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Pennsylvania gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2018

From Ballotpedia


2022
2014
Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline:March 6, 2018
Primary: May 15, 2018
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent(s):
Gov. Tom Wolf (Democrat)
Lt. Gov. Mike Stack (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Pennsylvania
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Inside Elections: Likely Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
Federal and state primary competitiveness
State executive elections in 2018
Impact of term limits in 2018
State government trifectas
State government triplexes
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
Pennsylvania
executive elections
Governor

Lieutenant governor

Sitting Gov.Tom Wolf (D) defeated former state Sen.Scott Wagner (R) in the general election forgovernor of Pennsylvania on November 6, 2018.

Although Wolf was first elected by a margin of 10 percentage points in2014,Donald Trump (R) carried the state in the2016 presidential election. The previous four presidential elections were won by the Democratic candidate, withBarack Obama (D) earning the largest victory margin at 10 percent in 2008. The narrowest was Trump's one percent margin in 2016.

The previous 10 gubernatorial elections were also split: Republican and Democratic candidates each won five.

A Republican victory could have shifted Pennsylvania from a divided government to aRepublican trifecta with Republicans controlling both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office. Threerace raters called the race Likely Democratic.

The winner of this election stood to influence the state'sredistricting process following the 2020 census. Under Pennsylvania state law, thestate legislature is responsible for drawing new maps forU.S. House seats following the completion of the census. Thegovernor has the power to veto these district map proposals. The governor may not veto district map proposals for state legislative seats, which are drawn by a political commission.[1] Clickhere for more information on redistricting procedures.

Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary,click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.

Contents

Candidates and election results

See also:Statistics on gubernatorial candidates, 2018

General election

General election for Governor of Pennsylvania

IncumbentTom Wolf defeatedScott Wagner,Ken Krawchuk, andPaul Glover in the general election for Governor of Pennsylvania on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Tom Wolf
Tom Wolf (D)
 
57.8
 
2,895,652
Image of Scott Wagner
Scott Wagner (R)
 
40.7
 
2,039,882
Image of Ken Krawchuk
Ken Krawchuk (L)
 
1.0
 
49,229
Image of Paul Glover
Paul Glover (G)
 
0.6
 
27,792

Ballotpedia Logo

Incumbents arebolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 5,012,555
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for Governor of Pennsylvania

IncumbentTom Wolf advanced from the Democratic primary for Governor of Pennsylvania on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Tom Wolf
Tom Wolf
 
100.0
 
749,812

Ballotpedia Logo

Incumbents arebolded and underlined. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 749,812
Candidate Connection = candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for Governor of Pennsylvania

Scott Wagner defeatedPaul Mango andLaura Ellsworth in the Republican primary for Governor of Pennsylvania on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Scott Wagner
Scott Wagner
 
44.3
 
326,612
Image of Paul Mango
Paul Mango
 
36.9
 
271,857
Image of Laura Ellsworth
Laura Ellsworth
 
18.8
 
138,843

Ballotpedia Logo

There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 737,312
Candidate Connection = candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Lieutenant gubernatorial election

General election candidates

Candidate profiles

See also:Editorial approach to writing about key campaign messages


Tom Wolf, governor of Pennsylvania
TomWolf.jpg

Campaign websiteFacebookTwitter

Party:Democratic

Incumbent: Yes

Political office: Governor of Pennsylvania (assumed office: 2015), Secretary of Revenue of Pennsylvania (2007-2008)

Biography: Wolf earned his B.A. from Dartmouth College, M.A. from the University of London, and PhD from MIT. He served in the Peace Corps in India. He owned a kitchen cabinet supply and specialty building products company for more than two decades before being elected governor of Pennsylvania.[2]

Key messages
  • Wolf supported an extraction tax for the oil and gas industry.[3][4]
  • Wolf said he was able to raise nearly $1 billion in education funding and reduce the state's reliance on property taxes to fund schools. He said he accomplished these goals while working with a Republican state legislature.[4][5]
  • Wolf said Wagner wanted to tax retirement income. He released several videos highlighting Wagner calling seniors the greediest generation.[6][7]



Scott Wagner, former state senator
Scott Wagner.jpg

Campaign websiteFacebookTwitter

Party:Republican

Incumbent: No

Political office: Pennsylvania State Senate (2014-2018)

Biography: After graduating from Dallastown Area High School, Wagner started several businesses. He owned York Waste Disposal for nearly two decades before starting Penn Waste. Wagner was the first state Senate candidate in state history to win his seat as a write-in candidate.[8][9]

Key messages
  • Wagner said his mission in office was to "protect your paycheck." He said he would reduce regulations imposed under the Wolf administration.[10]
  • Wagner said that he would eliminate school taxes on homes and stop a 45-year streak of tax increases on personal incomes, sales, and goods.[10]
  • Wagner presented himself as a self-made businessman who understood the struggles of the working class, driving his opposition to increased taxes.[9][11]


Polls

See also:Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Governor of Pennsylvania, 2018
PollPoll sponsorDemocratic PartyTom WolfRepublican PartyScott WagnerUndecided/OtherMargin of errorSample size
Franklin & Marshall University
September 17-23, 2018
N/A52%30%18%+/-6.1545
Reuters/Ipsos/UVA Center for Politics
September 12-19, 2018
N/A55%38%8%+/-3.41,080
Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion
September 13-19, 2018
N/A55%36%9%+/-5.5404
Rasmussen Reports
September 12-13, 2018
N/A52%40%8%+/-3.5800
Marist College
August 12-16, 2018
NBC News54%40%6%+/-4.2713
Suffolk University
June 21-25, 2018
N/A47%36%15%+/-4.4500
AVERAGES 52.5% 36.67% 10.67% +/-4.52 673.67
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email toeditor@ballotpedia.org.
Click [show] to view hypothetical matchup polls conducted before the May 15 primary. 
Pennsylvania Governor, 2018(Wolf vs. Ellsworth hypothetical matchup)
PollTom Wolf (D)Laura Ellsworth (R)Undecided/OtherMargin of errorSample size
Muhlenberg College
(April 4-12, 2018)
46%26%28%+/-5.5414
Franklin & Marshall College
(March 19-26, 2018)
51%22%27%+/-6.8423
AVERAGES 48.5% 24% 27.5% +/-6.15 418.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email toeditor@ballotpedia.org.
Pennsylvania Governor, 2018(Wolf vs. Mango hypothetical matchup)
PollTom Wolf (D)Paul Mango (R)Undecided/OtherMargin of errorSample size
Muhlenberg College
(April 4-12, 2018)
47%27%27%+/-5.5414
Franklin & Marshall College
(March 19-26, 2018)
49%22%29%+/-6.8423
AVERAGES 48% 24.5% 28% +/-6.15 418.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email toeditor@ballotpedia.org.
Pennsylvania Governor, 2018(Wolf vs. Wagner hypothetical matchup)
PollTom Wolf (D)Scott Wagner (R)Undecided/OtherMargin of errorSample size
Muhlenberg College
(April 4-12, 2018)
47%31%21%+/-5.5414
Franklin & Marshall College
(March 19-26, 2018)
38%21%41%+/-6.8423
AVERAGES 42.5% 26% 31% +/-6.15 418.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email toeditor@ballotpedia.org.

