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2006 United States Senate election in Ohio

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2006 United States Senate election in Ohio

← 2000November 7, 20062012 →
Turnout53.25% (registered voters)
 
NomineeSherrod BrownMike DeWine
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote2,257,3691,761,037
Percentage56.16%43.82%

County results
Congressional district results
Brown:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
DeWine:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. senator before election

Mike DeWine
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Sherrod Brown
Democratic

Elections in Ohio
U.S. President
Presidential primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House of Representatives
General elections
Gubernatorial elections
Lieutenant Governor elections
Secretary of State elections
Attorney General elections
State Auditor elections
State Treasurer elections
State Supreme Court elections
State House elections
State Senate elections

The2006 United States Senate election in Ohio was held November 7, 2006. Incumbent RepublicanMike DeWine ran for re-election, but was defeated by Democratic congressmanSherrod Brown.[1] As of 2025, this is the most recent time a Democratic Senate candidate in Ohio won a race by double digits. This was also the last time an incumbent Senator lost reelection in Ohio until Brown was defeated in2024 byBernie Moreno.

To date, this isMike DeWine's second general election loss of his political career, following his 1992 loss to John Glenn. Following his defeat, DeWine would later serve as Ohio's State Attorney General from 2011 to 2019 and has been the state's governor since 2019.

Background

[edit]

TheincumbentRepublican SenatorR. Michael DeWine had approval ratings at 38%,[2] making him the second most unpopular U.S. Senator behindPennsylvania RepublicanRick Santorum, who was also up for reelection in 2006. Pre-election stories in the U.S. media suggested that the national Republican Party may have given up on saving Senator DeWine's Senate seat before election day.[citation needed]Sherrod Brown, formerOhio Secretary of State and U.S. Representative fromOhio's 13th district, easily won the Democratic nomination overMerrill Keiser Jr.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
  • Mike DeWine, incumbent U.S. Senator since 1995
  • David Smith, candidate for U.S. Representative from Ohio's 2nd congressional district in2005
  • William G. Pierce, engineer

Campaign

[edit]

Both candidates campaigned as conservative alternatives to DeWine, citing DeWine's support for gun control measures and his role as one of the Republican members of theGang of 14 which was a group of Republicans who compromised with Democrats in a dispute about judicial appointments.

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMike DeWine (incumbent)555,96271.82%
RepublicanDavid Smith112,42714.52%
RepublicanWilliam Pierce105,73413.66%
Total votes774,123100.00%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticSherrod Brown583,77678.11%
DemocraticMerrill Keiser Jr.163,62821.89%
Total votes747,404100.00%

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

The Republican Party, which was facing multiple challenges to their Senate majority, was initially determined to assist DeWine in his competitive race while the National Democratic party supported Brown in hopes of taking control of the Senate. John McClelland, a spokesman for the Ohio Republican Party said, "It's vitally important to the Republican Party as a whole, so I think that's why you see the president coming to Ohio to support Mike DeWine." Phil Singer, a spokesman for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee said, "Mike DeWine Senior is in for the fight of his life, make no mistake about it."[4]

On July 14, 2006, DeWine's campaign began airing TV commercials depicting a smokingWorld Trade Center. "The senator was notified... by a reporter atU.S. News & World Report that the image of the burning Twin Towers could not have depicted the actual event because the smoke was blowing the wrong way."[5][6] DeWine's campaign admitted that the video was actually a still photo of theWorld Trade Center with smoke digitally added.[5] He also was criticized for using an emotionally charged image to attack his challenger.[6]

Another of DeWine's ads suggested that opponent Sherrod Brown didn't pay his taxes for thirteen years. This claim led to the Associated Press reporting on October 19 that, "Several Ohio television stations have stopped airing a Republican ad because state documents contradict the ad's accusation that Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Sherrod Brown didn't pay an unemployment tax bill for 13 years." Brown produced a commercial citing these facts.[7] DeWine's ads were changed to state only that he had failed to pay his unemployment taxes until legal action was taken against him.

