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United States House of Representatives elections, 2012

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2012 U.S. House Elections

Election Date
November 6, 2012

Election Results

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Elections Information
Election DatesVoting in Primaries
Voting on November 6, 2012
Poll Opening and Closing Times

Elections to theU.S. House were held onNovember 6, 2012. All435 seats were up for election.

The 2012 elections were the first using newredistricting maps based on 2010 Census data. As a result of redistricting, the number of competitive swing races was expected to drop below 100.[1] Redistricting was considered a draw between Democrats and Republicans, with both parties gaining advantages in some states.[2] Democrats would have required a net gain of 25 seats to re-take control of theU.S. House.[3] The 2012 election produced the largest class of Latinos to ever enter Congress, while simultaneously showing the biggest increase in total seats held by Latino representatives in the history of theHouse. There were 22 incumbent Latinos on the ballot, and as many as nine additional challengers were considered possible to win. A total of 30 Latino members were elected to the113th Congress.[4][5]

For only the fourth time in 100 years, the party that pulled the most total popular votes nationwide did not win control of the House.[6][7] Democratic candidates nationwide tallied more votes than Republican candidates. The last time this occurred was in 1952, when Democrats won the popular vote but Republicans won the House. The other two times this phenomenon took place was 1914 and 1942, when Republicans won the popular vote but did not win the most seats.[8] Republicans were not required to win a single Democratic-leaning district in order to hold their majority, owing to the fact that 241 districts had GOP-leaning populations.[9]

Following the general election, Democratic candidates held on to nine seats that had a political lean favoring Republicans by 54% or more. This was down from prior to 2010 where Democrats held 32 seats in that same environment. With regards to ticket-splitting, there were 24 districts in which one party's nominee carried the presidential vote and the other party's nominee won the congressional race. All but four of which were won by an incumbent.[10]

In 2010, 54 incumbents lost to challengers in the general election with Republicans swinging 63 total seats in their favor.[11][12]

Partisan breakdown

Heading into the 2012 election, Republicans were the majority party in theU.S. House. A total of 218 seats were needed for a majority. Republicans could have lost as many as 24 seats in the November election and still maintained control of the chamber. Democrats needed to win at least 25 seats to take back the partisan advantage.

U.S. House Partisan Breakdown
PartyAs of November 2012After the 2012 Election
    Democratic Party193201
    Republican Party242234
Total435435

AWashington Post article in May 2012 indicated that the Republican House majority was no guarantee, based on polls indicated the vulnerability of some incumbents in neutral districts.[13] APolitico story in May 2012 pointed toCalifornia as the likely state that would determine whether Democrats win control of the House.[14] An October 24, 2012, article inBloomberg Businessweek indicated that Republicans were in a "strong position" to retain their majority in the House. Political analysts predicted that Democrats could gain up to 10 seats on election night.[15][16] ASalon article highlighted that while Democratic candidates won more than a million votes over Republican candidates in the 2012 general election, most of the votes were clustered around urban areas as opposed being broadly dispersed across the country. There are 47 districts with a partisan divide of 70 percent to 30 percent in favor of Democrats. Only 23 such districts exist on the Republican side. Of the 16 districts where the partisan divide is 80% to 20% or more, Democrats represent 15 of them.[10]

Margin of victory

There were a total of 435 seats up for election in 2012. The following table shows the margin of victory for each race winner, which is calculated by examining the percentage difference between the top-two vote getters. If the race was uncontested, the margin of victory is listed as 100%. Some general facts:

  • 30 races (6.9 percent) had a margin of victory of less than 5 percent. Of those 30 races, 18 were Democratic winners while 12 were Republican.
  • 33 races (7.6 percent) had a margin of victory between 5 and 10 percent. Of those 33 races, 15 were Democratic winners while 18 were Republican.
  • 87 races (20 percent) had a margin of victory between 10 and 20 percent. Of those 87 races, 23 were Democratic winners while 64 were Republican.
  • 285 races (65.5 percent) had a margin of victory of greater than 20 percent. Of those 285 races, 145 were Democratic winners while 140 were Republican.
  • The fewest votes were inTexas' 29th District, with only 95,611 total votes. IncumbentGene Green (D) faced two third-party candidates in the general election.
  • The most votes were inMontana, with 479,740 votes cast. Montana has a total population of 998,199 -- which is roughly 250,000 above the average district size in states without single districts. Because Montana has only one district for the whole state, its voters per district is higher than the rest of the country. The average size of each district is 709,000. The second-most votes cast came inColorado's 2nd District, with 421,580 total votes.
  • The smallest margin of victory, wasNorth Carolina's 7th District, where incumbent DemocratMike McIntyre defeatedDavid Rouzer (R) by 0.2 percent (654 votes).
  • The largest margin of victory where both major parties fielded a general election candidate was inNew York's 15th District, where incumbent DemocratJose Serrano defeatedFrank Della Valle (R) by 83%.
  • The average margin of victory of all congressional districts was 31.85%, meaning that on average the winner of each race received nearly twice as many votes as the top opponent. Average MOV for Democratic winners was 35.7%, while the average for Republicans was 28.6%.
  • The average number of votes cast per district was 281,917, yielding an average voter turnout of 39.76%.
Margin of Victory in 2012 United States House of Representatives Elections
StateWinnerMargin of VictoryTotal VotesTop Opponent
North Carolina, District 7Democratic PartyMike McIntyre0.2%336,736David Rouzer
Illinois, District 13Republican PartyRodney Davis0.3%294,385David Gill
Utah, District 4Democratic PartyJim Matheson0.3%245,277Mia B. Love
Michigan, District 1Republican PartyDan Benishek0.5%347,037Gary McDowell
Florida, District 18Democratic PartyPatrick Murphy0.6%330,665Allen West
Arizona, District 2Democratic PartyRon Barber0.8%292,279Martha McSally
Massachusetts, District 6Democratic PartyJohn Tierney1.1%389,852Richard Tisei
Minnesota, District 6Republican PartyMichele Bachmann1.2%355,153Jim Graves
Illinois, District 10Democratic PartyBrad Schneider1.3%264,454Robert J. Dold
Indiana, District 2Republican PartyJackie Walorski1.4%273,475Brendan Mullen
New York, District 27Republican PartyChris Collins1.5%329,768Kathy Hochul
Nebraska, District 2Republican PartyLee Terry1.6%263,731John Ewing
New York, District 21Democratic PartyBill Owens1.9%268,741Matthew Doheny
Colorado, District 6Republican PartyMike Coffman2%342,891Joe Miklosi
California, District 52Democratic PartyScott Peters2.4%295,910Brian Bilbray
Connecticut, District 5Democratic PartyElizabeth Esty2.6%284,747Andrew Roraback
California, District 7Democratic PartyAmi Bera3.4%273,291Dan Lungren
Florida, District 10Republican PartyDaniel Webster3.5%318,269Val Demings
Pennsylvania, District 12Republican PartyKeith Rothfus3.5%338,941Mark Critz
Arizona, District 1Democratic PartyAnn Kirkpatrick3.6%251,595Jonathon Paton
New York, District 23Republican PartyTom Reed3.6%279,796Nate Shinagawa
New York, District 18Democratic PartySean Maloney3.7%295,436Nan Hayworth
New Hampshire, District 1Democratic PartyCarol Shea-Porter3.8%344,830Frank Guinta
Kentucky, District 6Republican PartyAndy Barr3.9%303,000Ben Chandler
Arizona, District 9Democratic PartyKyrsten Sinema4.1%250,141Vernon B. Parker
Ohio, District 16Republican PartyJames B. Renacci4.1%355,765Betty Sutton
California, District 15Democratic PartyEric Swalwell4.2%231,034Pete Stark
New York, District 1Democratic PartyTim Bishop4.6%294,578Randy Altschuler
New Hampshire, District 2Democratic PartyAnn McLane Kuster4.8%337,188Charles Bass
Texas, District 23Democratic PartyPete Gallego4.8%192,169Francisco Canseco
New York, District 11Republican PartyMichael Grimm5%214,755Mark Murphy
New York, District 19Republican PartyChris Gibson5.3%305,882Julian Schreibman
New York, District 24Democratic PartyDan Maffei5.3%303,567Ann Marie Buerkle
California, District 26Democratic PartyJulia Brownley5.4%263,935Tony Strickland
California, District 10Republican PartyJeff Denham5.4%209,199Jose Hernandez
Florida, District 2Republican PartySteve Southerland II5.5%333,718Al Lawson
California, District 36Democratic PartyRaul Ruiz5.9%208,142Mary Bono Mack
North Carolina, District 9Republican PartyRobert Pittenger6.1%375,690Jennifer Roberts
Michigan, District 11Republican PartyKerry Bentivolio6.4%358,124Syed Taj
Ohio, District 6Republican PartyBill Johnson6.5%308,980Charlie Wilson
Illinois, District 17Democratic PartyCheri Bustos6.6%288,152Bobby Schilling
West Virginia, District 3Democratic PartyNick Rahall7.1%191,518Rick Snuffer
Florida, District 16Republican PartyVern Buchanan7.2%349,076Keith Fitzgerald
Georgia, District 12Democratic PartyJohn Barrow7.4%259,121Lee Anderson
Nevada, District 3Republican PartyJoe Heck7.5%272,523John Oceguera
Virginia, District 2Republican PartyScott Rigell7.7%309,222Paul Hirschbiel
North Carolina, District 8Republican PartyRichard Hudson7.8%302,280Larry Kissell
California, District 33Democratic PartyHenry Waxman7.9%318,520Bill Bloomfield
Washington, District 1Democratic PartySuzan DelBene7.9%328,212John Koster
Nevada, District 4Democratic PartySteven Horsford8%240,492Danny Tarkanian
Iowa, District 4Republican PartySteve King8.1%377,657Christie Vilsack
Minnesota, District 2Republican PartyJohn Kline8.2%358,446Mike Obermuller
Michigan, District 3Republican PartyJustin Amash8.4%326,281Steve Pestka
California, District 3Democratic PartyJohn Garamendi8.5%233,968Kim Vann
Iowa, District 3Republican PartyTom Latham8.6%386,270Leonard Boswell
Illinois, District 12Democratic PartyWilliam Enyart8.9%303,947Jason Plummer
Minnesota, District 8Democratic PartyRick Nolan8.9%353,663Chip Cravaack
New Jersey, District 3Republican PartyJon Runyan8.9%324,408Shelley Adler
Texas, District 14Republican PartyRandy Weber8.9%245,839Nick Lampson
Hawaii, District 1Democratic PartyColleen Hanabusa9%217,796Charles Djou
Florida, District 22Democratic PartyLois Frankel9.3%313,071Adam Hasner
Illinois, District 8Democratic PartyTammy Duckworth9.5%225,066Joe Walsh
California, District 25Republican PartyBuck McKeon9.6%236,575Lee Rogers
California, District 24Democratic PartyLois Capps10.2%284,495Abel Maldonado
Michigan, District 7Republican PartyTim Walberg10.3%318,069Kurt R. Haskell
Indiana, District 8Republican PartyLarry Bucshon10.3%283,992Dave Crooks
California, District 31Republican PartyGary Miller10.4%161,219Bob Dutton
Montana, At-Large, DistrictRepublican PartySteve Daines10.5%479,740Kim Gillan
Florida, District 26Democratic PartyJoe Garcia10.6%252,957David Rivera
Indiana, District 9Republican PartyTodd Young10.9%298,180Shelli Yoder
California, District 9Democratic PartyJerry McNerney11.1%213,077Ricky Gill
South Carolina, District 5Republican PartyMick Mulvaney11.1%278,003Joyce Knott
South Carolina, District 7Republican PartyTom Rice11.1%275,738Gloria Bromell Tinubu
Tennessee, District 4Republican PartyScott DesJarlais11.5%230,590Eric Stewart
Wisconsin, District 1Republican PartyPaul Ryan11.5%365,058Rob Zerban
Oregon, District 5Democratic PartyKurt Schrader11.6%327,970Fred Thompson
California, District 35Democratic PartyGloria Negrete McLeod11.7%142,680Joe Baca
Michigan, District 6Republican PartyFred Upton12%320,475Mike O'Brien
Wisconsin, District 8Republican PartyReid Ribble12%355,464Jamie Wall
Rhode Island, District 1Democratic PartyDavid Cicilline12.1%205,115Brendan Doherty
Colorado, District 3Republican PartyScott Tipton12.3%347,247Sal Pace
New Jersey, District 5Republican PartyScott Garrett12.3%304,371Adam Gussen
Wisconsin, District 7Republican PartySean Duffy12.3%359,669Pat Kreitlow
Virginia, District 5Republican PartyRobert Hurt12.6%348,111John Douglass
Colorado, District 7Democratic PartyEd Perlmutter12.7%340,970Joe Coors, Jr.
Ohio, District 7Republican PartyBob Gibbs12.8%315,812Joyce Healy-Abrams
Iowa, District 2Democratic PartyDave Loebsack13.1%380,952John Archer
California, District 47Democratic PartyAlan Lowenthal13.1%230,012Gary DeLong
North Dakota, At-Large, DistrictRepublican PartyKevin Cramer13.2%316,224Pam Gulleson
Pennsylvania, District 8Republican PartyMichael G. Fitzpatrick13.2%352,238Kathryn Boockvar
Pennsylvania, District 15Republican PartyCharlie Dent13.5%297,724Rick Daugherty
North Carolina, District 13Republican PartyGeorge E.B. Holding13.6%370,610Charles Malone
Pennsylvania, District 3Republican PartyMike Kelly13.8%302,514Missa Eaton
North Carolina, District 10Republican PartyPatrick McHenry14%334,849Patricia Keever
Virginia, District 4Republican PartyRandy Forbes14%350,046Ella Ward
Pennsylvania, District 6Republican PartyJim Gerlach14.3%335,528Manan Trivedi
Florida, District 6Republican PartyRon DeSantis14.4%342,451Heather Beaven
New York, District 25Democratic PartyLouise Slaughter14.4%322,760Maggie Brooks
North Carolina, District 2Republican PartyRenee Ellmers14.5%311,397Steve Wilkins
New York, District 3Democratic PartySteve Israel14.6%306,274Stephen Labate
California, District 1Republican PartyDoug La Malfa14.8%294,213Jim Reed
California, District 16Democratic PartyJim Costa14.8%147,450Brian Daniel Whelan
California, District 8Republican PartyPaul Cook14.8%179,644Greg Imus
North Carolina, District 11Republican PartyMark Meadows14.8%331,426Hayden Rogers
South Dakota, At-Large, DistrictRepublican PartyKristi Noem14.9%361,429Matt Varilek
Florida, District 13Republican PartyC.W. Bill Young15.1%329,347Jessica Ehrlich
North Carolina, District 5Republican PartyVirginia Foxx15.1%349,197Elisabeth Motsinger
Virginia, District 1Republican PartyRobert J. Wittman15.1%356,806Adam Cook
Minnesota, District 1Democratic PartyTim Walz15.2%335,880Allen Quist
Ohio, District 14Republican PartyDavid Joyce15.3%339,868Dale Virgil Blanchard
Iowa, District 1Democratic PartyBruce Braley15.4%390,590Ben Lange
New York, District 2Republican PartyPeter T. King15.4%271,832Vivianne Falcone
California, District 21Republican PartyDavid G. Valadao15.5%116,283John Hernandez
California, District 39Republican PartyEd Royce15.6%251,967Jay Chen
Maine, District 2Democratic PartyMike Michaud15.7%343,908Kevin Raye
Arkansas, District 2Republican PartyTim Griffin15.7%286,598Herb Rule
Pennsylvania, District 16Republican PartyJoseph R. Pitts15.8%284,781Aryanna Strader
Minnesota, District 3Republican PartyErik Paulsen16.3%382,705Brian Barnes
California, District 49Republican PartyDarrell Issa16.3%274,618Jerry Tetalman
California, District 45Republican PartyJohn Campbell16.9%293,231Sukhee Kang
Virginia, District 7Republican PartyEric Cantor17%381,909E. Wayne Powell
Illinois, District 11Democratic PartyBill Foster17.1%254,276Judy Biggert
Arkansas, District 1Republican PartyRick Crawford17.1%246,843Scott Ellington
Colorado, District 2Democratic PartyJared Polis17.1%421,580Kevin Lundberg
Pennsylvania, District 11Republican PartyLou Barletta17.1%285,198Gene Stilp
New Jersey, District 7Republican PartyLeonard Lance17.1%307,315Upendra Chivukula
Washington, District 10Democratic PartyDenny Heck17.1%278,417Richard Muri
Florida, District 17Republican PartyThomas J. Rooney17.3%282,266William Bronson
