Ohio State Senate elections, 2016

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2016 Ohio
Senate Elections
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PrimaryMarch 15, 2016
GeneralNovember 8, 2016
2016 Election Results
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State legislative elections in 2016

A total of16 seats out of the 33 seats in theOhio State Senate were up for election in 2016. Republicans gained one seat in theNovember 2016 general election.

Ohio state senators serve staggered,four-year terms and half of the senate is up for election every two years.

HIGHLIGHTS
  • Three Republicans were guaranteed election barring unforeseen circumstances.
  • Six incumbents—four Republicans and two Democrats—were not running for re-election in 2016. Five of those seats had general election competition.
  • If Democrats were to make any gains, it would have been in the 13 districts that had general election competition between two major party candidates; only two seats were competitive or mildly competitive in 2012.[1]
  • Introduction

    Elections for theOhio State Senate took place in 2016. The primary election was held on March 15, 2016, and the general election was held on November 8, 2016. The candidate filing deadline was December 16, 2015.

    Majority control

    See also:Partisan composition of state senates

    Heading into the election, the Republican Party held the majority in the Ohio State Senate:

    Ohio State Senate
    PartyAs of November 7, 2016After November 8, 2016
        Democratic Party109
        Republican Party2324
    Total3333

    Retired incumbents

    Six incumbent senators did not run for re-election in 2016. Those incumbents are:

    NamePartyCurrent Office
    Bill SeitzEnds.pngRepublicanSenate District 8
    Keith FaberEnds.pngRepublicanSenate District 12
    Jim HughesEnds.pngRepublicanSenate District 16
    Thomas PattonEnds.pngRepublicanSenate District 24
    Thomas SawyerElectiondot.pngDemocraticSenate District 28
    Capri CafaroElectiondot.pngDemocraticSenate District 32

    2016 election competitiveness

    Ohio sees a dip in electoral competitiveness.

    Ballotpedia conducts a yearly study of electoral competitiveness in state legislative elections. Details on how well Ohio performed in the study are provided in the image below.Click here for the full 2016 Competitiveness Analysis »

    CA 2016 Ohio.png
    • In theOhio State Senate, there were 10 Democratic incumbents and 23 Republican incumbents. No incumbents faced primary challengers in the Democratic Party. There were four incumbents that faced primary challenges in the Republican primary.
    • In theHouse, there were 34 Democratic incumbents and 65 Republican incumbents. Four state representatives faced primary opposition in the Democratic Party. There were six incumbents that faced primary challenges in the Republican primary.
    • Overall, 18.6 percent of Democratic incumbents and 21.4 percent of GOP incumbents faced primary opposition in all of the state legislatures with elections in 2016.
    • The cumulative figure for how many state legislative candidates faced no major party opposition in November in these states was 41.8 percent. This compares to 32.7 percent in 2010, 38.3 percent in 2012, and 43.0 percent in 2014.


    • More details on electoral competitiveness in Ohio can be foundbelow.

    List of candidates

    General election

    2016 Ohio Senate general election candidates
    DistrictDemocratic Party DemocratRepublican Party RepublicanOther
    2Kirk Halliday: 59,882Randy Gardner: 118,232(I)Approveda
    4John Kinne: 50,580Bill Coley: 105,810(I)Approveda
    6Albert Griggs: 53,584Peggy Lehner: 114,168(I)Approveda
    8Mary Rose Lierman: 62,693Louis Terhar: 106,215Approveda
    10Matthew Kirk: 53,239Robert Hackett: 99,477(I)Approveda
    12Matt HuffmanApproveda
    14Charlie Carlier: 44,014Joe Uecker: 112,706(I)Approveda
    16Cathy Johnson: 76,077Stephanie Kunze: 109,454Approveda
    18Wiley Runnestrand: 57,446John Eklund: 107,972(I)Approveda
    20Troy Balderson(I)Approveda
    22Christopher King: 49,218Larry Obhof: 113,666(I)Approveda
    24Emily Hagan: 77,383Matt Dolan: 107,500Approveda
    26Dave Burke(I)Approveda
    28Vernon Sykes: 83,805ApprovedaJonathan Schulz: 53,117
    30Lou Gentile: 75,450(I)Frank Hoagland: 84,747Approveda
    32Sean O'Brien: 78,451ApprovedaRobert Allen: 60,671
     
    Notes:
    • An(I) denotes an incumbent.
    • Candidate lists can change frequently throughout an election season. Ballotpedia staff update this list monthly. To suggest changes, click here to email ourState Legislature Project.

