Gubernatorial elections, 2017
Virginia:General election •Primaries •Campaign finance •Campaign advertisements •Other elections | |
New Jersey:General election •Primaries •Campaign finance •Campaign advertisements •Other elections | |
The governor, or chief executive officer of the state, is the only state executive office other than theattorney general that exists in every state in the country. But unlike the attorney general, which is the state's chief legal officer and is chosen by voters in only 43 states, the governor is elected by popular vote in all 50.
Both elections were held onNovember 7, 2017. In New Jersey, the primary election was held onJune 6, 2017, while in Virginia the primary was held onJune 13, 2017. Their previous gubernatorial elections were held in2013. Both states'lieutenant governors,Ralph Northam (D) ofVirginia andKim Guadagno (R) ofNew Jersey, were running for governor in the 2017 elections.
As of June 2017, the overall race rating from five separate outlets was in New Jersey and in Virginia.[1]Trifecta andtriplex control of both states was at stake in the elections.
Election information
| Gubernatorial Election Information, 2017 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Trifecta status (before) | Triplex status (before) | Incumbent | Incumbent running? | Winner | Partisan switch? | Trifecta status (after) | Triplex status (after) |
| New Jersey | Divided government | Republican triplex | Chris Christie | No (termed-out) | Phil Murphy | Yes | Democratic trifecta | Democratic triplex |
| Virginia | Divided government | Democratic triplex | Terry McAuliffe | No (termed-out) | Ralph Northam | No | Divided government | Democratic triplex |
New Jersey
| Click [show] to view a list of candidates running in this election. | |||
|---|---|---|---|
Heading into theNew Jersey election, the incumbent was two-termGov.Chris Christie (R), who was prevented from seeking re-election due toterm limits. Christie was first elected in 2009 and was re-elected in2013. At the time of the election,New Jersey had been underdivided government since Christie first took office in 2010. Since theDemocratic Party controlled both houses of theNew Jersey State Legislature, Democratic victory in the gubernatorial election turnedNew Jersey into a Democratic trifecta.New Jersey had been won by theDemocratic candidate in each of the past five presidential election cycles, and has been won twice by aDemocratic candidate and three times by aRepublican candidate in the past five gubernatorial election cycles.See also:New Jersey gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2017
New Jersey held an election forgovernor andlieutenant governor onNovember 7, 2017. GovernorChris Christie (R) wasterm-limited and ineligible to run for re-election. New Jersey elects its governor and lieutenant governor together on a joint ticket.
The general election took place onNovember 7, 2017. The primary election was held onJune 6, 2017. The filing deadline for candidates wishing to run in the primary election was April 3, 2017.
The following candidates ran in the election for Governor and Lieutenant Governor of New Jersey.[2]
| New Jersey Gubernatorial and Lieutenant Gubernatorial Election, 2017 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | 56.03% | 1,203,110 | ||
| Republican | Kim Guadagno/Carlos Rendo | 41.89% | 899,583 | |
| Independent | Gina Genovese/Derel Stroud | 0.57% | 12,294 | |
| Libertarian | Peter Rohrman/Karese Laguerre | 0.49% | 10,531 | |
| Green | Seth Kaper-Dale/Lisa Durden | 0.47% | 10,053 | |
| Constitution | Matt Riccardi | 0.32% | 6,864 | |
| Independent | Vincent Ross/April Johnson | 0.23% | 4,980 | |
| Total Votes (6385/6385 precincts reporting) | 2,147,415 | |||
| Source:New Jersey Division of Elections | ||||
Kim Guadagno defeatedJack Ciattarelli,Hirsh Singh,Joseph Rudy Rullo, andSteve Rogers in the Republican primary.[3]
| New Jersey Republican Gubernatorial Primary, 2017 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes |
| 46.82% | 113,846 | |
