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2006 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2006 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

← 2004
November 7, 2006 (2006-11-07)
2008 →

All 25 Florida seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Last election187
Seats won169
Seat changeDecrease 2Increase 2
Popular vote2,182,8331,599,968
Percentage56.67%41.54%
SwingDecrease 2.31%Increase 2.23%

District results
County results

Republican

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%

Democratic

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  90>%

Elections in Florida
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The2006 United States House of Representatives Elections in Florida took place on November 7, 2006. Elections were held in Florida's 1st through 25thcongressional districts.

Florida is known to be a moderate-to-conservative state, with more liberals residing in South Florida, and moderates and conservatives dominating both the northern and central regions of Florida, as well as a strong Republican base in Cuban-American portions ofMiami.Katherine Harris, a formerFlorida Secretary of State made famous in the 2000 presidential election, challenged incumbent senatorBill Nelson, and ended up losing to Nelson. Democrats set their sights on two districts in theSarasota andTampa area (the open seats of both Harris and the retiring Mike Bilirakis, respectively), and also on a South Florida district held by one of the Sunshine State's longest-serving congressmen.

The primary was held on September 5, 2006. The popularity of outgoinggovernorJeb Bush aided their gubernatorial candidate, Attorney GeneralCharlie Crist and helped Republicans win downballot, including Crist's newly elected successor at the Attorney General position, former Rep.Bill McCollum.

Overview

[edit]
United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2006[1]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/–
Republican2,182,83356.67%16-2
Democratic1,599,96841.54%9+2
Independents69,1411.79%0
Totals3,851,942100.00%25

District 1

[edit]
2006 Florida's 1st congressional district election

← 2004
2008 →
 
NomineeJeff MillerJoe Roberts
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote135,78662,340
Percentage68.5%31.5%

County results
Miller:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Jeff Miller
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jeff Miller
Republican

See also:Florida's 1st congressional district

Three-term incumbent Republican congressmanJeff Miller had an easy time seeking re-election in this staunchly conservative district based in theFlorida Panhandle. Miller, who was initially elected in a special election in 2001 to replaceJoe Scarborough, took advantage of this district's large military population based around theNaval Air Station Pensacola with his membership on theHouse Veterans Affairs Committee and the naturally conservative tendencies of western Florida to defeat Democratic challenger Joe Roberts easily.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
Florida's 1st congressional district election, 2006
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJeff Miller (incumbent)135,78668.54
DemocraticJoe Roberts62,34031.46
Total votes198,126100.00
Republicanhold

District 2

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe DNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Safe DNovember 7, 2006

District 3

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe DNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Safe DNovember 7, 2006

District 4

[edit]
See also:Florida's 4th congressional district

Incumbent Republican congressmanAnder Crenshaw represented thisNorth Florida andJacksonville-based district since 2001.Crenshaw was re-elected with nearly 70% of the vote.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
Florida's 4th congressional district election, 2006
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAnder Crenshaw (incumbent)141,75969.67
DemocraticRobert J. Harms61,70430.32
Write-ins160.01
Total votes203,479100.00
Republicanhold

District 5

[edit]
See also:Florida's 5th congressional district

Incumbent Republican congressmanGinny Brown-Waite faced challenger John Russell. She was re-elected to a third term with nearly 60% of the vote.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
Florida's 5th congressional district election, 2006
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanGinny Brown-Waite (incumbent)162,42159.85
DemocraticJohn Russell108,95940.15
Total votes271,380100.00
Republicanhold

District 6

[edit]
See also:Florida's 6th congressional district

EncompassingNorth Central Florida, this conservative district is represented by nine-term incumbent Republican congressmanCliff Stearns. Stearns, seeking a tenth term, faced off against Democratic candidate David Bruderly. Though Stearns defeated Bruderly by a wide margin, it was not the margin of victory that Stearns is used to in this gerrymandered district.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
Florida's 6th congressional district election, 2006
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanCliff Stearns (incumbent)136,60159.88
DemocraticDavid E. Bruderly91,52840.12
Total votes228,129100.00
Republicanhold