Ohio, District 2Republican PartyBrad Wenstrup17.3%331,373William R. Smith
Florida, District 7Republican PartyJohn L. Mica17.4%316,010Jason Kendall
New Jersey, District 2Republican PartyFrank LoBiondo17.4%289,069Cassandra Shober
Texas, District 27Republican PartyBlake Farenthold17.5%212,651Rose Meza Harrison
Illinois, District 14Republican PartyRandy Hultgren17.6%301,954Dennis Anderson
California, District 40Democratic PartyLucille Roybal-Allard17.8%125,553David Sanchez
California, District 41Democratic PartyMark Takano17.9%175,652John Tavaglione
Washington, District 6Democratic PartyDerek Kilmer18%316,386Bill Driscoll
Ohio, District 5Republican PartyRobert E. Latta18.1%351,878Angela Zimmann
New Mexico, District 2Republican PartySteve Pearce18.2%225,515Evelyn Madrid Erhard
Kansas, District 2Republican PartyLynn Jenkins18.3%293,718Tobias Schlingensiepen
New Mexico, District 1Democratic PartyMichelle Lujan Grisham18.3%275,856Janice Arnold-Jones
Illinois, District 6Republican PartyPeter Roskam18.4%326,129Leslie Coolidge
New Jersey, District 11Republican PartyRodney Frelinghuysen18.8%309,859John Arvanites
Pennsylvania, District 7Republican PartyPatrick Meehan18.8%353,451George Badey
Texas, District 6Republican PartyJoe Barton18.8%249,936Kenneth Sanders
Texas, District 32Republican PartyPete Sessions18.8%251,636Katherine Savers McGovern
Oklahoma, District 2Republican PartyMarkwayne Mullin19%250,612Rob Wallace
Washington, District 8Republican PartyDave Reichert19.3%302,090Karen Porterfield
Virginia, District 10Republican PartyFrank Wolf19.7%366,444Kristin Cabral
Connecticut, District 4Democratic PartyJim Himes19.9%293,432Steve Obsitnik
New York, District 22Republican PartyRichard Hanna19.9%280,189Dan Lamb
Oregon, District 4Democratic PartyPeter DeFazio20.1%360,088Art Robinson
Ohio, District 1Republican PartySteve Chabot20.1%349,716Jeff Sinnard
California, District 44Democratic PartyJanice Hahn20.4%165,898Laura Richardson
California, District 30Democratic PartyBrad Sherman20.6%247,851Howard Berman
Pennsylvania, District 17Democratic PartyMatt Cartwright20.6%267,601Laureen Cummings
Rhode Island, District 2Democratic PartyJames R. Langevin20.6%222,660Michael G. Riley
Indiana, District 5Republican PartySusan Brooks20.8%333,359Scott Reske
Washington, District 3Republican PartyJaime Herrera Beutler20.8%293,884Jon T. Haugen
Maryland, District 6Democratic PartyJohn Delaney20.9%309,549Roscoe Bartlett
Texas, District 25Republican PartyRoger Williams21%263,932Elaine M. Henderson
Arizona, District 3Democratic PartyRaul Grijalva21.2%168,698Gabriela Saucedo Mercer
California, District 42Republican PartyKen Calvert21.2%214,947Michael Williamson
Michigan, District 8Republican PartyMike Rogers21.3%345,054Lance Enderle
Florida, District 8Republican PartyBill Posey21.4%348,909Shannon Roberts
Oklahoma, District 5Republican PartyJames Lankford21.4%261,677Tom Guild
Nevada, District 2Republican PartyMark Amodei21.4%281,449Samuel Koepnick
Colorado, District 4Republican PartyCory Gardner21.7%342,076Brandon Shaffer
Louisiana, District 3Republican PartyCharles Boustany Jr.21.8%96,584Jeff Landry
North Carolina, District 6Republican PartyHoward Coble21.8%364,583Tony Foriest
Ohio, District 4Republican PartyJim Jordan21.9%312,998Jim Slone
California, District 48Republican PartyDana Rohrabacher22%290,502Ron Varasteh
Ohio, District 10Republican PartyMike Turner22.1%349,671Sharen Swartz Neuhardt
California, District 4Republican PartyTom McClintock22.2%323,688Jack Uppal
Washington, District 2Democratic PartyRick Larsen22.3%302,291Dan Matthews
Virginia, District 9Republican PartyMorgan Griffith22.7%301,658Anthony Flaccavento
Arkansas, District 4Republican PartyTom Cotton22.8%258,953Gene Jeffress
California, District 53Democratic PartySusan Davis22.9%268,307Nick Popaditch
Missouri, District 2Republican PartyAnn Wagner23%394,448Glenn Koenen
Ohio, District 15Republican PartySteve Stivers23.1%333,462Pat Lang
Florida, District 27Republican PartyIleana Ros-Lehtinen23.2%230,171Manny Yevancey
Pennsylvania, District 9Republican PartyBill Shuster23.3%274,305Karen Ramsburg
Mississippi, District 1Republican PartyAlan Nunnelee23.5%309,177Brad Morris
Illinois, District 16Republican PartyAdam Kinzinger23.6%294,090Wanda Rohl
Missouri, District 5Democratic PartyEmanuel Cleaver23.6%330,936Jacob Turk
California, District 22Republican PartyDevin Nunes23.8%213,941Otto Lee
Washington, District 5Republican PartyCathy McMorris Rodgers23.8%308,578Rich Cowan
Indiana, District 6Republican PartyLuke Messer24%275,253Brad Bookout
Texas, District 15Democratic PartyRuben Hinojosa Sr.24%146,661Dale A. Brueggemann
Georgia, District 7Republican PartyRob Woodall24.3%252,066Steve Reilly
Texas, District 10Republican PartyMichael McCaul24.3%264,019Tawana W. Cadien
Wisconsin, District 6Republican PartyTom Petri24.3%359,745Joe Kallas
Texas, District 7Republican PartyJohn Culberson24.4%234,837James Cargas
Massachusetts, District 4Democratic PartyJoseph Kennedy III24.5%373,114Sean Bielat
West Virginia, District 1Republican PartyDavid McKinley24.6%194,863Sue Thorn
Missouri, District 4Republican PartyVicky Hartzler24.8%318,723Teresa Hensley
Massachusetts, District 9Democratic PartyWilliam Keating24.9%385,799Christopher Sheldon
Florida, District 9Democratic PartyAlan Grayson25%263,747Todd Long
Texas, District 24Republican PartyKenny Marchant25%243,489Tim Rusk
Texas, District 21Republican PartyLamar Smith25.2%308,865Candace E. Duval
Pennsylvania, District 4Republican PartyScott Perry25.3%303,980Harry Perkinson
Minnesota, District 7Democratic PartyCollin Peterson25.5%327,576Lee Byberg
Virginia, District 11Democratic PartyGerald Connolly25.5%332,243Chris Perkins
Indiana, District 7Democratic PartyAndré Carson25.7%257,950Carlos May
Texas, District 34Democratic PartyFilemon Vela25.7%144,778Jessica Puente Bradshaw
Pennsylvania, District 5Republican PartyGlenn Thompson25.8%282,465Charles Dumas
Georgia, District 1Republican PartyJack Kingston26%249,580Lesli Messinger
Tennessee, District 3Republican PartyCharles J. Fleischmann26%256,829Mary Headrick
New York, District 4Democratic PartyCarolyn McCarthy26.1%299,484Francis Becker Jr.
Florida, District 19Republican PartyTrey Radel26.2%306,216Jim Roach
North Carolina, District 3Republican PartyWalter B. Jones26.2%309,885Erik Anderson
New Mexico, District 3Democratic PartyBen Ray Lujan26.2%264,719Jeff Byrd
South Carolina, District 1Republican PartyTimothy Scott26.3%290,013Bobbie Rose
Texas, District 31Republican PartyJohn R. Carter26.3%237,187Stephen M. Wyman
Oregon, District 1Democratic PartySuzanne Bonamici26.6%331,980Delinda Morgan
New York, District 17Democratic PartyNita Lowey26.7%297,379Joe Carvin
Michigan, District 2Republican PartyBill Huizenga26.9%318,267Willie German, Jr.
Ohio, District 12Republican PartyPatrick J. Tiberi26.9%368,474James Reese
Kentucky, District 4Republican PartyThomas Massie27.2%299,444Bill Adkins
Alabama, District 2Republican PartyMartha Roby27.3%283,953Therese Ford
Georgia, District 2Democratic PartySanford Bishop27.6%255,161John House
Florida, District 23Democratic PartyDebbie Wasserman Schultz27.6%275,430Karen Harrington
California, District 46Democratic PartyLoretta Sanchez27.7%149,815Jerry Hayden
Indiana, District 4Republican PartyTodd Rokita27.8%272,268Tara Nelson
Michigan, District 9Democratic PartySander Levin27.9%337,316Don Volaric
Pennsylvania, District 18Republican PartyTim Murphy27.9%338,873Larry Maggi
California, District 27Democratic PartyJudy Chu28%241,008Jack Orswell
Arizona, District 6Republican PartyDavid Schweikert28%293,177Matt Jette
New Jersey, District 6Democratic PartyFrank Pallone Jr.28.1%239,638Anna Little
Alabama, District 3Republican PartyMike Rogers28.2%273,930John Andrew Harris
Maine, District 1Democratic PartyChellie Pingree28.3%380,715Jonathan Courtney
Arizona, District 8Republican PartyTrent Franks28.3%272,791Gene Scharer
Wisconsin, District 3Democratic PartyRon Kind28.3%339,764Ray Boland
New Jersey, District 4Republican PartyChris Smith28.5%306,247Brian Froelich
Utah, District 2Republican PartyChris Stewart28.7%248,545Jay Seegmiller
Georgia, District 6Republican PartyTom Price29%294,034Jeff Kazanow
Florida, District 11Republican PartyRichard B. Nugent29%338,663David Werder
Kentucky, District 3Democratic PartyJohn Yarmuth29.4%322,656Brooks Wicker
Michigan, District 4Republican PartyDave Camp29.5%312,949Debra Freidell Wirth
Alabama, District 5Republican PartyMo Brooks30%291,293Charlie L. Holley
Louisiana, District 2Democratic PartyCedric Richmond30.1%287,354Gary Landrieu
Idaho, District 2Republican PartyMike Simpson30.3%318,494Nicole LeFavour
Maryland, District 8Democratic PartyChris Van Hollen30.4%343,256Ken Timmerman
Texas, District 20Democratic PartyJoaquin Castro30.4%186,177David Rosa
Florida, District 12Republican PartyGus Bilirakis30.5%330,167Jonathan Michael Snow
Kansas, District 4Republican PartyMike Pompeo30.6%258,922Robert Leo Tillman
Missouri, District 3Republican PartyBlaine Luetkemeyer30.6%338,385Eric C. Mayer
Massachusetts, District 3Democratic PartyNiki Tsongas30.7%335,111Jon Golnik
Virginia, District 6Republican PartyBob Goodlatte30.7%323,893Andy Schmookler
Minnesota, District 4Democratic PartyBetty McCollum30.8%347,991Tony Hernandez
Pennsylvania, District 10Republican PartyTom Marino31.2%273,790Philip Scollo
South Carolina, District 4Republican PartyTrey Gowdy31.2%266,884Deb Morrow
Texas, District 5Republican PartyJeb Hensarling31.2%208,230Linda S. Mrosko
California, District 32Democratic PartyGrace Napolitano31.4%190,111David Miller
Oklahoma, District 1Republican PartyJim Bridenstine31.4%285,312John Olson
Delaware, At-Large, DistrictDemocratic PartyJohn C. Carney, Jr.31.5%368,154Thomas Kovach
Texas, District 35Democratic PartyLloyd Doggett31.9%165,179Susan Narvaiz
Nevada, District 1Democratic PartyDina Titus32%179,278Chris Edwards
Texas, District 22Republican PartyPete Olson32.1%250,911Kesha Rogers
Texas, District 2Republican PartyTed Poe32.1%246,328Jim Dougherty
Idaho, District 1Republican PartyRaul R. Labrador32.2%316,724Jimmy Farris
Florida, District 3Republican PartyTed Yoho32.3%315,669Jacques Rene Gaillot, Jr.
New York, District 6Democratic PartyGrace Meng32.4%186,932Daniel Halloran
Washington, District 4Republican PartyDoc Hastings32.4%233,689Mary Baechler
Missouri, District 6Republican PartySam Graves32.5%333,688Kyle Yarber
Texas, District 16Democratic PartyBeto O'Rourke32.5%155,005Barbara Carrasco
Tennessee, District 5Democratic PartyJim Cooper32.5%263,083Brad Staats
Kentucky, District 2Republican PartyBrett Guthrie32.6%282,267David Lynn Williams
Illinois, District 9Democratic PartyJan Schakowsky32.7%293,793Timothy Wolfe
Missouri, District 7Republican PartyBilly Long33%318,731Jim Evans
South Carolina, District 3Republican PartyJeff Duncan33.3%254,763Brian Doyle
Michigan, District 5Democratic PartyDan Kildee33.5%330,146Jim Slezak
Virginia, District 8Democratic PartyJim Moran34%351,187Patrick Murray
Indiana, District 3Republican PartyMarlin Stutzman34.1%280,235Kevin Boyd
Arizona, District 5Republican PartyMatt Salmon34.4%273,059Spencer Morgan
Maryland, District 2Democratic PartyDutch Ruppersberger34.5%295,940Nancy Jacobs
New York, District 20Democratic PartyPaul Tonko34.5%317,678Robert Dieterich
Indiana, District 1Democratic PartyPeter J. Visclosky34.6%279,034Joel Phelps
California, District 38Democratic PartyLinda Sanchez35.1%215,087Benjamin Campos
Alaska, At-Large, DistrictRepublican PartyDon Young35.3%289,804Sharon M. Cissna
Mississippi, District 4Republican PartySteven Palazzo35.3%285,432Matthew Moore
California, District 50Republican PartyDuncan Hunter35.4%258,293David Secor
Wisconsin, District 5Republican PartyJim Sensenbrenner35.7%369,664Dave Heaster