PredictIt Prices

This section provides the PredictIt market prices for this race during the three months leading up to the election.PredictIt is a site where people make and trade predictions on political and financial events. Market prices reflect the probability, based on PredictIt users' predictions, that a candidate will win a race. For example, a market price of $0.60 for Candidate A is equivalent to a 60 percent probability that Candidate A will win.

Campaign finance

Satellite spending

Satellite spending, commonly referred to asoutside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees,super PACs, trade associations, and501(c)(4)nonprofit groups.[12][13][14]

This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, pleaseemail us.

Race ratings

See also:Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets:The Cook Political Report,Inside Elections,Sabato's Crystal Ball, andDDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe andSolid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[15]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[16][17][18]

Race ratings: Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, 2018
Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2018October 30, 2018October 23, 2018October 16, 2018
The Cook Political ReportLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.

Noteworthy endorsements

See also:Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, pleaseclick here.


General election endorsements
EndorsementDemocratic Party WolfRepublican Party Wagner
Political figures
PresidentDonald Trump (R)[19]
Former PresidentBarack Obama (D)[20]
Vice PresidentMike Pence (R)[21]

Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites, if available:

Campaign advertisements

Democratic PartyTom Wolf

Support

"The Only One" - Wolf campaign ad, released September 13, 2018
"Education" - Wolf campaign ad, released August 16, 2018
"That's Different" - Wolf campaign ad, released February 27, 2018

Oppose

"Seniors" - Wagner opposition ad, released September 6, 2018
"Drastic" - Wagner opposition ad, released August 1, 2018

Republican PartyScott Wagner

Support

"Education" - Wagner campaign ad, released August 8, 2018
"Self-Made" - Wagner campaign ad, released July 11, 2018

Oppose

"Came From" - Wolf opposition ad, released September 6, 2018

Debates and forums

October 1, 2018, debate

Wolf and Wagner participated in the only Pennsylvania gubernatorial debate of the election cycle on October 1, 2018, hosted by the Pennsylvania Chamber of Business and Industry and moderated byJeopardy! host Alex Trebek. The candidates discussed the budget, capital punishment, education, and the state's retirement system, among other issues.

  • Find theMorning Call round-up of the debatehere.
  • Find theWHYY round-up of the debatehere.
  • Find theYork Daily Record round-up of the debatehere.
Pennsylvania gubernatorial debate, October 1, 2018

Campaign themes

These were the policy positions listed on the candidates' websites.

Democratic Party Tom Wolf

REFORMING GOVERNMENT

Leading by Example

Governor Wolf refuses to take a state salary or pension. He also requires cabinet secretaries to post their expenses online each month.

SENIORS

Enhancing Quality of Care

Governor Wolf created a task force to enhance the quality of care for seniors in long-term living facilities.

OPIOID CRISIS

Improving Doctor Prescribing Guidelines

Governor Wolf has announced improved prescribing guidelines for the safe and effective use of opioids.

ENVIRONMENT

Banning Drilling in the Delaware River Basin

In September, Governor Wolf and the governors of Delaware and New York, comprising a majority of the Delaware River Basin Commission (DRBC), announced that they voted in favor of a resolution put forward by the commission to issue draft regulations to permanently ban hydraulic fracturing for oil and gas in the Delaware River Basin.

ENVIRONMENT

Enacting the Gas Drilling Moratorium

With one of his first actions in office, Governor Wolf enacted a gas drilling moratorium on Pennsylvania’s state parks. Governor Wolf knows we must strike the right balance with Pennsylvania’s growing energy economy, and he knows our state parks and forests are unique assets that should be preserved, protected, and utilized by our residents for recreational purposes.

ENVIRONMENT

Fighting back against cuts from the Trump Administration

Governor Wolf stood up to Trump’s proposed cuts to the Environmental Protection Agency. These cuts if enacted would harm businesses seeking permits, and harm residents’ clean water, air, and land. The reductions would also impact safe drinking water inspections, sewage and industrial wastewater inspections, brownfield redevelopment, and eliminate funding for radon protection, a problem that plagues Pennsylvania homes.

Governor Wolf fought the Trump Administration’s efforts to delay new ozone pollution regulations. Governor Wolf fought this to protect children who suffer from asthma and respiratory illnesses.

ENVIRONMENT

Supporting Solar Energy

Governor Wolf reopened a $30 million loan program to encourage the use of solar energy in Pennsylvania. The governor is working to make sure that the benefits of increased renewable jobs, a cleaner environment, and a growing renewable economy will be felt throughout the commonwealth.

EDUCATION

Restored the $1 Billion Cut to Education Made Under Corbett

Governor Wolf has fully restored the $1 billion cut to education made under the Corbett administration that led to teacher layoffs, larger class sizes, and cuts to important programs.

EDUCATION REFORMING GOVERNMENT

Enacting a Fair Funding Formula

Governor Wolf believes that all children, no matter their zip code, deserve a high quality education. That’s why he enacted a fair funding formula that removes politics from school funding.

EDUCATION

Investing in Pre-K and Kindergarten

Governor Wolf knows that we need our students to start early in order to get a head start in life. Since he’s taken office, Governor Wolf has increased the number of children able to attend pre-kindergarten by 64% and increased the number of students enrolled in full-day kindergarten to 93,800.

EDUCATION

Preparing Students for 21st Century Jobs

Governor Wolf wants to make sure Pennsylvanians are prepared for jobs of the future. He’s launched Pennsylvania to third in the nation in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics education and increased the number of credentials earned by students in career and technical education programs by 32%.

EDUCATION

Improving Graduation Rates

Under Governor Wolf, high school graduation rates have increased to 86%, making Pennsylvania a national leader.

EDUCATION

Improving School Safety and Security

Governor Wolf has made ensuring the safety of Pennsylvanians, especially our children, a top priority. That’s why he created a task force to bring together officials, educators, parents and students to talk about ways to improve school safety and security.

