Utah's 4th Congressional District elections, 2012

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Utah's 4th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
June 26, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Jim MathesonDemocratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Newly created district

Utah U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Utah.png

The4th Congressional District of Utah held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.

Jim Matheson (D) was elected to the newly drawn district in the general election on November 6, 2012. He defeatedMia Love (R) andJim Vein (L) for the seat.[1]

Candidate Filing DeadlinePrimary ElectionGeneral Election
March 16, 2012
June 26, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Utah has a mixed primary system, with Republicans having aclosed primary and Democrats having anopen one. Both parties hold conventions prior to the primaries.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by October 7, 2011 or October 22, 2011 in-person. For the general election, voter registration deadlines were October 7, 2012 and October 22, 2012 in-person.[2]

See also:Utah elections, 2012

Incumbent: The district was added as a result of the 2010 Census.

This was the first election usingdistrict maps based on data from the 2010 Census.Utah's 4th Congressional District is located in the western portion of thestate, and includes Salt Lake, Tooele, Juab, Millard, Beaver, Iron, and Washington counties.[3]

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified.Click here for more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan. Pleasecontact us about errors in this list.


General election candidates

Democratic PartyJim MathesonGreen check mark transparent.png
Republican PartyMia Love
Libertarian PartyJim Vein


Democratic PartyDemocratic convention candidates

Republican PartyRepublican convention candidates

Libertarian PartyLibertarian candidate

Note:Ken Larsen withdrew before the primary.[5]

Grey.pngUtah Justice Party candidate

Note:Torin Nelson withdrew.[5]

Election results

U.S. House, Utah District 4 General Election, 2012
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngJim MathesonIncumbent48.8%119,803
    Republican Mia B. Love48.5%119,035
    Libertarian Jim L. Vein2.6%6,439
Total Votes245,277
Source:Utah Lieutenant Governor "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

According to the websiteDaily Kos, this race was one of nine top-ballot 2012 races that containedLibertarian candidates who received more total votes than was the difference between the Democratic winner and the GOP runner-up. In this case,Jim Vein took in over 3,000 more votes than the number that separated Matheson and Love.[6]

Race background

Republican challengerMia Love was included in theNational Republican Congressional Committee's Young Guns program. The program highlighted challengers who represented the GOP's best chances to pick up congressional seats in the general election.[7]

General election

Competitiveness

Utah's 4th was considered to be a Tossup according to theNew York Times race ratings. Democratic incumbentJim Matheson was challenged byMia Love (R) in the most Republican district in the country occupied by a Democrat.[8]

Using the Federal Election Commission's October Quarterly campaign finance filings, the Brennan Center for Justice atThe New York University School of Law published a report on October 22, 2012 focusing on the 25 House races rated most competitive byThe Cook Political Report, including the race for Utah's 4th. The report examined the relative spending presence of non-candidate groups, candidates, and small donors in these races - "which will likely determine which party will control the House."[9]

List of 25 Toss Up Races from the Cook Political Report:[10] 

Democratic Toss Ups:

  1. Georgia-12
  2. Illinois-12
  3. Kentucky-6
  4. Nevada-4
  5. New York-27
  6. North Carolina-7
  7. Pennsylvania-12
  8. Utah-4

Republican Toss Ups:

  1. Arizona-1
  2. California-7
  3. California-10
  4. California-26
  5. California-36
  6. California-52
  7. Colorado-6
  8. Florida-18
  9. Illinois-11
  10. Illinois-13
  11. California-17
  12. Michigan-1
  13. Minnesota-8
  14. Nevada-3
  15. New Hampshire-1
  16. New York-18
  17. New York-19
  18. Ohio-16
  19. Texas-23

Democratic Party Democratic convention

In the April 21, 2012 Democratic convention, delegates confirmedJim Matheson as the Democratic nominee for Utah's 4th.[11][12] Matheson was unopposed at the convention. There was no primary for the 3rd District.[12]

Republican Party Republican convention

In the April 21,, 2012 Republican convention, the party nominated incumbentMia Love to be the Republican candidate in the general election.Mia Love andCarl Wimmer advanced as the top two vote-getters in the first round, and in the second round, Love received 70 percent of the delegate votes.[13] No Republican primary was held for the 4th Congressional District.[12]