Maryland, District 1Republican PartyAndrew Harris35.9%337,760Wendy Rosen
Wisconsin, District 2Democratic PartyMark Pocan36%390,898Chad Lee
Mississippi, District 2Democratic PartyBennie Thompson36.2%320,244Bill Marcy
Nebraska, District 1Republican PartyJeff Fortenberry36.6%256,095Korey L. Reiman
Kansas, District 3Republican PartyKevin Yoder36.9%293,762Joel Balam
Illinois, District 3Democratic PartyDaniel Lipinski37%246,391Richard Grabowski
Georgia, District 11Republican PartyPhil Gingrey37.1%287,321Patrick Thompson
Illinois, District 5Democratic PartyMike Quigley37.1%270,377Dan Schmitt
Illinois, District 15Republican PartyJohn Shimkus37.2%299,937Angela Michael
Maryland, District 3Democratic PartyJohn Sarbanes37.3%319,859Eric Delano Knowles
Texas, District 28Democratic PartyHenry Cuellar38.1%165,645William R. Hayward
Pennsylvania, District 13Democratic PartyAllyson Schwartz38.2%303,819Joe Rooney
New Jersey, District 1Democratic PartyRob Andrews38.3%308,519Greg Horton
Arizona, District 4Republican PartyPaul Gosar38.5%243,760Johnnie Robinson
Connecticut, District 2Democratic PartyJoe Courtney38.9%299,960Paul M Formica
Michigan, District 12Democratic PartyJohn D. Dingell39%319,223Cynthia Kallgren
Michigan, District 10Republican PartyCandice Miller39.1%328,612Chuck Stadler
Kentucky, District 1Republican PartyEd Whitfield39.3%287,155Charles Kendall Hatchett
California, District 11Democratic PartyGeorge Miller39.5%287,879Virginia Fuller
Oregon, District 2Republican PartyGreg Walden39.5%332,255Joyce Segers
Texas, District 26Republican PartyMichael Burgess39.6%258,723David Sanchez
West Virginia, District 2Republican PartyShelley Moore Capito39.6%226,165Howard Swint
New Jersey, District 12Democratic PartyRush D. Holt, Jr.39.7%274,398Eric Beck
Tennessee, District 8Republican PartyStephen Lee Fincher39.9%279,422Timothy Dixon
Illinois, District 2Democratic PartyJesse Jackson Jr.40.1%297,424Brian Woodworth
Oklahoma, District 4Republican PartyTom Cole40.3%260,331Donna Marie Bebo
Florida, District 14Democratic PartyKathy Castor40.5%280,601Evelio Otero Jr.
California, District 18Democratic PartyAnna Eshoo41%301,934Dave Chapman
Colorado, District 1Democratic PartyDiana DeGette41.5%348,210Danny Stroud
Maryland, District 5Democratic PartySteny Hoyer41.7%343,820Anthony O'Donnell
Ohio, District 3Democratic PartyJoyce Beatty41.9%295,647Chris Long
Connecticut, District 1Democratic PartyJohn B. Larson42%297,061John Henry Decker
California, District 2Democratic PartyJared Huffman42.5%317,526Daniel W. Roberts
Alabama, District 6Republican PartySpencer Bachus42.5%308,102Penny H. Bailey
California, District 43Democratic PartyMaxine Waters42.5%200,894Bob Flores
Florida, District 1Republican PartyJeff Miller42.5%342,594James Bryan
California, District 51Democratic PartyJuan Vargas43%159,398Michael Crimmins
Washington, District 9Democratic PartyAdam Smith43.2%268,139Jim Postma
Georgia, District 13Democratic PartyDavid Scott43.5%281,538S. Malik
Texas, District 12Republican PartyKay Granger44.2%247,712Dave Robinson
Texas, District 36Republican PartySteve Stockman44.2%233,832Max Martin
Florida, District 5Democratic PartyCorrine Brown44.5%269,153LeAnne Kolb
Texas, District 1Republican PartyLouie Gohmert44.5%249,658Shirley J. McKellar
Wyoming, At-Large, DistrictRepublican PartyCynthia Lummis45.1%241,205Chris Henrichsen
Louisiana, District 1Republican PartySteve Scalise45.4%290,410Vinny Mendoza
Ohio, District 13Democratic PartyTim Ryan45.5%323,612Marisha Agana
Georgia, District 14Republican PartyTom Graves45.9%219,192Daniel Grant
New York, District 26Democratic PartyBrian Higgins46.2%304,961Michael Madigan
California, District 23Republican PartyKevin McCarthy46.4%216,003Terry Phillips
California, District 19Democratic PartyZoe Lofgren46.5%221,613Robert Murray
New York, District 16Democratic PartyEliot Engel46.5%270,320Joseph McLaughlin
Texas, District 33Democratic PartyMarc Veasey46.7%117,375Chuck Bradley
Utah, District 1Republican PartyRob Bishop46.8%245,528Donna M. McAleer
Tennessee, District 7Republican PartyMarsha Blackburn47%257,306Credo Amouzouvik
Georgia, District 4Democratic PartyHenry C. Johnson47.1%283,902J. Chris Vaughn
California, District 17Democratic PartyMike Honda47.1%216,728Evelyn Li
Missouri, District 8Republican PartyJo Ann Emerson47.4%300,391Jack Rushin
Wisconsin, District 4Democratic PartyGwen Moore47.4%325,788Dan Sebring
Illinois, District 1Democratic PartyBobby Rush47.6%320,843Donald Peloquin
Massachusetts, District 5Democratic PartyEd Markey47.9%364,201Tom Tierney
California, District 29Democratic PartyTony Cardenas48.1%150,281David Hernandez
California, District 20Democratic PartySam Farr48.1%233,562Jeff Taylor
Alabama, District 4Republican PartyRobert Aderholt48.1%269,118Daniel H. Boman
Illinois, District 18Republican PartyAaron Schock48.3%329,631Steve Waterworth
Nebraska, District 3Republican PartyAdrian Smith48.3%252,689Mark Sullivan
Vermont, At-Large, DistrictDemocratic PartyPeter Welch48.7%289,663Mark Donka
Massachusetts, District 8Democratic PartyStephen Lynch48.9%371,694Joe Selvaggi
California, District 5Democratic PartyMike Thompson48.9%272,417Randy Loftin
North Carolina, District 4Democratic PartyDavid E. Price48.9%348,485Tim D'Annunzio
New Jersey, District 9Democratic PartyBill Pascrell48.9%220,133Shmuley Boteach
Texas, District 4Republican PartyRalph M. Hall48.9%250,343VaLinda Hathcox
Minnesota, District 5Democratic PartyKeith Ellison49.3%351,969Chris Fields
Connecticut, District 3Democratic PartyRosa L. DeLauro49.4%291,299Wayne Winsley
Ohio, District 9Democratic PartyMarcy Kaptur50%298,164Samuel Wurzelbacher
California, District 6Democratic PartyDoris Matsui50.1%214,073Joseph McCray, Sr.
Louisiana, District 4Republican PartyJohn Fleming50.6%249,531Randall Lord
Tennessee, District 9Democratic PartySteve Cohen51.3%250,984George Flinn Jr.
Alabama, District 7Democratic PartyTerri Sewell51.8%306,558Don Chamberlain
Georgia, District 9Republican PartyDoug Collins52.4%252,153Jody Cooley
Texas, District 18Democratic PartySheila Jackson Lee52.4%194,932Sean Seibert
North Carolina, District 1Democratic PartyG.K. Butterfield52.5%338,066Pete DiLauro
California, District 28Democratic PartyAdam Schiff53%246,711Phil Jennerjahn
New York, District 10Democratic PartyJerrold Nadler53.2%236,323Michael Chan
Utah, District 3Republican PartyJason Chaffetz53.2%259,547Soren D. Simonsen
Tennessee, District 2Republican PartyJohn J. Duncan, Jr.53.8%264,505Troy Goodale
Pennsylvania, District 14Democratic PartyMichael F. Doyle53.8%327,634Hans Lessmann
Oregon, District 3Democratic PartyEarl Blumenauer54.7%355,875Ronald Green
New York, District 12Democratic PartyCarolyn Maloney54.7%268,287Christopher Wight
Oklahoma, District 3Republican PartyFrank D. Lucas55.3%268,003Timothy Ray Murray
Maryland, District 7Democratic PartyElijah Cummings55.7%323,818Frank Mirabile, Jr.
Kentucky, District 5Republican PartyHal Rogers55.8%250,853Kenneth Stepp
Tennessee, District 1Republican PartyPhil Roe56.2%239,672Alan Woodruff
Maryland, District 4Democratic PartyDonna Edwards56.4%311,512Faith Loudon
Texas, District 8Republican PartyKevin Brady57%251,052Neil Burns
Colorado, District 5Republican PartyDoug Lamborn57.6%307,231Jim Pirtle
California, District 14Democratic PartyJackie Speier57.8%258,283Deborah Bacigalupi
New York, District 14Democratic PartyJoseph Crowley57.9%170,995William Gibbons Jr.
Hawaii, District 2Democratic PartyTulsi Gabbard58.3%219,162Kawika "David" Crowley
Texas, District 9Democratic PartyAl Green58.8%183,566Steve Mueller
New Jersey, District 8Democratic PartyAlbio Sires59.1%167,790Maria Karczewski
North Carolina, District 12Democratic PartyMelvin L. Watt59.3%310,908Jack Brosch
Washington, District 7Democratic PartyJim McDermott59.3%374,580Ron Bemis
Massachusetts, District 7Democratic PartyMichael Capuano59.5%285,134Karla Romero
Texas, District 30Democratic PartyEddie Bernice Johnson59.8%217,014Travis Washington, Jr.
Arkansas, District 3Republican PartySteve Womack59.9%245,660Rebekah Kennedy
Texas, District 17Republican PartyBill Flores59.9%179,262Ben Easton
Mississippi, District 3Republican PartyGregg Harper60%293,322John Luke Pannell
Texas, District 11Republican PartyMike Conaway60.1%226,023Jim Riley
Missouri, District 1Democratic PartyWilliam Lacy Clay60.8%340,583Robyn Hamlin
Virginia, District 3Democratic PartyRobert C. Scott62.8%318,936Dean Longo
Louisiana, District 5Republican PartyRodney Alexander63.4%260,216Ron Ceasar
Arizona, District 7Democratic PartyEd Pastor63.5%127,827Joe Cobb
Illinois, District 4Democratic PartyLuis Gutierrez66%160,505Hector Concepcion
Michigan, District 14Democratic PartyGary Peters66.6%328,792John Hauler
New York, District 5Democratic PartyGregory Meeks66.8%224,508Allan Jennings Jr.
Florida, District 25Republican PartyMario Diaz-Balart67.1%200,229VoteforEddie.Com
Tennessee, District 6Republican PartyDiane Black67.5%241,241Pat Riley
New York, District 9Democratic PartyYvette Clarke67.8%238,957Daniel Cavanagh
Georgia, District 5Democratic PartyJohn Lewis68.8%277,665Howard Stopeck
Louisiana, District 6Republican PartyBill Cassidy68.9%306,713Rufus Holt Craig,Jr
Florida, District 21Democratic PartyTheodore E. Deutch68.9%284,400Cesear Henao
Michigan, District 13Democratic PartyJohn Conyers, Jr.69.1%284,270Harry T. Sawicki
New York, District 13Democratic PartyCharles Rangel69.8%233,172Craig Schley
Pennsylvania, District 1Democratic PartyRobert Brady69.9%277,102John Featherman
Texas, District 19Republican PartyRandy Neugebauer70%192,063Richard Peterson
California, District 12Democratic PartyNancy Pelosi70.2%298,187John Dennis
New York, District 8Democratic PartyHakeem Jeffries70.4%236,292Alan Bellone
California, District 34Democratic PartyXavier Becerra71.2%140,590Stephen Smith
California, District 37Democratic PartyKaren Bass72.8%239,580Morgan Osborne
California, District 13Democratic PartyBarbara Lee73.6%288,582Marilyn M. Singleton
Illinois, District 7Democratic PartyDanny K. Davis73.7%286,428Rita Zak
Massachusetts, District 2Democratic PartyJim McGovern74.5%342,736All Others
New York, District 7Democratic PartyNydia Velazquez74.7%178,825James Murray
Florida, District 20Democratic PartyAlcee L. Hastings75.8%244,285Randall Terry
Florida, District 4Republican PartyAnder Crenshaw76%315,470Gary Koniz
Massachusetts, District 1Democratic PartyRichard Neal76.6%336,555All Others
New Jersey, District 10Democratic PartyDonald Payne Jr.77%230,060Brian Kelemen
Pennsylvania, District 2Democratic PartyChaka Fattah79.9%356,386Robert Mansfield
New York, District 15Democratic PartyJose E. Serrano83%178,645Frank Della Valle
Texas, District 13Republican PartyMac Thornberry84.8%206,388John Robert Deek
Texas, District 29Democratic PartyGene Green84.8%95,611James Stanczak
South Carolina, District 6Democratic PartyJames Clyburn88.1%233,615Nammu Y Muhammad
South Carolina, District 2Republican PartyJoe Wilson92.5%203,718Write-In
Alabama, District 1Republican PartyJo Bonner95.7%200,676N/A
Ohio, District 8Republican PartyJohn A. Boehner98.4%248,316James Condit Jr.
Georgia, District 8Republican PartyAustin Scott100%197,789Unopposed
Georgia, District 10Republican PartyPaul Broun100%211,065Unopposed
Georgia, District 3Republican PartyLynn Westmoreland100%232,380Unopposed
Kansas, District 1Republican PartyTim Huelskamp100%211,337Unopposed
Ohio, District 11Democratic PartyMarcia L. Fudge100%258,359Unopposed
Texas, District 3Republican PartySam Johnson100%187,180Unopposed
Florida, District 15Republican PartyDennis A. Ross100%01Unopposed
Florida, District 24Democratic PartyFrederica S. Wilson100%01Unopposed
1Note: In Florida, if a candidate runs unopposed, then there are no votes captured in the election. Thus, the total votes counted is 0.

