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2007 French legislative election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2007 French legislative election

← 200210 June and 17 June 20072012 →

All 577 seats to theNational Assembly
289 seats were needed for a majority
Turnout60.4% (Decrease4.0pp) (1st round)
60.0% (Decrease0.4pp) (2nd round)
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
François Fillon (2008).jpg
François Hollande (2007).jpg
BayrouEM (cropped).jpg
LeaderFrançois FillonFrançois HollandeFrançois Bayrou
PartyUMPPSMoDem
Leader since17 May 200727 November 1997
Leader's seatSarthe-4thCorrèze-1stPyrénées-Atlantiques-2nd
Last election357 seats140 seats29 seats
Seats won3131863
Seat changeDecrease44Increase46Decrease26
1st round
% and swing
10,289,737
39.54%Increase6.24%
6,436,520
24.73%Increase0.62%
1,981,107
7.61%Increase2.75%
2nd round
% and swing
9,460,710
46.36%Decrease0.88%
8,624,861
42.27%Increase7.01%
100,115
0.49%Decrease3.43%

Map showing the results of the second round.

Prime Minister before election

François Fillon
UMP

ElectedPrime Minister

François Fillon
UMP

Legislative elections were held in France on 10 June and 17 June 2007 to elect the 13thNational Assembly of theFifth Republic, a few weeks after thepresidential election run-off on 6 May. 7,639 candidates stood for 577 seats, including France'soverseas possessions. Early first-round results projected a large majority forPresidentNicolas Sarkozy'sUnion for a Popular Movement (UMP) and its allies; however, second-round results showed a closer race and a stronger left. Nevertheless, the right retained its majority from 2002 despite losing some 40 seats to theSocialists.

Taking place so shortly after the presidential poll, these elections provided the newly elected president with a legislative majority in line with his political objectives – as was the case in 2002, when presidential victorJacques Chirac's UMP party received a large majority inthe legislative elections. It is the first time since the1978 elections that the governing coalition has been returned after a second consecutive election. The majority, however, was slimmer than the "blue wave" predicted by opinion polls (blue being the colour of French conservatives).

Election system

[edit]
See also:Elections in France

The procedure by which deputies are elected is a mixture offirst past the post andrun-off systems. A candidate must take an absolute majority (more than 50%) in their constituency to win in the first round, and receive the support of at least 25% of all registered voters. Otherwise, if they get at least 12.5% of the votes of all registered voters in the first round, or are one of the top two candidates remaining, they go through to the second round, where only a simple plurality is needed to win.

In most cases, there are only two candidates remaining for the second round: one left-wing (generally from theSocialist Party) and one right-wing (generally from theUnion for a Popular Movement).Triangulaires happen when a third candidate reaches the second round and refuses to either abandon his candidacy or to enter any form of electoral alliance. In 2007, only one constituency experienced atriangulaire in the second round (in whichJean Lassalle, aMoDem candidate, was elected).

TheConstitutional Council had beforehand warned the government of the necessity to renew the electoral map, as the 577 electoral districts are made on the basis of the 1982 census of the population (thus being 25 years late on the current spread-out of the population). Because of this miscorrelation between the electoral map and the geographical map of the population, a deputy would need only 5,000 votes to be elected in some districts (such as inSaint-Barthélemy) while it would need 180,000 votes in others (such as theSeine-Saint-Denis[1]). The Constitutional Council noted that this contradicted article 6 of the 1789Declaration of the Rights of Man and of the Citizen as well as articles 3 and 24 of theConstitution.[2]

Campaign

[edit]
Electoral posters for the first round

Opinion polls and seat projections gavePresidentNicolas Sarkozy's UMP-led coalition a wide lead, sometimes nearing three-quarters of all 577 seats. The UMP polled marginally above 40%, around a 10-point increase over its score of 33% in the first round of the2002 elections. Prime MinisterFrançois Fillon, also a candidate inSarthe, led the UMP campaign. On the far-right, followingJean-Marie Le Pen's relatively low score in the presidential election, theNational Front tried to regain lost ground in the legislative election, but opinion polls gave the FN only 4 or 5 per cent of votes, one of its lowest scores in a general election.

Socialist Party

[edit]

TheSocialist Party's defeated 2007 presidential candidate,Ségolène Royal, also campaigned on behalf of her party, even though she did not run for re-election as a deputy inDeux-Sèvres. The Socialists sought to prevent the UMP from winning too wide a majority that would give Sarkozy "full powers".

Union for French Democracy

[edit]

Between the two rounds of the presidential election, theUDF leaderFrançois Bayrou had announced the creation of a new political party, theDemocratic Movement (MoDem), and refused to continue the alliance between centrists and theUMP. This strategy was dangerous for the centrist MPs, one month before the legislative election. The ballot system for the election of the deputies favoured the coalitions to the detriment of the isolated parties. In this, contrary to Bayrou, the most part of theUDF deputies and senators called to vote forNicolas Sarkozy in the second round of the presidential election, then joined the "Presidential Majority" and founded theNew Centre. Incumbent president of theUDF group in theNational Assembly,Hervé Morin, led this new political formation and was nominated Defense Minister. For the first time,François Bayrou was challenged by a right-wing candidate in his constituency.

