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1988 Republican Party presidential primaries

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

1988 Republican Party presidential primaries

← 1984
January 14 to June 14, 1988
1992 →

2,044 delegates to theRepublican National Convention
1,023 (majority) votes needed to win
 
CandidateGeorge H. W. BushBob DolePat Robertson
Home stateTexasKansasVirginia
Delegate count1,525463207
Contests won4254
Popular vote8,253,5122,333,3751,097,446
Percentage67.9%19.2%9.0%

Gold denotes a state won byGeorge H. W. Bush.Green denotes a state won byPat Robertson.Purple denotes a state won byBob Dole.Grey denotes a territory that did not hold a primary.

Previous Republican nominee

Ronald Reagan

Republican nominee

George H. W. Bush

From January 14 to June 14, 1988,Republican voters chose their nominee forpresident in the1988 United States presidential election. IncumbentVice PresidentGeorge H. W. Bush was selected as the nominee through a series ofprimary elections andcaucuses culminating in the1988 Republican National Convention held from August 15 to August 18, 1988, inNew Orleans,Louisiana.

Bush selected Indiana SenatorDan Quayle as his running mate, and the Republican ticket went on to win the general election against the Democratic ticket ofMichael Dukakis andLloyd Bentsen by a wide margin. It was the third consecutive Republican victory in a presidential election, marking the first time since PresidentHarry S. Truman'ssurprise 1948 victory that any party held theWhite House for more than two terms. This was the last time an incumbent Republican vice president ran for the nomination.

Primary race

[edit]

Vice PresidentGeorge H. W. Bush had the private support of PresidentRonald Reagan and publicly pledged to continue Reagan's policies, but also pledged a "kinder and gentler nation"[1] in an attempt to win over some more moderate voters. Bush faced some prominent challengers for theGOP nomination, despite his front-runner status.

In 1987,Donald Trump, then known as a New York real estate executive and registered as a Republican, hinted in various television interviews that he was considering running for president.[2] He took out a series of newspaper ads inThe New York Times,The Washington Post, andThe Boston Globe criticizingReagan's foreign policy for being too expensive.[3][4] He also vocally advocated reducingforeign aid toJapan,Kuwait, andSaudi Arabia; acceleratingnuclear disarmament negotiations with theSoviet Union; and eliminating thefederal deficit.[5] Mike Dunbar, an important Republican operative, started a "draft Donald Trump" movement to try to convince him to run in the New Hampshire primaries.[4] However, Trump eventually announced at a political rally arranged by Dunbar inPortsmouth, New Hampshire, that he would not seek the Republican nomination.[6] Later, Trump approached Bush's campaign managerLee Atwater asking to be considered as a possible choice for running mate. Bush found the request "strange and unbelievable."[7] Apparently contradicting this report, Trump later asserted it was Atwater who approached him asking if he was interested in the position.[8] Trump would eventually be elected president in2016, and receive a second term in2024.

Robertson's campaign got off to a strong second-place finish in theIowa caucuses, ahead of Bush. Robertson did poorly in the subsequentNew Hampshire primary, however, and was unable to be competitive once the multiple-state primaries likeSuper Tuesday began. Robertson ended his campaign before the primaries were finished. His best finish was inWashington, winning the majority of caucus delegates. However, his controversial win has been credited to procedural manipulation by Robertson supporters who delayed final voting until late into the evening when other supporters had gone home. He later spoke at the1988 Republican National Convention in New Orleans and told his remaining supporters to cast their votes for Bush, who ended up winning the nomination and the election. He then returned to theChristian Broadcasting Network and would remain there as a religious broadcaster until his death in 2023.

Bush unexpectedly came in third in theIowa caucus (that he had won back in 1980), behind SenatorBob Dole and Robertson. Dole was also leading in the polls of theNew Hampshire primary, and the Bush camp responded by running television commercials portraying Dole as a tax raiser, while GovernorJohn H. Sununu stumped for Bush. These efforts enabled the Vice President to defeat Dole and gain crucial momentum. Embittered by his loss in New Hampshire, Dole told Bush directly, on live television that evening, to "stop lying about my record."[9]

Once the multiple-state primaries began, Bush's organizational strength and fundraising lead were impossible for the other candidates to match, and the nomination was his. The Republican party convention was held inNew Orleans, Louisiana. Bush was nominated unanimously.

