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2002 Florida gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2002 United States gubernatorial elections.

2002 Florida gubernatorial election

← 1998November 5, 20022006 →
Turnout55.3%Increase5.8[1]
 
NomineeJeb BushBill McBride
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Running mateFrank BroganTom Rossin
Popular vote2,856,8452,201,427
Percentage56.01%43.16%

County results
Congressional district results
Bush:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
McBride:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

Governor before election

Jeb Bush
Republican

Elected Governor

Jeb Bush
Republican

Elections in Florida
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The2002 Florida gubernatorial election took place on November 5, 2002, for the post ofGovernor of Florida.IncumbentRepublican governorJeb Bush defeatedDemocratic candidateBill McBride. Bush became the first Republican governor of Florida to win re-election to a second term.[2][3] This election was the last time until2022 that a Florida gubernatorial candidate won the general election by double digits or that a Republican won Miami-Dade County.

Republican nomination

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Jeb Bush announced that he would run for re-election in June 2001 after first beingelected in 1998.[4] Bush was unopposed for the GOP nomination, and spent the summer amassing a war chest of over $5.6 million towards his re-election campaign.[5]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Withdrew

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Campaign

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Reno led throughout much of the campaign for the Democratic nomination, boastingname recognition and employing agrassroots strategy. In early June, she led McBride in the polls by a margin of 53%-25%,[7] but trailed in a hypothetical head-to-head against Bush. Reno's primary campaign was dubbed the "Little redpickup truck tour", so-named because she toured the state in her 1999Ford Ranger.[7][8]

Over the summer, Reno's lead dwindled. McBride, backed by big money donors, was able to exploit Reno's paltry war chest, and sometime aloof campaign.[5] Reno's connections to theClinton Administration, and her handling of both theWaco siege and theElián González affair were frequent topics in the primary.[5]

In the final few weeks, McBride narrowed the gap to a dead heat going into the September 10 primary.[9]

Results

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County results

McBride won the nomination by less than 4,800 votes.[9]

Democratic primary results[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBill McBride602,35244.4
DemocraticJanet Reno597,55844.0
DemocraticDaryl Jones157,10711.6
Total votes1,357,017100

Aftermath

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Reno disputed the results after the primary was marred by problems. Several areas had technical glitches and delayed openings of the poll especially inMiami-Dade andBroward counties, both of which Reno performed strongly in.[4] As a result of the problems, Governor Bush kept the polls open for two additional hours.[11]

McBride selectedTom Rossin, minority leader of theFlorida Senate, as his running mate.[12]

General election

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Candidates

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  • Jeb Bush, incumbent Governor (Republican)
  • Bob Kunst, gay rights activist (Independent)
  • Bill McBride, Tampa attorney (Democratic)

Campaign

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McBride's campaign focused on the importance of public education, supporting policies such as teacher pay rises and less emphasis onstandardized tests. McBride was helped towards the end of the campaign by visits from national Democratic figures such as formerPresidentBill Clinton, formerVice PresidentAl Gore andJesse Jackson.[2] Though McBride himself did not make the topic an issue of his campaign, nationwide Democrats saw the race as an opportunity to avengeAl Gore's controversial loss in Florida during the2000 presidential election and the subsequentrecount.[13] Likewise Republicans saw this race a preview of2004.

PresidentGeorge W. Bush made numerous visits to Florida to support his brother for re-election.[3] Bush had a strongfundraising advantage over McBride in what was seen as one of the pivotal races in the2002 midterm elections.[2] Republicanadverts targeted McBride as a failed lawyer and as atax and spender.[14]

The two main candidates faced each other in two debates on 27 September and 22 October in the most expensive Florida gubernatorial election yet.[15][16][17] Polls towards the end of the campaign showed Bush with a lead over McBride.[14][16]Department of Justice observers were stationed at some of the polls,[2] but unlike the problems during the2000 presidential election and the Democratic primary, voting went smoothly.[18]

At the same time as the election, aninitiative was passed to limit class sizes. This had been opposed by Bush due to the cost of implementing it but had been supported by McBride.[18]

Predictions

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SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[19]TossupOctober 31, 2002
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20]Lean RNovember 4, 2002

