. Saint Boniface, MB (Lib) 3.6% (won)
  12. Saint John, NB (Lib) 3.6% (won)
  13. Mississauga South, ON (Lib) 4.1% (held)
  14. Richmond, BC (Lib) 4.1% (won)
  15. Random—Burin—St. George's, NL (Lib) 4.7% (held)
  1. Parry Sound-Muskoka, ON (Con) <0.1% (held)
  2. Winnipeg South, MB (Con) 0.3% (held)
  3. Glengarry—Prescott—Russell, ON (Con) 0.4% (held)
  4. Tobique—Mactaquac, NB (Con) 0.9% (held)
  5. St. Catharines, ON (Con) 1.1% (held)
  6. Ahuntsic, QC (BQ) 1.7% (held)
  7. Fleetwood—Port Kells, BC (Con) 1.9% (held)
  8. London—Fanshawe, ON (NDP) 1.9% (held)
  9. Ottawa—Orléans, ON (Con) 2.0% (held)
  10. Simcoe North, ON (Con) 2.0% (held)
  11. Brossard—La Prairie, QC (BQ) 2.2% (won)
  12. Papineau, QC (BQ) 2.2% (won)
  13. Burnaby—Douglas, BC (NDP) 2.6% (held)
  14. Barrie, ON (Con) 2.7% (held)
  15. Kitchener—Conestoga, ON (Con) 2.7% (held)
Bloc QuébécoisNew Democratic
  1. Louis-Hébert, QC (Con) 0.4% (won)
  2. Beauport—Limoilou, QC (Con) 1.6% (held)
  3. Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles, QC (Con) 2.7% (held)
  4. Hull—Aylmer, QC (Lib) 3.3% (held)
  5. Honoré-Mercier, QC (Lib) 3.8% (held)
  6. Pontiac, QC (Con) 5.0% (held)
  7. Laval—Les Îles, QC (Lib) 6.1% (held)
  8. Outremont, QC (Lib) 6.3%¹ (held by NDP)
  9. Bourassa, QC (Lib) 11.4% (held)
  10. Jonquière—Alma, QC (Con) 12.8% (held)
  11. Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier, QC (Ind) 13.9% (held)
  1. Thunder Bay—Superior North, ON (Lib) 1.0%* (won)
  2. Newton—North Delta, BC (Lib) 1.6% (held)
  3. Thunder Bay—Rainy River, ON (Lib) 1.7% (won)
  4. Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing, ON (Lib) 3.7% (won)
  5. Nickel Belt, ON (Lib) 4.6%* * (won)
  6. Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca, BC (Lib) 4.6% (held)
  7. Welland, ON (Lib) 4.8% (won)
  8. Oshawa, ON (Con) 5.2% (held)
  9. Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge—Mission, BC (Con) 5.2% (held)
  10. Beaches—East York, ON (Lib) 5.4% (held)
  11. Kenora, ON (Lib) 5.7% (won by Conservatives)
  12. Saskatoon—Rosetown—Biggar, SK (Con) 6.5%* (held)
  13. Central Nova, NS (Con) 7.8% (held)
  14. South Shore—St. Margaret's, NS (Con) 8.3% (held)
  15. Fleetwood—Port Kells, BC (Con) 8.3% (held)

† Won by the Conservatives[102] in an intervening by-election with more than a 15% margin over the Liberals.
‡ The incumbent had become an independent and was sitting as a Green at the time of dissolution.
¹ Won by the NDP in an interveningby-election with more than a 19% margin over the Liberals.

Lawn signs for all the major candidates decorate an intersection during the London North Centre by-election

Targeted Cabinet ministers

[edit]

The following Cabinet ministers were elected by a margin of less than 10% in 2006:

  1. Tony Clement, Health and Federal Economic Initiative for Northern Ontario: 0.1% over Lib inParry Sound-Muskoka, ON
  2. Lawrence Cannon, Transport, Infrastructure and Communities: 5.0% over BQ inPontiac, QC
  3. Jim Flaherty, Finance: 5.7% over Lib inWhitby—Oshawa, ON
  4. Rob Nicholson, Justice: 5.9% over Lib inNiagara Falls, ON
  5. Peter MacKay, Defence and Atlantic Opportunities: 7.8% over NDP inCentral Nova, NS
  6. John Baird, Environment: 9.0% over Lib inOttawa West—Nepean, ON

Potential fall of government

[edit]
Main article:2008–2009 Canadian parliamentary dispute
Pie chart detailing the percentage of seats won in the House of Commons

On December 1, 2008, as the result of opposition dissatisfaction with the government's economic update (which failed to include stimulus measures to help the Canadian economy contend with the2008 financial crisis and included a 'poison pill' regarding the cessation of public party financing), the leaders of the Liberal Party, New Democratic Party, and Bloc Québécois announced they had reached an agreement to approach theGovernor General for the purpose of forming acoalition government. Combined, the three opposition parties constitute a majority of seats in the House of Commons. Parliament was due to vote on ano-confidence motion on December 8; if successful, the Liberals and NDP would have formally asked the Governor General to form a coalition minority government for 30 months, while the BQ pledged to support for at least 18 months. Liberal leader Stéphane Dion would have become prime minister until the selection of his successor at the Liberal leadership convention in May 2009, and a coalitioncabinet would have comprised 18 Liberal (including a finance minister) and 6 NDP ministers. Governor GeneralMichaëlle Jean had cut short astate visit toEurope "in light of the current political situation in Canada".[10]On December 4, 2008, Jean granted Harper's request toprorogue Parliament until January 26, 2009, thereby staving off the prospect of an imminent change in government.[103] Dion stood down as Liberal leader on December 10 and was replaced by interim leaderMichael Ignatieff, who would later beelected unopposed as permanent leader.[104] Ignatieff soon ended the coalition agreement with the other two parties, motivated largely in part by Harper's publicly indicating that he would advise Jean to hold a new election (which, under the precedent set by theKing–Byng affair, she would have been obligated to do) rather than recommending that Ignatieff be allowed to form a minority government should the government lose a confidence vote,[105] and polling indicating that any such election would almost certainly result in the Conservatives winning a strong majority.[106]

Opinion polls

[edit]
Main article:Opinion polling for the 2008 Canadian federal election
Opinion polling for
Canadian federal elections
2004
Opinion polls
2006
Opinion polls
2008
Opinion polls
2011
Opinion pollsBy constituency
2015
Opinion pollsBy constituency
Plot of Opinion Polls during the election period

Endorsements

[edit]
Further information:Newspaper endorsements in the Canadian federal election, 2008

Candidates by party

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Main articles:Results of the 2008 Canadian federal election andResults of the 2008 Canadian federal election by riding
Elections to the40th Canadian Parliament (2008)[107][108][109]
PartyLeaderCandidatesVotesSeats
#±%Change (pp)20062008±GL
ConservativeStephen Harper307[b]5,209,069165,002Decrease37.651.38
 
124
143 / 308
19Increase256
LiberalStéphane Dion307[c][d]3,633,185846,230Decrease26.26-3.97
 
103
77 / 308
26Decrease531
New DemocraticJack Layton308[e]2,515,28874,309Decrease18.180.70
 
29
37 / 308
8Increase113
Bloc QuébécoisGilles Duceppe751,379,991173,210Decrease9.98-0.51
 
