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Illinois gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2014

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Illinois's 2014 elections
U.S. Senate • U.S. House • Governor • Lt. Gov • Attorney General • Secretary of State • Other executive offices • State Senate • State House • State ballot measures • School boards • Judicial • Candidate ballot access
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Illinois Gubernatorial and Lieutenant Gubernatorial Election
Primary Date:
March 18, 2014
General Election Date:
November 4, 2014
Race rating:
November 4 Election Winners:
Bruce RaunerRepublican Party
Evelyn SanguinettiRepublican Party
Incumbents prior to election:
Gov.Pat QuinnDemocratic Party
Lt. Gov.Sheila SimonDemocratic Party
Gov. Pat Quinn
Lt. Gov. Sheila Simon
Illinois State Executive Elections
Top Ballot
Governor • Lieutenant Governor •Secretary of State •Attorney General
Down Ballot
Treasurer, Controller
Trifecta loss for Democrats
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State executive offices in Illinois
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TheIllinois gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election took place onNovember 4, 2014. Incumbent GovernorPat Quinn (D) ran for re-election, but lost toRepublican challengerBruce Rauner in the general election. Incumbent Lieutenant GovernorSheila Simon opted to run forstate comptroller in 2014 rather than seek re-election with Quinn. She lost that race toRepublican incumbentJudy Baar Topinka.

Quinn was identified as one of the most vulnerable governors facing re-election in the 2014 electoral cycle byGoverning.[1] He faced Republican nomineeBruce Rauner andLibertarian Party candidateChad Grimm in the general election.

The Illinois gubernatorial race became a contest between Quinn and Rauner with polls showing small margins between the two candidates. Learn more about the history of this close election in therace background section or read about debates in the election in thedebates section.

Aprimary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. In Illinois, state law provides for aclosed primary where a voter must be affiliated with a party to vote in that party's primary. However, voters state their affiliation at the polls and any voter may change their affiliation on the day of the primary. A voter's eligibility to vote a party's ballot may be challenged.[2]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, seethis article.

The gubernatorial contest was the only race on the November ballot likely to have shifted the partisan balance of power in Illinois. Going into the 2014 elections, both theIllinois House of Representatives andIllinois State Senate were considered safe Democratic, but because the governor's office was won by a Republican candidate, Illinois lost its trifecta status. Learn more about the state's legislative races on thebattleground chambers page.

Candidates

Running mates listed together in order of "Governor/Lieutenant Governor"

General election

Democratic PartyPat Quinn(Incumbent)/Paul Vallas[3]
Republican PartyBruce Rauner/Evelyn Sanguinetti[4]Green check mark transparent.png
Libertarian PartyChad Grimm/Alex Cummings[5][6]

Lost in the primary

Democratic PartyTio Hardiman/Brunell Donald[7][7][8]
Republican PartyBill Brady/Maria Rodriguez[9][10]
Republican PartyKirk Dillard/Jil Tracy - State Senator[11][12]
Republican PartyDan Rutherford/Steve Kim -State Treasurer[13][14]

Failed to qualify

Green PartyScott Summers/Bob Pritchett, Jr.[15]
Constitution PartyMichael Oberline/Don Stone[16]
Grey.pngMichael Hawkins/Kimberly Kusch[17]


Results

General election

Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Illinois, 2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngBruce Rauner/Evelyn Sanguinetti50.3%1,823,627
    DemocraticPat Quinn/Paul VallasIncumbent46.3%1,681,343
    LibertarianChad Grimm/Alex Cummings3.4%121,534
    Nonpartisan Write-in votes0%1,186
Total Votes3,627,690
Election results viaIllinois State Board of Elections

Primary election

Democratic primary

Governor and Lt. Governor of Illinois, Democratic Primary, 2014
CandidateVote %Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngPat Quinn &Paul VallasIncumbent71.9%321,818
Tio Hardiman &Brunell Donald28.1%125,500
Total Votes447,318
Election results viaIllinois State Board of Elections.

