Michigan 2024 elections U.S. Senate • U.S. House • State executive offices • State House • Special state legislative • Supreme court • Appellate courts • Local ballot measures • School boards • Municipal • Recalls • All other local • How to run for office

2026→ ←2020
U.S. Senate, Michigan
Democratic primary Republican primary General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 23, 2024
Primary: August 6, 2024 General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Michigan
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss-up DDHQ and The Hill: Lean Democratic Inside Elections: Tilt Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
U.S. Senate, Michigan U.S. Senate •1st •2nd •3rd •4th •5th •6th •7th •8th •9th •10th •11th •12th •13th Michigan elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 Arizona U.S. Senate raceCalifornia U.S. Senate raceConnecticut U.S. Senate raceDelaware U.S. Senate raceFlorida U.S. Senate raceHawaii U.S. Senate raceIndiana U.S. Senate raceMaine U.S. Senate raceMaryland U.S. Senate raceMassachusetts U.S. Senate raceMichigan U.S. Senate raceMinnesota U.S. Senate raceMississippi U.S. Senate raceMissouri U.S. Senate raceMontana U.S. Senate raceNebraska U.S. Senate raceNevada U.S. Senate raceNew Jersey U.S. Senate raceNew Mexico U.S. Senate raceNew York U.S. Senate raceNorth Dakota U.S. Senate raceOhio U.S. Senate racePennsylvania U.S. Senate raceRhode Island U.S. Senate raceTennessee U.S. Senate raceTexas U.S. Senate raceUtah U.S. Senate raceVermont U.S. Senate raceVirginia U.S. Senate raceWashington U.S. Senate raceWest Virginia U.S. Senate raceWisconsin U.S. Senate raceWyoming U.S. Senate raceSubmit

Elissa Slotkin (D) defeatedMike Rogers (R) and four others in the general election for U.S. Senate in Michigan on November 5, 2024.^[1][2]

IncumbentDebbie Stabenow (D), who was first elected in 2000, did not run for re-election. TheDetroit Free Press' Todd Spangler said, "The last time a Senate seat was open in Michigan was in 2014. Republicans sense a chance to win this year but if they do, it will mark the first time since 1994 a Democrat has lost a U.S. Senate race in the state."^[3]

Slotkin was elected to the U.S. House in2018. Her professional experience included working as a Middle East analyst with theCentral Intelligence Agency (CIA), the director for Iraq with the National Security Council, and the senior advisor on Middle East transition with the Office of the Undersecretary of Defense for Policy.^[4] Slotkin said she ran because "We need a new generation of leaders that thinks differently, works harder, and never forgets that we are public servants first."^[5] According to third quarterreports submitted to the FEC, Slotkin raised $45.8 million and spent $44.3 million.

Rogers representedMichigan's 8th Congressional District from 2001 to 2015. His professional experience included working as a special agent with theFederal Bureau of Investigation (FBI).^[6] He also worked in talk radio and cybersecurity.^[7] Rogers said he ran because of the state of the government. He said, "I thought I put politics behind me. But like you, I know something’s broken."^[8] Rogers also said his experience in the U.S. House would help him in the Senate. "No candidate is better prepared to have an impact on day one," Rogers said.^[8] According to third quarterreports submitted to the FEC, Rogers raised $10.7 million and spent $8.8 million.

Douglas Marsh (Green),Joseph Solis-Mullen (Libertarian),Doug Dern (Natural Law), andDave Stein (U.S. Taxpayers) also ran.

Before the election, four major election forecasters differed in theirratings for the general election, with two rating it a toss-up, one rating itTilt Democratic, and one rating itLean Democratic.

The last U.S. Senate election in Michigan was held in2020. That year, incumbentGary Peters (D) defeatedJohn James (R) by 1.7 percentage points.

This election was one of 12battleground elections Ballotpedia watched in 2024. For more on those races,click here.

The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of theU.S. Senate in the119th Congress. Thirty-four of 100 seats were up for election, including one special election. Of the seats up for election in 2024, Democrats held 19, Republicans held 11, and independents held four.

At the time of the election, Democrats had a 50-49 majority.^[9] As a result of the election, Republicans gained a 53-47 majority in the U.S. Senate.Cite error: Closing</ref> missing for<ref> tag To read more about the 2024 U.S. Senate elections, click here.

