United States Senate election in Montana, 2024
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| U.S. Senate, Montana |
|---|
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: March 11, 2024 |
| Primary: June 4, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Montana |
| Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Likely Republican Inside Elections: Tilt Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate •1st •2nd Montana elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
Tim Sheehy (R) defeated incumbent Sen.Jon Tester (D) in thegeneral election for Montana's U.S. Senate seat on November 5, 2024.[1] Tester was one of three incumbents who lost their re-election campaigns to theU.S. Senate in 2024. Additionally, this was one of five seats that changed partisan control due to the 2024 U.S. Senate elections.
Open Secrets' Lydia McFarlane said the election would be one of the most competitive in 2024 because of the "deep red nature of Montana's electorate. Former president Donald Trump won the state by 16 percentage points in the 2020 election. Tester is currently the only Democrat holding statewide office in Montana, with Republicans controlling the state legislature and governor's office."[2] Tester was first elected to the Senate in 2006, and was re-elected in 2012 and 2018.
Four major election forecasters differed in theirratings for the general election, with three rating it Lean Republican and one rating it Tilt Republican.
Tester received a bachelor’s degree from the University of Great Falls. Before running for political office, Tester worked for his family's farm, as a music teacher, and served on the Big Sandy School Board.[3] Tester served in theMontana Senate from 1998 to 2006 and was Senate president from 2005 to 2006.[3]
Tester said, "It’s important that we have a voice that represents rural America back there in Washington, D.C., and that's why I'm running."[4] Tester said he would defend Medicare and Social Security, expand veterans clinics, and invest in rural hospitals and schools.[5][6]
Sheehy received a bachelor's degree from the U.S. Naval Academy. Sheehy served in the U.S. Navy as a SEAL officer and team leader and worked as a CEO and founder of Ascent Vision Technologies and Bridger Aerospace.[7]
At the Republican National Convention in July, Sheehy said, "I’m running for the United States Senate in Montana to bring back accountability to our government and beat John Tester, the liberal Washington politician who votes with Biden and Kamala every single time it matters."[8] Sheehy said he would oppose policies that transfer public lands to the federal government, increase America’s energy independence, increase border security, protect gun ownership, and increase fiscal responsibility.[9]
Based on Q2 2024 reports filed with the Federal Election Commission, Tester raised $43.78 million and spent $33.37 million, and Sheehy raised $14.07 million and spent $10.80 million. To review all the campaign finance figures in full detail, clickhere.
Michael Downey (Green Party) andSid Daoud (L) ran in the November general election. Daoud completedBallotpedia's Candidate Connection Survey. Clickhere to read Daoud's responses.For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- United States Senate election in Montana, 2024 (June 4 Democratic primary)
- United States Senate election in Montana, 2024 (June 4 Republican primary)
Election news
This section includes a timeline of events leading up to the election.
- July 10, 2024: Remington Research Group released apoll sponsored by American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers, a partisan sponsor for the Republican Party, of 570 likely voters showing Sheehy at 50% and Tester at 45%. The margin of error was ±3.1 percentage points.[10]
- June 28, 2024: Torchlight Strategies released apoll sponsored by Common Sense for America PAC, a partisan sponsor for the Republican Party, of 649 registered voters showing Sheehy at 47% and Tester at 41%. The margin of error was ±3.9 percentage points.[11]
- June 13, 2024: Public Opinion Strategies released apoll sponsored by the Montana Republican Party of 500 likely voters showing Tester and Sheehy tied at 46%. The margin of error was ±4.4 percentage points.[12]
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Montana
Tim Sheehy defeated incumbentJon Tester,Sid Daoud, andRobert Barb in the general election for U.S. Senate Montana on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Tim Sheehy (R) | 52.6 | 319,682 | |
| Jon Tester (D) | 45.5 | 276,305 | ||
Sid Daoud (L) ![]() | 1.2 | 7,272 | ||
| Robert Barb (G) | 0.7 | 4,003 | ||
Incumbents arebolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source | Total votes: 607,262 | |||
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Michael Downey (G)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Montana
IncumbentJon Tester defeatedMichael Hummert in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Montana on June 4, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Jon Tester | 97.0 | 104,279 | |
| Michael Hummert | 3.0 | 3,272 | ||
Incumbents arebolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source | Total votes: 107,551 | |||
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Montana
Tim Sheehy defeatedBrad Johnson andCharles A. Walking Child in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Montana on June 4, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Tim Sheehy | 73.6 | 139,857 | |
| Brad Johnson | 19.4 | 36,926 | ||
Charles A. Walking Child ![]() | 7.0 | 13,229 | ||
There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source | Total votes: 190,012 | |||
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Thomas Madigan (R)
- Matt Rosendale (R)
- Jeremy Mygland (R)
Green primary election
Green primary for U.S. Senate Montana
Michael Downey defeatedRobert Barb in the Green primary for U.S. Senate Montana on June 4, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Michael Downey | 62.4 | 679 | |
| Robert Barb | 37.6 | 410 | ||
There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source | Total votes: 1,089 | |||
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team. | ||||
Libertarian primary election
The Libertarian primary election was canceled.Sid Daoud advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. Senate Montana.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Devin Braaten (L)
Voting information
- See also:Voting in Montana
Election information inMontana: Nov. 5, 2024, election.
