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Margin of victory analysis for the 2014 congressional elections

From Ballotpedia
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Despite polling showing that 83 percent of Americans disapproved of how the113th Congress handled its job, and 65 percent of Americans described it as the "worst Congress of their lifetime" heading into the 2014 elections, congressional races in both chambers were actually less competitive as a whole than in 2012.[1] Incumbents largely won re-election without much of a struggle in the U.S. House. Even in the U.S. Senate, where Republicans flipped nine seats, the average race was still won by a greater margin than in 2012.

Ballotpedia staff analyzed the election results in the435 U.S. House races and 36 U.S. Senate races to determine how close the average race was. The margin of victory was then calculated as the percentage of total votes that separated the winner and the second-place finisher. On average, both the U.S. House and Senate elections were slightly less competitive than in 2012. Full results for each chamber are detailed in the following sections.

Senate

Seats won by each party based on margin of victory in 2014 United States Senate Elections
Party0-5% points5-10% points10-20% points20% points or more
Electiondot.pngDemocratic2073
Ends.pngRepublican32613
Totals521316

U.S. Senate races had an average margin of victory of 22.6 percent in 2014, slightly higher than the average margin in 2012 of 20 percent. On average, Democratic candidates won closer races than their Republican counterparts. The average margin for victorious Democrats was 18.7 percent, while the average margin for Republican winners was 24.7 percent. This is mainly due to the fact that Republican candidates won the vast majority of noncompetitive races. The closest Senate race in 2014 was inVirginia, where incumbentMark Warner (D) successfully defended his seat fromEd Gillespie (R). Warner won with a margin of victory of 0.8 percent.[2] The largest margin of victory was inAlabama, where incumbentJeff Sessions faced no opponent in either the primary or general election. Sessions took in 97.3 percent of the vote. The remaining votes went to write-in candidates.[3]

For a complete listing of U.S. Senate margins of victory, click [show] on the table below.

Margin of Victory in 2014 United States Senate Elections
StateWinnerMargin of VictoryTotal VoteTop Opponent
AlaskaRepublican PartyDan Sullivan2.2%282,400Mark Begich
AlabamaRepublican PartyJeff Sessions94.5%818,090Write-in
ArkansasRepublican PartyTom Cotton17.0%847,000Mark Pryor
ColoradoRepublican PartyCory Gardner1.9%2,041,020Mark Udall
DelawareDemocratic PartyChris Coons13.6%234,038Kevin Wade
GeorgiaRepublican PartyDavid Perdue7.7%2,567,761Michelle Nunn
HawaiiDemocratic PartyBrian Schatz42.1%353,689Cam Cavasso
IowaRepublican PartyJoni Ernst8.3%1,129,700Bruce Braley
IdahoRepublican PartyJim Risch30.7%437,170Nels Mitchell
IllinoisDemocratic PartyRichard Durbin10.9%3,603,475Jim Oberweis
KansasRepublican PartyPat Roberts10.6%866,191Greg Orman
KentuckyRepublican PartyMitch McConnell15.5%1,435,725Alison Lundergan Grimes
Louisiana Runoff ElectionRepublican PartyBill Cassidy11.8%1,273,589Mary Landrieu
MassachusettsDemocratic PartyEd Markey22.8%2,186,791Brian Herr
MaineRepublican PartySusan Collins36.2%616,996Shenna Bellows
MichiganDemocratic PartyGary Peters13.3%3,121,698Terri Lynn Land
MinnesotaDemocratic PartyAl Franken10.2%1,981,528Mike McFadden
MississippiRepublican PartyThad Cochran22%631,858Travis Childers
MontanaRepublican PartySteve Daines17.7%369,826Amanda Curtis
North CarolinaRepublican PartyThom Tillis1.5%2,915,281Kay Hagan
NebraskaRepublican PartyBen Sasse32.9%539,891Dave Domina
New HampshireDemocratic PartyJeanne Shaheen3.2%488,159Scott Brown
New JerseyDemocratic PartyCory Booker13.5%1,869,535Jeff Bell
New MexicoDemocratic PartyTom Udall11.1%515,506Allen Weh
Oklahoma Special ElectionRepublican PartyJames Lankford38.9%820,890Constance Johnson
OklahomaRepublican PartyJim Inhofe39.5%820,733Matt Silverstein
OregonDemocratic PartyJeff Merkley18.9%1,461,618Monica Wehby
Rhode IslandDemocratic PartyJack Reed41.3%316,898Mark Zaccaria
South Carolina Special ElectionRepublican PartyTim Scott24%1,238,982Joyce Dickerson
South CarolinaRepublican PartyLindsey Graham17.8%1,215,868Brad Hutto
South DakotaRepublican PartyMike Rounds20.9%279,412Rick Weiland
TennesseeRepublican PartyLamar Alexander31.7%1,301,733Gordon Ball
TexasRepublican PartyJohn Cornyn27.2%4,647,371David Alameel
VirginiaDemocratic PartyMark Warner0.8%2,184,473Ed Gillespie
West VirginiaRepublican PartyShelley Moore Capito27.6%451,498Natalie Tennant
WyomingRepublican PartyMike Enzi54.7%168,390Charlie Hardy


The five most competitive U.S. Senate races are listed below. All five of the races featured a Democratic incumbent seeking re-election.

Virginia

InVirginia's U.S. Senate race, incumbentMark Warner (D) successfully defended against a challenge fromEd Gillespie (R). In a race that remained uncalled for several days following the general election, Warner triumphed over Gillespie by a scant 0.8 percent of the vote, or 17,7277 votes.Libertarian candidateRobert Sarvis took in 2.4 percent of the vote, over three times the margin which separated Warner and Gillespie. Gillespie decided against seeking a recount and conceded to Warner on November 7, 2014.[2][4]

Throughout October, Warner held a four to 13 point lead in polling over Gillespie. Additionally, Warner held a massive fundraising advantage over the challenger. As of theFEC's October Quarterly reports, Warner led Gillespie with contributions totaling nearly double that of the challenger. Additionally, Warner held over four times as much cash on hand heading into November. The race was rated Likely Democratic by bothCook Political Report andSabato's Crystal Ball.[5][6] Despite Warner's many advantages,Virginia's U.S. Senate race ended up being the closest in the nation.

U.S. Senate, Virginia General Election, 2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngMark WarnerIncumbent49.1%1,073,667
    Republican Ed Gillespie48.3%1,055,940
    Libertarian Robert Sarvis2.4%53,102
    N/A write-in0.1%1,764
Total Votes2,184,473
Source:Virginia Department of Elections

North Carolina

North Carolina's Senate race had the second closest margin of victory between winner and second place finisher. ChallengerThom Tillis (R) defeated incumbentKay Hagan (D) by 1.6 percent of the vote, or 45,608 votes. TheLibertarian candidate in the race,Sean Haugh took in over twice the number of votes which separated Hagan and Tillis with 3.7 percent of the vote.[7]

North Carolina's U.S. Senate race saw the mostsatellite spending of any Senate race in U.S. history. The final total was $84,517,806, over $15 million above any other U.S. Senate race in 2014. Polling showed Hagan with a slight lead over her challenger heading into November. She also had a large lead in total fundraising throughout the race. However, despite these perceived advantages, Hagan still fell to her challenger in the general election.[8]

U.S. Senate, North Carolina General Election, 2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    Democratic Kay HaganIncumbent47.3%1,377,651
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngThom Tillis48.8%1,423,259
    Libertarian Sean Haugh3.7%109,100
    Write-in John Rhodes0%621
    Write-in David Waddell0%201
    Write-in Barry Gurney0%142
    Write-in Write-in (miscellaneous)0.1%4,307
Total Votes2,915,281
Source:North Carolina State Board of Elections