This was one of eight open races for the U.S. Senate in 2024 where anincumbent did not run for re-election. Across the country, four Democrats, two Republicans, and two independents did not run for re-election, more than in any year since 2012. In2022, six senators did not seek re-election, including one Democrat and five Republicans.

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

• United States Senate election in Michigan, 2024 (August 6 Democratic primary)
• United States Senate election in Michigan, 2024 (August 6 Republican primary)

Election news

This section includes a timeline of events leading up to the election.

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. Senate Michigan

The following candidates ran in the general election for U.S. Senate Michigan on November 5, 2024.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Elissa Slotkin (D)	48.6	2,712,686
		Mike Rogers (R)	48.3	2,693,680
		Joseph Solis-Mullen (L)	1.0	56,697
		Douglas P. Marsh (G)	1.0	53,978
		Dave Stein (U.S. Taxpayers Party)	0.7	41,363
		Doug Dern (Natural Law Party)	0.3	18,779
		Valerie Willis (U.S. Taxpayers Party) (Write-in)	0.0	2
	Submit photo	James Chapman (R) (Write-in)	0.0	1
		Other/Write-in votes	0.0	4

---

	There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 5,577,190
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• James Frizzell (Independent)

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Michigan

Elissa Slotkin defeatedHill Harper in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Michigan on August 6, 2024.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Elissa Slotkin	76.3	712,791
		Hill Harper	23.7	221,053

---

	There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 933,844
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Pamela Pugh (D)
• Nasser Beydoun (D)
• Leslie Love (D)
• Zack Burns (D)

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. Senate Michigan

Mike Rogers defeatedJustin Amash,Sherry O'Donnell, andSandy Pensler in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Michigan on August 6, 2024.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Mike Rogers	63.2	555,766
		Justin Amash	15.6	137,565
		Sherry O'Donnell	12.1	106,466
		Sandy Pensler	9.1	79,772

---

	There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 879,569
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• J.D. Wilson (R)
• Sharon Savage (R)
• Michael Hoover (R)
• Bensson Samuel (R)
• Alexandria Taylor (R)
• Peter Meijer (R)
• James Craig (R)
• Nikki Snyder (R)
• Rebekah Curran (R)
• Glenn Wilson (R)

Green convention

Green convention for U.S. Senate Michigan

Douglas P. Marsh advanced from the Green convention for U.S. Senate Michigan on June 15, 2024.

		Candidate
✔		Douglas P. Marsh (G)

---

	There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source 1 Source 2
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. Senate Michigan

Joseph Solis-Mullen advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. Senate Michigan on July 20, 2024.

		Candidate
✔		Joseph Solis-Mullen (L)

---

	There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified.
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Natural Law Party convention

Natural Law Party convention for U.S. Senate Michigan

Doug Dern advanced from the Natural Law Party convention for U.S. Senate Michigan on April 17, 2024.

		Candidate
✔		Doug Dern (Natural Law Party)

---

	There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified.
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

U.S. Taxpayers Party convention

U.S. Taxpayers Party convention for U.S. Senate Michigan

Dave Stein advanced from the U.S. Taxpayers Party convention for U.S. Senate Michigan on July 27, 2024.

		Candidate
✔		Dave Stein (U.S. Taxpayers Party)

---

	There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified.
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Recount laws in Michigan

Automatic recount procedures

Automatic recounts are required if the vote differential between the two candidates is .1% or less for statewide elections, 75 votes or less for state senate elections, and 25 votes or less for state house elections.^[12]

The deadline to complete a recount is no later than 20 days (primary) or 30 days (general) immediately following the last day to file counter petitions.^[13]

This provision does not apply to presidential primary elections.^[14]

Requested recount procedures

A candidate can request a recount if they believe "but for error, a different candidate would have been elected" and all of the following conditions are met:^[15]

1. The candidate ran for one of the following offices: president and vice president, state executive (e.g., governor), U.S. Senate, U.S. House, circuit judges, state senate and state representative.
2. The request "alleges that the candidate is aggrieved on account of error in the canvass or returns of the votes." A requester is considered aggrieved if they are "able to allege a good-faith belief that, but for error in the canvass or returns of the votes, the candidate would have had a reasonable chance of winning the election."^[16] The candidate must file the recount petition in good faith and the number of votes requested to be recounted must be "greater than the difference in votes between the petitioning candidate and the winning candidate."
3. The petition for a recount is filed not later than 5 p.m. of the second day after the state canvass.
4. The petition is filed with the secretary of state.
5. The petition is written or printed and is signed and sworn to by the candidate.
6. The petition uses a prescribed form.