In his acceptance speech, Bush made an energetic pledge, "Read my lips: No new taxes", a comment that would come to haunt him in the1992 election.

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
CandidateMost recent officeHome StateCampaign

Withdrawal date

Popular voteContests wonRunning mate
George BushVice President of the United States
(1981–1989)
Texas

Texas


(Campaign)
Secured nomination:
April 26, 1988
8,253,512
(67.90%)
42Dan Quayle

Withdrew before convention

[edit]
CandidateMost recent officeHome StateCampaign

Withdrawal date

Popular voteContests won
Bob DoleU.S. Senator from Kansas
(1969–1996)
California

Kansas


(campaign)
Withdrew: March 29, 1988[10]
2,333,375
(19.19%)
5
Pat RobertsonChair ofCBN

Virginia


(campaign)
Withdrew: April 6, 1988[11]
1,097,446
(9.02%)
4
Jack KempU.S. Representative
(1971–1989)

New York


(campaign)
Withdrew: March 9, 1988[12]
331,333
(2.72%)
0

Candidates who received less than 1%

[edit]

Candidates who withdrew before the primaries

[edit]

Declined to seek nomination

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Main article:Endorsements in the 1988 Republican Party presidential primaries

Polling

[edit]

National polling

[edit]
Poll sourcePublication date
George Bush
Bob Dole
Pete DuPont
Al Haig
Jack Kemp
Pat Robertson
Others/Undecided
Gallup[16]Jun. 10, 198539%8%5%48%
Gallup[16]Jan. 13, 198646%10%5%39%
Gallup[16]Apr. 14, 198640%10%2%6%4%38%
Gallup[16]Jul. 14, 198641%8%3%3%6%39%
Gallup[16]Oct. 27, 198642%8%1%3%5%6%35%
Gallup[16]Jan. 19, 198733%14%1%3%5%5%39%
Gallup[16]Apr. 13, 198734%18%2%7%9%4%26%
Gallup[16]June 14, 198739%21%2%6%8%5%19%
Gallup[16]July 13, 198740%18%3%7%10%5%17%
Gallup[16]Sep. 2, 198740%19%2%4%9%8%18%
Gallup[16]Sep. 2, 198747%22%1%4%4%7%15%
Gallup[16]Jan. 24, 198845%30%2%2%5%8%8%

Results

[edit]

Statewide

[edit]
Date
(daily totals)
Total pledged
delegates
ContestDelegates won and popular voteTotal
George H. W. BushBob DolePat RobertsonOthers
January 1481Michigan47
919 (56.55%)

54 (3.32%)
19
360 (22.15%)
15
292 (17.97%)
1,625
February 423Hawaii
147 (8.73%)

153 (9.09%)
23
1,368 (81.28%)

15 (8.91%)
1,683
February 734Kansas34
203 (95.75%)

3 (1.42%)

6 (2.83%)
212
February 838Iowa caucus7
20,218 (18.59%)
14
40,629 (37.35%)
7
26,729 (24.57%)
7
21,194 (19.49%)
108,770
February 1623New Hampshire primary10
59,290 (37.67%)
7
44,797 (28.46%)

14,775 (9.39%)
6
38,514 (24.47%)
157,376
February 1823Nevada6
1,320 (26.61%)
5
1,112 (22.41%)
3
714 (14.39%)
8
1,815 (36.59%)
4,961
February 23
(54)
34Minnesota4
5,979 (10.64%)
14
23,923 (42.56%)
10
15,969 (28.41%)
6
10,340 (18.39%)
56,211
20South Dakota4
17,404 (18.63%)
12
51,599 (55.24%)
4
18,310 (19.60%)

6,092 (6.52%)
93,405
February 2420Wyoming5
98 (23.00%)
9
195 (45.77%)
2
46 (10.80%)
4
87 (20.42%)
426
February 2823Maine16
700 (65.30%)

88 (8.21%)
3
147 (13.71%)
3
137 (12.78%)
1,072
March 1
(40)
20Alaska5
487 (23.82%)
4
395 (19.68%)
10
941 (46.89%)

