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2004 United States presidential election in West Virginia

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Main article:2004 United States presidential election
2004 United States presidential election in West Virginia

← 2000
November 2, 2004
2008 →
Turnout65.85% (of registered voters)
54.74% (of voting age population)[1]
 
NomineeGeorge W. BushJohn Kerry
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateTexasMassachusetts
Running mateDick CheneyJohn Edwards
Electoral vote50
Popular vote423,778326,541
Percentage56.06%43.20%

County results
Congressional district results

Bush

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Kerry

  50–60%
  60–70%


President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

Elections in West Virginia
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The2004 United States presidential election in West Virginia took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 5 representatives, or electors to theElectoral College, who voted forpresident andvice president.

West Virginia was won by incumbent PresidentGeorge W. Bush by a 12.86% margin of victory. Prior to the election, 8 of 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as ared state, while others considered it aswing state. Democratic PresidentBill Clinton easily won this state in1992 and1996, but Bush carried the state in2000 with just 51.92% of the vote. West Virginia is the only state to vote againstGeorge H. W. Bush both times and vote for George W. Bush both times. On election day, President Bush won here with a 6.53% better margin than his performance in 2000, signaling that the state was trending Republican at the presidential level. This was despite the fact that more than 50% of the state's population were registered Democrats, and both senators were Democrats.

This also marked the last election in which West Virginia voted for the same presidential candidate as neighboring Virginia, and the first election since1944 in which West Virginia voted more Republican than Virginia. In all subsequent U.S. presidential races since 2004, the Republican nominee won West Virginia while the Democratic nominee won Virginia. This is the last presidential election in whichFayette County,Brooke County,Logan County, andMingo County voted Democratic. Bush was the first Republican sinceWilliam McKinley in1900 to carry West Virginia twice.

Campaign

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[2]

SourceRanking
D.C. Political ReportLikely R
Associated PressToss-up
CNNLikely R
Cook Political ReportLean R
NewsweekLean R
New York TimesLean R
Rasmussen ReportsLikely R
Research 2000Toss-up
Washington PostToss-up
Washington TimesToss-up
Zogby InternationalLikely R
Washington DispatchLikely R

Polling

[edit]

Early on, pre-election polling showed the election as a pure toss up. But after September 14, Bush pulled ahead and reached 50% or higher in the polls. The average of the final three polls showed Bush leading 50% to 44%.[3]

Fundraising

[edit]

Bush raised $527,380.[4] Kerry raised $627,425.[5]

Advertising and visits

[edit]

Bush visited the state eight times; Kerry visited the state six times.[6] A total of between $100,000 and $550,000 was spent each week. As the election went on, both tickets spent less and less here each week.[7]

Analysis

[edit]

More than any other state, West Virginia highlighted Kerry's trouble in Appalachian America. It swung heavily to the Democrats during the days ofFranklin D. Roosevelt and remained reliably Democratic for most of the next 68 years. The state voted for Democrats (such asJimmy Carter andMike Dukakis) who went on to big national defeats. This was largely due to its blue-collar, heavily unionized workers, especially coal miners, who favored Democratic economic policy.

Starting with George W. Bush, however, the state's voters became more receptive to Republicans.

Results

[edit]
2004 United States presidential election in West Virginia[8]
PartyCandidateRunning matePopular voteElectoral voteSwing
Count%Count%
RepublicanGeorge W. Bush ofTexas(incumbent)Dick Cheney ofWyoming(incumbent)423,77856.06%5100.00%Increase4.14%
DemocraticJohn Kerry ofMassachusettsJohn Edwards ofNorth Carolina326,54143.20%00.00%Decrease2.39%
IndependentRalph Nader ofConnecticutPeter Camejo ofCalifornia4,0630.54%00.00%Increase0.54%
LibertarianMichael Badnarik ofTexasRichard Campagna ofIowa1,4050.19%00.00%Decrease0.11%
Write-inMichael Peroutka of -- of -820.01%00.00%Steady
IndependentJohn Kennedy (write-in) of -- of -130.00%00.00%Steady
MountainDavid Cobb (write-in) ofTexasPat LaMarche ofMaine50.00%00.00%Decrease1.65%
Total755,887100.00%5100.00%

