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1948 United States presidential election in South Carolina

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1948 United States presidential election in South Carolina

← 1944November 2, 1948 (1948-11-02)1952 →
 
NomineeStrom ThurmondHarry S. Truman
PartyDemocratic (South Carolina)[1]Democratic
AllianceStates' Rights Democratic
Home stateSouth CarolinaMissouri
Running mateFielding L. WrightAlben Barkley
Electoral vote80
Popular vote102,60734,423
Percentage71.97%24.14%

County Results
Congressional District Results

Thurmond

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Truman

  50–60%
  60–70%


President before election

Harry Truman
Democratic

ElectedPresident

Harry Truman
Democratic

Main article:1948 United States presidential election
Elections in South Carolina
U.S. President
Presidential primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House of Representatives

The1948 United States presidential election in South Carolina took place on November 2, 1948, as part of the1948 United States presidential election. State voters chose eight electors to theElectoral College, which selected thepresident andvice president.South Carolina was won byStates' Rights Democratic candidateStrom Thurmond, defeating theDemocratic candidate,incumbentPresidentHarry S. Truman, andNew YorkGovernorThomas E. Dewey.

For six decades South Carolina had been a one-party state dominated by the Democratic Party. The Republican Party had been moribund due to the disfranchisement of blacks and the complete absence of other support bases as South Carolina completely lacked upland or German refugee whitesopposed to secession.[2] Between1900 and1944, no Republican presidential candidate ever obtained more than seven percent of the total presidential vote[3] – a vote which in1924 reached as low as 6.6 percent of the total voting-age population[4] (or approximately 15 percent of the voting-agewhite population).

This absolute loyalty to the Democratic Party – so strong that even CatholicAl Smith in1928 received over ninety percent of South Carolina's limited vote total at the same time as five former Confederate states voted forHerbert Hoover[5] – began to break down withHenry A. Wallace's appointment as vice president and the1943 Detroit race riots.[6] The northern left wing of the Democratic Party became as a result of this riot committed to restoring black political rights,[7] a policy vehemently opposed by mostSouthern Democrats as an infringement upon "states' rights". Tension widened much further when new President Harry Truman, himself a Southerner from Missouri, had described to him a number of horrifying lynchings and racial violence against black veterans, most crucially the beating and blinding of Isaac Woodard three hours after being discharged from the army.[8] Truman, previously viewed as no friend of civil rights, came to believe that racial violence against blacks in the South was a threat to the United States' image abroad and its ability to win theCold War against the radically egalitarian rhetoric ofCommunism.[9]

The result was a major civil rights plan titledTo Secure These Rights a year later, and a civil rights plank in the 1948 Democratic platform. Southern Democrats were enraged by these proposals and thus sought to form a "States' Rights" Democratic ticket, which would replace Truman as the official Democratic nominee.[10] In South Carolina, Dixiecrats completely controlled the situation and achieved this[11] as early as the state's May presidential primary.[12] Consequently, Thurmond andMississippi GovernorFielding Wright were listed as the official "Democratic" nominees. Thurmond won 76% of white voters.[13]

Polls

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Herald-Sun[14]Safe I(flip)September 12, 1948
Chattanooga Daily Times[15]Safe I(flip)October 15, 1948
The Evening Star[16]Certain I(flip)October 20, 1948
The Montgomery Advertiser[17]Certain I(flip)October 24, 1948
Mount Vernon Argus[18]Certain I(flip)November 1, 1948
Oakland Tribune[19]Safe I(flip)November 1, 1948

Results

[edit]
1948 United States presidential election in South Carolina[20]
PartyCandidateRunning matePopular voteElectoral vote
Count%Count%
DixiecratStrom Thurmond ofSouth CarolinaFielding Lewis Wright ofMississippi102,60771.97%8100.00%
DemocraticHarry S. Truman ofMissouri (incumbent)Alben William Barkley ofKentucky34,42324.14%00.00%
RepublicanThomas Edmund Dewey ofNew YorkEarl Warren ofCalifornia5,3863.78%00.00%
ProgressiveHenry Agard Wallace ofIowaGlen Hearst Taylor ofIdaho1540.11%00.00%
Write-inNorman Thomas ofNew YorkTucker Powell Smith ofMichigan10.00%00.00%
Total142,571100.00%8100.00%