184 (9.17%)
2,007
20Vermont11
23,565 (52.75%)
9
18,655 (41.76%)

2,452 (5.49%)
44,672
March 538South Carolina18
94,738 (48.51%)
8
40,265 (20.62%)
7
37,261 (19.08%)
4
23,028 (11.79%)
195,292
March 8
(Super Tuesday)
(855)
41Alabama28
137,113 (64.46%)
7
34,777 (16.35%)
6
29,552 (13.89%)

11,266 (5.30%)
212,708
31Arkansas16
32,114 (47.02%)
9
17,667 (25.86%)
6
12,918 (18.91%)

5,606 (8.21%)
68,305
85Florida56
559,397 (62.14%)
19
191,494 (21.27%)
10
95,037 (10.56%)

54,329 (6.03%)
900,257
52Georgia30
215,516 (53.75%)
13
94,749 (23.63%)
9
65,163 (16.25%)

25,500 (6.36%)
400,928
41Kentucky26
72,020 (59.32%)
10
27,868 (22.96%)
5
13,526 (11.14%)

7,988 (6.58%)
121,402
45Louisiana28
83,684 (57.80%)
9
25,624 (21.11%)
9
26,294 (21.66%)

9,171 (6.33%)
144,773
45Maryland28
107,026 (53.31%)
17
64,987 (32.37%)

12,860 (6.41%)

15,881 (7.91%)
200,754
56Massachusetts34
141,113 (57.39%)
15
63,392 (25.78%)

10,891 (4.43%)
7
30,489 (12.40%)
245,885
34Mississippi23
104,814 (65.99%)
6
27,004 (17.00%)
5
21,485 (13.53%)

5,526 (3.48%)
158,829
49Missouri22
168,812 (42.17%)
21
164,394 (41.07%)
6
44,705 (11.17%)

22,389 (5.59%)
400,300
56North Carolina30
124,260 (45.38%)
26
107,032 (39.09%)

26,861 (9.81%)

15,647 (5.71%)
273,800
38Oklahoma15
78,224 (37.44%)
14
73,016 (34.95%)
9
44,067 (21.09%)

13,631 (6.52%)
208,938
23Rhode Island15
10,401 (64.82%)
5
3,628 (22.61%)
3
2,016 (12.56%)
16,045
49Tennessee31
152,515 (60.22%)
11
55,027 (21.73%)
7
32,015 (12.64%)

13,695 (5.41%)
253,252
113Texas78
648,178 (63.86%)
17
140,795 (13.87%)
19
155,449 (15.32%)

70,534 (6.95%)
1,014,956
52Virginia30
124,738 (53.27%)
15
60,921 (26.02%)
8
32,173 (13.74%)

16,310 (6.97%)
234,142
45Washington11
3,694 (24.29%)
12
3,955 (26.00%)
18
5,934 (39.01%)
5
1,627 (10.70%)
15,210
March 1595Illinois57
469,151 (54.64%)
38
309,253 (36.02%)

59,087 (6.88%)

21,146 (2.46%)
858,637
March 2938Connecticut30
73,501 (70.56%)
8
21,005 (20.16%)

3,191 (3.06%)

6,474 (6.21%)
104,171
April 438Colorado32
11,628 (76.31%)

1,450 (9.51%)
6
2,160 (14.17%)
15,238
April 549Wisconsin49
295,295 (82.28%)

28,460 (7.93%)

24,798 (6.91%)

10,345 (2.88%)
358,898
April 19139New York115
1,101 (81.74%)

17 (1.26%)
24
229 (17.00%)
1,347
April 2699Pennsylvania86
687,323 (78.95%)
13
103,753 (11.92%)

79,463 (9.13%)
870,539
May 3
(157)
13District of Columbia13
5,890 (87.65%)

469 (6.98%)

268 (3.99%)

93 (1.38%)
6,720
52Indiana52
351,829 (80.39%)

42,878 (9.80%)

28,712 (6.56%)

14,236 (3.25%)
437,655
92Ohio80
643,907 (81.00%)
12
94,650 (11.91%)

56,347 (7.09%)
794,904
May 10
(58)
27Nebraska20
138,784 (68.33%)
7
45,572 (22.44%)

