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Presidential battleground states, 2024

From Ballotpedia
2024 Presidential Election
Date:November 5, 2024
White House Logo.png

Presidential candidates
Democratic PartyKamala Harris (D)
Republican PartyDonald Trump (R) (won)
Green PartyJill Stein (G)
Libertarian PartyChase Oliver (L)

Battleground statesList of registered candidatesElectoral CollegePrediction marketsPresidential debatesImportant datesPresidential election by stateCampaign financeLogos and slogansKey staffersVice presidential candidatesPolicy positionsBallotpedia's presidential election coverage index
Primaries
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Ballotpedia's presidential election coverage
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Battleground states are states that have split support for Democratic and Republican candidates in recent presidential election cycles. Sometimes referred to as swing states or purple states, they are critical to a candidate's campaign strategy since the majority of states consistently vote for the same presidential party and are not competitive.

Using the average of race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, Ballotpedia identified7 battleground states. These are the states on which an electoral victory hinged. Click each state to read more:

Heading into the 2020 presidential election, for example, 38 states—representing 378 electoral votes[1]—had voted for the same political party in the previous four election cycles. While PresidentJoe Biden's (D) victory broke this streak in Arizona and Georgia in 2020, much of theElectoral College in the2024 presidential election is already set.[2]

This page also includes the following information about battleground states:

Contents

Presidential election results

See also:Electoral College in the 2024 presidential election

Results by state

National results


Presidential election, 2024
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/J.D. Vance (R)
 
49.8
 
77,303,568312
Image of
Image of
Kamala D. Harris/Tim Walz (D)
 
48.3
 
75,019,230226
Image of
Jill Stein (multiple running mates) (G)
 
0.6
 
861,1640
Image of
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Robert F. Kennedy Jr./Nicole Shanahan (Independent)
 
0.5
 
756,3930
Image of
Image of
Chase Oliver/Mike ter Maat (L)
 
0.4
 
650,1380
Image of
Image of
Claudia De La Cruz/Karina Garcia (Party for Socialism and Liberation)
 
0.1
 
165,1910
Image of
Image of
Cornel West/Melina Abdullah (Independent)
 
0.1
 
81,0840
Image of
Image of
Peter Sonski/Lauren Onak (American Solidarity Party)
 
0.0
 
41,8530
Image of
Image of
Randall Terry/Stephen E. Broden (Constitution Party)
 
0.0
 
41,2900
Image of
Image of
Shiva Ayyadurai/Crystal Ellis (Independent)
 
0.0
 
28,3990
Image of
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Richard Duncan/Mitchell Preston Bupp (Independent)
 
0.0
 
12,8050
Image of
Image of
Joel Skousen/Rik Combs (Constitution Party)
 
0.0
 
12,7860
Image of
Image of
Jay Bowman/De Bowman (Independent)
 
0.0
 
5,9710
Image of
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Christopher Garrity/Cody Ballard (Independent)
 
0.0
 
5,2940
Image of
Image of
Joseph Kishore/Jerry White (Socialist Equality Party)
 
0.0
 
4,6500
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Rachele Fruit (multiple running mates) (Socialist Workers Party)
 
0.0
 
4,1180
Image of
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Mattie Preston/Shannel Conner (Godliness, Truth, Justice)
 
0.0
 
2,8570
Image of
Lucifer Everylove (no running mate) (Unaffiliated)
 
0.0
 
2,6530
Image of
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Blake Huber/Andrea Denault (Approval Voting Party)
 
0.0
 
2,1960
Image of
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Michael Wood/John G. Pietrowski (Prohibition Party)
 
0.0
 
1,1440
Image of
Image of
Vermin Supreme/Jonathan Realz (Independent)
 
0.0
 
9140
Image of
Image of
Laura Ebke/Trisha Butler (Liberal Party)
 
0.0
 
8590
Image of
Image of
William P. Stodden/Stephanie H. Cholensky (Socialist Party)
 
0.0
 
3640
Image of
Image of
Robert Wells Jr./Tony Jones (Independent)
 
0.0
 
3590
 Other write-in votes
 
0.2
 
235,6730

Ballotpedia Logo

There were no incumbents in this race The results have been certified.

Total votes: 155,240,953

0 states have not been called.



2024 presidential race ratings

The map below displays presidential race ratings in each state. These ratings are generated by averaging the ratings fromThe Cook Political Report,Inside Elections, andSabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe andSolid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean andTilt ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[3][4][5]

Race rating changes

The section below displays race rating changes fromThe Cook Political Report,Inside Elections, andSabato's Crystal Ball.