    Primary election

    2016 Ohio Senate primary candidates
    DistrictDemocratic Party DemocratRepublican Party RepublicanOther
    2Kirk Halliday: 25,228ApprovedaRandy Gardner(I): 50,116Approveda
    4John Kinne: 15,070ApprovedaBill Coley(I): 24,261Approveda
    Joseph Ebbing: 8,149
    Eric Gurr: 6,379
    Jeremiah York: 5,158
    6Lu Dale: 19,175ApprovedaPeggy Lehner(I): 40,321Approveda
    Barbara Temple: 15,873
    8Mary Rose Lierman: 18,157ApprovedaLouis Terhar: 41,205Approveda
    10Michael Gilbert: 6,771
    Matthew Kirk: 13,614Approveda
    Robert Hackett(I): 30,253Approveda
    Brian Walton: 21,839
    12John Adams: 24,789
    Matt Huffman: 43,367Approveda
    14Charlie Carlier: 15,702ApprovedaJoe Uecker(I): 49,835Approveda
    16Larry Malone: 24,386ApprovedaStephanie Kunze: 40,547Approveda
    Aaron Neumann: 11,019
    18Wiley Runnestrand: 22,509ApprovedaJohn Eklund(I): 45,822Approveda
    20Troy Balderson(I): 48,059Approveda
    22Christopher King: 18,385ApprovedaLarry Obhof(I): 42,361Approveda
    Janet Folger Porter: 22,713
    24Emily Hagan: 26,885ApprovedaNan Baker: 16,241
    Matt Dolan: 24,844Approveda
    Mike Dovilla: 14,860
    26Dave Burke(I): 47,248Approveda
    28Vernon Sykes: 23,918ApprovedaJonathan Schulz: 20,203Approveda
    30Lou Gentile(I): 31,841ApprovedaFrank Hoagland: 38,771Approveda
    32Sean O'Brien: 25,610Approveda
    Kristen Rock: 16,002
    Robert Allen: 16,748Approveda
     
    Notes:
    • An(I) denotes an incumbent.
    • Candidate lists can change frequently throughout an election season. Ballotpedia staff update this list monthly. To suggest changes, click here to email ourState Legislature Project.

    Margins of victory

    The average margin of victory for contested races in the Ohio State Senate in 2016 was lower than the national average. Out of 16 races in the Ohio State Senate in 2016, 13 were contested, meaning at least two candidates competed for that seat in the general election. The average margin of victory across these races was 26.9 percent. Across contested single-winner state legislative elections in 2016, the average margin of victory was 29.01 percent.[2]

    Republican candidates in the Ohio State Senate saw larger margins of victory than Democratic candidates in 2016. Republicans won 14 races. In the 11 races where a winning Republican faced a challenger, the average margin of victory was 28.6 percent. Democrats won two races in 2016. In the two races where a winning Democrat faced a challenger, the average margin of victory was 17.6 percent.
    More Republican candidates than Democratic candidates saw margins of victory that were less than 10 percentage points. One of the 13 contested races in 2016—7.7 percent—saw a margin of victory that was 10 percent or less. A Republican won the race.
    Ohio State Senate: 2016 Margins of Victory Less than 10 Percent
    DistrictWinning PartyMargin of Victory
    District 30R5.8 percent
    The average margin of victory for incumbents in the Ohio State Senate who ran for re-election and won in 2016 was higher than the national average. Nine incumbents who ran for re-election in 2016 won. All of the incumbents were Republicans. The average margin of victory for the seven winning Ohio State Senate incumbents who faced a challenger in 2016 was 35.5 percent. The average margin of victory for all winning incumbents in contested single-winner state legislative elections in 2016 was 31.8 percent.
    Ohio State Senate: 2016 Margin of Victory Analysis
    PartyElections wonAverage margin of victory[3]Races with incumbent victoriesAverage margin of victory for incumbents[3]Unopposed incumbentsUnopposed racesPercent unopposed
    Democratic217.6 percent0N/A000.0 percent
    Republican1428.6 percent935.5 percent2321.4 percent
    Total1626.9 percent935.5 percent2318.8 percent

    Click[show] on the tables below to see the margin of victory in Ohio State Senate districts in 2016.