JOBS

Expanding Workforce Development Opportunities

Governor Wolf has approved nearly $1 million in funding through the new Manufacturing PA initiative for seven new training programs across Pennsylvania to give 250 job-seekers the skills they need to secure a stable, high-paying job in manufacturing and passed a manufacturing tax credit. Governor Wolf has supported the training of more than 120,000 workers at more than 2,200 companies across the commonwealth to help workers thrive in their jobs and develop more marketable skills.

REFORMING GOVERNMENT

Banning Gifts

Governor Wolf’s first actions as governor were to sign an executive order banning members of his administration from accepting gifts and reforming legal contracting to end the pay-to-play culture in Harrisburg.

HEALTH CARE OPIOID CRISIS

Expanding Medicaid

One of Governor Wolf’s first actions as Governor was to expand Medicaid giving an additional 720,000 Pennsylvanians the health care they need, including over 125,000 Pennsylvanians with substance abuse disorder.

HEALTH CARE

Reducing the Uninsured Rate

Governor Wolf has reduced Pennsylvania’s uninsured rate to 5.6%, the lowest rate on record.

HEALTH CARE PROGRESSIVE VALUES

Standing up to Donald Trump’s Extreme Agenda

Governor Wolf is standing up to Donald Trump’s extreme agenda by fighting against Trumpcare and proposed federal budget cuts that would eliminate Meals on Wheels, heating assistance for low-income people, and educational resources for students with disabilities.

PROGRESSIVE VALUES

Strengthening Animal Cruelty Laws

Governor Wolf signed Libre’s Law which improves Pennsylvania’s protection for animals. This bill increases penalties for animal cruelty and neglect and raises standards to ensure our pets and other animals are properly cared for.

PROGRESSIVE VALUES

Expanding Rights for our LGBTQ Community

Governor Wolf has expanded protections from discrimination based on sexual orientation, gender expression or identity for state employees and is fighting for similar protections at the statewide level.

SENIORS

Standing Up to Donald Trump’s Age Tax

Governor Wolf fought GOP efforts to institute an age tax and roll back prescription drug and health care coverage for our seniors.

JOBS

Fighting for A Minimum Wage Increase

Governor Wolf has fought for and continues to fight for a statewide minimum wage increase to $12 an hour, tied to inflation.

OPIOID CRISIS

Increasing Access to Overdose Antidote

Governor Wolf directed his physician general to sign a standing order for Naloxone, the overdose reversing antidote, so that any Pennsylvanians can get the life saving drug without a prescription. He also equipped law enforcement, first responders, and schools with the overdose-reversing antidote naloxone, leading to over 6,700 reversals since 2014.

REFORMING GOVERNMENT

Bringing the Liquor System into the 21st Century

Governor Wolf modernized Pennsylvania’s archaic liquor system by instituting the most significant reforms since Prohibition that improve customer convenience and for the first time allow beer to be sold at gas stations and c-stores and allow grocery stores to sell wine.

HEALTH CARE REFORMING GOVERNMENT

Legalizing Medical Marijuana

Governor Wolf signed a bill that legalized medical marijuana, providing long overdue medical relief to patients with serious medical conditions such as cancer & multiple sclerosis.

SENIORS

Upgrading Senior Community Centers

Governor Wolf invested millions in senior community centers in order to upgrade technology and facilities to give the centers the resources needed to revitalize and expand the services that enrich the lives or our senior population.

JOBS

Creating 21st Century Jobs

Governor Wolf has worked to expand companies like Amazon to make Pennsylvania a technology hub and passed a manufacturing tax credit.

ENVIRONMENT PROGRESSIVE VALUES

Standing up to Big Oil and Gas

Governor Wolf stopped the Republican plan to gut environmental regulations in favor of big oil and gas. Governor Wolf passed new safeguards that improved the protection of water and public resources, as well as public health and safety, and also addressed landowner concerns, enhanced transparency, and improved data management.JOBS

Eliminating Burdensome Business Taxes

Governor Wolf has eliminated burdensome taxes on businesses like the Capital Stock and Franchise Tax.

REFORMING GOVERNMENT

Improving Government Contracting

Governor Wolf signed an executive order to increase diverse and small business participation in state government contracting.

OPIOID CRISIS

Keeping Drugs off the Street

Governor Wolf strengthened the use of the Prescription Drug Monitoring Program so that doctors can identify if patients are “doctor shopping” and have been prescribed opioids by other physicians. The system now has 90,000 users who have conducted over one million searches. Governor Wolf also increased the number of drug-take back boxes to 700 for unwanted, expired, or unused prescriptions leading to the destruction of over 150 tons of drugs.

HEALTH CARE

Increasing Access to Health Insurance for our Kids

Governor Wolf has increased enrollment in the Children’s Health Insurance Program by 20%. The program now serves more than 180,000 Pennsylvania children.

SENIORS

Protecting the Lottery Fund for Senior Programs

Governor Wolf stabilized the Lottery Fund, which supports important senior programs, by authorizing the Pennsylvania Lottery to offer virtual sports games at Lottery retailers, including bars and taverns.

SENIORS

Increasing Opportunities to Age in Place

Governor Wolf has increased opportunities for older Pennsylvanians to remain in their homes. Under Governor Wolf, more than 50,000 additional seniors, a 41% increase, are able to age in their homes.

PROGRESSIVE VALUES REFORMING GOVERNMENT

Leading on Criminal Justice Reform

Governor Wolf has pushed for criminal justice reforms to refocus the system on rehabilitation and end mass incarceration. Under his leadership, Pennsylvania has reduced recidivism. The governor also banned the box on non-civil service applications for jobs under his jurisdiction and he signed into law a bill allowing non-violent ex-offenders to ask the court to seal their criminal records, which will help them to get jobs and not return to prison. The governor is also leading an initiative to further improve our criminal justice system from sentencing guidelines to our bail system.

REFORMING GOVERNMENT

Increasing Transparency

Governor Wolf publishes his schedule for the public each day and requires cabinet secretaries to post their expenses online each month.

SENIORS

Protecting Seniors’ Health Care

Governor Wolf saved more than 180,000 seniors from losing their Medicare Advantage health plans.

JOBS

Investing in Infrastructure

Under Governor Wolf, 1,300 roads, 600 bridges, and more than 6,000 miles of roadway have been repaired or rebuilt, with $6 billion in infrastructure improvements funding jobs across Pennsylvania. Governor Wolf announced plans for an additional investment of more than $2 billion in road, highway and bridge projects over the next 10 years.

OPIOID CRISIS

Expanding Access to Treatment

Governor Wolf signed a first-of-its-kind Statewide Disaster Declaration for the heroin and opioid epidemic to enhance state response and increase access to treatment. He worked with medical professionals to create 45 centers that will treat more than 11,000 individuals. Governor Wolf also launched a 24/7 helpline, 1-800-662-HELP, for those who need immediate assistance with drug and alcohol problems.

