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Massachusetts gubernatorial election, 2022 (September 6 Republican primary)

From Ballotpedia
2026
2018
Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Massachusetts
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: June 7, 2022
Primary: September 6, 2022
General: November 8, 2022

Pre-election incumbent(s):
Gov. Charles D. Baker (Republican)
Lt. Gov. Karyn Polito (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Massachusetts
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Inside Elections: Likely Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
Federal and state primary competitiveness
State executive elections in 2022
Impact of term limits in 2022
State government trifectas
State government triplexes
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
Massachusetts
executive elections
Governor

Lieutenant Governor
Attorney General
Secretary of State
Treasurer
Auditor
Governor's Council (8 seats)

ARepublican Party primary took place onSeptember 6, 2022, inMassachusetts to determine which candidate would earn the right to run as the party's nominee in the state's gubernatorial election onNovember 8, 2022.

Geoff Diehl advanced from the Republican primary for Governor of Massachusetts.

This page focuses on Massachusetts' Republican Party gubernatorial primary. For more in-depth information on Massachusetts' Democratic gubernatorial primary and the general election, see the following pages:

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Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for Governor of Massachusetts

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Geoff Diehl
Geoff Diehl
 
55.3
 
149,800
Image of Chris Doughty
Chris Doughty
 
44.4
 
120,418
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.3
 
769

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There were noincumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 270,987
Candidate Connection = candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Election competitiveness

General election race ratings

See also:Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets:The Cook Political Report,Inside Elections,Sabato's Crystal Ball, andDDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe andSolid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]

Race ratings: Massachusetts gubernatorial election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

News and conflicts in this primary

This race was featured inThe Heart of the Primaries, a newsletter capturing stories related to conflicts within each major party.Click here to read more about conflict in this and other 2022 Republican gubernatorial primaries.Click here to subscribe to the newsletter.

State profile

Demographic data for Massachusetts
 MassachusettsU.S.
Total population:6,784,240316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):7,8003,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:79.6%73.6%
Black/African American:7.1%12.6%
Asian:6%5.1%
Native American:0.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:2.9%3%
Hispanic/Latino:10.6%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:89.8%86.7%
College graduation rate:40.5%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$68,563$53,889
Persons below poverty level:13.1%11.3%
Source:U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Clickhere for more information on the 2020 census andhere for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Massachusetts.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the censushere.

Presidential voting pattern

See also:Presidential voting trends in Massachusetts

Massachusettsvoted for the Democratic candidate in all seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.


More Massachusetts coverage on Ballotpedia

Election analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
  • Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
  • State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.

Presidential elections

See also:Presidential voting trends in Massachusetts andThe Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Cook PVI by congressional district

Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Massachusetts, 2022
DistrictIncumbentPartyPVI
Massachusetts' 1stRichard NealElectiondot.pngDemocraticD+9
Massachusetts' 2ndJim McGovernElectiondot.pngDemocraticD+13
Massachusetts' 3rdLori TrahanElectiondot.pngDemocraticD+11
Massachusetts' 4thJake AuchinclossElectiondot.pngDemocraticD+12
Massachusetts' 5thKatherine ClarkElectiondot.pngDemocraticD+23
Massachusetts' 6thSeth MoultonElectiondot.pngDemocraticD+11
Massachusetts' 7thAyanna PressleyElectiondot.pngDemocraticD+35
Massachusetts' 8thStephen LynchElectiondot.pngDemocraticD+15
Massachusetts' 9thBill KeatingElectiondot.pngDemocraticD+6


2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines

2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Massachusetts[5]
DistrictJoe BidenDemocratic PartyDonald TrumpRepublican Party
Massachusetts' 1st59.8%38.2%
Massachusetts' 2nd64.3%33.5%
Massachusetts' 3rd62.7%35.3%
Massachusetts' 4th63.3%34.8%
Massachusetts' 5th74.8%23.6%
Massachusetts' 6th62.9%35.3%
Massachusetts' 7th85.5%13.1%
Massachusetts' 8th66.9%31.4%
Massachusetts' 9th58.2%40.0%