Polling

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Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Jeb
Bush (R)
Bill
McBride (D)
Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA[21]November 2–4, 2002792 (LV)± 3.6%45%39%5%

Election results

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2002 gubernatorial election, Florida[22]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanJeb Bush (incumbent)2,856,84556.0+0.7
DemocraticBill McBride2,201,42743.2−1.5
No Party AffiliationBob Kunst42,0390.8+0.8
Write-ins2700.01+0.0
Majority655,41812.8+2.3
Turnout5,100,58154.8+6.6
RepublicanholdSwing

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

Notes

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  1. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

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  1. ^"November 5, 2002 General Election".Florida Department of State. RetrievedMay 15, 2022.
  2. ^abcd"Jeb Bush Makes History In Florida".CBS News. November 6, 2002. RetrievedMay 22, 2008.
  3. ^abCanedy, Dana (November 7, 2002)."THE 2002 ELECTIONS: FLORIDA; Bush Looks to 2nd Term As Analysts Point to 2004".The New York Times. RetrievedMay 25, 2008.
  4. ^ab"Gov. Jeb Bush says he's eager for a second term".polkonline.com. June 9, 2001. Archived fromthe original on February 10, 2005. RetrievedMay 22, 2008.
  5. ^abc"Reno rocks".The Guardian. August 11, 2002. RetrievedOctober 14, 2014.
  6. ^"Frankel beats Daves for West Palm Mayor".Boca Raton News. Associated Press. March 12, 2003. RetrievedFebruary 28, 2022.
  7. ^ab"Reno kicks off tour in red pickup once again". The Gainesville Sun. September 1, 2002. RetrievedOctober 14, 2014.
  8. ^"Reno Starts Little Red Pickup Tour". Fox News. February 26, 2002. RetrievedOctober 14, 2014.
  9. ^ab"McBride declares victory; Reno asks review".CNN. September 12, 2002. Archived fromthe original on March 21, 2008. RetrievedMay 22, 2008.
  10. ^"Florida Department of State - Election Results". Archived fromthe original on July 18, 2011. RetrievedAugust 26, 2019.
  11. ^"Gov. Bush extends voting in Florida primary".CNN. September 10, 2002. Archived fromthe original on January 20, 2008. RetrievedMay 22, 2008.
  12. ^"McBride introduces his running mate".Gainesville Sun. Associated Press. RetrievedApril 7, 2021.[permanent dead link]
  13. ^Seelye, Katharine (November 2, 2002)."The 2002 Campaign: The Governors; Cast Reassembled, Florida Revives a Drama From 2000".The New York Times. RetrievedOctober 14, 2014.
  14. ^ab"Poll shows Bush with open road to victory".South Florida Sun-Sentinel. October 31, 2002. Archived fromthe original on May 31, 2008. RetrievedMay 25, 2008.
  15. ^"Bush, McBride debate tonight".St. Petersburg Times. September 27, 2002. RetrievedMay 25, 2008.
  16. ^ab"Bush, McBride Face Off In Final Debate".Associated Press. October 22, 2002. RetrievedMay 25, 2008.
  17. ^"Bush Bets His Popularity And Scores a Big Victory".The Washington Post. November 6, 2002. RetrievedMay 25, 2008.[permanent dead link]
  18. ^abCanedy, Dana (November 6, 2002)."THE 2002 ELECTIONS: THE FLORIDA VOTE; Bush Wins 2nd Term With Surge".The New York Times. RetrievedMay 25, 2008.
  19. ^"Governor Updated October 31, 2002 | The Cook Political Report".The Cook Political Report. October 31, 2002. Archived fromthe original on December 8, 2002. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2018.
  20. ^"Governors Races".www.centerforpolitics.org. November 4, 2002. Archived fromthe original on December 12, 2002. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2018.
  21. ^SurveyUSA
  22. ^"2002 Gubernatorial General Election Results - Florida".Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. RetrievedMay 22, 2008.

External links

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Campaign websites

See also

[edit]
U.S.
Senate
U.S.
House
Governors
State Attorneys General
State
legislatures
Mayors
Local
States
generally
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