Retiring incumbents

Ballotpedia staff counted43 total current incumbents who did not run for re-election in the2012 elections.

  • Democratic Party 23 Democrats
  • Republican Party 20 Republicans
NamePartyDistrict
Barney FrankElectiondot.pngDemocraticMassachusetts, District 4
Bob FilnerElectiondot.pngDemocraticCalifornia, District 51
Bob TurnerEnds.pngRepublicanNew York, District 9
Brad MillerElectiondot.pngDemocraticNorth Carolina, District 13
Charlie GonzalezElectiondot.pngDemocraticTexas, District 20
Christopher S. MurphyElectiondot.pngDemocraticConnecticut, District 5
Connie MackEnds.pngRepublicanFlorida, District 14
Dale E. KildeeElectiondot.pngDemocraticMichigan, District 5
Dan BorenElectiondot.pngDemocraticOklahoma, District 2
Dan BurtonEnds.pngRepublicanIndiana, District 5
David DreierEnds.pngRepublicanCalifornia, District 26
Dennis CardozaElectiondot.pngDemocraticCalifornia, District 18
Denny RehbergEnds.pngRepublicanU.S. House, Montana, At-large
Ed TownsElectiondot.pngDemocraticNew York, District 10
Elton GalleglyEnds.pngRepublicanCalifornia, District 24
Gary AckermanElectiondot.pngDemocraticNew York, District 5
Geoff Davis(a)Ends.pngRepublicanKentucky, District 4
Heath ShulerElectiondot.pngDemocraticNorth Carolina, District 11
Jay Inslee(b)Electiondot.pngDemocraticWashington, District 1
Jeff FlakeEnds.pngRepublicanArizona, District 6
Jerry F. CostelloElectiondot.pngDemocraticIllinois, District 12
Jerry LewisEnds.pngRepublicanCalifornia, District 41
Joe DonnellyElectiondot.pngDemocraticIndiana, District 2
John OlverElectiondot.pngDemocraticMassachusetts, District 1
Lynn WoolseyElectiondot.pngDemocraticCalifornia, District 6
Martin HeinrichElectiondot.pngDemocraticNew Mexico, District 1
Maurice HincheyElectiondot.pngDemocraticNew York, District 22
Mazie K. HironoElectiondot.pngDemocraticHawaii, District 2
Mike PenceEnds.pngRepublicanIndiana, District 6
Mike RossElectiondot.pngDemocraticArkansas, District 4
Norm DicksElectiondot.pngDemocraticWashington, District 6
Rick BergEnds.pngRepublicanNorth Dakota, At-Large, District
Ron PaulEnds.pngRepublicanTexas, District 14
Shelley BerkleyElectiondot.pngDemocraticNevada, District 1
Steve AustriaEnds.pngRepublicanOhio, District 7
Steven C. LaTouretteEnds.pngRepublicanOhio, District 14
Sue Wilkins MyrickEnds.pngRepublicanNorth Carolina, District 9
Tammy BaldwinElectiondot.pngDemocraticWisconsin, District 2
Thaddeus McCotter(c)Ends.pngRepublicanMichigan, District 11
Timothy V. JohnsonEnds.pngRepublicanIllinois, District 15
W. Todd AkinEnds.pngRepublicanMissouri, District 2
Todd Russell PlattsEnds.pngRepublicanU.S. House, Pennsylvania, District 19
Wally HergerEnds.pngRepublicanCalifornia, District 2
(a) -After originally announcing he would not seek re-election, Davis subsequently resigned prior to the end of the112th Congress on July 31, 2012.
(b) -After announcing he would run for governor rather than re-election to Congress, Inslee subsequently resigned from the House of Representatives on March 10, 2012.
(c) -McCotter failed to file enough valid signatures to qualify for the ballot for his House seat. He subsequently resigned prior to the end of the112th Congress on July 6, 2012.

Defeated incumbents

Primary

In 2012, a total of 13 incumbents were defeated in U.S. House primaries. They were:

NamePartyDistrictYear Assumed Office
Benjamin QuayleEnds.pngRepublicanArizona, District 32011
Cliff StearnsEnds.pngRepublicanFlorida, District 61989
Dennis J. KucinichDemocraticOhio, District 101997
Donald A. ManzulloEnds.pngRepublicanIllinois, District 161993
Hansen ClarkeElectiondot.pngDemocraticMichigan, District 132011
Jason AltmireElectiondot.pngDemocraticPennsylvania, District 42007
Jean SchmidtEnds.pngRepublicanOhio, District 22005
John SullivanEnds.pngRepublicanOklahoma, District 12002
Russ CarnahanElectiondot.pngDemocraticMissouri, District 32005
Sandy AdamsEnds.pngRepublicanFlorida, District 242011
Silvestre ReyesElectiondot.pngDemocraticTexas, District 161997
Steve RothmanElectiondot.pngDemocraticNew Jersey, District 91997
Tim HoldenElectiondot.pngDemocraticPennsylvania, District 171993

General

A total of 27 incumbents were defeated in the general election on November 6, 2012. Of those 27 incumbents, 10 were Democrats and 17 were Republicans.

U.S. House incumbents defeated in 2012 general election
NamePartyDistrict
Allen B. WestRepublican PartyRepublicanFlorida, District 22
Ann Marie BuerkleRepublican PartyRepublicanNew York, District 25
Ben ChandlerDemocratic PartyDemocraticKentucky, District 6
Betty SuttonDemocratic PartyDemocraticOhio, District 13
Robert T. SchillingRepublican PartyRepublicanIllinois, District 17
Brian BilbrayRepublican PartyRepublicanCalifornia, District 50
Charles BassRepublican PartyRepublicanNew Hampshire, District 2
Chip CravaackRepublican PartyRepublicanMinnesota, District 8
Dan LungrenRepublican PartyRepublicanCalifornia, District 3
David RiveraRepublican PartyRepublicanFlorida, District 25
Francisco CansecoRepublican PartyRepublicanTexas, District 23
Frank GuintaRepublican PartyRepublicanNew Hampshire, District 1
Howard BermanDemocratic PartyDemocraticCalifornia, District 28
Jeff LandryRepublican PartyRepublicanLouisiana, District 3
Joe BacaDemocratic PartyDemocraticCalifornia, District 43
Joe WalshRepublican PartyRepublicanIllinois, District 8
Judy BiggertRepublican PartyRepublicanIllinois, District 13
Kathy HochulDemocratic PartyDemocraticNew York, District 26
Larry KissellDemocratic PartyDemocraticNorth Carolina, District 8
Laura RichardsonDemocratic PartyDemocraticCalifornia, District 37
Leonard BoswellDemocratic PartyDemocraticIowa, District 3
Mark CritzDemocratic PartyDemocraticPennsylvania, District 12
Mary Bono MackRepublican PartyRepublicanCalifornia, District 45
Nan HayworthRepublican PartyRepublicanNew York, District 19
Pete StarkDemocratic PartyDemocraticCalifornia, District 13
Robert J. DoldRepublican PartyRepublicanIllinois, District 10
Roscoe BartlettRepublican PartyRepublicanMaryland, District 6

Vulnerable incumbents

Across the country, media and experts published stories that chronicled the incumbents that were in danger of losing their bid for re-election. Some of those incumbents mentioned included:

Primaries

The state primaries listed by month were as follows:

This map displays the month of each
Congressional primary in 2012
Cong primaries colored by month12.png

March

  • Ohio, March 6
  • Alabama, March 13
  • Mississippi, March 13
  • Illinois, March 20

April

  • Maryland, April 3
  • Pennsylvania, April 24

May

  • Indiana, May 8
  • North Carolina, May 8
  • West Virginia, May 8
  • Idaho, May 15
  • Nebraska, May 15
  • Oregon, May 15
  • Arkansas, May 22
  • Kentucky, May 22
  • Texas, May 29

June

  • California, June 5
  • Iowa, June 5
  • Montana, June 5
  • New Jersey, June 5
  • New Mexico, June 5
  • South Dakota, June 5
  • Maine, June 12
  • Nevada, June 12
  • North Dakota, June 12
  • South Carolina, June 12
  • Virginia, June 12
  • New York, June 26
  • Oklahoma, June 26
  • Utah, June 26
  • Colorado, June 26

July

  • Georgia, July 31

August

  • Tennessee, August 2
  • Kansas, August 7
  • Michigan, August 7
  • Missouri, August 7
  • Washington, August 7
  • Hawaii, August 11
  • Connecticut, August 14
  • Florida, August 14
  • Minnesota, August 14
  • Wyoming, August 21
  • Alaska, August 28
  • Arizona, August 28
  • Vermont, August 28

September

  • Massachusetts, September 6
  • Delaware, September 11
  • New Hampshire, September 11
  • Rhode Island, September 11

Candidates by state

See also:List of candidates running in U.S. Congress elections, 2012

More than 2,400 candidates filed to run for election to the U.S. House in 2012. For a list of all candidates who ran for office by state, seethis page.

Democratic and Republican targets

The two political organizations that support each party's U.S. House candidates - theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee and theNational Republican Congressional Committee - released lists targeting various districts across the nation. Here are the organizations' lists including success rates in the2012 election.[24][25][26]

Red to Blue

  • Successful (Democratic won): 28/55 (50.9%)
  • Unsuccessful (Republican won): 27/55 (49.1%)
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Red to Blue list
DistrictEndorsed CandidateNovember 6 Results
Arizona's 1st DistrictAnn KirkpatrickGreen check mark transparent.png
Arizona's 9th DistrictKyrsten SinemaGreen check mark transparent.png
California's 7th DistrictAmi BeraGreen check mark transparent.png
California's 10th DistrictJose HernandezDefeatedd
California's 26th DistrictJulia BrownleyGreen check mark transparent.png
California's 36th DistrictRaul RuizGreen check mark transparent.png
California's 41st DistrictMark TakanoGreen check mark transparent.png
California's 47th DistrictAlan LowenthalGreen check mark transparent.png
California's 52nd DistrictScott PetersGreen check mark transparent.png
Colorado's 3rd DistrictSal PaceDefeatedd
Colorado's 6th DistrictJoe MiklosiDefeatedd
Connecticut's 5th DistrictElizabeth EstyGreen check mark transparent.png
Florida's 2nd DistrictAl LawsonDefeatedd
Florida's 10th DistrictVal DemingsDefeatedd
Florida's 16th DistrictKeith FitzgeraldDefeatedd
Florida's 18th DistrictPatrick MurphyGreen check mark transparent.png
Florida's 26th DistrictJoe GarciaGreen check mark transparent.png
Iowa's 4th DistrictChristie VilsackDefeatedd
Illinois' 8th DistrictTammy DuckworthGreen check mark transparent.png
Illinois' 10th DistrictBrad SchneiderGreen check mark transparent.png
Illinois' 11th DistrictBill FosterGreen check mark transparent.png
Illinois' 12th DistrictWilliam EnyartGreen check mark transparent.png
Illinois' 13th DistrictDavid GillDefeatedd
Illinois' 17th DistrictCheri BustosGreen check mark transparent.png
Indiana's 2nd DistrictBrendan MullenGreen check mark transparent.png
Indiana's 8th DistrictDave CrooksGreen check mark transparent.png
Maryland's 6th DistrictJohn DelaneyGreen check mark transparent.png
Michigan's 1st DistrictGary McDowellDefeatedd
Minnesota's 2nd DistrictMike ObermuellerDefeatedd
Minnesota's 6th DistrictJim GravesDefeatedd
Minnesota's 8th DistrictRick NolanGreen check mark transparent.png
Montana's at-large DistrictKim GillanDefeatedd
Nevada's 3rd DistrictJohn OcegueraDefeatedd
New Mexico's 1st DistrictMichelle Lujan GrishamGreen check mark transparent.png
New Hampshire's 1st DistrictCarol Shea-PorterGreen check mark transparent.png
New Hampshire's 2nd DistrictAnnie KusterGreen check mark transparent.png
New Jersey's 3rd DistrictShelley AdlerDefeatedd
New York's 11th DistrictMark MurphyDefeatedd
New York's 18th DistrictSean MaloneyGreen check mark transparent.png
New York's 19th DistrictJulian SchreibmanDefeatedd
New York's 24th DistrictDan MaffeiGreen check mark transparent.png
North Carolina's 11th DistrictHayden RogersDefeatedd
North Dakota's at-large DistrictPam GullesonDefeatedd
Ohio's 6th DistrictCharlie WilsonDefeatedd
Pennsylvania's 6th DistrictManan TrivediDefeatedd
Pennsylvania's 7th DistrictGeorge BadeyDefeatedd
Pennsylvania's 8th DistrictKathryn BoockvarDefeatedd
Tennessee's 4th DistrictEric StewartDefeatedd
Texas' 14th DistrictNick LampsonDefeatedd
Texas' 23rd DistrictPete GallegoGreen check mark transparent.png
Virginia's 2nd DistrictPaul HirschbielDefeatedd
Washington's 1st DistrictSuzan DelBeneGreen check mark transparent.png
Washington's 10th DistrictDenny HeckGreen check mark transparent.png
Wisconsin's 7th DistrictPat KreitlowDefeatedd
Wisconsin's 8th DistrictJamie WallDefeatedd