51
49 / 308
2Decrease13
GreenElizabeth May303937,613273,545Increase6.782.30
 
Independent7194,84412,984Increase0.690.13
 
1
2 / 308
1Increase1
Christian HeritageRon Gray5926,4751,677Decrease0.19
Marxist–LeninistAnna Di Carlo598,565415Decrease0.06
LibertarianDennis Young267,3004,298Increase0.050.03
Progressive CanadianSinclair Stevens105,8608,291Decrease0.04-0.05
CommunistMiguel Figueroa243,572550Increase0.030.01
Canadian ActionConnie Fogal203,4552,647Decrease0.02-0.02
MarijuanaBlair Longley82,2986,873Decrease0.02-0.05
neorhino.caFrançois Gourd72,1222,122Increase0.02New
Newfoundland and Labrador FirstTom Hickey31,7131,713Increase0.01New
First Peoples NationalBarbara Wardlaw61,611410Increase0.01
Animal AllianceLiz White4527455Increase
Work LessConrad Schmidt1425425IncreaseNew
 Western BlockDoug Christie1195899Decrease-0.01
People's Political PowerRoger Poisson2186186IncreaseNew
Total1,60113,834,294100.00%
Rejected ballots94,7993,255Increase
Turnout13,929,093979,610Decrease58.83%5.84Decrease
Registered voters23,677,639623,024Increase

Synopsis of results

[edit]
Results by riding — 2008 Canadian federal election[107][108][109]
Riding2006Winning partyTurnout
[a 1]
Votes[a 2]
PartyVotesShareMargin
#
Margin
%
ConLibNDPBQGreenIndOtherTotal
 
