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1998 California gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

1998 California gubernatorial election

← 1994November 3, 19982002 →
Turnout41.43%
 
NomineeGray DavisDan Lungren
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote4,860,7023,218,030
Percentage57.97%38.38%

County results
Davis:     40-50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Lungren:     40–50%     50–60%

Governor before election

Pete Wilson
Republican

ElectedGovernor

Gray Davis
Democratic

Elections in California
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U.S. President primary
U.S. Senate
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Executive
Governor
Lieutenant governor
Secretary of state
Attorney general
Treasurer
Controller
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Insurance commissioner
Board of equalization

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Elections by year

The1998 California gubernatorial election was an election that occurred on November 3, 1998, resulting in the election of Lieutenant GovernorGray Davis as the state's firstDemocratic governor in 16 years. Davis won the general election by an almost 20% margin over his closest opponent,Republican Attorney GeneralDan Lungren. Davis succeededPete Wilson, who was term limited. The 1998 California gubernatorial election featured the state's only gubernatorialblanket primary, a practice which was later struck down in United States Supreme Court inCalifornia Democratic Party v. Jones in 2000.

The primary occurred on June 2, 1998. Davis defeated fellow DemocratsJane Harman andAl Checchi for the Democratic nomination. Davis received more votes than Lungren, who ran against less well-known opponents in the Republican primary. The primary set a record for spending in a California gubernatorial primary. Davis won 30 of California's 58 counties; no Democrat would win a majority of the counties again untilGavin Newsom in2018.[a] Davis carriedMono County by a single vote, becoming the first Democratic candidate to ever carry that county in a gubernatorial election.[b] This is the most recent gubernatorial election in which a Democrat carriedAmador County,Kings County,Riverside County, andTrinity County.San Bernardino County would not back a Democrat again until 2018.

Primary election

[edit]

The Democratic field for the race became open when the state's most well-known and popular politician, SenatorDianne Feinstein, decided in January 1998 not to run for governor despite a request from PresidentBill Clinton. She decided not to run in the race because of the difficulty of campaigning, the "deteriorated" nature of California statewide campaigns, and her desire to continue her work in the Senate.[1] Former White House Chief of StaffLeon Panetta also decided not to run.[2]

Al Checchi, a Democratic airline executive and political newcomer, was among the first to declare for the race. Gray Davis also declared around the same time. Congresswoman Jane Harman joined the contest in early April 1998. In early polling the three candidates were within 12 points of each other, with Davis in last.[3] Harman spent $14.4 million in her race for governor.[4] Checchi spent just under $39 million on his campaign.[4] The airline executive's campaign included numerous advertisings, one of which included school children trying to pronounce his name and another with his wife speaking Spanish.[2] Checchi did not identify himself as a Democrat in most of his early campaign advertisings.[5] Harman briefly overtook Checchi in state polls but declined after Checchi launched a series of negative campaign advertisings against her.[6] Many of Feinstein's top campaign advisers worked for Harman during the Gubernatorial primary. Harman's campaign ran a biographical ad of her at the1960 Democratic National Convention.[2]

Davis ran on the campaign slogan "experience money can't buy", and he promised to make education his top priority, which matched voters' concerns in exit polls. All three major Democratic candidates made education one of their top priorities in the campaign.[6] Davis was third in polling until the final week of the campaign, and because he had trouble raising money during the early months of the campaign, he did not run campaign advertisings early in the race as did Harman and Checchi.[2] Davis spent 9 million in total campaign funds in the primary,[4] and later criticized Checchi for giving money to RepublicansSteve Forbes andBob Dole in 1996.[2] Davis finished first in the primary, followed by Lungren, Checchi, and Harman. Lungren spent $7.7 million in the primary.[4]

Candidates

[edit]

Democratic

[edit]

Republican

[edit]
  • Dan Lungren, incumbent attorney general
  • Dennis Peron, businessman, veteran, and activist
  • James D. Crawford
  • Eduardo M. Rivera
  • Jeff Williams

Green

[edit]

