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Ohio's 9th Congressional District election, 2018

From Ballotpedia

General election

General election for U.S. House Ohio District 9

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Marcy Kaptur
Marcy Kaptur (D)
 
67.8
 
157,219
Image of Steven Kraus
Steven Kraus (R)
 
32.2
 
74,670
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
48

Ballotpedia Logo

Incumbents arebolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 231,937
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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2020
2016
Ohio's 9th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: February 7, 2018
Primary: May 8, 2018
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent:
Marcy Kaptur (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
Voting in Ohio
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): D+14
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
Ohio's 9th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th12th (special)
Ohio elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

AllU.S. congressional districts, including the9th Congressional District of Ohio, held elections in 2018.

Heading into the election the incumbent wasMarcy Kaptur (D), who was first elected in 1982.

As of the2010 redistricting cycle,Ohio's 9th Congressional District was located in the northernmost portion of thestate and included portions of Cuyahoga, Erie, Lorain, Lucas and Ottawa counties.[1]



Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Ohio District 9

IncumbentMarcy Kaptur defeatedSteven Kraus in the general election for U.S. House Ohio District 9 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Marcy Kaptur
Marcy Kaptur (D)
 
67.8
 
157,219
Image of Steven Kraus
Steven Kraus (R)
 
32.2
 
74,670
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
48

Ballotpedia Logo

Incumbents arebolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 231,937
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 9

IncumbentMarcy Kaptur defeatedJoshua Garcia in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 9 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Marcy Kaptur
Marcy Kaptur
 
85.5
 
41,502
Image of Joshua Garcia
Joshua Garcia
 
14.5
 
7,029

Ballotpedia Logo

Incumbents arebolded and underlined. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 48,531
Candidate Connection = candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 9

Steven Kraus defeatedKeith Colton andW. Benjamin Franklin in the Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 9 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Steven Kraus
Steven Kraus
 
49.4
 
10,373
Keith Colton
 
29.9
 
6,263
W. Benjamin Franklin
 
20.7
 
4,342

Ballotpedia Logo

There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 20,978
Candidate Connection = candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

District analysis

See also:The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also:FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+14, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 14 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Ohio's 9th Congressional District the 100th most Democratic nationally.[2]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.01. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.01 points toward that party.[3]

Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to theFederal Election Commission.

NamePartyReceipts*Disbursements**Cash on handDate
Marcy KapturDemocratic Party$772,003$677,411$661,799 As of December 31, 2018
Steven KrausRepublican Party$41,064$40,950$114 As of December 31, 2018

Source:Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

*According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
**According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


District history

2016

See also:Ohio's 9th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpediarated this race as safely Democratic. IncumbentMarcy Kaptur (D) defeatedDonald Philip Larson (R) in the general election. Kaptur was unopposed in the Democratic primary. Larson defeatedSteven Kraus andJoel Lieske in the Republican primary on March 15, 2016.[4]

U.S. House, Ohio District 9 General Election, 2016
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngMarcy KapturIncumbent68.7%193,966
    Republican Donald Philip Larson31.3%88,427
    N/A Write-in0%5
Total Votes282,398
Source:Ohio Secretary of State


U.S. House, Ohio District 9 Republican Primary, 2016
CandidateVote %Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngDonald Philip Larson44.3%20,859
Steven Kraus36%16,966
Joel Lieske19.7%9,262
Total Votes47,087
Source:Ohio Secretary of State

2014

See also:Ohio's 9th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 9th Congressional District of Ohio held an election for theU.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. IncumbentMarcy Kaptur (D) defeatedRichard May (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, Ohio District 9 General Election, 2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngMarcy KapturIncumbent67.7%108,870
    Republican Richard May32.2%51,704
    Write-in Cory Hoffman (write-in)0.1%112
    Write-in George A. Skalsky (write-in)0%29
Total Votes160,715
Source:Ohio Secretary of State