What was the voter registration deadline?
- In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
- By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 7, 2024
- Online: N/A
Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?
What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?
- In-person: Nov. 4, 2024
- By mail: N/A by N/A
- Online: N/A
What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?
- In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
- By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024
Was early voting available to all voters?
What were the early voting start and end dates?
Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?
When were polls open on Election Day?
Candidate comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completedBallotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, clickhere.
Party:Democratic Party
Incumbent: Yes
Political Office:
- United States Senate (Assumed office: 2006)
- Montana Senate (1996-2006)
- Big Sandy School Board (1983-1992)
Biography: Tester received a bachelor's degree from the College of Great Falls. Tester worked as an elementary school music teacher.
Key Messages
The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages,click here.
Tester's website said he would stand up to outside influencers and work to prevent corruption. It said, "Jon is relentless in standing up to outsiders who are hell-bent on changing our way of life by buying Montana for themselves and driving up the cost to live here. There are those who want to change Montana—but Jon will always stand tough by fighting corruption in Washington and taking on anyone, no matter how powerful, to do what’s right for us just like he always has."
Tester's website said he would continue to support policies he believed benefited rural communities in Montana. It said, "He is a fierce defender of Medicare and Social Security, a tireless advocate for veterans, and will never stop fighting to improve our schools, tackle rising costs, and invest in rural America."
Tester's website said he would continue to work with members of both parties in Congress. It said, "Jon has worked with Republicans to get things done, and he’ll stand up to both parties to do what’s right for Montana. It’s why Jon is ranked one of the most effective senators in Washington – of either party – and has gotten more bills signed into law than any other member of Congress this year."
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Montana in 2024.
Party:Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: Sheehy received a bachelor's degree from the U.S. Naval Academy. He served in the U.S. Navy as a SEAL officer and team leader and worked as a CEO and founder of Ascent Vision Technologies and Bridger Aerospace.
Key Messages
The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages,click here.
On energy production, Sheehy's website said he supported repealing Environmental Protection Agency regulations he believed increase energy prices. It said, "We are blessed here with abundant coal, minerals, timber and grasslands – let’s make sure Montana producers come first. We should be able to responsibly develop those resources here at home to create more high-paying jobs, lower energy costs, and support our communities, all while protecting the environment."
On immigration, Sheehy's campaign website said, "The result of an open southern border is more crime and drugs flooding into our country and into our Montana communities. We need to take a strong stand and secure our border, finish the wall, and finally put an end to illegal immigration once and for all."
Sheehy's website said he would support reducing government spending. Sheehy said, "I’m committed to ensuring that politicians who fail to pass a balanced budget don’t get paid because our country’s economic security should never be jeopardized for the sake of politics. You are not allowed to run your business that way, and they shouldn’t be allowed to run our nation that way."
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Montana in 2024.