Additionally, if a state Senate race is determined by 500 votes or fewer or a state House race is determined by 200 votes or fewer, a state party chair may request a recount following the requirements described above.^[15] A ballot committee may also request recounts for ballot measures following the requirements above. If no ballot committee participated in the election, any voter who participated in the election may file a recount petition meeting the requirements outlined above.^[17]

The requester is responsible for costs associated with the recount unless the recount changes the election outcome, in which case the costs are refunded. If during the course of a recount, a precinct is deemed not recountable or is not recounted due to the withdrawal of the request, the costs paid by the requester to recount that precinct are refunded.^[18]State law specifies the exact fee paid by a requester depending on vote margin.

The deadline to complete a recount is no later than 20 days (primary) or 30 days (general) immediately following the last day to file counter petitions.^[19] If a recount involves the office of president and vice president, the recount must be completed and certified before 3 p.m. on the sixth day before the meeting of the state's presidential electors. If the recount cannot be completed by that date due to a government-declared emergency or court order, it must be completed as soon as possible but not later than 11:59 p.m. on the second day before the meeting of the state's presidential electors.Cite error: The opening<ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name

For more information about recount procedures in Michigan,click here.

Voting information

See also:Voting in Michigan

Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completedBallotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, clickhere.

Elissa Slotkin

Party:Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: United States House of Representatives, District 8 (Assumed office: 2019)

Biography:  Slotkin received a bachelor's from Cornell University and a master's from Columbia University. Her career experience includes working as a Middle East analyst with theCentral Intelligence Agency (CIA). She was also the senior advisor on Middle East transition with the Office of the Undersecretary of Defense for Policy.

---

Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages,click here.

---

On legal access to firearms, Slotkin "has supported no-brainer gun safety measures to keep our communities safe, including safe storage of firearms, universal background checks, red flag laws, and the assault weapons ban."

---

Regarding healthcare, Slotkin "believes all Americans should have access to healthcare they can afford, regardless of pre-existing conditions." She said in Congress, she "fought to pass laws that capped the cost of insulin for seniors, and allowed Medicare to negotiate for lower drug prices."

---

Slotkin said she "made defending and expanding voting rights, civil rights, LGBTQ rights, and women’s rights a priority in her time in public office."

---

On the political system, Slotkin said she "has led the charge to ban corporate PACs and pushed leaders in both parties to ban Members of Congress from trading stocks."

---

Show sources

Sources:Elissa Slotkin 2024 campaign website,"Priorities," accessed August 14, 2024; LinkedIn,"Elissa Slotkin on LinkedIn," accessed August 14, 2024

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Michigan in 2024.

Mike Rogers

Party:Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

• United States House of Representatives, District 8 (2001-2015)
• Michigan State Senate, District 26 (1995-2000)
  

Biography:  Rogers received a bachelor's degree from Adrian College. From 1985 to 1989, Rogers served in the United States Army. His professional experience included working as a special agent with theFederal Bureau of Investigation (FBI). He also worked in talk radio and cybersecurity.

---

Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages,click here.

---

On border security, Rogers said he would support "immediately reinstating the Trump administration's 'Remain in Mexico policy for asylum seeks, restarting the construction of physical barriers in places that make sense, hiring additional border protection personnel, and utilizing technology to locate illegal crossings."

---

Rogers said he would support stopping "the spending in Washington that drove up prices" and prioritizing "an all-of-the-above American energy policy that lowers gas prices and strengthens our hand with China."

---

Regarding supporting small businesses, Rogers said he would work to "get government out of the way so small businesses can thrive."

---

On public safety, Rogers said, "As a former FBI field agent who took down organized crime, I know we can restore faith and pride into our legal system and support our law enforcement by taking political agendas out of justice."

---

Show sources

Sources:Daily Caller, "Former Rep. Mike Rogers:Biden's Border Crisis Endangers All of Us," November 13, 2023;Mike Rogers campaign website, "Mike Rogers launches U.S. Senate campaign," September 6, 2023; The Detroit News, "Rogers: It's not too late to fix America," September 14, 2023; Mike Rogers campaign website, "Meet Mike," accessed June 30, 2024;Politico, "Former GOP Rep. Mike Rogers jumps into Michigan Senate race," September 6, 2023

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Michigan in 2024.

