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1996 United States Senate election in Virginia

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

1996 United States Senate election in Virginia

← 1990November 5, 19962002 →
Turnout50.2% (voting eligible)[1]
 
NomineeJohn WarnerMark Warner
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote1,235,7431,115,981
Percentage52.48%47.39%

County and independent city results
Precinct results
J. Warner:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
M. Warner:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No Votes

U.S. senator before election

John Warner
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Warner
Republican

Elections in Virginia
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The1996 United States Senate election in Virginia was held on November 5, 1996. Incumbent Republican U.S. SenatorJohn Warner won re-election to a fourth term over Democratic challengerMark Warner (unrelated), who later served as Governor of Virginia from2002 to 2006 and won this Senate seat in2008 after John Warner declined to run for re-election that year.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Results

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Democratic convention vote[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMark Warner62666.53%
DemocraticLeslie Byrne30131.99%
DemocraticNancy B. Spannaus141.49%
Total votes941100.00%

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Campaign

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John Warner, amoderate Republican who held this Senate seat from 1979, remained a popular and powerful political figure. A formerUnited States Secretary of the Navy, he was at this time Chairman of the Senate Rules Committee.

He easily won renomination, despite opposition by a number of conservative Republicans, who distrusted him because of his moderate positions (Warner was pro-choice, pro-gun control and refused to support 1994 Senate nomineeOliver North due to his role in theIran-Contra Affair).

Warner was endorsed by such notable figures asBob Dole,George H. W. Bush, andColin Powell, while Miller was endorsed by theNRA.[3]

Results

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Republican primary results[4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Warner (incumbent)323,52065.55%
RepublicanJames C. Miller III170,01534.45%
Total votes493,535100.00%

General election

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Candidates

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Campaign

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The two Warners (no relation) competed in a hotly-contested Senate election. The incumbent, who was a moderate Republican, was very popular and did not even face a major opponent in 1990. Although Mark Warner was relatively unknown, he became one of John Warner's strongest challengers. The Democrat self-financed his campaign and ended up outspending the Republican. In October, the Democrat outspent the incumbent 5–1.[5]

The incumbent had to compete in a primary against a more conservative candidate because he had endorsed an independent in the 1994 U.S. Senate election, instead of controversial Republican nomineeOliver North. Despite this, North did endorse John Warner in the 1996 election.[6] In the general election, the incumbent called the Democrat a "robber baron," "Carpetbagger," and a "Connecticut Yankee" who raised money from outside the state.[7][8][9] Mark Warner tried to compete in the Southern part of the state, which is traditionally Republican territory. He earned the endorsement from theReform Party of Virginia.[10]

Polling

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In June, the incumbent was leading 58%-24%.[11] On September 19, the incumbent led 54%-34%.[12]

Results

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United States Senate election in Virginia, 1996[13]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanJohn Warner (incumbent)1,235,74452.48%−28.43%
DemocraticMark Warner1,115,98247.39%+47.39%
Write-in2,9890.13%-0.81%
Majority119,7625.09%−57.67%
Turnout2,354,715
RepublicanholdSwing

Analysis

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Mark Warner lost the parts of the state that are outside the three largest metropolitan areas, 51%-49%, a very impressive result for a Democrat in this heavily Republican territory. However, John Warner's strength among moderates enabled him to carry Northern Virginia 55%-45%, which led to him winning the general election 52%-47%.[14] This was the closest reelection margin of John Warner's career.

In2002, John Warner was reelected with no Democratic challenger, defeating independent candidate Spannaus by a wide margin. He declined to run for re-election in2008.

In2001, Mark Warner was elected Governor, serving from 2002 to 2006. He left office with a high approval rating and many believed he was a potential candidate for the2008 presidential election. After declining to run, John Warner was mentioned as a potential vice presidential nominee. However, John Warner retired in 2008, allowing Mark Warner to win the open Senate seat. John Warner would later endorse Mark Warner in his successful reelection campaigns in2014 and2020. This is the only time that Mark Warner lost an election in Virginia.[15][16]

See also

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Notes

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References

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  1. ^Dr. Michael McDonald (March 25, 2013)."Turnout 1980-2012".George Mason University. Archived fromthe original on October 30, 2012. RetrievedApril 3, 2013.
  2. ^"VA US Senate - D Senate Convention Race - Jun 08, 1996". Our Campaigns. RetrievedMarch 22, 2016.
  3. ^"VA US Senate Race - Nov 05, 1996". Our Campaigns.Archived from the original on May 16, 2011. RetrievedMarch 22, 2016.
  4. ^"Federal Elections 96: 1996 U.S. Senate Results by State". Fec.gov. Archived fromthe original on August 31, 2003. RetrievedMarch 22, 2016.
  5. ^"The Free Lance-Star - Google News Archive Search". RetrievedMarch 22, 2016.
  6. ^"The Free Lance-Star - Google News Archive Search". RetrievedMarch 22, 2016.
  7. ^"The Free Lance-Star - Google News Archive Search". RetrievedMarch 22, 2016.
  8. ^"NewsLibrary Search Results". RetrievedMarch 22, 2016.
  9. ^"The Virginian-Pilot Archives". Nl.newsbank.com. October 16, 1996. RetrievedMarch 22, 2016.
  10. ^"The Virginian-Pilot Archives". Nl.newsbank.com. October 23, 1996. RetrievedMarch 22, 2016.
  11. ^"The Free Lance-Star - Google News Archive Search". RetrievedMarch 22, 2016.
  12. ^"NewsLibrary Search Results". RetrievedMarch 22, 2016.
  13. ^"96 PRESIDENTIAL and CONGRESSIONAL ELECTION STATISTICS". Clerk.house.gov. RetrievedMarch 22, 2016.
  14. ^"Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA) -- the Almanac of American Politics".www.nationaljournal.com. Archived fromthe original on January 29, 2013. RetrievedJanuary 26, 2022.
  15. ^James Hohmann (January 27, 2014)."Warner endorses Warner".Politico. RetrievedJune 2, 2018.
  16. ^"Republican Former Senator John Warner Endorses Mark Warner's Re-election Bid".Mark Warner For Virginia. October 20, 2020. Archived fromthe original on December 23, 2020. RetrievedDecember 27, 2020.
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