On October 16, 2006,The New York Times reported that top national Republicans were moving resources away from the Ohio Senate race, as they had determined that DeWine was likely to lose and were seeking to spend money on races where Republican candidates were seen as having a better chance of winning.[8]

Debates

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]

During the election cycle, DeWine raised $14.9 million and spent $15.5 million.[9] Brown raised $8.9 million and spent $10.8 million.[10]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[11]Lean D(flip)November 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]Likely D(flip)November 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political Report[13]Likely D(flip)November 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[14]Lean D(flip)November 6, 2006

Polling

[edit]
SourceDateSherrod
Brown (D)
Mike
DeWine (R)
Zogby[15]October 31, 200540%37%
Rasmussen[16]December 2, 200541%43%
Rasmussen[17]January 7, 200640%45%
Rasmussen[18]February 18, 200637%46%
Rasmussen[19]March 31, 200642%45%
Zogby/WSJ[20]March 31, 200646%37%
Rasmussen[21]April 24, 200641%43%
Mason-Dixon[22]April 26, 200636%47%
Rasmussen[23]May 15, 200644%41%
University of Cincinnati[24]May 25, 200642%52%
Survey USA[25]June 13, 200648%39%
Zogby/WSJ[20]June 21, 200647%34%
Rasmussen[26]June 27, 200639%46%
Columbus Dispatch[27]July 23, 200645%37%
Zogby/WSJ[20]July 24, 200645%37%
Rasmussen[28]August 1, 200644%42%
SurveyUSA[29]August 5, 200649%41%
Rasmussen[30]August 26, 200645%42%
Zogby/WSJ[31]August 28, 200647%39%
Gallup[32]September 5, 200646%40%
Zogby/WSJ[31]September 11, 200645%41%
Rasmussen[33]September 13, 200647%41%
Quinnipiac[34]September 20, 200645%44%
University of Cincinnati[35]September 20, 200651%47%
SurveyUSA[36]September 21, 200652%42%
Columbus Dispatch[37]September 24, 200647%42%
Zogby/WSJ[31]September 28, 200645%41%
University of Akron[38]September 29, 200642%42%
Mason-Dixon[39]October 1, 200645%43%
Reuters/Zogby[40]October 5, 200641%41%
Rasmussen[41]October 5, 200649%41%
SurveyUSA[42]October 12, 200654%40%
Rasmussen[43]October 13, 200648%42%
Quinnipiac[44]October 17, 200653%41%
University of Cincinnati[45]October 17, 200652%45%
CBS News/New York Times[46]October 17, 200649%35%
Mason-Dixon/MSNBC[47]October 24, 200648%40%
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg[48]October 24, 200647%39%
Rasmussen[49]October 26, 200653%41%
SurveyUSA[50]October 26, 200657%37%
Opinion Consultants[51]October 22–30, 200651%44%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[52]October 31, 200654%43%
Reuters/Zogby International[53]November 2, 200656%42%
Rasmussen[54]November 4, 200654%43%
Mason-Dixon/MSNBC-McClatchy[55]November 5, 200650%44%
Columbus Dispatch[56]November 5, 200662%38%
University of Cincinnati Ohio Poll[57]November 6, 200656%44%
SurveyUSA[58]November 6, 200654%42%

Results

[edit]

Brown was declared the winner right when the polls closed inOhio at 7:30. DeWine had the second worst performance of a Republican incumbent in 2006; only Pennsylvania SenatorRick Santorum had aworse performance. While DeWine was able to win rural counties in western Ohio, Brown managed to win most eastern Ohio counties, especially in heavily populated areas. DeWine's narrow 2,000 vote victory inHamilton County which is home toCincinnati, came nowhere close to making a dent in Brown's lead. Brown would go on to be reelected to a second term in2012, and a third term in2018. Also in 2018, both Brown and DeWine were on the ballot but this time for different races; DeWine would beelected Governor of Ohio. In 2024, Brown would be defeated for reelection.