Polls

Jim Matheson V. Mia Love
PollJim MathesonMia LoveMargin of errorSample size
Dan Jones and Associates(dead link)
(Oct. 26-Nov. 1, 2012)
38%42%+/-4.8414
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research
(October 29-31, 2012)***
40%52%+/-4625
AVERAGES 39% 47% +/-4.4 519.5
***Note: After the poll was released, theSalt Lake Tribune announced that the poll revealed a flawed oversampling over Republicans which caused skewed, less accurate results.[14]
The polls above may not reflect all polls that were conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Campaign contributions

The race attracted $2.6 million insatellite spending between Labor Day and late October before the general election. $744,916 was spent helping DemocratJim Matheson while $1,882,725 was spent to aid RepublicanMia Love.[15]

Jim Matheson

Jim Matheson Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
Pre-Convention[16]April 1, 2012$696,072.78$342,736.34$(67,261.03)$971,548.09
July Quarterly[17]July 15, 2012$971,548.09$361,959.73$(52,676.42)$1,280,831.40
Running totals
$704,696.07$(119,937.45)

Mia Love

Mia Love Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
Pre-Convention[18]April 20, 2012$34,946.89$81,816.79$(77,588.81)$39,174.87
July Quarterly[19]July 13, 2012$39,174.87$374,870.12$(136,864.11)$277,180.88
Running totals
$456,686.91$(214,452.92)

Impact of redistricting

See also:Redistricting in Utah

Utah wasredistricted following the 2010 Census and received a fourth Congressional seat.

Because the redistricting split the 2nd District represented byJim Matheson (D), Matheson declared he would run for the newly created 4th District.[20][4]

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also:FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Utah's 4th District became less Republican because of redistricting.[21]

  • 2012: 39D / 61R
  • 2010: 37D / 63R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also:Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012,Cook Political Report released its updated figures on thePartisan Voter Index, which measured each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country.Utah's 4th Congressional District had a PVI of R+14, which was the 59th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won byJohn McCain (R), 58-42 percent overBarack Obama (D). In 2004,George W. Bush (R) won the district 68-32 percent overJohn Kerry (D).[22]

See also

Footnotes

  1. Washington Post, "Republican Mia Love concedes to Democrat Jim Matheson in Utah," November 7, 2012
  2. Utah Lieutenant Governor, "Voting Registration Deadlines," accessed July 6, 2012
  3. Utah Redistricting Map, "Map" accessed July 24, 2012
  4. 4.04.14.24.34.4Deseret News "Rep. Jim Matheson jumps to 4th Congressional District for re-election," accessed December 16, 2011
  5. 5.05.15.25.35.4Utah Lieutenant Governor's Office: Elections "2012 Candidate Filings," accessed March 16, 2012
  6. Daily Kos, "Libertarians provided the margin for Democrats and at least nine elections," November 15, 2012
  7. NRCC "Young Guns 2012"
  8. New York Times, "House Race Ratings," accessed August 10, 2012
  9. Brennan Center for Justice, "Election Spending 2012: 25 Toss-Up House Races," October 22, 2012
  10. The Cook Political Report, "House: Race Ratings," updated October 18, 2012
  11. Utah Democratic Party, "2012 U.S. House candidates," accessed May 27, 2012
  12. 12.012.112.2Utah Lt. Gov. Office: Elections, "2012 Candidate Filings," accessed May 27, 2012
  13. UtahGOP "Election Results: Utah Congressional District 4," April 21, 2012
  14. KUTV "Oversampling Causes Flawed Poll Numbers," November 6, 2012
  15. The New York Times, "Outside Spending in Key House Races," October 25, 2012
  16. Federal Election Commission, "Matheson for Congress Pre-Convention," accessed July 13, 2012
  17. Federal Election Commission, "Matheson for Congress July Quarterly," accessed July 20, 2012
  18. Federal Election Commission, "Friends of Mia Love Pre-Convention," accessed July 14, 2012
  19. Federal Election Commission, "Friends of Mia Love July Quarterly," accessed July 14, 2012
  20. Salt Lake Tribune, "Redistricting fallout: Matheson looks at other districts," accessed December 4, 2011
  21. "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Utah," September 2012
  22. Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
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