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Election results, 2023: State government trifectas

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Elections by state

After the November 2023 elections, there were 23 Republican trifectas, 17 Democratic trifectas, and 10 divided governments. Republicans gained one trifecta, Democrats neither gained nor lost any trifectas, and there was one less divided government. Before the 2023 elections, there were 22 Republican trifectas, 17 Democratic trifectas, and 11 divided governments where neither party held trifecta control.

State government trifecta is a term to describe single-party government, when one political party holds thegovernorship and majorities in both chambers of thestate legislature.

Following the November 2023 elections, there were a total of 40 state government trifectas. This was the highest number of trifectas across the country since at least 1992.

The only change in trifecta status was in Louisiana, which changed from a divided government to a Republican trifecta afterJeff Landry (R) was elected governor on October 14.

Kentucky remained a divided government after Gov.Andy Beshear (D) was re-elected governor. TheKentucky State Legislature was not on the ballot in 2023, so it remained under Republican control. Virginia remained a divided government after Democrats maintained control of theVirginia State Senate and won theVirginia House of Delegates. GovernorGlenn Youngkin (R) was not up for election in 2023.

Mississippi and New Jersey remained Republican and Democratic trifectas, respectively, after those parties maintained partisan control of the legislature in each state. Gov.Tate Reeves (R) was re-elected in Mississippi, and New Jersey Gov.Phil Murphy (D) was not up for election in 2023.

On this page, you will find:

Trifectas on the ballot in 2023

In 2023, there were five trifectas—one Democratic, one Republican, and three divided governments— on the ballot. The table below highlights the partisan balance of those five trifectas before and after the election.

Trifectas partisan breakdown
PartyAs of the 2023 electionsAfter the 2023 elections
Democratic Party Democratic11
Republican Party Republican12
Independent_American_Party Divided governments32

The map below highlights states that held elections for governor, state legislature, or both in 2023 by the party of the winning candidate.

Partisan balance of all trifectas

At the time of the 2023 election, there were 22 Republican trifectas, 17 Democratic trifectas, and 11 divided governments where neither party held trifecta control. The table below highlights the trifecta status of all 50 states before and after the 2023 elections.

Trifectas partisan breakdown
PartyAs of the 2023 electionsAfter the 2023 elections
Democratic Party Democratic1717
Republican Party Republican2223
Independent_American_Party Divided governments1110

The chart below shows the trifecta status of all 50 states from 1992 through 2024, when the 2023 election winners were sworn in.

The map below highlights each state by trifecta status before and after the 2023 elections. Click the blue links above the color key to switch the view between pre-election and post-election partisan control.

Pre-election analysis

Vulnerable state government trifectas

The section below analyses the vulnerability of trifectas on the ballot in 2023 based on gubernatorial race ratings from theCook Political Report,Sabato's Crystal Ball, andInside Elections, and the number and proportion of seats in the state legislature that needed to change party control to flip the chamber.Click here to read more about our methodology.


Democratic Party

Current status: 1 trifecta

Moderately vulnerable: 1
Republican Party

Current status: 1 trifecta

Not vulnerable: 1

Vulnerable trifectas

Democratic PartyNew Jersey

Republican Party None


Hover your mouse cursor over a state or tap the state for more details.


Potential new trifectas

The section below analyses the likelihood of divided governments on the ballot in 2023 becoming new trifectas based on gubernatorial race ratings from theCook Political Report,Sabato's Crystal Ball, andInside Elections, and the number and proportion of seats in the state legislature that needed to change party control to flip the chamber.Click here to read more about our methodology.


Predicted Democratic pickups

None
Toss-ups
None
Predicted Republican pickups

Moderate possibility: 2

Slight possibility: 1

Potential new trifectas

Democratic Party None

Independent_American_Party None

Republican PartyLouisiana
Republican PartyVirginia

Republican PartyKentucky


Hover your mouse cursor over a state or tap the state for more details. Toss-up states are those where Democratic and Republican trifectas both have a good chance of forming.


Potential best-case scenarios

The following maps represent best-case scenarios for each party based on pre-election projections and forecasting. We define a party'sbest-case scenario as an outcome in which the party gains all potential new trifectas that are rated towards that party or as a toss-up, as well as retaining all of their current trifectas. Additionally, under a party's best-case scenario, the opposing party loses all of its somewhat and moderately vulnerable trifectas.