  • November 4, 2024:
    • The Cook Political Report moved Iowa from solid Republican to likely Republican.[6]
    • Sabato's Crystal Ball moved Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina from toss-up to Leans Republican. The outlet also moved Iowa and Nebraska's 1st Congressional District from safe Republican to likely Republican and moved Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin from toss-up to leans Democratic.[7]
  • November 3, 2024:Inside Elections moved Iowa from likely Republican to tilt Republican.[8]
  • November 1, 2024:The Cook Political Report moved Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District from lean Democratic to likely Democratic.[9]


  • September 25, 2024:Sabato's Crystal Ball moved Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District from leans Democratic to likely Democratic.[10]
  • August 29, 2024:Inside Elections moved North Carolina from tilt Republican to toss-up.[11]
  • August 27, 2024:The Cook Political Report moved Minnesota and New Hampshire from lean Democratic to likely Democratic, and moved North Carolina from lean Republican to toss-up.[12]
  • August 20, 2024:Sabato's Crystal Ball moved North Carolina from leans Republican to toss-up.[13]
  • August 8, 2024:The Cook Political Report moved Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada from lean Republican to toss-up.[14]
  • August 7, 2024:Sabato's Crystal Ball moved Georgia from leans Republican to toss-up, and moved New Hampshire from leans Democratic to likely Democratic.[15]
  • August 6, 2024:Sabato's Crystal Ball moved Minnesota from leans Democratic to likely Democratic.[16]
  • July 9, 2024:The Cook Political Report moved Minnesota, Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District, and New Hampshire from likely Democratic to lean Democratic, and moved Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada from toss-up to lean Republican.[17]
  • July 3, 2024:Sabato's Crystal Ball moved Michigan from leans Democratic to toss-up, and moved Minnesota from likely Democratic to leans Democratic.[18]
  • June 13, 2024:Sabato's Crystal Ball moved Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio from likely Republican to safe Republican, moved Maine's 2nd Congressional District from leans Republican to likely Republican, moved Georgia from toss-up to leans Republican, and moved Pennsylvania from leans Democratic to toss-up.[19]
  • June 12, 2024:The Cook Political Report moved New Mexico and Virginia from solid Democratic to likely Democratic.[20]
  • May 8, 2024:Inside Elections moved Nevada from tilt Democratic to toss-up.[21]

Arizona

See also:Presidential election in Arizona, 2024

Election results


Presidential election in Arizona, 2024
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/J.D. Vance (R)
 
52.2
 
1,770,24211
Image of
Image of
Kamala D. Harris/Tim Walz (D)
 
46.7
 
1,582,8600
Image of
Image of
Jill Stein/Butch Ware (G)
 
0.5
 
18,3190
Image of
Image of
Chase Oliver/Mike ter Maat (L)
 
0.5
 
17,8980
Image of
Image of
Claudia De La Cruz/Karina Garcia (Party for Socialism and Liberation) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
6890
Image of
Image of
Shiva Ayyadurai/Crystal Ellis (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
770
Image of
Image of
Joel Skousen/Rik Combs (Constitution Party) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
530
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Dawanda Shelton/Carrie Ann Serra (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
190
Image of
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
President Boddie/Eric Stoneham (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
40

Ballotpedia Logo

There were no incumbents in this race The results have been certified.

Total votes: 3,390,161


Polls

Voting information

See also:Voting in Arizona

Election information inArizona: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 7, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 7, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 7, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 25, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 25, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 25, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 9, 2024 to Nov. 1, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

6:00 a.m. - 7:00 p.m. (MST)


Historical election results


Presidential election in Arizona, 2020
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
Image of
Image of
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D)
 
49.4
 
1,672,14311
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R)
 
49.1
 
1,661,6860
Image of
Image of
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L)
 
1.5
 
51,4650
Image of
Image of
Howie Hawkins/Angela Nicole Walker (G) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
1,5570
Image of
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Jade Simmons/Claudeliah Roze (Unaffiliated) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
2360
Image of
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Gloria La Riva/Sunil Freeman (Party for Socialism and Liberation) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
1900
Image of
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Daniel Clyde Cummings/Ryan Huber (American Constitution Party) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
360
Image of
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
President Boddie/Eric Stoneham (Unaffiliated)
 
0.0
 
130

Ballotpedia Logo

Incumbents arebolded and underlined The results have been certified.