2006 United States Senate election in Ohio
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticSherrod Brown2,257,36956.16%+20.0
RepublicanMike DeWine (incumbent)1,761,03743.82%−15.8
IndependentRichard Duncan8300.02%N/A
Total votes4,019,236100.00%N/A
Democraticgain fromRepublican

By county

[edit]
CountySherrod Brown
Democratic
Mike DeWine
Republican
Richard Duncan
Independent
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Adams3,90345.54%4,66754.46%00.00%-764-8.92%8,570
Allen16,59745.95%19,52154.04%50.01%-2,924-8.09%36,123
Ashland8,89046.31%10,29953.65%90.04%-1,409-7.34%19,198
Ashtabula21,15161.79%13,07838.21%10.00%8,07323.58%34,230
Athens13,98870.55%5,83929.45%00.00%8,14941.10%19,827
Auglaize6,84540.28%10,14259.68%80.04%-3,297-19.40%16,995
Belmont15,49065.76%8,05634.20%100.04%7,43431.56%23,556
Brown6,85048.57%7,24751.38%70.05%-397-2.81%14,104
Butler49,44342.88%65,85457.11%50.01%-16,411-14.23%115,302
Carroll6,14355.58%4,90844.40%20.02%1,23511.18%11,053
Champaign6,80947.26%7,59852.73%20.01%-789-5.47%14,409
Clark26,40052.73%23,65647.25%60.02%2,7445.48%50,062
Clermont25,33339.00%39,58860.95%340.05%-14,255-21.95%64,955
Clinton5,00539.43%7,68760.56%10.01%-2,682-21.13%12,693
Columbiana21,80259.20%15,02540.80%20.00%6,77718.40%36,829
Coshocton7,02452.55%6,34047.43%20.02%6845.12%13,366
Crawford8,22749.31%8,45550.68%10.01%-228-1.37%16,683
Cuyahoga319,56870.57%133,23529.42%290.01%186,33341.15%452,832
Darke8,26740.95%11,91159.00%90.05%-3,644-18.05%20,187
Defiance6,62448.68%6,97751.28%60.04%-353-2.60%13,607
Delaware27,10941.87%37,62458.11%170.02%-10,515-16.24%64,750
Erie19,37263.74%11,01836.25%10.01%8,35427.49%30,391
Fairfield25,28346.99%28,50652.98%120.03%-3,223-5.99%53,801
Fayette3,79344.91%4,65155.07%20.02%-858-10.16%8,446
Franklin217,96158.57%154,09841.41%510.02%63,86317.16%372,110
Fulton7,93649.53%8,07950.43%60.04%-143-0.90%16,021
Gallia4,80347.75%5,25552.25%00.00%-452-4.50%10,058
Geauga19,90350.29%19,65349.66%170.05%2500.63%39,573
Greene24,41541.18%34,79758.69%760.13%-10,382-17.51%59,288
Guernsey7,33455.40%5,90544.60%00.00%1,42910.80%13,239
Hamilton142,13449.63%144,16750.34%960.03%-2,033-0.71%286,397
Hancock10,49840.97%15,12159.02%30.01%-4,623-18.05%25,622
Hardin4,77949.86%4,80350.11%20.03%-24-0.25%9,584
Harrison3,53059.02%2,45040.96%10.02%1,08018.06%5,981
Henry5,35447.12%6,00752.86%20.02%-653-5.74%11,363
Highland5,67443.71%7,29756.21%100.08%-1,623-12.50%12,981
Hocking5,66458.22%4,06241.75%30.03%1,60216.47%9,729
Holmes2,81034.89%5,24165.07%40.04%-2,431-30.18%8,055
Huron10,23454.06%8,69445.93%20.01%1,5408.13%18,930
Jackson5,45353.00%4,83346.98%20.02%6206.02%10,288
Jefferson15,67361.08%9,98838.92%00.00%5,68522.16%25,661
Knox9,64146.62%11,03653.37%10.01%-1,395-6.75%20,678
