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1992 Victorian state election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Australian state election

1992 Victorian state election

← 1988
3 October 1992 (1992-10-03)
1996 →

All 88 seats in theVictorian Legislative Assembly
and22 (of the 44) seats in theVictorian Legislative Council
45 seats needed for a majority
 First partySecond party
 
LeaderJeff KennettJoan Kirner
PartyLiberal/National coalitionLabor
Leader since23 April 199110 August 1990
Leader's seatBurwoodWilliamstown
Last election42 seats46 seats
Seats won6127
Seat changeIncrease 19Decrease 19
Popular vote1,358,2951,003,495
Percentage51.99%38.41%
SwingIncrease 3.65Decrease 8.14
TPP56.30%43.70%
TPP swingIncrease 5.78Decrease 5.78

Results in each electorate

Premier before election

Joan Kirner
Labor

ElectedPremier

Jeff Kennett
Liberal/National coalition

The1992 Victorian state election was held on 3 October 1992 to elect the 52ndParliament of Victoria, including all 88 members of theLegislative Assembly and 22 of the 44 members in theLegislative Council.

TheLabor government ofPremierJoan Kirner, who had replacedJohn Cain on 10 August 1990, was defeated in alandslide by theLiberalNationalCoalition led byJeff Kennett andPat McNamara, who had campaigned on comprehensive economic and structural reform as well as changes to industrial relations. It was the largest majority that the Coalition had ever won in Victoria.

Background

[edit]

At the1988 state election, the Labor government had won a third term, gaining 46 of the 88 Legislative Assembly seats, but was sent reeling by a budget crisis. Despite this, polling indicated that the Liberal Opposition had been unable to gain any ground underAlan Brown, who had succeededJeff Kennett on 23 May 1989. Brown was, however, able to persuade the Nationals to agree to contest the next election as a Coalition, the first time the two main non-Labor parties in Victoria had fought an election together since 1950. The Liberals had actually won a majority of the two-party vote in 1988, but came up five seats short of achieving government. It was believed that they had lost seats due to a number of three-cornered contests in rural areas.

Cain soon realised that Labor would be heavily defeated if he took the party into the next election. He resigned in 1990, and was succeeded by Deputy Premier and Education MinisterJoan Kirner. While Kirner was able to win some respect, she was unable to change Labor's fortunes. Prospects for a fourth Labor term became even more remote when Kennett's supporters launched a party room coup that returned him to the leadership on 23 April 1991.

Kirner waited as long as she could before calling the election. While she remained more personally popular than Kennett, commentators had almost universally written off Labor by this time. The Coalition had been well ahead in opinion polling for over two years, and it was obvious almost as soon as the writs were dropped that Kennett would be Victoria's next premier.

Both the government and opposition had gone through changes during the 1988–1992 term of Parliament. The Labor government, in power since the1982 election, was dogged in its final term by a series of scandals and major corporate collapses which, like neighbouringSouth Australia, extended and deepened theearly 1990s recession in those states. Unemployment reached 11.6% in Victoria in March 1992, with the manufacturing and textiles sector being particularly affected, while state debt was estimated atA$30 billion.[1] TheState Bank of Victoria, the Victorian Economic Development Corporation (VEDC),Tricontinental andPyramid Building Society failed, whilst the government-backed WorkCare insurance scheme was not in good shape. Proposed changes to the system were rejected by trade unions, leading to a state wide strike which saw gas supplies, electricity generators, public transport, most schools and government offices inoperative.[2] A disastrous rollout of a 'scratch ticket system'[3] for metropolitan trains and trams did not help their fortunes. The Liberal party commenced an advertising campaign in January 1992 with the slogan "Labor: the Guilty Party".[1]

The1990 federal election was the first major sign that all was not well for Victorian Labor, with the Coalition gaining nine seats at Labor's expense. Ultimately,John Cain resigned on 7 August 1990, and on 10 August,Joan Kirner was elected leader. Despite her own personal popularity, support for the government had fallen to 22% by December, with analysts citing concerns over the state debt, lack of confidence in Victorian financial institutions, industrial relations problems and the severity of the recession's effects in the state as the primary reasons for the low ratings.[4][5]