Douglas P. Marsh

Party:Green Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography:  "I'm a journalist, husband, and father who was born in 1984 in Traverse City. My first job was as a day laborer for the 1998 cherry harvest when I was 13.I kept working full-time in the summers and started working part-time as soon as I was able to drive a car. I worked in many industries, including restaurants, ski resorts, construction, landscaping, and in professional office environments.I earned my degree in philosophy at the University of Michigan in 2006. History and political theory were areas of particular focus and emphasis. Several years of intense policy and geopolitical analysis as a participant and then later a coach/judge in interscholastic competitive debate also were a big influence on my thinking. In 2013 I moved abroad and lectured at a university in Southeast Asia for five years. I married a woman from a humble farming family and we had twin girls in 2017. After losing one at the age of four months after a painful struggle with a major heart defect, we came to the United States as a family in 2018. My wife, then a green card holder, went on to achieve U.S. citizenship two and a half years later.In 2021 I entered the field of community journalism and took up volunteer firefighting the next year. My time in education, journalism, and volunteer efforts has been a process of learning how to act locally while thinking globally.I am interested in building people-power from below. This is a grassroots campaign with no PACs. I don't want $, I want change."

---

Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses,click here.

---

CEASEFIRE. Seek diplomatic solutions. Stop the flow of weapons and funds to conflict zones and end practices of proxy war and covert, undemocratic regime change

---

Single-payer healthcare - the insurance, pharma, and related profit-driven "sick-care" cartels must be stopped

---

Stop Line 5 and the Line 5 Tunnel - pivot to full investment in sustainable energy and infrastructure

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Michigan in 2024.

Joseph Solis-Mullen

Party:Libertarian Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography:  "Political Scientist, Economist, and Fellow at the Libertarian Institute, Professor of History at Spring Arbor University, Author, Husband, Father of Five."

---

Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses,click here.

---

End the Wars

---

End the Fed

---

Democrats and Republicans are just different wings of the statist establishment who don't care about you, your family, or your rights - even the country itself: only their own power.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Michigan in 2024.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completedBallotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Please list below 3 key messages of your campaign. What are the main points you want voters to remember about your goals for your time in office?

Douglas P. Marsh (G)

CEASEFIRE. Seek diplomatic solutions. Stop the flow of weapons and funds to conflict zones and end practices of proxy war and covert, undemocratic regime change

Single-payer healthcare - the insurance, pharma, and related profit-driven "sick-care" cartels must be stopped

Stop Line 5 and the Line 5 Tunnel - pivot to full investment in sustainable energy and infrastructure

Joseph Solis-Mullen (L)

End the Wars

End the Fed

Democrats and Republicans are just different wings of the statist establishment who don't care about you, your family, or your rights - even the country itself: only their own power.

What areas of public policy are you personally passionate about?

Douglas P. Marsh (G)

Wealth inequality, food and housing insecurity,

Joseph Solis-Mullen (L)

I write often about foreign policy, particularly China, and about the national debt, which is an outrage getting worse by the second.

Is there a book, essay, film, or something else you would recommend to someone who wants to understand your political philosophy?

Joseph Solis-Mullen (L)

Anatomy of the State

What qualities do you possess that you believe would make you a successful officeholder?

Joseph Solis-Mullen (L)

I don't want to be one.

What do you believe are the core responsibilities for someone elected to this office?

Douglas P. Marsh (G)

To represent the will of the people of Michigan in the legislature, and to be accountable to the working poor and the Green Party's 4 pillars and 10 key values.

What legacy would you like to leave?

Douglas P. Marsh (G)

A better life for my daughter

What is the first historical event that happened in your lifetime that you remember? How old were you at the time?

Douglas P. Marsh (G)

The end of the Cold War is a little fuzzy because I was only 5 but I recall the announcement of the development of the International Space Station two years later (and it's eventual launch and operation), and how it symbolized enormous changes in the world order

What are your thoughts on term limits?

Douglas P. Marsh (G)

They solve some problems (e.g., entrenched corruption) and create others (e.g., short-termism in governance)

What do you think of the filibuster?

Douglas P. Marsh (G)

It is obsolete.

Tell us your favorite joke.

Joseph Solis-Mullen (L)

The government is using your tax dollars well and is totally entitled to them.

