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 County results Perry: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Bell: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Strayhorn: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The2006 Texas gubernatorial election was held on November 7, 2006, to elect thegovernor of Texas. The election was a rare five-way race, with incumbentRepublican governorRick Perry running for re-election againstDemocratChris Bell andIndependentsCarole Keeton Strayhorn andKinky Friedman, as well as Libertarian nominee James Werner.
Perry was re-elected to a second full term in office, winning 39% of the vote to Bell's 30%, Strayhorn's 18%, and Friedman's 12%. Perry carried 209 of the state's 254 counties, while Bell carried 39 and Strayhorn carried 6. Exit polls revealed that Perry won the white vote with 46%, while Bell got 22%, Strayhorn got 16% and Friedman got 15%. Bell won 63% of African Americans, while Perry got 16%, Strayhorn got 15% and Friedman got 4%. Bell also won the Latino vote with 41%, while Perry got 31%, Strayhorn got 18% and Friedman got 4%.
Perry was inaugurated for a second full four-year term on January 16, 2007. The ceremony was held inside theHouse of Representatives chamber at theTexas Capitol after thunderstorms canceled the planned outdoor ceremony. This remains the last time Republicans won a statewide race in Texas with only a plurality. Despite only winning 29% of the vote, this is the closest the Democrats have come to winning a Texas gubernatorial election in the 21st century.
To date, this is the most recent gubernatorial election whereSwisher,Crosby,Fisher,Haskell,Red River,Morris,Marion,Bastrop,Newton,Jefferson,Bee, andCalhoun counties voted for the Democratic candidate, and the most recent in whichCooke,Nolan,Wilson,Goliad, andWharton counties did not vote for the Republican candidate.
IncumbentRick Perry became governor in late 2000 when then-GovernorGeorge W. Bush resigned following his election asPresident of the United States. He had been elected lieutenant governor in 1998. Perry was subsequently elected governor in his own right in 2002 and successfully ran for a second full term in 2006.
Perry's overall poll ratings had plummeted since the 2002 election, plagued by budget woes, battles over school financing reform, and a contentious and controversial redistricting battle. His approval rating dropped to 38% during the latter part of the 2005 legislative session.
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It is difficult for an independent gubernatorial candidate to gain ballot access in the state of Texas. The election law, summarized briefly, requires the following:
In the event a candidate does not qualify for independent status, they may still run as a write-in candidate. The candidate must pay a $3,750 filing fee and submit 5,000 qualified signatures. However, the filing cannot take place any earlier than July 30, nor later than 5:00 PM on August 29.
The race was initially expected to be a contentious three-way primary between Perry, Comptroller of Public AccountsCarole Keeton Strayhorn, and U.S. senatorKay Bailey Hutchison. Hutchison declined to run for governor in late 2005, instead opting to run for re-election to the Senate. This left Strayhorn and Perry vying for the GOP nomination. Believing her chances to be better running as an independent and appealing directly to voters, rather than those of the Republican Party first, she announced her intent to challenge him in the general election instead. Had she run in the primary, the December 2005 Scripps Howard Texas Poll of match ups had Perry in the lead against Strayhorn by a 55%-24% margin.
Despite weak polling numbers, Perry had the support of the Texas Republican Party. According to Perry's campaign website, he gained 142 separate endorsements. Perry had endorsements from virtually the entire Texas Republican congressional delegation (all but two members),[citation needed] every Republican statewide officeholder (except Strayhorn and judicial officeholders, who by law cannot endorse political candidates), 51 of the 62 members of the Texas Republican Party executive committee, and nearly every major Texas pro-business, fiscal conservative, and social conservative organization andPAC. Perry even managed to gain the endorsement of theTeamsters Union,[citation needed] notwithstanding Texas's strongright to work laws.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Rick Perry (incumbent) | 552,545 | 84.23 | |
| Republican | Larry Kilgore | 50,119 | 7.64 | |
| Republican | Rhett Smith | 30,255 | 4.60 | |
| Republican | Star Locke | 23,030 | 3.51 | |
| Total votes | 655,919 | 100.00 | ||
Chris Bell, a former congressman from Houston, had been defeated in his party's 2004 primary after the controversial mid-decade redistricting in the state.[citation needed] Bell announced his run in July 2005.[citation needed]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chris Bell | 324,869 | 63.87 | |
| Democratic | Bob Gammage | 145,081 | 28.53 | |
| Democratic | Rashad Jafer | 38,652 | 7.60 | |
| Total votes | 508,602 | 100.00 | ||
Kinky Friedman, an independent candidate, claimed that country-music lovers, college students, animal lovers, ranchers, and anyone who did not vote in the last election were among his supporters.[citation needed]
Bell's official strategy was to get Democrats to unite behind and vote for a Democrat, predicting (and betting on) a splintering of the Republican vote among Perry, Strayhorn, and Friedman, giving the Democrats the needed plurality to win the election.[6] Running on a platform of ethics reform and education issues, he stayed with the pack of three candidates with better name recognition. After a good debate performance, his poll numbers improved significantly to where he had taken second place in nearly every poll afterward.