District 7

[edit]
See also:Florida's 7th congressional district

Incumbent Republican congressmanJohn Mica, initially elected in 1992, sought his eighth term in this conservative district that stretches along the coast of Florida fromSt. Augustine toDaytona Beach and peeks into theOrlando Metropolitan Area. Mica defeated Democratic candidate John Chagnon in a landslide.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
Florida's 7th congressional district election, 2006
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Mica (incumbent)149,65663.08
DemocraticJohn F. Chagnon87,58436.92
Total votes237,240100.00
Republicanhold

District 8

[edit]
See also:Florida's 8th congressional district

Republican congressmanRic Keller, seeking a fourth term in this moderately conservative,Central Florida-based district, faced off against businessman Charlie Stuart, a moderate Democrat. Though Keller held onto his seat in the midst of aDemocratic wave that was sweeping the country, he won by only a few points.

Democratic primary

[edit]
Democratic primary results[7]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticCharlie Stuart12,72847.73
DemocraticAlan Grayson9,69136.34
DemocraticHomer Hartage4,25015.94
Total votes26,669100.00

Republican primary

[edit]
  • Elizabeth Doran, businesswoman
  • Ric Keller, incumbent U.S. congressman
Republican primary results[7]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRic Keller (Incumbent)30,70772.48
RepublicanElizabeth Doran11,66127.52
Total votes42,368100.00

General election

[edit]

Incumbent Republican congressmanRic Keller, best known for hisCheeseburger Bill, which prevented customers from suingfast food chains for health problems, decided to seek a fourth term in Congress. Charlie Stuart, a marketing consultant, anOrange County, Florida native and member of a prominentOrlando family, was nominated by theDemocratic Party to face Keller. Stuart was touted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee as a top longshot candidate and received the backing of local figures such as CongressmanAllen Boyd, ex-Orlando mayorsGlenda Hood and Bill Frederick and present Orlando mayorBuddy Dyer, as well as national ones such as former Virginia governorMark Warner.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Likely RNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Likely RNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Likely RNovember 7, 2006
Florida's 8th congressional district election, 2006[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRic Keller (Incumbent)95,25852.79
DemocraticCharlie Stuart82,52645.73
IndependentWes Hoaglund2,6401.46
Write-ins200.01
Total votes180,444100.00
Republicanhold

District 9

[edit]
2006 Florida's 9th congressional district election

← 2004
2008 →
 
NomineeGus BilirakisPhyllis Busansky
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote123,01696,978
Percentage55.9%44.1%

County results
Bilirakis:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Michael Bilirakis
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Gus Bilirakis
Republican

See also:Florida's 9th congressional district

After serving twelve terms in theUnited States Congress, Republican incumbent congressmanMichael Bilirakis declined to run for re-election. His son,Gus Bilirakis, a member of theFlorida House of Representatives emerged as the Republican nominee and squared off againstPhyllis Busansky, the Democratic nominee and a formerHillsborough County Commissioner. The district has a tilt towards electing Republicans, so Busansky's campaign was not given much of a chance at first. As the campaign progressed, however, it received national attention from theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee. Though Bilirakis defeated Busansky by a ten-point margin, Busansky's performance was a large improvement over past years and outperformed her expected performance in the polls.[8]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Likely RNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Likely RNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Likely RNovember 7, 2006
Florida's 9th congressional district election, 2006[9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanGus Bilirakis123,01655.91
DemocraticPhyllis Busansky96,97844.08
Write-ins190.01
Total votes220,013100.00
Republicanhold

District 10

[edit]
See also:Florida's 10th congressional district

In this district, which is the only congressional district in the state to lie exclusively in one county, has been represented by incumbent Republican congressmanBill Young for several decades. A former chairman of theHouse Appropriations Committee, Young has been overwhelmingly re-elected year after year. In 2006, despite the moderate nature of his district and the acidic environment for Republicans nationwide, Congressman Young swamped Democratic nominee Samm Simpson.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
Florida's 10th congressional district election, 2006
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBill Young (incumbent)131,48865.93
DemocraticSamm Simpson67,95034.07
Write-ins70.00
Total votes199,445100.00
Republicanhold

