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1992 United States presidential election

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For related races, see1992 United States elections.

1992 United States presidential election

← 1988November 3, 19921996 →

538 members of theElectoral College
270 electoral votes needed to win
Turnout58.1%[1]Increase 5.3pp
 
NomineeBill ClintonGeorge H. W. BushRoss Perot
PartyDemocraticRepublicanIndependent
Home stateArkansasTexasTexas
Running mateAl GoreDan QuayleJames Stockdale
Electoral vote3701680
States carried32 +DC180
Popular vote44,909,88939,104,55019,743,821
Percentage43.0%37.5%18.9%


President before election

George H. W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Bill Clinton
Democratic

The1992 United States presidential election was thepresidential election, held in theUnited States, on November 3, 1992. TheDemocratic ticket ofArkansas governorBill Clinton and Senator from TennesseeAl Gore defeated theRepublican ticket of incumbent presidentGeorge H. W. Bush and vice presidentDan Quayle and theindependent ticket of businessmanRoss Perot and vice admiralJames Stockdale. The election marked the end of 12 consecutive years of Republican rule of theWhite House, as well as the end of a longer period of Republican dominance in American presidential politics that began in1968, with the exception ofJimmy Carter's narrow victory in1976.

Bush had alienated manyconservatives in his party by breaking his 1988 campaignpledge not to raise taxes, but he fended off aprimary challenge frompaleoconservative commentatorPat Buchanan without losing a single contest. Bush's popularity following his success in theGulf War dissuaded high-profile Democratic candidates such asMario Cuomo from entering the1992 Democratic primaries. Clinton, a leader of the centristDemocratic Leadership Council, established himself as the front-runner for the Democratic nomination by sweeping theSuper Tuesday primaries. He defeated former governor of CaliforniaJerry Brown, formerMassachusetts senatorPaul Tsongas, and other candidates to win the nomination, and choseTennessee senatorAl Gore as his running mate. The billionaire Perot launchedan independent campaign, emphasizing his opposition to theNorth American Free Trade Agreement (which at time was being actively negotiated) and his plan to reduce thenational debt.

The economy had recovered from arecession in the spring of 1991, followed by 19 consecutive months of growth, but perceptions of the economy's slow growth harmed Bush, for he had inherited a substantial economic boom from his predecessorRonald Reagan. Bush's greatest strength,foreign policy, was regarded as much less important following thedissolution of the Soviet Union and the end of theCold War, as well as the relatively peaceful climate in the Middle East after the Gulf War. Perot led in several polls taken in June 1992, but severely damaged his candidacy by temporarily dropping out of the race in July. The Bush campaign criticized Clinton's character and emphasized Bush's foreign policy successes, while Clintonfocused on the economy.

Clinton won a plurality in the popular vote and a majority of theelectoral vote, breaking a streak of three consecutive Republican victories. Clinton flipped a total of 22 states that had voted Republican in the election of1988. Perot won 18.9% of the popular vote, thehighest share of the vote won by a candidate outside of the two major parties since1912.

Democratic Party nomination

[edit]
Main article:1992 Democratic Party presidential primaries
This article is part of
a series about
Bill Clinton








Bill Clinton's signature
Seal of the President of the United States
This article is part of
a series about
Al Gore


45th Vice President of the United States



Democratic Party (United States)
Democratic Party (United States)
1992 Democratic Party ticket
Bill ClintonAl Gore
for Presidentfor Vice President
40th and 42nd
Governor of Arkansas
(1979–1981, 1983–1992)
U.S. Senator
fromTennessee
(1985–1993)
Campaign
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the primaries
Jerry BrownPaul TsongasTom HarkinBob KerreyDouglas Wilder
Governor
ofCalifornia
(1975–1983)
U.S. Senator
fromMassachusetts
(1979–1985)
U.S. Senator
fromIowa
(1985–2015)
U.S. Senator
fromNebraska
(1989–2001)
Governor
ofVirginia
(1990–1994)
CampaignCampaignCampaignCampaignCampaign
Eliminated at Convention:
July 15, 1992

4,071,232 votes
Suspended Campaign:
March 19, 1992

Endorsed Bill Clinton:
June 3, 1992

3,656,010 votes
Withdrew:
March 9, 1992

Endorsed Bill Clinton:
March 26, 1992

318,457 votes
Withdrew:
March 5, 1992

Endorsed Bill Clinton:
May 14, 1992[a]

280,304 votes
Withdrew:
January 8, 1992

Endorsed Bill Clinton:
July 14, 1992

240 votes
[2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10]

Overview

[edit]

Following the successful performance by U.S. and coalition forces in the Persian Gulf War, PresidentGeorge H. W. Bush's approval ratings were 89%. His re-election was considered very likely; several high-profile candidates, such asMario Cuomo andJesse Jackson, refused to seek the Democratic nomination. U.S. SenatorAl Gore from Tennessee refused to seek the nomination due to the fact his son had been struck by a car and was undergoing surgery and physical therapy; however,Tom Harkin,Paul Tsongas,Jerry Brown,Larry Agran,Bob Kerrey,Douglas Wilder, andBill Clinton chose to run as candidates.

Harkin, a U.S. Senator from Iowa, ran as a populist liberal with labor union support. Tsongas, a former U.S. Senator from Massachusetts, highlighted his political independence and fiscal conservatism. Jerry Brown, the former California governor who had run for the Democratic nomination in 1976 and 1980, declared a significant reform agenda, including Congressionalterm limits,campaign finance reform, and the adoption of aflat income tax. Nebraska senator Bob Kerrey was an attractive candidate based on his business and military background, but made several gaffes on the campaign trail. Arkansas governor Bill Clinton positioned himself as a centrist, orNew Democrat. He was relatively unknown nationally before the primary season. That quickly changed whenGennifer Flowers alleged an extramarital affair. Clinton denied the story, appearing on60 Minutes with his wife,Hillary Clinton; later in 1998, he admitted the affair.[11]

The primary began with Harkin winning his native Iowa as expected. Tsongas won theNew Hampshire primary on February 18, but Clinton's second-place finish, helped by his speech labeling himself "The Comeback Kid", energized his campaign. Brown won the Maine caucus and Kerrey wonSouth Dakota. Clinton won his first primary in Georgia. Tsongas won the Utah and Maryland primaries and a caucus inWashington. Harkin won caucuses in Idaho and Minnesota while Brown won Colorado. Kerrey dropped out two days later. Clinton won the South Carolina and Wyoming primaries and Tsongas won Arizona. Harkin dropped out. Brown won the Nevada caucus. Clinton swept nearly all of theSuper Tuesday primaries on March 10 making him the solid front runner. Clinton won the Michigan and Illinois primaries. Tsongas dropped out after finishing third in Michigan; however, Brown began to pick up steam, aided by using a phone number to receive funding from small donors. Brown scored surprising wins in Connecticut, Vermont and Alaska. As the race moved to the primaries in New York and Wisconsin, Brown had taken the lead in polls in both states. Then he made a serious gaffe by announcing to an audience ofNew York City's Jewish community that he would consider Reverend Jackson as a vice presidential candidate; Jackson had offended many Jewish people with remarks he had made during his own presidential campaigns.[12] Clinton won dramatically in New York (41%–26%) and closely in Wisconsin (37%–34%). Clinton then proceeded to win a long streak of primaries leading up to Brown's home state of California. Clinton won this state 48% to 41% and secured the delegates needed to lock the nomination.