Total votes: 3,387,326


U.S. presidential election, Arizona, 2016
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    DemocraticHillary Clinton/Tim Kaine45.1%1,161,1670
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump/Mike Pence48.7%1,252,40111
    LibertarianGary Johnson/Bill Weld4.1%106,3270
    GreenJill Stein/Ajamu Baraka1.3%34,3450
    OtherWrite-in votes0.7%18,9250
Total Votes2,573,16511
Election results via:Arizona Secretary of State


Click [show] to view more election results. 
U.S. presidential election, Arizona, 2012
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    DemocraticBarack Obama/Joe BidenIncumbent44.6%1,025,2320
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngMitt Romney/Paul Ryan53.7%1,233,65411
    LibertarianGary Johnson/Jim Gray1.4%32,1000
    GreenJill Stein/Cheri Honkala0.3%7,8160
    Write-in Virgil Goode/James Clymer (write-in)0%2890
    Write-in Ross C. 'Rocky' Anderson/Luis J. Rodriguez (write-in)0%1190
    Write-in Jill Reed/Tom Cary (write-in)0%170
    Write-in Will Christensen/Kenneth Gibbs (write-in)0%140
    Write-in Dennis Knill/David Gilder (write-in)0%70
    Write-in Sheila Tittle/Matthew Turner (write-in)0%60
Total Votes2,299,25411
Election results via:Arizona Secretary of State


U.S. presidential election, Arizona, 2008
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    DemocraticBarack Obama/Joe Biden45.1%1,034,7070
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngJohn McCain/Sarah Palin53.6%1,230,11110
    NoneRalph Nader/Matt Gonzalez0.5%11,3010
    LibertarianBob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root0.5%12,5550
    Green Cynthia McKinney/Rosa Clemente0.1%3,4060
    Write-in Chuck Baldwin/Darrell Castle (write-in)0.1%1,3710
    Write-in Jonathan Allen/Jeffrey Stath (write-in)0%80
    Write-in Charles Jay/Barry Hess (write-in)0%160
Total Votes2,293,47510
Election results via:Arizona Secretary of State

Georgia

See also:Presidential election in Georgia, 2024

Election results

Note:Cornel West (I) andClaudia De La Cruz (Party for Socialism and Liberation) were disqualified from the presidential race in Georgia, but still appeared on the ballot. Votes for West and De La Cruz were not counted.


Presidential election in Georgia, 2024
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/J.D. Vance (R)
 
50.7
 
2,663,11716
Image of
Image of
Kamala D. Harris/Tim Walz (D)
 
48.5
 
2,548,0170
Image of
Image of
Chase Oliver/Mike ter Maat (L)
 
0.4
 
20,6840
Image of
Image of
Jill Stein/Butch Ware (G)
 
0.3
 
18,2290
Image of
Peter Sonski (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
7300
Image of
Shiva Ayyadurai (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
370
Image of
Jay Bowman (no running mate) (Independent)
 
0.0
 
300
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Emily Mathews (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
190
Image of
President Boddie (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
140
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Brian Kienitz (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
130
Image of
Andre Ramon McNeil (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
90
Image of
Susan Buchser-Lochocki (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
30
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Nomusa Venita Smith (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
30

Ballotpedia Logo

There were no incumbents in this race The results have been certified.

Total votes: 5,250,905


Polls

Voting information

See also:Voting in Georgia

Election information inGeorgia: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 7, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 7, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 7, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 25, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 25, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 25, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 15, 2024 to Nov. 1, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 7:00 p.m. (EST)


PredictIt markets

See also:Prediction markets in the 2024 presidential election

What is a prediction market?

Prediction markets allow users to purchase shares relating to the outcome of events using real money. Each event, such as an election, has a number ofcontracts associated with it, each correlating to a different outcome. For instance, an election contested between four candidates would be represented by eight separate contracts, with each contract correlating to a particular candidate winning or losing the election.

The share price in each individual forecast rises and falls based on market demand. Once the event's outcome is decided, holders of shares that correlate with the correct outcome receive a payout for each share they held.

For example, a user buys 10 shares at 20 cents each in a presidential primary saying Candidate A will win. If Candidate A wins the election, the user earns $10. If the candidate loses, the user earns no money and loses his original $2 investment.

Why do prediction markets matter?

Prediction markets can be used to gain insight into the outcome of elections. Microsoft Research economist David Rothschild argued that they are better suited to the task than polls: "I can create a poll that can mimic everything about a prediction market...except markets have a way of incentivizing you to come back at 2 a.m. and update your answer."[22][23][24]

Historical election results


Presidential election in Georgia, 2020
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
Image of
Image of
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D)
 
49.5
 
2,473,63316
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R)
 
49.3
 
2,461,8540
Image of
Image of
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L)
 
1.2
 
62,2290

Ballotpedia Logo

Incumbents arebolded and underlined The results have been certified.

