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2006 Minnesota gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2006 Minnesota gubernatorial election

← 2002November 7, 20062010 →
 
NomineeTim PawlentyMike HatchPeter Hutchinson
PartyRepublicanDemocratic (DFL)Independence
Running mateCarol MolnauJudi DutcherMaureen Reed
Popular vote1,028,5681,007,460141,735
Percentage46.69%45.73%6.43%

County results
Precinct results
Pawlenty:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Hatch:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No votes

Governor before election

Tim Pawlenty
Republican

Elected Governor

Tim Pawlenty
Republican

Elections in Minnesota
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Senate elections
House of Representatives
Gubernatorial elections
Lieutenant gubernatorial elections
Secretary of State elections
State Auditor elections
Attorney General elections

The2006 Minnesota gubernatorial election took place on November 7, 2006. IncumbentTim Pawlenty was endorsed by the state Republican convention on June 2, 2006, while the state Democratic–Farmer–Labor convention endorsedMike Hatch on June 10, 2006. The party primaries took place on September 12, 2006, with Hatch defeating DFL challengersBecky Lourey and Ole Savior and incumbent Pawlenty defeatingSue Jeffers. In the November 7 general election, Pawlenty received a plurality of the votes, defeating Hatch by a margin of 0.96%. As a result, this election was the closest race of the2006 gubernatorial election cycle.

As of 2025, this is the last time a Republican won a statewide race in Minnesota.

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Withdrawn

[edit]

Results

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Democratic–Farmer–Labor gubernatorial primary election, 2006[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic (DFL)Mike Hatch231,64373.20
Democratic (DFL)Becky Lourey77,43024.47
Democratic (DFL)Ole Savior7,3972.34
Total votes316,470100.00

Independence primary

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Candidates

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Results

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Independence gubernatorial primary election, 2006[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
IndependencePeter Hutchinson7,72566.09
IndependencePam Ellison3,96433.91
Total votes11,689100.00

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Results

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Republican gubernatorial primary election, 2006[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTim Pawlenty (incumbent)147,62288.87
RepublicanSue Jeffers18,49011.13
Total votes166,112100.00

Other candidates

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Nominated by petition

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  • Walt E. Brown (Independent; used the ballot designation "Quit Raising Taxes"). Brown's running mate was Wesley C. Nelson.
  • Leslie Davis (American). Davis's running mate was Gregory K. Soderberg.
  • Ken Pentel (Green). Pentel's running mate was Danene Provencher.

Former candidates

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  • Jonathon "The Impaler" Sharkey (VWP) – Self-proclaimedvampire. Sharkey's campaign was jeopardized on January 30, 2006, when he was arrested inPrinceton, Minnesota on felony charges stemming from allegations ofstalking and flight, in Indiana.[2] Sharkey's campaign website was taken down. It was discovered that the stalking charge had been dismissed on September 29, 2003,[3] when Sharkey pleaded guilty to two counts of invasion of privacy and was ordered to submit to mental health treatment.[4] At his trial on July 18, 2006, he was found not guilty of the felony escape charge. Nevertheless, Sharkey's arrest and jailing effectively terminated his campaign.

General election

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On November 7, 2006, Tim Pawlenty narrowly won the general election, 46.7% to 45.7%, in a four-way race between himself, DFL candidate Mike Hatch, Independence Party candidatePeter Hutchinson, and Green Party candidate Ken Pentel. After Pawlenty opted out of spending limits, Hatch followed suit. Outspending Hatch by $1 million, Pawlenty's campaign set a new spending record for a Minnesota gubernatorial campaign. The race was also affected by negative advertising by 527 groups, as well as issue-oriented groups opposing liberal causes in the state.

A major issue in the campaign that was considered to have hurt the DFL nominees was lieutenant gubernatorial candidateJudi Dutcher's response to a question aboutE-85. When asked about the impact of the gasoline alternative on the economies of rural Minnesota by thenKSAX-TV anchorCorey Poppe, Dutcher was unable to comment, asking Poppe to define E-85.[5] In the subsequent questioning about her response, gubernatorial candidateMike Hatch reportedly called a Forum Communications reporter "a Republican whore" and promptly hung up the phone.[6][7] Hatch claimed he had said "hack", not "whore", but the incident, occurring only three days before the last poll listed in this article, is believed to have swung the race. It put Hatch on the defensive in the campaign's last week.

Additionally, Pawlenty made illegal immigration an issue, running ads accusing Hatch of trying to give illegal immigrants college tuition. Hatch responded with an ad saying that illegal immigration laws had not been enforced under Pawlenty's tenure. Pawlenty also ran ads accusing Hatch of being responsible for raisinghealth care costs, a claim Hatch disputed. Pawlenty campaigned on a record of leading the state through hard times, balancing record budget deficits without raising major state tax rates or diminishing the state's "nation-leading" status on most socioeconomic indicators.

Pawlenty won by piling up large margins in suburban counties as well as in central and southern Minnesota regions anchored bySt. Cloud andRochester. In his victory speech, noting that he would have to deal with a DFLHouse and Senate, Pawlenty said it was "a time tonight to be humble and time to be grateful." He promised that "the next four years are going to be different than the last four years" and that he would build "a common agenda" with DFLers who swept legislative and constitutional offices.