The convention met in New York City, and the official tally was:

Clinton chose Gore to be his running mate on July 9, 1992. Choosing fellow Southerner Gore went against the popular strategy of balancing a Southern candidate with a Northern partner. Gore served to balance the ticket in other ways, as he was perceived as strong on family values and environmental issues, while Clinton was not.[13] Gore's similarities to Clinton also allowed him to push some of his key campaign themes, such as centrism and generational change.[14]

Republican Party nomination

[edit]
Main article:1992 Republican Party presidential primaries
This article is part of
a series about
George H. W. Bush









George H. W. Bush's signature
Seal of the President of the United States
This article is part of
a series about
Dan Quayle


44th Vice President of the United States



Republican Party (United States)
Republican Party (United States)
1992 Republican Party ticket
George H. W. BushDan Quayle
for Presidentfor Vice President
41st
President of the United States
(1989–1993)
44th
Vice President of the United States
(1989–1993)
Campaign
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the primaries
Pat BuchananDavid Duke
White House Communications Director
fromVirginia
(1985–1987)
State Representative
fromLouisiana
(1989–1992)
CampaignCampaign
Withdrew:
August 17, 1992

Endorsed George Bush:
August 17, 1992

2,899,488 votes
Withdrew:
April 22, 1992

119,115 votes
[15][16]

Paleoconservative journalistPat Buchanan was the primary opponent of President Bush;Ron Paul, theLibertarian Party's presidential nominee in 1988, had planned to run against the President, but dropped out shortly after Buchanan's entry in December. Buchanan's best showing was in the New Hampshire primary on February 18, 1992—where Bush won by a 53–38% margin.[17] President Bush won 73% of all primary votes, with 9,199,463 votes. Buchanan won 2,899,488 votes; unpledged delegates won 287,383 votes, andDavid Duke,Grand Wizard of theKu Klux Klan, won 119,115 votes. Just over 100,000 votes were cast for all other candidates, half of which were write-in votes for H. Ross Perot.[18] Former Minnesota governor Harold Stassen, who had run for president nine times since 1944, also mounted his final campaign.

PresidentGeorge H. W. Bush and Vice PresidentDan Quayle easily won renomination by theRepublican Party. However, the success of the opposition forced the moderate Bush to move further to the right than inthe previous election, and to incorporate many socially conservative planks in the party platform. Bush allowed Buchanan to give a prime time address at theRepublican National Convention inHouston, Texas, and his "Culture War" speech alienatedliberal Republicans.

With intense pressure on the Buchanan delegates to relent, the tally for president went as follows:

Vice PresidentDan Quayle was renominated by voice vote.

Ross Perot candidacy

[edit]
Main article:Ross Perot 1992 presidential campaign
This article is part of
a series about
Ross Perot



1992 Independent ticket
Ross PerotJames Stockdale
for Presidentfor Vice President
President and CEO of
Perot Systems
(1988–2009)
President of the Naval War College
(1977–1979)
Campaign
Ross Perot was on the ballot in every state; in six states(Alaska, Arkansas, Connecticut, Louisiana, Oregon, Pennsylvania) Perot was placed on the ballot through the formation of a political party supporting his candidacy. His electoral performance in each of those states led to those parties being given ballot-qualified status.

The public's concern about the federal budget deficit and fears of professional politicians led to the independent candidacy of billionaire TexanRoss Perot increasing in popularity in the polls—at one point Perot was leading the major party candidates.[19] Perot crusaded against theNorth American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), and internal and external national debt, tapping into voters' potential fear of the deficit. His volunteers succeeded in collecting enough signatures to get his name on the ballot in all 50 states. In June, Perot led the national public opinion polls with support from 39% of the voters (versus 31% for Bush and 25% for Clinton).[19] Perot severely damaged his credibility by dropping out of the presidential contest in July and remaining out of the race for several weeks before re-entering. He compounded this damage by eventually claiming, without evidence, that his withdrawal was due toRepublican operatives attempting to disrupt his daughter's wedding.[20]

Perot and retired Vice AdmiralJames Stockdale drew19,743,821 votes (19% of the popular vote).

Minor parties and independents

[edit]
Minor party candidates, 1992
LibertarianNew AllianceNatural LawPopulistU.S. Taxpayers'Democrats for
Economic Recovery
Andre MarrouLenora FulaniJohn HagelinBo GritzHoward PhillipsLyndon LaRouche
Alaska State
Representative

(1985–1987)
Psychologist and
political activist
Scientist
and researcher
Conservative
political activist
Conservative
political activist
Political activist

Libertarian Party nomination

[edit]
Andre Marrou was on the ballot in every state.

Libertarian candidates:

The6th Libertarian Party National Convention was held in Chicago, Illinois. There, theLibertarian Party nominatedAndre Marrou, formerAlaskaState Representative and the Party's 1988 vice presidential candidate, for president.Nancy Lord was his running mate.

Marrou and Lord drew 291,627 votes (0.28% of the popular vote).

New Alliance Party nomination

[edit]
Lenora Fulani was on the ballot in thirty-nine states(352 Electoral Votes). Those states with a lighter shade are states in which she was an official write-in candidate.

New Alliance candidate:

Lenora Fulani, who was the 1988 presidential nominee of theNew Alliance Party, received a second consecutive nomination from the Party in 1992. Unlike in 1988, Fulani failed to gain ballot access in every state, deciding to concentrate some of that campaign funding towards exposure of her candidacy and the Party to the national public.

Fulani also sought the endorsement of thePeace and Freedom Party of California, but despite winning a majority in that party's primary, she would lose the nomination toRonald Daniels, the former Director theNational Rainbow Coalition. Rather than pursuing a ballot space of her own, Fulani would endorse Daniels's candidacy in California.

Fulani and her running mate Maria Elizabeth Muñoz received 73,622 votes (0.1% of the popular vote).

Natural Law Party nomination

[edit]
John Hagelin was on the ballot in twenty-eight states(264 Electoral Votes). Those states with a lighter shade are states in which he was an official write-in candidate.

The newly formedNatural Law Party nominated scientist and researcherJohn Hagelin for president and Mike Tompkins for vice president. The Natural Law Party had been founded in 1992 by Hagelin and 12 others who felt that governmental problems could be solved more effectively by following "Natural Laws". The party platform included preventive health care, sustainable agriculture and renewable energy technologies. During this and future campaigns, Hagelin favored abortion rights without public financing, campaign finance law reform, improved gun control, a flat tax, the eradication of PACs, a ban on soft money contributions, and school vouchers.

The party's first presidential ticket appeared on the ballot in 28 states and drew 37,137 votes (<0.1% of the popular vote).

U.S. Taxpayers' Party nomination

[edit]
Howard Phillips was on the ballot in twenty-one states(215 Electoral Votes). Those states with a lighter shade are states in which he was an official write-in candidate.

U.S. Taxpayers' candidates:

TheU.S. Taxpayers Party ran its first presidential ticket in 1992, having only been formed the prior year. InitiallyHoward Phillips had hoped to successfully entice a prominent conservative politician, such as the former senatorGordon J. Humphrey from New Hampshire, or evenPatrick Buchanan who at the time had only been mulling over running against President Bush (he would officially declare in December 1991).

No one, however, announced any intention to seek the Taxpayers Party nomination; Buchanan himself in the end endorsed President Bush at the Republican National Convention in Houston. Phillips had been unofficially nominated earlier in the year so as to allow the Party to be able to seek ballot access properly. While initially a temporary post, it was made permanent at the party's national convention, which was held inNew Orleans on September 4 and 5. At the convention, which was attended by delegates from thirty-two states and Washington, D.C., Phillips received 264 votes on the first ballot, whileAlbion Knight was approved as his running mate by acclamation.[21]: 412 

Earlier that year, in the June 2 California primary, Phillips had received 15,456 votes in theAmerican Independent Party primary. On August 30, the American Independent Party voted to affiliate with the U.S. Taxpayers Party, an affiliation which continued until 2008.[21]: 378 

Phillips and Knight drew 43,369 votes (<0.1% of the popular vote).