Republican primary

Governor and Lt. Governor of Illinois, Republican Primary, 2014
CandidateVote %Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngBruce Rauner &Evelyn Sanguinetti40.1%328,934
Kirk Dillard &Jil Tracy37.2%305,120
Bill Brady &Maria Rodriguez15.1%123,708
Dan Rutherford &Steve Kim7.6%61,948
Total Votes819,710
Election results viaIllinois State Board of Elections.


Race background

Gov.Pat Quinn (D) lost his bid for re-election in 2014 toRepublicanBruce Rauner. Quinn previously served as lieutenant governor underRod Blagojevich. He became governor after Blagojevich's impeachment in 2009 and won a full term in 2010. Quinn was the second-least popular governor up for re-election in 2014, according to approval ratings compiled byFiveThirtyEight. According to multiple outside ratings, Quinn was among the most vulnerable governors in the 2014 electoral cycle.[18][19]

Incumbent Lt. Gov.Sheila Simon (D) announced in February 2013 that she would not run for re-election in 2014 alongside Quinn, her 2010 running mate. Simon later declared her candidacy forstate comptroller.[20][21] Quinn chose former Chicago Public Schools chiefPaul Vallas as his new running mate.[22]

The2014 electoral cycle marked the first time in Illinois history that candidates for the offices ofgovernor andlieutenant governor ran on a single ticket in the primary election phase.[22]

As a result of the 2014 elections, Illinois became one of 20 states under divided government and did not have astate government trifecta.

Minor party candidates

Quinn and Rauner ran againstLibertarian candidateChad Grimm. Initially, there were three other minor party or independent tickets in the race, includingMichael Oberline (Constitution),Scott Summers (Green), andMichael Hawkins (independent). The Illinois State Board of Elections ruled on petition challenges on August 22, 2014, disqualifying Oberline, Summers, and Hawkins from appearing on the November 4 ballot. It was the first time in a decade that the Libertarian Party was the only minor party to compete for Illinois statewide office in the general election.[23]

Debates

Debate media
October 9 debate
October 9 debate

Bruce Rauner (R) andPat Quinn (D) participated in a debate hosted by the League of Women Voters of Illinois and WTVP. Quinn criticized Rauner as a political novice who had not been effective at turning around businesses as an equity investor. He cited bankruptcy proceedings for a nursing home operator run by Rauner's firm that was sued for wrongful deaths as examples of Rauner's alleged lack of business acumen. Rauner responded by pointing to state management of a $54.5 million anti-violence grant that had been under investigation by federal officials. The Republican candidate claimed that Quinn and state Democrats used the funds to shore up African American votes in the state, while Quinn argued that he eliminated the program when irregularities were brought to his attention.[24]

Quinn asserted that the state's economic fortunes improved in the past four years, with increases in jobs throughout the state and decreased unemployment. Rauner argued that Quinn had not been a successful governor, claiming that "a small group of Chicago machine politicians" led the state down the wrong path.[24]

Polls

General election
All candidates

Governor of Illinois: All candidates
PollPat Quinn* (D)Bruce Rauner (R)Chad Grimm (L)UndecidedMargin of errorSample size
We Ask America
October 27-28, 2014		49.5%44.8%5.6%0%+/-32,327
Southern Illinois University
September 23-October 15, 2014		40.7%42.4%3%13.9%+/-3.7691
Early & Often/We Ask America
October 8, 2014		44.48%41.03%6.95%7.53%+/-31,051
We Ask America/Reboot Illinois
October 6, 2014		43.6%39.6%5.9%10.9%+/-31,097
The Chicago Tribune/APC Research, Inc.
September 3-12, 2014		48%37%5%8%+/-3.5800
Global Strategy Group (D-DGA)
September 4-7, 2014		43%40%5%12%+/-4605
We Ask America/Reboot Illinois
September 2, 2014		37%46%7%10%+/-31,064
AVERAGES 43.75% 41.55% 5.49% 8.9% +/-3.31 1,090.71
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email toeditor@ballotpedia.org.