Colorado

InColorado's U.S. Senate race, Rep.Cory Gardner (R) successfully unseated incumbentMark Udall (D). Gardner beat Udall by 1.9 percent of the vote, or 39,688 votes. The four third-party candidates in the race took in 5.5 percent of the vote, more than twice the margin which separated Gardner and Udall. Udall was vulnerable in 2014 due in part to the unpopularity of PresidentBarack Obama and theAffordable Care Act.[9]

Early polling showed the incumbent with an edge in the race, but as the year moved forward Gardner closed the gap. By the end of October, most polling showed Gardner with a small advantage over Udall. Udall held a large edge in total campaign contributions over Gardner during the race. However, Gardner did lead Udall in cash on hand heading into the final months of the election. The race was rated a "toss up" by bothCook Political Report andSabato's Crystal Ball.[10][11][5][6]

U.S. Senate, Colorado General Election, 2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngCory Gardner48.2%983,891
    Democratic Mark UdallIncumbent46.3%944,203
    Libertarian Gaylon Kent2.6%52,876
    Independent Steve Shogan1.4%29,472
    Independent Raul Acosta1.2%24,151
    Unity Party of Colorado Bill Hammons0.3%6,427
Total Votes2,041,020
Source:Colorado Secretary of State

Alaska

InAlaska's U.S. Senate race, formerAlaska Commissioner of Natural ResourcesDan Sullivan (R) beat incumbentMark Begich (D). The margin of victory in the race was 2.1 percent, which amounted to only 6,014 votes. This was another race in which third party candidates took in more of the vote than separated the major party candidates.LibertarianMark Fish andIndependentTed Gianoutsos took in a combined 5.7 percent of the vote.[12] Begich was vulnerable in 2014 mainly due to the unpopularity of PresidentBarack Obama and theAffordable Care Act. Begich himself believed he lost the race due to voters' disapproval of Obama, not due to his own record.[13]

Polling in the months leading up to November largely showed Sullivan with a lead in the race. However, Begich did hold a slight fundraising edge over Sullivan throughout the race. Begich's seat was well-known as one of the most vulnerable U.S. Senate seats in the country. The race was rated a "toss up" by bothCook Political Report andSabato's Crystal Ball.[5][6]

U.S. Senate, Alaska General Election, 2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngDan Sullivan48%135,445
    Democratic Mark BegichIncumbent45.8%129,431
    Libertarian Mark Fish3.7%10,512
    Independent Ted Gianoutsos2%5,636
    N/A Write-in0.5%1,376
Total Votes282,400
Source:Alaska Secretary of State

New Hampshire

InNew Hampshire's U.S. Senate race, incumbentJeanne Shaheen (D) defeated challengerScott Brown (R) in a close general election race. Shaheen received 3.3 percent more of the vote, or 15,837 votes.[14]

Most polling showed the incumbent with an advantage in the race, but a few October polls showed Brown tied or surpassing Shaheen. Shaheen also held a significant fundraising advantage over Brown throughout the race. She raised a total of roughly $13 million to Brown's $7 million in the election cycle.Cook Political Report rated the race as "Lean D" whileSabato's Crystal Ball called it "Likely D."[5][6]

U.S. Senate, New Hampshire General Election, 2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngJeanne ShaheenIncumbent51.5%251,184
    Republican Scott Brown48.2%235,347
    N/A Scatter0.3%1,628
Total Votes488,159
Source:New Hampshire Secretary of State

House

Seats won by each party based on margin of victory in 2014 United States House of Representatives Elections
Party0-5% points5-10% points10-20% points20% points or more
Electiondot.pngDemocratic151532126
Ends.pngRepublican11836192
Totals262368318

U.S. House races were considerably less competitive than Senate races. The average margin of victory was 35.8 percent in 2014, slightly higher than the average margin in 2012 of 31.8 percent. The political party of the winner did not have a significant impact on the average margin of victory. Democratic winners had an average margin of 36.9 percent, which differed minimally from their Republican counterparts, who had an average margin of victory of 35 percent. The closest House race in 2014 was inArizona's 2nd Congressional District, where incumbentRon Barber (D) was ousted byMartha McSally (R). McSally won the race with a margin of victory of 0.1 percent, which only amounted to 161 votes.[15]

For a complete listing of U.S. House margins of victory, click [show] on the table below.

