Review Article
Implications of Arctic Sea Ice Decline for the Earth System
- Uma S. Bhatt1,2,Donald A. Walker3,4,John E. Walsh5,Eddy C. Carmack8,Karen E. Frey9,Walter N. Meier10,Sue E. Moore11,Frans-Jan W. Parmentier12,Eric Post13,Vladimir E. Romanovsky2,6, andWilliam R. Simpson2,7
- View AffiliationsHide AffiliationsAffiliations:1Department of Atmospheric Sciences,2College of Natural Science and Mathematics and Geophysical Institute,3Department of Biology and Wildlife,4College of Natural Science and Mathematics and Institute of Arctic Biology,5International Arctic Research Center,6Department of Geology and Geophysics,7Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, Alaska 99775; email:[email protected],[email protected],[email protected],[email protected],[email protected]8Institute of Ocean Sciences, Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Sidney, British Columbia V8L 4B2, Canada; email:[email protected]9Graduate School of Geography, Clark University, Worcester, Massachusetts 01610; email:[email protected]10NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland 20771; email:[email protected]11NOAA/Fisheries Office of Science & Technology, Seattle, Washington 98105; email:[email protected]12Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund University, 223 62 Lund, Sweden; Arctic Research Center, Aarhus University, Aarhus DK-8000, Denmark; email:[email protected]13Polar Center and Department of Biology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania 16802; email:[email protected]
- Vol. 39:57-89(Volume publication date October 2014)
- First published as a Review in Advance on September 10, 2014
- © Annual Reviews
Abstract
Arctic sea ice decline has led to an amplification of surface warming and is projected to continue to decline from anthropogenic forcing, although the exact timing of ice-free summers is uncertain owing to large natural variability. Sea ice reductions affect surface heating patterns and the atmospheric pressure distribution, which may alter midlatitude extreme weather patterns. Increased light penetration and nutrient availability during spring from earlier ice breakup enhances primary production in the Arctic Ocean and its adjacent shelf seas. Ice-obligate marine mammals may be losers, whereas seasonally migrant species may be winners from rapid sea ice decline. Tundra greening is occurring across most of the Arctic, driven primarily by warming temperatures, and is displaying complex spatial patterns that are likely tied to other factors. Sea ice changes are affecting greenhouse gas exchanges as well as halogen chemistry in the Arctic. This review highlights the heterogeneous nature of Arctic change, which is vital for researchers to better understand.