ABCalgary CentreConCon26,08555.60%17,68337.69%53.16%26,0858,4024,2297,77842046,914
ABCalgary Centre-NorthConCon27,36156.54%19,94841.22%56.29%27,3615,6997,4137,39252948,394
ABCalgary EastConCon21,31166.47%17,54354.72%41.79%21,3113,2553,7683,40332332,060
ABCalgary NortheastConCon18,91751.52%11,48431.27%44.39%18,9177,4333,2792,0454,83621136,721
ABCalgary—Nose HillConCon35,02969.62%28,37256.39%53.86%35,0296,6573,9414,68550,312
ABCalgary SoutheastConCon41,42573.89%35,68963.66%57.15%41,4254,8784,0245,73656,063
ABCalgary SouthwestConCon38,54872.96%33,63063.65%58.39%38,5484,9184,1024,74352152,832
ABCalgary WestConCon34,57957.36%21,37535.46%60.96%34,57913,2043,8326,7221,79015560,282
ABCrowfootConCon39,34282.03%35,55974.15%54.86%39,3421,9583,7832,87547,958
ABEdmonton CentreConCon22,63449.04%9,97321.61%51.57%22,63412,6616,9123,74620346,156
ABEdmonton EastConCon21,48751.32%8,16919.51%45.43%21,4874,57813,3182,48841,871
ABEdmonton—LeducConCon33,17463.21%23,94045.61%56.64%33,1749,2345,9944,08152,483
ABEdmonton—Mill Woods—BeaumontConCon25,13060.32%17,42141.82%52.09%25,1307,7096,2972,36615741,659
ABEdmonton—St. AlbertConCon31,43661.65%23,39145.87%53.67%31,4367,4418,0454,07250,994
ABEdmonton—Sherwood ParkConCon17,62835.84%1,6683.39%55.09%17,6285,5756,3393,67815,96049,180
ABEdmonton—Spruce GroveConCon36,40268.55%29,77556.07%53.52%36,4026,0996,6273,97553,103
ABEdmonton—StrathconaConNDP20,10342.58%4630.98%62.86%19,6404,27920,1033,04014747,209
ABFort McMurray—AthabascaConCon17,16067.12%13,86054.21%35.82%17,1602,7103,3001,62835041925,567
ABLethbridgeConCon31,71466.96%24,98152.74%53.29%31,7144,4046,7333,4201,09447,365
ABMacleodConCon35,32877.36%31,16768.25%56.39%35,3282,7033,0534,16142245,667
ABMedicine HatConCon26,95070.87%22,76359.86%46.20%26,9502,6394,1872,3381,55136338,028
ABPeace RiverConCon29,55069.51%23,42655.11%44.24%29,5502,8436,1243,30368942,509
ABRed DeerConCon33,22673.24%28,18662.13%49.87%33,2262,8635,0404,23945,368
ABVegreville—WainwrightConCon34,49377.09%30,26367.64%54.03%34,4932,3454,2303,67644,744
ABWestlock—St. PaulConCon27,33872.71%23,52962.58%51.13%27,3383,4183,8092,52251037,597
ABWetaskiwinConCon32,52877.14%28,89268.51%52.94%32,5282,3623,6363,39524942,170
ABWild RoseConCon36,86972.92%30,47960.28%56.18%36,8692,8904,1696,39024650,564
ABYellowheadConCon26,86371.85%22,27659.58%49.97%26,8631,4894,5873,4371,01437,390
BCAbbotsfordConCon30,85363.32%22,92047.04%59.50%30,8537,9336,4443,14135848,729
BCBritish Columbia Southern InteriorNDPNDP22,69347.51%5,57111.66%63.89%17,1223,29222,6934,5738047,760
BCBurnaby—DouglasNDPNDP17,93737.94%7981.69%57.70%17,1399,17717,9372,82220347,278
BCBurnaby—New WestminsterNDPNDP20,14546.50%6,99516.15%54.35%13,1506,68120,1453,06728243,325
BCCariboo—Prince GeorgeConCon22,63755.39%12,05629.50%54.32%22,6374,30910,5812,61472940,870
BCChilliwack—Fraser CanyonConCon29,19862.32%20,40743.56%57.52%29,1983,9908,7914,10776646,852
BCDelta—Richmond EastConCon26,25255.75%15,88133.73%60.06%26,25210,3716,8033,66347,089
BCEsquimalt—Juan de Fuca[a 3]LibLib20,04234.18%680.12%64.57%19,97420,04213,3224,85430913058,631
BCFleetwood—Port KellsConCon21,38944.70%8,88718.57%55.57%21,38912,50210,9163,04547,852
BCKamloops—Thompson—CaribooConCon25,20946.16%5,60810.27%62.02%25,2095,37519,6014,43054,615
BCKelowna—Lake CountryConCon31,90755.94%23,28340.82%58.76%31,9078,4698,6247,82121857,039
BCKootenay—ColumbiaConCon23,40259.59%14,51036.95%59.76%23,4023,0448,8923,93339,271
BCLangleyConCon32,59461.46%23,69644.68%61.94%32,5945,8888,8985,05959453,033
BCNanaimo—AlberniConCon28,93046.68%9,25014.93%64.77%28,9305,57819,6807,45733161,976
BCNanaimo—CowichanNDPNDP27,45445.17%4,6107.58%63.45%22,8444,48327,4545,81618260,779
BCNew Westminster—CoquitlamNDPNDP20,78741.83%1,4882.99%61.74%19,2995,61520,7873,57441749,692
BCNewton—North DeltaLibLib16,48136.42%2,4935.51%62.07%13,98816,48111,8242,53330512145,252
BCNorth VancouverLibCon24,37142.26%2,8204.89%66.45%24,37121,5515,4176,16816657,673
BCOkanagan—CoquihallaConCon28,76558.13%20,52941.48%59.63%28,7655,8838,2366,60349,487
BCOkanagan—ShuswapConCon28,00251.72%17,33832.02%60.71%28,0025,41410,6649,36841627854,142
BCPitt Meadows—Maple Ridge—MissionConCon26,51251.81%9,61818.80%60.24%26,5123,39416,8943,83323830051,171
BCPort Moody—Westwood—Port CoquitlamConCon25,53554.61%15,11732.33%58.83%25,5356,91810,4183,56832146,760
BCPrince George—Peace RiverConCon22,32563.59%16,15546.02%48.89%22,3252,9546,1703,65635,105
BCRichmondLibCon21,35949.81%8,13818.98%51.99%21,35913,2215,0592,75348642,878
BCSaanich—Gulf IslandsConCon27,99143.42%2,6254.07%70.40%27,99125,3663,6676,74269464,460
BCSkeena—Bulkley ValleyNDPNDP17,21949.84%4,65813.48%56.51%12,5611,91617,2191,6131,23734,546
BCSouth Surrey—White Rock—CloverdaleConCon31,21656.65%19,70135.75%65.08%31,21611,5157,1464,95127355,101
BCSurrey NorthNDPCon13,71439.37%1,1063.18%51.56%13,7145,22712,6081,9252711,08834,833
BCVancouver CentreLibLib19,50634.51%5,3189.41%59.37%14,18819,50612,04710,35443456,529
BCVancouver EastNDPNDP22,50654.40%15,37937.18%53.51%6,4327,12722,5064,70859641,369
BCVancouver Island NorthNDPCon25,96345.78%2,4974.40%64.58%25,9632,38023,4664,54436256,715
BCVancouver KingswayLibNDP15,93335.18%2,7696.11%56.45%12,41913,16415,9333,03174945,296
BCVancouver QuadraLibLib25,39345.59%4,8328.68%63.37%20,56125,3934,4934,91633355,696
BCVancouver SouthLibLib16,11038.49%200.05%52.42%16,09016,110[a 4]7,3762,06521141,852
BCVictoriaNDPNDP26,44344.61%10,10617.05%67.48%16,33710,00626,4436,25223759,275
BCWest Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky CountryLibCon26,94944.57%10,88017.99%63.36%26,94916,0698,7288,72360,469
MBBrandon—SourisConCon19,55857.06%13,50339.40%55.96%19,5582,8366,0555,41041634,275
MBCharleswood—St. James—AssiniboiaConCon21,58853.83%13,07432.60%63.36%21,5888,5147,1902,63218040,104
MBChurchillLibNDP8,73447.46%3,44518.72%40.15%3,7735,2898,73460618,402
MBDauphin—Swan River—MarquetteConCon18,13261.36%13,21844.73%54.71%18,1324,1284,9141,92345229,549
MBElmwood—TransconaNDPNDP14,35545.77%1,5795.03%54.04%12,7762,07914,3551,83931231,361
MBKildonan—St. PaulConCon19,75153.40%7,65820.71%58.48%19,7513,00912,0931,68521423336,985
MBPortage—LisgarConCon22,03668.27%17,66254.71%53.77%22,0364,3742,3532,60691132,280
MBProvencherConCon23,30364.66%18,35650.93%58.01%23,3034,5314,9472,0891,17036,040
MBSaint BonifaceLibCon19,44046.32%4,71211.23%64.32%19,44014,7285,5022,10419541,969
MBSelkirk—InterlakeConCon23,30260.63%13,79635.90%57.68%23,3023,2039,5062,12629538,432
MBWinnipeg CentreNDPNDP12,28548.92%6,84827.27%43.25%5,4373,92212,2852,77736133125,113
MBWinnipeg NorthNDPNDP14,09762.61%9,06440.26%42.85%5,0332,07514,0971,07024122,516
MBWinnipeg SouthConCon19,95448.84%5,73314.03%65.63%19,95414,221[a 5]4,6731,83917340,860
MBWinnipeg South CentreLibLib16,43842.27%2,3356.00%65.68%14,10316,4385,4902,86038,891
NBAcadie—BathurstNDPNDP25,84957.53%15,99935.61%68.32%8,3319,85025,84990444,934
NBBeauséjourLibLib20,05946.76%7,55317.61%69.25%12,50620,0597,2423,08742,894
NBFrederictonLibCon17,96242.53%4,64310.99%62.13%17,96213,3196,4904,29316842,232