Results by county

[edit]
1948 United States presidential election in South Carolina by county[21][22]
CountyJames Strom Thurmond
States’ Rights/Democratic
Thomas Edmund Dewey
Republican
Harry S. Truman
Democratic
Henry Agard Wallace
Progressive
Margin[a]Total votes cast
#%#%#%#%#%
Abbeville78773.97%232.16%25423.87%00.00%53350.09%1,064
Aiken4,60786.94%1152.17%57210.79%50.09%4,03576.15%5,299
Allendale1,04193.78%141.26%554.95%00.00%98688.83%1,110
Anderson1,34233.32%1052.61%2,58164.08%00.00%-1,239-30.76%4,028
Bamberg1,71491.51%341.82%1246.62%10.05%1,59084.89%1,873
Barnwell1,92093.02%281.36%1155.57%10.05%1,80587.45%2,064
Beaufort85067.62%15011.93%25320.13%40.32%59747.49%1,257
Berkeley1,53479.94%583.02%32316.83%40.21%1,21163.11%1,919
Calhoun84095.35%40.45%364.09%10.11%80491.26%881
Charleston10,60376.32%5624.05%2,66019.15%680.49%7,94357.17%13,893
Cherokee1,07561.15%774.38%60534.41%10.06%47026.73%1,758
Chester1,52775.89%482.39%43621.67%10.05%1,09154.22%2,012
Chesterfield1,55462.21%311.24%91236.51%10.04%64225.70%2,498
Clarendon1,46792.26%161.01%1076.73%00.00%1,36085.53%1,590
Colleton2,33789.92%391.50%2238.58%00.00%2,11481.14%2,599
Darlington1,93069.93%1043.77%72626.30%00.00%1,20443.63%2,760
Dillon96753.72%241.33%80844.89%10.06%1598.83%1,800
Dorchester2,71792.10%852.88%1434.85%50.17%2,57487.25%2,950
Edgefield1,79798.20%60.33%271.48%00.00%1,77096.72%1,830
Fairfield1,07379.54%634.67%21115.64%20.15%86263.90%1,349
Florence3,72972.97%1923.76%1,18923.27%00.00%2,54049.71%5,110
Georgetown1,94378.66%923.72%43217.49%30.12%1,51161.17%2,470
Greenville5,92262.51%7898.33%2,74528.97%180.19%3,17733.53%9,474
Greenwood2,50883.21%632.09%44014.60%30.10%2,06868.61%3,014
Hampton1,53094.33%100.62%814.99%10.06%1,44989.33%1,622
Horry3,34584.45%1132.85%50312.70%00.00%2,84271.75%3,961
Jasper71580.61%313.49%14115.90%00.00%57464.71%887
Kershaw1,61582.15%492.49%30215.36%00.00%1,31366.79%1,966
Lancaster1,64965.07%301.18%85533.74%00.00%79431.33%2,534
Laurens2,04777.86%692.62%51319.51%00.00%1,53458.35%2,629
Lee1,15586.65%362.70%14210.65%00.00%1,01375.99%1,333
Lexington2,23778.19%582.03%56619.78%00.00%1,67158.41%2,861
Marion1,21979.47%140.91%30119.62%00.00%91859.84%1,534
Marlboro1,08373.23%412.77%35423.94%10.07%72949.29%1,479
McCormick71395.96%00.00%304.04%00.00%68391.92%743
Newberry2,75887.25%471.49%34911.04%70.22%2,40976.21%3,161
Oconee1,15559.02%1356.90%66634.03%10.05%48924.99%1,957
Orangeburg3,16083.98%1644.36%43511.56%40.11%2,72572.42%3,763
Pickens1,34469.14%1658.49%43522.38%00.00%90946.76%1,944
Richland6,09666.32%6707.29%2,41926.32%70.08%3,67740.00%9,192
Saluda1,71289.45%150.78%1879.77%00.00%1,52579.68%1,914
Spartanburg4,66038.70%6275.21%6,74155.98%130.11%-2,081-17.28%12,041
Sumter2,71878.17%1544.43%60517.40%00.00%2,11360.77%3,477
Union2,09061.13%461.35%1,28337.53%00.00%80723.60%3,419
Williamsburg1,83992.46%231.16%1266.33%10.05%1,71386.12%1,989
York1,98355.67%1674.69%1,41239.64%00.00%57116.03%3,562
Totals102,60771.97%5,3863.78%34,42324.14%1540.11%68,18447.82%142,570

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Dixiecrat

[edit]

Analysis

[edit]

Thurmond won his native state by a margin of 47.83 points, making him the first third-party candidate to carry the state sinceSouthern DemocratJohn C. Breckinridge in1860. This was the first time the state voted against the Democrats since1876, and Truman was the first Democrat to win without the state since1836.

Significant opposition to Thurmond came from the poor whites of the industrialupcountry, who rejected the Dixiecrats' opposition to public works and labor regulation.[23] Many upcountry county parties and newspapers, especially in the two counties that backed Truman over Thurmond,[24] alongside SenatorOlin D. Johnston,[25] also rejected bolting from the national party.