District 11

[edit]
See also:Florida's 11th congressional district

Rather than seek a sixth term in this liberal district based inTampa, incumbent Democratic congressmanJim Davis opted torun for Governor, creating an open seat.Hillsborough County CommissionerKathy Castor, the daughter of renowned Florida politicianBetty Castor, ran for the seat and won the Democratic nomination, defeatingFlorida State Senate Minority LeaderLes Miller. She faced Republican candidate Eddie Adams, an architect, in the general election, which she won by a convincing margin.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe DNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Safe DNovember 7, 2006
Florida's 11th congressional district election, 2006
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKathy Castor97,47069.65
RepublicanEddie Adams, Jr.42,45430.34
Write-ins180.01
Total votes139,942100.00
Democratichold

District 12

[edit]
See also:Florida's 12th congressional district

Incumbent Republican congressmanAdam Putnam, a member of theRepublican leadership in theHouse, sought and easily won a fourth term in Congress, defeating independent candidates Joe Viscusi and Ed Bowlin.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
Florida's 12th congressional district election, 2006
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAdam Putnam (incumbent)124,45269.12
IndependentJoe Viscusi34,97619.42
IndependentEd Bowlin20,63611.46
Total votes180,064100.00
Republicanhold

District 13

[edit]
2006 Florida's 13th congressional district election

← 2004
2008 →
 
NomineeVern BuchananChristine Jennings
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote119,309118,940
Percentage50.1%49.9%

County results
Buchanan:     50–60%     60–70%
Jennings:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Katherine Harris
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Vern Buchanan
Republican

See also:Florida's 13th congressional district

Two-term incumbent Republican congresswomanKatherine Harris opted torun for Senate rather than seek a third term, creating an open seat. The 13th district, based inSouthwest Florida, is fairly conservative, but a competitive race emerged between the Republican nominee, car dealership ownerVern Buchanan, and the Democratic nominee, banking executiveChristine Jennings. Though Buchanan appeared to be victorious on election day by a 350-vote margin, Jennings requested a recount. Though the recount did not change the outcome of the race, Jennings filed additional complaints due to the fact that 13% ofSarasota County residents did not vote in the Congressional election, an unusually high number and the fact that the touch-screen machines did not provide a paper trail.[10]

Believing the matter to be unsettled, Jennings sued to challenge the results of the election in court, noting the "pervasive malfunctioning of electronic voting machines."[10] A Florida circuit judge rejected her lawsuit in December 2006, ruling that her allegations of lost votes in Sarasota County were "conjecture." Jennings met further failure in June 2007, when a Florida state appellate court ruled that Jennings did not meet the "extraordinary burden" of proving the lower court judge was wrong.[11]

Though Jennings fought the results further by appealing directly to theUnited States House of Representatives, this action, too, caused her to walk away empty-handed. After a three-person House task force was created to evaluate the election,[12] the task force voted along party lines to refer an investigation into Florida's 13th district House race to theGovernment Accountability Office (GAO).[13]

In February 2008, the committee and the House accepted the findings of the GAO that no machine error affected the outcome of the election, going a step further to pass HR 989, which affirmed the findings of the committee, accepted the results of the 2006 race and formally dismissed Jennings' challenge of the election's results. Jennings formally dropped her challenge shortly thereafter to focus on her 2008 rematch against Buchanan.[14]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]TossupNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Tilt D(flip)November 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Lean D(flip)November 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]TossupNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]TossupNovember 7, 2006
Florida's 13th congressional district election, 2006
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanVern Buchanan119,30950.08
DemocraticChristine Jennings118,94049.92
Total votes238,249100.00
Republicanhold

District 14

[edit]
See also:Florida's 14th congressional district

After winning his first Congressional election in 2004 to replacePorter Goss, incumbent Republican congressmanConnie Mack IV sought a second term in 2006. Mack's district, based in theGulf Coast region of Florida, is solidly conservative and overwhelmingly gave the congressman a second term over Democratic candidate Robert Neeld.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
Florida's 14th congressional district election, 2006)
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanConnie Mack IV (incumbent)151,61564.37
DemocraticRobert M. Neeld83,92035.63
Write-ins40.00
Total votes235,539100.00
Republicanhold

District 15

[edit]
2006 Florida's 15th congressional district election

← 2004
2008 →
 
NomineeDave WeldonRobert Bowman
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote125,96597,834
Percentage56.3%43.7%

County results
Weldon:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Dave Weldon
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Dave Weldon
Republican