What criteria would you apply when deciding whether to confirm presidential appointees to their Cabinet?

Douglas P. Marsh (G)

Objective assessment of their core competencies and close examination of who has given and is giving them money or gifts, who their closest associates are and have been.

What are your views on financial transparency and government accountability?

Douglas P. Marsh (G)

We need much more transparency and full accountability.

Campaign ads

Elissa Slotkin

View more ads here:

• Facebook

Mike Rogers

View more ads here:

• Facebook

Satellite ads

This section includes a selection of campaign advertisements released bysatellite groups. If you are aware of other satellite ads that should be included, pleaseemail us.

Great Lakes Conservatives Fund

National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC)

One Nation

Win Senate Super PAC

Debates and forums

This section includes links to debates, forums, and other similar events where multiple candidates in this race participated. If you are aware of any debates or forums that should be included, pleaseemail us.

October 14 debate

On October 14, Slotkin and Rogers participated in a debate hosted byWXYZ-TV.^[20]

• Click here to watch a recording of the event

Click on the links below for summaries of the event:

• Detroit Free Press
• WXYZ Detroit

October 8 debate

On October 8, Slotkin and Rogers participated in a debate hosted byWOOD-TV 8.^[21]

• Click here to watch a recording of the event

Click on the links below for summaries of the event:

• Detroit Free Press
• The Hill

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also:Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and havemargins of error orcredibility intervals.^[22] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."^[23] For tips on reading polls fromFiveThirtyEight,click here. For tips from Pew,click here.

Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation fromFiveThirtyEight andRealClearPolitics, when available.Click here to read aboutFiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.

U.S. Senate election in Michigan, 2024: general election polls
Poll	Date	Slotkin	Rogers	Undecided/Other	Margin of error	Sample size[24]	Sponsor[25]
Marist	Sept. 12-17, 2024	52%	45%	3%[26]	± 3.4	1138 LV
Quinnipiac	Sept. 12-16, 2024	51%	46%	3%[27]	± 3.3	905 LV
Emerson College Polling	Sept. 15-18, 2024	47%	42%	11%[28]	± 3.2	875 LV	The Hill
Mitchell Research & Communications	Sept. 11, 2024	48%	45%	7%[29]	± 4.1	580 LV	MIRS/MI News Source
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	Sept. 6-9, 2024	44%	39%	17%[30]	± 3.8	556 LV	The Telegraph
YouGov	Sept. 3-6, 2024	48%	41%	11%[31]	± 3.7	1086 RV	CBS News
Activote	Aug. 6-Sept. 5, 2024	53%	47%	0%[32]	± 4.9	400 LV
Glengariff Group	Aug. 26-29, 2024	44%	35%	21%[33]	± 4.0	600 LV	The Detroit News, WDIV-TV (Detroit)
SSRS	Aug. 23-29, 2024	47%	41%	12%[34]	± 4.9	708 LV	CNN
The Hill/Emerson	Aug. 25-28, 2024	47%	41%	12%[35]	± 3.4	800 LV	Nexstar Media
EPIC-MRA	Aug. 23-26, 2024	46%	42%	12%[36]	± 4.0	600 LV
TIPP Insights	Aug. 20-22, 2024	47%	35%	18%[37]	± 3.7	1,001 RV	American Greatness
Rasmussen Reports	Aug. 13-17, 2024	45%	43%	12%[38]		1,093 LV	Numbers USA
Fabrizio/Anzalone	Aug. 7-11, 2024	47%	44%	9%[39]	± 4.0	600 LV	AARP
Bullfinch Group	Aug. 8-11, 2024	48%	38%	14%[40]	± 4.38	500 RV	Independent Center
New York Times/Siena	Aug. 5-8, 2024	46%	43%	11%[41]	± 4.8	619 LV	Times/Siena

Race ratings

See also:Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets:The Cook Political Report,Inside Elections,Sabato's Crystal Ball, andDDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

• Safe andSolid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
• Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
• Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.^[42]
• Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.^[43][44][45]

Noteworthy endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, pleaseemail us.