Interest in one local election race surroundedGérard Vignoble of the UDF, who had representedRoubaix since 1988. Vignoble announced that he would not stand again since this would put him againstcardiologistSalem Kacet of the UMP, who had operated on him in 1999 and saved his life. The two candidates had become close friends. Vignoble said that it was impossible for him to come to any other decision.[3] Nevertheless, Kacet still failed to take the seat, the winner being the SocialistDominique Baert.

French Communist Party

[edit]

TheCommunists hoped that their vote would hold up following their lowest percentage vote ever (1.93%) in thepresidential race in May. While polls seemed unfriendly to the Communists, with some predicting less than 10 seats for the party, the second round's left surge prevented a massive Communist defeat. Although losing seats, they were able to gain or hold 15 seats. However, the PCF lost previously safe seats.

VAT polemic

[edit]

During the electoral TV programme of the first round, the former Socialist Prime MinisterLaurent Fabius called out to the Minister of EconomyJean-Louis Borloo about the project of a newVAT to finance the social security. Borloo confirmed it was examined by the government. This new tax was the main theme of campaign between the two rounds. It was criticized by the left because it could rise the prices for all the housekeepings. This project was perceived as contradictory to candidate Sarkozy's promise to be "President of the purchasing power". According to the formerUMP Prime MinisterJean-Pierre Raffarin, in re-mobilizing the left-wing voters, this controversy caused the defeat of around 60 UMP candidates in the second round. In this, if the right stood majority, the left won 49 seats since 2002.Accused to be responsible of this result, Jean-Louis Borloo was nominated Minister of Ecology, replacingAlain Juppé, beaten in his constituency.

Opinion polls

[edit]
Main article:Opinion polling for the 2007 French legislative election

Results

[edit]

Contrary to the polls, the UMP lost ground, but it maintained a workable majority. The Socialists unexpectedly gained seats. Their plea to voters to prevent an overwhelming UMP dominance of the legislature appears to have paid off, providing the Socialists with a measure of redemption from the election loss. UDF splinter groups, François Bayrou's MoDem and the New Centre, contested their first elections. MoDem won 4 seats (includingMayotte regionalistAbdoulatifou Aly), while the New Centre was able to form a parliamentary group, with 22 seats. It remains to be seen whether Bayrou's party, which polled the third highest vote (7.61% in round one), will develop into a major political force. Their result is an improvement on the UDF's result of 4.9% in 2002. The National Front (FN) polled its lowest vote since its splash onto the political scene in 1986. The FN lost more than 60% of its support base since 2002. Support for the Communist Party also declined, and they saw a loss of several seats, whilst several other left-wing parties won nine new seats. The Greens gained one new seat, despite a fall in their vote. One of the most stunning results was the surprise defeat of UMP party leaderAlain Juppé by the Socialist Party candidateMichèle Delaunay. Culture MinisterRenaud Donnedieu de Vabres was defeated as well losing to Socialist Party candidateJean-Patrick Gille. The far right did not win any seats.

PartyFirst roundSecond roundTotal
seats
Votes%SeatsVotes%Seats
Union for a Popular Movement10,289,73739.54989,460,71046.36215313
Socialist Party6,436,52024.7318,624,86142.27185186
UDF–Democratic Movement1,981,1077.610100,1150.4933
National Front1,116,1364.29017,1070.0800
French Communist Party1,115,6634.290464,7392.281515
Miscellaneous far-left888,2503.4100
The Greens845,9773.25090,9750.4544
Miscellaneous right641,8422.472238,5881.1779
Presidential majority[a]616,4402.378433,0572.121422
Miscellaneous left513,4071.970503,5562.471515
Radical Party of the Left343,5651.320333,1941.6377
Movement for France312,5811.2011
Miscellaneous267,7601.03033,0680.1611
Hunting, Fishing, Nature, Traditions213,4270.8200
Ecologists208,4560.8000
Regionalists and separatists[b]133,4730.510106,4840.5211
Miscellaneous far-right102,1240.3900
Total26,026,465100.0011020,406,454100.00467577
Valid votes26,026,46598.1320,406,45496.58
Invalid/blank votes495,3571.87722,5853.42
Total votes26,521,822100.0021,129,039100.00
Registered voters/turnout43,895,83360.4235,225,24859.98
Source:Ministry of the Interior
  1. ^IncludingNew Centre, which won 20 of the 22 seats.[4]
  2. ^Seat won by theMartinican Independence Movement

Parliamentary groups in the National Assembly

[edit]
GroupLeaderPartiesSeatsCaucusingTotal
UMP GroupJean-François CopeUMP, DVD3146320
Socialist,Radical, andCitizen GroupJean-Marc AyraultPS, PRG, DVG, MRC18618204
Democratic and Republican Left groupJean-Claude SandrierPCF, VEC, DVG, MIM24024
New Centre-Presidential MajorityFrançois SauvadetNC-PSLE, MAJ, DVD20323
Non-inscritsMoDem, DLR, MPF606
Total55126577

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^Le Canard enchaîné, 6 June 2007, "Une proportionnelle dans le tiroir"(in French)
  2. ^Observations of the Constitutional CouncilArchived 22 September 2008 at theWayback Machine, 7 July 2007(in French)
  3. ^source:France 2 news, Thursday, 17 May 2007
  4. ^"Elections held in 2007".Inter-Parliamentary Union.

External links

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