Patriot Program

  • Successful (Republican won): 18/33 (54.5%)
  • Unsuccessful (Democrat won): 15/33 (45.5%)
National Republican Congressional Committee Patriot Program
DistrictEndorsed CandidateNovember 6 Results
Arkansas' 1st DistrictRick CrawfordGreen check mark transparent.png
California's 7th DistrictDan LungrenDefeatedd
California's 10th DistrictJeff DenhamGreen check mark transparent.png
California's 31st DistrictGary MillerGreen check mark transparent.png
California's 52nd DistrictBrian BilbrayDefeatedd
Colorado's 3rd DistrictScott TiptonGreen check mark transparent.png
Colorado's 6th DistrictMike CoffmanGreen check mark transparent.png
Florida's 18th DistrictAllen WestDefeatedd
Illinois' 8th DistrictJoe WalshDefeatedd
Illinois' 10th DistrictRobert J. DoldDefeatedd
Illinois' 11th DistrictJudy BiggertDefeatedd
Illinois' 17th DistrictBobby SchillingDefeatedd
Iowa's 3rd DistrictTom LathamGreen check mark transparent.png
Maryland's 6th DistrictRoscoe BartlettDefeatedd
Michigan's 1st DistrictDan BenishekGreen check mark transparent.png
Minnesota's 8th DistrictChip CravaackDefeatedd
Nevada's 3rd DistrictJoe HeckGreen check mark transparent.png
New Hampshire's 1st DistrictFrank GuintaDefeatedd
New Hampshire's 2nd DistrictCharlie BassDefeatedd
New Jersey's 3rd DistrictJon RunyanGreen check mark transparent.png
New York's 11th DistrictMichael GrimmGreen check mark transparent.png
New York's 18th DistrictNan HayworthDefeatedd
New York's 19th DistrictChris GibsonGreen check mark transparent.png
New York's 24th DistrictAnn Marie BuerkleDefeatedd
Ohio's 6th DistrictBill JohnsonDefeatedd
Ohio's 7th DistrictBob GibbsGreen check mark transparent.png
Ohio's 16th DistrictJim RenacciGreen check mark transparent.png
Pennsylvania's 7th DistrictPat MeehanGreen check mark transparent.png
Pennsylvania's 8th DistrictMichael G. FitzpatrickGreen check mark transparent.png
Texas' 23rd DistrictFrancisco CansecoDefeatedd
Virginia's 2nd DistrictScott RigellGreen check mark transparent.png
Wisconsin's 7th DistrictSean DuffyGreen check mark transparent.png
Wisconsin's 8th DistrictReid RibbleGreen check mark transparent.png

Young Guns

  • Successful (Republican won): 13/42(31.0%)
  • Unsuccessful (Democrat won): 29/42 (69.0%)
National Republican Congressional Committee Young Guns
DistrictEndorsed CandidateNovember 6 Results
Arizona's 1st DistrictJonathan PatonDefeatedd
Arizona's 2nd DistrictMartha McSallyDefeatedd
Arizona's 9th DistrictVernon ParkerDefeatedd
California's 3rd DistrictKim Dolbow VannDefeatedd
California's 9th DistrictRicky GillDefeatedd
California's 21st DistrictDavid ValadaoGreen check mark transparent.png
California's 24th DistrictAbel MaldonadoDefeatedd
California's 26th DistrictTony StricklandDefeatedd
California's 41st DistrictJohn TavaglioneDefeatedd
California's 47th DistrictGary DeLongDefeatedd
Colorado's 7th DistrictJoe Coors, Jr.Defeatedd
Connecticut's 4th DistrictSteve ObsitnikDefeatedd
Connecticut's 5th DistrictAndrew RorabackDefeatedd
Florida's 22nd DistrictAdam HasnerDefeatedd
Georgia's 12th DistrictLee AndersonDefeatedd
Illinois' 12th DistrictJason PlummerDefeatedd
Illinois' 13th DistrictRodney DavisGreen check mark transparent.png
Indiana's 2nd DistrictJackie WalorskiGreen check mark transparent.png
Iowa's 1st DistrictBen LangeDefeatedd
Iowa's 2nd DistrictJohn ArcherDefeatedd
Kentucky's 6th DistrictAndy BarrGreen check mark transparent.png
Maine's 2nd DistrictKevin RayeDefeatedd
Massachusetts' 6th DistrictRichard TiseiDefeatedd
Michigan's 11th DistrictKerry BentivolioGreen check mark transparent.png
Nevada's 4th DistrictDanny TarkanianDefeatedd
New York's 1st DistrictRandy AltschulerDefeatedd
New York's 21st DistrictMatt DohenyDefeatedd
New York's 25th DistrictMaggie BrooksDefeatedd
New York's 27th DistrictChris CollinsGreen check mark transparent.png
North Carolina's 7th DistrictDavid RouzerDefeatedd
North Carolina's 8th DistrictRichard HudsonGreen check mark transparent.png
North Carolina's 11th DistrictMark MeadowsGreen check mark transparent.png
North Dakota's at-large DistrictKevin CramerGreen check mark transparent.png
Ohio's 14th DistrictDavid JoyceGreen check mark transparent.png
Oklahoma's 2nd DistrictMarkwayne MullinGreen check mark transparent.png
Pennsylvania's 12th DistrictKeith RothfusGreen check mark transparent.png
Rhode Island's 1st DistrictBrendan DohertyDefeatedd
Texas' 14th DistrictRandy WeberGreen check mark transparent.png
Utah's 4th DistrictMia LoveDefeatedd
Washington's 1st DistrictJohn KosterDefeatedd
Washington's 6th DistrictBill DriscollDefeatedd
West Virginia's 3rd DistrictRick SnufferDefeatedd


Campaign finance

More than $1 billion was spent by candidates, political parties, and special interest groups during the 2012 election cycle.[27] Republican-leaning organizations spent $102 million on U.S. House races during the 2012 cycle while Democratic organizations spent $79 million.[28] According to theSunlight Foundation, theDCCC spent $61,741,050 on the 2012 elections. Of those funds, 47.78 percent achieved the desired result, based onSunlight Foundation analysis. TheNRCC spent $64,653,292 on the 2012 elections. Of those funds, 31.88 percent achieved the desired result.[29]

After the first 15 months of the 2012 election cycle, candidates for theU.S. House had raised more than $566 million. That sum is $57 million more than the same point in 2010, and double the level at the same point in the election cycle as the 2002 races. Of that $566 million, Republicans raised $335 million while Democrats raised $221 million. The 2010 campaign set a fundraising record of $1.1 billion.[30] In April 2012, House Democrats reserved more than $32 million in ad time in districts across the country. The reservations by theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee included 14 states, predominantly swing states. Headlining the spending was $8 million in Florida and $3 million in Ohio.[31] As of November 3, 2012, 26 races had seen more than $5 million insatellite spending. In 2010, there were only two such races.[32]

In September 2012, theNRCC raised $12.4 million and had $29.5 million cash on hand.[33]

In October 2012, theCampaign Finance Institute and the Brennan Center for Justice released reports detailing the high levels of independent expenditures in the election cycle. The Campaign Finance Institute report determined that between October 5-12, more than $1 million was spent by outside groups in 3 House races alone. Those races are:[34]

The report from the Brennan Center for Justice atThe New York University School of Law was published on October 22nd and focuses on 25 House races rated most competitive byThe Cook Political Report.

List of 25 Toss Up Races from the Cook Political Report:[35] 

Democratic Toss Ups:

  1. Georgia-12
  2. Illinois-12
  3. Kentucky-6
  4. Nevada-4
  5. New York-27
  6. North Carolina-7
  7. Pennsylvania-12
  8. Utah-4

Republican Toss Ups:

  1. Arizona-1
  2. California-7
  3. California-10
  4. California-26
  5. California-36
  6. California-52
  7. Colorado-6
  8. Florida-18
  9. Illinois-11
  10. Illinois-13
  11. California-17
  12. Michigan-1
  13. Minnesota-8
  14. Nevada-3
  15. New Hampshire-1
  16. New York-18
  17. New York-19
  18. Ohio-16
  19. Texas-23

Using the Federal Election Commission's October Quarterly campaign finance filings, the report examines the relative spending presence of non-candidate groups, candidates, and small donors in these races - "which will likely determine which party will control the House."[36] A number of trends were identified regarding the volume, potential weight of satellite spending and breakdown of campaign funding by party, including:

  • As of the end of the most recent reporting period, less than 60% of money spent on the 25 most hotly contested races came from the candidates' campaigns on average, and over 50% of the spending for 11 of the races were from outside groups/party committees.
  • The combined reported expenditures from the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) mirror the total spending by "Republican-leaning and Democratic-leaning outside groups" in the 25 races going through the second week of October.
  • The role of small donations in influencing election outcomes could be eclipsed by the comparatively massive funding influence of the NRCC, DCCC, and other outside groups. "Excluding Florida's 18th District, where incumbentAllen West (R) raised a staggering $7.4 million in small donations through September 30th," Republican and Democratic candidates in the rest of the races raised only 7.6% and 12.4%, respectively, of money from donations under $200.