Noteworthy endorsements
Endorser	Elissa Slotkin	Mike Rogers
Government officials
Barack Obama (D)  source	✔
Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D)  source	✔
Individuals
Former President Donald Trump  source		✔
Organizations
Actors' Equity Association  source	✔
Citizens for Traditional Values – PAC  source		✔
Communication Workers of American District 4  source	✔
Kalamazoo County Democratic Party  source	✔
Michigan AFL-CIO  source	✔
Other
Detroit Free Press Editorial Board  source	✔
Michigan Farm Bureau  source		✔
The Detroit News Editorial Board  source		✔
The Michigan Daily  source	✔

Election spending

Campaign finance

As of Oct. 28, 2024, the two major party candidates had the 10th largest difference in terms of total money raised between major party Senate candidates and the 14th largest difference in terms of total spending.Click here to learn more.

Satellite spending

See also:Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees,super PACs, trade associations, and501(c)(4)nonprofit groups.^[46][47]

If available, satellite spending reports by theFederal Election Commission (FEC) andOpenSecrets.org are linked below. FEC links include totals from monthly, quarterly, and semi-annual reports. OpenSecrets.org compiles data from those reports as well as 24- and 48-hour reports from the FEC.^[48]

Details about satellite spending of significant amounts and/or reported by media are included below those links. The amounts listed may not represent the total satellite spending in the election. To notify us of additional satellite spending,email us.

Election analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

• Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
• Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
• State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
• Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.

• Presidential elections
• Statewide elections
• State partisanship
• Demographics

See also:Presidential voting trends in Michigan andThe Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Cook PVI by congressional district

Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Michigan, 2024
District	Incumbent	Party	PVI
Michigan's 1st	Jack Bergman	Republican	R+13
Michigan's 2nd	John Moolenaar	Republican	R+16
Michigan's 3rd	Hillary Scholten	Democratic	D+1
Michigan's 4th	Bill Huizenga	Republican	R+5
Michigan's 5th	Tim Walberg	Republican	R+15
Michigan's 6th	Debbie Dingell	Democratic	D+11
Michigan's 7th	Elissa Slotkin	Democratic	R+2
Michigan's 8th	Dan Kildee	Democratic	R+1
Michigan's 9th	Lisa McClain	Republican	R+18
Michigan's 10th	John James	Republican	R+3
Michigan's 11th	Haley Stevens	Democratic	D+7
Michigan's 12th	Rashida Tlaib	Democratic	D+23
Michigan's 13th	Shri Thanedar	Democratic	D+23

2020 presidential results by 2024 congressional district lines

2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2024 district lines, Michigan[49]
District	Joe Biden	Donald Trump
Michigan's 1st	39.3%	59.1%
Michigan's 2nd	35.0%	63.2%
Michigan's 3rd	53.3%	44.8%
Michigan's 4th	47.1%	51.1%
Michigan's 5th	37.1%	61.2%
Michigan's 6th	62.7%	36.0%
Michigan's 7th	49.4%	48.9%
Michigan's 8th	50.3%	48.2%
Michigan's 9th	34.6%	64.0%
Michigan's 10th	48.8%	49.8%
Michigan's 11th	59.3%	39.4%
Michigan's 12th	73.7%	25.2%
Michigan's 13th	74.2%	24.6%

2012-2020

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections:Solid,Trending,Battleground, andNew. Click [show] on the table below for examples:

County-level voting pattern categories
Democratic
Status	2012	2016	2020
Solid Democratic	D	D	D
Trending Democratic	R	D	D
Battleground Democratic	D	R	D
New Democratic	R	R	D
Republican
Status	2012	2016	2020
Solid Republican	R	R	R
Trending Republican	D	R	R
Battleground Republican	R	D	R
New Republican	D	D	R

Following the 2020 presidential election,46.0% of Michiganians lived in one of the state'seight Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and29.1% lived in one of61 Solid Republican counties. Overall, Michigan wasBattleground Democratic, having voted forBarack Obama (D) in 2012,Donald Trump (R) in 2016, andJoe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Michigan following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Michigan county-level statistics, 2020
Solid Democratic	8	46.0%
Solid Republican	61	29.1%
Trending Republican	11	16.3%
New Democratic	2	6.8%
Battleground Democratic	1	1.9%
Total voted Democratic	11	54.6%
Total voted Republican	72	45.4%

Historical voting trends

Michigan presidential election results (1900-2020)

• 13Democratic wins
• 17Republican wins
• 1other win

Year	1900	1904	1908	1912	1916	1920	1924	1928	1932	1936	1940	1944	1948	1952	1956	1960	1964	1968	1972	1976	1980	1984	1988	1992	1996	2000	2004	2008	2012	2016	2020
Winning Party	R	R	R	P[50]	R	R	R	R	D	D	R	D	R	R	R	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	R	D

This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

U.S. Senate elections

See also:List of United States Senators from Michigan

The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Michigan.

