Movatterモバイル変換


[0]ホーム

URL:


Jump to content
WikipediaThe Free Encyclopedia
Search

2004 United States presidential election in Louisiana

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Main article:2004 United States presidential election
2004United States presidential election in Louisiana

← 2000November 2, 20042008 →
 
NomineeGeorge W. BushJohn Kerry
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateTexasMassachusetts
Running mateDick CheneyJohn Edwards
Electoral vote90
Popular vote1,102,169820,299
Percentage56.72%42.22%

Parish results
Congressional district results

Bush

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Kerry

  40–50%
  50–60%
  70–80%


President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

Elections in Louisiana
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections
Government

The2004 United States presidential election in Louisiana took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose nine representatives, or electors to theElectoral College, who voted forpresident andvice president.

Louisiana was won by incumbentPresidentGeorge W. Bush by a 14.5 percent margin. Prior to the election, all twelve news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise ared state. Bush's performance constituted a much wider margin than that of his2000 results, which were 6.8 percent smaller. The state, like other states in theDeep South, is racially polarized when it comes to presidential elections, as a wide majority of the white population votes Republican, and a wide majority of the black population votes Democratic.

In this election, Louisiana voted 12.05% to the right of the nation at-large.[1]

Primaries

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[2]

SourceRanking
D.C. Political ReportLean R
Cook Political ReportSolid R
Research 2000Solid R
Zogby InternationalLikely R
Washington PostLikely R
Washington DispatchLikely R
Washington TimesSolid R
The New York TimesSolid R
CNNLikely R
NewsweekSolid R
Associated PressLean R
Rasmussen ReportsLikely R

Polling

[edit]

Bush won every single pre-election poll, and won each with at least 48 percent of the vote. The final 3 polls averaged Bush leading 51 to 39 percent.[3]

Fundraising

[edit]

Bush raised $1,933,549.[4] Kerry raised $1,303,859.[5]

Advertising and visits

[edit]

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall election.[6][7]

Analysis

[edit]

Bush performed better here than he did in 2000. He won four more parishes: Caddo, Bienville, Saint Landry, and West Baton Rouge, but he won each with very slim margins of victory of less than two percent, except for West Baton Rouge which he won with 54 percent of the vote, indicating that parish as trending Republican. In the northern portion of the state, Bush barely lost in Madison and Tensas. The only two parishes in which he got less than forty percent of the vote were East Carroll and Orleans. Bush also won six of seven congressional districts in the state, each with at least 58 percent of the vote. TheSecond District, which covers the parish and city of Orleans, was won by Kerry with seventy percent of the vote; in other words, no congressional district in the state was competitive. As of the2024 presidential election[update], this is the last election in whichEast Baton Rouge Parish andCaddo Parish voted for a Republican presidential candidate.[8] Conversely, this is the last election in whichAssumption Parish andPointe Coupee Parish voted for a Democratic presidential candidate.[8]

Results

[edit]
2004 United States presidential election in Louisiana[9]
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanGeorge W. Bush (incumbent)1,102,16956.72%9
DemocraticJohn Kerry820,29942.22%0
IndependentRalph Nader7,0320.36%0
American IndependentMichael Peroutka5,2030.27%0
LibertarianMichael Badnarik2,7810.14%0
IndependentWalt Brown1,7950.09%0
IndependentGene Amondson1,5660.08%0
GreenDavid Cobb1,2760.07%0
Socialist Workers James Harris9850.05%0
Invalid or blank votes169,5101.35%
Totals1,943,106100.00%9
Voter turnout (Voting age population)58.5%