Pivot Counties

See also:Pivot Counties by state

Nine of 88 Ohio counties—10.2 percent—arePivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted forBarack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and forDonald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
CountyTrump margin of victory in 2016Obama margin of victory in 2012Obama margin of victory in 2008
Ashtabula County, Ohio18.80%12.78%13.54%
Erie County, Ohio9.48%12.29%13.86%
Montgomery County, Ohio0.73%4.62%6.22%
Ottawa County, Ohio19.51%4.30%6.24%
Portage County, Ohio9.87%5.52%8.99%
Sandusky County, Ohio22.58%2.71%4.64%
Stark County, Ohio17.17%0.47%5.46%
Trumbull County, Ohio6.22%23.00%22.43%
Wood County, Ohio7.99%4.84%7.13%

In the 2016 presidential election,Donald Trump (R) won Ohio with 51.7 percent of the vote.Hillary Clinton (D) received 43.6 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Ohio cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 93.3 percent of the time (28 out of 30 elections), more than any other state in the country. In that same time frame, Ohio supported Republican candidates for president more often than Democratic candidates, 60 to 40 percent. Between 2000 and 2016, Ohio voted for the winning presidential candidate in every election.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Ohio. Click[show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled byDaily Kos.[5][6]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 39 out of 99 state House districts in Ohio with an average margin of victory of 35.7 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 33 out of 99 state House districts in Ohio with an average margin of victory of 34 points. Clinton won seven districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 60 out of 99 state House districts in Ohio with an average margin of victory of 17.4 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 66 out of 99 state House districts in Ohio with an average margin of victory of 28.3 points. Trump won seven districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.
2016 presidential results by state House district
DistrictObamaRomney2012 MarginClintonTrump2016 MarginParty Control
138.79%59.24%R+20.530.29%65.04%R+34.7R
239.31%58.68%R+19.429.22%66.46%R+37.2R
351.29%46.45%D+4.842.61%50.69%R+8.1R
437.14%61.16%R+2429.02%66.54%R+37.5R
543.04%54.83%R+11.826.99%68.78%R+41.8R
647.63%51.35%R+3.749.34%47.10%D+2.2R
747.89%50.80%R+2.943.80%52.04%R+8.2R
881.58%17.75%D+63.881.13%16.64%D+64.5D
985.23%14.11%D+71.186.73%10.91%D+75.8D
1089.62%9.61%D+8085.79%11.52%D+74.3D
1188.72%10.64%D+78.183.99%13.93%D+70.1D
1284.03%15.46%D+68.682.01%15.91%D+66.1D
1376.21%22.24%D+5472.94%22.56%D+50.4D
1463.03%35.54%D+27.553.61%42.03%D+11.6D
1559.18%39.28%D+19.948.53%46.89%D+1.6D
1649.37%49.54%R+0.250.78%45.09%D+5.7R
1761.41%36.78%D+24.653.34%41.75%D+11.6D
1870.04%27.78%D+42.373.61%20.76%D+52.8D
1947.99%50.56%R+2.651.84%42.94%D+8.9R
2057.45%41.22%D+16.254.13%41.35%D+12.8D
2148.03%50.52%R+2.554.17%40.64%D+13.5R
2265.70%32.50%D+33.267.15%27.74%D+39.4D