Populist Party nomination

[edit]
Bo Gritz was on the ballot in eighteen states(161 Electoral Votes). Those states with a lighter shade are states in which he was an official write-in candidate.

Populist candidate:

FormerUnited States ArmySpecial Forces officer andVietnam veteranBo Gritz was the nominee of thePopulist Party, facing virtually no opposition. Under the campaign slogan "God, Guns and Gritz" and publishing his political manifesto "The Bill of Gritz" (playing on his last name rhyming with "rights"), he called for staunch opposition to what he called "global government" and "TheNew World Order", ending all foreign aid, abolishing federal income tax, and abolishing the Federal Reserve System. During the campaign, Gritz openly proclaimed the United States to be a "Christian Nation", stating that the country's legal statutes "should reflect unashamed acceptance of Almighty God and His Laws". His run on the America First/Populist Party ticket was prompted by his association with another far-right political Christian talk radio host, Tom Valentine. During his campaign, part of Gritz's standard stump speech was an idea to pay off the national debt by minting a coin at the Treasury and sending it to the Federal Reserve. This predates the 2012trillion-dollar coin concept.

During August 1992, Gritz attracted national attention as mediator during the government standoff withRandy Weaver atRuby Ridge, Idaho.

He received 106,152 votes nationwide (0.1% of the popular vote). In two states he had a respectable showing for a minor third-party candidate: Utah, where he received 3.8% of the vote and Idaho, where he received 2.1% of the vote. In some counties, his support topped 10%, and in Franklin County, Idaho, was only a few votes away from pushingBill Clinton into fourth place in the county.

Lyndon LaRouche's candidacy

[edit]
Lyndon LaRouche was on the ballot in seventeen states(156 Electoral Votes). Those states with a lighter shade are states in which he was an official write-in candidate.

While officially running for the Democratic presidential nomination,Lyndon LaRouche also decided to run as an Independent in the general election, standing as theNational Economic Recovery candidate.[22] LaRouche was in jail at the time, having been convicted of conspiracy to commit mail fraud in December 1988; it was only the second time in history that the presidency was sought from a prison cell (after Socialist Party candidateEugene V. Debs, while imprisoned for his opposition to U.S. involvement inWorld War I, ran in 1920). His running-mate wasJames Bevel, a civil rights activist who had represented the LaRouche movement in its pursuit of theFranklin child prostitution ring allegations.

In addition to the displayed states, LaRouche had nearly made the ballot in the states of New York and Mississippi. In the case of New York, while his petition was valid and had enough signatures, none of his electors filed declarations of candidacy; in the cases of Mississippi asore-loser law was in place, and because he ran in that state's Democratic presidential primary he was ineligible to run as an Independent in the general. Ohio also had a sore-loser law, but it was ruled in Brown vs. Taft that it did not apply to presidential candidates.LaRouche and Beval drew 22,863 votes. (<0.1% of the popular vote).

Socialist Workers' Party nomination

[edit]
James Warren was on the ballot in thirteen states(148 Electoral Votes). Those states with a lighter shade are states in which he was an official write-in candidate.

Socialist Workers candidate:

James Warren, who was the 1988 presidential nominee of theSocialist Workers Party, received a second consecutive nomination from the Party on the first of November 1991. Warren had two running mates that varied from state to state;Estelle DeBates andWillie Mae Reid, the latter also a resident of Illinois.

Warren received 22,882 votes (<0.1% of the popular vote).

Ron Daniels candidacy

[edit]
Ron Daniels was on the ballot in eight states(126 Electoral Votes). Those states with a lighter shade are states in which he was an official write-in candidate.

Ronald Daniels was the former executive director for theCenter for Constitutional Rights, the former director of theNational Rainbow Coalition, and the worked on both ofJesse Jackson's campaigns for the Democratic presidential nomination.Asiba Tupahache, a Native American activist from New York was his running-mate.

Though running an Independent campaign under the label"Campaign for a Better Tomorrow", Daniels was endorsed by a number of third parties across the states, most notably the Peace and Freedom Party of California; though he had lost that party's presidential primary toLenora Fulani, the nominee of theNew Alliance Party, the delegates at its convention voted in favor of his candidacy 110–91, the only time it has ever nominated someone other than the winner of the primary.

Daniels and Tupachache drew 27,396 votes (<0.1% of the popular vote).

Other nominations

[edit]

The 1992 campaign also marked the entry ofRalph Nader into presidential politics as a candidate. Despite the advice of several liberal and environmental groups, Nader did not formally run. Rather, he tried to make an impact in theNew Hampshire primaries, urging members of both parties to write-in his name.[23] As a result, several thousand Democrats and Republicans wrote-in Nader's name. Despite supporting mostly liberal legislation during his career as aconsumer advocate, Nader received more votes from Republicans than Democrats.[24]

TheWorker's League nominatedHelen Halyard for president; she was the party's nominee for vice president in 1984 and 1988. Fred Mazelis was nominated for vice president. Halyard and Mazelis drew 3,050 votes.[25]

John Viamouyiannis candidacy

[edit]

Ballot access: Michigan, New Jersey(33 Electoral)

John Yiamouyiannis, a major opponent ofwater fluoridation, ran as an Independent under the label"Take Back America". Allen C. McCone was his running-mate. Yiamouyiannis and McCone drew 2,199 votes.[26]

Socialist Party nomination

[edit]

Ballot access: Arkansas, Iowa, Louisiana, Tennessee(33 Electoral)

TheSocialist Party nominatedJ. Quinn Brisben for president andBarbara Garson for vice president. Brisben and Garson drew 2,909 votes.[27]

Grassroots Party nomination

[edit]

Ballot access: DC, Tennessee, Utah, Wisconsin(30 Electoral)

TheGrassroots Party nominatedJack Herer, a noted cannabis activist for president and Derrick Grimmer for vice president. Herer and Grimmer drew 3,875 votes.[28]

Prohibition Party nomination

[edit]

Ballot access: Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin(28 Electoral)

TheProhibition Party nominatedEarl Dodge, the party's chairman for president andGeorge Ormsby for vice president. Dodge and Ormsby drew 935 votes.[29]

Drew Bradford candidacy

[edit]

Ballot access: Arkansas, New Mexico, Tennessee(22 Electoral)

Drew Bradford was an Independent candidate for the Presidency; he did not have a running-mate. Bradford drew 4,749 votes.[30]

Delbert Ehlers candidacy

[edit]

Ballot access: Wisconsin(11 Electoral)

Delbert Ehlers was an Independent candidate for the Presidency. His running-mate was Rick Wendt. Ehlers and Wendt drew 1,149 votes.[31]