Margin of Victory in 2014 United States House of Representatives Elections
DistrictWinnerMargin of VictoryTotal VoteTop Opponent
Alabama District 1Republican PartyBradley Byrne36.4%152234Burton LeFlore
Alabama District 2Republican PartyMartha Roby34.8%167952Erick Wright
Alabama District 3Republican PartyMike Rogers32.4%156,620Jesse Smith
Alabama District 4Republican PartyRobert Aderholt97.1%134752Write-in
Alabama District 5Republican PartyMo Brooks49.3%154,974Jerry Hill
Alabama District 6Republican PartyGary Palmer52.5%178449Mark Lester
Alabama District 7Democratic PartyTerri Sewell96.7%135,899Write-in
Alaska's At-Large DistrictRepublican PartyDon Young10%279,741Forrest Dunbar
Arizona District 1Democratic PartyAnn Kirkpatrick5.2%185114Andy Tobin
Arizona District 2Republican PartyMartha McSally0.1%219,351Ron Barber
Arizona District 3Democratic PartyRaul Grijalva11.5%104428Gabriela Saucedo Mercer
Arizona District 4Republican PartyPaul Gosar44.2%175,179Mikel Weisser
Arizona District 5Republican PartyMatt Salmon39.2%179,463James Woods
Arizona District 6Republican PartyDavid Schweikert29.7%199,776John Williamson
Arizona District 7Democratic PartyRuben Gallego60.1%72,454Joe Cobb
Arizona District 8Republican PartyTrent Franks51.6%169,776Stephen Dolgos
Arizona District 9Democratic PartyKyrsten Sinema12.8%162062Wendy Rogers
Arkansas District 1Republican PartyRick Crawford30.9%196256Jackie McPherson
Arkansas District 2Republican PartyFrench Hill8.3%237330Patrick Hays
Arkansas District 3Republican PartySteve Womack58.8%190,935Grant Brand
Arkansas District 4Republican PartyBruce Westerman11.2%206,131James Lee Witt
California District 10Republican PartyJeff Denham12.3%125,705Michael Eggman
California District 11Democratic PartyMark DeSaulnier34.5%174,662Tue Phan-Quang
California District 12Democratic PartyNancy Pelosi66.5%192,264John Dennis
California District 13Democratic PartyBarbara Lee77%190431Dakin Sundeen
California District 14Democratic PartyJackie Speier53.4%149146Robin Chew
California District 15Democratic PartyEric Swalwell39.6%142,906Hugh Bussell
California District 16Democratic PartyJim Costa1.5%91220Johnny Tacherra
California District 17Democratic PartyMike Honda3.5%134,408Ro Khanna
California District 18Democratic PartyAnna Eshoo35.5%196,386Richard Fox
California District 19Democratic PartyZoe Lofgren34.4%127,788Robert Murray
California District 1Republican PartyDoug La Malfa22.1%216,372Heidi Hall
California District 20Democratic PartySam Farr50.4%141,044Ronald Paul Kabat
California District 21Republican PartyDavid Valadao15.7%79,377Amanda Renteria
California District 22Republican PartyDevin Nunes44.1%133342Suzanna Aguilera-Marrero
California District 23Republican PartyKevin McCarthy49.7%134043Raul Garcia
California District 24Democratic PartyLois Capps3.9%198794Chris Mitchum
California District 25Republican PartySteve Knight6.7%114,072Tony Strickland
California District 26Democratic PartyJulia Brownley2.7%169,829Jeff Gorell
California District 27Democratic PartyJudy Chu18.7%127,580Jack Orswell
California District 28Democratic PartyAdam Schiff53%120,264Steve Stokes
California District 29Democratic PartyTony Cardenas49.2%67,141William O'Callaghan Leader
California District 2Democratic PartyJared Huffman50%217,524Dale Mensing
California District 30Democratic Party [[Brad Sherman]]31.3%131,883Mark Reed
California District 31Democratic PartyPete Aguilar3.5%99784Paul Chabot
California District 32Democratic PartyGrace Napolitano19.3%84406Art Alas
California District 33Democratic PartyTed Lieu18.4%183031Elan Carr
California District 34Democratic PartyXavier Becerra45.1%61621Adrienne Nicole Edwards
California District 35Democratic PartyNorma Torres26.9%62255Christina Gagnier
California District 36Democratic PartyRaul Ruiz8.4%134139Brian Nestande
California District 37Democratic PartyKaren Bass68.6%114,838Adam King
California District 38Democratic PartyLinda Sanchez18.2%98480Benjamin Campos
California District 39Republican PartyEdward Royce37.1%133,225Peter Anderson
California District 3Democratic PartyJohn Garamendi5.4%150260Dan Logue
California District 40Democratic PartyLucille Roybal-Allard22.4%49,379David Sanchez
California District 41Democratic PartyMark Takano13.3%82,884Steve Adams
California District 42Republican PartyKen Calvert31.5%113390Tim Sheridan
California District 43Democratic PartyMaxine Waters41.9%98202John Wood
California District 44Democratic PartyJanice Hahn73.3%68,862Adam Shbeita
California District 45Republican PartyMimi Walters30.2%162902Drew Leavens
California District 46Democratic PartyLoretta Sanchez19.4%83315Adam Nick
California District 47Democratic PartyAlan Lowenthal12%123,400Andy Whallon
California District 48Republican PartyDana Rohrabacher28.2%174795Sue Savary
California District 49Republican PartyDarrell Issa20.3%163142Dave Peiser
California District 4Republican PartyTom McClintock20.1%211,134Art Moore
California District 50Republican PartyDuncan Hunter42.4%157,299James Kimber
California District 51Democratic PartyJuan Vargas37.6%81,950Stephen Meade
California District 52Democratic PartyScott Peters3.2%191,572Carl DeMaio
California District 53Democratic PartySusan Davis17.7%148,044Larry Wilske
California District 5Democratic PartyMike Thompson51.5%171,148James Hinton
California District 6Democratic PartyDoris Matsui45.4%133,456Joseph McCray, Sr.
California District 7Democratic PartyAmi Bera0.8%183587Doug Ose
California District 8Republican PartyPaul Cook35.3%114,536Bob Conaway
California District 9Democratic PartyJerry McNerney4.7%121,204Tony Amador
Colorado District 1Democratic PartyDiana DeGette36.8%278,491Martin Walsh
Colorado District 2Democratic PartyJared Polis13.5%345,945George Leing
Colorado District 3Republican PartyScott Tipton22.3%281141Abel Tapia
Colorado District 4Republican PartyKen Buck35.4%286,507Vic Meyers
Colorado District 5Republican PartyDoug Lamborn19.6%262,855Irv Halter
Colorado District 6Republican PartyMike Coffman8.9%276,440Andrew Romanoff
Colorado District 7Democratic PartyEd Perlmutter10.1%269143Don Ytterberg
Connecticut District 1Democratic PartyJohn Larson26.3%216533Matthew Corey
Connecticut District 2Democratic PartyJoe Courtney26.7%225,916Lori Hopkins-Cavanagh
Connecticut District 3Democratic PartyRosa DeLauro33.5%204645James Brown
Connecticut District 4Democratic PartyJim Himes7.4%198770Dan Debicella
Connecticut District 5Democratic PartyElizabeth Esty6.9%203,780Mark Greenberg
Delaware's At-Large DistrictDemocratic PartyJohn C. Carney Jr.22.5%231617Rose Izzo
Florida District 10Republican PartyDaniel Webster23.1%232574Michael Patrick McKenna
Florida District 11Republican PartyRichard Nugent33.3%272294David Koller
Florida District 12Republican PartyGus Bilirakis100%0Unopposed
Florida District 13Republican PartyDavid Jolly50.5%223576Lucas Overby
Florida District 14Democratic PartyKathy Castor100%0Unopposed
Florida District 15Republican PartyDennis Ross20.6%213,582Alan Cohn
Florida District 16Republican PartyVern Buchanan23.2%274,829Henry Lawrence
Florida District 17Republican PartyTom Rooney26.5%223,756Will Bronson
Florida District 18Democratic PartyPatrick Murphy19.6%253,374Carl Domino
Florida District 19Republican PartyCurt Clawson31.8%246,861April Freeman
Florida District 1Republican PartyJeff Miller46.8%235,343James Bryan
Florida District 20Democratic PartyAlcee Hastings63.2%157,466Jay Bonner
Florida District 21Democratic PartyTed Deutch99.3%153,970W. Michael Trout
Florida District 22Democratic PartyLois Frankel16.1%216096Paul Spain
Florida District 23Democratic PartyDebbie Wasserman Schultz25.3%164,788Joe Kaufman
Florida District 24Democratic PartyFrederica Wilson76%149,918Dufirstson Julio Neree
Florida District 25Republican PartyMario Diaz-Balart100%0Unopposed
Florida District 26Republican PartyCarlos Curbelo2.9%161,337Joe Garcia
Florida District 27Republican PartyIleana Ros-Lehtinen100%0Unopposed
Florida District 2Democratic PartyGwen Graham1.1%249780Steve Southerland II
Florida District 3Republican PartyTed Yoho32.7%228,809Marihelen Wheeler