PROGRESSIVE VALUES

Protecting Women’s Right to Choose

Governor Wolf has vetoed the most extreme anti-choice bill in the country, which would criminalize abortions and leave no exceptions for rape, incest, health or tragic fetal anomalies. As a former Planned Parenthood patient escort, Governor Wolf has also opposed Republican efforts to defund the organization.

REFORMING GOVERNMENT

Reforming our Pension System

Governor Wolf signed comprehensive pension reform which reduced risk to taxpayers, continues to pay down our debt, and slashes Wall Street fees while still offering state employees fair benefits.

PROGRESSIVE VALUES

Unrigging the Political System

Governor Wolf rejected Republicans’ gerrymandered maps to ensure that Pennsylvanians are fairly represented. He introduced a voting reform plan that includes same day and automatic voter registration, modernizing absentee voting, and enacting campaign finance reform. Governor Wolf instituted online voter registration in 2015, resulting in over 1 million new or updated Pennsylvanian voter registrations. He also refused Donald Trump’s request for Pennsylvania voters’ personal information.

JOBS

Streamlining Services for Small Business

Governor Wolf has assisted more than 7,000 entrepreneurs and business owners by cutting through red tape and establishing the new PA Business One-Stop Shop.

JOBS

Investing in Job Creators

Governor Wolf’s investment in the creation of a Shell Cracker Plant in Western Pennsylvania, the Port of Philadelphia, and a steel plant in Johnstown will create over 15,000 jobs.[22]

—Wolf for PA[23]

Republican Party Scott Wagner

JOBS AND YOUR PAYCHECK

WHAT'S THE PROBLEM?

In a word, opportunity -- or lack of it. The Wolf Administration is chasing good-paying job providers away to other states -- and he's blocking Pennsylvania from becoming the economic powerhouse of the Northeast. Under Tom Wolf, PA has one of the most punishing tax and regulatory burdens in the country -- with more than 150,000 regulations on the books. As a job creator, Scott Wagner knows firsthand how Governor Wolf's failed policies are hurting job creators, often forcing them to close shop or move to states with better business climates -- taking good paying jobs (and our kids) with them.

SCOTT'S PLAN

Protecting paychecks means plenty of good paying jobs. To make that happen, Scott intends to treat entrepreneurs like the valuable job creators they are. He will free business owners to from regulations and burdensome processes so they can provide better paychecks for hard working Pennsylvanians who've waited far too long for a chance to get ahead. How? Scott is a man of action.

TAXES AND YOUR PAYCHECK

WHAT'S THE PROBLEM?

In a word, mismanagement. Recent reports found hundreds of millions of taxpayer dollars were wasted, poorly invested, or lost. Our current governor, Tom Wolf, doesn't understand the concept of a hard earned dollar, because he's only ever known privilege and influence. His gross mismanagement takes a great deal of unecessary money out of your wallet. No governor has been more financially reckless, or done more to benefit wealthy special interests -- while treating hard working Pennsylvanians like ATM machines, and denying them the most basic considerations -- like safe, well-maintained roads.

SCOTT'S PLAN

Scott will protect your paycheck by cutting up Harrisburg's credit cards and shutting off the spending valve. He'll make it a place that takes less from you and returns more by forcing every agency to implement zero-based budgeting which will protect taxpayers from mismanagement. He'll sign legislation to eliminate the school taxes on your home, and he'll break Pennsylvania’s 45-year streak of tax increases on everything from personal income and sales, to gas and digital downloads.

EDUCATION AND YOUR PAYCHECK

WHAT'S THE PROBLEM?

In a word, politics. An immensely powerful school employees' union (the PSEA), and the politicians it controls, are diverting more and more money meant for students to an out of control state employee pension program. They’ve blocked Harrisburg from solving this crisis for students and overly burdened taxpayers. Politicians have promised, but failed to end reliance on property taxes to fund schools contributing to massive student inequality. Taxpayers are handcuffed to a system that drains them while it steals away the equal and excellent education our children deserve.

SCOTT'S PLAN

Scott will take on the big union bosses who own Tom Wolf -- so he can fix the student-robbing pension crisis and make sure funding goes to our students where it belongs. He'll end property tax reliance and make sure that no student is hurt by his or her zip code. He’ll sign legislation to stop over-prescribing of opioids and treat it like the code red crisis it is. He'll retool and reinvent the education system to prepare children to fill STEM jobs and the 200,000 available skilled labor positions.

THE CULTURE AND YOUR PAYCHECK

WHAT'S THE PROBLEM?

In a word, self-interest. Harrisburg is notorious for a culture which has allowed politicians and wealthy special interests to prosper at the expense of hard working Pennsylvanians. It has become known as a place where bribery, fraud and abuse of power are casually accepted -- where public service has become profitable. PA is home to the most expensive, wasteful and lavish legislature in the country -- one that has left honest citizens behind, and forgotten their interests. Instead of a system that encourages service to those hard workers, we have a system that has bred a generation of career politicians who look out for themselves.

SCOTT'S PLAN

Scott knows that to protect paychecks, we have to ensure elected officials are working for taxpayers, not themselves. He'll push to reduce the size of the legislature, abolish lawmaker per diems, pensions and lifetime health insurance plans. To break the culture of political careerism, Scott will work toward limiting terms in the legislature. He’ll move to ban former lawmakers from lobbying and to prohibit lobbying firms from engaging in campaign work on behalf of politicians.[22]

—Wagner for Governor[24]

Social media

Twitter accounts

Tweets by wolfforpaTweets by realScottWagner

Facebook accounts

Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.

Democratic PartyTom WolfFacebook

Republican PartySteve WagnerFacebook

Other 2018 statewide elections

See also:States with both gubernatorial and U.S. Senate elections in 2018

This race took place in one of twenty-two states that held elections for bothgovernor andU.S. Senate in 2018.