Party:Libertarian Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I’m a Montanan with a rich family history, representing two American dreams. On my mother’s side, the dream of early settlers in territorial Montana, and on my father’s, that of Armenian immigrants, coming to America to work hard and make a new life.I was born and raised in Great Falls, proudly served my country in the US Army for 13 years, married my high school sweetheart and raised three great kids.In 2006, we settled our family in the Flathead Valley, where we had the opportunity to enjoy the outdoors, send our kids to great schools, and make friends with wonderful people who come from many different social and political perspectives. I’ve had a long, thriving career, working in Information Technology for large enterprise operations and as a private consultant. I’ve volunteered with many outstanding organizations, such as Kalispell’s Cancer Support Community and Habitat for Humanity to deepen my connections in the Valley and give back to the community I love.In 2016, I became more interested in local politics. Leaning on the values I was raised with, I wanted to make an impact locally! The United States Constitution and its Bill of Rights forms the core of my principals. Any issue I consider has to pass through the crucible of enhancing individual rights or support for the community free market.With the troubling rise of pointless infighting and corruption found in politics and government, I have come to realize that I can no longer wait for someone else"
![]()
Key Messages
To read this candidate's full survey responses,click here.
Inflation and the National Debt We urgently need to address Inflation and the National Debt. Americans are in dire straights under the current inflation and the stress on our economy due to the enormous national debt. Without immediate steps to reduce both, we are dooming our younger and future generations. I will fight to make congress pass a budget, one that reduces spending and starts to pay off the debt.
Unconstitutional Wars Our nation can no longer afford all the unconstitutional wars, police actions and worldwide troop deployments. I will fight to return us to the constitutional inclusion of the people, through their representatives, when determining when our troops are put in harm’s way. I will fight to remove the war pigs from Washington.
A voice of reason The leadership of the two big parties concentrate on investigating and indicting each other, leaving little time to take care of our great nation. Leadership of both parties address an agreed upon uni-party agenda and have left their membership behind. We of the rational middle need to take back our country, disband the uni-party and return to the Constitution. I will be a moderator, bringing both sides to the table to find solutions for America.
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Montana in 2024.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completedBallotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
Expand all |Collapse all
Sid Daoud (L)
We urgently need to address Inflation and the National Debt. Americans are in dire straights under the current inflation and the stress on our economy due to the enormous national debt. Without immediate steps to reduce both, we are dooming our younger and future generations. I will fight to make congress pass a budget, one that reduces spending and starts to pay off the debt.
Unconstitutional Wars
Our nation can no longer afford all the unconstitutional wars, police actions and worldwide troop deployments. I will fight to return us to the constitutional inclusion of the people, through their representatives, when determining when our troops are put in harm’s way. I will fight to remove the war pigs from Washington.
A voice of reason
Sid Daoud (L)
Sid Daoud (L)
Sid Daoud (L)
Sid Daoud (L)
Sid Daoud (L)
Sid Daoud (L)
Sid Daoud (L)
Campaign ads
Jon Tester
Tim Sheehy
Debates and forums
This section includes links to debates, forums, and other similar events where multiple candidates in this race participated. If you are aware of any debates or forums that should be included, pleaseemail us.
June 9 debate
On June 9, 2024, Sheehy and Tester participated in a debate hosted by the Montana Broadcasters Association at the Fairmont Hot Springs Resort in Anaconda, Montana.
Click on the links below for summaries of the event:
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, pleaseclick here.
| General election endorsements | ||
|---|---|---|
| Endorser | Jon Tester | Tim Sheehy |
| Government officials | ||
| Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) source | ✔ | |
| Gov. Kristi L. Noem (R) source | ✔ | |
| State Sen. Terry Vermeire (R) source | ✔ | |
| Individuals | ||
| Fmr. Secretary of State, Montana Bob Brown source | ✔ | |
| Fmr. State Rep. Mallerie Stromswold source | ✔ | |
| Former President Donald Trump source | ✔ | |
| Organizations | ||
| Democratic Majority for Israel PAC source | ✔ | |
| Montana Rural Voters source | ✔ | |
| Montana Sportsmen Alliance source | ✔ | |
| National Committee To Preserve Social Security & Medicare PAC source | ✔ | |
| National Rifle Association source | ✔ | |
Election competitiveness
Polls
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and havemargins of error orcredibility intervals.[13] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[14] For tips on reading polls fromFiveThirtyEight,click here. For tips from Pew,click here.
Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation fromFiveThirtyEight andRealClearPolitics, when available.Click here to read aboutFiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.
| U.S. Senate election in Montana, 2024: general election polls | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Date | Tester | Sheehy | Daoud | Downey | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size[15] | Sponsor[16] |
| Remington Research Group | June 29-July 1, 2024 | 45% | 50% | — | — | 5% | ± 3.1 | 570 | American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers |
| Torchlight Strategies | June 22-26, 2024 | 41% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 9% | ± 3.9 | 649 | Common Sense for America (PAC) |
| Public Opinion Strategies | June 11-13, 2024 | 46% | 46% | 2% | 2% | 8% | ± 4.4 | 500 | Montana Republican Party |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | June 3-5, 2024 | 48% | 48% | — | — | 4% | ± 4.4 | 500 | More Jobs, Less Government (super PAC) |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | June 3-5, 2024 | 43% | 46% | 4% | — | 7% | ± 4.4 | 500 | More Jobs, Less Government (super PAC) |
General election race ratings
- See also:Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets:The Cook Political Report,Inside Elections,Sabato's Crystal Ball, andDDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe andSolid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[17]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[18][19][20]
| Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Montana, 2024 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
| Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Likely Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Likely Republican | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Election spending
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Tester | Democratic Party | $98,066,476 | $97,781,426 | $765,624 | As of December 31, 2024 |
| Michael Hummert | Democratic Party | $7,230 | $6,485 | $745 | As of December 31, 2024 |
| Brad Johnson | Republican Party | $38,786 | $35,694 | $3,092 | As of March 31, 2024 |
| Tim Sheehy | Republican Party | $30,010,525 | $28,624,278 | $1,386,246 | As of December 31, 2024 |
| Charles A. Walking Child | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Robert Barb | Green Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Michael Downey | Green Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Sid Daoud | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source:Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). *According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." | |||||
As of Oct. 28, 2024, the two major party candidates had the third largest difference in terms of total money raised between major party Senate candidates and the fifth largest difference in terms of total spending.Click here to learn more.
Satellite spending
- See also:Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees,super PACs, trade associations, and501(c)(4)nonprofit groups.[21][22]
If available, satellite spending reports by theFederal Election Commission (FEC) andOpenSecrets.org are linked below. FEC links include totals from monthly, quarterly, and semi-annual reports. OpenSecrets.org compiles data from those reports as well as 24- and 48-hour reports from the FEC.[23]
Details about satellite spending of significant amounts and/or reported by media are included below those links. The amounts listed may not represent the total satellite spending in the election. To notify us of additional satellite spending,email us.
| By candidate | By election |
|---|---|
Noteworthy events
Rosendale announces campaign, drops out (2024)
On February 9, 2024, U.S. Rep. Matt Rosendale (R-Mont.) announced he would run for Senate, saying “We’ve made great accomplishments in the House, only to see them die at the hands of Mitch McConnell and Chuck Schumer in the Senate. Montanans want a Senator that fights for WE, THE PEOPLE, not the D.C. Cartel” in a tweet announcing his candidacy.”[24]
Rosendale withdrew from the race days later, on February 15, 2024, saying “By my calculations, with Trump endorsing my opponent and the lack of resources, the hill was just too steep.”[25]
Shortly after Rosendale announced his candidacy for Senate, Trump endorsed candidateTim Sheehy (R), a business owner and former Navy SEAL who announced his candidacy for Senate in 2023. In a post on Truth Social announcing his endorsement, Trump said “Tim is the candidate who is currently best-positioned to DEFEAT Lazy Jon Tester, and Regain the Republican Majority in the United States Senate. Tim is a Political Outsider, Strong on the Border, the Military/Vets, and our constantly under siege Second Amendment.”[26]
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
- Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
- State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
Cook PVI by congressional district
| Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Montana, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
| Montana's 1st | Ryan Zinke | Republican | R+6 |
| Montana's 2nd | Matt Rosendale | Republican | R+16 |
2020 presidential results by 2024 congressional district lines
| 2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2024 district lines, Montana[27] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Joe Biden![]() | Donald Trump![]() | ||
| Montana's 1st | 45.3% | 52.2% | ||
| Montana's 2nd | 35.3% | 62.2% | ||
2012-2020
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections:Solid,Trending,Battleground, andNew. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
| County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
| Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
| Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
| New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
| Republican | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
| Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
| Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
| New Republican | D | D | R | ||||
Following the 2020 presidential election,68.4% of Montanans lived in one of the state's47 Solid Republican counties, which voted for the Republican presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and17.5% lived in one offive Solid Democratic counties. Overall, Montana wasSolid Republican, having voted forMitt Romney (R) in 2012,Donald Trump (R) in 2016, andDonald Trump (R) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Montana following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.