Florida District 4Republican PartyAnder Crenshaw62.6%227,253Paula Moser-Bartlett
Florida District 5Democratic PartyCorrine Brown30.9%171,577Gloreatha Scurry-Smith
Florida District 6Republican PartyRon DeSantis25.1%265817David Cox
Florida District 7Republican PartyJohn Mica31.5%227164Wesley Neuman
Florida District 8Republican PartyBill Posey31.7%274,513Gabriel Rothblatt
Florida District 9Democratic PartyAlan Grayson10.9%173,878Carol Platt
Georgia District 10Republican PartyJody Hice33%196480Ken Dious
Georgia District 11Republican PartyBarry Loudermilk100%161,532Unopposed
Georgia District 12Republican PartyRick Allen9.6%166,713John Barrow
Georgia District 13Democratic PartyDavid Scott100%159,445Unopposed
Georgia District 14Republican PartyTom Graves100%118,782Unopposed
Georgia District 1Republican PartyEarl "Buddy" Carter21.8%156512Brian Reese
Georgia District 2Democratic PartySanford Bishop18.3%162936Greg Duke
Georgia District 3Republican PartyLynn Westmoreland100%156277Unopposed
Georgia District 4Democratic PartyHank Johnson100%161,211Unopposed
Georgia District 5Democratic PartyJohn Lewis100%170,326Unopposed
Georgia District 6Republican PartyThomas Price32.1%210504Robert Montigel
Georgia District 7Republican PartyRob Woodall30.8%173,669Thomas Wight
Georgia District 8Republican PartyAustin Scott100%129,938Unopposed
Georgia District 9Republican PartyDoug Collins61.3%181047David Vogel
Hawaii District 1Democratic PartyMark Takai3.9%179,779Charles Djou
Hawaii District 2Democratic PartyTulsi Gabbard60.1%180,312Kawika Crowley
Idaho District 1Republican PartyRaul Labrador30%220857Shirley Ringo
Idaho District 2Republican PartyMichael K. Simpson22.7%214,293Richard Stallings
Illinois District 10Republican PartyBob Dold Jr.2.6%187128Brad Schneider
Illinois District 11Democratic PartyBill Foster6.9%174771Darlene Senger
Illinois District 12Republican PartyMike Bost10.6%209,738Bill Enyart
Illinois District 13Republican PartyRodney Davis17.3%210,272Ann Callis
Illinois District 14Republican PartyRandy Hultgren30.8%222230Dennis Anderson
Illinois District 15Republican PartyJohn Shimkus49.8%221,926Eric Thorsland
Illinois District 16Republican PartyAdam Kinzinger41.2%217,198Randall Olsen
Illinois District 17Democratic PartyCheri Bustos10.9%199,345Bobby Schilling
Illinois District 18Republican PartyAaron Schock49.5%247013Darrel Miller
Illinois District 1Democratic PartyBobby Rush46.2%222017Jimmy Lee Tillman
Illinois District 2Democratic PartyRobin Kelly57.1%204,266Eric Wallace
Illinois District 3Democratic PartyDan Lipinski29.1%180,855Sharon Brannigan
Illinois District 4Democratic PartyLuis Gutierrez56.3%101944Hector Concepcion
Illinois District 5Democratic PartyMike Quigley32.6%184,019Vince Kolber
Illinois District 6Republican PartyPeter Roskam34.3%238,743Michael Mason
Illinois District 7Democratic PartyDanny K. Davis70.2%182,278Robert Bumpers
Illinois District 8Democratic PartyTammy Duckworth11.5%151056Lawrence Kaifesh
Illinois District 9Democratic PartyJan Schakowsky32.1%213450Susanne Atanus
Indiana District 1Democratic PartyPeter Visclosky25%142,293Mark Leyva
Indiana District 2Republican PartyJackie Walorski20.7%145200Joe Bock
Indiana District 3Republican PartyMarlin Stutzman39.1%148793Justin Kuhnle
Indiana District 4Republican PartyTodd Rokita33.7%142054John Dale
Indiana District 5Republican PartySusan Brooks34.4%161,440Shawn Denney
Indiana District 6Republican PartyLuke Messer36.5%155071Susan Hall Heitzman
Indiana District 7Democratic PartyAndré Carson13%112,261Catherine Ping
Indiana District 8Republican PartyLarry Bucshon24.5%171315Tom Spangler
Indiana District 9Republican PartyTodd Young28.5%163,387Bill Bailey
Iowa District 1Republican PartyRod Blum2.3%289,306Pat Murphy
Iowa District 2Democratic PartyDave Loebsack5.1%273329Mariannette Miller-Meeks
Iowa District 3Republican PartyDavid Young10.5%282066Staci Appel
Iowa District 4Republican PartySteve King23.3%275,633Jim Mowrer
Kansas District 1Republican PartyTim Huelskamp35.9%204,161Jim Sherow
Kansas District 2Republican PartyLynn Jenkins18.4%225,686Margie Wakefield
Kansas District 3Republican PartyKevin Yoder20%224077Kelly Kultala
Kansas District 4Republican PartyMike Pompeo33.3%208,153Perry Schuckman
Kentucky District 1Republican PartyEd Whitfield46.2%236618Charles Kendall Hatchett
Kentucky District 2Republican PartyBrett Guthrie38.4%226,834Ron Leach
Kentucky District 3Democratic PartyJohn Yarmuth27.9%247,355Michael Macfarlane
Kentucky District 4Republican PartyThomas Massie35.5%222,158Peter Newberry
Kentucky District 5Republican PartyHal Rogers56.5%218,967Kenneth Stepp
Kentucky District 6Republican PartyAndy Barr20%245694Elisabeth Jensen
Louisiana District 1Republican PartySteve Scalise68.8%244,004Lee Dugas
Louisiana District 2Democratic PartyCedric Richmond51.6%221,570Gary Landrieu
Louisiana District 3Republican PartyCharles Boustany69.3%236,268Bryan Barrilleaux
Louisiana District 4Republican PartyJohn Fleming46.9%207,919Randall Lord
Louisiana District 5 Runoff ElectionRepublican PartyRalph Abraham28.4%209,616Jamie Mayo
Louisiana District 6 Runoff ElectionRepublican PartyGarret Graves24.9%222,967Edwin Edwards
Maine District 1Democratic PartyChellie Pingree28.5%321,987Isaac James Misiuk
Maine District 2Republican PartyBruce Poliquin5%295,009Emily Cain
Maryland District 1Republican PartyAndrew Harris41%250185Bill Tilghman
Maryland District 2Democratic PartyC.A. Dutch Ruppersberger25.5%196,354David Banach
Maryland District 3Democratic PartyJohn Sarbanes19.3%215,623Charles Long
Maryland District 4Democratic PartyDonna Edwards41.9%191837Nancy Hoyt
Maryland District 5Democratic PartySteny Hoyer28.3%226,040Chris Chaffee
Maryland District 6Democratic PartyJohn Delaney1.5%190,536Dan Bongino
Maryland District 7Democratic PartyElijah Cummings42.9%206,809Corrogan Vaughn
Maryland District 8Democratic PartyChris Van Hollen20.6%211,487Dave Wallace
Massachusetts District 1Democratic PartyRichard Neal72.3%227,075Other
Massachusetts District 2Democratic PartyJim McGovern70.6%235813Other
Massachusetts District 3Democratic PartyNiki Tsongas24.9%230,825Ann Wofford
Massachusetts District 4Democratic PartyJoe Kennedy70.6%255297Other
Massachusetts District 5Democratic PartyKatherine Clark69.8%256,486Other
Massachusetts District 6Democratic PartySeth Moulton13.5%278919Richard Tisei
Massachusetts District 7Democratic PartyMike Capuano79.4%176,077Other
Massachusetts District 8Democratic PartyStephen Lynch75.6%261,781Other
Massachusetts District 9Democratic PartyBill Keating9.6%264,554John Chapman
Michigan District 10Republican PartyCandice Miller39.3%228,692Chuck Stadler
Michigan District 11Republican PartyDave Trott15.5%249,827Bobby McKenzie
Michigan District 12Democratic PartyDebbie Dingell33.7%206,660Terry Bowman
Michigan District 13Democratic PartyJohn Conyers, Jr.63.2%166947Jeff Gorman
Michigan District 14Democratic PartyBrenda Lawrence58.1%212,438Christina Barr
Michigan District 1Republican PartyDan Benishek6.9%250,131Jerry Cannon
Michigan District 2Republican PartyBill Huizenga30.4%213072Dean Vanderstelt
Michigan District 3Republican PartyJustin Amash18.9%217,165Bob Goodrich
Michigan District 4Republican PartyJohn Moolenaar17.4%219,423Jeff Holmes
Michigan District 5Democratic PartyDan Kildee35.5%222138Allen Hardwick
Michigan District 6Republican PartyFred Upton15.5%208976Paul Clements
Michigan District 7Republican PartyTim Walberg12.3%223,685Pam Byrnes
Michigan District 8Republican PartyMike Bishop12.5%243125Eric Schertzing
Michigan District 9Democratic PartySander Levin24.3%225,757George Brikho
Minnesota District 1Democratic PartyTim Walz8.5%226,695Jim Hagedorn
Minnesota District 2Republican PartyJohn Kline17.2%245848Mike Obermueller
Minnesota District 3Republican PartyErik Paulsen24.4%269585Sharon Sund
Minnesota District 4Democratic PartyBetty McCollum28.3%241637Sharna Wahlgren
Minnesota District 5Democratic PartyKeith Ellison46.8%236010Doug Daggett
Minnesota District 6Republican PartyTom Emmer17.9%236,846Joe Perske
Minnesota District 7Democratic PartyCollin Peterson8.5%240,835Torrey Westrom