See also:Florida's 15th congressional district

In thisSpace Coast-based district, incumbent Republican congressmanDave Weldon sought election to a seventh term in Congress. This district, though undoubtedly conservative, gave Weldon a smaller margin of victory over Democratic nominee Robert Bowman in 2006 than in previous years, likely due to the anti-Republican sentiment nationwide.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
Florida's 15th congressional district election, 2006
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDave Weldon (incumbent)125,96556.29
DemocraticRobert Bowman97,83443.71
Total votes223,799100.00
Turnout 
Republicanhold

District 16

[edit]
2006 Florida's 16th congressional district election

← 2004
2008 →
 
NomineeTim MahoneyJoe Negron
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote115,832111,415
Percentage49.6%47.7%

County results
Mahoney:     50–60%
Negron:     40–50%     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Vacant

Elected U.S. Representative

Tim Mahoney
Democratic

See also:Florida's 16th congressional district

Incumbent Republican congressmanMark Foley was considered to be a shoo-in for re-election until theHouse page scandal involving Foley became public knowledge. The Congressman resigned on September 29, 2006,[15] thus cancelling his re-election bid. TheRepublican Party of Florida selectedFlorida state representativeJoe Negron to replace Foley, though Foley's name remained on the ballot. Though Negron launched a successful campaign to urge voters to "Punch Foley for Joe!", indicating that voters should "punch" Foley's name on the ballot to vote for Negron,[16][17] he was ultimately unsuccessful on election day and fell to Democratic nominee and businessmanTim Mahoney.

One poll taken by Hamilton Beattie on September 12, 2006, had Foley leadingTim Mahoney in a matchup by 48% for Foley to 35% for Mahoney .[18]

According to the state of Florida, 42% of the voters in this district are registeredRepublicans, and 36% are registeredDemocrats.[19]George W. Bush won this district with 52% of the vote in the2000 presidential election, and with 54% of the vote in the2004 presidential election.

Mahoney has sharply criticized the Bush administration for overspending, general mismanagement, and its policies in Iraq.[20] In August, GeneralWesley Clark endorsed the candidacy of Mahoney for Congress.[21]

On September 28, 2006,ABC News reported that Republican incumbentMark Foley had sent email messages, from his personalAOL account, to a then-16-year-old formerCongressional page, asking the page to send a photo of himself to Foley, among other things that were overtlysexual in nature.[22]

Mahoney has called for a full investigation of Foley's actions.[23] The next day Foley submitted a letter of resignation from Congress on September 29, 2006 in the wake of news reports about the communications.[24]

Republicans' hold on Mark Foley's seat went "from safe to shaky overnight."[25] On October 2, 2006, the Florida Republican Party Executive Board selected state representativeJoe Negron as Mahoney's new opponent.[20] However, Negron's name did not appear on the ballot so he only received votes cast for Foley, whose name remained on the ballot by law. On election day Mahoney narrowly defeated Negron by 1.8 percentage points.[26] While Negron carried most of the more conservative areas of the district nearFort Myers, Mahoney carried the two largest counties in the district,Palm Beach andSt. Lucie counties, by a combined margin of over 10,000 votes — far more than the actual margin of victory. He was the first Democrat to represent the district since its creation in 1973 (it was the 10th District until 1983 and the 12th District until 1993).

Endorsements

[edit]
Tim Mahoney (D)
Individuals

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]TossupNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]TossupNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Tilt D(flip)November 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Lean D(flip)November 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Lean D(flip)November 7, 2006
Florida's 16th congressional district election, 2006
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticTim Mahoney115,83249.55
RepublicanJoe Negron111,41547.66
IndependentEmmie Lee Ross6,5262.79
Total votes223,799100.00
Democraticgain fromRepublican

District 17

[edit]
See also:Florida's 17th congressional district

This majority African-American district based in southernBroward County and easternMiami-Dade County has a very strong Democratic tilt and has been represented by CongressmanKendrick Meek since his initial election in2002 and was previously represented by Meek's mother,Carrie Meek, for ten years. Meek was overwhelmingly elected to a third term with no Republican or independent challenger.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe DNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Safe DNovember 7, 2006
Florida's 17th congressional district election, 2006
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKendrick Meek (incumbent)90,66399.97
Write-ins230.03
Total votes90,686100.00
Democratichold