Total votes: 4,997,716


U.S. presidential election, Georgia, 2016
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    DemocraticHillary Clinton/Tim Kaine45.6%1,877,9630
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump/Mike Pence50.8%2,089,10416
    LibertarianGary Johnson/Bill Weld3%125,3060
    - Other/Write-in0.5%22,3590
Total Votes4,114,73216
Election results via:Federal Election Commission


Click [show] to view more election results. 
U.S. presidential election, Georgia, 2012
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    DemocraticBarack Obama/Joe BidenIncumbent45.5%1,773,8270
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngMitt Romney/Paul Ryan53.3%2,078,68816
    LibertarianGary Johnson/Jim Gray1.2%45,3240
    Write-in Write-in candidates0.1%2,2110
Total Votes3,900,05016
Election results via:Georgia Secretary of State


U.S. presidential election, Georgia, 2008
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    DemocraticBarack Obama/Joe Biden47%1,844,1230
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngJohn McCain/Sarah Palin52.2%2,048,75915
    LibertarianBob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root0.7%28,7310
    Write-in Write-in candidates0.1%2,8730
Total Votes3,924,48615
Election results via:Georgia Secretary of State

Michigan

See also:Presidential election in Michigan, 2024

Election results


Presidential election in Michigan, 2024
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/J.D. Vance (R)
 
49.7
 
2,816,63615
Image of
Image of
Kamala D. Harris/Tim Walz (D)
 
48.3
 
2,736,5330
Image of
Image of
Jill Stein/Butch Ware (G)
 
0.8
 
44,6070
Image of
Image of
Robert F. Kennedy Jr./Nicole Shanahan (Natural Law Party of Michigan)
 
0.5
 
26,7850
Image of
Image of
Chase Oliver/Mike ter Maat (L)
 
0.4
 
22,4400
Image of
Image of
Cornel West/Melina Abdullah (Independent)
 
0.1
 
6,6640
Image of
Image of
Randall Terry/Stephen E. Broden (U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan)
 
0.1
 
6,5090
Image of
Image of
Joseph Kishore/Jerry White (Independent)
 
0.0
 
2,3300
 Other write-in votes
 
0.0
 
1,6820

Ballotpedia Logo

There were no incumbents in this race The results have been certified.

Total votes: 5,664,186


Polls

Voting information

See also:Voting in Michigan

Election information inMichigan: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 21, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 21, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 4, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 1, 2024
  • Online: Nov. 1, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 26, 2024 to Nov. 3, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 8:00 p.m. (EST/CST)


Historical election results


Presidential election in Michigan, 2020
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
Image of
Image of
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D)
 
50.6
 
2,804,04016
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R)
 
47.8
 
2,649,8520
Image of
Image of
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L)
 
1.1
 
60,3810
Image of
Image of
Howie Hawkins/Angela Nicole Walker (G)
 
0.2
 
13,7180
Image of
Image of
Don Blankenship/William Mohr (U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan)
 
0.1
 
7,2350
Image of
Image of
Roque De La Fuente/Darcy Richardson (Natural Law Party of Michigan)
 
0.1
 
2,9860
Image of
Brian T. Carroll (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
9630
Image of
Jade Simmons (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
890
Image of
Tom Hoefling (no running mate) (Independent)
 
0.0
 
320
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Kasey Wells (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
50
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Tara Hunter (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
10

Ballotpedia Logo

Incumbents arebolded and underlined The results have been certified.

Total votes: 5,539,302


U.S. presidential election, Michigan, 2016
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    DemocraticHillary Clinton/Tim Kaine47.3%2,268,8390
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump/Mike Pence47.5%2,279,54316
    LibertarianGary Johnson/Bill Weld3.6%172,1360
    GreenJill Stein/Ajamu Baraka1.1%51,4630
    U.S. TaxpayersDarrell Lane Castle/Scott Bradley0.3%16,1390
    Natural LawEmidio Soltysik/Angela Nicole Walker0%2,2090
    OtherWrite-in votes0.2%8,9550
Total Votes4,799,28416
Election results via:Michigan Department of State


Click [show] to view more election results. 
U.S. presidential election, Michigan, 2012
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngBarack Obama/Joe BidenIncumbent54.2%2,564,56916
    RepublicanMitt Romney/Paul Ryan44.7%2,115,2560
    GreenJill Stein/Cheri Honkala0.5%21,8970
    Natural Law Ross Anderson/Luis J. Rodriguez0.1%5,1470
    U.S. Taxpayers Virgil Goode/James Clymer0.3%16,1190
    Write-in Write-in candidates0.2%7,9730
Total Votes4,730,96116
Election results via:Michigan Secretary of State