Minnesota District 8Democratic PartyRick Nolan1.4%266,083Stewart Mills
Mississippi District 1Republican PartyAlan Nunnelee39%151,111Ron Dickey
Mississippi District 2Democratic PartyBennie Thompson43.2%148,646Troy Ray
Mississippi District 3Republican PartyGregg Harper41%170946Doug Magee
Mississippi District 4Republican PartySteven Palazzo45.6%155,576Matt Moore
Missouri District 1Democratic PartyWilliam Lacy Clay51.4%163494Daniel Elder
Missouri District 2Republican PartyAnn Wagner31.5%231117Arthur Lieber
Missouri District 3Republican PartyBlaine Luetkemeyer41.2%191,620Courtney Denton
Missouri District 4Republican PartyVicky Hartzler41.7%176,286Nate Irvin
Missouri District 5Democratic PartyEmanuel Cleaver6.6%153,635Jacob Turk
Missouri District 6Republican PartySam Graves37.1%186,970Bill Hedge
Missouri District 7Republican PartyBilly Long34.6%163,957Jim Evans
Missouri District 8Republican PartyJason Smith42.3%159,224Barbara Stocker
Montana's At-Large DistrictRepublican PartyRyan Zinke15%367963John Lewis
Nebraska District 1Republican PartyJeff Fortenberry37.6%179,057Dennis Crawford
Nebraska District 2Democratic PartyBrad Ashford3.3%171050Lee Terry
Nebraska District 3Republican PartyAdrian Smith50.8%184964Mark Sullivan
Nevada District 1Democratic PartyDina Titus19%80,299Annette Teijeiro
Nevada District 2Republican PartyMark Amodei37.8%186210Kristen Spees
Nevada District 3Republican PartyJoe Heck24.6%145719Erin Bilbray
Nevada District 4Republican PartyCresent Hardy2.8%130781Steven Horsford
New Hampshire District 1Republican PartyFrank Guinta3.6%242,736Carol Shea-Porter
New Hampshire District 2Democratic PartyAnnie Kuster10%238,184Marilinda Garcia
New Jersey District 10Democratic PartyDonald Payne, Jr.72.8%112123Yolanda Dentley
New Jersey District 11Republican PartyRodney Frelinghuysen25.1%174932Mark Dunec
New Jersey District 12Democratic PartyBonnie Watson Coleman24.4%148366Alieta Eck
New Jersey District 1Democratic PartyDonald Norcross18%162,492Garry Cobb
New Jersey District 1 Special ElectionDemocratic PartyDonald Norcross17.5%149938Garry Cobb
New Jersey District 2Republican PartyFrank LoBiondo24.2%177,148Bill Hughes, Jr.
New Jersey District 3Republican PartyTom MacArthur9.6%186,103Aimee Belgard
New Jersey District 4Republican PartyChris Smith36.8%174,849Ruben Scolavino
New Jersey District 5Republican PartyScott Garrett12.1%188921Roy Cho
New Jersey District 6Democratic PartyFrank Pallone Jr.21%120457Anthony Wilkinson
New Jersey District 7Republican PartyLeonard Lance20.5%175,997Janice Kovach
New Jersey District 8Democratic PartyAlbio Sires58.3%79518Jude Anthony Tiscornia
New Jersey District 9Democratic PartyBill Pascrell38.4%120459Dierdre Paul
New Mexico District 1Democratic PartyMichelle Lujan Grisham17.2%180,032Mike Frese
New Mexico District 2Republican PartySteve Pearce28.9%147777Roxanne "Rocky" Lara
New Mexico District 3Democratic PartyBen Ray Lujan23.1%184,076Jefferson Byrd
New York District 10Democratic PartyJerrold Nadler68%113,226Ross Brady
New York District 11Republican PartyMichael Grimm12.3%110999Domenic Recchia
New York District 12Democratic PartyCarolyn Maloney57.8%117,420Nick Di Iorio
New York District 13Democratic PartyCharles Rangel63.8%91,834Daniel Vila Rivera
New York District 14Democratic PartyJoseph Crowley64.7%67372Elizabeth Perri
New York District 15Democratic PartyJose Serrano87.9%61,268Eduardo Ramirez
New York District 16Democratic PartyEliot Engel43.7%138,655Blank/Void/Scattering
New York District 17Democratic PartyNita Lowey12.3%181,674Chris Day
New York District 18Democratic PartySean Maloney1.8%186640Nan Hayworth
New York District 19Republican PartyChris Gibson28.1%210,351Sean Eldridge
New York District 1Republican PartyLee Zeldin8.7%176719Tim Bishop
New York District 20Democratic PartyPaul Tonko21.7%211,965Jim Fischer
New York District 21Republican PartyElise Stefanik20.5%181,558Aaron Woolf
New York District 22Republican PartyRichard Hanna48.1%175372Blank/Void/Scattering
New York District 23Republican PartyTom Reed21.9%195,874Martha Robertson
New York District 24Republican PartyJohn Katko18.8%203,417Dan Maffei
New York District 25Democratic PartyLouise Slaughter0.4%196516Mark Assini
New York District 26Democratic PartyBrian Higgins34.7%173,911Kathy Weppner
New York District 27Republican PartyChris Collins39.9%215,147Jim O'Donnell
New York District 2Republican PartyPeter King36.4%146617Patricia M. Maher
New York District 3Democratic PartySteve Israel9.2%171,163Grant Lally
New York District 4Democratic PartyKathleen M. Rice5.5%175,305Bruce Blakeman
New York District 5Democratic PartyGregory Meeks76.1%94400Allen Steinhardt
New York District 6Democratic PartyGrace Meng43.2%77306Blank/Void/Scattering
New York District 7Democratic PartyNydia Velazquez74.3%68,522Jose Luis Fernandez
New York District 8Democratic PartyHakeem Jeffries74.2%95113Alan Bellone
New York District 9Democratic PartyYvette Clarke71.8%101,606Daniel Cavanagh
North Carolina District 10Republican PartyPatrick T. McHenry22%218796Tate MacQueen, IV
North Carolina District 11Republican PartyMark Meadows25.8%230,024Tom Hill
North Carolina District 12Democratic PartyAlma Adams50.7%172,664Vince Coakley
North Carolina District 12 Special ElectionDemocratic PartyAlma Adams50.9%169246Vince Coakley
North Carolina District 13Republican PartyGeorge Holding14.6%268,709Brenda Cleary
North Carolina District 1Democratic PartyG.K. Butterfield46.8%210,323Arthur Rich
North Carolina District 2Republican PartyRenee Ellmers17.7%207,607Clay Aiken
North Carolina District 3Republican PartyWalter Jones35.6%205,597Marshall Adame
North Carolina District 4Democratic PartyDavid Price49.5%227,362Paul Wright
North Carolina District 5Republican PartyVirginia Foxx22%228,252Josh Brannon
North Carolina District 6Republican PartyMark Walker17.3%251070Laura Fjeld
North Carolina District 7Republican PartyDavid Rouzer22.2%226,504Jonathan Barfield, Jr.
North Carolina District 8Republican PartyRichard Hudson29.7%187422Antonio Blue
North Carolina District 9Republican PartyRobert Pittenger92.5%173,668Shawn Eckles
North Dakota's At-Large DistrictRepublican PartyKevin Cramer17.1%248,670George B. Sinner
Ohio District 10Republican PartyMike Turner33.6%200606Robert Klepinger
Ohio District 11Democratic PartyMarcia Fudge58.9%172566Mark Zetzer
Ohio District 12Republican PartyPatrick Tiberi40.4%221081David Tibbs
Ohio District 13Democratic PartyTim Ryan37%175,549Thomas Pekarek
Ohio District 14Republican PartyDavid Joyce30.2%214,580Michael Wager
Ohio District 15Republican PartySteve Stivers32%194621Richard Scott Wharton
Ohio District 16Republican PartyJim Renacci27.5%207375Pete Crossland
Ohio District 1Republican PartySteve Chabot26.4%197,383Fred Kundrata
Ohio District 2Republican PartyBrad Wenstrup31.9%201,111Marek Tyszkiewicz
Ohio District 3Democratic PartyJoyce Beatty28.1%143,261John Adams
Ohio District 4Republican PartyJim Jordan35.3%186072Janet Garrett
Ohio District 5Republican PartyBob Latta37.5%202300Robert Fry
Ohio District 6Republican PartyBill Johnson19.7%190,652Jennifer Garrison
Ohio District 7Republican PartyBob Gibbs100%143959Unopposed
Ohio District 8Republican PartyJohn Boehner39.8%188330Tom Poetter
Ohio District 9Democratic PartyMarcy Kaptur35.6%160,715Richard May
Oklahoma District 1Republican PartyJim Bridenstine100%0Unopposed
Oklahoma District 2Republican PartyMarkwayne Mullin45.4%158,407Earl Everett
Oklahoma District 3Republican PartyFrank D. Lucas57.2%169605Frankie Robbins
Oklahoma District 4Republican PartyTom Cole46.1%166268Bert Smith
Oklahoma District 5Republican PartySteve Russell23.8%159133Al McAffrey
Oregon District 1Democratic PartySuzanne Bonamici22.8%279253Jason Yates
Oregon District 2Republican PartyGreg Walden44.7%287425Aelea Christofferson
Oregon District 3Democratic PartyEarl Blumenauer52.7%292757James Buchal
Oregon District 4Democratic PartyPeter DeFazio21%310179Art Robinson
Oregon District 5Democratic PartyKurt Schrader14.4%281088Tootie Smith
Pennsylvania District 10Republican PartyTom Marino37.8%180322Scott Brion
Pennsylvania District 11Republican PartyLou Barletta32.6%184,692Andy Ostrowski
