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Klobuchar: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Kennedy: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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U.S. Senator from Minnesota Presidential campaign | ||
The2006 United States Senate election in Minnesota took place on November 7, 2006. Incumbent SenatorMark Dayton announced in February 2005 that he would retire instead of seeking a second term. Fellow Democrat Amy Klobuchar won the open seat by 20.1 percentage points.Primary elections took place on September 12, 2006.
Klobuchar gained the early endorsement of the majority of DFL state legislators inMinnesota. A poll taken of DFL state delegates showed Klobuchar beating her then closest opponent,Patty Wetterling, 66% to 15%. As of June 30, 2005, Klobuchar had more cash on hand than any other candidate, nearly $1,100,000.
Klobuchar was endorsed byEMILY's List on September 29, 2005. On January 20, 2006, Wetterling dropped out of the race and endorsed Klobuchar.[1]
Former Senate candidate and prominent lawyerMike Ciresi, who was widely seen as the only other serious potential DFL candidate, indicated on February 7, 2006, that he would not enter the race. That removal of her most significant potential competitor for the DFL nomination was viewed as an important boost for Klobuchar.[2]
The only other serious candidate for the DFL endorsement wasveterinarian Ford Bell. Bell, a staunch liberal, ran on a platform of implementingsingle-payer healthcare and immediate withdrawal from Iraq.[3] Klobuchar won the official DFL endorsement on June 9, 2006.[4] Bell dropped out of the race on July 10, citing inability to compete financially, and also endorsed Klobuchar.[3]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Amy Klobuchar | 294,671 | 92.51 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Darryl Stanton | 23,872 | 7.49 | |
| Total votes | 318,543 | 100.00 | ||
Kennedy had faced potential challenges from former U.S. SenatorRod Grams, as well as U.S. RepresentativeGil Gutknecht, but both men were persuaded by national GOP leaders to run for the House instead. (Grams lost to RepresentativeJim Oberstar, while Gutknecht lost his reelection bid toTim Walz.)
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mark Kennedy | 147,091 | 90.21 | |
| Republican | John Uldrich | 10,025 | 6.15 | |
| Republican | Harold Shudlick | 5,941 | 3.64 | |
| Total votes | 163,057 | 100.00 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independence | Robert Fitzgerald | 5,520 | 51.61 | |
| Independence | Miles W. Collins | 2,600 | 24.31 | |
| Independence | Stephen Williams | 2,575 | 24.08 | |
| Total votes | 10,695 | 100.00 | ||
Kennedy's routine support of PresidentGeorge W. Bush in House votes appeared to be a central issue for Democrats in the campaign. In June 2006, allegations were made that many references to and photos of Bush had been removed from Kennedy's official U.S. House website. In rebuttal, Republicans said that there were 72 references to Bush on the website and that the changes noted by critics had been made some time ago, as part of the normal updating process.[7]Ben Powers was the only ballot-qualified candidate not invited to appear onMinnesota Public Television'sAlmanac program, despite Powers's offer to fill the space left unfilled by Klobuchar's decision not to appear with Kennedy and Fitzgerald on the program. Green candidate Michael Cavlan appeared on the program twice during the campaign as a special guest.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Likely D | November 6, 2006 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Likely D | November 6, 2006 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[10] | Safe D | November 6, 2006 |
| Real Clear Politics[11] | Lean D | November 6, 2006 |
After the release of theStar Tribune poll[12] on September 17, 2006, showing Klobuchar ahead by 24%, Kennedy's campaign issued a statement[13] from Joe Pally, the campaign's communications director. He claimed that the margin was exaggerated because ofbias by theStar Tribune and that the poll was "clearly more about discouraging Kennedy supporters than on reflecting the true status of one of the most closely contested Senate races in the country."[14] This press release came in the wake of news that the Republican party was scaling back funding for Kennedy's election campaign to shore up campaigns in states seen as winnable. Kennedy's campaign frequently accused theStar Tribune of bias in favor of Klobuchar, whosefather was an editorial columnist and sportswriter for the paper until his retirement. A subsequent poll byRasmussen Reports showed a similar lead for Klobuchar, and theSt. Paul Pioneer Press also showed Klobuchar with a 15% lead in September. Klobuchar won the November 7 election by more than 20 percentage points.