General election

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDateBill
Clinton

Democratic
George
Bush

Republican
Ross
Perot

Independent
OtherUndecidedLead
Election ResultsNov. 3, 199243.01%37.45%18.911.81%0.63%5.56
Gallup/CNN/USA Today[32]Oct. 31 – Nov. 144%36%14%6%8
Harris[33]Oct. 30 – Nov. 142%38%16%4%4
Gallup/CNN/USA Today[34]Oct. 30 – Oct. 3143%36%15%6%7
Newsweek[35]Oct. 20 – Oct. 2342%30%22%6%12
New York Times/CBS News[35]Oct. 20 – Oct. 2342%37%17%4%5
Gallup/CNN/USA Today[36]Oct. 21 – Oct. 2243%31%18%8%12
Time/CNN[35]Oct. 20 – Oct. 2238%31%17%14%7
Harris[35]Oct. 20 – Oct. 2246%32%18%4%12
Washington Post[35]Oct. 19 – Oct. 2242%34%20%4%8
US News[35]Oct. 20 – Oct. 2145%31%20%4%14
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[35]Oct. 20 – Oct. 2147%28%19%6%19
Gallup/CNN/USA Today[37]Oct. 13 – Oct. 1547%34%13%6%13
Gallup/CNN/USA Today[38]Oct. 6 – Oct. 849%34%10%7%15
NBC News/Washington Post[39]Oct. 4 – Oct. 546%32%10%12%14
Los Angeles Times[39]Oct. 2 – Oct. 548%34%9%9%14
Harris[40]Oct. 1 – Oct. 453%36%9%2%17
ABC News/Washington Post[40]Oct. 1 – Oct. 448%35%9%8%13
October 1: Perot Reenters Race
Gallup/CNN/USA Today[41]Sep. 28 – Sep. 3052%35%7%6%17
Gallup[42]Sep. 17 – Sep. 2050%40%10%10
Gallup/CNN/USA Today[43]Sep. 11 – Sep. 1551%42%7%9
Tarrance Group[44]Sep. 1 - Sep. 648%43%-9%5
Gallup/CNN/USA Today[45]Aug. 31 – Sep. 254%39%7%15
Harris[46]Aug. 26 – Sep. 150%45%-5%5
ABC News/Washington Post[46]Aug. 26 – Aug. 3056%36%-8%20
Gallup/CNN/USA Today[47]Aug. 21 – Aug. 2252%42%6%10
August 20: Republican National Convention Ends
Tarrance Group[48]Aug. 15 - Aug. 1948%43%-9%5
Tarrance Group[48]Aug. 15 - Aug. 1851%40%-9%11
Tarrance Group[48]Aug. 15 - Aug. 1751%35%-14%16
Gallup/CNN/USA Today[49]Aug. 1758%35%7%23
August 17: Republican National Convention Starts
Gallup/CNN/USA Today[50]Aug. 10 – Aug. 1258%35%7%23
Gallup[51]Jul. 31 – Aug. 257%32%11%25
Gallup[52]Jul. 24 – Jul. 1656%36%8%20
Harris[53]Jul. 17 – Jul. 1963%33%-4%30
NBC News/Washington Post[53]Jul. 17 – Jul. 1958%29%-13%29
Gallup/CNN/USA Today[54]Jul. 17 – Jul. 1856%34%10%22
July 16: Perot Withdraws; Democratic National Convention Ends
Tarrance Group[55]Jul. 13 - Jul. 1440%31%20%9%9
Tarrance Group[56]Jul. 1335%31%24%10%4
July 13: Democratic National Convention Starts
New York Times/CBS NewsJul. 8 – Jul. 1130%33%25%12%3
Gallup/CNN/USA Today[57]Jul. 6 – Jul. 828%35%30%7%5
NBC News/Washington PostJul. 5 – Jul. 728%31%33%8%2
Gallup[58]Jun. 26 – Jun. 3027%33%32%8%1
New York Times/CBS NewsJun. 17 – Jun. 2024%32%30%14%2
Gallup[58]Jun. 12 – Jun. 1424%32%34%10%2
Harris[59]Jun. 5 – Jun. 1025%33%37%6%4
Gallup[60]Jun. 4 – Jun. 825%31%39%5%8
Gallup[61]May 18 – May 2025%35%35%5%Tied
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[62]May 15 – May 1927%35%30%8%5
Gallup[60]May 7 – May 1029%35%30%6%5
Gallup/CNN/USA Today[63]Apr. 20 – Apr. 2226%41%25%8%15
New York Times/CBS NewsApr. 20 – Apr. 2328%38%23%11%10
Gallup/CNN/USA Today[64]Mar. 31 – Apr. 125%44%24%7%19
New York Times/CBS NewsMar. 26 – Mar. 2931%44%16%9%13
Gallup/CNN/USA Today[65]Mar. 20 – Mar. 2243%52%5%9
Gallup/CNN/USA Today[66]Mar. 11 – Mar. 1244%50%6%6
GallupFeb. 19 – Feb. 2043%53%4%10
Gallup[67]Feb. 6 – Feb. 938%53%9%15
Harris[68]Dec. 26 – Dec. 3047%48%5%1

Campaign

[edit]

AfterBill Clinton secured the Democratic Party's nomination in the spring of 1992, polls showed Ross Perot leading the race, followed by President Bush and Clinton in third place after a grueling nomination process. Two-way trial heats between Bush and Clinton in early 1992 showed Bush in the lead.[69][70][71][72] As the economy continued to sour and the President's approval rating continued to slide, the Democrats began to rally around their nominee. On July 9, 1992, Clinton chose Tennessee senator and former 1988 presidential candidate Al Gore to be his running mate.[73] As Governor Clinton's nomination acceptance speech approached, Ross Perot dropped out of the race, convinced that staying in the race with a "revitalized Democratic Party" would cause the race to be decided by theUnited States House of Representatives.[74] Clinton gave his acceptance speech on July 16, 1992, promising to bring a "new covenant" to America, and to work to heal the gap that had developed between the rich and the poor during the Reagan/Bush years.[75] The Clinton campaign received the biggest convention "bounce" in history[76] which brought him from 25% in the spring, behind Bush and Perot, to 55% versus Bush's 31%.

After the convention, Clinton and Gore began a bus tour around the United States, while the Bush/Quayle campaign began to criticize Clinton's character, highlighting accusations of infidelity and draft dodging. The Bush campaign emphasized its foreign policy successes such asDesert Storm, and the end of the Cold War. Bush also contrasted his military service to Clinton's lack thereof, and criticized Clinton's lack of foreign policy expertise. However, as the economy was the main issue, Bush's campaign floundered across the nation, even in strongly Republican areas,[77] and Clinton maintained leads with over 50% of the vote nationwide consistently, while Bush typically saw numbers in the upper 30s.[78] As Bush's economic edge had evaporated, his campaign looked to energize its socially conservative base at the1992 Republican National Convention in Houston, Texas. At the convention, Bush's primary campaign opponent Pat Buchanan gave his famous"culture war" speech, criticizing Clinton's and Gore's social progressiveness, and voicing skepticism on his "New Democrat" brand. After President Bush accepted his renomination, his campaign saw a small bounce in the polls, but this was short-lived, as Clinton maintained his lead.[79] The campaign continued with a lopsided lead for Clinton through September,[80] until Ross Perot decided to re-enter the race.[81] Ross Perot's re-entry in the race was welcomed by the Bush campaign, as Fred Steeper, a poll taker for Bush, said, "He'll be important if we accomplish our goal, which is to draw even with Clinton." Initially, Perot's return saw the Texas billionaire's numbers stay low, until he was given the opportunity to participate in a trio of unprecedented three-man debates. The race narrowed, as Perot's numbers significantly improved as Clinton's numbers declined, while Bush's numbers remained more or less the same from earlier in the race[82] as Perot and Bush began to hammer at Clinton on character issues once again.

Presidential debates

[edit]
Main article:1992 United States presidential debates

TheCommission on Presidential Debates organised four presidential debates[83]

Debates among candidates for the 1992 U.S. presidential election
No.DateHostLocationPanelistsModeratorParticipantsViewership

(Millions)

P1Sunday, October 11, 1992Washington University in St. LouisSt. Louis, MissouriSander Vanocur
Ann Compton
John Mashek
Jim LehrerPresident George H. W. Bush
Governor Bill Clinton
Mr. Ross Perot
62.4[83]
VPTuesday, October 13, 1992Georgia Institute of TechnologyAtlanta, Georgian/aHal BrunoVice President Dan Quayle
Senator Al Gore
Admiral James Stockdale
51.2[83]
P2Thursday, October 15, 1992University of RichmondRichmond, Virginian/aCarole SimpsonPresident George H. W. Bush
Governor Bill Clinton
Mr. Ross Perot
69.9[83]
P3Monday, October 19, 1992Michigan State UniversityEast Lansing, MichiganGene Gibbons
Helen Thomas
Susan Rook
Jim LehrerPresident George H. W. Bush
Governor Bill Clinton
Mr. Ross Perot
66.9[83]

Character issues

[edit]

Many character issues were raised during the campaign, including allegations that Clinton haddodged the draft during theVietnam War, and had usedmarijuana, which Clinton claimed he had ‘tried’ to smoke, but "didn't inhale." Bush also accused Clinton of meeting with communists on a trip to Russia he took as a student. Clinton was often accused of being a philanderer by political opponents.