| Montana county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solid Republican | 47 | 68.4% | |||||
| Solid Democratic | 5 | 17.5% | |||||
| Trending Democratic | 1 | 11.0% | |||||
| Trending Republican | 2 | 2.5% | |||||
| Battleground Democratic | 1 | 0.6% | |||||
| Total voted Democratic | 7 | 29.1% | |||||
| Total voted Republican | 49 | 70.9% | |||||
Historical voting trends
Montana presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 10Democratic wins
- 21Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
U.S. Senate elections
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Montana.
| U.S. Senate election results in Montana | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Winner | Runner up |
| 2020 | 55.0%![]() | 45.0%![]() |
| 2018 | 50.3%![]() | 46.8%![]() |
| 2014 | 57.8%![]() | 40.1%![]() |
| 2012 | 48.6%![]() | 44.9%![]() |
| 2008 | 72.9%![]() | 27.1%![]() |
| Average | 56.9 | 40.8 |
Gubernatorial elections
- See also:Governor of Montana
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Montana.
| Gubernatorial election results in Montana | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Winner | Runner up |
| 2020 | 54.4%![]() | 40.7%![]() |
| 2016 | 50.2%![]() | 48.3%![]() |
| 2012 | 48.9%![]() | 47.3%![]() |
| 2008 | 65.5%![]() | 32.5%![]() |
| 2004 | 50.4%![]() | 46.0%![]() |
| Average | 53.9 | 43.0 |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Montana's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Montana | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 2 | 4 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Montana's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
| State executive officials in Montana, May 2024 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Greg Gianforte |
| Lieutenant Governor | Kristen Juras |
| Secretary of State | Christi Jacobsen |
| Attorney General | Austin Knudsen |
State legislature
Montana State Senate
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 16 | |
| Republican Party | 34 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 50 | |
Montana House of Representatives
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 32 | |
| Republican Party | 68 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 100 | |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Montana Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas • Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
The table below details demographic data in Montana and compares it to the broader United States as of 2022.
| Demographic Data for Montana | ||
|---|---|---|
| Montana | United States | |
| Population | 1,084,225 | 331,449,281 |
| Land area (sq mi) | 145,549 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White | 86.4% | 65.9% |
| Black/African American | 0.6% | 12.5% |
| Asian | 0.8% | 5.8% |
| Native American | 5.8% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Other (single race) | 1.1% | 6% |
| Multiple | 5.2% | 8.8% |
| Hispanic/Latino | 4.2% | 18.7% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate | 94.5% | 89.1% |
| College graduation rate | 34% | 34.3% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income | $66,341 | $75,149 |
| Persons below poverty level | 7.3% | 8.8% |
| Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau,"Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau,"American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2017-2022). | ||
| **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the censushere. | ||
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Montana in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Montana, clickhere.
| Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2024 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Signature formula | Filing fee | Filing fee formula | Filing deadline | Source |
| Montana | U.S. Senate | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | N/A | $1,740.00 | 1% of annual salary | 3/11/2024 | Source |
| Montana | U.S. Senate | Unaffiliated | 12,694 | 5% of total votes cast for successful candidate in the last general election | $1,740.00 | 1% of annual salary | 6/3/2024 | Source |
Election history
The section below details election results for this state's U.S. Senate elections dating back to 2014.
2020
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Montana
IncumbentSteve Daines defeatedSteve Bullock in the general election for U.S. Senate Montana on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Steve Daines (R) | 55.0 | 333,174 | |
| Steve Bullock (D) | 45.0 | 272,463 | ||
Incumbents arebolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source | Total votes: 605,637 | |||
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Montana
Steve Bullock defeatedJohn Mues andMike Knoles (Unofficially withdrew) in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Montana on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Steve Bullock | 95.5 | 144,949 | |
| John Mues | 2.5 | 3,740 | ||
Mike Knoles (Unofficially withdrew) ![]() | 2.1 | 3,165 | ||
There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source | Total votes: 151,854 | |||
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jack Ballard (D)
- Josh Seckinger (D)
- Wilmot Collins (D)
- Cora Neumann (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Montana
IncumbentSteve Daines defeatedJohn B. Driscoll andDaniel Larson in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Montana on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Steve Daines | 88.0 | 192,942 | |
John B. Driscoll ![]() | 6.4 | 13,944 | ||
| Daniel Larson | 5.6 | 12,319 | ||
Incumbents arebolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source | Total votes: 219,205 | |||
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team. | ||||
Watch theCandidate Conversation for this race!
