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Vol. 77 (2017)
Issue11
Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Epidemic Phenomena Using the R Package surveillance
Sebastian Meyer
,
Leonhard Held
,
Michael Höhle
Main Article Content
Abstract
The availability of geocoded health data and the inherent temporal structure of communicable diseases have led to an increased interest in statistical models and software for spatio-temporal data with epidemic features. The open source R package surveillance can handle various levels of aggregation at which infective events have been recorded: individual-level time-stamped geo-referenced data (case reports) in either continuous space or discrete space, as well as counts aggregated by period and region. For each of these data types, the surveillance package implements tools for visualization, likelihoood inference and simulation from recently developed statistical regression frameworks capturing endemic and epidemic dynamics. Altogether, this paper is a guide to the spatio-temporal modeling of epidemic phenomena, exemplified by analyses of public health surveillance data on measles and invasive meningococcal disease.
Article Details
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Files:
Paper
R package (surveillance)
R replication code
Published:
May 3, 2017
DOI:
10.18637/jss.v077.i11
Keywords:
spatio-temporal surveillance data
endemic-epidemic modeling
infectious disease epidemiology
self-exciting point process
multivariate time series of counts
branching process with immigration
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How to Cite
Meyer, S., Held, L., & Höhle, M. (2017). Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Epidemic Phenomena Using the R Package surveillance.
Journal of Statistical Software
,
77
(11), 1–55. https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v077.i11
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Article:
Creative Commons Attribution License (CC-BY)
Software: GPL General Public License
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