Allegations were also made that Bill Clinton had engaged in a long-term extramarital affair withGennifer Flowers.[84] Clinton denied ever having an affair with Flowers, but later admitted, under threat of perjury, that he had a brief sexual encounter with her in 1977.[85]

Election results by county
Results by congressional district.

Results

[edit]

Clinton was declared the winner by CBS, NBC, and CNN at 10:48 P.M. EST and by ABC at 10:50 P.M. EST. He received 370 electoral votes from 32 states and D.C. and 43% of the popular vote while Bush received 168 electoral votes from 18 states and 37.4% of the popular vote and Perot received 18.9% of the popular vote and no electoral votes. The remaining candidates took 0.6% of the popular vote.[86] It was the first time since1968 that a candidate won the White House with under 50% of the popular vote. Only Washington, D.C., and Clinton's home state ofArkansas gave the majority of their votes to a single candidate in the entire country; the rest were won by pluralities of the vote. Clinton was the first Democrat since 1964 to win a majority of states.

Even though Clinton received roughly 3,100,815 more votes than Democratic nomineeMichael Dukakis had four years earlier, the Democrats recorded a 2.7 percentage pointdecrease in their share of the popular vote compared to 1988 due to the higher turnout. His 43% share of the popular vote was the second-lowest for any winning candidate in the 20th century afterWoodrow Wilson in1912 (41.8%). President Bush's 37.4% was the lowest percentage total for a sitting president seeking re-election sinceWilliam Howard Taft, also in 1912 (23.2%).[87] 1992 was, as the 1912 election was, a three-way race (that time between Taft, Wilson, andTheodore Roosevelt). It was also the lowest percentage for a major-party candidate sinceAlf Landon received 36.5% of the vote in1936. Bush had a lower percentage of the popular vote than evenHerbert Hoover, who was defeated in1932 (39.7%). However, none of these races included a major third-party candidate.

Independent candidateRoss Perot received 19,743,821 with 18.9% of the popular vote. The billionaire used his own money to advertise extensively, and is the only non-major party candidate and the only non-party affiliated candidate ever allowed into the nationally televisedpresidential debates with both major party candidates (independentJohn Anderson debated RepublicanRonald Reagan in1980, but without DemocratJimmy Carter, who had refused to appear in a three-man debate). Speaking about theNorth American Free Trade Agreement, Perot described its effect on American jobs as causing a "giant sucking sound". For a period of time, Perot was leading in the polls,[88] but he lost much of his support when he temporarily withdrew from the election, only to declare himself a candidate again soon after. This was also the most recent time that a non-major party candidate and a non-party affiliated candidate won at least one county.

Perot's 18.9% of the popular vote made him the most successful non-major party presidential candidate in terms of popular vote sinceTheodore Roosevelt in the 1912 election. His share of the popular vote was also the highest ever for a candidate who did not win anyelectoral votes. Although he did not win any states, Perot managed to finish ahead of one of the major party candidates in two states: InMaine, he received 30.44% of the vote to Bush's 30.39% (Clinton won Maine with 38.77%); inUtah, which Bush won with 43.36% of the popular vote, Perot collected 27.34% of the vote to Clinton's 24.65%. Perot also came in 2nd in Maine's 2nd Congressional District, where he had his best overall showing, winning 33.2% of the vote there and missing the district's 1 elector by only 4.6% of the vote.

The election was the most recent in whichMontana voted for the Democratic candidate, both the last timeFlorida backed the losing candidate and last timeGeorgia voted for the Democratic candidate until2020, and the last time that Colorado voted Democratic until 2008. This was also the first time sinceTexas' admission to the Union in 1845 that a Democrat won the White House without winning the state, and the second time a Democrat won the White House without North Carolina (the first was 1844), and the second time since Florida's admission (also in 1845) that a Democrat won without winning the state (John F. Kennedy in1960 was the first).

Clinton was also the only Democrat at that point to win every electoral vote in the Northeast except forLyndon Johnson in1964. John Kerry and Barack Obama have been the only Democrats to repeat this since. Also, this was the first time since 1964 that the following nine states had voted Democratic: California,Colorado,Illinois,Montana,Nevada,New Hampshire,New Jersey,New Mexico, andVermont.

The 168 electoral votes received by Bush, added to the 426 electoral votes he received in1988, gave him the most total electoral votes received by any candidate who was elected to the office of president only once (594), and the tenth largest number of electoral votes received by any candidate who was elected to the office of president behindGrover Cleveland's 664,Barack Obama's 697,Woodrow Wilson's 712,Bill Clinton's 749,Donald Trump's 848,Dwight Eisenhower's 899,Ronald Reagan's 1,015,Richard Nixon's 1,040 andFranklin D. Roosevelt's 1,876 total electoral votes.

Bush and Clinton achieved an exact tie inWare County, Georgia, the most recent time in American history a county was tied between the two major-party presidential candidates. Perot also achieved an exact tie with Bush inMorris County, Kansas.

Analysis

[edit]

Several factors made the results possible. First, the campaign came on the heels of an economic slowdown. Exit polling showed that 75% thought the economy was in fairly or very bad shape while 63% thought their personal finances were better or the same as four years ago.[89] The decision by Bush to accept a tax increase adversely affected his re-election bid. Pressured by risingbudget deficits, Bush agreed to a budget compromise with Congress which raised taxes and reduced the federal budget deficit. Clinton was able to condemn the tax increase effectively on both its own merits and as a reflection of Bush's dishonesty. Effective Democratic TV ads were aired showing a clip of Bush's 1988 acceptance speech in which he promised "Read my lips ... No new taxes." Most importantly, Bush's coalition was in disarray, for both the aforementioned reasons and for unrelated reasons. The end of theCold War allowed old rivalries among conservatives to re-emerge and meant that other voters focused more ondomestic policy, to the detriment of Bush, a social and fiscal moderate. The consequence of such a perception depressed conservative turnout.[90]

The election was compared to the1945 United Kingdom general election, in whichWinston Churchill, while a respected conservative wartime leader (like Bush) was not regarded as a good peacetime leader, and thus was voted out once the conflict was over.[91]

Unlike Bush, Clinton was able to unite his fractious and ideologically diverse party behind his candidacy, even when its different wings conflicted. To garner the support of moderates and conservative Democrats, he attackedSister Souljah, an obscurerap musician whose lyrics Clinton condemned. Furthermore, Clinton made clear his support of the death penalty and would later champion makingschool uniforms in public schools a requirement.[92] Clinton could also point to his centrist record as governor of Arkansas. More liberal Democrats were impressed by Clinton's record on abortion and affirmative action. His strong connections to African Americans also played a key role. In addition, he organized significant numbers of young voters and became a symbol of the rise of thebaby boomer generation to political power.[93] Supporters remained energized and confident, even in times of scandal or missteps.