NBFundy RoyalConCon17,21151.63%9,30427.91%61.09%17,2115,7737,9072,44333,334
NBMadawaska—RestigoucheLibLib16,26647.40%4,86414.17%66.77%11,40216,2665,3611,28734,316
NBMiramichiLibCon12,05842.08%1,4685.12%65.78%12,05810,5904,9041,10528,657
NBMoncton—Riverview—DieppeLibLib17,79739.13%1,5003.30%61.31%16,29717,7977,3943,99845,486
NBNew Brunswick SouthwestConCon17,47458.32%11,61138.75%61.17%17,4745,8634,9581,66729,962
NBSaint JohnLibCon13,78239.55%4971.43%54.01%13,782[a 6]13,2855,5601,88833034,845
NBTobique—MactaquacConCon18,07157.40%11,29835.88%59.73%18,0716,7734,8301,81031,484
NLAvalonConLib14,86645.28%3,32410.13%51.80%11,54214,8665,70771432,829
NLBonavista—Gander—Grand Falls—WindsorLibLib20,08970.27%15,73555.04%41.15%4,35420,0893,57756828,588
NLHumber—St. Barbe—Baie VerteLibLib17,95668.22%13,35350.73%44.25%2,79917,9564,60396426,322
NLLabradorLibLib5,42670.28%4,04852.43%38.60%6155,4261,3783027,721
NLRandom—Burin—St. George'sLibLib12,55753.72%6,99429.92%41.07%4,79112,5575,56346223,373
NLSt. John's EastConNDP30,88174.55%25,67061.97%56.89%3,8365,21130,88157092541,423
NLSt. John's South—Mount PearlConLib14,92043.32%9492.76%51.95%4,32414,92013,97164317940234,439
NSCape Breton—CansoLibLib17,44748.10%8,92324.60%63.31%8,52417,4477,6602,64136,272
NSCentral NovaConCon18,24046.60%5,62014.36%67.01%18,2407,65912,62062339,142
NSCumberland—Colchester—Musquodoboit ValleyConInd27,30369.01%22,42956.69%57.77%3,4933,3444,87427,853[a 7]39,564
NSDartmouth—Cole HarbourLibLib16,01639.49%3,2237.95%58.73%9,10916,01612,7932,41721940,554
NSHalifaxNDPNDP19,25242.69%6,79415.06%60.67%9,29512,45819,2523,93116245,098
NSHalifax WestLibLib17,12941.56%4,92811.96%59.13%8,70817,12912,2012,92025741,215
NSKings—HantsLibLib16,64144.19%6,79518.04%58.59%9,84616,6418,2912,35352837,659
NSSackville—Eastern ShoreNDPNDP24,27961.42%16,08140.68%58.52%8,1985,01824,2792,03439,529
NSSouth Shore—St. Margaret'sConCon14,38835.99%9322.33%60.20%14,3889,53613,4562,09051339,983
NSSydney—VictoriaLibLib17,30349.40%8,74424.96%57.41%7,22317,3038,5591,94135,026
NSWest NovaLibCon16,77939.94%1,5943.79%62.48%16,779[a 8]15,1857,0972,10684442,011
ONAjax—PickeringLibLib21,67544.53%3,2046.58%56.71%18,47121,6754,4223,54356548,676
ONAlgoma—Manitoulin—KapuskasingLibNDP15,24945.50%4,34712.97%56.53%5,91410,90215,2491,45133,516
ONAncaster—Dundas—Flamborough—WestdaleConCon26,29746.50%10,97519.41%66.70%26,29715,3229,6325,14914856,548
ONBarrieConCon27,92752.37%15,19528.49%58.50%27,92712,7326,4035,92134453,327
ONBeaches—East YorkLibLib18,96740.97%4,0928.84%62.93%7,90718,96714,8754,38915546,293
ONBramalea—Gore—MaltonLibLib22,27245.06%3,9197.93%49.74%18,35322,2725,9452,55130949,430
ONBrampton—SpringdaleLibLib18,57741.04%7731.71%54.24%17,80418,5775,2383,51613545,270
ONBrampton West[a 9]LibLib21,74640.33%2310.43%49.72%21,51521,7467,3343,32953,924
ONBrantLibCon22,73641.95%4,7938.84%58.38%22,73617,9439,3313,81437154,195
ONBruce—Grey—Owen SoundConCon22,97547.66%9,88020.50%61.36%22,9756,8924,64013,09559948,201
ONBurlingtonConCon28,61448.60%9,03715.35%64.99%28,61419,5776,5974,08358,871
ONCambridgeConCon24,89548.63%12,91825.23%55.92%24,89511,97710,0444,27951,195
ONCarleton—Mississippi MillsConCon39,43357.77%24,17935.43%69.16%39,43315,2546,5836,98368,253
ONChatham-Kent—EssexConCon19,96047.92%7,83318.81%55.86%19,96012,1276,8502,71241,649
ONDavenportLibLib15,95345.77%5,05714.51%53.03%3,83815,95310,8963,65517233934,853
ONDon Valley EastLibLib18,26448.08%6,48717.08%53.48%11,77718,2645,0622,61826637,987
ONDon Valley WestLibLib22,21244.36%2,7715.53%62.12%19,44122,2125,1023,15516250,072
ONDufferin—CaledonConCon23,36353.21%14,86833.86%56.79%23,3638,4954,3857,37728443,904
ONDurhamConCon28,55154.05%16,38431.02%60.48%28,55112,1675,4856,04157752,821
ONEglinton—LawrenceLibLib19,13343.99%2,0604.74%59.75%17,07319,1333,6633,62943,498
ONElgin—Middlesex—LondonConCon22,97048.39%11,80124.86%59.66%22,97011,1699,1353,24124371547,473
ONEssexConCon20,60840.00%5,63510.94%58.22%20,60814,97313,7032,23451,518
ONEtobicoke CentreLibLib24,53748.85%5,69811.34%62.48%18,83924,5374,1642,68850,228
ONEtobicoke—LakeshoreLibLib23,53646.13%5,74311.26%59.31%17,79323,5365,9503,56218151,022
ONEtobicoke NorthLibLib15,24448.58%5,80818.51%49.60%9,43615,2444,9401,46030031,380
ONGlengarry—Prescott—RussellConCon25,65947.30%5,66210.44%67.29%25,65919,9975,6782,90854,242
ONGuelphLibLib18,97432.22%1,7883.04%64.59%17,18618,9749,71312,4545850458,889
ONHaldimand—NorfolkConCon19,65740.83%4,0808.47%60.98%19,65715,5775,5492,0414,82150148,146
ONHaliburton—Kawartha Lakes—BrockConCon30,39155.95%19,29835.53%60.10%30,39111,0937,9524,50537454,315
ONHaltonConCon32,98647.50%7,85011.30%60.45%32,98625,1366,1184,87233769,449
ONHamilton CentreNDPNDP20,01049.25%10,95926.97%50.36%9,0517,16420,0103,62577940,629
ONHamilton East—Stoney CreekNDPNDP19,91941.28%6,46413.40%56.59%11,55613,45519,9192,14232385348,248
ONHamilton MountainNDPNDP22,79643.65%6,78612.99%59.26%16,01010,53122,7962,88452,221
ONHuron—BruceLibCon22,18244.77%5,84611.80%64.59%22,18216,3367,4262,61724274749,550
ONKenoraLibCon9,39540.46%2,0518.83%54.48%9,3957,3445,3941,08723,220
ONKingston and the IslandsLibLib22,73439.15%3,8396.61%60.10%18,89522,73410,1586,28258,069
ONKitchener CentreLibCon16,48036.70%3390.75%57.03%16,48016,1418,1223,82321512744,908
ONKitchener—ConestogaConCon23,52549.32%11,64924.42%56.52%23,52511,8767,1735,12447,698
ONKitchener—WaterlooLibCon21,83036.06%170.03%62.31%21,83021,8138,9157,32610754360,534
ONLambton—Kent—MiddlesexConCon24,51651.28%12,70426.58%61.10%24,51611,8127,4273,38666347,804
ONLanark—Frontenac—Lennox and AddingtonConCon30,27255.88%18,46334.08%61.04%30,27211,8097,1124,62934754,169
ONLeeds—GrenvilleConCon27,47358.44%19,39841.27%62.86%27,4738,0756,5114,52242647,007
ONLondon—FanshaweNDPNDP17,67243.06%5,01312.22%55.11%12,6597,77417,6722,65627641,037
ONLondon North CentreLibLib21,01839.13%3,3066.15%56.97%17,71221,0189,3875,60353,720
ONLondon WestLibCon22,55639.09%2,1213.68%63.14%22,55620,4358,4095,63066757,697
ONMarkham—UnionvilleLibLib25,29655.02%11,44124.88%52.01%13,85525,2964,6821,92122545,979
ONMississauga—Brampton SouthLibLib21,22047.69%6,55614.73%49.39%14,66421,2205,2682,94739544,494
ONMississauga East—CooksvilleLibLib20,45750.16%7,18017.61%49.13%13,27720,4574,6322,13827740,781
ONMississauga—ErindaleLibCon23,86342.71%3970.71%56.20%23,86323,4664,7743,63612955,868
ONMississauga SouthLibLib20,51844.22%2,1524.64%60.08%18,36620,5184,1043,40746,395
ONMississauga—StreetsvilleLibLib21,71045.76%4,7259.96%56.13%16,98521,7104,7103,17985747,441
ONNepean—CarletonConCon39,92155.84%23,17832.42%69.39%39,92116,7436,9467,88071,490
ONNewmarket—AuroraLibCon24,87346.70%6,62312.43%62.07%24,87318,2504,5484,3811,20953,261
ONNiagara FallsConCon24,01646.70%10,14919.74%54.60%24,01613,8679,1864,35651,425
ONNiagara West—GlanbrookConCon28,08951.98%15,13428.01%63.69%28,08912,9557,9803,8971,11854,039
ONNickel BeltLibNDP19,02146.54%8,27320.24%57.75%8,86910,74819,0212,0561126640,872
ONNipissing—TimiskamingLibLib18,51044.56%5,07812.23%59.42%13,43218,5106,5822,80820441,536
ONNorthumberland—Quinte WestConCon27,61548.71%11,40620.12%60.75%27,61516,2098,2304,63356,687