| Jack Ciattarelli | 31.08% | 75,556 |
| Hirsh Singh | 9.76% | 23,728 |
| Joseph Rudy Rullo | 6.51% | 15,816 |
| Steve Rogers | 5.84% | 14,187 |
| Total Votes | 243,133 | |
| Source:New Jersey Division of Elections | ||
Phil Murphy defeatedJim Johnson,John Wisniewski,Ray Lesniak,Bill Brennan, andMark Zinna in the Democratic primary.[3]
| New Jersey Democratic Gubernatorial Primary, 2017 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes |
| 48.42% | 243,643 | |
| Jim Johnson | 21.91% | 110,250 |
| John Wisniewski | 21.57% | 108,532 |
| Ray Lesniak | 4.83% | 24,318 |
| Bill Brennan | 2.24% | 11,263 |
| Mark Zinna | 1.04% | 5,213 |
| Total Votes | 503,219 | |
| Source:New Jersey Division of Elections | ||
Virginia
| Click [show] to view a list of candidates running in this election. | |||
|---|---|---|---|
Heading into theVirginia election, the incumbent was one-termGov.Terry McAuliffe (D), who was prevented from seeking re-election due toterm limits. McAuliffe was first elected in2013. At the time of the election,Virginia had been underdivided government since McAuliffe first took office in 2014. Since theRepublican Party controlled both houses of theVirginia State Legislature, Republican victory in the gubernatorial election would have turnedVirginia into aRepublican trifecta.Virginia had been won three times by theDemocratic candidate and twice by theRepublican candidate in the past five presidential election cycles and the past five gubernatorial election cycles.See also:Virginia gubernatorial election, 2017
Virginia held an election forgovernor onNovember 7, 2017. GovernorTerry McAuliffe (D) wasterm-limited and ineligible to run for re-election to a consecutive term.
The general election took place onNovember 7, 2017. A primary election was held onJune 13, 2017. The filing deadline for candidates wishing to run in the primary election was March 30, 2017.
Ralph Northam (D) defeatedEd Gillespie (R) andCliff Hyra (Libertarian) in the election for Governor of Virginia.[4]
| Virginia Gubernatorial Election, 2017 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | 53.93% | 1,409,175 | ||
| Republican | Ed Gillespie | 45.00% | 1,175,731 | |
| Libertarian | Cliff Hyra | 1.07% | 27,987 | |
| Total Votes | 2,612,893 | |||
| Source:Virginia Department of Elections | ||||
Ralph Northam defeatedTom Perriello in the Democratic primary for Governor of Virginia.[5]
| Virginia Democratic Gubernatorial Primary, 2017 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes |
| 55.90% | 303,541 | |
| Tom Perriello | 44.10% | 239,505 |
| Total Votes | 543,046 | |
| Source:The New York Times | ||
Ed Gillespie defeatedCorey Stewart andFrank Wagner in the Republican primary for Governor of Virginia.[5]
| Virginia Republican Gubernatorial Primary, 2017 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes |
| 43.71% | 160,100 | |
| Corey Stewart | 42.53% | 155,780 |
| Frank Wagner | 13.76% | 50,394 |
| Total Votes | 366,274 | |
| Source:The New York Times | ||
Comparison
Overview
Heading into the 2017 elections, bothNew Jersey andVirginia were in a state ofdivided government, with one party holding majorities in both houses of the state legislature while the other party controlled the governor's mansion. At the time of the election,New Jersey had aRepublican governor andDemocratic majorities in both houses of the state legislature, while the pattern was reversed inVirginia. In addition, both states hada partisan triplex, meaning that the offices ofgovernor,attorney general, andsecretary of state were controlled by the same party.
BothGov.Chris Christie (R) ofNew Jersey andGov.Terry McAuliffe (D) ofVirginia were prevented from seeking re-election in 2017 byterm limits. In both states, thelieutenant governor sought election to the governor's office, withLt. Gov.Kim Guadagno (R) ofNew Jersey andLt. Gov.Ralph Northam (D) ofVirginia securing their parties' nominations in the June primary elections. While Northam was successful in the general election in Virginia, Guadagno was defeated byPhil Murphy.