The effect ofRoss Perot's candidacy has been a contentious point of debate for many years. In the ensuing months after the election, various Republicans asserted that Perot had acted as aspoiler, enough to the detriment of Bush to lose him the election. While many disaffected conservatives may have voted for Ross Perot to protest Bush's tax increase, further examination of the Perot vote in the Election Night exit polls not only showed that Perot siphoned votes nearly equally among Bush and Clinton,[94][95][96][97] but roughly two-thirds of those voters who cited Bush's broken "No New Taxes" pledge as "very important" (25%) voted for Bill Clinton.[98] The voting numbers reveal that to win the electoral vote Bush would have had to win 10 of the 11 states Clinton won by less than five percentage points. For Bush to earn a majority of the popular vote, he would have needed 12.2% of Perot's 18.9% of the vote, 65% of Perot's support base.[99] State exit polls suggested that Perot did not alter the electoral college count, except potentially in one state (Ohio), which nonetheless showed a result in the margin of error.[100] Furthermore, Perot was most popular in states that strongly favored either Clinton or Bush, limiting his real electoral impact for either candidate.[101]

Perot gained relatively little support in the Southern states and happened to have the best showing in states with few electoral votes. Perot appealed to disaffected voters all across the political spectrum who had grown weary of the two-party system. NAFTA played a role in Perot's support, and Perot voters were relatively moderate on hot-button social issues.[102][103] A 1999 study in theAmerican Journal of Political Science estimated that Perot's candidacy hurt the Clinton campaign, reducing "Clinton's margin of victory over Bush by seven percentage point."[104] In 2016,FiveThirtyEight noted that it was "unlikely" that Perot was a spoiler.[105]

Clinton, Bush, and Perot did not focus on abortion during the campaign. Exit polls, however, showed that attitudes toward abortion "significantly influenced" the vote, aspro-choice Republicans defected from Bush.[106][107]

The South was the only region where Bush received a majority of the electoral votes and two-thirds of his total electoral votes came from the South.[108]

Implications

[edit]

According toSeymour Martin Lipset, this election had several unique characteristics. Voters felt that economic conditions were worse than they actually were, which harmed Bush. A rare event was a strong third-party candidate. Liberals launched a backlash against 12 years of a conservative White House. The chief factor was Clinton's uniting his party, and winning over a number of heterogeneous groups.[109]

Clinton's election ended an era in which the Republican Party had controlled theWhite House for 12 consecutive years, and for 20 of the previous 24 years. The election also brought the Democrats full control of the legislative and executive branches of the federal government, including both houses ofU.S. Congress and the presidency, for the first time since the administration of the last Democratic president,Jimmy Carter. This would not last for very long, however, as the Republicans won control of both the House and Senate in 1994. Reelected in 1996, Clinton would become the first Democratic president sinceFranklin D. Roosevelt to serve two full terms in the White House and the first to leave office at the end of his second full term since Woodrow Wilson.

1992 was arguably apolitical realignment election. It made the Democratic Party dominant in presidential elections in the Northeast, theGreat Lakes region, and the West Coast, where many states had previously either been swing states or Republican-leaning. Clinton picked up several states that went Republican in 1988, and which have remained in the Democratic column ever since: California,Connecticut,Delaware,Illinois, most ofMaine (besides the state's second congressional district, which broke the state's total straight Democratic voting record since, when it voted for Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump in 2016, along with the two following presidential elections in 2020, and 2024),Maryland,New Jersey, andVermont. Vermont, carried by Clinton, had been heavily Republican for generations prior to the election, voting for a Democrat only once (in 1964).[110] The state has been won by the Democratic nominee in every presidential election since. Bill Clinton narrowly defeated Bush in New Jersey (by two points), which had voted for the Republican nominee all but twice since1948. Clinton would later win the state in 1996 by eighteen points; like Vermont, Republicans have not won the state since.[111] California, which had been a Republican stronghold since 1952, was now trending Democratic. Clinton, a native Southerner, was able to carry several states in the South that the GOP had won for much of the past two decades, but ultimately won only four of eleven formerConfederate states. This reflected the final shift of the South to the Republican Party. In subsequent presidential elections from 1996 to 2020, 28 out of the 50 states were carried by the same party as in 1992 (15 for the Democrats and 13 for the Republicans).

Detailed results

[edit]
Electoral results
Presidential candidatePartyHome statePopular voteElectoral
vote
Running mate
CountPercentageVice-presidential candidateHome stateElectoral vote
Bill ClintonDemocraticArkansas44,909,88943.01%370Al GoreTennessee370
George H. W. Bush (incumbent)RepublicanTexas39,104,55037.45%168Dan Quayle (incumbent)Indiana168
Ross PerotIndependentTexas19,743,82118.91%0James StockdaleCalifornia0
Andre MarrouLibertarianAlaska290,0870.28%0Nancy LordNevada0
Bo GritzPopulistNevada106,1520.10%0 Cyril MinettNew Mexico0
Lenora FulaniNew Alliance PartyNew York73,6220.07%0 Maria Elizabeth MuñozCalifornia0
Howard PhillipsU.S. Taxpayers PartyVirginia43,3690.04%0Albion W. Knight Jr.Florida0
Other152,5160.13%Other
Total104,423,923100%538538
Needed to win270270

Source (Popular Vote):Leip, David."1992 Presidential Election Results".Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. RetrievedAugust 7, 2005.

Source (Electoral Vote):"Electoral College Box Scores 1789–1996".National Archives and Records Administration. RetrievedAugust 7, 2005.

Popular vote
Clinton
43.01%
Bush
37.45%
Perot
18.91%
Marrou
0.28%
Others
0.35%
Electoral vote
Clinton
68.77%
Bush
31.23%
  • Results by county, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote
    Results by county, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote
  • Results by congressional district, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote
    Results by congressional district, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote
  • County swing from 1988 to 1992
    County swing from 1988 to 1992

Results by state

[edit]

Source:[112]