ONOak Ridges—MarkhamLibCon32,02842.24%5450.72%55.66%32,02831,4837,1265,18475,821
ONOakvilleLibCon26,01146.98%5,4839.90%66.34%26,01120,5284,1434,68155,363
ONOshawaConCon19,95141.37%3,2016.64%55.25%19,9517,74116,7503,37441548,231
ONOttawa CentreNDPNDP25,39939.74%8,76613.71%69.11%15,06516,63325,3996,34847363,918
ONOttawa—OrléansConCon27,24444.91%3,6956.09%71.34%27,24423,5496,0253,84560,663
ONOttawa SouthLibLib29,03549.91%9,61816.53%66.82%19,41729,0354,9203,93986458,175
ONOttawa—VanierLibLib23,94846.20%9,81018.93%64.04%14,13823,9488,8454,44722723051,835
ONOttawa West—NepeanConCon25,10944.98%4,9488.86%66.44%25,10920,1616,4323,55841415055,824
ONOxfordConCon23,33052.68%14,74433.29%59.02%23,3308,5867,9823,3551,03644,289
ONParkdale—High ParkNDPLib20,70542.98%3,3737.00%64.60%5,99220,70517,3323,60154948,179
ONParry Sound-MuskokaConCon21,83150.19%10,96025.19%62.71%21,83110,8715,3555,11932543,501
ONPerth WellingtonConCon20,76548.09%10,54024.41%59.39%20,76510,2257,3343,87498243,180
ONPeterboroughConCon27,63047.40%9,21315.81%63.32%27,63018,4178,1154,0299858,289
ONPickering—Scarborough EastLibLib22,87449.69%7,93417.24%60.22%14,94022,8744,8753,02332146,033
ONPrince Edward—HastingsConCon26,06150.19%12,01323.14%59.06%26,06114,0487,1564,37927651,920
ONRenfrew—Nipissing—PembrokeConCon28,90861.10%19,17140.52%63.15%28,9089,7375,1753,20129347,314
ONRichmond HillLibLib21,48847.00%5,17011.31%52.05%16,31821,4884,5263,38845,720
ONSt. CatharinesConCon23,47445.90%8,82217.25%61.20%23,47414,6529,4283,47711351,144
ONSt. Paul'sLibLib26,28650.61%12,33823.76%63.98%13,94826,2866,6664,72631251,938
ONSarnia—LambtonConCon23,19550.01%13,15828.37%58.66%23,1959,40410,0373,20154546,382
ONSault Ste. MarieNDPNDP16,57240.43%1,1112.71%59.42%15,4616,87016,5721,77431640,993
ONScarborough—AgincourtLibLib22,79556.63%10,95927.23%54.16%11,83622,7953,7481,87040,249
ONScarborough CentreLibLib17,92748.68%6,83918.57%52.13%11,08817,9275,8012,01136,827
ONScarborough-GuildwoodLibLib18,09850.17%7,21720.01%54.02%10,88118,0985,1831,91336,075
ONScarborough—Rouge RiverLibLib23,71858.78%14,55836.08%47.50%9,16023,7185,9361,20733140,352
ONScarborough SouthwestLibLib15,48641.83%4,55812.31%54.74%10,92815,4866,9433,51415137,022
ONSimcoe—GreyConCon30,89755.05%18,79833.49%60.10%30,89712,0996,2885,6851,16156,130
ONSimcoe NorthConCon26,32849.66%11,65821.99%60.10%26,32814,6706,2025,82153,021
ONStormont—Dundas—South GlengarryConCon25,84657.34%17,29238.36%60.15%25,8468,5546,1071,8802,58110545,073
ONSudburyLibNDP15,09435.15%2,1254.95%58.11%11,07312,96915,0943,3308039742,943
ONThornhillLibCon26,66049.01%5,2129.58%56.80%26,66021,4483,6012,68654,395
ONThunder Bay—Rainy RiverLibNDP14,47840.32%2,8898.05%57.05%8,46611,58914,4781,37735,910
ONThunder Bay—Superior NorthLibNDP13,18737.03%3,1048.72%57.37%9,55610,08313,1872,46332735,616
ONTimmins-James BayNDPNDP17,18856.54%10,44834.37%51.00%5,5366,74017,18893830,402
ONToronto CentreLibLib27,46253.53%18,06035.20%57.39%9,40227,4627,7436,08114647251,306
ONToronto—DanforthNDPNDP20,32344.78%6,98715.39%60.91%5,28713,33620,3235,99513031645,387
ONTrinity—SpadinaNDPNDP24,45440.84%3,4845.82%62.21%8,24920,97024,4545,41829649159,878
ONVaughanLibLib27,77349.18%8,38314.84%51.92%19,39027,7735,4423,87056,475
ONWellandLibNDP16,84232.91%3000.59%59.67%16,54214,29516,8422,81656911451,178
ONWellington—Halton HillsConCon29,19157.63%17,87935.30%63.21%29,19111,3124,7474,98741450,651
ONWhitby—OshawaConCon30,70450.99%15,24425.32%60.91%30,70415,4608,5845,06739560,210
ONWillowdaleLibLib23,88948.67%7,95816.21%51.92%15,93123,8895,0113,13026086449,085
ONWindsor—TecumsehNDPNDP20,91448.70%10,63824.77%50.65%10,2769,00520,9142,74942,944
ONWindsor WestNDPNDP20,79152.51%11,83729.89%47.33%8,9547,35720,7912,25324139,596
ONYork CentreLibLib16,16443.46%2,0325.46%52.31%14,13216,1644,5032,39037,189
ONYork—SimcoeConCon27,41256.70%18,36837.99%56.17%27,4129,0445,8824,8871,12048,345
ONYork South—WestonLibLib16,07146.60%6,43018.64%50.35%7,02116,0719,6411,75734,490
ONYork WestLibLib16,99759.39%11,63440.65%48.33%4,77316,9975,3631,48828,621
PECardiganLibLib10,10552.81%4,44423.23%70.26%5,66110,1051,5567101,10119,133
PECharlottetownLibLib8,89350.06%3,18917.95%66.10%5,7048,8932,18785812417,766
PEEgmont[a 10]LibCon8,11043.93%550.30%68.15%8,110[a 11]8,055[a 12]1,67062618,461
PEMalpequeLibLib8,31244.19%9244.91%71.41%7,3888,3121,8191,29118,810
QCAbitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—EeyouBQBQ10,99539.65%2,5739.28%49.06%8,4225,1082,27610,99592827,729
QCAbitibi—TémiscamingueBQBQ20,92947.91%11,87427.18%55.01%8,2679,0554,15120,92997630243,680
QCAhuntsicBQBQ18,81539.49%4230.89%65.64%4,93718,3924,27618,8151,22847,648
QCAlfred-PellanBQBQ20,68638.83%5,0929.56%66.05%8,66215,5946,40620,6861,66525953,272
QCArgenteuil—Papineau—MirabelBQBQ26,45548.10%16,47129.95%60.86%9,5849,9846,81926,4552,0559854,995
QCBas-Richelieu—Nicolet—BécancourBQBQ26,82154.67%17,91736.52%65.45%8,9047,9874,01026,8211,33449,056
QCBeauceConCon31,88362.41%24,74048.43%62.38%31,8835,2704,3527,1432,43651,084
QCBeauharnois—SalaberryBQBQ26,90450.07%16,04629.86%63.22%10,8587,9956,21426,9041,76453,735
QCBeauport—LimoilouConCon17,99436.76%2,0324.15%59.40%17,9947,0305,98615,9621,36361048,945
QCBerthier—MaskinongéBQBQ24,94545.83%12,86723.64%62.75%12,07810,0355,68424,9451,69154,433
QCBourassaLibLib19,86949.79%9,72424.37%58.32%5,40519,8693,18810,1451,16613039,903
QCBrome—MissisquoiBQBQ17,56135.21%1,2042.41%65.78%9,30916,3574,51417,5611,78435449,879
QCBrossard—La PrairieBQLib19,10332.59%690.12%64.57%11,06219,1037,45219,0341,81615758,624
QCChambly—BorduasBQBQ31,77350.08%21,12433.30%68.41%9,56410,6498,99831,7732,46063,444
QCCharlesbourg—Haute-Saint-CharlesConCon20,56641.15%5,96411.93%63.66%20,5667,0396,54214,6021,23149,980
QCChâteauguay—Saint-ConstantBQBQ25,08645.58%14,98227.22%66.36%9,82710,1048,26125,0861,75555,033
QCChicoutimi—Le FjordBQBQ19,73741.31%3,0576.40%62.25%16,6806,4253,74219,7371,19347,777
QCCompton—StansteadBQBQ20,33241.86%9,38619.32%62.97%9,44510,9465,48320,3322,36848,574
QCDrummondBQBQ17,61338.79%6,12313.49%62.21%11,4907,6977,46017,6131,14445,404
QCGaspésie—Îles-de-la-MadeleineBQBQ14,63640.10%4,79613.14%54.11%8,3349,8402,54914,6361,13636,495
QCGatineauBQBQ15,18929.15%1,5773.03%61.13%8,76213,19313,61215,1891,34252,098
QCHaute-Gaspésie—La Mitis—Matane—MatapédiaBQBQ11,98437.53%6161.93%54.38%5,77111,368[a 13]1,49711,9841,13917531,934
QCHochelagaBQBQ22,72049.73%13,27829.07%58.24%4,2019,4426,60022,7201,94677445,683
QCHonoré-MercierLibLib21,54443.67%7,67315.55%62.16%7,54921,5444,98613,8711,38049,330
QCHull—AylmerLibLib19,75037.45%8,12515.41%61.00%7,99619,75010,45411,6252,78412152,730
QCJeanne-Le BerBQBQ17,14434.91%1,3032.65%57.66%5,49415,8417,70817,1442,34557749,109
QCJolietteBQBQ28,04052.40%18,50034.57%62.02%9,5407,7695,57928,0402,58853,516
QCJonquière—AlmaConCon26,63952.48%7,60414.98%64.79%26,6392,6162,47519,03550,765
QCLa Pointe-de-l'ÎleBQBQ25,97656.09%18,57340.10%59.46%5,1797,4035,97525,9761,34043846,311
QCLac-Saint-LouisLibLib23,84246.39%11,75722.87%64.03%12,08523,8428,1052,9534,41551,400