A table of where these elections occurred, the names of incumbents prior to the 2018 elections, and links to our coverage of these races can be viewed by clicking "[show]" on the banner below:

States holding both Gubernatorial and Senate elections in 2018
StateIncumbent GovernorOpen Seat?Incumbent SenatorOpen Seat?
ArizonaRepublican PartyDoug DuceyNoRepublican PartyJeff FlakeYes
CaliforniaDemocratic PartyJerry BrownYesDemocratic PartyDianne FeinsteinNo
ConnecticutDemocratic PartyDan MalloyYesDemocratic PartyChris MurphyNo
FloridaRepublican PartyRick ScottYesDemocratic PartyBill NelsonNo
HawaiiDemocratic PartyDavid IgeNoDemocratic PartyMazie HironoNo
MaineRepublican PartyPaul LePageYesGrey.pngAngus KingNo
MarylandRepublican PartyLarry HoganNoDemocratic PartyBen CardinNo
MassachusettsRepublican PartyCharlie BakerNoDemocratic PartyElizabeth WarrenNo
MichiganRepublican PartyRick SnyderYesDemocratic PartyDebbie StabenowNo
MinnesotaDemocratic PartyMark DaytonYesDemocratic PartyAmy KlobucharNo
NebraskaRepublican PartyPete RickettsNoRepublican PartyDeb FischerNo
NevadaRepublican PartyBrian SandovalYesRepublican PartyDean HellerNo
New MexicoRepublican PartySusana MartinezYesDemocratic PartyMartin HeinrichNo
New YorkDemocratic PartyAndrew CuomoNoDemocratic PartyKirsten GillibrandNo
OhioRepublican PartyJohn KasichYesDemocratic PartySherrod BrownNo
PennsylvaniaDemocratic PartyTom WolfNoDemocratic PartyBob Casey, Jr.No
Rhode IslandDemocratic PartyGina RaimondoNoDemocratic PartySheldon WhitehouseNo
TennesseeRepublican PartyBill HaslamYesRepublican PartyBob CorkerYes
TexasRepublican PartyGreg AbbottNoRepublican PartyTed CruzNo
VermontRepublican PartyPhil ScottNoGrey.pngBernie SandersNo
WisconsinRepublican PartyScott WalkerNoDemocratic PartyTammy BaldwinNo
WyomingRepublican PartyMatt MeadYesRepublican PartyJohn BarrassoNo

Pivot Counties

See also:Pivot Counties by state

Three of 67 Pennsylvania counties—4.5 percent—arepivot counties. These are counties that voted forBarack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and forDonald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 pivot counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
CountyTrump margin of victory in 2016Obama margin of victory in 2012Obama margin of victory in 2008
Erie County, Pennsylvania1.56%16.03%19.88%
Luzerne County, Pennsylvania19.31%4.81%8.41%
Northampton County, Pennsylvania3.78%4.71%12.30%