By county

[edit]
CountyGeorge W. Bush
Republican
John Kerry
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Barbour4,00460.17%2,61039.22%410.62%1,39420.95%6,655
Berkeley21,29363.03%12,24436.24%2480.73%9,04926.79%33,785
Boone4,20741.25%5,93358.18%580.57%-1,726-16.93%10,198
Braxton2,98649.35%3,03550.16%300.50%-49-0.81%6,051
Brooke5,18948.17%5,49350.99%910.85%-304-2.82%10,773
Cabell21,03555.43%16,58343.70%3320.87%4,45211.73%37,950
Calhoun1,58854.97%1,26643.82%351.22%32211.15%2,889
Clay2,19853.98%1,83545.06%390.95%3638.92%4,072
Doddridge2,36274.30%80025.17%170.54%1,56249.13%3,179
Fayette7,88146.45%8,97152.87%1150.68%-1,090-6.42%16,967
Gilmer1,66558.38%1,15940.64%280.99%50617.74%2,852
Grant4,06380.50%96319.08%210.42%3,10061.42%5,047
Greenbrier8,35857.43%6,08441.81%1110.77%2,27415.62%14,553
Hampshire5,48968.65%2,45530.70%520.65%3,03437.95%7,996
Hancock7,29850.96%6,90648.22%1170.82%3922.74%14,321
Hardy3,63568.90%1,61730.65%240.46%2,01838.25%5,276
Harrison17,11155.94%13,23843.28%2390.79%3,87312.66%30,588
Jackson7,68658.41%5,38440.92%880.66%2,30217.49%13,158
Jefferson10,53952.71%9,30146.52%1530.77%1,2386.19%19,993
Kanawha44,43050.53%43,01048.92%4880.55%1,4201.61%87,928
Lewis4,44563.51%2,47535.36%791.13%1,97028.15%6,999
Lincoln4,10249.35%4,04848.70%1621.95%540.65%8,312
Logan7,04747.02%7,87752.56%630.42%-830-5.54%14,987
Marion12,15048.23%12,77150.69%2731.08%-621-2.46%25,194
Marshall8,51656.50%6,43542.70%1210.80%2,08113.80%15,072
Mason6,48754.10%5,40845.10%950.80%1,0799.00%11,990
McDowell2,76237.84%4,50161.67%360.49%-1,739-23.83%7,299
Mercer13,05758.34%9,17841.01%1440.64%3,87917.33%22,379
Mineral7,85468.53%3,51830.70%890.78%4,33637.83%11,461
Mingo4,61243.28%5,98356.15%600.56%-1,371-12.87%10,655
Monongalia17,67051.51%16,31347.55%3230.95%1,3573.96%34,306
Monroe3,59060.33%2,31138.83%500.84%1,27921.50%5,951
Morgan4,51165.88%2,27233.18%640.93%2,23932.70%6,847
Nicholas5,48552.99%4,78846.26%780.75%6976.73%10,351
Ohio11,69457.35%8,54341.89%1550.76%3,15115.46%20,392
Pendleton2,14660.55%1,38138.97%170.48%76521.58%3,544
Pleasants2,06160.00%1,34939.27%250.73%71220.73%3,435
Pocahontas2,29558.58%1,57340.15%501.27%72218.43%3,918
Preston7,85565.85%3,96333.22%1110.93%3,89232.63%11,929
Putnam15,71662.49%9,30136.98%1340.53%6,41525.51%25,151
Raleigh18,51960.67%11,81538.71%1910.62%6,70421.96%30,525
Randolph6,51256.68%4,89242.58%860.75%1,62014.10%11,490
Ritchie3,08673.55%1,07025.50%400.95%2,01648.05%4,196
Roane3,44056.39%2,61242.82%480.79%82813.57%6,100
Summers2,97853.91%2,50445.33%420.76%4748.58%5,524
Taylor3,89359.43%2,61739.95%410.62%1,27619.48%6,551
Tucker2,17960.53%1,40038.89%210.58%77921.64%3,600
Tyler2,79865.91%1,40133.00%461.09%1,39732.91%4,245
Upshur6,19166.62%3,03432.65%680.73%3,15733.97%9,293
Wayne10,07054.11%8,41145.20%1280.69%1,6598.91%18,609
Webster1,72446.42%1,96552.91%250.67%-241-6.49%3,714
Wetzel3,65651.95%3,33047.31%520.74%3264.64%7,038
Wirt1,72765.07%89633.76%311.17%83131.31%2,654
Wood24,94863.60%14,02535.75%2540.65%10,92327.85%39,227
Wyoming4,98557.18%3,69442.37%390.45%1,29114.81%8,718
Totals423,77856.06%326,54143.20%5,5680.74%97,23712.86%755,887
County Flips:
Democratic
  Hold
Republican
  Hold
  Gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Bush won all three congressional districts, including two held by Democrats.[9]

DistrictBushKerryRepresentative
1st58%42%Alan Mollohan
2nd57%42%Shelley Moore Capito
3rd53%46%Nick Rahall

Electors

[edit]
Main article:List of 2004 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of WV cast their ballots for electors: representatives to theElectoral College. WV is allocated 5 electors because it has 3congressional districts and 2senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 5 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 5 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as afaithless elector.

The electors of each state and theDistrict of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 5 were pledged for Bush/Cheney:

  1. Rob Capehart
  2. Doug McKinney
  3. Dan Moore
  4. Richie Robb
  5. Larry Faircloth

References

[edit]
  1. ^"West Virginia Blue Book - 2005 - Page 819"(PDF).West Virginia Legislature.
  2. ^"Archived copy".dcpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 21, 2010. RetrievedJanuary 13, 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  3. ^"Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". Archived fromthe original on July 20, 2012.
  4. ^"George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. RetrievedMay 20, 2015.
  5. ^"John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. RetrievedMay 20, 2015.
  6. ^"Specials". Cnn.com. RetrievedMay 20, 2015.
  7. ^"Specials". Cnn.com. RetrievedMay 20, 2015.
  8. ^"Official General Election Results for US president (2004)"(PDF). p. 5. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on May 13, 2009. RetrievedJuly 17, 2009.
  9. ^"Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008". Swing State Project. RetrievedMay 20, 2015.
State and district results of the2004 United States presidential election
Electoral map, 2004 election
Republican Party
Candidates
Democratic Party
Candidates
Controversies
Constitution Party
Green Party
Libertarian Party
Personal Choice Party
Prohibition Party
Nominee
Gene Amondson
Alternate nominee
Earl Dodge
Reform Party
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Eric Chester
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Nominee
Róger Calero
Alternate nominee
James Harris
VP nominee
Arrin Hawkins
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Nominee
John Parker
VP nominee
Teresa Gutierrez
Independents and other candidates
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