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California 16th District Profile
New York Times Race ProfileFiveThirtyEight ForecastPrimary ResultsOther California Races
New York Times Race Rating
Solid Democratic
FiveThirtyEight Model
100%
Chance of Democratic win
Currently held by
Zoe Lofgren
On election night, view liveCalifornia 16th District election results.
Incumbent Voting Record
Zoe Lofgren (D) seeking re-election after holding the seat for years.
| Major Bills | Incumbent Vote | All Democrats |
| HEALTH CARE BILL | Yes | Yes: 219No: 34 |
| STIMULUS PACKAGE | Yes | Yes: 244No: 11 |
| TARP | Yes | Yes: 172No: 63 |
| ENERGY BILL | Yes | Yes: 211No: 44 |
Campaign Finances
Zoe Lofgren as of Nov. 22 | Daniel Sahagun | Edward Gonzalez as of Nov. 22 | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raised | $760,284 | N.A. | $35,093 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Spent | $762,667 | N.A. | $32,512 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Cash On Hand | $369,881 | N.A. | $2,658 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Contributors | |||||||||||||||||||||
Top Five Industries |
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Top Five Contributors |
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Sources: Federal Election Commission; OpenSecrets.org
Previous Election Results
| House | Democrats | Republicans |
| 2008 | 71%Lofgren | 24%Winston |
| 2006 | 73%Lofgren | 27%Winston |
| 2004 | 71%Lofgren | 26%McNea |
| 2002 | 67%Lofgren | 30%McNea |
June 8 Primary Candidates
| Democrat | Zoe Lofgren | uncontested | ||
| Libertarian | Edward Gonzalez | uncontested | ||
FiveThirtyEight Forecast
| Lofgren | Sahagun | |
|---|---|---|
Projected Vote Margin of Error: ± 8.8% | 67.7% | 29.7% |
Chance of Winning Seat | 99.9% | 0.1% |
District Demographics
| Race and ethnicity | District | U.S. | |
|---|---|---|---|
| White | 27.6% | 65.9% | |
| Black | 3.1% | 12.1% | |
| Hispanic | 39.1% | 15.1% | |
| Asian | 27.4% | 4.3% | |
| Native American | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Income | District | U.S. | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median income | $76,245 | $52,175 | |
| Poverty rate | 8.1% | 9.6% | |
| Below $25,000 | 14.7% | 23.2% | |
| $25,000-$50,000 | 17.2% | 24.8% | |
| $50,000-$100,000 | 30.1% | 31.2% | |
| $100,000-$200,000 | 27.5% | 16.6% | |
| $200,000 or more | 9.9% | 4.2% |
| Education | District | U.S. | |
|---|---|---|---|
| High school graduate | 78.2% | 84.5% | |
| Bachelor's degree or higher | 30.8% | 27.4% |
| Age | District | U.S. | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 18 | 25.5% | 24.5% | |
| 65 and older | 9.4% | 12.6% |
Source: Census Bureau