Libertarian

[edit]

Peace and Freedom

[edit]

American Independent

[edit]
  • Nathan E. Johnson

Natural Law

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Open primary results[7]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticGray Davis2,083,39634.74%
DemocraticAl Checchi748,82812.49%
DemocraticJane Harman741,25112.36%
DemocraticCharles "Chuck" Pineda Jr.23,3670.39%
DemocraticPia Jensen12,4030.21%
DemocraticMichael Palitz12,0500.20%
RepublicanDan Lungren2,023,61833.75%
RepublicanDennis Peron72,6131.21%
RepublicanJames D. Crawford28,8810.48%
RepublicanEduardo M. Rivera22,2220.37%
RepublicanJeff Williams[8]19,7990.33%
GreenDan Hamburg92,2981.54%
LibertarianSteve W. Kubby47,0250.78%
Peace and FreedomGloria Estela La Riva21,5050.36%
Peace and FreedomMarsha Feinland15,5720.26%
American IndependentNathan E. Johnson19,5400.33%
Natural LawHarold H. Bloomfield12,4220.21%
Invalid or blank votes209,8283.38%
Total votes5,996,790[c]100.00%

General election

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Dan
Lungren (R)
Gray
Davis (D)
Undecided
The Field Institute[9]October 26–28, 1998809 (LV)± 3.5%43%50%7%
The Field Institute[9]October 22–27, 1998678 (LV)± 4.0%39%53%8%
Los Angeles Times[9]October 17–21, 1998883 (LV)± 4.0%42%53%5%
Mason Dixon[9]October 11–13, 1998820 (LV)± 3.5%42%48%10%
Public Policy Institute of California[9]October 1–6, 1998793 (LV)± 3.5%41%49%10%
The Fields Institute[9]September 27 – October 5, 1998703 (LV)± 3.7%42%48%10%
Public Policy Institute of California[9]September 1–7, 19981,046 (LV)± 3.0%38%47%15%
The Field Institute[9]August 18–24, 1998625 (LV)± 4.1%37%49%14%
Mason Dixon[9]July 26–28, 1998832 (LV)± 3.5%39%48%13%
The Field Institute[9]March 5–15, 1998727 (LV)± 4.0%42%41%17%

Results

[edit]
1998 California gubernatorial election[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticGray Davis4,860,70257.97%+17.35%
RepublicanDan Lungren3,218,03038.38%−16.80%
GreenDan Hamburg104,1791.24%
LibertarianSteve Kubby73,8450.88%−0.84%
Peace and FreedomGloria Estela La Riva59,2180.71%−0.22%
American IndependentNathan E. Johnson37,9640.45%−1.09%
Natural LawHarold H. Bloomfield31,2370.37%
IndependentGale Shangold (write-in)160.00%
IndependentPhillip Ashamallah (write-in)30.00%
IndependentHolden Charles Hollom (write-in)10.00%
IndependentLark D. Jursek (write-in)10.00%
Invalid or blank votes235,9252.73%
Majority1,642,67219.59%
Total votes8,385,196[c]100.00%
Democraticgain fromRepublicanSwing+34.15%