Green primary election
Green primary for U.S. Senate Montana
Wendie Fredrickson defeatedDennis Daneke in the Green primary for U.S. Senate Montana on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Wendie Fredrickson | 66.4 | 504 | |
| Dennis Daneke | 33.6 | 255 | ||
There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source | Total votes: 759 | |||
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team. | ||||
Libertarian primary election
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Susan Good-Geise (L)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Montana
IncumbentJon Tester defeatedMatt Rosendale andRick Breckenridge in the general election for U.S. Senate Montana on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Jon Tester (D) | 50.3 | 253,876 | |
| Matt Rosendale (R) | 46.8 | 235,963 | ||
| Rick Breckenridge (L) | 2.9 | 14,545 | ||
Incumbents arebolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source | Total votes: 504,384 (100.00% precincts reporting) | |||
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Steve Kelly (G)
2014
On November 4, 2014,Steve Daines (R) won election to theUnited States Senate. He defeatedAmanda Curtis (D) andRoger Roots (L) in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 57.8% | 213,709 | ||
| Democratic | Amanda Curtis | 40.1% | 148,184 | |
| Libertarian | Roger Roots | 2.1% | 7,933 | |
| Total Votes | 369,826 | |||
| Source:Montana Secretary of State | ||||
Democratic-held Senate seat in state Trump won
This was one of two Senate seats Democrats were defending in statesDonald Trump (R) won in the2020 presidential election:
- Montana: IncumbentJon Tester (D) ran for a fourth term. Trump won Montana by 16 points in2020.
- Ohio: IncumbentSherrod Brown (D) ran for a fourth term. Trump won Ohio by 8 points in2020.
- West Virginia: IncumbentJoe Manchin (D) did not run for re-election. Trump won West Virginia by 39 points in2020.
Republicans were not defending any Senate seats in statesJoe Biden (D) won in 2020.
2024 battleground elections
- See also:Battlegrounds
This was abattleground election. Other 2024 battleground elections included:
- California's 31st Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 top-two primary)
- Mayoral election in Baltimore, Maryland, 2024 (May 14 Democratic primary)
- United States Senate election in Utah, 2024 (June 25 Republican primary)
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑The New York Times, "Montana U.S. Senate Election Results," accessed November 6, 2024
- ↑Open Secrets, "Montana’s competitive – and expensive – 2024 Senate race," February 29, 2024
- ↑3.03.1Jon Tester, "About Jon," accessed July 23, 2024
- ↑Youtube, "One year ago, I launched this campaign to keep defending Montana. Let's win this thing," February 22, 2024
- ↑Jon Tester U.S. Senate, "Meet Jon," accessed July 23, 2024
- ↑Youtube, "Big Sandy," November 7, 2023
- ↑LinkedIn, "Tim Sheehy," accessed July 23, 2024
- ↑USA Today, "Tim Sheehy, Montana Senate candidate, gives remarks at the Republican National Convention," July 16, 2024
- ↑Tim Sheehy U.S. Senate, "On the Issues," accessed July 23, 2024
- ↑American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, "https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2024/07/10/2911469/31640/en/Polling-shows-likely-voters-nationally-and-in-battleground-states-solidly-oppose-Biden-Harris-gas-car-ban-and-consider-the-issue-important-for-2024.html," July 10, 2024
- ↑Twitter, "MONTANA GE: Torchlight Strategies for Common Sense for America PAC (R)," June 28, 2024
- ↑Public Opinion Strategies, "Montana Statewide Poll," June 13, 2024
- ↑For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from theAmerican Association for Public Opinion Research andIpsos.
- ↑Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
- ↑RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters - ↑The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
- ↑Inside Electionsalso usesTiltratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑Amee LaTour, Email correspondence with the Center for Responsive Politics, August 5, 2022
- ↑Twitter, "Matt Rosendale," accessed February 16, 2024
- ↑Politico, "Rosendale drops Montana Senate bid — after less than a week," accessed February 16, 2024
- ↑Truth Social, "Donald J. Trump," accessed February 16, 2024
- ↑Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed December 15, 2023