U.S. Senate election results in Michigan
Race	Winner	Runner up
2020	49.9%	48.2%
2018	52.3%	45.8%
2014	54.6%	41.3%
2012	58.6%	38.0%
2008	62.7%	33.8%
Average	55.6	41.4

Gubernatorial elections

See also:Governor of Michigan

The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Michigan.

Gubernatorial election results in Michigan
Race	Winner	Runner up
2022	54.5%	43.9%
2018	53.3%	43.7%
2014	50.9%	46.9%
2010	58.1%	39.9%
2006	56.4%	42.3%
Average	54.6	43.3

See also:Party control of Michigan state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Michigan's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Michigan
Party	U.S. Senate	U.S. House	Total
Democratic	2	6	8
Republican	0	7	7
Independent	0	0	0
Vacancies	0	0	0
Total	2	13	15

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Michigan's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Michigan, May 2024
Office	Officeholder
Governor	Gretchen Whitmer
Lieutenant Governor	Garlin Gilchrist II
Secretary of State	Jocelyn Benson
Attorney General	Dana Nessel

State legislature

Michigan State Senate

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	20
	Republican Party	18
	Other	0
	Vacancies	0
Total		38

Michigan House of Representatives

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	54
	Republican Party	54
	Other	0
	Vacancies	2
Total		110

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Michigan Party Control: 1992-2024
Two years of Democratic trifectas  •  Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year	92	93	94	95	96	97	98	99	00	01	02	03	04	05	06	07	08	09	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
Governor	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D
Senate	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D
House	D	S	S	R	R	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D

The table below details demographic data in Michigan and compares it to the broader United States as of 2022.

Demographic Data for Michigan
	Michigan	United States
Population	10,077,331	331,449,281
Land area (sq mi)	56,609	3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White	75.7%	65.9%
Black/African American	13.6%	12.5%
Asian	3.3%	5.8%
Native American	0.5%	0.8%
Pacific Islander	0%	0.2%
Other (single race)	1.6%	6%
Multiple	5.4%	8.8%
Hispanic/Latino	5.5%	18.7%
Education
High school graduation rate	91.8%	89.1%
College graduation rate	31.1%	34.3%
Income
Median household income	$68,505	$75,149
Persons below poverty level	8.8%	8.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau,"Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau,"American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2017-2022).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the censushere.

Election context

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Michigan in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Michigan, clickhere.

Election history

The section below details election results for this state's U.S. Senate elections dating back to 2014.

2020

General election

General election for U.S. Senate Michigan

The following candidates ran in the general election for U.S. Senate Michigan on November 3, 2020.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Gary Peters (D)	49.9	2,734,568
		John James (R)	48.2	2,642,233
		Valerie Willis (U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan)	0.9	50,597
		Marcia Squier (G)	0.7	39,217
		Doug Dern (Natural Law Party)	0.2	13,093
		Leonard Gadzinski (Independent) (Write-in)	0.0	7
		Bob Carr (R) (Write-in)	0.0	5

---

	Incumbents arebolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 5,479,720
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Watch theCandidate Conversation for this race!

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Gregory Charles Jones (Other)

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Michigan

IncumbentGary Peters advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Michigan on August 4, 2020.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Gary Peters	100.0	1,180,780

---

	Incumbents arebolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 1,180,780
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. Senate Michigan

John James advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Michigan on August 4, 2020.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		John James	100.0	1,005,315

---

	There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 1,005,315
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Bob Carr (R)

Green convention

Green convention for U.S. Senate Michigan

Marcia Squier advanced from the Green convention for U.S. Senate Michigan on June 20, 2020.

		Candidate
✔		Marcia Squier (G)

---

	There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Natural Law Party convention

Natural Law Party convention for U.S. Senate Michigan

Doug Dern advanced from the Natural Law Party convention for U.S. Senate Michigan on July 30, 2020.

		Candidate
✔		Doug Dern (Natural Law Party)

---

	There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan convention

U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan convention for U.S. Senate Michigan

Valerie Willis advanced from the U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan convention for U.S. Senate Michigan on July 25, 2020.