Results by county

[edit]
CountyGray Davis
Democratic
Dan Lungren
Republican
Dan Hamburg
Green
Steve Kubby
Libertarian
Gloria
La Riva
PFP
Nathan E. Johnson
AIP
Harold H. Bloomfield
NLP
MarginTotal votes cast[10]
#%#%#%#%#%#%#%#%
Alameda282,29773.47%86,74522.58%6,9191.80%3,0410.79%2,7270.71%1,1300.29%1,3780.36%195,55250.89%384,237
Alpine28550.35%24743.64%142.47%30.53%81.41%30.53%61.06%386.71%566
Amador6,61449.20%6,47848.19%860.64%1120.83%640.48%570.42%320.24%1361.01%13,443
Butte30,18446.00%32,71749.86%1,1761.79%5450.83%3620.55%4000.61%2330.36%-2,533-3.86%65,617
Calaveras7,35845.46%8,15050.35%1490.92%2981.84%710.44%1010.62%590.36%-792-4.89%16,186
Colusa2,13643.60%2,62153.50%360.73%390.80%330.67%270.55%70.14%-485-9.90%4,899
Contra Costa190,20062.82%103,68634.25%3,2391.07%2,2410.74%1,3990.46%9670.32%1,0200.34%86,51428.58%302,753[e]
Del Norte3,82051.34%3,08741.49%2423.25%871.17%540.73%1031.38%470.63%7339.85%7,440
El Dorado25,42943.84%30,53452.64%7271.25%5750.99%2600.45%2830.49%1920.33%-5,105-8.80%58,000
Fresno82,29347.68%85,36949.46%9620.56%1,2570.73%1,4210.82%9180.53%3880.22%-3,076-1.78%172,608
Glenn3,15041.74%4,14054.86%570.76%540.72%460.61%771.02%220.29%-990-13.12%7,546
Humboldt23,88051.22%17,65837.88%3,9128.39%4891.05%2770.59%2040.44%1990.43%6,22213.35%46,619
Imperial13,26256.15%8,59236.38%2020.86%1610.68%1,0334.37%2250.95%1440.61%4,67019.77%23,619
Inyo3,08245.36%3,37749.70%1061.56%691.02%600.88%701.03%310.46%-295-4.34%6,795
Kern59,13241.80%78,21355.29%8400.59%8720.62%8940.63%1,0400.74%4570.32%-19,081-13.49%141,448
Kings11,37049.98%10,70447.06%1170.51%1160.51%2050.90%1840.81%510.22%6662.93%22,747
Lake11,07458.83%6,73435.77%5092.70%2081.10%1010.54%1180.63%810.43%4,34023.05%18,825
Lassen3,79245.85%4,06549.15%831.00%770.93%770.93%1301.57%460.56%-273-3.30%8,270
Los Angeles1,297,89665.69%615,64231.16%18,7360.95%15,9780.81%14,2650.72%7,0040.35%6,1400.31%682,25434.53%1,975,672[f]
Madera10,86941.10%14,86456.20%1500.57%1960.74%1330.50%1620.61%730.28%-3,995-15.11%26,447
Marin70,10868.94%27,39226.94%2,1712.13%9380.92%4810.47%2590.25%3440.34%42,71642.00%101,693
Mariposa3,00541.86%3,85553.70%881.23%1031.43%380.53%700.98%200.28%-850-11.84%7,179
Mendocino16,45057.37%8,65930.20%2,5318.83%4561.59%2290.80%1930.67%1540.54%7,79127.17%28,672
Merced21,20053.39%17,53544.16%2420.61%1870.47%2550.64%1940.49%950.24%3,6659.23%39,708
Modoc1,42840.74%1,85652.95%451.28%411.17%391.11%712.03%250.71%-428-12.21%3,505
Mono1,64147.35%1,64047.32%601.73%551.59%210.61%240.69%250.72%10.03%3,466
Monterey54,46459.76%33,05336.27%1,1091.22%7.930.87%7150.78%5050.55%4970.55%21,41123.49%91,136
Napa25,80959.86%15,19335.24%1,0212.37%4190.97%2630.61%2080.48%2010.47%10,61624.62%43,114
Nevada17,52244.98%19,72050.62%8752.25%3991.02%1680.43%1460.37%1290.33%-2,198-5.64%38,959