QCLaSalle—ÉmardLibLib17,22640.60%6,84216.13%57.82%6,80217,2265,62210,3841,57967414442,431
QCLaurentides—LabelleBQBQ24,95647.08%10,81320.40%60.40%6,91414,1434,89624,9562,09453,003
QCLaurier—Sainte-MarieBQBQ24,10350.24%15,30531.90%61.10%2,3208,7988,20924,1033,8019365147,975
QCLavalBQBQ19,08537.80%4,8959.69%62.24%9,10114,1906,28919,0851,60722150,493
QCLaval—Les ÎlesLibLib21,60340.45%9,02716.90%61.69%11,01721,6036,12412,5761,75233653,408
QCLévis—BellechasseConCon24,78545.90%11,03820.44%62.45%24,7858,1305,85613,7471,37011354,001
QCLongueuil—Pierre-BoucherBQBQ23,11846.12%12,19824.34%65.89%7,21010,9207,02123,1181,75210350,124
QCLotbinière—Chutes-de-la-ChaudièreConCon24,49547.27%11,75722.69%66.15%24,4956,4986,82812,7381,26551,824
QCLouis-HébertConBQ20,99236.23%4,6498.02%70.29%16,34313,6695,40320,9921,40811957,934
QCLouis-Saint-LaurentConCon23,68347.14%10,35320.61%62.88%23,6836,7125,25213,3301,26050,237
QCManicouaganBQBQ15,27249.29%6,89822.26%49.20%8,3744,7371,49115,2721,11230,986
QCMarc-Aurèle-FortinBQBQ25,55245.53%11,82421.07%67.41%7,75913,7286,90725,5522,17856,124
QCMégantic—L'ÉrableConCon20,69746.70%8,41418.99%64.42%20,6976,1854,19112,28395944,315
QCMontcalmBQBQ33,51955.69%25,13241.75%61.73%8,0968,3878,33733,5191,85460,193
QCMontmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-LoupBQBQ20,49446.03%6,85415.39%57.49%13,6406,8352,42820,49497814744,522
QCMontmorency—Charlevoix—Haute-Côte-NordBQBQ21,06848.88%9,27921.53%58.35%11,7895,7693,33221,0681,14743,105
QCMount RoyalLibLib19,70255.65%10,02628.32%52.30%9,67619,7022,7331,5431,56518635,405
QCNotre-Dame-de-Grâce—LachineLibLib19,55444.62%12,44628.40%58.09%7,10819,5546,6416,9623,37817743,820
QCOutremontLibNDP14,34839.53%2,3436.46%56.61%3,82012,00514,3484,5541,56636,293
QCPapineauBQLib17,72441.47%1,1892.78%61.77%3,26217,7243,73416,5351,21326742,735
QCPierrefonds—DollardLibLib21,46846.94%9,65321.11%57.81%11,81521,4684,8234,3573,16111145,735
QCPontiacConCon14,02332.71%3,6278.46%54.55%14,02310,3966,6169,5762,14811242,871
QCPortneuf—Jacques-CartierIndInd15,06333.49%6621.47%60.83%7,3205,70714,4011,45216,102[a 14]44,982
QCQuébecBQBQ21,06441.76%8,12116.10%62.68%12,9438,8455,93321,0641,65050,435
QCRepentignyBQBQ31,00753.05%22,15437.91%65.90%8,1688,7518,85331,0071,66658,445
QCRichmond—ArthabaskaBQBQ23,91346.02%8,83317.00%65.57%15,0806,5994,50923,9131,33752651,964
QCRimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les BasquesBQBQ17,65244.69%9,71524.59%58.73%7,2167,9374,08417,6526451,96639,500
QCRivière-des-Mille-ÎlesBQBQ23,21645.68%13,30526.18%67.18%9,9118,8236,74123,2162,13450,825
QCRivière-du-NordBQBQ26,58853.57%19,40139.09%59.26%7,1706,7557,18726,5881,65627349,629
QCRoberval—Lac-Saint-JeanBQCon16,05543.54%1,4363.89%58.99%16,0553,7211,73814,61973736,870
QCRosemont—La Petite-PatrieBQBQ27,26052.00%17,47533.34%64.65%3,8769,7858,52227,2602,4068348952,421
QCSaint-Bruno—Saint-HubertBQBQ23,76744.99%12,01222.74%67.70%8,12511,7557,15423,7672,03152,832
QCSaint-Hyacinthe—BagotBQBQ22,71947.36%12,52426.11%63.12%10,1956,6496,72122,7191,68247,966
QCSaint-JeanBQBQ26,50649.61%17,07631.96%65.47%9,2819,4305,52926,5062,16052053,426
QCSaint-LambertBQBQ16,34637.63%3,9639.12%59.45%6,86712,3836,28016,3461,56643,442
QCSaint-Laurent—CartiervilleLibLib25,09561.72%18,09644.51%53.55%6,99925,0953,6544,61129940,658
QCSaint-Léonard—Saint-MichelLibLib21,65257.26%16,02542.38%53.59%5,62721,6524,0395,1461,06312216537,814
QCSaint-Maurice—ChamplainBQBQ20,39743.96%9,31420.07%59.25%11,0839,7553,60120,3971,56246,398
QCSheffordBQBQ21,65042.82%10,84021.44%63.14%9,92710,8106,32321,6501,84850,558
QCSherbrookeBQBQ25,50250.08%15,55530.55%62.85%8,3319,9476,67625,50246750,923
QCTerrebonne—BlainvilleBQBQ28,30352.35%19,36635.82%66.00%7,5518,9377,27828,3031,71428354,066
QCTrois-RivièresBQBQ22,40545.27%10,40721.03%64.58%11,9989,0084,54422,4051,54049,495
QCVaudreuil-SoulangesBQBQ27,04441.34%11,54817.65%67.76%15,49613,9546,29827,0442,62565,417
QCVerchères—Les PatriotesBQBQ27,60250.85%18,73134.51%71.87%7,7428,8718,38827,6021,67954,282
QCWestmount—Ville-MarieLibLib18,04146.47%9,13723.53%50.65%6,13918,0418,9042,8182,7334714538,827
SKBattlefords—LloydminsterConCon15,62160.11%9,04934.82%51.11%15,6212,1406,5721,28736825,988
SKBlackstrapConCon20,74753.95%10,87128.27%64.57%20,7475,5099,8762,32538,457
SKCypress Hills—GrasslandsConCon17,92264.36%13,52848.58%62.79%17,9223,6914,3941,84027,847
SKDesnethé—Missinippi—Churchill RiverLibCon8,96446.67%3,14816.39%44.75%8,9645,8163,41473328219,209
SKPalliserConCon14,15944.12%3,29410.26%64.35%14,1595,48910,8651,58032,093
SKPrince AlbertConCon16,54257.73%8,29928.96%55.52%16,5422,2898,2431,41316728,654
SKRegina—Lumsden—Lake CentreConCon16,05351.09%7,09022.56%63.09%16,0534,6688,9631,73731,421
SKRegina—Qu'AppelleConCon14,06851.85%5,36919.79%56.61%14,0682,8098,6991,55627,132
SKSaskatoon—HumboldtConCon18,61053.80%8,97825.96%61.50%18,6104,1359,6322,21134,588
SKSaskatoon—Rosetown—BiggarConCon12,23145.39%2620.97%54.82%12,2311,18811,9691,23213818826,946
SKSaskatoon—WanuskewinConCon18,32056.51%10,42232.15%58.78%18,3204,0207,8982,18232,420
SKSouris—Moose MountainConCon19,29370.49%14,69453.69%58.68%19,2931,8344,5991,64327,369
SKWascanaLibLib17,02846.08%4,23011.45%64.20%12,79817,0285,4181,70636,950
SKYorkton—MelvilleConCon19,82468.03%13,74847.18%56.86%19,8241,5786,0761,66429,142
TerrNunavutLibCon2,81534.92%4665.78%47.35%2,8152,3492,2286698,061
TerrWestern ArcticNDPNDP5,66941.45%5233.82%47.71%5,146[a 15]1,8585,66975225213,677
TerrYukonLibLib6,71545.80%1,92713.14%63.23%4,7886,7151,2761,88114,660
  1. ^including spoilt ballots
  2. ^minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the national popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately
  3. ^recount terminated at request of applicant
  4. ^Ujjal Dosanjh was previously an NDP member of theLegislative Assembly of British Columbia, and wasPremier of British Columbia until 2001.
  5. ^John Loewen was previously a member of theLegislative Assembly of Manitoba
  6. ^Rodney Weston was previously a member of theLegislative Assembly of New Brunswick
  7. ^Bill Casey, the winning candidate, was previously the Conservative MP
  8. ^Greg Kerr was previously a member of theNova Scotia House of Assembly
  9. ^also an open seat
  10. ^also an open seat
  11. ^Gail Shea was previously a member of theLegislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island.
  12. ^Keith Milligan was previously a member of theLegislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island, as well asPremier of Prince Edward Island for a short time in 1996.
  13. ^Nancy Charest was previously a member of theNational Assembly of Quebec.
  14. ^André Arthur, the winning candidate, was the incumbent MP
  15. ^Brendan Bell was previously a member of theNorthwest Territories Legislature
  = went to a judicial recount
  = Open seat
  = turnout is above national average
  = Incumbent had switched allegiance
  = Previously incumbent in another riding
  = Not incumbent; was previously elected to the House
  = Incumbency arose from by-election gain
  = other incumbents defeated
  = Multiple candidates