Legend
States/districts won byClinton/Gore
States/districts won byBush/Quayle
At-large results (For states that split electoral votes)
Candidates with electoral votes (E)Candidates with no electoral votesOverall popular vote
Bill Clinton
Democratic
George H.W. Bush
Republican
Ross Perot
Independent
Andre Marrou
Libertarian
OthersTop-2 margin
(+/− if won byD/R)
Margin
Swing[b]
State Total
StateEVote%EVote%EVote%Vote%Vote%Vote%%Vote
Alabama9690,08040.88804,28347.659183,10910.855,7370.344,8510.29−114,203−6.7712.531,688,060AL
Alaska378,29430.29102,00039.46373,48128.431,3780.533,3531.29−23,706−9.1714.15258,506AK
Arizona8543,05036.52572,08638.478353,74123.796,7590.4511,3390.76−29,036−1.9519.261,486,975AZ
Arkansas6505,82353.216337,32435.4899,13210.431,2610.137,1130.75168,49917.7331.91950,653AR
California545,121,32546.01543,630,57432.612,296,00620.6348,1390.4335,6770.321,490,75113.4016.9711,131,721CA
Colorado8629,68140.138562,85035.87366,01023.328,6690.551,9700.1366,8314.2612.041,569,180CO
Connecticut8682,31842.218578,31335.78348,77121.585,3910.331,5390.10104,0056.4311.531,616,332CT
Delaware3126,05543.513102,31335.3159,21320.449350.321,2190.4223,7428.1920.59289,735DE
D.C.3192,61984.64320,6989.109,6814.254670.214,1071.80171,92175.547.20227,572DC
Florida252,072,79839.002,173,31040.89251,053,06719.8215,0790.282380.00−100,512−1.8920.475,314,392FL
Georgia131,008,96643.4713995,25242.88309,65713.347,1100.311400.0113,7140.5920.842,321,125GA
Hawaii4179,31048.094136,82236.7053,00314.221,1190.302,5880.6942,48811.391.87372,842HI
Idaho4137,01328.42202,64542.034130,39527.041,1670.2410,9222.27−65,632−13.6112.46482,142ID
Illinois222,453,35048.58221,734,09634.34840,51516.649,2180.1812,9780.26719,25414.2416.325,050,157IL
Indiana12848,42036.79989,37542.9112455,93419.777,9360.344,2060.18−140,955−6.1214.042,305,871IN
Iowa7586,35343.297504,89137.27253,46818.711,0760.088,8190.6581,4626.02−4.201,354,607IA
Kansas6390,43433.74449,95138.886312,35826.994,3140.371790.02−59,517−5.148.091,157,236KS
Kentucky8665,10444.558617,17841.34203,94413.664,5130.302,1610.1447,9263.2114.851,492,900KY
Louisiana9815,97145.589733,38640.97211,47811.813,1550.1826,0271.4582,5854.6114.821,790,017LA
Maine †2263,42038.772206,50430.39206,82030.441,6810.251,0740.1656,6008.3319.83679,499ME
Maine-11145,19139.91115,69731.8102,82828.329,4948.1120.83363,716ME1
Maine-21118,22937.8190,80729.0103,99233.214,2374.5518.92313,028ME2
Maryland10988,57149.8010707,09435.62281,41414.184,7150.243,2520.16281,47714.1817.091,985,046MD
Massachusetts121,318,63947.5412805,03929.02630,73122.749,0210.3210,2340.37513,60018.5210.672,773,664MA
Michigan181,871,18243.77181,554,94036.38824,81319.3010,1750.2413,5630.32316,2427.3915.294,274,673MI
Minnesota101,020,99743.4810747,84131.85562,50623.963,3730.1413,2300.56273,15611.634.612,347,947MN
Mississippi7400,25840.77487,79349.68785,6268.722,1540.225,9620.61−87,535−8.9111.91981,793MS
Missouri111,053,87344.0711811,15933.92518,74121.697,4970.312950.01242,71410.1514.132,391,565MO
Montana3154,50737.633144,20735.12107,22526.119860.243,6860.9010,3002.518.38410,611MT
Nebraska †2217,34429.40344,34646.582174,68723.631,3440.181,5620.21−127,002−17.183.78739,283NE
Nebraska-1180,69632.6107,08143.2159,97424.2-28,847-10.6-247,751NE1
Nebraska-2178,70132.4115,25547.5148,65720.1-32,226-15.1-242,613NE2
Nebraska-3157,46723.5121,34249.7165,47326.8-55,869-22.9-244,282NE3
Nevada4189,14837.364175,82834.73132,58026.191,8350.366,9271.3713,3202.6323.57506,318NV
New Hampshire4209,04038.864202,48437.64121,33722.563,5480.661,5360.296,5561.2227.38537,945NH
New Jersey151,436,20642.95151,356,86540.58521,82915.616,8220.2021,8720.6579,3412.3716.013,343,594NJ
New Mexico5261,61745.905212,82437.3491,89516.121,6150.282,0350.3648,7938.5613.52569,986NM
New York333,444,45049.72332,346,64933.881,090,72115.7513,4510.1931,6620.461,097,80115.8511.756,926,933NY
North Carolina141,114,04242.651,134,66143.4414357,86413.705,1710.201120.00−20,619−0.7915.472,611,850NC
North Dakota399,16832.18136,24444.22371,08423.074160.141,2210.40−37,076−12.041.02308,133ND
Ohio211,984,94240.18211,894,31038.351,036,42620.987,2520.1517,0340.3490,6321.8312.684,939,964OH
Oklahoma8473,06634.02592,92942.658319,87823.014,4860.32−119,863−8.638.021,390,359OK
Oregon7621,31442.487475,75732.53354,09124.214,2770.297,2040.49145,5579.955.281,462,643OR
Pennsylvania232,239,16445.15231,791,84136.13902,66718.2021,4770.434,6610.09447,3239.0211.344,959,810PA
Rhode Island4213,30247.044131,60129.02105,04523.165710.132,9590.6581,70118.026.31453,478RI
South Carolina8479,51439.88577,50748.028138,87211.552,7190.233,9150.33−97,993−8.1415.781,202,527SC
South Dakota3124,88837.14136,71840.66373,29521.808140.245390.16−11,830−3.522.82336,254SD
Tennessee11933,52147.0811841,30042.43199,96810.091,8470.096,0020.3092,2214.6520.991,982,638TN
Texas322,281,81537.082,496,07140.56321,354,78122.0119,6990.321,6520.03−214,256−3.489.126,154,018TX
Utah5183,42924.65322,63243.365203,40027.341,9000.2632,6384.39−119,232−16.0315.46743,999UT
Vermont3133,59246.11388,12230.4265,99122.785010.171,4950.5245,47015.7019.22289,701VT
Virginia131,038,65040.591,150,51744.9713348,63913.635,7300.2215,1290.59−111,867−4.3816.122,558,665VA
Washington11993,03943.4011731,23531.96541,78023.687,5330.3314,6410.64261,80411.449.852,288,228WA
West Virginia5331,00148.415241,97435.39108,82915.911,8730.2789,02713.028.28683,677WV
Wisconsin111,041,06641.1311930,85536.78544,47921.512,8770.1111,8370.47110,2114.350.732,531,114WI
Wyoming368,16033.9879,34739.56351,26325.568440.429730.49−11,187−5.5816.94200,587WY
TOTALS:53844,909,88943.0137039,104,54537.4516819,742,26718.91291,6280.28378,3300.365,805,3445.5613.29104,426,659US

Maine and Nebraska each allowed their electoral votes to be split between candidates using the Congressional District Method for electoral vote assignment. In both states, two electoral votes were awarded to the winner of the statewide race and one electoral vote was awarded to the winner of each congressional district.[113] District results for Maine and Nebraska do not include results for Marrou or other candidates and so totals differ from those for the states' at-large. Because Perot finished in 2nd place in some districts, the margins of the districts do not match the margin at-large. Nebraska split its electoral votes this way for the first time.

States that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

Close states

[edit]

States with margin of victory less than 1% (27 electoral votes):

  1. Georgia – 0.59% (13,714 votes)
  2. North Carolina – 0.79% (20,619 votes)

States/Districts with margin of victory less than 5% (175 electoral votes):

  1. New Hampshire – 1.22% (6,556 votes)
  2. Ohio – 1.83% (90,632 votes)
  3. Florida – 1.89% (100,612 votes)
  4. Arizona – 1.95% (29,036 votes)
  5. New Jersey – 2.37% (79,341 votes)
  6. Montana – 2.51% (10,300 votes)
  7. Nevada – 2.63% (13,320 votes)
  8. Kentucky – 3.21% (47,926 votes)
  9. Texas – 3.48% (214,256 votes)
  10. South Dakota – 3.52% (11,830 votes)
  11. Colorado – 4.26% (66,831 votes)
  12. Wisconsin – 4.35% (110,211 votes)
  13. Virginia – 4.37% (111,867 votes)
  14. Maine's 2nd Congressional District – 4.54% (14,237 votes) (margin over Ross Perot)
  15. Louisiana – 4.61% (82,585 votes)
  16. Tennessee – 4.65% (92,221 votes) (tipping point state)

States with margin of victory between 5% and 10% (131 electoral votes):

  1. Kansas – 5.14% (59,517 votes)
  2. Wyoming – 5.60% (11,187 votes)
  3. Iowa – 6.02% (81,462 votes)
  4. Indiana – 6.12% (140,955 votes)
  5. Connecticut – 6.43% (104,005 votes)
  6. Alabama – 6.77% (114,203 votes)
  7. Michigan – 7.39% (316,242 votes)
  8. South Carolina – 8.14% (97,993 votes)
  9. Maine's 1st Congressional District – 8.11% (29,494 votes)
  10. Delaware – 8.19% (23,741 votes)
  11. Maine – 8.33% (56,600 votes) (margin over Ross Perot)
  12. New Mexico – 8.56% (48,793 votes)
  13. Oklahoma – 8.63% (119,863 votes)
  14. Mississippi – 8.91% (87,535 votes)
  15. Pennsylvania – 9.02% (447,323 votes)
  16. Alaska – 9.17% (23,706 votes)
  17. Oregon – 9.95% (145,557 votes)