Gubernatorial elections in New Jersey and Virginia, 1997-2013
The past five gubernatorial election cycles in Virginia and New Jersey have resulted in fiveRepublican victories and fiveDemocratic victories. InNew Jersey, aRepublican candidate has won three of the past five elections, with the average result across the past five cycles being a 0.3 percentRepublican victory. InVirginia, aDemocratic candidate has won three of the past five elections. However, all threeDemocratic victories inVirginia were by less than a six percent margin, while bothRepublican victories were by margins over ten percent. Therefore, the average result across the past five election cycles inVirginia was a 3.4 percentRepublican victory.
In the ten elections examined, the candidate from the same political party as the sitting president has been defeated in nine, with the2013 election ofTerry McAuliffe asgovernor ofVirginia during the presidency ofBarack Obama as the only exception. In the 1997 elections, held during the presidency ofBill Clinton, the average result across the two states was a 7.2 percentRepublican victory. The 2001 and 2005 elections, held during the presidency ofGeorge W. Bush, delivered average margins of victory of 10.0 percent and 8.1 percent to theDemocratic candidate, respectively. Finally, in 2009 and 2013, whileBarack Obama was president,Republican candidates won by respective margins of 10.5 percent and 9.8 percent.
| Election results (Governor of New Jersey and Virginia), 1997-2013 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place New Jersey candidate | First-place New Jersey candidate margin of victory | First-place Virginia candidate | First-place Virginia candidate margin of victory | Overall margin of victory |
| 2013 | Chris Christie | 22.1% | Terry McAuliffe | 2.5% | 9.8% |
| 2009 | Chris Christie | 3.6% | Bob McDonnell | 17.3% | 10.5% |
| 2005 | Jon Corzine | 10.5% | Tim Kaine | 5.7% | 8.1% |
| 2001 | Jim McGreevey | 14.7% | Mark Warner | 5.2% | 10.0% |
| 1997 | Christine Todd Whitman | 1.1% | Jim Gilmore | 13.2% | 7.2% |
| Overall | Republican | 0.3% | Republican | 3.4% | 1.9% |
Presidential elections in New Jersey and Virginia, 2000-2016
The past five presidential election cycles in bothNew Jersey andVirginia have tended to favorDemocratic candidates, who won in both states in 2008, 2012, and 2016. In 2000 and 2004,George W. Bush (R) won inVirginia whileNew Jersey went to theDemocratic candidate.Democratic candidates have won inNew Jersey by an average 14 percent margin across the previous five election cycles. InVirginia,George W. Bush's victories were by a larger margin thanBarack Obama's orHillary Clinton's, meaning that the average presidential election result inVirginia across the past five cycles has been a 0.2 percentRepublican victory.
| Election results (President of the United States), New Jersey and Virginia 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place New Jersey candidate | First-place New Jersey candidate margin of victory | First-place Virginia candidate | First-place Virginia candidate margin of victory | Overall margin of victory |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 14.1% | Hillary Clinton | 5.3% | 9.7% |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | 17.8% | Barack Obama | 3.9% | 10.9% |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | 15.5% | Barack Obama | 6.3% | 10.9% |
| 2004 | John Kerry | 6.7% | George W. Bush | 8.2% | 0.8% |
| 2000 | Al Gore | 15.8% | George W. Bush | 8.1% | 3.9% |
| Overall | Democratic | 14.0% | Republican | 0.2% | 6.9% |
Pivot counties
Ballotpedia has identified 206 counties that voted forDonald Trump (R) in2016 after voting forBarack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012. There are two of thesepivot counties inNew Jersey and five inVirginia.
| Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
| Gloucester County, New Jersey | 0.48% | 10.77% | 12.16% | ||||
| Salem County, New Jersey | 15.00% | 1.31% | 3.92% | ||||
| Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
| Buckingham County, Virginia | 11.28% | 2.43% | 0.87% | ||||
| Caroline County, Virginia | 5.02% | 8.24% | 11.97% | ||||
| Essex County, Virginia | 2.14% | 7.30% | 10.35% | ||||
| Nelson County, Virginia | 5.59% | 2.72% | 9.15% | ||||
| Westmoreland County, Virginia | 7.14% | 6.95% | 10.24% | ||||
Primary results
Of Virginia and New Jersey's seven pivot counties, four--Salem County, New Jersey,Caroline County, Virginia,Essex County, Virginia, andWestmoreland County, Virginia--were won by candidates who would go on to lose the primary election in both party's primaries. In addition,Gloucester County, New Jersey, went toJack Ciattarelli in the Republican primary election despite his statewide loss toKim Guadagno. Across the 14Democratic andRepublican primary elections held in the seven examined pivot counties in 2017, the eventual statewide winner was defeated in eight. All four statewide primary winners (Phil Murphy (D) andKim Guadagno (R) inNew Jersey andRalph Northam (D) andEd Gillespie (R) inVirginia) received a lower share of the vote in the average vote totals across pivot counties than they did in statewide results.