**Incumbency is denoted by asterisk (*)

Quinn vs. Rauner

Governor of Illinois: Pat Quinn vs. Bruce Rauner
PollPat Quinn* (D)Bruce Rauner (R)UndecidedMargin of errorSample size
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov
October 16-23, 2014		45%41%14%+/-33,519
Rasmussen Reports
October 20-22, 2014		47%48%6%+/-31,000
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov
September 20-October 1, 2014		46%43%11%+/-23,955
New York Times/CBS/YouGov
August 18-September 2, 2014		40%44%13%+/-3.04,363
Garin-Hart-Yang (D)
August 12-14, 2014		43%46%11%+/-3.5802
We Ask America/Chicago Sun Times
August 6, 2014		38%51%11%+/-3.121,085
Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R)
August 4-5, 2014		40%48%12%+/-4.0567
Rasmussen Reports
July 29-30, 2014		39%44%10%+/-4.0750
We Ask America/Capitol Fax
July 8, 2014		39%51%10%+/-3.2940
We Ask America/Reboot Illinois
June 10-11, 2014		37%47%16%+/-3.01,075
Rasmussen Reports
April 9-10, 2014		40%43%10%+/-4.0750
AVERAGES 41.27% 46% 11.27% +/-3.26 1,709.64
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email toeditor@ballotpedia.org.

**Incumbency is denoted by asterisk (*)

Republican Primary

Illinois Governor - 2014 Republican Primary
PollBill BradyKirk DillardBruce RaunerDan RutherfordUndecidedMargin of errorSample size
WeAskAmerica
March 16, 2014		19.35%27.36%44.24%9.04%0%+/-3.01,126
WeAskAmerica
March 11, 2014		18.9%25.76%46.46%8.88%0%+/-2.91,235
WeAskAmerica
March 4, 2014		11.65%14.45%39.88%8.20%25.82%+/-2.851,262
Chicago Tribune/WGN
March 1-5, 2014		18%23%36%9%13%+/-4600
WeAskAmerica
February 25, 2014		12.8%17.25%35.6%7.48%26.88%+/-31,178
Chicago Tribune/WGN
February 2-8, 2014		20%11%40%13%15%+/-4600
WeAskAmerica
November 26, 2013		18%10%26%17%29%+/-2.81,233
Capitol Fax/We AskAmericaPoll
June 20, 2013		18%11%12%22%38%+/-2.81,310
AVERAGES 17.09% 17.48% 35.02% 11.83% 18.46% +/-3.17 1,068
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email toeditor@ballotpedia.org.

**Due to the nature of the comparison, a placeholder figure of 0% is assigned to candidates not included in any given match-up round


Illinois Governor - Early Republican Primary 2014
PollDan RutherfordBill BradyBruce RaunerKirk DillardDan ProftMargin of errorSample size
Battleground Polling
(May 27, 2013)
27%19%5%14%13%+/-4.8400
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email toeditor@ballotpedia.org.

November 2012

Public Policy Polling surveyed 500 registered Illinois voters through live telephone interviews from November 26 to 28, 2012. The respondents were given a series of hypothetical match-ups betweenDemocratic incumbentPat Quinn and three potentialRepublican candidates, and asked which of the two candidates they would vote for in the 2014 election. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percent.[25]

Hypothetical match-ups for Governor of Illinois
Kirk DillardDan RutherfordAaron Schock
Percent of the vote44%43%39%
Pat Quinn's percent of the vote37%39%40%
Undecided19%18%21%

Campaign media

General election

Democratic PartyPat Quinn &Paul Vallas

Pat Quinn ad: Bruce Rauner "Twice"
Pat Quinn ad: Loved Ones
Pat Quinn ad: Bruce Rauner "Tax Plan"

