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Topics and participation in the CNBC Republican debate (October 2015)

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See also:Boulder, Colorado CNBC Republican debate (October 28, 2015)



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This article analyzes the central themes of the Republican presidential debate held on October 28, 2015, inBoulder, Colorado. The transcript prepared byThe Washington Post was used to measure candidate participation and audience engagement.[1]Footage from the debate was consulted where there were ambiguities in the text.

To compare the statistics of this debate to the previous Republican debate, please seethe analysis of topics and participation in the September 2015 CNN Republican debate.

Segments

The third Republican presidential debate featured 32 unique discussion segments covering a range of economic and regulatory issues. These discussion segments were measured by any shift in the theme of a discussion prompted by one of the moderators: John Harwood,Becky Quick and Carl Quintanilla. Panelists Jim Cramer, Sharon Epperson and Rick Santelli also posed questions to the candidates.

  1. Each candidate's greatest weakness
  2. Trump's candidacy
  3. Tax polices
  4. Rubio's voting record
  5. Bush's campaign
  6. Fiorina's business record
  7. Cruz's candidacy
  8. Budget deal and federal assistance programs
  9. Social Security
  10. Trump's business record and trustworthiness
  11. Regulation of prescription drug prices
  12. White collar crime and prosecution
  13. The budget deal and tax increases
  14. Internet sales tax
  15. Marco Rubio's personal finances
  16. Corporate welfare
  17. Pay equity
  18. Carson's corporate connections and ethics
  19. H-1B visas and U.S. unemployment
  20. Federal Reserve
  21. Oil subsidies
  22. Income inequality and taxation
  23. Marijuana legalization
  24. H-1B visas and merit-based immigration
  25. Gun-free zones
  26. Moral authority
  27. Government-organized retirement plans
  28. Student loan reform
  29. Regulation of fantasy football leagues
  30. Climate change
  31. Federal assistance programs
  32. Closing statements

Although the formal title of CNBC's debate was "Your Money, Your Vote," a significant number of the discussion segments – 10 out of 32 – questioned a candidate's character, professional history or personal finances.[2] Three separate discussion segments were initiated with a question related toDonald Trump's candidacy. WhenMike Huckabee was asked to comment on Trump's moral authority, he said, "You know, of the few questions I've got, the last one I need is to give [Trump] some more time."[1]

Overall participation

Participation in a segment was defined by a substantive comment related to the segment's topic. Jokes and attempts to gain permission from a moderator to speak were not considered participatory speech acts. In some instances, candidates who participated in a segment diverted from the prompted topic.

Each candidate participated in six to nine discussion segments. The CNBC moderators frequently introduced a discussion segment but only asked one candidate for his or her opinion on the subject. More than half of the discussion segments involved only one candidate. Excluding the opening question and closing statements, the discussion segment on reforming federal assistance programs involved the greatest number of candidates with eight participating. The discussion segment on how to address income inequality through tax policies followed with five participants.

Candidate participation by behavior

Participation in the debate was also measured by the candidate's behavior at the start of each discussion segment. This study considered whether a candidate was initially prompted to speak during a discussion segment by a moderator or whether he or she independently engaged in the discussion segment by interrupting another candidate or calling on the moderator for permission to speak. A candidate's conduct after they joined a discussion segment was not considered.

Compared to theDemocratic presidential debate held on October 28, 2015, the Republican candidates were more aggressive in interrupting their fellow candidates or the moderators in an attempt to join a discussion segment for the first time. As in theprevious Republican presidential debate on CNN,Carly Fiorina interrupted the most with four interjections.Jeb Bush andJohn Kasich followed with the three interjections.Donald Trump,Ben Carson andMike Huckabee only substantively participated in a discussion segment when called on by a moderator.

Candidate participation by speaking time

NPR,Politico andThe New York Times all reported on the number of minutes each candidate spoke.[3][4][5] These totals varied up to one minute between each organization's measure of candidate speaking time. According toThe New York Times andPolitico,Jeb Bush talked for approximately six minutes, less than any other candidate. This is a significant change from theprevious Republican debate where Bush spoke longer than every candidate butDonald Trump.

Candidate participation by segment vs. speaking time

The amount of time a candidate spoke did not necessarily align with the number of issues he or she covered during the debate. For example, Bush engaged in the most discussion segments even though he spoke the least byNPR andThe New York Times' measures.

Audience engagement

Audience engagement was measured by noting the instances of applause, cheering or laughter inThe Washington Post's transcript. Footage from the debate was consulted where it was ambiguous in the text who the audience was responding to. Multiple expressions of positive audience engagement during one speech act were marked as a single instance of audience engagement. Huckabee, Rubio and Trump received the warmest response from the crowd, while Bush, Kasich and Paul failed to resonate with the live audience.