District 18

[edit]
See also:Florida's 18th congressional district

Incumbent Republican congresswomanIleana Ros-Lehtinen, a respected member of theHouse Foreign Affairs Committee, represents a marginally conservative district that encompasses much ofMiami, the southern suburbs of Miami, and the entireFlorida Keys. Seeking a tenth term in Congress, Ros-Lehtinen easily defeated Democratic nominee Dave Patlak in the general election.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
Florida's 18th congressional district election, 2006
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanIleana Ros-Lehtinen (incumbent)79,63162.15
DemocraticDave Patlak48,49937.85
Total votes128,130100.00
Republicanhold

District 19

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe DNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Safe DNovember 7, 2006

District 20

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe DNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Safe DNovember 7, 2006

District 21

[edit]
See also:Florida's 21st congressional district

Incumbent Republican congressmanLincoln Diaz-Balart decided to run for an eighth term in Congress in this district composed of the western suburbs ofMiami. Conservative due to the large presence ofCuban-Americans here, this district is aHispanic-American majority district and has regularly sent Congressman Diaz-Balart back to Washington with solid victories. 2006 proved to be no different, and Diaz-Balart defeated Frank Gonzalez, though by a thinner margin than is usually achieved in this district.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
Florida's 21st congressional district election, 2006
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanLincoln Diaz-Balart (incumbent)66,78459.47
DemocraticFrank Gonzalez45,52240.53
Total votes112,306100.00
Republicanhold

District 22

[edit]
See also:Florida's 22nd congressional district

This district, which stretches from northernBroward County to northernPalm Beach County, marginally leads towards the Democratic side, but incumbent Republican congressmanClay Shaw's pragmatic and moderate profile in Congress enabled him to continually be re-elected. This year, however, Shaw faced difficulty in his bid for a fourteenth term.Florida state senatorRon Klein, previously theDemocratic leader in the Senate, ultimately defeated Shaw in the general election by a three-point margin.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]TossupNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]TossupNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Tilt D(flip)November 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Lean RNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]TossupNovember 7, 2006
Florida's 22nd congressional district election, 2006
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticRon Klein108,68850.88
RepublicanClay Shaw (incumbent)100,66347.13
IndependentNeil Evangelista4,2541.99
Total votes213,605100.00
Democraticgain fromRepublican

District 23

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe DNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Safe DNovember 7, 2006

District 24

[edit]
See also:Florida's 24th congressional district

Incumbent Republican congressmanTom Feeney, initially elected in 2002 and re-elected unopposed in 2004 in this hand-crafted, gerrymandered district, hardly faced a challenge from Democratic candidate Clint Curtis. Feeney, however, was marred by allegations of corruption brought about by Curtis, a computer programmer who claimed that Feeney asked Curtis to create a software to "steal" votes using touch-screen voting machines. Feeney treated Curtis like a gadfly, sending out mailers featuring Curtis with atin-foil hat[28] and refusing to debate him. Polling, however, indicated that the race was tight, with aZogby poll showing Feeney at a 45% level of support and Curtis attaining 43%.[29] Ultimately, though, on election day, Feeney swamped Curtis, winning all four counties in the district. The surprisingly close race, however, indicated that Feeney could be brought down with a serious challenger.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
Florida's 24th congressional district election, 2006)
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTom Feeney (incumbent)123,79557.94
DemocraticClint Curtis89,86342.06
Total votes213,658100.00
Republicanhold

District 25

[edit]
See also:Florida's 25th congressional district

This district, with aHispanic-American majority and based inSouth Florida, has the tendency to support Republican candidates. Incumbent Republican congressmanMario Diaz-Balart has represented the district since its creation in 2003 and had not faced a close call so far in his career. In 2006, however, though Diaz-Balart defeated Democratic opponent Michael Calderin by a solid margin, it was a thinner margin than usual.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
CQ Politics[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2006
Florida's 25th congressional district election, 2006
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMario Diaz-Balart (incumbent)60,76558.47
DemocraticMichael Calderin43,16841.53
Total votes103,933100.00
Republicanhold