Republican PartyBruce Rauner &Evelyn Sanguinetti

Bruce Rauner ad: Corruption
Bruce Rauner ad: Hope

Primary election

Democratic PartyPat Quinn &Paul Vallas

Democratic PartyTio Hardiman &Brunell Donald

Facebook
Twitter

Republican PartyKirk Dillard &Jil Tracy

Facebook
Twitter
YouTube

Republican PartyBill Brady &Maria Rodriguez

Republican PartyBruce Rauner &Evelyn Sanguinetti

"Nuts" - posted 4/4/14
"Beautiful Thing" - posted 4/28/14
"Principle" - posted 4/28/14
"Wrong Direction" - posted 4/28/14
"Upside Down" - posted 6/11/13
"Back To Work" - posted 6/11/13
"Snow Globe" - posted 12/2013

Republican PartyDan Rutherford &Steve Kim

Ad spending

The Wesleyan Media Project published a report on September 30, 2014, highlighting spending on gubernatorial races from September 12-25. This report found that Democratic and Republican groups spent a total of $46.84 million on TV ads in 15 states with gubernatorial elections. The following chart details the group's findings, including spending amounts and number of ads:[26]

Note: Abolded number indicates the highest total for this category. A number initalics is the lowest total for this category.

Spending on TV ads, September 12-25, 2014
StateTotal # of ads% Democratic-leaning ads% GOP-leaning adsTotal spending-Democratic leaning (in millions of $)Total spending-GOP leaning (in millions of $)
Colorado2,46083.116.91.350.39
Connecticut2,31261.738.31.480.89
Florida20,11138.561.54.076.64
Georgia4,62551.148.91.430.99
Illinois7,79363.536.54.173.5
Iowa2,13447.552.50.250.38
Kansas5,02445.754.30.851.17
Maine3,28142.357.70.460.32
Michigan6,76733.966.11.142.3
Minnesota1,97483.916.10.650.29
New York4,92661392.180.88
Pennsylvania3,26350.949.11.581.23
South Carolina2,88339.160.90.330.38
Texas10,33033.466.62.242.93
Wisconsin7,37463.336.71.361.01
TOTALS85,25748.251.823.5423.3

Past elections

2010

Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Illinois, 2010
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngPat Quinn &Sheila SimonIncumbent46.8%1,745,219
    RepublicanBill Brady & Jason Plummer45.9%1,713,385
    IndependentScott Lee Cohen & Baxter Swilley3.6%135,705
    GreenRich Whitney & Don Crawford2.7%100,756
    LibertarianLex Green & Ed Ruthledge0.9%34,681
    None Write-in0%243
Total Votes3,729,989
Election results viaIllinois State Board of Elections

Voter turnout

Political scientist Michael McDonald's United States Elections Project studied voter turnout in the 2014 election by looking at the percentage of eligible voters who headed to the polls. McDonald used voting-eligible population (VEP), or the number of eligible voters independent of their current registration status, to calculate turnout rates in each state on November 4. He also incorporated ballots cast for the highest office in each state into his calculation. He estimated that 81,687,059 ballots were cast in the 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia, representing 35.9 percent of the VEP.[27] By comparison, 61.6 percent of VEP voted in the 2008 presidential election and 58.2 percent of VEP voted in the 2012 presidential election.[28]