Although Carson had a comparatively moderate response, he was the only candidate to receive support from the live audience against a moderator's line of questioning. WhenCarlos Quintanilla questioned Carson's judgment relating to his business relationship with the nutritional supplement company Mannatech, the audience booed him.

Candidate speech analysis

Word cloud of Jeb Bush's speech during the debate
Jeb-Bush-circle.png
  • Candidate:Jeb Bush
  • Speaking time: 6.7 min
  • Number of words: 1,502
  • Most commonly used words:
    • People: 14
    • Tax: 11
    • Need: 11
    • Country: 10
    • Spending: 8
Word cloud of Ben Carson's speech during the debate
Ben-Carson-circle.png
  • Candidate:Ben Carson
  • Speaking time: 7 min
  • Number of words: 1,376
  • Most commonly used words:
    • People: 19
    • Tax: 11
    • Percent: 10
    • Well: 9
    • Government: 8
Word cloud of Chris Christie's speech during the debate
Chris-Christie-circle.png
  • Candidate:Chris Christie
  • Speaking time: 8.5 min
  • Number of words: 1,630
  • Most commonly used words:
    • Going: 13
    • People: 11
    • Money: 10
    • More: 10
    • Know: 9
Word cloud of Ted Cruz's speech during the debate
Ted-Cruz-circle.png
  • Candidate:Ted Cruz
  • Speaking time: 7.6 min
  • Number of words: 1,214
  • Most commonly used words:
    • Question: 10
    • Know: 9
    • People: 9
    • Want: 8
    • Look: 8
Word cloud of Carly Fiorina's speech during the debate
Carly-Fiorina-circle.png
  • Candidate:Carly Fiorina
  • Speaking time: 10.5 min
  • Number of words: 1,785
  • Most commonly used words:
    • Government: 24
    • Power: 13
    • Talk: 12
    • Know: 11
    • Business: 10
Word cloud of Mike Huckabee's speech during the debate
Mike-Huckabee-circle.png
  • Candidate:Mike Huckabee
  • Speaking time: 7.7 min
  • Number of words: 1,467
  • Most commonly used words:
    • People: 18
    • Government: 15
    • Know: 10
    • Country: 9
    • Well: 8
Word cloud of John Kasich's speech during the debate
John-R-Kasich-circle.png
  • Candidate:John Kasich
  • Speaking time: 9.7 min
  • Number of words: 1,860
  • Most commonly used words:
    • Need: 13
    • Job: 12
    • Country: 12
    • Know: 12
    • People: 11
Word cloud of Rand Paul's speech during the debate
Rand-Paul-circle.png
  • Candidate:Rand Paul
  • Speaking time: 6.3 min
  • Number of words: 1,225
  • Most commonly used words:
    • Money: 12
    • Govern: 11
    • Think: 11
    • Tax: 11
    • Fed: 9
Word cloud of Marco Rubio's speech during the debate
Marco-Rubio-circle.png
  • Candidate:Marco Rubio
  • Speaking time: 10.2 min
  • Number of words: 2,481
  • Most commonly used words:
    • People: 19
    • American: 14
    • More: 13
    • Work: 12
    • Tax: 12
Word cloud of Donald Trump's speech during the debate
Donald-Trump-circle.png
  • Candidate:Donald Trump
  • Speaking time: 9.4 min
  • Number of words: 1,794
  • Most commonly used words:
    • People: 18
    • Know: 15
    • Very: 14
    • Right: 12
    • Country: 12

See also

Footnotes

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Post-debate analysis overview
Democratic:April 14, 2016 (CNN)March 9, 2016 (Univision)March 6, 2016 (CNN)February 11, 2016 (PBS)February 4, 2016 (MSNBC)January 17, 2016 (NBC)December 19, 2015 (ABC)November 14, 2015 (CBS)October 13, 2015 (CNN)
Republican:March 10, 2016 (CNN)March 3, 2016 (FNC)February 25, 2016 (CNN)February 13, 2016 (CBS)February 6, 2016 (ABC)January 28, 2016 (FNC)January 14, 2016 (FBN)December 15, 2015 (CNN)November 10, 2015 (FBN)October 28, 2015 (CNBC)September 16, 2015 (CNN)

Insiders Poll: First Democratic debate (October 13, 2015)Presidential Nominating Index: Clinton remains choice of Democratic InsidersPresidential Nominating Index: Bush remains choice of Republican InsidersInsiders Poll: Winners and losers from the Fox News Republican Debate
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