Results by parish

[edit]
ParishGeorge W. Bush
Republican
John Kerry
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Acadia16,08363.75%8,93735.42%2100.83%7,14628.33%25,230
Allen5,14056.33%3,79141.55%1932.12%1,34914.78%9,124
Ascension24,66163.07%13,95535.69%4841.24%10,70627.38%39,100
Assumption4,96646.26%5,58552.03%1841.71%-619-5.77%10,735
Avoyelles8,30253.48%6,97644.93%2471.59%1,3268.55%15,525
Beauregard9,47071.30%3,66627.60%1451.09%5,80443.70%13,281
Bienville3,61250.47%3,39947.49%1462.04%2132.98%7,157
Bossier30,04070.34%12,31728.84%3480.81%17,72341.50%42,705
Caddo54,29250.93%51,73948.54%5640.53%2,5532.39%106,595
Calcasieu46,07557.81%32,86441.24%7590.95%13,21116.57%79,698
Caldwell3,30869.61%1,38429.12%601.26%1,92440.49%4,752
Cameron3,19068.75%1,36729.46%831.79%1,82339.29%4,640
Catahoula3,21964.98%1,67333.77%621.25%1,54631.21%4,954
Claiborne3,70455.87%2,85443.05%721.09%85012.82%6,630
Concordia5,42760.43%3,44638.37%1071.19%1,98122.06%8,980
DeSoto6,21154.79%5,02644.34%990.87%1,18510.45%11,336
East Baton Rouge99,94354.42%82,29844.81%1,4010.76%17,6459.61%183,642
East Carroll1,35739.97%1,98058.32%581.71%-623-18.35%3,395
East Feliciana5,02154.57%4,09144.46%890.97%93010.11%9,201
Evangeline7,94956.86%5,75741.18%2731.95%2,19215.68%13,979
Franklin6,14167.46%2,82831.07%1341.47%3,31336.39%9,103
Grant5,91173.97%1,97724.74%1031.29%3,93449.23%7,991
Iberia19,42060.17%12,42638.50%4271.32%6,99421.67%32,273
Iberville6,33342.71%8,25955.70%2351.58%-1,926-12.99%14,827
Jackson5,03865.88%2,52533.02%841.10%2,51332.86%7,647
Jefferson117,88261.50%72,13637.64%1,6450.86%45,74623.86%191,663
Jefferson Davis8,05561.93%4,74536.48%2071.59%3,31025.45%13,007
Lafayette57,73264.20%31,21034.71%9811.09%26,52229.49%89,923
Lafourche22,73460.04%14,41738.08%7131.88%8,31721.96%37,864
LaSalle5,01580.39%1,15518.52%681.09%3,86061.87%6,238
Lincoln10,79159.23%7,24239.75%1851.02%3,54919.48%18,218
Livingston33,97676.78%9,89522.36%3820.86%24,08154.42%44,253
Madison2,29149.03%2,33449.95%481.03%-43-0.92%4,673
Morehouse7,47157.60%5,33641.14%1641.26%2,13516.46%12,971
Natchitoches9,26154.59%7,39843.60%3071.81%1,86310.99%16,966
Orleans42,84721.74%152,61077.43%1,6460.84%-109,763-55.69%197,103
Ouachita41,75064.78%22,01634.16%6781.05%19,73430.62%64,444
Plaquemines7,86664.72%4,18134.40%1060.87%3,68530.32%12,153
Pointe Coupee5,42948.17%5,71250.68%1301.15%-283-2.51%11,271
Rapides34,49263.79%18,90434.96%6731.24%15,58828.83%54,069
Red River2,50753.15%2,14045.37%701.48%3677.78%4,717
Richland5,47163.14%3,08235.57%1121.29%2,38927.57%8,665
Sabine6,71170.08%2,74328.64%1221.27%3,96841.44%9,576
St. Bernard19,59765.68%9,95633.37%2850.96%9,64132.31%29,838
St. Charles14,74761.87%8,85637.15%2340.98%5,89124.72%23,837
St. Helena2,23540.58%3,17357.61%1001.82%-938-17.03%5,508
St. James4,54540.92%6,40757.68%1561.40%-1,862-16.76%11,108
St. John the Baptist9,03946.08%10,30552.53%2731.39%-1,266-6.45%19,617
St. Landry18,31549.82%18,16649.42%2790.76%1490.40%36,760
St. Martin12,09552.99%10,32145.22%4081.79%1,7747.77%22,824
St. Mary12,87756.74%9,54742.07%2701.19%3,33014.67%22,694
St. Tammany75,13974.70%24,66524.52%7880.78%50,47450.18%100,592
Tangipahoa26,18162.14%15,34536.42%6091.45%10,83625.72%42,135
Tensas1,45349.04%1,46949.58%411.38%-16-0.54%2,963
Terrebonne26,35864.96%13,68433.73%5321.31%12,67431.23%40,574
Union7,45769.57%3,08928.82%1721.60%4,36840.75%10,718
Vermilion15,06961.38%9,08537.00%3981.62%5,98424.38%24,552
Vernon11,03272.44%4,03526.50%1621.06%6,99745.94%15,229
Washington11,00661.69%6,55436.74%2811.58%4,45224.95%17,841
Webster11,07060.00%6,83337.04%5462.96%4,23722.96%18,449
West Baton Rouge5,82253.73%4,93245.52%810.75%8908.21%10,835
West Carroll3,74074.31%1,23124.46%621.23%2,50949.85%5,033
West Feliciana2,93256.19%2,21442.43%721.38%71813.76%5,218
Winn4,36667.10%2,05631.60%851.31%2,31035.50%6,507
Totals1,102,16956.72%820,29942.22%20,6381.06%281,87014.50%1,943,106
County Flips:
Democratic
  Hold
Republican
  Hold
  Gain from Democratic