Source: New York Times President Map[114]

Statistics

[edit]

[112]

Counties with Highest Percent of Vote (Democratic)

  1. Washington, D.C. 84.64%
  2. Starr County, Texas 82.80%
  3. Macon County, Alabama 82.78%
  4. Duval County, Texas 79.56%
  5. Jefferson County, Mississippi 79.39%

Counties with Highest Percent of Vote (Republican)

  1. Jackson County, Kentucky 74.96%
  2. Sioux County, Iowa 72.21%
  3. Hansford County, Texas 69.08%
  4. Ochiltree County, Texas 68.06%
  5. Shelby County, Alabama 67.97%

Counties with Highest Percent of Vote (Other)

  1. Loving County, Texas 46.88%
  2. San Juan County, Colorado 40.40%
  3. Billings County, North Dakota 39.82%
  4. Somerset County, Maine 38.95%
  5. Esmeralda County, Nevada 37.67%

Voter demographics

[edit]
Presidential vote in social groups (in percentage)
Social groupClintonBushPerot% of
total vote
Total vote433719100
Party and ideology
Conservative Republicans5821321
Moderate Republicans16632113
Liberal Republicans1654302
Conservative Independents1753307
Moderate Independents42283015
Liberal Independents5416294
Conservative Democrats6123166
Moderate Democrats7691520
Liberal Democrats8511513
Gender and marital status
Married men37422133
Married women41401933
Unmarried men48292215
Unmarried women53311519
Race
White39402084
Black8310710
Hispanic6125144
Asian3055151
Religion
White Protestant32472146
Catholic44352029
Jewish801193
Born Again, religious right23611517
Age
18–29 years old43342217
30–44 years old41382133
45–59 years old41401926
60 and older50381224
Education
Not a high school graduate5428186
High school graduate43362124
Some college education41372127
College graduate39412026
Post graduate education50361417
Family income
Under $15,00058231913
$15,000–29,99945352027
$30,000–49,99941382126
$50,000-$75,00041421719
Over $75,00036481615
Region
East47351823
Midwest42372126
South41431630
West43342320
Community size
Population over 500,00058281310
Population 50,000 to 500,00050331621
Suburbs40392139
Rural areas, towns39402030

Source:Voter News Serviceexit poll, reported inThe New York Times, November 10, 1996, 28.

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
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Notes

[edit]
  1. ^There hasn't been a definitive point found where Kerrey endorsed Clinton, but he had a speaking slot at the Democratic Convention which required one to have endorsed him; this is the closest determined instance
  2. ^Percentage point difference in margin from the1988 election

Works cited

[edit]
  • Abramson, Paul; Aldrich, John; Rohde, David (1995).Change and Continuity in the 1992 Elections.CQ Press.ISBN 0871878399.
  • Gallup, Jr., George (1993).The Gallup Poll, Public Opinion 1992. Wilmington, Delaware: Scholarly Resources Inc.

Further reading

[edit]
Further information:Ross Perot § Further reading
  • Abramowitz, Alan I. (1995), "It's Abortion, Stupid: Policy Voting in the 1992 Presidential Election",Journal of Politics,57 (1):176–186,doi:10.2307/2960276,ISSN 0022-3816,JSTOR 2960276,S2CID 155087138
  • Alexander, Herbert E.; Corrado, Anthony (1995),Financing the 1992 Election, Armonk: Sharpe,ISBN 978-1-56324-437-7
  • Buell Jr, Emmett H. "The 1992 Elections."Journal of Politics (1994): 1133–1144; reviews leading political science studies of the election
  • Ceaser, James, and Andrew Busch.Upside Down and Inside Out: The 1992 Elections and American Politics (1993).
  • Crotty, William, ed.America's Choice: The Election of 1992 (1993)
  • DeFrank, Thomas M.; et al. (1994),Quest for the Presidency, 1992, College Station: Texas A&M University Press,ISBN 978-0-89096-644-0
  • De la Garza, Rodolfo O.; Desipio, Louis (1996),Ethnic Ironies: Latino Politics in the 1992 Elections, Boulder: Westview,ISBN 978-0-8133-8910-3
  • Doherty, Kathryn M., and James G. Gimpel. "Candidate Character vs. the Economy in the 1992 Election."Political Behavior 19.3 (1997): 177–196.online
  • Germond, Jack, andJules Witcover.Mad As Hell: Revolt at the Ballot Box, 1992 (1993).online
  • Goldman, Peter. et al.Quest for the Presidency 1992 (1994) 805pp.
  • Herron, Michael C., et al. "Measurement of political effects in the United States economy: A study of the 1992 presidential election."Economics & Politics 11.1 (1999): 51–81.
  • Johnstone, Andrew, and Andrew Priest, eds.US Presidential Elections and Foreign Policy: Candidates, Campaigns, and Global Politics from FDR to Bill Clinton (2017) pp 317–225.online
  • Jones, Bryan D. (1995),The New American Politics: Reflections on Political Change and the Clinton Administration, Boulder: Westview,ISBN 978-0-8133-1972-8
  • Kellstedt, Lyman A., et al. "Religious voting blocs in the 1992 election: The year of the evangelical?."Sociology of Religion 55.3 (1994): 307–326. [Kellstedt, Lyman A., et al. "Religious voting blocs in the 1992 election: The year of the evangelical?." Sociology of Religion 55.3 (1994): 307–326. online]
  • Klein, Jill Gabrielle. "Negativity in impressions of presidential candidates revisited: The 1992 election."Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin 22.3 (1996): 288–295.
  • Lacy, Dean;Burden, Barry C. (1999), "The Vote-Stealing and Turnout Effects of Ross Perot in the 1992 U.S. Presidential Election",American Journal of Political Science,43 (1):233–255,doi:10.2307/2991792,JSTOR 2991792
  • Ladd, Everett Carll. "The 1992 vote for President Clinton: Another brittle mandate?."Political Science Quarterly 108.1 (1993): 1-28.online
  • Lipset, Seymour Martin. "The significance of the 1992 election."PS: Political Science and Politics 26.1 (1993): 7–16.online
  • Nelson, Michael ed.The Elections of 1992 (1993)
  • Nelson, Michael.Clinton's Elections: 1992, 1996, and the Birth of a New Era of Governance (2020)excerpt
  • O'Mara, Margaret.Pivotal Tuesdays: Four Elections That Shaped the Twentieth Century (2015), compares 1912, 1932, 1968, 1992 in terms of social, economic, and political history
  • Ornstein, Norman J. "Foreign policy and the 1992 election."Foreign Affairs 71.3 (1992): 1–16.online
  • Pomper, Gerald M. ed.The Election of 1992 (1993).
  • Post, Jerrold M. "The Political psychology of the Ross Perot phenomenon." inThe Clinton Presidency (Routledge, 2019. 37–56).
  • Rosenstiel, Tom (1993),Strange Bedfellows: How Television and the Presidential Candidates Changed American Politics, 1992, New York: Hyperion,ISBN 978-1-56282-859-2
  • Steed, Robert P. (1994),The 1992 Presidential Election in the South: Current Patterns of Southern Party and Electoral Politics, Westport: Praeger,ISBN 978-0-275-94534-3
  • Troy, Gil. "Stumping in the bookstores: A literary history of the 1992 presidential campaign."Presidential Studies Quarterly (1995): 697–710.online
  • Weaver, David, and Dan Drew. "Voter learning in the 1992 presidential election: Did the “nontraditional” media and debates matter?."Journalism & Mass Communication Quarterly 72.1 (1995): 7–17.

Political commentary and campaign statements

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