2012-2020

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections:Solid,Trending,Battleground, andNew. Click [show] on the table below for examples:

County-level voting pattern categories
Democratic
Status201220162020
Solid DemocraticDDD
Trending DemocraticRDD
Battleground DemocraticDRD
New DemocraticRRD
Republican
Status201220162020
Solid RepublicanRRR
Trending RepublicanDRR
Battleground RepublicanRDR
New RepublicanDDR


Following the 2020 presidential election,100.0% of Massachusettsans lived in one of the state's14 Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020. Overall, Massachusetts wasSolid Democratic, having voted forBarack Obama (D) in 2012,Hillary Clinton (D) in 2016, andJoe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Massachusetts following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Massachusetts county-level statistics, 2020
Solid Democratic14100.0%
Total voted Democratic14100.0%
Total voted Republican00.0%

Historical voting trends

Massachusetts presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 21Democratic wins
  • 10Republican wins
Year1900190419081912191619201924192819321936194019441948195219561960196419681972197619801984198819921996200020042008201220162020
Winning PartyRRRDRRRDDDDDDRRDDDDDRRDDDDDDDDD

Statewide elections

This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

U.S. Senate elections

See also:List of United States Senators from Massachusetts

The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Massachusetts.

U.S. Senate election results in Massachusetts
RaceWinnerRunner up
202066.2%Democratic Party33.0%Republican Party
201860.4%Democratic Party36.2%Republican Party
201462.0%Democratic Party38.0%Republican Party
201354.8%Democratic Party44.8%Republican Party
201253.7%Democratic Party46.3%Republican Party
Average59.439.7

Gubernatorial elections

See also:Governor of Massachusetts

The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Massachusetts.

Gubernatorial election results in Massachusetts
RaceWinnerRunner up
201864.7%Republican Party32.2%Democratic Party
201448.4%Republican Party46.5%Democratic Party
201048.4%Democratic Party42.0%Republican Party
200655.6%Democratic Party35.3%Republican Party
200249.8%Republican Party44.9%Democratic Party
Average53.840.4

State partisanship

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Massachusetts' congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Massachusetts, November 2022
PartyU.S. SenateU.S. HouseTotal
Democratic2911
Republican000
Independent000
Vacancies000
Total2911

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Massachusetts' top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Massachusetts, November 2022
OfficeOfficeholder
GovernorRepublican PartyCharles D. Baker
Lieutenant GovernorRepublican PartyKaryn Polito
Secretary of StateDemocratic PartyWilliam Galvin
Attorney GeneralDemocratic PartyMaura Healey

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of theMassachusetts General Court as of November 2022.

Massachusetts State Senate

PartyAs of November 2022
    Democratic Party36
    Republican Party3
    Vacancies1
Total 40

Massachusetts House of Representatives

PartyAs of November 2022
    Democratic Party125
    Republican Party27
    Independent1
    Vacancies7
Total 160

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Massachusetts was adivided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Massachusetts Party Control: 1992-2022
Eight years of Democratic trifectas  •  No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year92939495969798990001020304050607080910111213141516171819202122
GovernorRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRDDDDDDDDRRRRRRRR
SenateDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD
HouseDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD

Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Massachusetts and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Massachusetts
MassachusettsUnited States
Population7,029,917331,449,281
Land area (sq mi)7,8003,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White76.6%70.4%
Black/African American7.5%12.6%
Asian6.8%5.6%
Native American0.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander0%0.2%
Other (single race)4.2%5.1%
Multiple4.8%5.2%
Hispanic/Latino12%18.2%
Education
High school graduation rate91.1%88.5%
College graduation rate44.5%32.9%
Income
Median household income$84,385$64,994
Persons below poverty level9.8%12.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau,"Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau,"American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the censushere.


See also

MassachusettsState Executive ElectionsNews and Analysis
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Massachusetts State Executive Offices
Massachusetts State Legislature
Massachusetts Courts
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Massachusetts elections:20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Party control of state government
State government trifectas
State of the state addresses
Partisan composition of governors

External links

Footnotes

  1. Inside Electionsalso usesTiltratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  2. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  3. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  4. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  5. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022
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