United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon, 2018
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 16
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration:Yes
- Same-day registration: N/A (all-mail elections)
- Voter ID: N/A
- Poll times: N/A
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May 15, 2018 |
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The2018 U.S. House of Representatives elections inOregon took place onNovember 6, 2018. Voterselected five candidates to serve in theU.S. House, one from each of the state's five congressional districts.
Partisan breakdown
Heading into the November 6 election, the Democratic Party held four of the five congressional seats fromOregon.
| Members of the U.S. House from Oregon -- Partisan Breakdown | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | As of November 2018 | After the 2018 Election | |
| Democratic Party | 4 | 4 | |
| Republican Party | 1 | 1 | |
| Total | 5 | 5 | |
Incumbents
Heading into the 2018 election, the incumbents for the five congressional districts were:
| Name | Party | District |
|---|---|---|
| Suzanne Bonamici |  Democratic | 1 |
| Greg Walden |  Republican | 2 |
| Earl Blumenauer | Democratic | 3 |
| Peter DeFazio | Democratic | 4 |
| Kurt Schrader | Democratic | 5 |
2016 Pivot Counties
Oregon features two congressional districts that, based on boundaries adopted after the 2010 census, intersected with one or morePivot Counties. These 206 Pivot Counties voted forDonald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting forBarack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012.
The 206 Pivot Counties are located in 34 states. Iowa, with 31, had the most such counties. Heading into the 2018 elections, the partisan makeup of the108 congressional districts intersecting with Pivot Counties was more Republican than the partisan breakdown of the U.S. House. Of the 108 congressional districts that had at least one Pivot County, 63 percent were held by a Republican incumbent, while 55.4 percent of U.S. House seats were won by a Republican in the2016 elections.[1]
Candidates
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District 1
General election
Political party key:DemocraticRepublican
Constitution Party
Independent Party
Libertarian
Pacific Green Party of Oregon
Progressive Party
Working Families Party
General election candidates
- Suzanne Bonamici (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- John Verbeek (Republican Party)
- Drew Layda (Libertarian Party)
= candidate completedBallotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
- Fusion voting candidates
- Suzanne Bonamici
(write-in) - Drew Layda
- Suzanne Bonamici
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- Suzanne Bonamici (Incumbent) ✔
- Ricky Barajas
- Michael Stansfield
= candidate completedBallotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Republican primary candidates
District 2
General election
Political party key:DemocraticRepublicanConstitution PartyIndependent PartyLibertarianPacific Green Party of OregonProgressive PartyWorking Families Party
General election candidates
- Greg Walden (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Jamie McLeod-Skinner (Democratic Party)
- Mark Roberts (Independent Party of Oregon)
= candidate completedBallotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
- Fusion voting candidates
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Greg Walden (Incumbent) ✔
- Randy Pollock
- Paul Romero
District 3
General election
Political party key:DemocraticRepublicanConstitution PartyIndependent PartyLibertarianPacific Green Party of OregonProgressive PartyWorking Families Party
General election candidates
- Earl Blumenauer (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Tom Harrison (Republican Party)
- Michael P. Marsh (Constitution Party)
- Marc Koller (Independent Party of Oregon)
- Gary Dye (Libertarian Party)
= candidate completedBallotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
- Fusion voting candidates
Write-in candidates
- Tom Harrison (Republican)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- Earl Blumenauer (Incumbent) ✔
- Eric Hafner
- Ben Lavine
- Charles Rand Barnett
= candidate completedBallotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Republican primary candidates
District 4
General election
Political party key:DemocraticRepublicanConstitution PartyIndependent PartyLibertarianPacific Green Party of OregonProgressive PartyWorking Families Party
General election candidates
- Peter DeFazio (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Art Robinson (Republican Party)
- Richard Jacobson (Libertarian Party)
- Michael Beilstein (Pacific Green Party)
- Fusion voting candidates
- Peter DeFazio (write-in)
- Art Robinson
- Peter DeFazio
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- Peter DeFazio (Incumbent) ✔
- Daniel Arcangel
Republican primary candidates
= candidate completedBallotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 5
General election
Political party key:DemocraticRepublicanConstitution PartyIndependent PartyLibertarianPacific Green Party of OregonProgressive PartyWorking Families Party
General election candidates
- Kurt Schrader (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Mark Callahan (Republican Party)
- Dan Souza (Libertarian Party)
- Marvin Sandnes (Pacific Green Party)
- Fusion voting candidates
- Kurt Schrader (write-in)
- Kurt Schrader
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- Kurt Schrader (Incumbent) ✔
- Peter Wright
= candidate completedBallotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Republican primary candidates
Wave election analysis
- See also:Wave elections (1918-2016)
The termwave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makessignificant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?
Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from PresidentWoodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 toDonald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016.We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.
Applying this definition toU.S. House elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose48 seats for 2018 to qualify as awave election.
The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 11 U.S. House waves from 1918 to 2016.Click here to read the full report.
| U.S. House wave elections | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | President | Party | Election type | House seats change | House majority[2] | |
| 1932 | Hoover | R | Presidential | -97 | D | |
| 1922 | Harding | R | First midterm | -76 | R | |
| 1938 | Roosevelt | D | Second midterm | -70 | D | |
| 2010 | Obama | D | First midterm | -63 | R (flipped) | |
| 1920 | Wilson | D | Presidential | -59 | R | |
| 1946 | Truman | D | First midterm | -54 | R (flipped) | |
| 1994 | Clinton | D | First midterm | -54 | R (flipped) | |
| 1930 | Hoover | R | First midterm | -53 | D (flipped) | |
| 1942 | Roosevelt | D | Third midterm | -50 | D | |
| 1966 | Johnson | D | First midterm[3] | -48 | D | |
| 1974 | Ford | R | Second midterm[4] | -48 | D | |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2018
- U.S. House primaries, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip ofAtlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
- ↑Denotes the party that had more seats in the U.S. House following the election.
- ↑Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. Before Johnson had his first midterm in 1966, he was re-elected president in 1964.
- ↑Gerald Ford's (R) first term began in August 1974 following the resignation of President Richard Nixon (R), who was first elected in 1968 and was re-elected in 1972. Because Ford only served for two full months before facing the electorate, this election is classified as Nixon's second midterm.