Friedman briefly enjoyed a high standing in the polls, and surpassed Democrat Chris Bell for second place by Independence Day.[citation needed] As election day drew near, the Friedman campaign fizzled out as much of his wide support was among young voters. He finished fourth in the election with under 13% of the vote. His website claimed that "he doesn't put much stock in unscientific political polls among "likely" voters, saying, "It's Kinky Friedman versus apathy".[7] Friedman stated during the campaign that he was going after the 71% who had not made it to the polls in 2002.[citation needed]
Perry's position in polling improved during the campaign, with a 44% approval rating and 51% disapproving as of September 2006.[8]
| No. | Date | Host | Link | Participants | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||||||
| Rick Perry | Chris Bell | Carole Keeton Strayhorn | Kinky Friedman | James Werner | ||||||
| 1 | October 6, 2006 | KERA-TV | [1] | P | P | P | P | N | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Likely R | November 6, 2006 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 6, 2006 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[11] | Likely R | November 2, 2006 |
| Real Clear Politics[12] | Likely R | November 6, 2006 |
Individuals
Graphical summary
| Source | Date | MoE | Bell (D) | Friedman (I) | Perry (R) | Strayhorn (I) | Werner (L) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSJ/Zogby[14] | October 31, 2006 | ±2.9% | 28.5% | 14.4% | 36.7% | 15% | 2.1% |
| Houston Chronicle/KHOU[15] | October 29, 2006 | ±3.2% | 22% | 10.5% | 38% | 21% | 1% |
| Rasmussen[16] | October 27, 2006 | ±4.5% | 25% | 12% | 36% | 22% | N/A |
| SurveyUSA[17] | October 24, 2006 | ±4.3% | 26% | 16% | 36% | 19% | 1% |
| WSJ/Zogby[14] | October 19, 2006 | ±3% | 26.2% | 13.2% | 37.5% | 13% | 3.9% |
| Dallas Morning News[18] | October 5, 2006 | ±3.5% | 15% | 14% | 38% | 18% | N/A |
| WSJ/Zogby[19] | September 25, 2006 | ±2.6% | 22.3% | 18.9% | 33% | 15.5% | 1.5% |
| Survey USA[20] | September 19, 2006 | ±4.3% | 23% | 23% | 35% | 15% | 2% |
| Rasmussen[21] | September 13, 2006 | ±4.5% | 18% | 16% | 33% | 22% | N/A |
| WSJ/Zogby[19] | September 5, 2006 | ±2.9% | 25.3% | 22.4% | 30.7%* | 11.1% | 2.6% |
| WSJ/Zogby[19] | August 28, 2006 | N/A | 23.1% | 22.7% | 34.8% | 9.6% | N/A |
| Rasmussen[22] | August 9, 2006 | ±4.5% | 18% | 18% | 35% | 18% | N/A |
| Rasmussen[23] | July 24, 2006 | ±4.5% | 13% | 19% | 40% | 20% | N/A |
| WSJ/Zogby[19] | July 24, 2006 | N/A | 20.8% | 20.7% | 38.3% | 11% | N/A |
| Survey USA[24] | June 26, 2006 | ±4.2% | 20% | 21% | 35% | 19% | N/A |
| WSJ/Zogby[19] | June 21, 2006 | N/A | 19.7% | 17.5% | 37.7% | 14.1% | N/A |
| Rasmussen[25] | June 12, 2006 | ±4.5% | 14% | 20% | 38% | 19% | N/A |
| Survey USA[26] | May 22, 2006 | ±4.1% | 18% | 16% | 41% | 20% | N/A |
| Survey USA[27] | April 26, 2006 | ±4.2% | 15% | 16% | 39% | 25% | N/A |
| Rasmussen[28] | April 20, 2006 | ±3% | 17% | 15% | 40% | 19% | N/A |
| WSJ/Zogby[19] | March 30, 2006 | N/A | 20.7% | 16.6% | 36.3% | 19% | N/A |
| Dallas Morning News[29] | February 18, 2006 | ±3% | 19% | 10% | 36% | 16% | N/A |
| Rasmussen[30] | February 14, 2006 | ±4.5% | 13% | 9% | 40% | 31% | N/A |
| Rasmussen[31] | January 5, 2006 | ±4.5% | 14% | 12% | 40% | 21% | N/A |
Texas election laws do not require a run-off in the event that a majority is not achieved, so Governor Perry joined only two other Texas governors to achieve the office by a plurality of less than 40%. The Texas gubernatorial elections of1853 and1861 were both won with less than 40% of the vote.[citation needed]
Strayhorn was seen as a moderate alternative to Perry, and found support among moderate Republicans and independent voters. Although a few polls had her tied for second going into election day, she finished with 18.13%.[5]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Rick Perry (incumbent) | 1,716,803 | 39.03 | −18.78 | |
| Democratic | Chris Bell | 1,310,353 | 29.79 | −10.17 | |
| Independent | Carole Keeton Strayhorn | 797,577 | 18.13 | ||
| Independent | Richard "Kinky" Friedman | 546,869 | 12.43 | ||
| Libertarian | James Werner | 26,748 | 0.61 | −0.86 | |
| Write-ins | James "Patriot" Dillon (write-in) | 718 | 0.02 | ||
| Margin of victory | 406,450 | 9.24 | |||
| Turnout | 4,399,068 | −3.40 | |||
| Republicanhold | |||||
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