U.S. presidential election, Michigan, 2008
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngBarack Obama/Joe Biden57.4%2,872,57917
    RepublicanJohn McCain/Sarah Palin41%2,048,6390
    Natural LawRalph Nader/Matt Gonzalez0.7%33,0850
    LibertarianBob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root0.5%23,7160
    Green Cynthia McKinney/Rosa Clemente0.2%8,8920
    U.S. Taxpayers Chuck Baldwin/Darrell Castle0.3%14,6850
    Write-in Write-in candidates0%1700
Total Votes5,001,76617
Election results via:Michigan Secretary of State

Nevada

See also:Presidential election in Nevada, 2024

Election results


Presidential election in Nevada, 2024
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/J.D. Vance (R)
 
50.6
 
751,2056
Image of
Image of
Kamala D. Harris/Tim Walz (D)
 
47.5
 
705,1970
Image of
Image of
Chase Oliver/Mike ter Maat (L)
 
0.4
 
6,0590
Image of
Image of
Joel Skousen/Rik Combs (Independent American Party)
 
0.2
 
2,7540
 Other write-in votes
 
1.3
 
19,6250

Ballotpedia Logo

There were no incumbents in this race The results have been certified.

Total votes: 1,484,840


Polls

Voting information

See also:Voting in Nevada

Election information inNevada: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 8, 2024
  • Online: Nov. 5, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: N/A
  • By mail: N/A by N/A
  • Online: N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 19, 2024 to Nov. 1, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 7:00 p.m. (MST/PST)


Historical election results


Presidential election in Nevada, 2020
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
Image of
Image of
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D)
 
50.1
 
703,4866
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R)
 
47.7
 
669,8900
Image of
Image of
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L)
 
1.1
 
14,7830
Image of
Image of
Don Blankenship/William Mohr (Independent American Party)
 
0.2
 
3,1380
 Other write-in votes
 
1.0
 
14,0790

Ballotpedia Logo

Incumbents arebolded and underlined The results have been certified.

Total votes: 1,405,376


U.S. presidential election, Nevada, 2016
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngHillary Clinton/Tim Kaine47.9%539,2606
    RepublicanDonald Trump/Mike Pence45.5%512,0580
    LibertarianGary Johnson/Bill Weld3.3%37,3840
    Independent AmericanDarrell Lane Castle/Scott Bradley0.5%5,2680
    OtherRocky De La Fuente/Michael Steinberg0.2%2,5520
    -"None of these candidates"2.6%28,8630
Total Votes1,125,3856
Election results via:Nevada Secretary of State


Click [show] to view more election results. 
U.S. presidential election, Nevada, 2012
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngBarack Obama/Joe BidenIncumbent52.4%531,3736
    RepublicanMitt Romney/Paul Ryan45.7%463,5670
    LibertarianGary Johnson/Jim Gray1.1%10,9680
    N/A None of these candidates0.6%5,7700
    Independent American Party of Nevada Virgil Goode/Jim Clymer0.3%3,2400
Total Votes1,014,9186
Election results via:U.S. Election Atlas


U.S. presidential election, Nevada, 2008
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngBarack Obama/Joe Biden55.1%533,7365
    RepublicanJohn McCain/Sarah Palin42.7%412,8270
    N/A None of these candidates0.6%6,2670
    Independent Ralph Nader/Matt Gonzalez0.6%6,1500
    Libertarian Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root0.4%4,2630
    Independent American Party of Nevada Chuck Baldwin/Michael Peroutka0.3%3,1940
    Green Cynthia McKinney/Rosa Clemente0.1%1,4110
Total Votes967,8485
Election results via:U.S. Election Atlas

North Carolina

See also:Presidential election in North Carolina, 2024

Election results


Presidential election in North Carolina, 2024
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/J.D. Vance (R)
 
50.9
 
2,898,42316
Image of
Image of
Kamala D. Harris/Tim Walz (D)
 
47.6
 
2,715,3750
Image of
Image of
Jill Stein/Butch Ware (G)
 
0.4
 
24,7620
Image of
Image of
Chase Oliver/Mike ter Maat (L)
 
0.4
 
22,1250
Image of
Image of
Cornel West/Melina Abdullah (Justice for All)
 
0.2
 
12,0990
Image of
Image of
Randall Terry/Stephen E. Broden (Constitution Party)
 
0.1
 
6,8630
 Other write-in votes
 
0.3
 
19,4940

Ballotpedia Logo

There were no incumbents in this race The results have been certified.