    Ohio State Senate: 2016 Margin of Victory by District
    DistrictWinning PartyMargin of Victory
    District 2R32.8 percent
    District 4R35.3 percent
    District 6R36.1 percent
    District 8R25.8 percent
    District 10R30.3 percent
    District 12RUnopposed
    District 14R43.8 percent
    District 16R18.0 percent
    District 18R30.5 percent
    District 20RUnopposed
    District 22R39.6 percent
    District 24R16.3 percent
    District 26RUnopposed
    District 28D22.4 percent
    District 30R5.8 percent
    District 32D12.8 percent

    Important dates and deadlines

    See also:Ohio elections, 2016

    The calendar below lists important dates for political candidates in Ohio in 2016.

    Dates and requirements for candidates in 2016
    DeadlineEvent typeEvent description
    December 16, 2015Ballot accessDeadline for partisan primary candidates to file declarations of candidacy
    January 4, 2016Ballot accessDeadline for write-in primary candidates to file declarations of intent
    January 29, 2016Campaign finance2015 annual report due
    March 3, 2016Campaign financePre-primary report due
    March 14, 2016Ballot accessDeadline for independent candidates to file nominating petitions
    March 15, 2016Election datePrimary election
    April 22, 2016Campaign financePost-primary report due
    July 29, 2016Campaign financeSemiannual report due
    August 29, 2016Ballot accessDeadline for write-in general election candidates to file declarations of intent
    October 27, 2016Campaign financePre-general report due
    November 8, 2016Election dateGeneral election
    December 16, 2016Campaign financePost-general report due
    January 31, 2017Campaign finance2016 annual report due
    Source:Ohio Secretary of State, "2016 Ohio Elections Calendar," accessed June 12, 2015
    Ohio Secretary of State, "2016 Ohio Campaign Finance Reporting Calendar," accessed October 28, 2015

    Competitiveness

    Candidates unopposed by a major party

    In 3 of the 16 districts that were up for election in 2016, there was only one major party candidate running for election. A total of three Republicans were guaranteed election barring unforeseen circumstances.

    Two major party candidates faced off in the general election in 13 (81.2%) of the 16 districts up for election.

    Primary challenges

    Four incumbents, all Republicans, faced primary competition on March 15. Six incumbents did not seek re-election and another 6 incumbents advanced past the primary without opposition.

    Retired incumbents

    Six incumbent senators did not run for re-election, while 10 ran for re-election. A list of those incumbents, four Republicans and two Democrats, can be foundabove.

    Impact of term limits

    See also:State legislatures with term limits

    TheOhio State Senate has been a term-limited state senate since Ohio voters approvedBallot Issue 4, aninitiated constitutional amendment, in1992. This amendment became part ofSection 2 of Article II of theOhio Constitution and limits the amount of time that anOhio State Senator can stay in office to two four-year terms, saying, "No person shall hold the office of State Senator for a period longer than two successive terms of four years." Senators can run for office again after being out-of-office for at least a four-year period.

    There are 33Ohio State Senators. In 2016, three of them who werecurrent members, two Democrats and one Republican, were ineligible to run for the senate again in November.

    The state senators who were term-limited in 2016 were:

    Democrats (2):

    Republicans (1):

    Results from 2014

    See also:2014 state legislative elections analyzed using a Competitiveness Index

    There were 6,057 seats in 87 chambers with elections in 2014. All three aspects of Ballotpedia'sCompetitiveness Index—the number ofopen seats,incumbents facing primary opposition, andgeneral elections between partisan candidates—showed poor results compared to the prior election cycle. States with elections in 2014 held fewer general elections between partisan candidates. Additionally, fewer incumbents faced primary opposition and more incumbents ran for re-election than inrecent years.

    Since 2010, when the Competitiveness Index was established, there had not been an even-year election cycle to do statistically worse in any of the three categories. See the following chart for a breakdown of those scores between each year.

    Overall Competitiveness
    201020122014
    Competitiveness Index36.235.831.4
    % Open Seats18.6%21.2%17.0%
    % Incumbent with primary challenge22.7%24.6%20.1%
    % Candidates with major party opposition67.3%61.7%57.0%

    The following table details Ohio's rates foropen seats, incumbents that facedprimary challenges, andmajor party competition in the 2014 general election.

    Ohio General Assembly 2014 Competitiveness
    % Open Seats% Incumbent with primary challenge% Candidates with major party oppositionCompetitiveness IndexOverall rank
    23.3%25.8%81.0%43.47

    Historical context

    See also:Competitiveness in State Legislative Elections: 1972-2014

    Uncontested elections: In 2014, 32.8 percent of Americans lived in states with an uncontested state senate election. Similarly, 40.4 percent of Americans lived in states with uncontested house elections. Primary elections were uncontested even more frequently, with 61 percent of people living in states with no contested primaries. Uncontested elections often occur in locations that are so politically one-sided that the result of an election would be a foregone conclusion regardless of whether it was contested or not.