October

In October 2012, theHouse Majority PAC announced $8.4 million of ads in nine states targeting Republican candidates. The nine states wereArizona,Indiana,Missouri,Montana,North Dakota,Virginia,Ohio,Connecticut, andNevada.[37] The House Majority PAC also reported raising $5.9 million in September, a number which it hoped to double in October.[38]

On October 24, 2012, theDCCC borrowed $17 million to spend during the remainder of the2012 elections. First reported inPolitico, the money was intended to balance out the bombardment of GOP ads in the media.[39] According to a report inThe Washington Post, House Republicans have been able to spend more money during the election cycle.[40]

Quarterly reports

On October 15, 2012, quarterly reports were submitted by campaigns to theFederal Election Commission. The political blogDaily Kos did an analysis of the fundraising figures, specifically looking at three areas:[41]

1) Races where challengers outraised an incumbent in the third quarter: 24 races qualified -- 17 Democratic challengers and seven Republican challengers outraised their incumbent opponent.

Of the 24 races, the challenger was victorious in 11 of them, 8 D, 3 R, with 2 races still to be called.

Challengers who outraised their incumbent opponent in the third quarter
DistrictChallengerIncumbentGeneral election winner
NamePartyFunds in Q3NamePartyFunds in Q3
CA-07Ami BeraDemocratic Party$730,000Dan LungrenRepublican Party$510,000Democratic PartyAmi Bera
CA-09Ricky GillRepublican Party$727,000Jerry McNerneyDemocratic Party$523,000Democratic PartyJerry McNerney
CA-10Jose HernandezDemocratic Party$493,000Jeff DenhamRepublican Party$317,000Republican PartyJeff Denham
CA-36Raul RuizDemocratic Party$540,000Mary Bono MackRepublican Party$381,000Democratic PartyRaul Ruiz
FL-10Val DemingsDemocratic Party$503,000Daniel WebsterRepublican Party$207,000Republican PartyDaniel Webster
FL-16Keith FitzgeraldDemocratic Party$468,000Vern BuchananRepublican Party$227,000Republican PartyVern Buchanan
FL-26Joe GarciaDemocratic Party$431,000David RiveraRepublican Party$122,000Democratic PartyJoe Garcia
IA-02John Archer (Iowa 2)Republican Party$417,000Dave LoebsackDemocratic Party$312,000Democratic PartyDave Loebsack
IL-08Tammy DuckworthDemocratic Party$1,508,000Joe WalshRepublican Party$254,000Democratic PartyTammy Duckworth
IL-11Bill FosterDemocratic Party$642,000Judy BiggertRepublican Party$624,000Democratic PartyBill Foster
KY-06Andy BarrRepublican Party$804,000Ben ChandlerDemocratic Party$504,000Republican PartyAndy Barr
MA-06Richard TiseiRepublican Party$646,000John TierneyDemocratic Party$508,000Democratic PartyJohn Tierney
MD-06John DelaneyDemocratic Party$399,000Roscoe BartlettRepublican Party$208,000Democratic PartyJohn Delaney
MN-08Rick NolanDemocratic Party$484,000Chip CravaackRepublican Party$462,000Democratic PartyRick Nolan
NC-08Richard HudsonRepublican Party$512,000Larry KissellDemocratic Party$220,000Republican PartyRichard Hudson
NH-01Carol Shea-PorterDemocratic Party$675,000Frank GuintaRepublican Party$363,000Democratic PartyCarol Shea-Porter
NH-02Annie KusterDemocratic Party$725,000Charlie BassRepublican Party$472,000Democratic PartyAnnie Kuster
NY-11Mark MurphyDemocratic Party$323,000Mike GrimmRepublican Party$249,000Republican PartyMike Grimm
NY-18Sean MaloneyDemocratic Party$926,000Nan HayworthRepublican Party$573,000Democratic PartySean Maloney
NY-19Julian SchreibmanDemocratic Party$537,000Chris GibsonRepublican Party$388,000Republican PartyChris Gibson
PA-06Manan TrivediDemocratic Party$436,000Jim GerlachRepublican Party$334,000Republican PartyJim Gerlach
PA-12Keith RothfusRepublican Party$543,000Mark CritzDemocratic Party$501,000Republican PartyKeith Rothfus
UT-04Mia LoveRepublican Party$999,000Jim MathesonDemocratic Party$469,000Democratic PartyJim Matheson
VA-02Paul HirschbielDemocratic Party$352,000Scott RigellRepublican Party$311,000Republican PartyScott Rigell

2) Races where challengers had more cash-on-hand than the incumbent: 10 races qualified -- six Democratic challengers and four Republican challengers had more cash-on-hand than their incumbent opponent.

Of the 10 races, the challenger was victorious in 4 of them, 4 D, 0 R.

Challengers who have more cash-on-hand than their incumbent opponent in the third quarter
DistrictChallengerIncumbentGeneral election winner
NamePartyCOH in QTR 3NamePartyCOH in QTR 3
CA-09Ricky GillRepublican Party$1,146,000Jerry McNerneyDemocratic Party$1,038,000Democratic PartyJerry McNerney
IL-08Tammy DuckworthDemocratic Party$763,000Joe WalshRepublican Party$592,000Democratic PartyTammy Duckworth
MD-06John DelaneyDemocratic Party$249,000Roscoe BartlettRepublican Party$221,000Democratic PartyJohn Delaney
MI-01Gary McDowellDemocratic Party$604,000Dan BenishekRepublican Party$571,000Republican PartyDan Benishek
NH-02Annie KusterDemocratic Party$922,000Charlie BassRepublican Party$752,000Democratic PartyAnnie Kuster
NY-18Sean MaloneyDemocratic Party$855,000Nan HayworthRepublican Party$785,000Democratic PartySean Maloney
NY-25Maggie BrooksRepublican Party$857,000Louise SlaughterDemocratic Party$411,000Democratic PartyLouise Slaughter
OH-06Charlie WilsonDemocratic Party$440,000Bill JohnsonRepublican Party$388,000Republican PartyBill Johnson
RI-01Brendan DohertyRepublican Party$510,000David CicillineDemocratic Party$241,000Democratic PartyDavid Cicilline
UT-04Mia LoveRepublican Party$457,000Jim MathesonDemocratic Party$307,000Democratic PartyJim Matheson

3) Races that were incumbent-vs-incumbent: Five incumbent-vs-incumbent races remain.

Incumbents vs incumbent race totals in the third quarter
DistrictIncumbentIncumbentGeneral election winner
NamePartyFunds in Q3COH in QTR 3NamePartyFunds in Q3COH in QTR 3
CA-30Howard BermanDemocratic Party$716,000$1,848,000Brad ShermanDemocratic Party$225,000$394,000Democratic PartyBrad Sherman
CA-44Janice HahnDemocratic Party$179,000$132,000Laura RichardsonDemocratic Party$7,000$68,000Democratic PartyLaura Richardson
IA-03Tom LathamRepublican Party$487,000$1,510,000Leonard BoswellDemocratic Party$300,000$226,000Republican PartyTom Latham
LA-03Charles BoustanyRepublican Party$602,000$1,268,000Jeff LandryRepublican Party$404,000$755,000Republican PartyCharles Boustany
OH-16Betty SuttonDemocratic Party$594,000$1,214,000Jim RenacciRepublican Party$551,000$1,021,000Republican PartyJim Renacci

DCCC

As of July 14, 2012, theDCCC had raised $96,754,717 and spent $70,064,229, leaving $27,496,113 cash on hand.[42] As of October 2012, the DCCC had raised $53.3 million from small donations during the election cycle -- which was $15 million more than during the entire 2010 election.[43]

NRCC

In October 2012, theNRCC launched 16 new ads for a total spending of more than $6 million. The purchases were in the following districts:[44]

Competitive races

RealClearPolitics

The websiteRealClearPolitics listed 50 districts in order of likelihood to switch party on November 6. Twenty of the 50U.S. House seats most likely to switch party control were held by Democrats. The remaining 30 belonged to Republicans. Those districts are listed in the table below.[45]

Of the 20 seats held by the Democrats, 9 flipped. Of the 30 seats held by the GOP, 17 flipped. Of the 50 seats listed, they became 28 D, 22 R.

RealClearPolitics 50 Most likely US House Districts to Change Party
RankDistrictPartyIncumbentNovember 6 ResultsSwitch?
1North Carolina's 13th DistrictElectiondot.pngDemocraticOpenRepublican PartyGeorge E.B. HoldingYes
2Illinois' 8th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanOpenDemocratic PartyTammy DuckworthYes
3North Carolina's 11th DistrictElectiondot.pngDemocraticOpenRepublican PartyMark MeadowsYes
4Maryland's 6th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanRoscoe BartlettDemocratic PartyJohn DelaneyYes
5North Carolina's 8th DistrictElectiondot.pngDemocraticLarry KissellRepublican PartyRichard HudsonYes
6Arkansas's 4th DistrictElectiondot.pngDemocraticOpenRepublican PartyTom CottonYes
7Florida's 22nd DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanOpenDemocratic PartyLois FrankelYes
8Illinois' 17th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanBobby SchillingDemocratic PartyCheri BustosYes
9New York's 27th DistrictElectiondot.pngDemocraticKathy HochulRepublican PartyChris CollinsYes
10New Hampshire's 2nd DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanCharles BassDemocratic PartyAnnie KusterYes
11Indiana's 2nd DistrictElectiondot.pngDemocraticOpenRepublican PartyJackie WalorskiYes
12Arizona's 1st DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanOpenDemocratic PartyAnn KirkpatrickYes
13California's 52nd DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanBrian BilbrayDemocratic PartyScott PetersYes
14Georgia's 12th DistrictElectiondot.pngDemocraticJohn BarrowDemocratic PartyJohn BarrowNo
15New York's 24th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanAnn Marie BuerkleDemocratic PartyDan MaffeiYes
16North Carolina's 7th DistrictElectiondot.pngDemocraticMike McIntyreDemocratic PartyMike McIntyreNo
17Washington's 1st DistrictElectiondot.pngDemocraticOpenDemocratic PartySuzan DelBeneNo
18Michigan's 11th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanOpenRepublican PartyKerry BentivolioNo
19Illinois' 11th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanJudy BiggertDemocratic PartyBill FosterYes
20Illinois' 10th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanRobert J. DoldDemocratic PartyBrad SchneiderYes
21Illinois' 12th DistrictElectiondot.pngDemocraticOpenDemocratic PartyWilliam EnyartNo
22California's 26th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanOpenDemocratic PartyJulia BrownleyYes
23New Hampshire's 1st DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanFrank GuintaDemocratic PartyCarol Shea-PorterYes
24Iowa's 3rd DistrictElectiondot.pngDemocraticLeonard BoswellRepublican PartyTom LathamYes
25Ohio's 16th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanJames B. RenacciRepublican PartyJames B. RenacciNo
26California's 7th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanDan LungrenDemocratic PartyAmi BeraYes
27Pennsylvania's 12th DistrictElectiondot.pngDemocraticMark CritzRepublican PartyKeith RothfusYes
28Florida's 18th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanAllen WestDemocratic PartyPatrick MurphyYes
29Oklahoma's 2nd DistrictElectiondot.pngDemocraticOpenRepublican PartyMarkwayne MullinYes
30Iowa's 4th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanSteve KingRepublican PartySteve KingNo
31New York's 21st DistrictElectiondot.pngDemocraticBill OwensDemocratic PartyBill OwensNo
32California's 9th DistrictElectiondot.pngDemocraticJerry McNerneyDemocratic PartyJerry McNerneyNo
33Colorado's 6th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanMike CoffmanRepublican PartyMike CoffmanNo
34New York's 18th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanNan HayworthDemocratic PartySean MaloneyYes
35California's 24th DistrictElectiondot.pngDemocraticLois CappsDemocratic PartyLois CappsNo
36New York's 1st DistrictElectiondot.pngDemocraticTim BishopDemocratic PartyTim BishopNo
37Illinois' 13th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanOpenRepublican PartyRodney DavisNo
38Rhode Island's 1st DistrictElectiondot.pngDemocraticDavid N. CicillineDemocratic PartyDavid N. CicillineNo
39Wisconsin's 7th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanSean DuffyRepublican PartySean DuffyNo
40Nevada's 3rd DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanJoe HeckRepublican PartyJoe HeckNo
41Massachusetts' 6th DistrictElectiondot.pngDemocraticJohn TierneyDemocratic PartyJohn TierneyNo
42Utah's 4th DistrictElectiondot.pngDemocraticJim MathesonDemocratic PartyJim MathesonNo
43Minnesota's 8th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanChip CravaackDemocratic PartyRick NolanYes
44Pennsylvania's 8th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanMichael G. FitzpatrickRepublican PartyMichael G. FitzpatrickNo
45New York's 11th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanMichael GrimmRepublican PartyMichael GrimmNo
46Colorado's 3rd DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanScott TiptonRepublican PartyScott TiptonNo
47California's 10th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanJeff DenhamRepublican PartyJeff DenhamNo
48Florida's 26th DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanDavid RiveraDemocratic PartyJoe GarciaYes
49Virginia's 2nd DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanScott RigellRepublican PartyScott RigellNo
50New Jersey's 3rd DistrictEnds.pngRepublicanJon RunyanRepublican PartyJon RunyanNo