Total votes: 5,699,141


Polls

Voting information

See also:Voting in North Carolina

Election information inNorth Carolina: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 2, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 11, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 11, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 29, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 29, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 29, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 17, 2024 to Nov. 2, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

6:30 a.m. - 7:30 p.m. (EST)


Historical election results


Presidential election in North Carolina, 2020
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R)
 
49.9
 
2,758,77515
Image of
Image of
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D)
 
48.6
 
2,684,2920
Image of
Image of
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L)
 
0.9
 
48,6780
Image of
Image of
Howie Hawkins/Angela Nicole Walker (G)
 
0.2
 
12,1950
Image of
Image of
Don Blankenship/William Mohr (Constitution Party)
 
0.1
 
7,5490
Image of
Jade Simmons (no running mate) (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
1190
 Other write-in votes
 
0.2
 
13,1960

Ballotpedia Logo

Incumbents arebolded and underlined The results have been certified.

Total votes: 5,524,804


U.S. presidential election, North Carolina, 2016
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    DemocraticHillary Clinton/Tim Kaine46.2%2,189,3160
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump/Mike Pence49.8%2,362,63115
    LibertarianGary Johnson/Bill Weld2.7%130,1260
    -Write-in votes1.3%59,4910
Total Votes4,741,56415
Election results via:North Carolina State Board of Elections


Click [show] to view more election results. 
U.S. presidential election, North Carolina, 2012
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngMitt Romney/Paul Ryan50.4%2,270,39515
    DemocraticBarack Obama/Joe BidenIncumbent48.4%2,178,3910
    LibertarianGary Johnson/Jim Gray1%44,5150
    N/A Write-ins0.3%11,5370
Total Votes4,504,83815
Election results via:U.S. Election Atlas

Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Virgil Goode.[25]

U.S. presidential election, North Carolina, 2008
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngBarack Obama/Joe Biden49.7%2,142,65115
    RepublicanJohn McCain/Sarah Palin49.4%2,128,4740
    Libertarian Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root0.6%25,7220
    N/A Write-ins0.3%12,2920
Total Votes4,309,13915
Election results via:U.S. Election Atlas
Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Ralph Nader, Cynthia McKinney, and Brian Moore.[26]

Pennsylvania

See also:Presidential election in Pennsylvania, 2024

Election results


Presidential election in Pennsylvania, 2024
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/J.D. Vance (R)
 
50.2
 
3,543,30819
Image of
Image of
Kamala D. Harris/Tim Walz (D)
 
48.5
 
3,423,0420
Image of
Image of
Jill Stein/Samson LeBeau Kpadenou (G)
 
0.5
 
34,5380
Image of
Image of
Chase Oliver/Mike ter Maat (L)
 
0.5
 
33,3180
 Other write-in votes
 
0.3
 
24,5260

Ballotpedia Logo

There were no incumbents in this race The results have been certified.

Total votes: 7,058,732


Polls

Voting information

See also:Voting in Pennsylvania

Election information inPennsylvania: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 21, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 21, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 21, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 29, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 29, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 29, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Varies to Oct. 29, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 8:00 p.m. (EST)


Historical election results


Presidential election in Pennsylvania, 2020
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
Image of
Image of
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D)
 
50.0
 
3,458,22920
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R)
 
48.8
 
3,377,6740
Image of
Image of
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L)
 
1.1
 
79,3800

Ballotpedia Logo

Incumbents arebolded and underlined The results have been certified.

Total votes: 6,915,283


U.S. presidential election, Pennsylvania, 2016
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    DemocraticHillary Clinton/Tim Kaine47.5%2,926,4410
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump/Mike Pence48.2%2,970,73320
    LibertarianGary Johnson/Bill Weld2.4%146,7150
    GreenJill Stein/Ajamu Baraka0.8%49,9410
    ConstitutionDarrell Castle/Scott Bradley0.3%21,5720
    - Other/Write-in0.8%50,0760
Total Votes6,165,47820
Election results via:Federal Election Commission


Click [show] to view more election results. 
U.S. presidential election, Pennsylvania, 2012
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngBarack Obama/Joe BidenIncumbent52%2,990,27420
    RepublicanMitt Romney/Paul Ryan46.6%2,680,4340
    LibertarianGary Johnson/Jim Gray0.9%49,9910
    Green Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala0.4%21,3410
    N/A Write-ins0.2%12,5760
Total Votes5,754,61620
Election results via:U.S. Election Atlas

Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Virgil Goode, Ross Anderson, Roseanne Barr, Thomas Hoefling, Jill Ann Reed, Andre Barnett, Stewart Alexander, and Chuck Baldwin.[27]

U.S. presidential election, Pennsylvania, 2008
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngBarack Obama/Joe Biden54.5%3,276,36321
    RepublicanJohn McCain/Sarah Palin44.2%2,655,8850
    Independent Ralph Nader/Matt Gonzalez0.7%42,9770
    Libertarian Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root0.3%19,9120
    N/A Write-ins0.2%14,2910
Total Votes6,009,42821
Election results via:U.S. Election Atlas
Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Ron Paul, Chuck Baldwin, Cynthia McKinney, Alan Keyes, Brian Moore, Roger Calero, Frank McEnulty, Gloria LaRiva, and Charles Jay.[28]