Orange318,19844.69%370,73652.07%6,6220.93%6,5120.91%4,2350.59%2,9500.41%2,8070.39%-52,538-7.38%712,060
Placer38,73443.55%47,74553.68%7470.84%7100.80%3430.39%3700.42%2920.33%-9,011-10.13%88,941
Plumas3,76443.99%4,47252.26%1081.26%951.11%410.48%490.57%280.33%-708-8.27%8,557
Riverside173,56751.15%155,17545.73%2,4630.73%2,2750.67%2,7280.80%1,9360.57%1,2050.36%18,3925.42%339,349
Sacramento206,87057.37%142,97039.65%3,3440.93%2,5250.70%2,2900.64%1,5440.43%1,0180.28%63,90017.72%360,561
San Benito7,53157.42%4,96737.87%1270.97%1841.40%1411.08%830.63%830.63%2,56419.55%13,116
San Bernardino174,62952.60%144,05643.39%2,9820.90%3,1770.96%3,2290.97%2,4410.74%1,5070.45%30,5739.21%332,021
San Diego364,16949.45%340,83446.28%7,7421.05%8,4391.15%6,4510.88%4,3690.59%4,4200.60%23,3353.17%736,426[g]
San Francisco192,49680.03%36,46415.16%5,9802.49%2,1430.89%2,1540.90%6660.28%6200.26%156,03264.87%240,527[h]
San Joaquin64,37752.03%56,44745.62%7150.58%6530.53%7050.57%5230.42%3150.25%7,9306.41%123,735
San Luis Obispo42,54349.04%40,36346.53%1,6191.87%8290.96%5390.62%5020.58%3470.40%2,1802.51%86,743[i]
San Mateo142,14468.43%59,24928.52%2,3821.15%1,7800.86%9470.46%6040.29%6070.29%82,89539.91%207,713
Santa Barbara65,93753.33%52,87342.76%1,8951.53%9550.77%8780.71%4950.40%6040.49%13,06410.57%123,637
Santa Clara270,10564.28%133,01531.66%4,9921.19%5,3951.28%3,0830.73%1,7200.41%1,8650.44%137,09032.63%420,176[e]
Santa Cruz56,07865.62%23,69927.73%3,0073.52%1,1791.38%6870.80%3550.42%4520.53%32,37937.89%85,457
Shasta23,07643.28%28,13052.76%4790.90%5521.04%3510.66%5311.00%1960.37%-5,054-9.48%53,315
Sierra73441.70%92452.50%291.65%452.56%110.63%120.68%50.28%-190-10.80%1,760
Siskiyou7,49345.54%8,10049.23%2561.56%2301.40%1220.74%1741.06%790.48%-607-3.69%16,454
Solano63,79162.81%34,28833.76%1,0030.99%9660.95%6580.65%4580.45%3950.39%29,50329.05%101,559
Sonoma103,23564.29%46,61629.03%6,6314.13%1,6571.03%9440.59%7630.48%7280.45%56,61935.26%160,575[e]
Stanislaus50,79350.69%47,09547.00%5490.55%5430.54%4570.46%5350.53%2380.24%3,6983.69%100,210
Sutter9,29642.07%12,31355.73%1310.59%1390.63%730.33%1010.46%420.19%-3,017-13.65%22,095
Tehama8,56146.02%9,34350.23%1520.82%1700.91%1410.76%1790.96%560.30%-782-4.20%18,602
Trinity2,44749.01%2,16843.42%1322.64%901.80%571.14%681.36%310.62%2795.59%4,993
Tulare32,18644.11%39,07253.54%3530.48%4930.68%3630.50%3730.51%1330.18%-6,886-9.44%72,973
Tuolumne9,73148.38%9,77148.58%2011.00%1610.80%700.35%1170.58%610.30%-40-0.20%20,112
Ventura110,22652.95%91,09343.73%2,0490.98%1,6160.78%1,4490.70%9110.44%8260.40%19,1339.19%208,170
Yolo31,93963.06%16,78333.14%9581.89%4170.82%2640.52%1620.32%1250.25%15,15629.92%50,648
Yuba6,30246.54%6,74349.79%1270.94%1060.78%1080.80%1000.74%560.41%-441-3.26%13,542
Total4,860,70257.97%3,218,03038.38%104,1791.24%73,8450.88%59,2180.71%37,9640.45%31,2370.37%1,642,67219.59%8,385,196