Pennsylvania District 12Republican PartyKeith Rothfus18.6%215,921Erin McClelland
Pennsylvania District 13Democratic PartyBrendan Boyle34.2%184150Dee Adcock
Pennsylvania District 14Democratic PartyMichael F. Doyle100%148351Unopposed
Pennsylvania District 15Republican PartyCharlie Dent100%128,285Unopposed
Pennsylvania District 16Republican PartyJoseph Pitts15.4%176,235Tom Houghton
Pennsylvania District 17Democratic PartyMatt Cartwright13.5%165,051David Moylan
Pennsylvania District 18Republican PartyTim Murphy100%166076Unopposed
Pennsylvania District 1Democratic PartyRobert Brady65.7%158,441Megan Rath
Pennsylvania District 2Democratic PartyChaka Fattah75.4%206,538Armond James
Pennsylvania District 3Republican PartyMike Kelly21.3%187790Dan LaVallee
Pennsylvania District 4Republican PartyScott Perry49.1%197340Linda Deliah Thompson
Pennsylvania District 5Republican PartyGlenn Thompson27.2%180,857Kerith Strano Taylor
Pennsylvania District 6Republican PartyRyan Costello12.6%212,544Manan Trivedi
Pennsylvania District 7Republican PartyPatrick Meehan24.1%235125Mary Ellen Balchunis
Pennsylvania District 8Republican PartyMichael G. Fitzpatrick23.8%222,498Kevin Strouse
Pennsylvania District 9Republican PartyBill Shuster27%173,317Alanna Hartzok
Rhode Island District 1Democratic PartyDavid Cicilline19.3%146353Cormick Lynch
Rhode Island District 2Democratic PartyJames R. Langevin24.6%169,904Rhue Reis
South Carolina District 1Republican PartyMark Sanford86.8%127,815Write-in
South Carolina District 2Republican PartyJoe Wilson27.2%194,808Phil Black
South Carolina District 3Republican PartyJeff Duncan42.4%164,009Barbara Jo Mullis
South Carolina District 4Republican PartyTrey Gowdy70.1%149049Curtis McLaughlin
South Carolina District 5Republican PartyMick Mulvaney21.3%169962Tom Adams
South Carolina District 6Democratic PartyJames Clyburn47%173,432Anthony Culler
South Carolina District 7Republican PartyTom Rice20%171524Gloria Bromell Tinubu
South Dakota's At-Large DistrictRepublican PartyKristi Noem33.1%276,319Corinna Robinson
Tennessee District 1Republican PartyPhil Roe79.9%139414Michael Salyer
Tennessee District 2Republican PartyJohn J. Duncan, Jr.49.9%166707Bob Scott
Tennessee District 3Republican PartyCharles J. Fleischmann27.8%156,050Mary Headrick
Tennessee District 4Republican PartyScott DesJarlais23%145,357Lenda Sherrell
Tennessee District 5Democratic PartyJim Cooper26.5%153,606Bob Ries
Tennessee District 6Republican PartyDiane Black48.1%162,035Amos Powers
Tennessee District 7Republican PartyMarsha Blackburn43.2%157850Dan Cramer
Tennessee District 8Republican PartyStephen Lee Fincher46.3%172,504Wes Bradley
Tennessee District 9Democratic PartySteve Cohen51.6%116,471Charlotte Bergmann
Texas District 10Republican PartyMichael McCaul28%176460Tawana Walter-Cadien
Texas District 11Republican PartyMike Conaway80.5%119574Ryan Lange
Texas District 12Republican PartyKay Granger45%158730Mark Greene
Texas District 13Republican PartyMac Thornberry71.5%131451Mike Minter
Texas District 14Republican PartyRandy Weber25.8%145,698Donald Brown
Texas District 15Democratic PartyRuben Hinojosa Sr.10.7%90,184Eddie Zamora
Texas District 16Democratic PartyBeto O'Rourke38.3%73,105Corey Roen
Texas District 17Republican PartyBill Flores32.2%132865Nick Haynes
Texas District 18Democratic PartySheila Jackson Lee47%106010Sean Seibert
Texas District 19Republican PartyRandy Neugebauer58.7%115825Neal Marchbanks
Texas District 1Republican PartyLouie Gohmert54.9%148,560Shirley McKellar
Texas District 20Democratic PartyJoaquin Castro51.3%87,964Jeffrey Blunt
Texas District 21Republican PartyLamar Smith57.1%188,996Antonio Diaz
Texas District 22Republican PartyPete Olson35%151566Frank Briscoe
Texas District 23Republican PartyWill Hurd2.1%115429Pete Gallego
Texas District 24Republican PartyKenny Marchant32.7%144073Patrick McGehearty
Texas District 25Republican PartyRoger Williams24%177883Marco Montoya
Texas District 26Republican PartyMichael Burgess65.3%141,470Mark Boler
Texas District 27Republican PartyBlake Farenthold29.9%131047Wesley Reed
Texas District 28Democratic PartyHenry Cuellar68.8%76,136Will Aikens
Texas District 29Democratic PartyGene Green79.1%46143James Stanczak
Texas District 2Republican PartyTed Poe38.3%150026Niko Letsos
Texas District 30Democratic PartyEddie Bernice Johnson81.2%105,793Max Koch, III
Texas District 31Republican PartyJohn Carter32.1%143028Louie Minor
Texas District 32Republican PartyPete Sessions26.4%156096Frank Perez
Texas District 33Democratic PartyMarc Veasey73%50,592Jason Reeves
Texas District 34Democratic PartyFilemon Vela20.9%79,877Larry Smith
Texas District 35Democratic PartyLloyd Doggett29.2%96,225Susan Narvaiz
Texas District 36Republican PartyBrian Babin53.9%133,842Michael Cole
Texas District 3Republican PartySam Johnson64%138,280Paul Blair
Texas District 4Republican PartyJohn Ratcliffe100%115,085Unopposed
Texas District 5Republican PartyJeb Hensarling70.7%104,262Ken Ashby
Texas District 6Republican PartyJoe Barton24.7%150,996David Cozad
Texas District 7Republican PartyJohn Culberson28.7%143219James Cargas
Texas District 8Republican PartyKevin Brady78.6%140013Ken Petty
Texas District 9Democratic PartyAl Green81.6%86003Johnny Johnson
Utah District 1Republican PartyRob Bishop35.3%109387Donna McAleer
Utah District 2Republican PartyChris Stewart27.1%127517Luz Robles
Utah District 3Republican PartyJason Chaffetz49.7%130717Brian Wonnacott
Utah District 4Republican PartyMia Love3.3%128687Doug Owens
Vermont's At-Large DistrictDemocratic PartyPeter Welch33.4%191504Mark Donka
Virginia District 10Republican PartyBarbara Comstock16.1%222910John Foust
Virginia District 11Democratic PartyGerald Connolly16.5%187805Suzanne Scholte
Virginia District 1Republican PartyRobert J. Wittman28.5%209621Norm Mosher
Virginia District 2Republican PartyScott Rigell17.6%173060Suzanne Patrick
Virginia District 3Democratic PartyRobert C. Scott88.9%147402Write-in
Virginia District 4Republican PartyRandy Forbes22.6%200,638Elliott Fausz
Virginia District 5Republican PartyRobert Hurt25%204945Lawrence Gaughan
Virginia District 6Republican PartyBob Goodlatte62.2%179,708Will Hammer
Virginia District 7Republican PartyDavid Brat23.9%243351Jack Trammell
Virginia District 7 Special ElectionRepublican PartyDavid Brat23.9%241313Jack Trammell
Virginia District 8Democratic PartyDon Beyer31.7%203,076Micah Edmond
Virginia District 9Republican PartyMorgan Griffith47.9%162,815William Carr
Washington District 10Democratic PartyDenny Heck9.4%181492Joyce McDonald
Washington District 1Democratic PartySuzan DelBene10.1%225,579Pedro Celis
Washington District 2Democratic PartyRick Larsen21.1%201691B.J. Guillot
Washington District 3Republican PartyJaime Herrera Beutler23.1%202814Bob Dingethal
Washington District 4Republican PartyDan Newhouse1.6%153,079Clint Didier
Washington District 5Republican PartyCathy McMorris Rodgers21.4%223242Joseph Pakootas
Washington District 6Democratic PartyDerek Kilmer26%224,290Marty McClendon
Washington District 7Democratic PartyJim McDermott61.9%251875Craig Keller
Washington District 8Republican PartyDave Reichert26.5%198,744Jason Ritchie
Washington District 9Democratic PartyAdam Smith41.7%166794Doug Basler
West Virginia District 1Republican PartyDavid McKinley27.8%143685Glen Gainer
West Virginia, District 2Republican PartyAlex Mooney3.2%153092Nick Casey
West Virginia District 3Republican PartyEvan Jenkins10.7%140,401Nick Rahall
Wisconsin District 1Republican PartyPaul Ryan26.6%288,170Rob Zerban
Wisconsin District 2Democratic PartyMark Pocan36.9%328,847Peter Theron
Wisconsin District 3Democratic PartyRon Kind13%275,161Tony Kurtz
Wisconsin District 4Democratic PartyGwen Moore43.4%254,892Dan Sebring
Wisconsin District 5Republican PartyJim Sensenbrenner39.1%332,826Chris Rockwood
Wisconsin District 6Republican PartyGlenn Grothman15.9%299,033Mark Harris
Wisconsin District 7Republican PartySean Duffy19.9%286,603Kelly Westlund
Wisconsin District 8Republican PartyReid Ribble30.1%290,048Ron Gruett
Wyoming's At-Large DistrictRepublican PartyCynthia Lummis45.6%165,100Richard Grayson


