Movatterモバイル変換


[0]ホーム

URL:


Skip to main content

Advertisement

Springer Nature Link
Log in

Frequency-Weighted Fuzzy Time-Series Based on Fibonacci Sequence for TAIEX Forecasting

  • Conference paper

Part of the book series:Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNAI,volume 4819))

Included in the following conference series:

Abstract

This paper proposes a new fuzzy time-series model for promoting the stock price forecasting, which provides two refined approaches, a frequency-weighted method, and the concept of Fibonacci sequence in forecasting processes. In empirical analysis, two different types of financial datasets, TAIEX (Taiwan Stock Exchange Capitalization Weighted Stock Index) stock index and HSI (Hong Kong Heng Seng Index) stock index are used as model verification. By comparing the forecasting results with those derived from Chen’s, Yu’s, and Hurang’s models, the authors conclude that the research goal has been reached.

This is a preview of subscription content,log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Song, Q., Chissom, B.S.: Forecasting enrollments with fuzzy time-series - Part I. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 54, 1–10 (1993)

    Article MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  2. Song, Q., Chissom, B.S.: Forecasting enrollments with fuzzy time-series - Part II. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 62, 1–8 (1994)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Chen, S.M.: Forecasting enrollments based on fuzzy time-series. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 81, 311–319 (1996)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Chen, S.M.: Forecasting Enrollments Based on High-Order Fuzzy Time Series. Cybernetics and Systems 33, 1–16 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Chen, S.M., Hsu, C.C.: A New Method to Forecast Enrollments Using Fuzzy Time Series. Applied Science and Eng. 2, 234–244 (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Chen, S.M., Chung, N.Y.: Forecasting Enrollments Using High-Order Fuzzy Time Series and Genetic Algorithms. International Journal of Intelligent Systems 21, 485–501 (2006)

    Article MATH  Google Scholar 

  7. Dourra, H., Pepe, S.: Investment using technical analysis and fuzzy logic. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 127, 221–240 (2002)

    Article MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  8. Faff, R.W., Brooks, R.D., Ho, Y.K.: New evidence on the impact of financial leverage on beta risk: A time-series approach. North American Journal of Economics and Finance 13, 1–20 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Wang, Y.F.: Predicting stock price using fuzzy grey prediction system. Experts Systems with Applications 22, 33–39 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Yu, H.K.: Weighted fuzzy time-series models for TAIEX forecasting. Physica A 349, 609–624 (2004)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Huarng, K.H., Yu, H.K.: A Type 2 fuzzy time-series model for stock index forecasting. Physica A 353, 445–462 (2005)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Leon Lee, C.H., Liu, Alan, Chen, W.S.: Pattern Discovery of Fuzzy Time Series for Financial Prediction. IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering 18, 613–625 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Fischer, R.: The New Fibonacci Trader: Tools and Strategies for Trading Success. John Wiley & Sons, New York (2001)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Collins, C.J., Frost, A.J., Robert Jr., R.: Prechter: Elliott Wave Principle: Key to Market Behavior. John Wiley & Sons, New York (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Jordan, K.: An Introduction to the Elliott Wave Principle. Alchemist 40, 12–14 (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Zadeh, L.A.: The concept of a linguistic variable and its application to approximate reasoning I. Information Science 8, 199–249 (1975)

    Article MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  17. Zadeh, L.A.: The concept of a linguistic variable and its application to approximate reasoning II. Information Science 8, 301–357 (1975)

    Article MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  18. Zadeh, L.A.: The concept of a linguistic variable and its application to approximate reasoning III. Information Science 9, 43–80 (1976)

    Article MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  19. Huarng, K.H.: Effective lengths of intervals to improve forecasting in fuzzy time-series. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 123, 387–394 (2001)

    Article MATH MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  20. Huarng, K.H.: Heuristic models of fuzzy time-series for forecasting. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 123, 137–154 (2001)

    Article MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  21. Miller, G.A.: The magical number seven, plus or minus two: some limits on our capacity of processing information. The Psychological Review 63, 81–97 (1956)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Yu, H.K.: A refined fuzzy time-series model for forecasting. Physica A 346, 657–681 (2005)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. Huarng, K.H., Yu, T.H.-K.: The application of neural networks to forecast fuzzy time series. Physica A 336, 481–491 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Information Management, National Yunlin University of Science and Technology, 123, section 3, University Road, Touliu, Yunlin 640, Taiwan, R.O.C.

    Hia Jong Teoh, Tai-Liang Chen & Ching-Hsue Cheng

  2. Department of Accounting Information, Ling Tung University, 1, Ling Tung Road, Nantun, Taichung 408, Taiwan, R.O.C.

    Hia Jong Teoh

Authors
  1. Hia Jong Teoh
  2. Tai-Liang Chen
  3. Ching-Hsue Cheng

Editor information

Takashi Washio Zhi-Hua Zhou Joshua Zhexue Huang Xiaohua Hu Jinyan Li Chao Xie Jieyue He Deqing Zou Kuan-Ching Li Mário M. Freire

Rights and permissions

Copyright information

© 2007 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Teoh, H.J., Chen, TL., Cheng, CH. (2007). Frequency-Weighted Fuzzy Time-Series Based on Fibonacci Sequence for TAIEX Forecasting. In: Washio, T.,et al. Emerging Technologies in Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining. PAKDD 2007. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 4819. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-77018-3_4

Download citation

Publish with us


[8]ページ先頭

©2009-2025 Movatter.jp