Lake50,64957.13%37,98842.85%150.02%12,66114.28%88,652
Lawrence10,56154.22%8,91645.78%00.00%1,6458.44%19,477
Licking28,59948.54%30,31251.44%120.02%-1,713-2.90%58,923
Logan6,90942.62%9,29757.35%40.03%-2,388-14.73%16,210
Lorain67,42966.39%34,12933.60%50.01%33,30032.79%101,563
Lucas94,63066.50%47,65933.49%150.01%46,97133.01%142,304
Madison6,41447.41%7,11052.55%50.04%-696-5.14%13,529
Mahoning69,66473.47%25,15126.53%00.00%44,51346.94%94,815
Marion11,07851.28%10,52648.72%00.00%5522.56%21,604
Medina36,38655.48%29,18644.50%110.02%7,20010.98%65,583
Meigs3,99051.42%3,76948.58%00.00%2212.84%7,759
Mercer5,41334.85%10,11865.14%10.01%-4,705-30.29%15,532
Miami15,73442.48%21,29957.50%60.02%-5,565-15.02%37,039
Monroe4,13168.09%1,93531.89%10.02%2,19636.20%6,067
Montgomery100,49153.22%88,32246.77%230.01%12,1696.45%188,836
Morgan2,95553.88%2,52346.01%60.11%4327.87%5,484
Morrow5,97647.88%6,49952.07%60.05%-523-4.19%12,481
Muskingum15,66455.55%12,53444.45%20.00%3,13011.10%28,200
Noble2,61150.50%2,55949.50%00.00%521.00%5,170
Ottawa10,54860.20%6,97239.79%10.01%3,57620.41%17,521
Paulding3,55647.21%3,97652.78%10.01%-420-5.57%7,533
Perry6,62759.23%4,55540.71%70.06%2,07218.52%11,189
Pickaway8,85849.44%9,05950.56%00.00%-201-1.12%17,917
Pike5,84560.60%3,79839.38%20.02%2,04721.22%9,645
Portage34,57663.23%20,07536.71%340.06%14,50126.52%54,685
Preble7,22145.98%8,43653.72%460.30%-1,215-7.74%15,703
Putnam5,60039.60%8,53960.38%20.02%-2,939-20.78%14,141
Richland24,43153.24%21,45146.75%70.01%2,9806.49%45,889
Ross13,06155.42%10,50144.56%40.02%2,56010.86%23,566
Sandusky12,89956.37%9,98343.63%00.00%2,91612.74%22,882
Scioto15,86660.62%10,30839.38%00.00%5,55821.24%26,174
Seneca10,74253.48%9,34346.51%10.01%1,3996.97%20,086
Shelby7,12241.34%10,10158.64%30.02%-2,979-17.30%17,226
Stark79,90057.37%59,35342.62%110.01%20,54714.75%139,264
Summit126,77663.57%72,55936.39%810.04%54,21727.18%199,416
Trumbull58,58673.12%21,52026.86%180.02%37,06646.26%80,124
Tuscarawas17,36055.31%14,02444.68%10.01%3,33610.63%31,385
Union6,88140.85%9,95059.07%120.08%-3,069-18.22%16,843
Van Wert4,17740.09%6,23959.88%40.03%-2,062-19.79%10,420
Vinton2,48455.38%2,00144.62%00.00%48310.76%4,485
Warren25,10236.54%43,58863.45%80.01%-18,486-26.91%68,698
Washington11,63151.08%11,14048.92%00.00%4912.16%22,771
Wayne18,29947.79%19,98552.19%90.02%-1,686-4.40%38,293
Williams6,43849.57%6,54350.38%70.05%-105-0.81%12,988
Wood25,87556.85%19,63743.14%30.01%6,23813.71%45,515
Wyandot3,91248.17%4,20151.72%90.11%-289-3.55%8,122
Totals2,257,36956.16%1,761,03743.82%8300.02%496,33212.34%4,019,236
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Sherrod Brown won 14 of 18 congressional districts, including seven districts which elected Republicans to the House.[59]