    F5 Pop. % with uncontested state legislative races.png

    Open seats: In most cases, an incumbent will run for re-election, which decreases the number of open seats available. In 2014, 83 percent of the 6,057 seats up for election saw the incumbent running for re-election. The states that impose term limits on their legislatures typically see a higher percentage of open seats in a given year because a portion of incumbents in each election are forced to leave office. Overall, the number of open seats decreased from 2012 to 2014, dropping from 21.2 percent in 2012 to 17.0 percent in 2014.

    Incumbent win rates: Ballotpedia'scompetitiveness analysis of elections between 1972 and 2014 documented the high propensity for incumbents to win re-election in state legislative elections. In fact, since 1972, the win rate for incumbents had not dropped below 90 percent—with the exception of 1974, when 88 percent of incumbents were re-elected to their seats. Perhaps most importantly, the win rate for incumbents generally increased over time. In 2014, 96.5 percent of incumbents were able to retain their seats. Common convention holds that incumbents are able to leverage their office to maintain their seat. However, the high incumbent win rate may actually be a result of incumbents being more likely to hold seats in districts that are considered safe for their party.

    Marginal primaries: Often, competitiveness is measured by examining the rate of elections that have been won by amounts that are considered marginal (5 percent or less). During the 2014 election, 90.1 percent of primary and general election races were won by margins higher than 5 percent. Interestingly, it is usually the case that only one of the two races—primary or general—will be competitive at a time. This means that if a district's general election is competitive, typically one or more of the district's primaries were won by more than 5 percent. The reverse is also true: If a district sees a competitive primary, it is unlikely that the general election for that district will be won by less than 5 percent. Primaries often see very low voter turnout in comparison to general elections. In 2014, there were only 27 million voters for state legislative primaries, but approximately 107 million voters for the state legislative general elections.

    Campaign contributions

    The following chart shows how many candidates ran for State Senate in Ohio in past years and the cumulative amount of campaign contributions in State Senate races, including contributions in both primary and general election contests.[4]

    Ohio State Senate Donations
    YearCandidatesAmount
    201451$11,632,237
    201238$13,451,018
    201057$10,863,275
    200844$10,964,869
    200648$12,603,028

    State comparison

    The map below shows the average contributions to 2014 candidates for state senates. The average contributions raised by state senate candidates in 2014 was $148,144. Ohio, at $228,083 per candidate, is ranked nine of 42 for state senate chambers with the highest average contributions. Hover your mouse over a state to see the average campaign contributions for that state’s senate candidates in 2014.[4][5]

    Qualifications

    Article 2, Section 3 of theOhio Constitution states: "Senators and representatives shall have resided in their respective districts one year next preceding their election, unless they shall have been absent on the public business of the United States, or of this state."

    Article 2, Section 5 of theOhio Constitution states: "No person hereafter convicted of an embezzlement of the public funds, shall hold any office in this state; nor shall any person, holding public money for disbursement, or otherwise, have a seat in the General Assembly, until he shall have accounted for, and paid such money into the treasury."

    See also

    External links

    Footnotes

    1. Under Ballotpedia's competitiveness criteria, districts that have a margin of victory of less than 5 percent are considered highly competitive. Districts that have a margin of victory from 5 to 10 percent are considered mildly competitive.
    2. This calculation excludes chambers that had elections where two or more members were elected in a race. These chambers are the Arizona House, the New Hampshire House, the North Dakota House, the South Dakota House, the Vermont House, the Vermont Senate, and the West Virginia House.
    3. 3.03.1Excludes unopposed elections
    4. 4.04.1followthemoney.org, "Contributions to candidates and committees in elections in Ohio," accessed July 28, 2015
    5. This map relies on data collected in July 2015.


    Current members of theOhio State Senate
    Leadership
    Senate President:Robert McColley
    Minority Leader:Nickie Antonio
    Senators
    District 1
    District 2
    District 3
    District 4
    District 5
    District 6
    District 7
    District 8
    District 9
    District 10
    District 11
    District 12
    District 13
    District 14
    District 15
    District 16
    District 17
    District 18
    District 19
    District 20
    District 21
    District 22
    District 23
    District 24
    District 25
    District 26
    District 27
    District 28
    District 29
    District 30
    District 31
    District 32
    District 33
    Republican Party (24)
    Democratic Party (9)


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