The ten most competitive U.S. House races of 2014 are listed below. Seven of the ten featured a Democratic incumbent narrowly winning re-election, two featured a Democratic incumbent who lost and one featured a Republican incumbent who lost re-election.

Arizona's 2nd

The country's most competitiveU.S. House race remained uncalled for over six weeks following the general election. Republican challengerMartha McSally was crowned the victor after a mandatory recount took place following the official canvass and certification of votes on December 1. A mere 0.1 percent, or 161 votes, separated the two candidates.[15][16] Barber also filed a lawsuit asking a judge to force two counties to count 133 provisional ballots that were previously rejected. His campaign argued that the ballots were wrongly disqualified. However, his request was denied by a Tucson federal judge.[17][18]

The race between Barber and McSally was a rematch of their 2012 bout, in which Barber beat McSally by under 1 percent of the vote.Arizona's 2nd District was one of a very few number of races in which the challenger raised more money than the incumbent. The race was rated a "Toss up" by bothCook Political Report andSabato's Crystal Ball.[19][20]

U.S. House, Arizona District 2 General Election, 2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngMartha McSally50%109,704
    Democratic Ron BarberIncumbent49.9%109,543
    Write-in Sampson U. Ramirez0%56
    Write-in Sydney Dudikoff0%48
Total Votes219,351
Source:Arizona Secretary of State

New York's 25th

InNew York's 25th Congressional District, incumbentLouise Slaughter (D) narrowly won re-election overMark Assini (R). Slaughter defeated Assini by 0.5 percent of the vote, or 871 votes.Assini did not concede toSlaughter until eight days after the election.[21] With all precincts reporting, but before all absentee and affidavit ballots were counted,Slaughter had 93,053 votes toAssini's 92,471. According to two County Board of Elections commissioners, there were still around 2,000 affidavit ballots and 1,300 absentee ballots left to be counted, leaving a slim possibility that Assini could have caught up. Assini said that he would not concede until all votes had been accounted for, stating, "In all fairness to the voters, you should let the votes be counted."[22] After many of the additional ballots were counted on November 12, Slaughter had pulled ahead slightly, 96,800 to 95,931, and Assini called Slaughter to congratulate her on her victory.[21]

This incredibly close nature of the race was unexpected in a district that was rated a "Safe Democratic" district by bothCook Political Report andSabato's Crystal Ball.[19][20]

U.S. House, New York District 25 General Election, 2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngLouise SlaughterIncumbent50.2%96,803
    Republican Mark Assini49.7%95,932
    N/A Write-in votes0.1%236
Total Votes192,971
Source:New York State Board of Elections, NYS Board of Elections Rep. in Congress Election Returns November 4, 2014," accessed August 30, 2021

California's 7th

InCalifornia's 7th Congressional District, incumbentAmi Bera (D) won re-election, beatingDoug Ose (R) in the general election. Bera defeated Ose by 0.8 percent of the vote, or 1,455 votes.[23] The race remained uncalled for over two weeks following the general election.[24]

With a total price tag of $20,721,764, the race forCalifornia's 7th Congressional District seat was the most expensiveHouse race of the 2014 election cycle. Roughly two-thirds of the total spending in the race came from outside sources, the biggest being theDCCC andNRCC.[25] The race was rated a "Toss up" byCook Political Report and rated "Leans D" bySabato's Crystal Ball.[19][20]

U.S. House, California District 7 General Election, 2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngAmi BeraIncumbent50.4%92,521
    Republican Doug Ose49.6%91,066
Total Votes183,587
Source:California Secretary of State

Florida's 2nd

InFlorida's 2nd Congressional District,Gwen Graham (D) defeated incumbentSteve Southerland (R) in the general election. Graham triumphed by 1.2 percent of the vote, or 2,834 votes.[26]House Majority PAC, aDemocraticsuper PAC, listed Southerland as one of their top 10 targets in 2014.[27]

With a total price tag of $14,314,722, the race forFlorida's 2nd Congressional District seat was the tenth most expensiveHouse race of the 2014 election cycle. Graham maintained a slight edge in total contributions over the incumbent heading into November.[25] Polling showed that the race could go to either candidate. The race was rated a "Toss up" byCook Political Report and rated "Lean R" bySabato's Crystal Ball.[19][20]

U.S. House, Florida District 2 General Election, 2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngGwen Graham50.5%126,096
    Republican Steve SoutherlandIncumbent49.3%123,262
    Write-in Luther Lee0.2%422
Total Votes249,780
Source:Florida Division of Elections

California's 16th

InCalifornia's 16th Congressional District, incumbentJim Costa (D) held onto his seat, defeatingJohnny Tacherra (R) in the general election. Costa won by a margin of 1.4 percent, or 1,334 votes. The race between Costa and Tacherra remained uncalled for over two weeks following the election.[23]

California's 16th Congressional District was expected to be another easy hold for the Democratic incumbent. However, the race turned out to be much closer than anticipated, despite Costa's massive fundraising edge. The race was rated "Likely D" byCook Political Report and rated "Safe D" bySabato's Crystal Ball.[19][20]