In the 2016 presidential election,Donald Trump (R) won Pennsylvania with 48.2 percent of the vote.Hillary Clinton (D) received 47.5 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Pennsylvania cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 76.7 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Pennsylvania supported Republican candidates for president more often than Democratic candidates, 53.3 to 43.3 percent. The state, however, favored Democrats in every presidential election between 2000 and 2012, but voted Republican in 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Pennsylvania. Click[show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled byDaily Kos.[25][26]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 89 out of 203 state House districts in Pennsylvania with an average margin of victory of 37.4 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 84 out of 203 state House districts in Pennsylvania with an average margin of victory of 37.3 points. Clinton won 19 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 114 out of 203 state House districts in Pennsylvania with an average margin of victory of 20 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 119 out of 203 state House districts in Pennsylvania with an average margin of victory of 28.2 points. Trump won 17 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.
2016 Presidential Results by state House District '
DistrictObamaRomney2012 MarginClintonTrump2016 MarginParty Control
174.23%24.51%D+49.762.96%33.11%D+29.8D
264.16%34.60%D+29.654.43%40.91%D+13.5D
352.42%46.30%D+6.145.74%49.76%R+4D
447.98%50.56%R+2.634.90%60.52%R+25.6R
539.20%59.23%R+2030.95%64.64%R+33.7R
641.46%56.84%R+15.433.98%61.68%R+27.7R
758.14%40.56%D+17.644.84%51.68%R+6.8D
831.90%66.60%R+34.724.28%71.25%R+47R
947.63%51.12%R+3.536.69%60.36%R+23.7D
1045.01%53.45%R+8.435.93%59.86%R+23.9R
1134.69%63.96%R+29.328.50%66.88%R+38.4R
1229.48%69.55%R+40.131.88%64.41%R+32.5R
1343.63%55.27%R+11.642.73%53.04%R+10.3R
1438.01%60.67%R+22.732.28%64.15%R+31.9R
1537.23%61.54%R+24.331.00%65.48%R+34.5R
1653.92%44.73%D+9.246.00%50.52%R+4.5D
1742.32%56.30%R+1429.47%66.56%R+37.1R
1857.88%40.91%D+1752.85%44.12%D+8.7R
1986.11%12.84%D+73.383.38%13.65%D+69.7D
2061.01%37.46%D+23.660.52%34.84%D+25.7D
2157.83%40.46%D+17.459.05%36.62%D+22.4D
2276.43%22.64%D+53.872.60%24.54%D+48.1D
2373.62%24.04%D+49.680.06%16.36%D+63.7D
2490.72%8.31%D+82.490.51%7.00%D+83.5D
2551.85%47.12%D+4.750.07%46.87%D+3.2D
2645.47%53.34%R+7.943.50%52.49%R+9R
2763.70%34.87%D+28.860.79%35.34%D+25.5D
2836.63%62.52%R+25.943.46%52.61%R+9.2R
2945.87%53.06%R+7.246.10%50.52%R+4.4R
3040.91%58.24%R+17.344.48%51.61%R+7.1R
3150.76%48.04%D+2.755.20%41.17%D+14D
3260.05%38.99%D+21.159.16%37.83%D+21.3D
3349.03%49.75%R+0.745.55%50.80%R+5.3D
3468.62%30.16%D+38.568.78%28.17%D+40.6D
3563.94%35.20%D+28.757.89%39.41%D+18.5D
3660.88%37.46%D+23.456.42%39.30%D+17.1D
3728.95%69.66%R+40.726.19%69.00%R+42.8R
3850.42%48.41%D+246.28%50.58%R+4.3D
3940.59%58.52%R+17.936.49%60.37%R+23.9R
4036.83%62.34%R+25.541.12%55.57%R+14.4R
4142.46%56.09%R+13.641.74%53.32%R+11.6R
4255.31%43.47%D+11.860.20%35.63%D+24.6D
4336.53%62.17%R+25.636.27%58.57%R+22.3R
4441.51%57.51%R+1643.16%53.29%R+10.1R
4551.33%47.58%D+3.749.81%46.66%D+3.2D
4644.33%54.63%R+10.339.68%56.72%R+17R
4740.06%58.68%R+18.634.74%60.75%R+26R
4845.49%53.23%R+7.740.70%55.39%R+14.7D
4949.95%48.61%D+1.337.74%58.75%R+21R
5046.33%52.50%R+6.233.66%63.80%R+30.1D
5141.10%57.87%R+16.830.84%66.70%R+35.9R
5240.85%57.93%R+17.130.15%67.36%R+37.2R
5348.81%49.75%R+0.948.69%46.74%D+2R
5436.11%62.89%R+26.834.91%61.80%R+26.9R
5539.89%58.83%R+18.931.43%65.24%R+33.8D
5634.08%64.90%R+30.831.32%65.45%R+34.1R
5736.37%62.35%R+2633.60%62.73%R+29.1R
5843.41%55.41%R+1234.02%63.22%R+29.2R
5931.93%66.81%R+34.926.42%70.50%R+44.1R
6030.82%67.77%R+3724.08%72.85%R+48.8R
6151.45%47.61%D+3.856.68%39.73%D+16.9R
6243.10%55.21%R+12.134.47%61.69%R+27.2R
6329.59%68.69%R+39.122.17%74.25%R+52.1R
6434.96%63.20%R+28.226.01%69.72%R+43.7R
6539.55%58.80%R+19.327.22%68.57%R+41.4R
6627.05%71.53%R+44.518.49%78.42%R+59.9R
6732.35%65.98%R+33.622.32%74.12%R+51.8R
6831.27%66.99%R+35.720.98%74.62%R+53.6R
6925.99%72.68%R+46.718.90%78.57%R+59.7R
7063.08%35.97%D+27.163.15%33.72%D+29.4D
7142.84%55.39%R+12.534.58%62.24%R+27.7D
7237.01%61.10%R+24.126.49%70.36%R+43.9D
7338.10%60.27%R+22.224.79%72.19%R+47.4R
7462.76%36.10%D+26.760.37%35.55%D+24.8R
7536.38%62.06%R+25.724.79%71.59%R+46.8R
7639.88%58.53%R+18.629.08%67.03%R+37.9D
7759.83%37.36%D+22.560.78%33.56%D+27.2D
7822.54%76.40%R+53.916.03%81.71%R+65.7R
7939.22%59.27%R+2030.70%65.55%R+34.9R
8026.47%72.45%R+4620.96%76.10%R+55.1R
8135.33%63.30%R+2830.25%66.04%R+35.8R
8226.74%72.05%R+45.319.62%77.01%R+57.4R
8338.82%59.70%R+20.932.82%62.88%R+30.1R
8426.66%72.04%R+45.418.99%77.66%R+58.7R
8535.45%62.97%R+27.531.55%64.64%R+33.1R
8633.17%65.18%R+3225.57%69.93%R+44.4R
8741.20%57.38%R+16.241.82%53.91%R+12.1R
8841.23%57.13%R+15.941.39%53.53%R+12.1R
8934.19%64.52%R+30.329.92%66.31%R+36.4R
9028.09%70.61%R+42.522.85%73.48%R+50.6R
9137.65%60.93%R+23.332.20%63.86%R+31.7R
9231.91%66.77%R+34.928.03%67.52%R+39.5R
9334.53%63.91%R+29.431.05%64.67%R+33.6R
9435.78%62.70%R+26.928.86%66.88%R+38R
9565.14%33.21%D+31.961.43%33.92%D+27.5D
9674.86%23.26%D+51.673.28%21.55%D+51.7D
9740.15%58.50%R+18.442.36%52.82%R+10.5R
9837.73%60.63%R+22.932.52%61.78%R+29.3R
9928.97%69.60%R+40.625.97%68.75%R+42.8R
10034.03%64.51%R+30.528.29%67.35%R+39.1R
10139.74%58.92%R+19.237.40%58.74%R+21.3R
10231.56%66.91%R+35.324.88%71.23%R+46.3R
10381.25%17.74%D+63.578.28%18.44%D+59.8D
10446.98%51.71%R+4.742.83%53.30%R+10.5R
10545.32%53.34%R+844.00%51.91%R+7.9R
10643.98%54.60%R+10.643.80%51.46%R+7.7R
10742.37%55.71%R+13.328.98%66.96%R+38R
10834.84%63.47%R+28.626.52%69.44%R+42.9R
10942.93%55.31%R+12.432.18%63.26%R+31.1R
11038.40%59.80%R+21.425.85%69.59%R+43.7R
11139.36%59.14%R+19.828.62%67.57%R+39R
11269.10%29.74%D+39.455.53%41.46%D+14.1D
11367.49%31.46%D+3656.83%40.31%D+16.5D
11458.64%40.26%D+18.444.66%52.39%R+7.7D
11564.27%34.56%D+29.758.15%38.28%D+19.9D
11640.79%57.87%R+17.131.33%66.07%R+34.7R
11741.83%56.50%R+14.730.66%66.00%R+35.3R
11855.83%43.08%D+12.840.74%56.46%R+15.7D
11951.23%47.10%D+4.135.40%61.77%R+26.4D
12053.79%44.76%D+942.55%54.62%R+12.1R
12161.17%37.18%D+2447.71%48.91%R+1.2D
12244.86%53.22%R+8.430.76%65.46%R+34.7R
12351.65%46.75%D+4.931.73%65.03%R+33.3D
12437.56%60.67%R+23.125.51%70.74%R+45.2R
12536.51%62.03%R+25.523.43%72.95%R+49.5R
12663.45%34.97%D+28.557.62%38.36%D+19.3D
12780.68%18.33%D+62.477.08%19.95%D+57.1D
12841.43%57.06%R+15.638.02%57.47%R+19.5R
12941.67%56.89%R+15.237.61%57.86%R+20.3R
13042.78%55.70%R+12.935.25%60.10%R+24.9R
13144.49%54.03%R+9.541.91%53.76%R+11.9R
13265.53%33.25%D+32.364.10%32.82%D+31.3D
13359.02%39.41%D+19.652.89%42.75%D+10.1D
13443.39%55.42%R+1241.92%54.04%R+12.1R
13564.54%34.06%D+30.561.91%34.09%D+27.8D
13659.36%39.16%D+20.253.35%42.48%D+10.9D
13746.66%52.14%R+5.540.33%56.02%R+15.7R
13843.63%55.31%R+11.739.52%56.92%R+17.4R
13939.33%59.34%R+2030.73%66.15%R+35.4R
14063.59%35.05%D+28.554.38%41.60%D+12.8D
14162.97%35.53%D+27.452.82%43.31%D+9.5D
14249.07%49.78%R+0.746.32%50.25%R+3.9R
14345.51%53.19%R+7.747.61%48.14%R+0.5R
14444.70%54.17%R+9.545.34%50.70%R+5.4R
14544.16%54.36%R+10.239.59%55.70%R+16.1R
14650.85%47.96%D+2.948.37%47.29%D+1.1R
14743.65%54.97%R+11.341.16%54.54%R+13.4R
14860.73%38.33%D+22.467.12%29.75%D+37.4D
14960.45%38.56%D+21.966.82%29.98%D+36.8D
15049.69%49.13%D+0.651.73%44.27%D+7.5R
15150.81%48.28%D+2.555.25%41.23%D+14R
15252.27%46.64%D+5.654.58%41.63%D+12.9R
15363.65%35.32%D+28.366.36%30.20%D+36.2D
15474.52%24.59%D+49.977.91%19.15%D+58.8D
15547.56%51.25%R+3.751.80%43.97%D+7.8R
15649.44%49.46%R+054.28%41.62%D+12.7D
15752.13%46.72%D+5.458.80%37.01%D+21.8R
15848.38%50.45%R+2.152.99%42.96%D+10R
15983.68%15.63%D+6877.53%20.25%D+57.3D
16046.71%52.30%R+5.649.20%47.16%D+2R
16155.77%43.14%D+12.653.41%43.19%D+10.2D
16257.37%41.38%D+1649.64%46.80%D+2.8R
16355.33%43.45%D+11.954.70%41.57%D+13.1R
16482.20%16.96%D+65.281.93%15.75%D+66.2D
16548.98%50.02%R+151.81%44.91%D+6.9R
16661.53%37.33%D+24.267.49%28.93%D+38.6D
16748.42%50.53%R+2.155.67%40.48%D+15.2R
16847.78%51.08%R+3.351.51%44.79%D+6.7R
16934.04%64.45%R+30.427.83%67.92%R+40.1R
17056.95%42.17%D+14.849.20%48.35%D+0.9R
17140.68%57.64%R+1739.86%55.53%R+15.7R
17259.28%39.77%D+19.555.26%41.93%D+13.3D
17364.49%34.35%D+30.156.90%40.57%D+16.3D
17461.67%37.38%D+24.357.06%40.39%D+16.7D
17579.87%18.59%D+61.381.59%15.10%D+66.5D
17650.90%47.71%D+3.241.51%54.94%R+13.4R
17765.38%33.22%D+32.256.98%39.92%D+17.1R
17842.85%56.21%R+13.446.82%50.00%R+3.2R
17992.03%7.63%D+84.489.49%8.95%D+80.5D
18091.88%7.78%D+84.190.18%8.68%D+81.5D
18194.57%4.54%D+9092.34%5.28%D+87.1D
18280.77%17.83%D+62.985.13%12.25%D+72.9D
18346.31%52.33%R+637.34%58.86%R+21.5R
18474.15%24.62%D+49.568.00%29.12%D+38.9D
18581.50%18.03%D+63.577.31%21.01%D+56.3D
18692.45%6.89%D+85.690.67%7.27%D+83.4D
18741.65%56.98%R+15.339.49%56.43%R+16.9R
18892.78%5.93%D+86.993.67%3.86%D+89.8D
18952.75%45.91%D+6.845.71%51.06%R+5.4R
19097.49%2.19%D+95.395.73%2.77%D+93D
19197.46%2.39%D+95.195.90%3.11%D+92.8D
19296.72%3.08%D+93.695.06%3.68%D+91.4D
19332.78%65.92%R+33.127.49%68.67%R+41.2R
19470.09%28.46%D+41.672.03%24.29%D+47.7D
19592.86%6.25%D+86.692.54%5.33%D+87.2D
19635.76%62.90%R+27.128.34%67.63%R+39.3R
19797.04%2.75%D+94.395.62%3.52%D+92.1D
19897.73%1.99%D+95.796.12%2.54%D+93.6D
19939.71%58.82%R+19.137.16%58.63%R+21.5R
20094.69%4.79%D+89.994.29%3.97%D+90.3D
20198.24%1.52%D+96.796.47%2.17%D+94.3D
20280.92%18.39%D+62.578.97%19.01%D+60D
20396.00%3.80%D+92.294.44%4.23%D+90.2D
Total52.08%46.68%D+5.447.85%48.58%R+0.7-
Source:Daily Kos