Parishes that flipped Democratic to Republican

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Bush won six of seven congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.[10]

DistrictBushKerryRepresentative
1st70%29%David Vitter
Bobby Jindal
2nd24%75%William J. Jefferson
3rd58%41%Billy Tauzin
Charlie Melancon
4th59%40%Jim McCrery
5th62%37%Rodney Alexander
6th59%40%Richard H. Baker
7th60%39%Chris John
Charles Boustany

Electors

[edit]
Main article:List of 2004 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Louisiana cast their ballots for electors: representatives to theElectoral College. Louisiana is allocated nine electors because it has sevencongressional districts and twosenators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of nine electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all nine electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as afaithless elector.

The electors of each state and theDistrict of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All nine were pledged to Bush/Cheney:

  1. Tom Angers
  2. Michael Bayham
  3. David R. Carroll
  4. Archie Corder
  5. Floyd Gonzalez
  6. Gerald Hebert
  7. John H. Musser
  8. Sal Palmisano
  9. Ruth L. Ulrich

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".uselectionatlas.org. RetrievedApril 12, 2023.
  2. ^[1]Archived 2016-03-03 at theWayback Machine
  3. ^"Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".uselectionatlas.org. Archived fromthe original on July 20, 2012. RetrievedJanuary 26, 2022.
  4. ^"George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. RetrievedMay 20, 2015.
  5. ^"John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. RetrievedMay 20, 2015.
  6. ^"Specials". Cnn.com. RetrievedMay 20, 2015.
  7. ^"Specials". Cnn.com. RetrievedMay 20, 2015.
  8. ^abSullivan, Robert David;‘How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century’;America Magazine inThe National Catholic Review; June 29, 2016
  9. ^"2004 Presidential General Election Results - Louisiana".
  10. ^https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=2004&fips=22&f=0&off=0&elect=0&datatype=cd&def=1
General
State Senate
State House
Governor
U.S. President
U.S. Senate
Class 2
Class 3
U.S. House
State and district results of the2004 United States presidential election
Electoral map, 2004 election
Republican Party
Candidates
Democratic Party
Candidates
Controversies
Constitution Party
Green Party
Libertarian Party
Personal Choice Party
Prohibition Party
Nominee
Gene Amondson
Alternate nominee
Earl Dodge
Reform Party
Socialist Party
Other candidates
Eric Chester
Socialist Workers Party
Nominee
Róger Calero
Alternate nominee
James Harris
VP nominee
Arrin Hawkins
Workers World Party
Nominee
John Parker
VP nominee
Teresa Gutierrez
Independents and other candidates
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2004_United_States_presidential_election_in_Louisiana&oldid=1313635979"
Categories:
Hidden categories:

[8]ページ先頭

©2009-2025 Movatter.jp