U.S. House, California District 16 General Election, 2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngJim CostaIncumbent50.7%46,277
    Republican Johnny Tacherra49.3%44,943
Total Votes91,220
Source:California Secretary of State

Minnesota's 8th

InMinnesota's 8th Congressional District, incumbentRick Nolan (D) defeated challengerStewart Mills (R) in the general election. Nolan won by a margin of 1.4 percent, or 3,732 votes.Skip Sandman, theGreen Party candidate in the race, took in 4.3 percent of the vote, over three times the margin that separated Nolan and Mills.[28]

Minnesota's 8th Congressional District was the sixth most expensiveU.S. House race in 2014. A total of $15,927,832 was spent in the election. Of that amount, nearly 80 percent came fromsatellite spending.[25] The race was rated a "Toss Up" by bothCook Political Report andSabato's Crystal Ball.[19][20]

U.S. House, Minnesota District 8 General Election, 2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngRick NolanIncumbent48.5%129,090
    Republican Stewart Mills47.1%125,358
    Green Skip Sandman4.3%11,450
    N/A Write-in0.1%185
Total Votes266,083
Source:Minnesota Secretary of State

Maryland's 6th

InMaryland's 6th Congressional District, incumbentJohn Delaney (D) successfully defended against a challenge fromDan Bongino (R). Delaney beat Bongino by 1.5 percent of the vote, or 2,774 votes.[29]

Maryland's 6th Congressional District was another race that was not expected to be competitive at all, but in which the Democratic incumbent barely held onto his seat. BothCook Political Report andSabato's Crystal Ball rated the seat as "Safely Democratic". Delaney held a substantial fundraising edge throughout the race as well.[19][20]

U.S. House, Maryland District 6 General Election, 2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngJohn DelaneyIncumbent49.7%94,704
    Republican Dan Bongino48.2%91,930
    Green George Gluck2%3,762
    Write-in Others0.1%140
Total Votes190,536
Source:Maryland Secretary of State Official Results

New York's 18th

InNew York's 18th Congressional District, incumbentSean Maloney (D) defeatedNan Hayworth (R) to retain control of his seat. Maloney won by a margin of 1.8 percent, or 3,333 votes. Third-party candidateScott Smith took in 2.3 percent of the general election vote.[30] The race between Maloney and Hayworth was a rematch of their2012 bout, in which Maloney unseated then-incumbent Hayworth.

New York's 18th Congressional District was abattleground in 2014. Maloney held an advantage in both polling and fundraising heading into the general election. The race was rated "Lean D" byCook Political Report and rated "Likely D" bySabato's Crystal Ball.[19][20]

U.S. House, New York District 18 General Election, 2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngSean MaloneyIncumbent49.7%88,993
    Republican Nan Hayworth47.8%85,660
    Send Mr. Smith Scott Smith2.4%4,294
    N/A Write-in votes0.1%144
Total Votes179,091
Source:New York State Board of Elections, NYS Board of Elections Rep. in Congress Election Returns November 4, 2014," accessed August 30, 2021

Texas' 23rd

InTexas' 23rd Congressional District,Will Hurd (R) unseated incumbentPete Gallego (D) in the general election. Gallego won by a margin of 2.1 percent, or 2,422 votes.Libertarian candidateRuben Corvalan took in 2.5 percent of the general election vote.[31]

Texas' 23rd Congressional District was abattleground district that leaned Democratic in 2014. Incumbent Gallego led Hurd in fundraising totals throughout the election cycle. The race was rated "Lean D" by bothCook Political Report andSabato's Crystal Ball.[19][20]

U.S. House, Texas District 23 General Election, 2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngWill Hurd49.8%57,459
    Democratic Pete GallegoIncumbent47.7%55,037
    Libertarian Ruben Corvalan2.5%2,933
Total Votes115,429
Source:Texas Secretary of State

Iowa's 1st

InIowa's 1st Congressional District, RepublicanRod Blum defeated state Rep.Patrick Murphy. Blum won by a margin of 2.3 percent, or 6,617 votes.[32]

The seat was left open and vulnerable following former Rep.Bruce Braley's decision to run forU.S. Senate. The race was rated "Likely D" by bothCook Political Report andSabato's Crystal Ball.[19][20]

U.S. House, Iowa District 1 General Election, 2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    Democratic Pat Murphy48.8%141,145
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngRod Blum51.1%147,762
    Write-in Other0.1%399
Total Votes289,306
Source:Iowa Secretary of State Official Results

See also

Footnotes

  1. CNN, "CNN/ORC poll: Most think Congress is worst in their lifetime," September 10, 2014
  2. 2.02.1Virginia Department of Elections, "November 4, 2014-General-Election Results," accessed January 15, 2015
  3. Alabama Secretary of State, "Canvass of Results General Election," November 4, 2014
  4. Washington Post, "Republican Ed Gillespie concedes Va. Senate race," accessed November 7, 2014
  5. 5.05.15.25.3Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 Senate," accessed September 15, 2014
  6. 6.06.16.26.3The Cook Political Report, "2014 Senate Race Ratings for September 5, 2014," accessed September 15, 2014
  7. North Carolina State Board of Elections, "11/04/2014 OFFICIAL GENERAL ELECTION RESULTS - STATEWIDE," accessed January 15, 2015
  8. OpenSecrets, "2014 Outside Spending, by Race," accessed November 26, 2014
  9. Colorado Secretary of State, "OFFICIAL RESULTS NOVEMBER 4, 2014 GENERAL ELECTION," accessed January 15, 2015
  10. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Udall July Quarterly," accessed July 24, 2014
  11. Federal Election Commission, "Cory Gardner July Quarterly," accessed July 23, 2014
  12. Alaska Secretary of State, "2014 GENERAL ELECTION November 4, 2014 Official Results," accessed January 15, 2015
  13. Alaska Dispatch News, "Begich says Obama discontent, not Active ad, cost him Senate seat," November 22, 2014
  14. New Hampshire Secretary of State, "United States Senator - 2014 General Election," accessed January 15, 2015
  15. 15.015.1Arizona Secretary of State, "STATE OF ARIZONA OFFICIAL CANVASS," accessed January 15, 2015
  16. Tucson.com, "CD2 recount could take 2 weeks," November 29, 2014
  17. The Hill, "Barber campaign files federal lawsuit ahead of recount," November 24, 2014
  18. AZcentral, "Recount set to begin in Barber-McSally race," December 1, 2014
  19. 19.019.119.219.319.419.519.619.719.819.9Cook Political Report, "2014 House Race Ratings for October 3, 2014," accessed October 16, 2014
  20. 20.020.120.220.320.420.520.620.720.820.9Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed October 16, 2014
  21. 21.021.1Time Warner Cable News, "Mark Assini Concedes to Rep. Louise Slaughter in 25th Congressional Race," accessed November 13, 2014
  22. Democrat & Chronicle, "Deciding Assini-Slaughter winner could take a while," accessed November 6, 2014
  23. 23.023.1California Secretary of State, "Statement of Vote November 4, 2014, General Election," accessed January 15, 2015
  24. California Secretary of State, "U.S. House of Representatives Results of All Districts," accessed November 19, 2014
  25. 25.025.125.2OpenSecrets.org, "Most Expensive Races," accessed October 31, 2014
  26. Florida Division of Elections, "November 4, 2014 General Election," accessed January 15, 2015
  27. Sunshine State News "Democratic Super PAC Targets Steve Southerland" accessed March 8, 2013
  28. Minnesota Secretary of State, "Tuesday, November 4, 2014," accessed January 15, 2015
  29. Maryland State Board of Elections, "Official 2014 Gubernatorial General Election results for Representative in Congress," accessed January 15, 2015
  30. New York Board of Elections, "Rep. in Congress Election Returns November 4, 2014," accessed January 15, 2015
  31. Texas Secretary of State, "November 4, 2014, Elections Results," accessed January 15, 2015
  32. Iowa Secretary of State, "November 4, 2014 General Election," accessed January 15, 2015