10,334 (5.09%)

8,423 (4.15%)
203,113
31West Virginia27
110,705 (77.34%)
4
15,309 (10.70%)

10,417 (7.28%)

6,709 (4.69%)
143,140
May 1734Oregon27
199,938 (72.84%)
7
49,128 (17.90%)

21,212 (7.73%)

4,208 (1.53%)
274,486
May 2423Idaho20
55,464 (81.24%)

5,876 (8.61%)
3
6,935 (10.16%)
68,275
June 7
(295)
178California primary154
1,856,273 (82.86%)
24
286,220 (12.78%)

94,779 (4.23%)
2,240,272
23Montana18
63,098 (73.07%)
5
16,762 (19.41%)

6,493 (7.52%)
86,353
67New Jersey67
241,033 (100.00%)
241,033
27New Mexico24
69,359 (78.16%)
3
9,305 (10.49%)

5,350 (6.03%)

4,730 (5.33%)
88,744
June 1420North Dakota20
37,062 (93.98%)

2,372 (6.01%)
39,434
Total2,4081,525
8,299,833 (67.9%)
463
2,404,162 (19.2%)
207
1,149,306 (9.0%)
101
517,862 (3.9%)
12,371,163

Nationwide

[edit]

Popular vote results:[17]

Running mate

[edit]
See also:1988 Republican Party vice presidential candidate selection

After Bush locked up the nomination in March,conventional wisdom leaned toward the notion of aSouthern running mate tobalance the ticket. The formerGovernor of Tennessee,Lamar Alexander, was seen by many as the most logical choice, and some early reports described him as Bush's personal preference.[18][19] Another high-profile possibility, also from Tennessee, was the formerSenate Majority Leader andWhite House Chief of StaffHoward Baker. Despite the early attention – which included a supportive editorial written by former PresidentRichard Nixon – Baker told the press that he would prefer to be left out of consideration.[20]

Bush's running mate, however, would not be revealed until August 16, allowing speculation to intensify all the way to the national convention. Bob Dole, who was considered a leading contender based on his second-place finish in the primaries, expressed impatience with the wait but nonetheless made plain his keen desire for the job.[21] So too did Jack Kemp, who confidently told reporters that he would make "a terrific campaigner and a terrific candidate and a terrific vice president".[21] Both men were thought to rank high on Bush's list of potential picks.[22]

Other highly rated prospects included two people quite close to Dole. His wife,Elizabeth Dole, had served asTransportation Secretary under President Reagan and was a popular figure among conservatives and women – two key demographics that Bush was struggling to galvanize. A second option was Dole's fellow U.S. Senator from Kansas,Nancy Kassebaum.[22] Other figures who were believed to be under Bush's close consideration included theGovernor of NebraskaKay Orr,[19] the formerGovernor of PennsylvaniaDick Thornburgh, theGovernor of New JerseyTom Kean, and the sitting U.S. SenatorsBill Armstrong ofColorado,Pete Domenici ofNew Mexico, andRichard Lugar andDan Quayle, both ofIndiana.[21][22]

U.S. SenatorAlan Simpson ofWyoming was also widely believed to be a possible selection, but he publicly stated that he wasn't interested in the position. This placed him in the company of Baker and others who had declared that they did not want to be considered, such as theGovernor of CaliforniaGeorge Deukmejian and theGovernor of IllinoisJim Thompson. Shortly ahead of the convention, however, Bush reopened speculation about all of them when he implied that he would not necessarily give up on any demurring prospects.[21]

Long-shot possibilities included several Republicans who were popular in their home states but held limited name recognition nationally, such as U.S. RepresentativeLynn Martin ofIllinois, theGovernor of South CarolinaCarroll Campbell, and the two U.S. Senators ofMissouri,John Danforth andChristopher Bond.[22] Nontraditional selections who were seen as credible alternatives included theNational Security AdvisorColin Powell,[23] the formerUN AmbassadorJeane Kirkpatrick,Education SecretaryWilliam Bennett, formerEPA AdministratorWilliam Ruckelshaus, and evenSupreme Court JusticeSandra Day O'Connor.[22]