Meanwhile, on 23 May 1989,Jeff Kennett was dumped as leader of the Liberal Party by his colleagues in favour ofAlan Brown; Brown led the party until 23 April 1991 when he was himself dumped in a party room spill. During Brown's period as Opposition Leader, the Liberals negotiated the first coalition agreement with theNationals in over forty years, in part due to a belief by some (in spite of what political scientistBrian Costar called a "lack of psephological evidence to support this assertion") that had the parties been in coalition at the election, they would have won.[6]

Key dates

[edit]
DateEvent
14 August 1992The Legislative Council was prorogued and the Legislative Assembly was dissolved.[7]
21 August 1992Writs were issued by theGovernor to proceed with an election.[7]
28 August 1992The electoral rolls were closed.
4 September 1992Nominations for candidates for the election closed at noon.
3 October 1992Polling day, between the hours of 8am and 6pm.
6 October 1992TheKirner Ministry resigned and theKennett Ministry was constituted.[8]
19 October 1992The writ was returned and the results formally declared.
27 October 1992Parliament resumed for business.[9]

Results

[edit]
See also:Post-election pendulum for the 1992 Victorian state election

Legislative Assembly

[edit]
See also:Results of the 1992 Victorian state election (Legislative Assembly)

Victorian state election, 3 October 1992[10][11]
Legislative Assembly
<< 19881996 >>

Enrolled voters2,855,471
Votes cast2,716,298Turnout95.13+2.78
Informal votes103,401Informal3.81–0.08
Summary of votes by party
PartyPrimary votes%SwingSeatsChange
 Liberal1,153,77044.16+3.5952+19
 Labor1,003,49538.41–8.1427–19
 National204,5257.83+0.069± 0
 Natural Law34,6161.32+1.320± 0
 Geelong Community12,2470.47+0.470± 0
 Democrats5,0800.19–0.860± 0
 Pensioner and CIR3,8440.15+0.150± 0
 Greens1,8630.07+0.070± 0
 Call to Australia1,1430.04–1.010± 0
 Independent192,3147.36+4.580± 0
Total2,612,897  88 
Two-party-preferred
 Liberal/National1,467,99056.30+5.78
 Labor1,139,63543.70–5.78

Legislative Council

[edit]
See also:Results of the 1992 Victorian state election (Legislative Council)
Results for the Legislative Council.

Victorian state election, 3 October 1992[12]
Legislative Council

Enrolled voters2,855,471
Votes cast2,718,936Turnout95.22+2.89
Informal votes111,627Informal4.11–0.22
Summary of votes by party
PartyPrimary votes%SwingSeats
won
Seats
held
 Liberal1,133,95143.49–0.011424
 Labor1,005,45438.56–9.57514
 National227,8508.74+1.2636
 Democratic Labor118,2444.54+4.5400
 Natural Law16,2160.62+0.6200
 Geelong Community14,5860.56+0.5600
 Democrats8,1970.31+0.3100
 Call to Australia2,1680.08–0.1400
 Independent80,6433.09+2.4200
Total2,419,991  2244
Two-party-preferred
 Liberal/National1,475,00456.65+6.10
 Labor1,128,50343.35–6.10

The Labor government was defeated by the Coalition, with the latter winning 61 seats of 88 contested in the Assembly on an 8% swing against the Government, and 17 of 22 in the council with a swing of over 9%. It was the second-largest defeat that a sitting government has ever suffered in Victoria. This did, however, represent a considerable improvement in the Government's stocks from the 22-25% indicated in opinion polls in 1990 and 1991. The Liberals made gains primarily in the eastern suburbs of Melbourne as well as provincial Victoria. Eight members of Kirner's cabinet were defeated.

The Liberals actually won 52 seats, enough for a majority in their own right. Although Kennett thus had no need for National support, the Coalition was retained.