However, sufficiently few of these poorer whites voted that Thurmond was able to easily carry South Carolina, winning 44 of the state's 46 counties and over 71 percent of the total presidential vote. Thurmond exceeded 72 percent in all but twelve counties, and passed ninety percent in ten. This was the first time any county in South Carolina had voted against the national Democrats since 1900.[26]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Because Thurmond was the official Democratic nominee in South Carolina and he and Truman came in the first two places in all counties and the state as a whole, all margins given are Thurmond vote minus Truman vote and all percentage margins Thurmond percentage minus Truman percentage.

References

[edit]
  1. ^Key;Southern Politics in State and Nation, p. 332
  2. ^Phillips, Kevin P. (November 23, 2014).The Emerging Republican Majority. Princeton University Press. pp. 208, 210.ISBN 9780691163246.
  3. ^Mickey, Robert (February 19, 2015).Paths Out of Dixie: The Democratization of Authoritarian Enclaves in America's Deep South, 1944-1972. Princeton University Press. p. 440.ISBN 978-0691149639.
  4. ^Mickey;Paths Out of Dixie, p. 27
  5. ^Key junior, V.O. (1984).Southern Politics in State and Nation. University of Tennessee Press. p. 328.ISBN 087049435X.
  6. ^Scher, Richard K. (December 31, 1996).Politics in the New South: Republicanism, Race and Leadership in the Twentieth Century. M.E. Sharpe. p. 95.ISBN 1563248484.
  7. ^Frederickson, Kari A. (2001).The Dixiecrat Revolt and the End of the Solid South, 1932-1968. Univ of North Carolina Press. p. 39.ISBN 0807849103.
  8. ^Geselbracht, Raymond H., ed. (2007).The Civil Rights Legacy of Harry S. Truman. Truman State University Press. p. 53.ISBN 978-1931112673.
  9. ^Fredericksen.The Dixiecrat Revolt and the End of the Solid South, p. 52
  10. ^Sabato, Larry J.; Ernst, Howard R. (2014).Encyclopedia of American Political Parties and Elections. Facts On File. p. 114.ISBN 9781438141817.
  11. ^Key.Southern Politics in State and Nation, p. 332
  12. ^Mickey.Paths Out of Dixie, pp. 146-149
  13. ^Black & Black 1992, p. 147.
  14. ^Gallup, George (September 12, 1948). "Thurmond's Long South Carolina Lead Highlights Democratic Problem in Dixie".The Herald-Sun.Durham, North Carolina. p. 1.
  15. ^Gallup, George (October 15, 1948). "Only Four States Go to Dixiecrats".Chattanooga Daily Times.Chattanooga,Tennessee. p. 6-A.
  16. ^Lincoln, Gould (October 20, 1948). "States' Rights Party Sews Up South Carolina for Thurmond".The Evening Star.Washington, D.C. p. A—5.
  17. ^Montgomery, John A. (October 24, 1948). "South Carolina".The Montgomery Advertiser.Montgomery,Alabama. p. 16.
  18. ^Tucker, Ray (November 1, 1948). "Truman Whistling in a White House Graveyard, Says Tucker, Predicting It'll Be a Dewey Sweep".Mount Vernon Argus.Mount Vernon, New York. p. 8.
  19. ^Gallup, George (November 1, 1948). "Final Gallup Poll Shows Dewey Winning Election with Wide Electoral Vote Margin".Oakland Tribune.Oakland,California. pp. 1–2.
  20. ^"1948 Presidential General Election Results – South Carolina". U.S. Election Atlas. RetrievedDecember 23, 2013.
  21. ^Scammon, Richard M. (compiler);America at the Polls: A Handbook of Presidential Election Statistics 1920-1964; p. 395ISBN 0405077114
  22. ^"Popular Vote for Strom Thurmond". Géoelections. (.xlsx file for €15)
  23. ^Phillips.The Emerging Republican Majority; pp. 262-265
  24. ^"Thurmond Winner: State Out of Demo Column for First Time Since 1876".Anderson Independent-Mail.Anderson, South Carolina. p. 1.
  25. ^"Johnson Openly Bucks Thurmond".The Item.Sumter, South Carolina. p. 11.
  26. ^Menendez, Albert J. (2005).The Geography of Presidential Elections in the United States, 1868-2004.Jefferson,North Carolina:McFarland & Company. pp. 291–293.ISBN 0786422173.

Works cited

[edit]
General
State Senate
State House
Governor
U.S. President
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
State and district results of the1948 United States presidential election
Electoral map, 1948 election
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