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

Analysis

[edit]

Gray Davis won the general election by almost 20% over Dan Lungren. Davis outspent Lungren 28.6 million to 23.8 million.[4] Davis tried to portray Lungren as too conservative. In one debate, Davis attacked Lungren for voting against a Safe Drinking Water Bill in the 1980s while Lungren tried to cast himself as the political heir of former California GovernorRonald Reagan. The policy differences between Davis and Lungren were substantial. Davis was pro-abortion rights in a staunchly pro-abortion-rights state, and Lungren wasanti-abortion rights. Lungren favored giving childrenabstinence only education. Both candidates wereRoman Catholic.Al Gore, Bill Clinton,Hillary Clinton, andBob Kerrey made campaign stops in California on Davis's behalf.[11][12]

Davis succeeded in casting Lungren as too far right for California. Even normally conservative San Diego County went for Davis, and – foreshadowing their Democratic trends in the 21st century — remote high mountainMono County backed a Democratic Governor for the first time ever, and adjacentAlpine County for the first time since1978. Upon his victory, Davis promised he would focus his attention on education and would convene a special session of the legislature.[13] The race determined who would control reapportionment of congressional districts after the 2000 census.[6]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Jerry Brown won 29 counties (exactly half) in2014.
  2. ^John R. McConnell, the Southern Democratic nominee in1861, had won Mono County; 1861 was the first election that Mono County participated in. IndependentJohn Bidwell also won Mono County in1875. Until 1998, these were the only two elections in which the Republican candidate failed to carry Mono County.
  3. ^abTotal votes cast for candidates; does not include blank votes. The percentages in the Statement of Vote are based on this total, while the percentage for blank votes is calculated using the combined total of valid votesand blank votes.
  4. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. ^abcIncludes 1 for Shangold
  6. ^Includes 9 for Shangold, 2 for Ashamallah
  7. ^Includes 1 for Shangold, 1 for Ashamallah
  8. ^Includes 3 for Shangold, 1 for Hollom
  9. ^Includes 1 for Jursek

References

[edit]
  1. ^"No California Gubernatorial Bid For Sen. Feinstein".CNN. Archived fromthe original on February 19, 2007. RetrievedSeptember 21, 2007.
  2. ^abcde"California Governor's Race Gets Tougher". Cnn.com. March 26, 1998. RetrievedMarch 19, 2018.
  3. ^"Millionaires Battle In California Governor's Primary". Cnn.com. April 6, 1998. RetrievedMarch 19, 2018.
  4. ^abcde"Spending in the 1998 Governor's race". Sos.ca.gov. December 13, 2017. Archived fromthe original on June 11, 2007. RetrievedMarch 19, 2018.
  5. ^"The "Inside Politics" Interview: The California Governor's Race". Cnn.com. RetrievedMarch 19, 2018.
  6. ^abc"Lt. Governor Wins Primary in California".Washingtonpost.com. June 3, 1998. RetrievedMarch 19, 2018.
  7. ^California Secretary of State.Statement of Vote Primary Election June 2, 1998(PDF). Sacramento, California. pp. 1–8. RetrievedJuly 23, 2024.
  8. ^"Engineered Finishing Systems | Robotics & Automation". CCIS. RetrievedMarch 19, 2018.
  9. ^abcdefghij"CNN AllPolitics Election '98 - California 1998 Polls".CNN.Archived from the original on June 14, 2025. RetrievedJune 14, 2025.
  10. ^abCalifornia Secretary of State.Statement of Vote General Election November 3, 1998(PDF). Sacramento, California. pp. 1–3. RetrievedJuly 23, 2024.
  11. ^"Lungren, Davis Feisty In Debate Democrat scoffs as GOP hopeful invokes Reagan". Sfgate.com. October 16, 1998. RetrievedMarch 19, 2018.
  12. ^Carla Marinucci (July 28, 1998)."Lungren, Davis – Deep Divide Over Abortion: Candidates' religion is not common ground". Sfgate.com. RetrievedMarch 19, 2018.
  13. ^"Democrats' Sweep in California Could Have Lasting Impact".Washingtonpost.com. November 5, 1998. RetrievedMarch 19, 2018.

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