| Source | Date | Klobuchar (DFL) | Kennedy (R) | Fitzgerald (IPM) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen[15] | December 23, 2005 | 48% | 41% | |
| Rasmussen[16] | January 28, 2006 | 43% | 42% | |
| Rasmussen[17] | February 28, 2006 | 45% | 42% | |
| Zogby/WSJ[18] | March 31, 2006 | 49% | 41% | |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Poll[19] | May 9, 2006 | 50% | 42% | |
| Rasmussen[20] | May 10, 2006 | 45% | 43% | |
| Zogby/WSJ[18] | June 21, 2006 | 49% | 41% | |
| Rasmussen[21] | June 30, 2006 | 47% | 44% | |
| Minneapolis-St. Paul Star Tribune Minnesota Poll[22] | July 16, 2006 | 50% | 31% | |
| Zogby/WSJ[18] | July 24, 2006 | 49% | 43% | |
| Bennett, Petts, and Blumenthal (D)[23] | July 24, 2006 | 48% | 30% | |
| SurveyUSA[24] | July 24, 2006 | 47% | 42% | 8% |
| Rasmussen[25] | August 7, 2006 | 50% | 38% | 5% |
| Zogby/WSJ[26] | August 28, 2006 | 50% | 42% | |
| Rasmussen[27] | August 28, 2006 | 47% | 40% | 8% |
| Gallup[28] | September 5, 2006 | 50% | 40% | |
| Zogby/WSJ[26] | September 11, 2006 | 49% | 40% | |
| Minneapolis-St. Paul Star Tribune Minnesota Poll[29] | September 17, 2006 | 56% | 32% | 3% |
| University of Minnesota Humphrey Institute[30] | September 21, 2006 | 52% | 36% | 7% |
| Minnesota Public Radio/Pioneer Press/Mason-Dixon[31] | September 25, 2006 | 52% | 37% | 1% |
| SurveyUSA[32] | September 28, 2006 | 51% | 43% | 2% |
| Rasmussen[33] | October 4, 2006 | 53% | 36% | 6% |
| Minneapolis-St. Paul Star Tribune Minnesota Poll[34] | October 15, 2006 | 55% | 34% | 3% |
| Zogby/WSJ[35] | October 19, 2006 | 50% | 43% | |
| SurveyUSA[36] | October 24, 2006 | 55% | 39% | 3% |
| Rasmussen[37] | October 25, 2006 | 54% | 39% | |
| University of Minnesota Humphrey Institute[38] | November 1, 2006 | 55% | 33% | 3% |
| Minneapolis-St. Paul Star Tribune Minnesota Poll[39] | November 4, 2006 | 54% | 34% | 4% |
| SurveyUSA[40] | November 6, 2006 | 56% | 40% | 2% |
The race was, as expected, not close, with Klobuchar winning decisively. She did well in major cities, such asMinneapolis andSt. Paul, while Kennedy did well only in smaller, less populated counties. The turnout was high, although not unusual forMinnesota, one of the highest voter turnout states. Official turnout came in at 70.64%.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Amy Klobuchar | 1,278,849 | 58.06% | +9.23% | |
| Republican | Mark Kennedy | 835,653 | 37.94% | −5.35% | |
| Independence | Robert Fitzgerald | 71,194 | 3.23% | −2.58% | |
| Green | Michael Cavlan | 10,714 | 0.49% | n/a | |
| Constitution | Ben Powers | 5,408 | 0.25% | +0.15% | |
| Write-ins | 954 | ||||
| Majority | 443,196 | 20.2% | |||
| Turnout | 2,202,772 | 70.64% | |||
| Democratic (DFL)hold | Swing | ||||
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