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California's 43rd Congressional District election, 2018

From Ballotpedia

General election

General election for U.S. House California District 43

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Maxine Waters
Maxine Waters (D)
 
77.7
 
152,272
Image of Omar Navarro
Omar Navarro (R)
 
22.3
 
43,780

Ballotpedia Logo

Incumbents arebolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 196,052
Candidate Connection = candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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2020
2016
California's 43rd Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Top-two primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 9, 2018
Primary: June 5, 2018
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent:
Maxine Waters (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in California
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): D+29
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
California's 43rd Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th18th19th20th21st22nd23rd24th25th26th27th28th29th30th31st32nd33rd34th35th36th37th38th39th40th41st42nd43rd44th45th46th47th48th49th50th51st52nd53rd
California elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

AllU.S. congressional districts, including the43rd Congressional District of California, held elections in 2018.

Heading into the election the incumbent wasMaxine Waters (D), who was first elected in 1990. The general election was a rematch of the2016 election between Waters andOmar Navarro (R), which Waters won with 76 percent of the vote.

As of the2010 redistricting cycle,California's 43rd Congressional District was located in the southern portion of thestate and included part of Los Angeles County.[1]



Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House California District 43

IncumbentMaxine Waters defeatedOmar Navarro in the general election for U.S. House California District 43 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Maxine Waters
Maxine Waters (D)
 
77.7
 
152,272
Image of Omar Navarro
Omar Navarro (R)
 
22.3
 
43,780

Ballotpedia Logo

Incumbents arebolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 196,052
Candidate Connection = candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 43

IncumbentMaxine Waters andOmar Navarro defeatedFrank DeMartini,Edwin Duterte, andMiguel Angel Zuniga in the primary for U.S. House California District 43 on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Maxine Waters
Maxine Waters (D)
 
72.3
 
63,908
Image of Omar Navarro
Omar Navarro (R)
 
14.2
 
12,522
Image of Frank DeMartini
Frank DeMartini (R)
 
7.0
 
6,156
Image of Edwin Duterte
Edwin Duterte (R)
 
4.2
 
3,673
Miguel Angel Zuniga (G)
 
2.3
 
2,074

Ballotpedia Logo

Incumbents arebolded and underlined. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 88,333
Candidate Connection = candidate completed theBallotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you,complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data?Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

District analysis

See also:The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also:FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+29, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 29 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 43rd Congressional District the 26th most Democratic nationally.[2]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.97. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.97 points toward that party.[3]

Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to theFederal Election Commission.

NamePartyReceipts*Disbursements**Cash on handDate
Maxine WatersDemocratic Party$1,600,230$1,389,066$395,533 As of December 31, 2018
Omar NavarroRepublican Party$1,173,124$1,045,290$127,836 As of December 31, 2018

Source:Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

*According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
**According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


District history

2016

See also:California's 43rd Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpediarated this race as safely Democratic. IncumbentMaxine Waters (D) defeatedOmar Navarro (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Both candidates advanced past thetop-two primary on June 7, 2016, by default.[4][5]

U.S. House, California District 43 General Election, 2016
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngMaxine WatersIncumbent76.1%167,017
    Republican Omar Navarro23.9%52,499
Total Votes219,516
Source:California Secretary of State


U.S. House, California District 43 Primary, 2016
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngMaxine WatersIncumbent76.1%92,909
    RepublicanGreen check mark transparent.pngOmar Navarro23.9%29,152
Total Votes122,061
Source:California Secretary of State

2014

See also:California's 43rd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 43rd Congressional District of California held an election for theU.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. IncumbentMaxine Waters (D) defeatedJohn Wood (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, California District 43 General Election, 2014
PartyCandidateVote %Votes
    DemocraticGreen check mark transparent.pngMaxine WatersIncumbent71%69,681
    Republican John Wood29%28,521
Total Votes98,202
Source:California Secretary of State