The Democrats' best-case scenario was for there to be no change from the trifecta status in place before the 2023 elections.

Percentage of Americans living under trifectas following a best-case 2022 election for Democrats
TotalDemocratic trifectasRepublican trifectasDivided governments
States50172211
Population328,771,307[1]136,955,272130,058,20161,757,834
Proportion (%)100%41.7%39.6%18.8%
Source:U.S. Census Bureau



The Republicans' best-case scenario in 2023 was to break the Democratic trifecta in New Jersey and gain new trifectas in Kentucky, Louisiana, and Virginia.

Percentage of Americans living under trifectas following a best-case 2022 election for Republicans
TotalDemocratic trifectasRepublican trifectasDivided governments
States5016259
Population328,771,307[2]128,072,901147,771,33352,927,073
Proportion (%)100%39.0%44.9%16.1%
Source:U.S. Census Bureau


Log of trifecta election results


Historical changes in trifecta status (2010-2022)

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

Thestate legislative andgubernatorial elections of November 8, 2016, led to these results:

  • TheRepublican Party added newstate government trifectas in four states (Iowa, Kentucky, Missouri and New Hampshire). They lost trifectas in Nevada and North Carolina, which left them with 25 trifectas.
  • TheDemocratic Party lost one trifecta (in Vermont), ending up with trifectas in six states. They did not gain any additional trifectas.
StatePre-election party in powerPost-election party in powerChange?
ColoradoDivided governmentDivided governmentNo
IowaDivided governmentRepublicanYes
IndianaRepublicanRepublicanNo
KentuckyDivided governmentRepublicanYes
MaineDivided governmentDivided governmentNo
MichiganRepublicanRepublicanNo
MinnesotaDivided governmentDivided governmentNo
MissouriDivided governmentRepublicanYes
MontanaDivided governmentDivided governmentNo
NevadaRepublicanDivided governmentYes
New HampshireDivided governmentRepublicanYes
New MexicoDivided governmentDivided governmentNo
New YorkDivided governmentDivided governmentNo
North CarolinaRepublicanDivided governmentYes
VermontDemocratDivided governmentYes
WashingtonDivided governmentDivided governmentNo
West VirginiaDivided governmentDivided governmentNo
WisconsinRepublicanRepublicanNo

2014

Potential trifecta losses prior to election

Ballotpedia identified 13 trifecta states that could have become divided governments after the November 4, 2014, election:[5]

  • Republican Party 6 Republican trifectas
  • Democratic Party 7 Democratic trifectas[5]

In the table below, a "Yes" indicates that party control was considered up for grabs, while a "No" indicates races that were not deemed likely to change hands.

StatePositions that could change handsPre-election party in powerPost-election party in power
GovernorSenateHouse
ArizonaYesYesNoRepublicanRepublican
ColoradoNoYesNoDemocraticDivided government
ConnecticutYesNoNoDemocraticDemocratic
FloridaYesNoNoRepublicanRepublican
IllinoisYesNoNoDemocraticDivided government
KansasYesNoNoRepublicanRepublican
MarylandYesNoNoDemocraticDivided government
MassachusettsYesNoNoDemocraticDivided government
MichiganYesNoYesRepublicanRepublican
MinnesotaNoNoYesDemocraticDivided government
PennsylvaniaYesYesYesRepublicanDivided government
West VirginiaNoNoYesDemocraticDivided government
WisconsinYesYesNoRepublicanRepublican

2013

November

Virginia's governorshipswung Democratic onNovember 5, 2013, asTerry McAuliffe (D) defeatedKen Cuccinelli (R). This removed a Republican trifecta in Virginia.

May

In May 2013,Governor of Rhode IslandLincoln Chafee changed his party affiliation from independent toDemocratic, giving the Democratic Party a trifecta inRhode Island.[6]

2012

See also:Democratic and Republican state government trifectas heading into the 2012 elections

Heading into the 2012 elections, there were 33 total trifectas in the United States. After the election, there were five new trifectas, bringing the total to 38 trifectas. However, following the election, power-sharing arrangements in two states reduced the total trifectas to 36.