Election history

2014

See also:Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, 2014

DemocratsTom Wolf andMike Stack won election on November 4, 2014.

Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania, 2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngTom Wolf/Mike Stack54.9%1,920,355
    RepublicanTom Corbett/Jim CawleyIncumbent45.1%1,575,511
Total Votes3,495,866
Election results viaPennsylvania Department of State

2010

See also:Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, 2010

On November 2, 2010,Tom Corbett/Jim Cawley won election to the office of governor/lt. gov. of Pennsylvania. They defeatedDan Onorato/H. Scott Conklin in the general election.

governor/lt. gov. of Pennsylvania, 2010
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngTom Corbett/Jim Cawley54.5%2,172,763
    Democratic Dan Onorato/H. Scott Conklin45.5%1,814,788
Total Votes3,987,551
Election results viaPennsylvania Department of State.

2006

On November 7, 2006,Ed Rendell/Catherine Baker Knoll won re-election to the office of Governor/Lt. Gov. of Pennsylvania. They defeated Lynn Swann/Jim Matthews in the general election.

Governor/Lt. Gov. of Pennsylvania, 2006
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngEd Rendell/Catherine Baker KnollIncumbent60.4%2,470,517
    Republican Lynn Swann/Jim Matthews39.6%1,622,135
Total Votes4,092,652
Election results viaPennsylvania Department of State.

2002

On November 5, 2002,Ed Rendell/Catherine Baker Knoll won election to the office of Governor/Lt. Gov. of Pennsylvania. They defeated Mike Fisher/Jane M. Earll, Ken V. Krawchuk/Henry E. Haller and Michael Morrill/Vicki J. Smedley in the general election.

Governor/Lt. Gov. of Pennsylvania, 2002
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngEd Rendell/Catherine Baker Knoll53.4%1,913,235
    Republican Mike Fisher/Jane M. Earll44.4%1,589,408
    Libertarian Ken V. Krawchuk/Henry E. Haller1.1%40,923
    Green Michael Morrill/Vicki J. Smedley1.1%38,423
Total Votes3,581,989
Election results viaPennsylvania Department of State.

Wave election analysis

See also:Wave elections (1918-2016)

The termwave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makessignificant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?

Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from PresidentWoodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 toDonald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016.We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.

Applying this definition togubernatorial elections, we found that Republicans needed to loseseven seats for 2018 to qualify as awave election.

The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 11 gubernatorial waves from 1918 to 2016.Click here to read the full report.

Gubernatorial wave elections
YearPresidentPartyElection typeGubernatorial seats changeElections analyzed[27]
1970NixonRFirst midterm-1235
1922HardingRFirst midterm-1133
1932HooverRPresidential-1035
1920WilsonDPresidential-1036
1994ClintonDFirst midterm-1036
1930HooverRFirst midterm-933
1938RooseveltDSecond midterm-933
1966JohnsonDFirst midterm[28]-935
1954EisenhowerRFirst midterm-833
1982ReaganRFirst midterm-736
2010ObamaDFirst midterm-733

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Pennsylvania heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

State legislature

Trifecta status

  • Pennsylvania was underdivided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government.Tom Wolf (D) served as governor, while Republicans controlled the state legislature.