Summary analysis

[edit]
Ternary plots - shift of electoral support (2006-2008)
  • Ternary plot of 2006 results
    2006
  • Ternary plot of 2008 results
    2008
Electoral districts identified by colours of winning parties


Party candidates in 2nd place[109]
Party in 1st placeParty in 2nd placeTotal
ConLibNDPBQGrnInd
Conservative7850951143
Liberal5713777
New Democratic201737
Bloc Québécois1828349
Independent112
Total95123671751308
Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party[109]
Parties1st2nd3rd4th5th
 Conservative1439556121
 Liberal771237928
 Bloc Québécois4917522
 New Democratic376712975
 Independent211326
 Green53818574
 Christian Heritage147
 Progressive Canadian18
 Newfoundland and Labrador First11
 Libertarian19
 Marxist–Leninist16
 Communist10
 Canadian Action7
 Marijuana6
 First Peoples National4
 Animal Alliance1
 neorhino.ca1
 Work Less1
Resulting composition of the40th Canadian Parliament
SourceParty
ConLibNDPBlocIndTotal
Seats retainedIncumbents returned1056624421238
Open seats held1272526
Ouster of incumbent changing allegiance1113
Seats changing handsIncumbents defeated1736127
Open seats gained6410
Byelection gains held213
Incumbent changing allegiance11
Total1437737492308

Significant results among independent and minor party candidates

[edit]

Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:[109]

RidingPartyCandidatesVotesPlaced
Calgary Northeast IndependentRogere Richard4,8363rd
Calgary West IndependentKirk Schmidt1,7905th
Cardigan IndependentLarry McGuire1,1014th
Cumberland—Colchester—Musquodoboit Valley IndependentBill Casey27,3031st
Edmonton—Sherwood Park IndependentJames Ford15,9602nd
Haldimand—Norfolk IndependentGary McHale4,8214th
Lethbridge Christian Her.Geoffrey Capp1,0945th
Newmarket—Aurora Progressive CdnDorian Baxter1,0045th
Niagara West—Glanbrook Christian Her.Dave Bylsma1,1185th
Oxford Christian Her.Shaun MacDonald1,0365th
Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier IndependentAndré Arthur15,0631st
Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier IndependentJean Paradis1,0396th
Provencher Christian Her.David Reimer1,1705th
Rimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les Basques IndependentLouise Thibault1,9665th
Simcoe—Grey Christian Her.Peter Van der Zaag1,0185th
Skeena—Bulkley Valley Christian Her.Rod Taylor1,1255th
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry IndependentHoward Galganov2,5814th

Results by province

[edit]
Party nameBCABSKMBONQCNBNSPENLNUNTYTTotal
 ConservativeSeats:22271395110631-1--143
 Vote:44.564.753.848.939.221.739.426.136.216.634.937.632.737.7
 LiberalSeats:5-1138143536--177
 Vote:19.311.414.919.133.823.832.529.847.746.829.113.645.826.3
 Bloc QuébécoisSeats:     49       49
 Vote:     38.1       10.0
 New DemocraticSeats:91-417112-1-1-37
 Vote:26.112.725.524.018.212.221.928.99.833.727.641.48.718.2
GreenVote:9.48.85.56.88.03.56.18.04.71.78.35.512.86.8
 Independent / No affiliationSeats:11    2
 Vote:  0.6 6.6     0.7
 Total seats:3628141410675101147111308