Bush announced his selection of 41-year-old Dan Quayle on the second day of the convention.[24]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"George H.W. Bush: 1988 Republican National Convention Acceptance Address".American Rhetoric. Aug 18, 1988.
  2. ^"Donald Trump's Been Saying The Same Thing For 30 Years".NPR.org. Retrieved2020-10-04.
  3. ^"Donald Trump: Campaigns and Elections | Miller Center".millercenter.org. 2017-04-11. Retrieved2020-10-04.
  4. ^abOreskes, Michael (1987-09-02)."Trump Gives a Vague Hint of Candidacy".The New York Times.ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved2020-10-04.
  5. ^Butterfield, Fox (1987-11-18)."Trump Urged To Head Gala Of Democrats".The New York Times.ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved2020-10-04.
  6. ^Kruse, Michael."The True Story of Donald Trump's First Campaign Speech—in 1987".POLITICO Magazine. Retrieved2020-10-19.
  7. ^Meacham, Jon (2015). Destiny and Power: The American Odyssey of George Herbert Walker Bush (illustrated ed.). Random House. p. 326. ISBN 1400067650.
  8. ^Bradner, Eric (8 November 2015)."Trump says Bush 41 adviser approached him about becoming VP".CNN. Retrieved30 August 2018.
  9. ^Dillin, John (February 18, 1988). "Even with win, Bush seen to be vulnerable".Christian Science Monitor. p. 1.
  10. ^"Bush Nomination Seems Assured As Dole Leaves Republican Race".The New York Times.ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved2025-03-27.
  11. ^"Robertson Ends Active Campaigning".The New York Times.ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved2025-03-27.
  12. ^Walsh, Edward (1988-03-11)."KEMP DROPS OUT OF RACE BUT VOWS TO TRY AGAIN".The Washington Post.ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved2025-03-27.
  13. ^Clifford, Frank (13 February 1988)."Haig Drops Out of GOP Race, Endorses Dole".Los Angeles Times. Retrieved20 July 2016.
  14. ^"Rumsfeld Drops GOP Presidential Bid".Los Angeles Times. 3 April 1987.
  15. ^"Deukmejian rejects favorite-son candidacy".Ventura County Star. March 25, 1987. p. A6 – viaNewspapers.com.
  16. ^abcdefghijkl"US President - R Primaries".OurCampaigns.com. 20 Dec 2017. Retrieved6 Apr 2022.
  17. ^Our Campaigns - US President - R Primaries Race - Feb 01, 1988
  18. ^"Magazine: Alexander likely Bush running mate".The Greenville News. Greenville, South Carolina.Associated Press. March 15, 1988.Archived from the original on April 6, 2019 – viaNewspapers.com.Open access icon
  19. ^abEvans, Rowland;Novak, Robert (March 14, 1988)."Bush's choice for a woman vice president".Muncie Evening Press. Muncie, Indiana.Archived from the original on April 6, 2019 – viaNewspapers.com.The vice president's aides say his personal choice for running mate undoubtedly would be former Governor Lamar Alexander....Open access icon
  20. ^"Who will join Bush on ticket?".Santa Cruz Sentinel. Santa Cruz, CA.Associated Press. March 29, 1988. RetrievedMay 9, 2017 – viaNewspapers.com.Open access icon
  21. ^abcdNothberg, Donald M. (August 16, 1988)."V.P. candidates wait to hear from Bush; some campaign".The Morning Call. Allentown, PA.Associated Press. RetrievedMay 9, 2017 – viaNewspapers.com.Open access icon
  22. ^abcdeStraight, Harry (August 7, 1988)."Bush's list crowded for No. 2 slot".The Orlando Sentinel. Orlando, FL. RetrievedMay 9, 2017 – viaNewspapers.com.Open access icon
  23. ^Nelson, W. Dale (August 12, 1988)."Powell as Bush VP? It's not just a joke".The Palm Beach Post. Palm Beach, FL.Associated Press. RetrievedMay 10, 2017 – viaNewspapers.com.Open access icon
  24. ^"Bush Picks Sen. Quayle of Indiana as Running Mate".The Los Angeles Times. Los Angeles, CA.Associated Press. August 16, 1988. RetrievedMay 9, 2017 – viaNewspapers.com.Open access icon

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