| Governor of New Jersey (Democratic primary) - pivot counties, 2017 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Third-place candidate | Third-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| Gloucester County | Phil Murphy | 49.1% | John Wisniewski | 26.4% | Jim Johnson | 16.4% | 22.7% |
| Salem County | John Wisniewski | 31.9% | Phil Murphy | 31.8% | Jim Johnson | 18.4% | 0.1% |
| Average across pivot counties | Phil Murphy | 40.5% | John Wisniewski | 29.2% | Jim Johnson | 17.4% | 11.3% |
| Statewide results | Phil Murphy | 48.4% | Jim Johnson | 21.9% | John Wisniewski | 21.6% | 26.5% |
| Governor of New Jersey (Republican primary) - pivot counties, 2017 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Third-place candidate | Third-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| Gloucester County | Jack Ciattarelli | 34.4% | Kim Guadagno | 34.2% | Steve Rogers | 12.4% | 0.2% |
| Salem County | Jack Ciattarelli | 37.5% | Kim Guadagno | 31.0% | Joseph Rudy Rullo | 13.8% | 6.5% |
| Average across pivot counties | Jack Ciattarelli | 36.0% | Kim Guadagno | 32.6% | Joseph Rudy Rullo | 11.9% | 3.4% |
| Statewide results | Kim Guadagno | 46.7% | Jack Ciattarelli | 31.0% | Hirsh Singh | 9.7% | 15.7% |
| Governor of Virginia (Democratic primary) - pivot counties, 2017 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| Buckingham County | Tom Perriello | 73.14% | Ralph Northam | 26.86% | 46.28% |
| Caroline County | Ralph Northam | 51.86% | Tom Perriello | 48.14% | 3.72% |
| Essex County | Ralph Northam | 64.05% | Tom Perriello | 35.95% | 28.10% |
| Nelson County | Tom Perriello | 90.81% | Ralph Northam | 9.19% | 81.62% |
| Westmoreland County | Ralph Northam | 61.08% | Tom Perriello | 38.92% | 22.16% |
| Average across pivot counties | Tom Perriello | 57.39% | Ralph Northam | 42.61% | 14.78% |
| Statewide results | Ralph Northam | 55.92% | Tom Perriello | 44.08% | 11.84% |
| Governor of Virginia (Republican primary) - pivot counties, 2017 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Third-place candidate | Third-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| Buckingham County | Corey Stewart | 50.41% | Ed Gillespie | 43.38% | Frank Wagner | 6.21% | 6.93% |
| Caroline County | Ed Gillespie | 48.66% | Corey Stewart | 45.60% | Frank Wagner | 5.75% | 3.06% |
| Essex County | Ed Gillespie | 52.30% | Corey Stewart | 39.92% | Frank Wagner | 7.78% | 12.38 |
| Nelson County | Corey Stewart | 54.38% | Ed Gillespie | 35.71% | Frank Wagner | 9.91% | 18.67% |
| Westmoreland County | Ed Gillespie | 44.09% | Corey Stewart | 43.42% | Frank Wagner | 12.49% | 0.67% |
| Average across pivot counties | Corey Stewart | 46.75% | Ed Gillespie | 44.83% | Frank Wagner | 8.43% | 1.92% |
| Statewide results | Ed Gillespie | 43.74% | Corey Stewart | 42.50% | Frank Wagner | 13.75% | 1.24% |
Party control in New Jersey and Virginia
Between 1992 and 2017, both major parties have held trifecta control ofNew Jersey andVirginia. During that period,New Jersey has spent six years under aDemocratic trifecta, eight years under aRepublican trifecta, and 12 years underdivided government. In comparison,Virginia has spent two years under aDemocratic trifecta, four years under aRepublican trifecta, and 20 years underdivided government. Heading into the 2017 elections, both states were under divided government.New Jersey had held this status sinceChris Christie was sworn into office in 2010, ending a six-year Democratic trifecta.Virginia had held this status sinceTerry McAuliffe was sworn into office in 2014, ending a two-year Republican trifecta. In addition, the office of governor tended to alternate control in both states. No single party has controlled the governor's mansion for more than eight years since 1970 in New Jersey and 1994 in Virginia.