2348.63%49.65%R+144.07%50.55%R+6.5R
2448.32%50.18%R+1.952.82%42.02%D+10.8R
2584.94%13.90%D+7182.21%14.45%D+67.8D
2682.21%16.89%D+65.378.59%18.45%D+60.1D
2737.72%60.95%R+23.244.19%50.48%R+6.3R
2847.68%51.09%R+3.449.74%45.54%D+4.2R
2936.38%61.99%R+25.632.63%63.29%R+30.7R
3029.86%68.57%R+38.729.47%65.80%R+36.3R
3168.65%29.81%D+38.869.01%26.01%D+43D
3277.38%21.44%D+55.976.98%19.40%D+57.6D
3374.59%24.41%D+50.274.33%22.24%D+52.1D
3477.67%21.29%D+56.474.56%22.10%D+52.5D
3565.71%32.53%D+33.254.68%40.82%D+13.9D
3651.22%47.16%D+4.143.84%51.40%R+7.6R
3748.21%50.59%R+2.448.22%47.58%D+0.6R
3845.12%53.31%R+8.239.47%56.20%R+16.7R
3983.01%15.69%D+67.377.40%18.70%D+58.7D
4042.26%56.01%R+13.737.44%58.22%R+20.8R
4141.76%56.43%R+14.741.26%53.19%R+11.9R
4237.30%61.04%R+23.734.78%60.50%R+25.7R
4352.03%46.30%D+5.744.83%51.71%R+6.9R
4485.18%13.57%D+71.678.27%17.63%D+60.6D
4567.48%30.35%D+37.154.70%38.87%D+15.8D
4661.17%36.89%D+24.351.98%42.46%D+9.5D
4744.22%54.03%R+9.839.17%55.41%R+16.2R
4845.37%52.95%R+7.638.85%56.51%R+17.7R
4963.88%33.96%D+29.950.58%44.46%D+6.1D
5042.15%56.06%R+13.932.22%63.32%R+31.1R
5139.52%58.86%R+19.334.67%60.85%R+26.2R
5232.15%66.62%R+34.534.41%61.10%R+26.7R
5337.68%60.48%R+22.831.90%64.04%R+32.1R
5433.88%64.77%R+30.935.15%59.94%R+24.8R
5554.00%44.36%D+9.646.06%49.11%R+3R
5666.42%31.87%D+34.556.04%39.48%D+16.6D
5745.16%52.88%R+7.733.67%61.31%R+27.6R
5877.98%20.84%D+57.163.99%32.77%D+31.2D
5951.32%47.23%D+4.139.03%57.44%R+18.4D
6053.77%44.35%D+9.443.53%51.59%R+8.1D
6144.47%54.03%R+9.637.08%58.60%R+21.5R
6227.91%70.65%R+42.724.13%71.55%R+47.4R
6360.72%37.58%D+23.144.17%51.91%R+7.7D
6459.27%38.87%D+20.444.19%51.55%R+7.4D
6531.46%66.93%R+35.528.92%66.19%R+37.3R
6633.65%64.53%R+30.923.17%73.04%R+49.9R
6738.37%60.33%R+2239.82%55.21%R+15.4R
6836.74%61.59%R+24.934.19%61.06%R+26.9R
6941.18%57.12%R+15.935.30%60.15%R+24.9R
7039.57%58.40%R+18.828.98%66.22%R+37.2R
7144.17%53.76%R+9.636.24%58.84%R+22.6R
7241.74%56.02%R+14.326.53%69.18%R+42.6R
7338.72%59.60%R+20.937.58%56.86%R+19.3R
7439.24%59.00%R+19.829.26%66.33%R+37.1R
7555.14%42.80%D+12.345.12%49.88%R+4.8D
7640.16%58.30%R+18.136.58%59.26%R+22.7R
7742.94%55.55%R+12.636.83%58.45%R+21.6R
7843.27%54.75%R+11.527.72%67.97%R+40.3R
7950.25%48.15%D+2.139.71%55.79%R+16.1R
8030.58%67.60%R+3723.49%72.12%R+48.6R
8136.13%61.79%R+25.723.47%71.04%R+47.6R
8235.40%62.61%R+27.223.64%71.47%R+47.8R
8335.44%62.41%R+2725.53%68.92%R+43.4R
8422.84%75.48%R+52.615.84%80.56%R+64.7R
8534.91%63.23%R+28.323.23%72.46%R+49.2R
8640.44%57.59%R+17.229.69%64.99%R+35.3R
8737.79%59.89%R+22.123.50%71.42%R+47.9R
8848.08%49.40%R+1.333.72%59.59%R+25.9R
8953.82%44.44%D+9.440.79%54.12%R+13.3R
9045.61%52.45%R+6.828.10%68.50%R+40.4R
9137.47%60.53%R+23.123.48%72.83%R+49.3R
9244.40%54.02%R+9.630.49%65.30%R+34.8R
9338.50%59.36%R+20.922.81%73.57%R+50.8R
9452.86%44.54%D+8.341.52%53.47%R+12R
9539.50%58.11%R+18.624.30%71.52%R+47.2R
9647.46%50.40%R+2.929.81%66.31%R+36.5D
9745.24%52.60%R+7.429.04%66.33%R+37.3R
9840.54%57.23%R+16.727.38%67.61%R+40.2R
9952.60%45.25%D+7.437.09%58.30%R+21.2D
Total50.67%47.69%D+343.69%51.84%R+8.2-
Source:Daily Kos