DistrictBrownDeWineRepresentative
1st51.8%48.2%Steve Chabot
2nd43.2%56.8%
Jean Schmidt
3rd49.5%50.5%Mike Turner
4th46.8%53.2%Mike Oxley (109th Congress)
Jim Jordan (110th Congress)
5th50.9%49.1%Paul Gillmor
6th60.0%40.0%Ted Strickland (109th Congress)
Charlie Wilson (110th Congress)
7th51.4%48.6%Dave Hobson
8th42.0%56.0%John Boehner
9th65.7%34.3%Marcy Kaptur
10th65.5%34.5%Dennis Kucinich
11th82.2%17.8%Stephanie Tubbs Jones
12th52.5%47.5%Pat Tiberi
13th63.9%36.1%Sherrod Brown (109th Congress)
Betty Sutton (110th Congress)
14th56.2%43.8%Steve LaTourette
15th55.0%45.0%Deborah Pryce
16th54.3%45.7%Ralph Regula
17th72.4%27.6%Tim Ryan
18th53.9%46.1%Bob Ney (109th Congress)
Zack Space (110th Congress)

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Democrats Score First Senate Win".CBS News. November 7, 2006.Archived from the original on May 24, 2011. RetrievedNovember 8, 2006.
  2. ^"www.surveyusa.com". Archived fromthe original on December 1, 2016. RetrievedOctober 28, 2006.
  3. ^"2006 Election Results". June 13, 2006. Archived fromthe original on June 13, 2006. RetrievedFebruary 17, 2021.
  4. ^Collins, Michael (February 23, 2006)."Bush visit all politics this time".The Kentucky Post.Covington, Kentucky:E. W. Scripps Company. Archived fromthe original on August 28, 2006.
  5. ^abNation & World: DeWine blunder adds fuel to controversial September 11 ad - U.S. News & World ReportArchived October 12, 2008, at theWayback Machine
  6. ^ab"Washington Post".[dead link]
  7. ^"Sherrod Brown". Archived fromthe original on March 6, 2008. RetrievedMarch 14, 2010.
  8. ^Adam Nagourney,"In Final Weeks, G.O.P. Focuses on Best Bets",The New York Times, October 16, 2006.
  9. ^"Sen. Mike DeWine: Campaign Finance/Money - Summary - Senator 2006 | OpenSecrets".www.opensecrets.org. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2016.
  10. ^"Rep. Sherrod Brown: Campaign Finance/Money - Summary - Representative 2006 | OpenSecrets".www.opensecrets.org. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2016.
  11. ^"2006 Senate Race Ratings for November 6, 2006"(PDF).The Cook Political Report. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on June 5, 2008. RetrievedSeptember 30, 2021.
  12. ^"Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS".Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 6, 2006. RetrievedJune 25, 2021.
  13. ^"2006 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedJune 25, 2021.
  14. ^"Election 2006". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedJune 25, 2021.
  15. ^Zogby
  16. ^Rasmussen
  17. ^Rasmussen
  18. ^Rasmussen
  19. ^Rasmussen
  20. ^abcZogby/WSJ
  21. ^Rasmussen
  22. ^Mason-Dixon
  23. ^Rasmussen
  24. ^University of Cincinnati
  25. ^Survey USA
  26. ^Rasmussen
  27. ^Columbus Dispatch
  28. ^Rasmussen
  29. ^SurveyUSA
  30. ^Rasmussen
  31. ^abcZogby/WSJ
  32. ^Gallup
  33. ^Rasmussen
  34. ^Quinnipiac
  35. ^University of Cincinnati
  36. ^SurveyUSA
  37. ^Columbus Dispatch
  38. ^University of Akron
  39. ^Mason-Dixon
  40. ^Reuters/Zogby
  41. ^Rasmussen
  42. ^SurveyUSA
  43. ^Rasmussen
  44. ^Quinnipiac
  45. ^University of Cincinnati
  46. ^CBS News/New York Times
  47. ^Mason-Dixon/MSNBC
  48. ^Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg
  49. ^Rasmussen
  50. ^SurveyUSA
  51. ^Opinion Consultants
  52. ^CNN/Opinion Research Corporation
  53. ^Reuters/Zogby International
  54. ^Rasmussen
  55. ^Mason-Dixon/MSNBC-McClatchy
  56. ^Columbus Dispatch
  57. ^University of Cincinnati Ohio Poll
  58. ^SurveyUSA
  59. ^"Twitter".

External links

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