InNew Jersey, theDemocratic victory replaced the state'sRepublican triplex with a Democratic triplex, since thegovernor of New Jersey has the power to appoint theattorney general andsecretary of state. Likewise, in Virginia, aRepublican victory would have ended the state'sDemocratic triplex. If this was paired with a Republican victory in theattorney general election, then Virginia would have become a Republican triplex, since thegovernor of Virginia has the power to appoint thesecretary of state.
New Jersey Party Control: 1992-2026
Fifteen years of Democratic trifectas • Eight years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Virginia Party Control: 1992-2026
Five years of Democratic trifectas • Four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Primary elections
- See also:New Jersey gubernatorial primary election, 2017 andVirginia gubernatorial primary election, 2017
BothNew Jersey andVirginia held gubernatorial primary elections in June 2017. In both states, the sitting governor's party saw fewer candidates running in the primary. In New Jersey, there were fiveRepublican candidates to sixDemocratic candidates while in Virginia there were twoDemocratic candidates to threeRepublican candidates. TheNew Jersey primary elections were decided by wider margins of victory than those inVirginia. WhilePhil Murphy secured a 26.5 percent margin of victory andKim Guadagno won her primary by a 15.7 percent margin, in VirginiaRalph Northam won with an 11.8 percent margin of victory whileEd Gillespie won by a 1.2 percent margin.
| Governor of New Jersey and Virginia (Democratic primary) - 2017 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Candidate | Virginia Votes | Virginia Votes (%) | New Jersey Candidate | New Jersey Votes | New Jersey Votes (%) |
| 303,541 | 55.90% | 243,643 | 48.42% | ||
| Tom Perriello | 239,505 | 44.10% | Jim Johnson | 110,250 | 21.91% |
| John Wisniewski | 108,532 | 21.57% | |||
| Ray Lesniak | 24,318 | 4.83% | |||
| Bill Brennan | 11,263 | 2.24% | |||
| Mark Zinna | 5,213 | 1.04% | |||
| Governor of New Jersey and Virginia (Republican primary) - 2017 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Candidate | Virginia Votes | Virginia Votes (%) | New Jersey Candidate | New Jersey Votes | New Jersey Votes (%) |
| 160,100 | 43.71% | 113,846 | 46.82% | ||
| Corey Stewart | 155,780 | 42.53% | Jack Ciattarelli | 75,556 | 31.08% |
| Frank Wagner | 50,394 | 13.76% | Hirsh Singh | 23,728 | 9.76% |
| Joseph Rudy Rullo | 15,816 | 6.51% | |||
| Steve Rogers | 14,187 | 5.84% | |||
See also
External links
- Office of the Governor of Virginia
- Office of the Governor of New Jersey
- Office of the Lieutenant Governor of New Jersey
Footnotes
- ↑Ballotpedia monitors race ratings fromGoverning,Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,The Rothenberg & Gonzalez Political Report,Decision Desk HQ, andThe Cook Political Report where available. These ratings are updated throughout the election.
- ↑New Jersey Division of Elections, "Official List - Candidates for Governor and Lieutenant Governor," accessed November 7, 2017
- ↑3.03.1New Jersey Division of Elections, "Official Primary Results 2017 - Governor," June 28, 2017
- ↑Virginia Department of Elections, "List of Statewide Candidates," October 17, 2017
- ↑5.05.1Virginia Department of Elections, "2017 Primary Filing," accessed May 12, 2017
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