2018 elections

See also:Pennsylvania elections, 2018

Pennsylvania held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for Pennsylvania
 PennsylvaniaU.S.
Total population:12,791,904316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):44,7433,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:81.6%73.6%
Black/African American:11%12.6%
Asian:3.1%5.1%
Native American:0.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:2.1%3%
Hispanic/Latino:6.4%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:89.2%86.7%
College graduation rate:28.6%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$53,599$53,889
Persons below poverty level:15.9%11.3%
Source:U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Clickhere for more information on the 2020 census andhere for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Pennsylvania.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the censushere.

As of July 2017, Pennsylvania had a population of approximately 12,800,000 people, with its three largest cities being Philadelphia (pop. est. 1.6 million), Pittsburgh (pop. est. 300,000), and Allentown (pop. est. 120,000).[29][30]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Pennsylvania from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from thePennsylvania Department of State.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Pennsylvania every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Pennsylvania 2000-2016
YearFirst-place candidateFirst-place candidate votes (%)Second-place candidateSecond-place candidate votes (%)Margin of victory (%)
2016Republican PartyDonald Trump48.6%Democratic PartyHillary Clinton47.9%0.7%
2012Democratic PartyBarack Obama52.1%Republican PartyMitt Romney46.7%5.4%
2008Democratic PartyBarack Obama54.7%Republican PartyJohn McCain44.3%10.4%
2004Democratic PartyJohn Kerry51.0%Republican PartyGeorge Bush48.5%2.5%
2000Democratic PartyAl Gore50.6%Republican PartyGeorge Bush46.4%4.2%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results ofU.S. Senate races in Pennsylvania from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Pennsylvania 2000-2016
YearFirst-place candidateFirst-place candidate votes (%)Second-place candidateSecond-place candidate votes (%)Margin of victory (%)
2016Republican PartyPatrick Toomey48.8%Democratic PartyKatie McGinty47.3%1.5%
2012Democratic PartyBob Casey53.7%Republican PartyTom Smith44.6%9.1%
2010Republican PartyPatrick Toomey51.0%Democratic PartyJoe Sestak49.0%2.0%
2006Democratic PartyBob Casey58.7%Republican PartyRick Santorum41.3%17.4%
2004Republican Party Arlen Specter52.6%Democratic PartyJoseph Hoeffel42.0%10.6%
2000Republican PartyRick Santorum52.4%Democratic Party Ron Klink45.5%6.9%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Pennsylvania.

Election results (Governor), Pennsylvania 2000-2016
YearFirst-place candidateFirst-place candidate votes (%)Second-place candidateSecond-place candidate votes (%)Margin of victory (%)
2014Democratic PartyTom Wolf54.9%Republican PartyThomas Corbett45.1%9.8%
2010Republican PartyThomas Corbett54.5%Democratic PartyDan Onorato45.5%9.0%
2006Democratic PartyEd Rendell60.4%Republican Party Lynn Swann39.6%20.8%
2002Democratic PartyEd Rendell53.4%Republican PartyMike Fisher44.3%9.1%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Pennsylvania in theU.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Pennsylvania 2000-2016
YearRepublicansRepublicans (%)DemocratsDemocrats (%)Balance of power
2016Republican Party1372.2%Democratic Party527.8%R+8
2014Republican Party1372.2%Democratic Party527.8%R+8
2012Republican Party1372.2%Democratic Party527.8%R+8
2010Republican Party1263.2%Democratic Party736.8%R+5
2008Republican Party736.8%Democratic Party1263.2%D+5
2006Republican Party842.1%Democratic Party1157.9%D+3
2004Republican Party1263.2%Democratic Party736.8%R+5
2002Republican Party1263.2%Democratic Party736.8%R+5
2000Republican Party1152.4%Democratic Party1047.6%R+1

Trifectas, 1992-2017

Astate government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Pennsylvania Party Control: 1992-2026
One year of a Democratic trifecta  •  Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year9293949596979899000102030405060708091011121314151617181920212223242526
GovernorDDDRRRRRRRRDDDDDDDDRRRRDDDDDDDDDDDD
SenateRDRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR
HouseDDDRRRRRRRRRRRRDDDDRRRRRRRRRRRRDDDD


Recent news

The link below is to the most recent stories in a Google news search for the termsPennsylvania governor election 2018. These results are automatically generated from Google. Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles.

See also

Pennsylvania government:

Elections:

Ballotpedia exclusives:

External links

Footnotes

  1. All about Redistricting, "Who draws the lines?" accessed January 24, 2018
  2. Wolf for PA, "About," accessed September 28, 2018
  3. YouTube, "Wolf – The Only One," September 13, 2018
  4. 4.04.1WITF, "Governor Wolf puts tax plans far behind him as he seeks a 2nd term," July 2, 2018
  5. WHYY, "Full of optimism, Gov. Wolf prepares for re-election," January 7, 2018
  6. PoliticsPA, "PA Gov: Wolf Blasts Wagner in 2 New Ads," August 8, 2018
  7. YouTube, "Wolf – Came From," September 6, 2018
  8. PennLive, "Scott Wagner makes history with his win in York County Senate race," March 18, 2014
  9. 9.09.1Wagner for Governor, "About Scott," accessed September 28, 2018
  10. 10.010.1Wagner for Governor, "Scott's Plan," accessed September 28, 2018
  11. YouTube, "Wagner – Self-Made," July 11, 2018
  12. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
  13. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
  14. National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
  15. Inside Electionsalso usesTiltratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  16. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  17. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  18. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  19. Wagner for Governor, "President Trump Endorses Scott Wagner," August 3, 2018
  20. Twitter, "Wolf for PA," September 21, 2018
  21. FOX 43, "Scott Wagner receives endorsement from Vice President Mike Pence in Pa. governor’s race," June 20, 2018
  22. 22.022.1Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
  23. Wolf for PA, "Record," accessed September 27, 2018
  24. Wagner for Governor, "Scott's Plan," accessed September 27, 2018
  25. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  26. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  27. The number of gubernatorial seats up for election varies, with as many as 36 seats and as few as 12 seats being up in a single even-numbered year.
  28. Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. Before Johnson had his first midterm in 1966, he was re-elected president in 1964.
  29. United States Census Bureau, "Quick Facts - Pennsylvania," accessed January 3, 2018
  30. Pennsylvania Demographics, "Pennsylvania Cities by Population," accessed January 3, 2018
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