Quick facts

  • According toPBS Newshour, voter turnout in the 2014 midterms was the lowest since the 1942 midterms, which took place during the nation's involvement in World War II.[29]
  • Forty-three states and the District of Columbia did not surpass 50 percent turnout in McDonald's analysis.
  • The three states with the lowest turnout according to McDonald's analysis wereTexas (28.3 percent),Tennessee (28.6 percent), andIndiana (28.8 percent).
  • Maine (58.5 percent),Wisconsin (56.5 percent), andColorado (54.5 percent) were the three states with the highest turnout.
  • Twelve states increased voter turnout in 2014 compared to the 2010 midterm elections.[30]
Voter turnout rates, 2014
StateTotal votes counted% voter eligible populationTop statewide office up for electionSize of lead (Raw votes)Size of lead (%)
Alabama1,191,27433.2Governor320,31927.2
Alaska285,43154.4Governor4,0041.6
Arizona1,537,67134.1Governor143,95112.5
Arkansas852,64240.1Governor118,66414.0
California7,513,97230.8Governor1,065,74817.8
Colorado2,080,07154.5Governor50,3952.4
Connecticut1,096,50942.5Governor26,6032.5
Delaware234,03834.4Attorney General31,15513.6
District of Columbia177,17635.8Mayor27,93419.0
Florida6,026,80243.3Governor66,1271.1
Georgia2,596,94738.5Governor202,6858.0
Hawaii369,55436.5Governor45,32312.4
Idaho445,30739.6Governor65,85214.9
Illinois3,680,41740.9Governor171,9004.9
Indiana1,387,62228.8Secretary of State234,97817.8
Iowa1,142,28450.2Governor245,54821.8
Kansas887,02343.4Governor33,0523.9
Kentucky1,435,86844.0U.S. Senate222,09615.5
Louisiana1,472,03943.8U.S. Senate16,4011.1
Maine616,99658.5Governor29,8204.9
Maryland1,733,17741.5Governor88,6486.1
Massachusetts2,186,78944.6Governor40,3611.9
Michigan3,188,95643.2Governor129,5474.3
Minnesota1,992,61350.5Governor109,7765.6
Mississippi631,85828.9U.S. Senate141,23433.0
Missouri1,426,30331.8Auditor684,07453.6
Montana373,83147.3U.S. Senate65,26217.9
Nebraska552,11541.5Governor97,67818.7
Nevada547,34929.0Governor255,79346.7
New Hampshire495,56548.4Governor24,9245.2
New Jersey1,955,04232.5N/AN/AN/A
New Mexico512,80535.7Governor73,86814.6
New York3,930,31029.0Governor476,25213.4
North Carolina2,939,76741.2U.S. Senate48,5111.7
North Dakota255,12845.0U.S. House At-large seat42,21417.1
Ohio3,149,87636.2Governor933,23530.9
Oklahoma824,83129.8Governor122,06014.7
Oregon1,541,78253.5Governor59,0294.5
Pennsylvania3,495,86636.0Governor339,2619.8
Rhode Island329,21242.2Governor14,3464.5
South Carolina1,261,61135.2Governor179,08914.6
South Dakota282,29144.9Governor124,86545.1
Tennessee1,374,06528.6Governor642,21447.5
Texas4,727,20828.3Governor957,97320.4
Utah577,97330.2Attorney General173,81935.2
Vermont193,08738.8Governor2,0951.1
Virginia2,194,34636.6U.S. Senate16,7270.8
Washington2,123,90143.1N/AN/AN/A
West Virginia451,49831.2U.S. Senate124,66727.6
Wisconsin2,410,31456.5Governor137,6075.7
Wyoming168,39039.3Governor52,70333.6

Note: Information from the United States Elections Project was last updated on December 16, 2014.

Campaign finance

Comprehensive donor information for this election has been collected by Follow the Money. Based on available campaign finance records, the candidates raised a total of$127,090,488 during the election. This information was last updated on May 13, 2015.[31]

Campaign Contribution Totals
CandidateOfficeResultContributions
Bruce Rauner/Evelyn SanguinettiRepublican PartyIllinois Governor/Lieutenant GovernorWon$89,203,050
Patrick Quinn/Paul VallasDemocratic PartyIllinois Governor/Lieutenant GovernorDefeated$33,372,111
Kirk Dillard/Jil TracyRepublican PartyIllinois Governor/Lieutenant GovernorDefeated$2,348,178
Dan Rutherford/Steve KimRepublican PartyIllinois Governor/Lieutenant GovernorDefeated$1,734,547
Bill Brady/Maria RodriguezRepublican PartyIllinois Governor/Lieutenant GovernorDefeated$362,335
Tio Hardiman/Brunell DonaldDemocratic PartyIllinois Governor/Lieutenant GovernorDefeated$40,267
Chad Grimm/Alex CummingsLibertarian PartyIllinois Governor/Lieutenant GovernorDefeated$30,000
Grand Total Raised$127,090,488