Hatch ran ahead inMinneapolis,St. Paul and their inner-ring suburbs, and won by large margins aroundDuluth and theIron Range. In his concession speech, Hatch advocated that legislators get back to "sitting down and getting to know each other in private" to establish common ground for bipartisan legislation, and called for an end to partisan rancor. Had the Hatch/Dutcher ticket been successful, he stated that this would have been one of his administration's first goals.[8]

Predictions

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SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[9]TossupNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]Tilt D(flip)November 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political Report[11]TossupNovember 2, 2006
Real Clear Politics[12]TossupNovember 6, 2006

Polling

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Two-way

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SourceDateMike
Hatch (DFL)
Tim
Pawlenty (R)
Undecided
University of Minnesota[13]October 28, 200645%39%7%
Mason-Dixon[14]October 27, 200644%43%7%
St. Cloud State University[15]October 27, 200646%36%7%
Rasmussen[16]October 25, 200645%44%2%
Zogby/WSJ[17]October 19, 200645%45%
Rasmussen[16]October 4, 200650%46%2%
Zogby/WSJ[17]September 11, 200642%41%
Gallup[18]September 5, 200644%43%
Zogby/WSJ[17]July 24, 200643%43%
Star Tribune Minnesota Poll[19]July 15, 200641%43%
Rasmussen[20]June 30, 200647%42%
Zogby/WSJ[17]June 21, 200640%45%
Rasmussen[21]May 10, 200649%39%
Rasmussen[22]February 28, 200645%40%
Rasmussen[23]January 29, 200644%47%

Three-way

[edit]
SourceDateMike
Hatch (DFL)
Tim
Pawlenty (R)
Peter
Hutchinson (IP)
Undecided
Star Tribune Minnesota Poll[permanent dead link]November 4, 200645%40%7%7%
Star Tribune Minnesota Poll[24]October 14, 200646%37%7%6%
Survey USA[25]September 28, 200644%45%6%3%
Pioneer Press/MPR Poll[26]September 22, 200639%42%5%11%
The Humphrey Institute[27]September 21, 200644%42%6%5%
Star Tribune Minnesota Poll[permanent dead link]September 16, 200642%42%7%5%
Rasmussen[permanent dead link]September 1, 200639%45%7%
Zogby/WSJ[17]August 28, 200643%41%5–9%
Rasmussen[28]August 7, 200636%46%6%
Survey USA[29]July 24, 200636%50%8%

Debate and forum

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2006 Minnesota gubernatorial election debate & candidate forum
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDFLIndependence
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
Tim PawlentyMike HatchPeter Hutchinson
1Oct. 29, 2006KSTP-TV
League of Women Voters Minnesota Education Fund
Tom Hauser[30]PPP
2Nov. 3, 2006Almanac
WCCO (AM)
Eric Eskola
Cathy Wurzer
C-SPANPPP

Results

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Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +>15%
  •   Democratic — +12.5-15%
  •   Democratic — +10-12.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
Trend by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +>15%
  •   Democratic — +12.5-15%
  •   Democratic — +10-12.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
County results for the Independence Party:
Hutchinson
  •      <4%%
  •      4-5%
  •      5-6%
  •      6-7%
  •      7-8%
  •      8%<
Minnesota gubernatorial election, 2006[31]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTim Pawlenty (incumbent)1,028,56846.69
Democratic (DFL)Mike Hatch1,007,46045.73
IndependencePeter Hutchinson141,7356.43
GreenKen Pentel10,8000.49
IndependentWalt E. Brown9,6490.44
AmericanLeslie Davis3,7760.17
Write-in9490.04
Total votes2,202,937100.00
Republicanhold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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Counties that flipped from Independence to Republican

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Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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Counties that flipped from Independence to Democratic

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See also

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Notes

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  1. ^abc"MN Election Results".electionresults.sos.state.mn.us. RetrievedApril 6, 2018.
  2. ^"wcco.com - 'Impaler' Claims He Did Nothing Wrong". Archived fromthe original on July 16, 2006. RetrievedJune 18, 2006.
  3. ^Scanned copy of Prosecutor's Motion to DismissArchived March 24, 2009, at theWayback Machine
  4. ^"Sharkey v. Indiana, Ind. App. (2006)"(PDF).in.gov. RetrievedApril 6, 2018.
  5. ^"GOP jumps on Dutcher's E85 misstep". November 14, 2006. Archived fromthe original on November 14, 2006. RetrievedApril 6, 2018.
  6. ^http://www.duluthnewstribune.com/articles/index.cfm?id=27509&freebie_check&CFID=4612252&CFTOKEN=43846502&jsessionid=8830d400afe52687c441[permanent dead link]
  7. ^http://www.startribune.com/blogs/kersten/?p=37[permanent dead link]
  8. ^"Hatch concedes to Pawlenty". Archived fromthe original on September 26, 2007. RetrievedNovember 8, 2006.
  9. ^"2006 Governor Race Ratings for November 6, 2006"(PDF).The Cook Political Report. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on June 5, 2008. RetrievedOctober 1, 2006.
  10. ^"Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedJune 25, 2021.
  11. ^"2006 Gubernatorial Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedJune 25, 2021.
  12. ^"Election 2006". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedJune 25, 2021.
  13. ^University of Minnesota
  14. ^Mason-Dixon
  15. ^St. Cloud State University
  16. ^abRasmussen
  17. ^abcdeZogby/WSJ
  18. ^Gallup
  19. ^Star Tribune Minnesota Poll
  20. ^Rasmussen
  21. ^Rasmussen
  22. ^Rasmussen
  23. ^Rasmussen
  24. ^Star Tribune Minnesota Poll
  25. ^Survey USA
  26. ^Pioneer Press/MPR Poll
  27. ^The Humphrey Institute
  28. ^Rasmussen
  29. ^Survey USA
  30. ^C-SPAN
  31. ^"MN Election Results".electionresults.sos.state.mn.us. RetrievedApril 6, 2018.

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