Source:Elections Canada[112]

Seats that changed hands

[edit]

Incumbent MPs not running for re-election

[edit]

Conservatives

[edit]
Electoral DistrictResigning incumbentSucceeded by
NLSt. John's East Norman Doyle[113] Jack Harris
NLSt. John's South—Mount Pearl Loyola Hearn[114] Siobhán Coady
ONThunder Bay—Superior North Joe Comuzzi[115] Bruce Hyer
MBPortage—Lisgar Brian Pallister[116] Candice Hoeppner
SKPalliser Dave Batters[117] Ray Boughen
SKPrince Albert Brian Fitzpatrick[118] Randy Hoback
SKSaskatoon—Rosetown—Biggar Carol Skelton[119] Kelly Block
ABCalgary Northeast Art Hanger[120] Devinder Shory
ABEdmonton—St. Albert John G. Williams[121] Brent Rathgeber
ABEdmonton—Sherwood Park Ken Epp[122] Tim Uppal
ABMedicine Hat Monte Solberg[123] LaVar Payne
ABRed Deer Bob Mills[124] Earl Dreeshen
ABWild Rose Myron Thompson[125] Blake Richards
BCKamloops—Thompson—Cariboo Betty Hinton[126] Cathy McLeod
BCVancouver Kingsway David Emerson[114] Don Davies

Liberals

[edit]
Electoral DistrictResigning incumbentSucceeded by
NLRandom—Burin—St. George's Bill Matthews[127] Judy Foote
PEIEgmont Joe McGuire[128] Gail Shea
NBFredericton Andy Scott[129] Keith Ashfield
QCLaSalle—Émard Paul Martin[130] Lise Zarac
ONBrampton West Colleen Beaumier[131] Andrew Kania
ONEtobicoke North Roy Cullen[132] Kirsty Duncan
ONHuron—Bruce Paul Steckle[133] Ben Lobb
ONNewmarket—Aurora Belinda Stronach[134] Lois Brown
ONNickel Belt Raymond Bonin[135] Claude Gravelle
ONScarborough Southwest Tom Wappel[136] Michelle Simson
NUNunavut Nancy Karetak-Lindell[137] Leona Aglukkaq

Bloc Québécois

[edit]
Electoral DistrictResigning incumbentSucceeded by
QCDrummond Pauline Picard Roger Pomerleau
QCLongueuil—Pierre-Boucher Caroline St-Hilaire Jean Dorion
QCRepentigny Raymond Gravel[138] Nicolas Dufour
QCRivière-des-Mille-Îles Gilles Perron Luc Desnoyers

New Democrats

[edit]
Electoral DistrictResigning incumbentSucceeded by
NSHalifax Alexa McDonough[139] Megan Leslie
MBElmwood—Transcona Bill Blaikie[140] Jim Maloway
BCSurrey North Penny Priddy[141] Dona Cadman

Vacancies upon dissolution

[edit]

By-elections in progress in four vacant ridings were cancelled when the general election was called.

Electoral DistrictPrevious MPNew MP
QCSaint-Lambert Maka Kotto Josée Beaudin
QCWestmount—Ville-Marie Lucienne Robillard Marc Garneau
ONDon Valley West John Godfrey Rob Oliphant
ONGuelph Brenda Chamberlain Frank Valeriote

Defeated incumbents

[edit]

Conservatives

[edit]
Electoral DistrictIncumbentDefeated by
NLAvalon Fabian Manning Scott Andrews
QCLouis-Hébert Luc Harvey Pascal-Pierre Paillé
ONMississauga—Streetsville Wajid Khan Bonnie Crombie
ABEdmonton—Strathcona Rahim Jaffer Linda Duncan

Liberals

[edit]
Electoral DistrictIncumbentDefeated by
NSWest Nova Robert Thibault Greg Kerr
NBMiramichi Charles Hubbard Tilly O'Neill-Gordon
NBSaint John Paul Zed Rodney Weston
ONAlgoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing Brent St. Denis Carol Hughes
ONBrant Lloyd St. Amand Phil McColeman
ONHalton Garth Turner Lisa Raitt
ONKenora Roger Valley Greg Rickford
ONKitchener Centre Karen Redman Stephen Woodworth
ONKitchener—Waterloo Andrew Telegdi Peter Braid
ONLondon West Sue Barnes Ed Holder
ONMississauga—Erindale Omar Alghabra Bob Dechert
ONOak Ridges—Markham Lui Temelkovski Paul Calandra
ONOakville Bonnie Brown Terence Young
ONSudbury Diane Marleau Glenn Thibeault
ONThornhill Susan Kadis Peter Kent
ONThunder Bay—Rainy River Ken Boshcoff John Rafferty
ONWelland John Maloney Malcolm Allen
MBChurchill Tina Keeper Niki Ashton
MBSaint Boniface Raymond Simard Shelly Glover
BCRichmond Raymond Chan Alice Wong
BCNorth Vancouver Don Bell Andrew Saxton

New Democrats

[edit]
Electoral DistrictIncumbentDefeated by
ONParkdale—High Park Peggy Nash Gerard Kennedy
BCVancouver Island North Catherine Bell John Duncan

Bloc Québécois

[edit]
Electoral DistrictIncumbentDefeated by
QCBrossard—La Prairie Marcel Lussier Alexandra Mendès[142]
QCPapineau Vivian Barbot Justin Trudeau

Greens

[edit]
Electoral DistrictIncumbentDefeated by
BCWest Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country Blair Wilson John Weston

Independents

[edit]
Electoral DistrictIncumbentDefeated by
QCRimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les Basques Louise Thibault Claude Guimond

Student vote results

[edit]

Student votes aremock elections that run parallel to actual elections, in which students not ofvoting age participate. They are administered by Student Vote Canada. Student vote elections are for educational purposes and do not count towards the results. Though there were 308 ridings, only 289 were declared.[143]

100665444241
ConservativeNew DemocraticLiberalGreenBlocInd.
Summary of the 2008 Canadian Student Vote
PartyLeaderSeatsPopular vote
Elected%Votes%
ConservativeStephen Harper10034.6108,42926.8
New DemocraticJack Layton6622.896,09023.7
LiberalStéphane Dion5418.777,99619.3
GreenElizabeth May4415.2101,11925.0
Bloc QuébécoisGilles Duceppe248.34,3171.1
Independent10.33,4540.9
Total289100.00404,848100.00
Source: CBC[143]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Only contested seats inQuebec.
  2. ^The Conservatives chose not to field a candidate inPortneuf—Jacques-Cartier, as the incumbent Independent MPAndré Arthur consistently sided with them in votes in the House.
  3. ^The Liberals opted not to field a candidate inCentral Nova, so as not to opposeElizabeth May in her campaign for a Green seat.
  4. ^Lesley Hughes ofKildonan—St. Paul was nominated as a Liberal, but lost party support after the nomination deadline and continued to run as an independent; she was listed as a Liberal on the ballot.[110][111]
  5. ^Includes Julian West (Saanich—Gulf Islands) and Andrew McKeever (Durham), who withdrew their candidacies but still appeared on the ballot.

References

[edit]
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  139. ^Alexa McDonough retires from federal politicsArchived September 16, 2008, at theWayback Machine,CTV News, June 2, 2008
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Further reading

[edit]

External links

[edit]

Projections and predictions

[edit]
Federalelections andreferendums in Canada
General elections
By-elections
Referendums
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