Key deadlines

DeadlineEvent
December 2, 2013Last day of petition filing for established political parties
January 16, 2014Last day to file a Declaration of Intent to be a write-in candidate
March 18, 2014Primary election
November 4, 2014General election
November 25, 2014Last day for canvassing election results by proper canvassing board
January 12, 2015Inauguration day for state executive officials in general election

Recent news

This section links to a Google news search for the term "Illinois + Governor + Election + 2014"

See also

External links

Illinois News Network stories

Footnotes

  1. ↑Governing Politics, "2013-2014 Governor's Races: Who's Vulnerable?" December 11, 2012
  2. ↑Illinois General Assembly, "Ill. Rev. Stat. ch. 10, § 5/7–44," accessed December 4, 2025
  3. ↑ChicagoBusiness.com, "Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn taps Paul Vallas for running mate," November 8, 2013
  4. ↑Illinois State Board of Elections, "Candidate list," December 3, 2013
  5. ↑Independent Political Report, "Libertarian Party of Illinois holds annual state convention," September 23, 2013
  6. ↑Independent Political Report, "Libertarian Party of Illinois holds annual state convention," September 23, 2013
  7. ↑7.07.1Tio Hardiman for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed December 3, 2013
  8. ↑Illinois State Board of Elections, "Candidate list," December 3, 2013
  9. ↑Brady/Rodriguez for Governor/Lt. Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed December 3, 2013
  10. ↑Illinois State Board of Elections, "Candidate list," December 3, 2013
  11. ↑Dillard/Tracy for Governor/Lt. Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed December 3, 2013
  12. ↑Illinois State Board of Elections, "Candidate list," December 3, 2013
  13. ↑The Southern, "Rutherford announces gov. campaign in Southern Illinois," June 2, 2013
  14. ↑Illinois State Board of Elections, "Candidate list," December 3, 2013
  15. ↑Illinois Green Party, "Meet Scott Summers, candidate for governor," accessed March 18, 2014
  16. ↑Independent Political Report, "Constitution Party of Illinois nominates statewide candidates," March 24, 2014
  17. ↑Illinois State Board of Elections, "Candidate Detail - General Election 11/04/2014," accessed August 21, 2014
  18. ↑Governing Politics, "2013-2014 Governor's Races: Who's Vulnerable?" December 11, 2012
  19. ↑St. Louis Today, "Illinois Gov. Quinn 2nd least popular incumbent going into 2014," April 9, 2013
  20. ↑Chicago Tribune, "Simon will not run again for lieutenant governor," February 13, 2013
  21. ↑Chicago Magazine, "What Happens After Lieutenant Governor Sheila Simon Quits Pat Quinn’s Team," March 26, 2013
  22. ↑22.022.1CBS Local - Chicago, "2014 Governor Candidates To Choose Running Mates," August 24, 2013
  23. ↑Ballot Access News, "Libertarian Party Statewide Slate Will Appear on Illinois Ballot," August 22, 2014
  24. ↑24.024.1Chicago Tribune, "Quinn, Rauner try to create fear about the other guy during debate," accessed October 15, 2014
  25. ↑Public Policy Polling, "Quinn in deep trouble, Dems favor Madigan," November 29, 2012
  26. ↑Wesleyan Media Project, "GOP Groups Keeping Senate Contests Close," September 30, 2014
  27. ↑United States Elections Project, "2014 November General Election Turnout Rates," November 7, 2014
  28. ↑TIME, "Voter Turnout in Midterm Elections Hits 72-Year Low," November 10, 2014
  29. ↑PBS, "2014 midterm election turnout lowest in 70 years," November 10, 2014
  30. ↑U.S. News & World Report, "Midterm Turnout Down in 2014," November 5, 2014
  31. ↑Follow the Money, "Overview of Illinois 2014 elections," accessed May 13, 2015
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