Wisconsin

See also:Presidential election in Wisconsin, 2024

Election results


Presidential election in Wisconsin, 2024
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/J.D. Vance (R)
 
49.6
 
1,697,62610
Image of
Image of
Kamala D. Harris/Tim Walz (D)
 
48.7
 
1,668,2290
Image of
Image of
Robert F. Kennedy Jr./Nicole Shanahan (Independent)
 
0.5
 
17,7400
Image of
Image of
Jill Stein/Butch Ware (G)
 
0.4
 
12,2750
Image of
Image of
Chase Oliver/Mike ter Maat (L)
 
0.3
 
10,5110
Image of
Image of
Randall Terry/Stephen E. Broden (Constitution Party)
 
0.1
 
4,0440
Image of
Image of
Cornel West/Melina Abdullah (Independent)
 
0.1
 
2,7530
Image of
Image of
Claudia De La Cruz/Karina Garcia (Independent)
 
0.1
 
2,0350
Image of
Image of
Peter Sonski/Lauren Onak (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
5610
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Doug Jenkins/Kimberly A. Lalonde (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
120
Image of
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Future Madam Potus/Jessica Kennedy (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
10
 Other write-in votes
 
0.2
 
7,1310

Ballotpedia Logo

There were no incumbents in this race The results have been certified.

Total votes: 3,422,918


Polls

PredictIt markets

See also:Prediction markets in the 2024 presidential election

What is a prediction market?

Prediction markets allow users to purchase shares relating to the outcome of events using real money. Each event, such as an election, has a number ofcontracts associated with it, each correlating to a different outcome. For instance, an election contested between four candidates would be represented by eight separate contracts, with each contract correlating to a particular candidate winning or losing the election.

The share price in each individual forecast rises and falls based on market demand. Once the event's outcome is decided, holders of shares that correlate with the correct outcome receive a payout for each share they held.

For example, a user buys 10 shares at 20 cents each in a presidential primary saying Candidate A will win. If Candidate A wins the election, the user earns $10. If the candidate loses, the user earns no money and loses his original $2 investment.

Why do prediction markets matter?

Prediction markets can be used to gain insight into the outcome of elections. Microsoft Research economist David Rothschild argued that they are better suited to the task than polls: "I can create a poll that can mimic everything about a prediction market...except markets have a way of incentivizing you to come back at 2 a.m. and update your answer."[29][30][31]

Voting information

See also:Voting in Wisconsin

Election information inWisconsin: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 16, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 16, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 3, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 31, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 31, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 22, 2024 to Nov. 3, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 8:00 p.m. (CST)


Historical election results


Presidential election in Wisconsin, 2020
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
Image of
Image of
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D)
 
49.5
 
1,630,67310
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R)
 
48.8
 
1,610,0650
Image of
Image of
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L)
 
1.2
 
38,4910
Image of
Image of
Brian T. Carroll/Amar Patel (American Solidarity Party)
 
0.2
 
5,2580
Image of
Image of
Don Blankenship/William Mohr (Constitution Party)
 
0.2
 
5,1440
 Other write-in votes
 
0.2
 
7,7210

Ballotpedia Logo

Incumbents arebolded and underlined The results have been certified.

Total votes: 3,297,352


U.S. presidential election, Wisconsin, 2016
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    DemocraticHillary Clinton/Tim Kaine46.5%1,382,5360
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump/Mike Pence47.2%1,405,28410
    LibertarianGary Johnson/Bill Weld3.6%106,6740
    GreenJill Stein/Ajamu Baraka1%31,0720
    ConstitutionDarrell Lane Castle/Scott Bradley0.4%12,1620
    Workers PartyMonica Moorehead/Lamont Lilly0.1%1,7700
    American DeltaRocky De La Fuente/Michael Steinberg0.1%1,5020
    -Write-in votes1.2%35,1500
Total Votes2,976,15010
Election results via:Wisconsin Elections Commission

Note: The vote totals above are from the recount.


