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- Fair market value of bitcoin: halving effect
Fair market value of bitcoin: halving effect
- Received October 17, 2019;Accepted November 15, 2019;Published November 28, 2019
- Author(s)Artur MeynkhardLink to ORCID Index:https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3995-4648

- DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.16(4).2019.07
- Article InfoVolume 16 2019, Issue #4, pp. 72-85
- TO CITEАНОТАЦІЯ
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This work is licensed under aCreative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
The purpose of this article is to analyze the effect that halving has on the fair market value of bitcoins. The main hypothesis of the study is that the decline in the cost of miners’ remuneration for mining is a significant factor that affects the price of cryptocurrencies. The article examines the factors that regulate the issuing process. The significance of a limited supply of bitcoin is detailed in the article, as well as the mechanism for the implementation of the issue of new bitcoins. The study compares the historical inflation data of the US dollar and the projected data on the inflation of bitcoin. The article analyzes the main technical element of cryptocurrency – halving – when the miner’s reward is halved. This analysis includes the mathematical methods of statistical data processing. Research results show that reducing remuneration by half every four years leads to an increased market value of the cryptocurrency. This relationship is clearly illustrated by the Kendall rank correlation method. The results of the study can have a significant impact on the fundamental assessment of bitcoin and can also enable investors to assess any of the existing and operating cryptocurrencies according to this method.
- Keywords
- JEL Classification (Paper profile tab)E31, E42, G15
- References34
- Tables3
- Figures6
- Figure 1. Bitcoin emission for the years 2009–2140
- Figure 2. US dollar inflation 1914–2014, %
- Figure 3. Bitcoin inflation 2009–2109, %
- Figure 4. Logarithmic graph of the value of the bitcoin 2011–2019, US dollars
- Figure 5. The effect of emission reduction of bitcoins on the price, July 2011 – March 2015
- Figure 6. The effect of emission reduction of bitcoins on the price, April 2015 – November 2018
- Table 1. Bitcoin emission
- Table 2. Bitcoin inflation
- Table 3. Average price change and bitcoin block remuneration
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Impact of inflation on economic growth: evidence from Nigeria
Investment Management and Financial Innovations Volume 17, 2020 Issue #2 pp. 1-13Views: 12517 Downloads: 6460TO CITEАНОТАЦІЯIn an attempt to examine the influence of inflation on the growth prospects of the Nigerian economy, the study employs the autoregressive distributed lag on the selected variables, i.e. real gross domestic product (GDP), inflation rate, interest rate, exchange rate, degree of economy`s openness, money supply, and government consumption expenditures for the period 1980–2018. The study findings indicate that inflation and real exchange rate exert a significant negative impact on economic growth, while interest rate and money supply indicate a positive and significant impact on economic growth. Other variables in the model depict no influence on the economic growth of Nigeria. The causality result shows the unidirectional relationships between interest rate, exchange rate, government consumption expenditures and gross domestic product. However, inflation and the degree of openness show no causal relationship with gross domestic product. As a result, the study recommends that a more pragmatic effort is needed by the monetary authorities to target the inflation vigorously to prevent its adverse effect by ensuring a tolerable rate that would stimulate the economic growth of Nigeria.
The influence of central bank monetary policy announcements on cryptocurrency return volatility
Shaen Corbet , Grace McHugh , Andrew Meegandoi: http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.14(4).2017.07Investment Management and Financial Innovations Volume 14, 2017 Issue #4 pp. 60-72Views: 4341 Downloads: 849TO CITEАНОТАЦІЯThe emergence of Bitcoin in 2009 has received considerable attention surrounding the validity of cryptocurrencies as a viable and, in some jurisdictions, a legal currency alternative. Despite widespread concern that these cryptocurrencies are fostering the environment within which a substantial bubble can occur, it is important to analyze whether these new assets are behaving similarly to major international currencies. This paper investigates the effects of international monetary policy changes on bitcoin returns using a GARCH (1.1) estimation model. The results indicate that monetary policy decisions based on interest rates taken by the Federal Open Market Committee in the United States significantly impact upon bitcoin returns. After controlling for international effects, we find significant evidence of volatility effects driven by United States, European Union, United Kingdom and Japanese quantitative easing announcements. These results show that, despite its nature and ideals, bitcoin seems to be subject to the same economic factors as traditional fiat currencies, and is not entirely unaffected by government policies. This result has implications for investors using bitcoin as a hedging or diversification tool. In addition, we contribute to the existing debate regarding the classification of bitcoin as an asset class, by illustrating that bitcoin volatility exhibits various reactions that bear resemblance to both currency pairs and store-of-value assets.
The macroeconomic factors affecting government bond yield in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines
Benny Budiawan Tjandrasa
, Hotlan Siagian
, Ferry Jie
doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.17(3).2020.09Investment Management and Financial Innovations Volume 17, 2020 Issue #3 pp. 111-121Views: 3671 Downloads: 793TO CITEАНОТАЦІЯThe government bond (GB) has become the most attractive investment portfolio option, even though many macroeconomic factors affect the bond yield. This paper aims to investigate the determining factor of local currency government bond yield by considering the inflation rate, credit default swap, stock market index, exchange rate, and volatility index. This study used 240 data panel from the Bloomberg stock market in the form of data panel covering Southeast developing countries, namely Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, and the Philippines, for five years or sixty months from January 2015 to December 2019. Data analysis used recursive models and multivariate regression techniques using EViews software. The random effect model results revealed that change in the foreign exchange rate and volatility indexes affected, partially and simultaneously, the changes in the stock market index. The result also showed that changes in the stock market index, inflation rate, and credit default swap affected, partially and simultaneously, government bond yield changes. These results suggest that the government bond yield could be managed by controlling volatility index, foreign exchange rate, stock market index, inflation rates, and credit default swaps. This finding could provide an insight into the policymaker and fiscal authority on managing the risk of government bonds under control during high volatility or even making it reasonably lower. This result could contribute to the current research in the field of financial management.
Acknowledgment
It is the author’s pleasure to thank Muhammad Aulia SE MSc CSA® from the Ministry of Finance of Republic Indonesia, for his invaluable contribution to encourage this study and also to share the data required for this paper. He also delivers essential insights into improving the quality of this work. This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.