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Ohio heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

State legislature

Trifecta status

2018 elections

See also:Ohio elections, 2018

Ohio held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for Ohio
 OhioU.S.
Total population:11,605,090316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):40,8613,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:82.4%73.6%
Black/African American:12.2%12.6%
Asian:1.9%5.1%
Native American:0.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:2.5%3%
Hispanic/Latino:3.4%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:89.1%86.7%
College graduation rate:26.1%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$49,429$53,889
Persons below poverty level:19.6%11.3%
Source:U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Clickhere for more information on the 2020 census andhere for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Ohio.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the censushere.

As of July 2017, Ohio had a population of 11,700,000 people, with its three largest cities being Columbus (pop. est. 860,000), Cleveland (pop. est. 390,000), and Cincinnati (pop. est. 300,000).[7][8]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Ohio from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from theOhio Secretary of State.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Ohio every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Ohio 2000-2016
YearFirst-place candidateFirst-place candidate votes (%)Second-place candidateSecond-place candidate votes (%)Margin of victory (%)
2016Republican PartyDonald Trump52.1%Democratic PartyHillary Clinton43.5%8.6%
2012Democratic PartyBarack Obama50.7%Republican PartyMitt Romney47.7%3.0%
2008Democratic PartyBarack Obama51.5%Republican PartyJohn McCain46.9%4.6%
2004Republican PartyGeorge W. Bush50.8%Democratic PartyJohn Kerry48.7%2.1%
2000Republican PartyGeorge W. Bush50.0%Democratic PartyAl Gore46.5%3.5%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results ofU.S. Senate races in Ohio from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Ohio 2000-2016
YearFirst-place candidateFirst-place candidate votes (%)Second-place candidateSecond-place candidate votes (%)Margin of victory (%)
2016Republican PartyRob Portman58.0%Democratic PartyTed Strickland37.2%20.8%
2012Democratic PartySherrod Brown50.7%Republican PartyJosh Mandel44.7%6.0%
2010Republican PartyRob Portman56.8%Democratic PartyLee Fisher39.4%17.4%
2006Democratic PartySherrod Brown56.2%Republican PartyMike DeWine43.8%12.4%
2004Republican Party George Voinovich63.9%Democratic Party Eric Fingerhut36.1%27.8%
2000Republican PartyMike DeWine59.9%Democratic PartyTed Celeste35.9%24.0%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Ohio.

Election results (Governor), Ohio 2000-2016
YearFirst-place candidateFirst-place candidate votes (%)Second-place candidateSecond-place candidate votes (%)Margin of victory (%)
2014Republican PartyJohn Kasich63.6%Democratic PartyEd Fitzgerald33.0%30.6%
2010Republican PartyJohn Kasich49.0%Democratic PartyTed Strickland47.0%2.0%
2006Democratic PartyTed Strickland60.5%Republican PartyKen Blackwell36.6%23.9%
2002Republican Party Robert Taft57.8%Democratic PartyTim Hagan38.3%19.5%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Ohio in theU.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Ohio 2000-2016
YearRepublicansRepublicans (%)DemocratsDemocrats (%)Balance of power
2016Republican Party1275.0%Democratic Party425.0%R+8
2014Republican Party1275.0%Democratic Party425.0%R+8
2012Republican Party1275.0%Democratic Party425.0%R+8
2010Republican Party1372.2%Democratic Party527.8%R+8
2008Republican Party844.4%Democratic Party1055.6%D+2
2006Republican Party1161.1%Democratic Party738.9%R+4
2004Republican Party1266.7%Democratic Party633.3%R+6
2002Republican Party1266.7%Democratic Party633.3%R+6
2000Republican Party1157.9%Democratic Party842.1%R+3

Trifectas, 1992-2017

Astate government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Ohio Party Control: 1992-2026
No Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-eight years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year9293949596979899000102030405060708091011121314151617181920212223242526
GovernorRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRDDDDRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR
SenateRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR
HouseDDDRRRRRRRRRRRRRRDDRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR


See also

Footnotes

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