Maps

[edit]

Results of the 1992 Victorian state election, Rural districts

Results of the 1992 Victorian state election, Metropolitan districts

Seats changing hands

[edit]
SeatPre−1992SwingPost−1992
PartyMemberMarginMarginMemberParty
Ballarat East LaborFrank Sheehan−0.6*−1.11.6Barry TraynorLiberal 
Bayswater LaborKay Setches3.0−10.17.1Gordon AshleyLiberal 
Bellarine LaborGraham Ernst−1.1−6.87.9Garry SpryLiberal 
Bendigo West LaborDavid Kennedy1.6−2.71.1Max TurnerLiberal 
Bentleigh LaborAnn Barker1.5−9.78.2Inga PeulichLiberal 
Box Hill LaborMargaret Ray−7.0−6.213.2Robert ClarkLiberal 
Cranbourne Labornotional – new seat1.4−6.14.7Gary RoweLiberal 
Eltham Labornotional – new seat4.6−14.610.0Wayne PhillipsLiberal 
Essendon LaborBarry Rowe5.5−6.71.2Ian DavisLiberal 
Frankston East LaborJane Hill6.5−6.70.2Peter McLellanLiberal 
Geelong LaborHayden Shell2.6−3.30.7Ann HendersonLiberal 
Knox LaborCarolyn Hirsh5.0−11.16.1Hurtle LuptonLiberal 
Mitcham LaborJohn Harrowfield2.3−10.88.5Roger PescottLiberal 
Monbulk LaborNeil Pope4.3−9.65.3Steve McArthurLiberal 
Mooroolbark Labornotional – new seat1.9−12.010.1Lorraine ElliottLiberal 
Mordialloc LaborPeter Spyker2.2−9.57.3Geoff LeighLiberal 
Oakleigh LaborRace Mathews5.7−8.62.9Denise McGillLiberal 
Tullamarine LaborPeter Gavin4.9−6.41.5Bernie FinnLiberal 
Wantirna LaborPeter Lockwood0.1−14.214.1Kim WellsLiberal 
  • Ballarat East was the new name for the abolished district ofBallarat South, of which Labor MPFrank Sheehan was the sitting member. It was a notional Liberal seat.
  • Bellarine and Box Hill became notional Liberal seats in the redistribution.

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^abShamshullah, Ardel (December 1992). "Australian Political Chronicle: January–June 1992: Victoria".Australian Journal of Politics and History.38 (3):426–427.ISSN 0004-9522.
  2. ^"Victoria Stopped by Strike". 27 July 1989.
  3. ^"Search collections".
  4. ^Shamshullah, Ardel (June 1991). "Australian Political Chronicle: July–December 1990: Victoria".Australian Journal of Politics and History.37 (2):308–312.ISSN 0004-9522.
  5. ^Costar B.J & Economou N., 'Elections and Electoral Change 1982-92' in Considine M. & Costar B.J (eds)Trials in Power: Cain, Kirner and Victoria 1982-1992, Melbourne University Press, 1992 p. 261
  6. ^B. J. Costar, 'Coalition Government: An Unequal Partnership' in B. J. Costar & N. Economou (eds)The Kennett Revolution: Victorian Politics in the 1990s, UNSW Press, Sydney, 1998, p. 89
  7. ^ab"Proroguing the Legislative Council and dissolving the Legislative Assembly: Proclamation".Victoria Government Gazette. Victorian Government Printer. 14 August 1992. p. 1992:S45 (Special).
  8. ^"Ministers of the Crown".Victoria Government Gazette. Victorian Government Printer. 9 October 1992. p. 1992:S53 (Special).
  9. ^"Fixing the time for holding the first session of the Fifty-second Parliament of Victoria".Victoria Government Gazette. Victorian Government Printer. 21 October 1992. p. 1992:3107.
  10. ^Hughes, Colin A. (2002).A Handbook of Australian Government and Politics 1985-1999. Sydney: Federation Press. p. 316.
  11. ^Antony Green (September 1995)."1992 Victorian State Election - Summary of Results"(PDF).Australian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved5 July 2013.
  12. ^Hughes (2002) p.317.
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