Pivot Counties

See also:Pivot Counties by state

There are no Pivot Counties in California. Pivot Counties are counties that voted forBarack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and forDonald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

In the 2016 presidential election,Hillary Clinton (D) won California with 61.7 percent of the vote.Donald Trump (R) received 31.6 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, California voted Republican 53.33 percent of the time and Democratic 43.33 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, California voted Democratic all five times. In 2016, California had 55 electoral votes, which was the most of any state. The 55 electoral votes were 10.2 percent of all 538 available electoral votes and were 20.4 percent of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the election.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state Assembly districts in California. Click[show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled byDaily Kos.[6][7]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 58 out of 80 state Assembly districts in California with an average margin of victory of 38.4 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 66 out of 80 state Assembly districts in California with an average margin of victory of 40.3 points. Clinton won 11 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 22 out of 80 state Assembly districts in California with an average margin of victory of 12.2 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 14 out of 80 state Assembly districts in California with an average margin of victory of 13 points.
2016 Presidential Results by State Assembly District
DistrictObamaRomney2012 MarginClintonTrump2016 MarginParty Control
139.63%57.31%R+17.736.09%56.75%R+20.7R
264.68%30.51%D+34.262.20%28.98%D+33.2D
342.41%54.46%R+12.139.47%53.31%R+13.8R
463.16%33.86%D+29.363.03%29.95%D+33.1D
541.27%55.92%R+14.738.51%54.85%R+16.3R
638.59%59.09%R+20.541.17%52.02%R+10.9R
767.59%29.61%D+3867.63%25.69%D+41.9D
851.72%45.62%D+6.151.77%41.03%D+10.7D
960.56%37.52%D+2361.47%32.89%D+28.6D
1073.76%23.28%D+50.575.65%17.96%D+57.7D
1160.96%36.87%D+24.158.86%35.17%D+23.7D
1245.19%52.50%R+7.343.11%51.05%R+7.9R
1364.23%33.88%D+30.462.97%31.79%D+31.2D
1468.80%28.72%D+40.169.55%24.47%D+45.1D
1586.82%9.56%D+77.387.39%7.04%D+80.4D
1657.74%40.10%D+17.664.47%29.23%D+35.2R
1787.07%9.36%D+77.788.12%6.95%D+81.2D
1886.89%10.23%D+76.785.89%8.44%D+77.5D