Trifecta complexities

There were three states that complicated the labeling of trifectas in 2012 and 2013. These three unique situations brought the total trifectas from37 to36, decreasing the Democratic states by two and adding one GOP state.

  • In New York, the Democratic Party, by virtue of the elections, controlled all three levels of government. However, a power-sharing agreement was reached that gave control of thestate Senate over to the Republicans; five elected Democrats pledged to caucus with the GOP. This burst the Democratic trifecta,reducing the total trifectas by one state.[7]
  • In Virginia, thestate Senate was a tied chamber as a result of the2011 elections. However, the tiebreaking vote was cast by thelieutenant governor, who was a Republican. Thus, control of thegovernorship andstate legislature effectively rested with the Republicans. This gave Republicans an additional trifecta,increasing the total trifectas by one state.[8]
  • In Washington, the Democratic Party, by virtue of the elections, controlled all three levels of government. However, a power-sharing agreement was reached that gave control of thestate Senate over to the Republicans; two conservative Democrats pledged to elect Republican leadership to the chamber. This burst the Democratic trifecta,reducing the total trifectas by one state.[9]
 Trifectas before and after the 2012 election 
  • This was the status of trifectas before the 2012 election.

    This was the status of trifectasbefore the 2012 election.

  • This was the status of trifectas after the 2012 election.

    This was the status of trifectasafter the 2012 election.

2010

See also:Democratic and Republican state government trifectas heading into the 2010 elections

Heading into the 2010 elections, there were 25 total trifectas in the United States. After the election, there were seven new trifectas, bringing the total to 32 trifectas.

 Trifectas before and after the 2010 election 
  • This was the status of trifectas before the 2010 election.

    This was the status of trifectasbefore the 2010 election.

  • This was the status of trifectas after the 2010 election.

    This was the status of trifectasafter the 2010 election.

Analysis of state elections, 2023

See also:Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2023

State legislative elections

State Houses-Tile image.png
See also:State legislative elections, 2023

Eight of the country's 99 state legislative chambers held regularly-scheduled elections in 2023. Elections in those eight chambers represented 578 of the country's 7,386 state legislative seats (7.8%). This was the most seats up for election in an odd-numbered year since 2011.

General elections inMississippi,New Jersey, andVirginia took place onNovember 7, 2023. General elections inLouisiana took place onNovember 18, 2023.

  • Democrats gained one state legislative chamber by winning partisan control of theVirginia House of Delegates.Democrats maintained control of thestate Senate. Virginia's trifecta status remained divided.
  • Republicans were guaranteed simple majorities in both Mississippi's House and Senate and Louisiana's House and Senate due to the number of districts where candidates from only one political party ran.
  • Democrats maintained partisan control of both chambers of the New Jersey state legislature.

Analysis


State executive elections

State-capitol-utah.jpg
See also:State executive official elections, 2023


Analysis

State judicial elections

Gavel-square.png
See also:State judicial elections, 2023

A total of 15 state appellate court seats were up for election in 2023. This includes:

  • 2 supreme court seats
  • 13 intermediate appellate court seats.

The number of state supreme court and intermediate court elections is subject to change if judges retire or are appointed.

Ballotpedia provided coverage ofsupreme court andintermediate appellate court elections, as well aslocal trial court elections for judges within the100 largest cities in the United States as measured by population.

Analysis

See also

Footnotes

  1. United States Census Bureau, "State Population Totals: 2010-2020," accessed March 14, 2022
  2. United States Census Bureau, "State Population Totals: 2010-2020," accessed March 14, 2022
  3. Delaware State News, "Balance of Delaware senate shifts after Blevins loss", November 9, 2016
  4. Hartford Courant, "Republicans Will Share Driver's Seat In CT", November 11, 2016
  5. 5.05.1Note: Illinois and Minnesota were not in this list prior to election night but were added on November 4.
  6. Politico, "Lincoln Chafee switches affiliation to Democrat," May 30, 2013
  7. National Journal, "GOP, IDC Strike Deal on NY Senate Power Sharing," December 4, 2012
  8. NBC 10, "Republicans take control of Va. Senate," January 11, 2012
  9. Washington Secretary of State, "GOP-led coalition grabs power in WA Senate," December 10, 2012
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