References

[edit]
  1. ^ab"Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives".
  2. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxy"2006 Competitive House Race Chart"(PDF).House: Race Ratings. Cook Political Report. November 6, 2006. Archived fromthe original on September 27, 2007. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  3. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxy"2006 House Ratings".House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. November 6, 2006. Archived fromthe original on November 7, 2006. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  4. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxy"2006 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 6, 2006. Archived fromthe original on November 10, 2006. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  5. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxy"Battle for the House of Representatives".realclearpolitics.com. Real Clear Politics. November 7, 2006. Archived fromthe original on November 9, 2006. RetrievedDecember 12, 2023.
  6. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxy"Balance of Power Scorecard: House".cqpolitics.com. Congressional Quarterly Inc. Archived fromthe original on November 17, 2006. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  7. ^ab"September 5, 2006 Primary Election". Archived fromthe original on July 18, 2011. RetrievedFebruary 14, 2022.
  8. ^"Poll Report Popup".www.surveyusa.com. RetrievedApril 8, 2023.
  9. ^"Florida Department of State, November 7, 2006 General Election Results". Archived fromthe original on October 14, 2013. RetrievedAugust 27, 2019.
  10. ^ab"Another election mess in Florida",The Economist, December 9, 2006
  11. ^"Jennings Dealt Setback In Voting Machine Challenge"Archived September 27, 2007, at theWayback Machine, CBS local news (cbs4.com), June 18, 2007
  12. ^Phil Davis,"House Panel to Consider Florida Contest",Associated Press, April 17, 2007
  13. ^Aaron Blake,"FL-13 task force will turn over investigation to GAO"Archived May 9, 2007, at theWayback Machine,The Hill, May 3, 2007
  14. ^Lesley Clark (February 26, 2008)."US House dismisses challenge to Jennings' claim to seat".
  15. ^"Three More Former Pages Accuse Foley of Online Sexual Approaches".ABC News. October 5, 2006. Archived fromthe original on October 11, 2006. RetrievedOctober 5, 2006.
  16. ^"Florida's 16th District: Tim Mahoney (D)". Archived fromthe original on September 30, 2007. RetrievedSeptember 28, 2006.
  17. ^"November 7, 2006 Washington Monthly Election Day Blog". Archived fromthe original on June 5, 2011. RetrievedSeptember 28, 2006.
  18. ^"Polling Report". RetrievedApril 8, 2023.[permanent dead link]
  19. ^"Election"(PDF). Archived fromthe original(PDF) on February 21, 2008. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2008.
  20. ^abHood, Joel (October 3, 2006)."Rep. Joe Negron wins state Republican Party's approval to replace Foley".Sun-Sentinel. Archived fromthe original on February 3, 2013. RetrievedOctober 3, 2006.
  21. ^"Tim Mahoney for Florida - General Wes Clark Endorses Tim Mahoney". October 4, 2006. Archived fromthe original on October 4, 2006. RetrievedApril 8, 2023.
  22. ^"Sixteen-Year-Old Who Worked as Capitol Hill Page Concerned About E-mail Exchange with Congressman".ABC News. September 28, 2006. Archived fromthe original on October 4, 2006. RetrievedSeptember 28, 2006.
  23. ^Smith, Adam (September 28, 2006)."Candidate wants investigation in e-mail exchange".St Petersburg Times. RetrievedSeptember 28, 2006.
  24. ^Ferrechio, Susan (September 29, 2006)."Republican Rep. Foley Resigns, Drops Re-election Bid in Florida. 16".The New York Times. RetrievedMarch 5, 2008.
  25. ^Espo, David; Kuhnhenn, Jim (September 29, 2006)."Foley Resigns From Congress Over E-Mails". The Associated Press. RetrievedApril 19, 2014.
  26. ^Florida Department of State - Election Results
  27. ^"Tim Mahoney (FL-16) | WesPAC". Archived fromthe original on October 12, 2007. RetrievedApril 8, 2023.
  28. ^"TOM FEENEY CAMPAIGN SCRUBS 'CRAZY CLINT CURTIS' SMEAR BLOG! | the BRAD BLOG".
  29. ^"Our Campaigns - FL - District 24 Race - Nov 07, 2006".www.ourcampaigns.com. RetrievedApril 8, 2023.

See also

[edit]
U.S.
Senate
U.S.
House

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ratings
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Governors
Attorneys
General
State officials
State
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