		Candidate
✔		Valerie Willis (U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan)

---

	There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

2018

General election

General election for U.S. Senate Michigan

IncumbentDebbie Stabenow defeatedJohn James,Marcia Squier,George Huffman III, andJohn Howard Wilhelm in the general election for U.S. Senate Michigan on November 6, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Debbie Stabenow (D)	52.3	2,214,478
		John James (R)	45.8	1,938,818
		Marcia Squier (G)	0.9	40,204
	Submit photo	George Huffman III (U.S. Taxpayers Party)	0.6	27,251
		John Howard Wilhelm (Natural Law Party)	0.4	16,502
		Other/Write-in votes	0.0	18

---

	Incumbents arebolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 4,237,271 (100.00% precincts reporting)
= candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

2014

On November 4, 2014,Gary Peters (D) won election to theU.S. Senate. He defeatedTerri Lynn Land (R),Jim Fulner (L),Richard Matkin (G) andChris Wahmhoff (U.S. Taxpayers) in the general election.

U.S. Senate, Michigan General Election, 2014

Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	Gary Peters	54.6%	1,704,936
	Republican	Terri Lynn Land	41.3%	1,290,199
	Libertarian	Jim Fulner	2%	62,897
	U.S. Taxpayers Party	Richard Matkin	1.2%	37,529
	Green	Chris Wahmhoff	0.8%	26,137
Total Votes				3,121,698
Source:Michigan Secretary of State

2024 battleground elections

See also:Battlegrounds

This was abattleground election. Other 2024 battleground elections included:

• California's 30th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 top-two primary)
• Kentucky Supreme Court elections, 2024
• North Carolina Attorney General election, 2024

See also

Michigan	2024 primaries	2024 U.S. Congress elections
Michigan congressional delegation Voting in Michigan Michigan elections: 2024 •2023 •2022 •2021 •2020 •2019 •2018	Democratic primary battlegrounds Republican primary battlegrounds U.S. Senate Democratic primaries U.S. Senate Republican primaries U.S. House Democratic primaries U.S. House Republican primaries	U.S. Congress elections U.S. Senate elections U.S. House elections Special elections Ballot access

External links

• Search Google News for this topic

Footnotes

v • e 2023-2024 Elections to theUnited States Congress Senate by State Arizona •California •California (special) •Connecticut •Delaware •Florida •Hawaii •Indiana •Maine •Maryland •Massachusetts •Michigan •Minnesota •Mississippi •Missouri •Montana •Nebraska •Nebraska (special) •Nevada •New Jersey •New Mexico •New York •North Dakota •Ohio •Pennsylvania •Rhode Island •Tennessee •Texas •Utah •Vermont •Virginia •Washington •West Virginia •Wisconsin •Wyoming House by State Alabama •Alaska •American Samoa •Arizona •Arkansas •California •Colorado •Connecticut •Delaware •Florida •Georgia •Guam •Hawaii •Idaho •Illinois •Indiana •Iowa •Kansas •Kentucky •Louisiana •Maine •Maryland •Massachusetts •Michigan •Minnesota •Mississippi •Missouri •Montana •Nebraska •Nevada •New Hampshire •New Jersey •New Mexico •New York •North Carolina •North Dakota •Northern Mariana Islands •Ohio •Oklahoma •Oregon •Pennsylvania •Puerto Rico •Rhode Island •South Carolina •South Dakota •Tennessee •Texas •U.S. Virgin Islands •Utah •Vermont •Virginia •Washington •West Virginia •Wisconsin •Wyoming Election information Ballot access for major and minor party candidates •List of candidates running for election •List of congressional challengers •Congressional incumbents not running for re-election Super PACs/Organizations American Bridge 21st Century •American Crossroads •American Unity PAC •Campaign for Primary Accountability •Club for Growth Action •Congressional Leadership Fund •Cooperative of American Physicians IE Committee•Crossroads Generation •Ending Spending Action Fund •Endorse Liberty •Fair Share Action •FreedomWorks for America •Government Integrity Fund •House Majority PAC •Independence USA Fund •League of Conservation Voters •Liberty for All PAC •Majority PAC •National Association of Realtors •NEA Advocacy Fund •Now or Never PAC •Planned Parenthood Votes •Ready for Hillary •Republicans for a Prosperous America •Restore America's Voice PAC •SEIU Pea-Federal •Women Vote! •