New York Times

TheNew York Times rated theU.S. House races. There were five possible designations:

    Solid Democratic
    Lean Democratic
    Tossup
    Lean Republican
    Solid Republican

New York Times Political Report Race Rating -- U.S. House Competitive Districts
MonthSolid DLean DTossupLean RSolid RTotal Seats in Play
July 25, 2012[46]15623253219980
Note: A total of 218 seats are needed for the majority

Cook Political Report

Each month theCook Political Report released race ratings for President,U.S. Senate,U.S. House (competitive only) andGovernors. The races detailed below were only those considered competitive. There were six possible designations.[47]

    Likely Democratic
    Lean Democratic
    D Tossup

    R Tossup
    Lean Republican
    Likely Republican

Cook Political Report Race Rating -- U.S. House Competitive Districts
MonthLikely DLean DD TossupR TossupLean RLikely RTotal DTotal RTotal Competitive races
October 30, 2012[48]14129181518355186
October 25, 2012[49]14138181518355186
October 18, 2012[50]14128191419345286
October 11, 2012[51]12157181617345185
October 5, 2012[52]12157181618345286
September 27, 2012[53]11157171622335588
September 20, 2012[54]10167171721335588
September 13, 2012[55]13138181722345791
September 6, 2012[56]13138171821345690
August 20, 2012[57]14128171921345791
August 15, 2012[58]13129161922345791
August 12, 2012[59]13129161922345791
August 2, 2012[60]13129161922345791
July 26, 2012[61]13138161922345791
July 12, 2012[62]13138161823345791
June 28, 2012[63]14119151824345791
June 14, 2012[64]14119151824345791
June 7, 2012[65]141110151824355792
May 31, 2012[66]141110161824355893
May 24,2012[67]141210151824365793
May 17, 2012[68]141210141926365995
May 3,2012[69]151110141926365995
April 26, 2012[70]181110141827395998
April 19, 2012[71]171481419283961100
April 12, 2012[72]17148141927396099
April 5, 2012[73]181571419294062102
March 23, 2012[74]181571419294062102
March 15, 2012[75]181381320283961100
March 8, 2012[76]181381321283962101
March 6, 2012[77]18138132126396099
March 5, 2012[78]19137141927396099

Sabato Crystal Ball

Each month theCrystal Ball released race ratings for President,U.S. Senate,U.S. House (competitive only) andGovernors. There were seven possible designations:[79]

     Solid Democratic
     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic

     Tossup

     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican
     Solid Republican

Sabato's Crystal Ball Race Rating -- U.S. House
MonthSolid DLikely DLean DTossupLean RLikely RSolid R
June 6, 2012[80]1521419152319193
May 9, 2012[81]1511621132321190
April 2, 2012[82]1491919132525185

Center for Voting and Democracy

TheCenter for Voting and Democracy (Fairvote) released its projections in October 2012. According to the organization, there were 177 projected Republican winners, 156 projected Democratic winners, and 102 "no-projection" districts. Additionally:[83][84]

  • 238 districts had a Republican-tilt in partisanship
  • 189 district had a Democratic-tilt in partisanship
  • 8 districts were even

According to the study, Republicans were "far better positioned than Democrats to win control of the House."[85]

Redistricting

The 2012 elections were the first using new maps drawn as a result of the 2010 Census. The breakdown of states that won and lost new seats in the Congressional reapportionment is as follows:[86]

States that Added Congressional Seats after 2010 Census
StateBefore 2010 censusAfter 2010 census[87]
Arizona89 (+1)
Florida2527 (+2)
Georgia1314 (+1)
Nevada34 (+1)
South Carolina67 (+1)
Texas3236 (+4)
Utah34 (+1)
Washington910 (+1)
States that Lost Congressional Seats after 2010 Census
StateBefore 2010 censusAfter 2010 census[88]
Illinois1918 (-1)
Iowa54 (-1)
Louisiana76 (-1)
Massachusetts109 (-1)
Michigan1514 (-1)
Missouri98 (-1)
New Jersey1312 (-1)
New York2927 (-2)
Ohio1816 (-2)
Pennsylvania1918 (-1)

However, while population gains have generally taken place in Republican states, projections show the bulk of the increases are from minorities -- particularly in states like Arizona, Florida and Texas.[89] Minorities generally lean Democratic in elections.[90] According to an estimate by Salon.com, Republicans could have gained 15 new seats nationwide if they chose to impose "brutal" maps.[10]

Of the top 10 Congressional districts that needed to lose population -- meaning they were the fastest growing districts over the past decade in the country -- all of them were won by a Republican in the 2010 election. That implied, that Republicans would have an easier time spreading their voters across more districts while still managing to try and maintain a safe majority in those overly-populated districts. The most-populated district is the 3rd Congressional seat inNevada, which has a population of 1,002,482. The least-populated district is the 1st Congressional seat inNebraska, with 611,333 residents.[91]

According to Mike Shields, the National Republican Congressional Committee’s political director, redistricting "has taken a lot of seats off the table for Democrats."[92]

In 2010, the 10 closest U.S. House races were won by the following House members:[93]

A report by the Brennan Center for Justice indicated thatCalifornia's redistricting likely cost the Democrats a chance at taking control of the U.S. House.[94] According to the report, Democrats were able to draw 44 congressional seats while Republican legislatures were responsible for 173 seats.[95]

Congressional approval rating

Throughout the112th Congress, public sentiment was critical of the performance of elected officials. On February 8, 2012, Gallup released a poll in which a record-low of 10 percent of Americans approved of Congress. Viewpoints on Democrats and Republicans were equally negative.[96] "This Congress has been judged by almost everybody as the least productive, most confrontational Congress in a very, very long period of time," said House Minority WhipSteny Hoyer (D-Maryland).[97]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job?
PollApproveDisapproveNo opinionMargin of errorSample size
Gallup News Service (September 6-9, 2012)
13%83%4%+/-41,017
Gallup News Service (August 9-12, 2012)
10%83%7%+/-41,012
Gallup News Service (March 8-11, 2012)
12%82%6%+/-41,024
Gallup News Service (February 2-5, 2012)
10%86%4%+/-41,029
Gallup News Service (January 5-8, 2012)
13%81%6%+/-41,011
Gallup News Service
(December 15-18, 2011)
11%86%3%+/-41,019
Gallup News Service (November 3-6, 2011)
13%82%5%+/-41,012
AVERAGES 11.71% 83.29% 5% +/-4 1,017.71
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email toeditor@ballotpedia.org.

Generic congressional ballot

RealClearPolitics

Each week,RealClearPolitics releases a table with an aggregate of the generic congressional vote from a variety of polling organizations, includingRasmussen Reports,Politico,NPR,USA Today/Gallup andBloomberg.[98]

Generic Congressional Ballot -- Average from RealClearPolitics
PollDemocraticRepublican
4/1/12
43.6%44.8%
5/1/12
41.3%42.5%
6/1/12
44.2%44.3%
7/1/12
44.3%43%
8/1/12
41.8%43%
9/1/12
44.2%44%
10/1/12
44%45%
AVERAGES 43.34% 43.8%
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email toeditor@ballotpedia.org.

See also

External links

Additional reading

Footnotes

  1. USA Today, "Redistricting takes some of the 'swing' out of House fights," April 23, 2012
  2. Los Angeles Times, "Nationally, redistricting looks like a draw between the parties," January 14, 2012
  3. New York Times, "New District Maps Toughen Democrats’ Race for House," April 19, 2012
  4. The Republic, "New generation of Latino congressional candidates may make history in House," October 26, 2012
  5. ABC News, "Congressional Hispanic Caucus Elects New Chairman," November 15, 2012
  6. Bloomberg, "Republicans Can't Claim Mandate as Democrats Top House Vote" November 16, 2012
  7. Bloomberg, "Republicans Win Congress as Democrats Get Most Votes," March 18, 2013
  8. Ballot Access News, "Only Four U.S. House Elections in the Last Hundred Years Gave One Party a House Majority, Even Though the Other Major Party Polled More Votes for U.S. House" November 12, 2012
  9. Washington Post, "Partisan bias in U.S. House elections," November 15, 2012
  10. 10.010.110.2Salon.com, "The House GOP can’t be beat: It’s worse than gerrymandering," January 13, 2013Cite error: Invalid<ref> tag; name "salon" defined multiple times with different content
  11. The New York Times, "Election 2010," accessed March 18, 2021
  12. The Washington Post, "Which election was worse for Democrats: 2010 or 2014? It’s a surprisingly close call.," November 5, 2014
  13. Washington Post, "Why the GOP’s House majority isn’t safe," May 31, 2012
  14. Politico, "Democrats look to California in bid to retake House," May 17, 2012
  15. Businessweek, "Republicans in Strong Position to Keep U.S. House Control," October 24, 2012
  16. CBS News, "Control of the House and redistricting's effect," November 4, 2012
  17. 17.0017.0117.0217.0317.0417.0517.0617.0717.0817.0917.1017.1117.1217.1317.1417.1517.1617.1717.1817.19Washington Post, "2012 redistricting: Top 10 matchups between incumbents," January 13, 2012
  18. 18.018.118.218.318.418.518.618.718.818.9National Journal, "Stick a fork in them?" November 23, 2011
  19. 19.019.119.219.319.419.519.619.719.8National Journal ,"" October 17, 2011
  20. 20.020.120.220.320.420.520.620.720.820.9Roll Call, "Top 10 Vulnerable: Illinois, North Carolina Top List," November 10, 2011
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2012 Elections to theUnited States Congress
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