1978.94%18.38%D+60.681.63%13.34%D+68.3D
2075.74%22.15%D+53.675.52%19.12%D+56.4D
2155.61%42.03%D+13.654.63%39.46%D+15.2D
2271.43%26.31%D+45.175.16%19.75%D+55.4D
2343.46%54.71%R+11.243.95%50.78%R+6.8R
2472.16%24.96%D+47.278.19%15.93%D+62.3D
2572.40%25.26%D+47.173.61%20.90%D+52.7D
2641.15%56.68%R+15.541.54%52.93%R+11.4R
2776.36%21.54%D+54.877.76%17.29%D+60.5D
2866.64%30.77%D+35.970.63%23.08%D+47.6D
2969.95%26.66%D+43.370.00%22.96%D+47D
3066.99%30.86%D+36.166.70%27.32%D+39.4D
3161.98%36.21%D+25.862.13%32.93%D+29.2D
3256.20%41.81%D+14.456.50%37.98%D+18.5D
3341.80%55.51%R+13.740.02%54.61%R+14.6R
3433.96%63.85%R+29.934.07%60.21%R+26.1R
3547.82%49.42%R+1.649.57%43.43%D+6.1R
3648.79%48.48%D+0.349.94%43.86%D+6.1R
3760.97%36.28%D+24.764.27%29.21%D+35.1D
3846.73%50.84%R+4.149.64%44.39%D+5.2R
3973.75%23.67%D+50.174.64%19.80%D+54.8D
4053.14%44.72%D+8.454.08%40.01%D+14.1R
4159.74%37.72%D+2262.82%31.27%D+31.5D
4244.98%52.93%R+7.945.61%49.70%R+4.1R
4367.35%29.62%D+37.768.94%25.45%D+43.5D
4452.37%45.51%D+6.957.12%36.99%D+20.1D
4563.46%34.12%D+29.367.36%27.39%D+40D
4673.73%23.65%D+50.176.20%18.48%D+57.7D
4771.49%26.54%D+44.970.10%24.80%D+45.3D
4864.08%33.44%D+30.665.60%28.50%D+37.1D
4964.69%33.26%D+31.467.57%27.17%D+40.4D
5070.79%26.51%D+44.376.72%18.33%D+58.4D
5183.48%13.50%D+7084.05%10.19%D+73.9D
5265.01%32.92%D+32.165.78%28.71%D+37.1D
5384.64%12.59%D+7284.83%9.63%D+75.2D
5483.62%13.88%D+69.785.15%10.12%D+75D
5545.77%52.23%R+6.549.92%44.61%D+5.3R
5662.14%36.26%D+25.964.21%31.24%D+33D
5763.71%34.01%D+29.765.92%28.39%D+37.5D
5870.24%27.80%D+42.472.54%22.26%D+50.3D
5993.24%5.19%D+8890.70%5.09%D+85.6D
6051.32%46.31%D+552.48%41.97%D+10.5D
6163.43%34.55%D+28.962.47%31.62%D+30.9D
6280.81%17.00%D+63.882.05%13.06%D+69D
6376.06%21.73%D+54.377.35%17.38%D+60D
6488.74%9.98%D+78.886.21%9.61%D+76.6D
6551.90%45.68%D+6.256.73%37.28%D+19.4D
6654.18%43.24%D+10.959.97%33.60%D+26.4D
6739.61%58.33%R+18.738.89%55.94%R+17.1R
6842.55%55.12%R+12.649.42%44.58%D+4.8R
6967.37%30.30%D+37.171.94%22.33%D+49.6D
7067.38%29.93%D+37.568.13%25.09%D+43D
7138.47%59.51%R+2138.19%56.26%R+18.1R
7246.71%51.06%R+4.451.40%43.13%D+8.3R
7338.68%59.36%R+20.743.89%50.38%R+6.5R
7445.14%52.42%R+7.350.71%43.29%D+7.4R
7539.42%58.50%R+19.143.22%50.68%R+7.5R
7648.76%49.04%R+0.353.11%40.38%D+12.7R
7748.25%49.83%R+1.655.16%38.94%D+16.2R
7863.15%34.08%D+29.167.48%25.85%D+41.6D
7961.21%36.91%D+24.364.24%30.04%D+34.2D
8069.47%28.67%D+40.873.15%21.34%D+51.8D
Total60.35%37.19%D+23.262.25%31.89%D+30.4-
Source:Daily Kos