Click [show] to view more election results. 
U.S. presidential election, Wisconsin, 2012
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngBarack Obama/Joe BidenIncumbent52.8%1,620,98510
    RepublicanMitt Romney/Paul Ryan45.9%1,407,9660
    LibertarianGary Johnson/Jim Gray0.7%20,4390
    Green Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala0.2%7,6650
    N/A Write-ins0.2%5,1700
    Constitution Virgil Goode/James Clymer0.2%4,9300
Total Votes3,067,15510
Election results via:U.S. Election Atlas

Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Jerry White, Peta Lindsay, Ross Anderson, and Roseanne Barr.[32]

U.S. presidential election, Wisconsin, 2008
PartyCandidateVote %VotesElectoral votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngBarack Obama/Joe Biden56.2%1,677,21110
    RepublicanJohn McCain/Sarah Palin42.3%1,262,3930
    Independent Ralph Nader/Matt Gonzalez0.6%17,6050
    Libertarian Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root0.3%8,8580
    N/A Write-ins0.2%6,5210
    Constitution Chuck Baldwin/Darrell Castle0.2%5,0720
    WI Green Cynthia McKinney/Rosa Clemente0.1%4,2160
Total Votes2,981,87610
Election results via:U.S. Election Atlas
Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Jeffrey Wamboldt, Brian Moore, and Gloria LaRiva.[33]

Performance of minor-party candidates, 2000-2020

The following two charts show the vote share of candidates running as Libertarian or Green Party candidates in presidential battlegrounds between 2000 and 2020.[34] Bolded entries represent vote shares greater than the margin of victory in that state, meaning the minor party candidate received a number of votes that could have changed the outcome of the election.

Vote share for Libertarian Party presidential candidate by battleground state, 2000-2020
State202020162012200820042000
Arizona1.5%4.1%1.4%0.5%0.6%0.4%
Georgia1.2%3.0%1.2%0.7%0.6%1.4%
Michigan1.1%3.6%N/A0.5%0.2%0.4%
Nevada1.1%3.3%1.0%0.4%0.4%0.5%
North Carolina0.9%2.7%1.0%0.6%0.3%0.4%
Pennsylvania1.1%2.4%0.9%0.3%0.4%0.2%
Wisconsin1.2%3.6%0.7%0.3%0.2%0.3%


Vote share for Green Party presidential candidate by battleground state, 2000-2020
State202020162012200820042000
Arizona0.0%1.3%0.3%0.2%N/A3.0%
GeorgiaN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Michigan0.2%1.1%0.5%0.2%0.1%2.0%
NevadaN/AN/AN/A0.2%0.1%2.5%
North Carolina0.2%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
PennsylvaniaN/A0.8%0.4%N/A0.1%2.1%
WisconsinN/A1.0%0.3%0.1%0.1%3.6%

See also

Presidential battleground states, 2016-2024
Use the dropdown menu below to navigate Ballotpedia's historical coverage of presidential battleground states.


Footnotes

  1. This tally includes the District of Columbia, one congressional district in Maine, and two congressional districts in Nebraska with the same consistent record
  2. 270 to Win, "Electoral Map: Blue or Red States Since 2000," accessed July 15, 2020
  3. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  4. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  6. Cook Political Report, "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings," November 5, 2024
  7. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "Electoral College rating changes," November 4, 2024
  8. Inside Elections, "Presidential Ratings," November 3, 2024
  9. The Cook Political Report, "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings," November 1, 2024
  10. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "Electoral College rating changes," accessed September 25, 2024
  11. Inside Elections, "Presidential Ratings," August 29, 2024
  12. The Cook Political Report, "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings," August 27, 2024
  13. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "Electoral College rating changes," accessed September 19, 2024
  14. The Cook Political Report, "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings," August 8, 2024
  15. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "Electoral College rating changes," accessed September 19, 2024
  16. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "Electoral College rating changes," accessed September 19, 2024
  17. The Cook Political Report, "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings," July 9, 2024
  18. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "Electoral College rating changes," accessed September 19, 2024
  19. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "Electoral College rating changes," accessed September 19, 2024
  20. The Cook Political Report, "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings," June 12, 2024
  21. Inside Elections, "Presidential Ratings," May 8, 2024
  22. Nature, "The power of prediction markets," October 18, 2016
  23. Politico, "Meet the 'stock market' for politics," October 31, 2014
  24. U.S. Presidential General Election Results, "2008 Electoral Map Based on the Intrade Prediction Market," accessed January 25, 2018
  25. U.S. Election Atlas, "2012 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
  26. U.S. Election Atlas, "2008 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
  27. U.S. Election Atlas, "2012 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
  28. U.S. Election Atlas, "2008 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
  29. Nature, "The power of prediction markets," October 18, 2016
  30. Politico, "Meet the 'stock market' for politics," October 31, 2014
  31. U.S. Presidential General Election Results, "2008 Electoral Map Based on the Intrade Prediction Market," accessed January 25, 2018
  32. U.S. Election Atlas, "2012 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
  33. U.S. Election Atlas, "2008 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
  34. Dave Leip's Atlas of Presidential Elections, "Election Results," accessed October 2, 2020
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