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in California heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

  • As of May 2018, Democrats held seven of 10state executive positions and the remaining three positions were officially nonpartisan.
  • The governor of California was DemocratJerry Brown.

State legislature

  • Democrats controlled both chambers of theCalifornia State Legislature. They had a 55-25 majority in the state Assembly and a 27-13 majority in the state Senate.

Trifecta status

  • California was astate government trifecta, meaning that Democrats held the governorship and majorities in the state house and state senate.

2018 elections

See also:California elections, 2018

California held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for California
 CaliforniaU.S.
Total population:38,993,940316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):155,7793,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:61.8%73.6%
Black/African American:5.9%12.6%
Asian:13.7%5.1%
Native American:0.7%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0.4%0.2%
Two or more:4.5%3%
Hispanic/Latino:38.4%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:81.8%86.7%
College graduation rate:31.4%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$61,818$53,889
Persons below poverty level:18.2%11.3%
Source:U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Clickhere for more information on the 2020 census andhere for more on its impact on the redistricting process in California.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the censushere.

As of July 2016, California had a population of approximately 39,000,000 people, with its three largest cities being Los Angeles (pop. est. 4.0 million), San Diego (pop. est. 1.4 million), and San Jose (pop. est. 1 million).[8][9]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in California from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from theCalifornia Secretary of State.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in California every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), California 2000-2016
YearFirst-place candidateFirst-place candidate votes (%)Second-place candidateSecond-place candidate votes (%)Margin of victory (%)
2016Democratic PartyHillary Clinton61.7%Republican PartyDonald Trump31.6%30.1%
2012Democratic PartyBarack Obama60.2%Republican PartyMitt Romney37.1%23.1%
2008Democratic PartyBarack Obama61.1%Republican PartyJohn McCain37%24.1%
2004Democratic PartyJohn Kerry54.4%Republican PartyGeorge W. Bush44.4%10%
2000Democratic PartyAl Gore53.5%Republican PartyGeorge W. Bush41.7%11.8%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results ofU.S. Senate races in California from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), California 2000-2016
YearFirst-place candidateFirst-place candidate votes (%)Second-place candidateSecond-place candidate votes (%)Margin of victory (%)
2016Democratic PartyKamala Harris61.6%Democratic PartyLoretta Sanchez38.4%23.2%
2012Democratic PartyDianne Feinstein62.5%Republican PartyElizabeth Emken37.5%25%
2010Democratic PartyBarbara Boxer52.2%Republican PartyCarly Fiorina42.2%10%
2006Democratic PartyDianne Feinstein59.5%Republican Party Richard Mountjoy35.1%24.4%
2004Democratic PartyBarbara Boxer57.8%Republican PartyBill Jones37.8%20%
2000Democratic PartyDianne Feinstein55.9%Republican PartyTom Campbell36.6%19.3%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in California.

Election results (Governor), California 2000-2016
YearFirst-place candidateFirst-place candidate votes (%)Second-place candidateSecond-place candidate votes (%)Margin of victory (%)
2014Democratic PartyJerry Brown60%Republican PartyNeel Kashkari40%20%
2010Democratic PartyJerry Brown53.8%Republican PartyMeg Whitman40.9%12.9%
2006Republican PartyArnold Schwarzenegger55.9%Democratic Party Phil Angelides39.0%16.9%
2002Democratic PartyGray Davis47.3%Republican Party Bill Simon42.4%4.9%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent California in theU.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, California 2000-2016
YearDemocratsDemocrats (%)RepublicansRepublicans (%)Balance of power
2016Democratic Party3973.5%Republican Party1426.4%D+25
2014Democratic Party3973.5%Republican Party1426.4%D+25
2012Democratic Party3871.7%Republican Party1528.3%D+23
2010Democratic Party3464.1%Republican Party1935.8%D+15
2008Democratic Party3464.1%Republican Party1935.8%D+15
2006Democratic Party3464.1%Republican Party1935.8%D+15
2004Democratic Party3362.3%Republican Party2037.7%D+13
2002Democratic Party3362.3%Republican Party2037.7%D+13
2000Democratic Party3261.5%Republican Party2038.5%D+12

Trifectas, 1992-2017

Astate government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

California Party Control: 1992-2025
Twenty years with Democratic trifectas  •  No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year92939495969798990001020304050607080910111213141516171819202122232425
GovernorRRRRRRRDDDDDRRRRRRRDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD
SenateDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD
AssemblyDDDSRDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD

See also

Footnotes

  1. California Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed September 25, 2012
  2. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  3. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  4. California Secretary of State, "Certified List of Candidates for Voter-Nominated Offices June 7, 2016, Presidential Primary Election," accessed April 4, 2016
  5. The New York Times, "California Primary Results," June 7, 2016
  6. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  7. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  8. California Demographics, "California Cities by Population," accessed April 2, 2018
  9. U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts California," accessed April 2, 2018
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